ecosystem
Human Health and the Ecosystem
ECS 111
Spring 2018
Dealing with Drought and other issues:
So you want to be a Scientist…
Role of Real Science
3 April 2018 NYT Science Section
Contagion
ECS 111
3 November 2015
Ebola: Future plagues
Antibiotics
Disease: Other Recent Issues
Other diseases and the ecosystem
- Vector borne diseases: What bites us?
- Seasonal surges: The flu and its kin
- Does the common cold have an environmental link?
- Passing disease from our livestock and pets?
- Climate, ecosystems and the history of human suffering.
What is the environmental history of human health?
Architecture and local environments: An example.
- The “Black Death” in Europe:
The Plague: 1347-1351
75 million Europeans were killed in four years, 1/3 of the European population, and also killing 70% of those who caught the disease.
When traders came from Asia to Europe, there were rats on their boats with infected blood.
Fleas bit the infected rats, so they got infected.
When an infected flea bit a person, they get infected with the plague.
Some forms of the plague were spread through the air, others from bites. If you breathed in infected air, then you would catch the virus.
The Plague is one reason why feudalism collapsed. The people who lived in the country moved to cities to find work. Now peasants and serfs could demand wages for their work.
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The Black Death was one of the most deadly diseases. It killed 137 million in 3 major outbreaks. The 1st outbreak was called Plaque of Justice it occurred in 542 – 543 A.D, killed 70,000 people in the city of Constantinople. 2nd outbreak, the focus of this research, was the most deadly, and it was often called the Black Death. It occurred in Asia and Europe, but mostly in Europe, about 75 million Europeans were killed during the four years (1347-1351) from the plague.
The spread of the Black Death was very dangerous. The Italian traders first contracted the Black Death in trade with Asians. As these traders headed home, they carried the disease with them to trading ports in Italy. They brought rats on the boats that carried fleas with the disease. The disease followed traders and their cargo further west and north and by 1349 the disease had spread to all of modern Europe and its trading ports.
Black Death:
Pasteurella pestis a bacteria carried endemic in rodent populations either on the steppes of Asia or in Tibet.
Carried to humans by flea bites. Two forms: flea borne and airborne. The latter is extremely lethal.
Grey or Norway Rat: Ground dwelling temperate.
Black Rat: Climber with affinity to roofs and ships: Fleas.
Replacement: 17th Century
The end of the plague:
- The 1665 Great Plague of London- the last in northern Europe.
- What heralds this change?
The Great London Fire of 1666.
Competitive exclusion of the black rat (Rattus rattus) by the grey or Norway rat (Rattus norvegiaus)
Sir Christopher Wren
Architect in the rebuilding of London following the calamities of the 1660s.
1665 Great Plague: 6,102 in the week of August 31 alone.
1666 The Great London fire (Sept. 2nd)
New St. Paul’s
Housing styles: Wood to Stone.
- End of thatched roofs.
- Decline in wood and lath walls.
- Slate roofs set on bare beams.
- Stone or brick walls with no interior space.
Changes in patterns of infection:
- P. pestis P. pseudo-tuberculosis
- Drop in Hansen’s disease (leprosy): Death of infected from plague?
- Major changes in living conditions, religion, and architecture with the coming of the reformation, naval expansion, and urban changes.
Thatched Cottage Rembrandt
Elizabethan House along the Thames.
Little Moreton Hall near Congleton, England.
Construction consists of half-timber walls. Note the heavy lead glass windows.
Nat. Geo. Nov. 1968
Chelsea: London
Nat. Geo. Jan. 1972
Brick Home with walk through.
Chelsea London, England
Nat. Geo. Jan. 1972
Other examples:
- The disaster at Old Bein, Cote Ivoire: The colonial French capital built on the outer edge of a malarial estuary.
- Chinese incursions into Manchuria in the early 20th century and plague outbreaks.
- Typhoid and water use in the 1800’s.
- Cholera and coastal cities.
Warning Tourists:
NYT Travel Section 25 March 2018
Yellow-Jacket
Epidemiology
Movements to Improve Public Health:
- Public Sanitation
- Tracking of Diseases
- Health Services
- Clean water and air
Medical Science:
- Changes in medical practice and training
- Medicine based on science
- Chemistry and Biochemistry
- Biomedical Research and the Research University
Epidemiology Profession
Causes of Disease
- Early ideas: God or the gods; miasmas (vapors tied to atmosphere and climate); filth (dirty conditions, lack of cleanliness); Chemicals in the environment.
- New light in the 1800s: The germ theory linking contagion to microbes.
- Pathogens: Bacteria, viruses, and some fungi.
Early Progress
- Developed or acquired immunity: Early Chinese and Indian use of scab tissue to variolate potential victims of small pox. Cotton Mather (1721) Edward Jenner (1798) and cowpox girls
- Identification of bacterial toxins: Anti-toxin development; Diphtheria (1891)
Modern Health Services
- Professional doctors of medicine (MDs) trained in science (Late 1800s)
- Public Heath Services: Government agencies devoted to epidemiology
- Medical (Biomedical Research) and the growth of the Research University (the Johns Hopkins 1888)
Immunity:
- The capacity to resist the assault of foreign biologics on an organism.
- Innate immunity and the problem or recognizing “non-self” and engulfing and digesting these materials Macrophages (white blood cells)
Élie Metchnikoff (1845-1916)
Immunity:
- The capacity to resist the assault of foreign biologics on an organism.
- Acquired immunity: Specific humoral and cellular responses that are tailored to a previously encountered pathogen.
- Anti-body creation by previous encounter with a pathogen or its toxic product
A Simple Infection Model
Antibiotics
- Natural products that have antibiotic action; discovery of penicillin
- Chemical forms that act as antibodies in the human or animal and therefore speed the reaction to an introduced pathogen.
- These inhibit the pathogen, but through evolution pathogens can develop immunity to the antibiotic (antibiotic resistence)
Tuberculosis: An example
Tuberculosis (TB) is the world's leading infectious killer of young and middle-aged adults, causing 26% of avoidable deaths.
90% of TB cases and 98% of TB deaths occur in the developing world. The annual risk of TB infection in Sub-Saharan Africa is 50 times the rate in Western Europe.
TB is a major killer of people with AIDS, 1.5 million deaths worldwide a year.
Antibiotic therapies exist, although many patients do not have access to them.
A major concern is increasing TB resistance to antibiotics.
Global Map of Tuberculosis, 2001
A Simple Disease Model
Adding Death
Warfare as a Disease Vector
The incidence of STDs in military personnel has always been two to three times that of a similar matched group of civilians. This rate can rise five to eight times higher during wartime.
Herodotus in the fifth century B.C. wrote that Scythian soldiers who pillaged the Celestial Temple of Venus were infected with a “female disease” that afflicted all of their descendants.
The first recorded cases of syphilis appeared in Europe in 1493 supposedly among Spanish sailors returning from the New World.
Spanish and French armies soon spread what was called the “Neapolitan disease”
or the “French pox” throughout Europe.
Colonization and Disease
Europeans brought diseases, against which the Native Americans had no immunity.
Chicken pox & measles, though common & rarely fatal among Europeans, often were fatal to Native Americans, & more dangerous diseases such as smallpox were especially deadly to Native Americans.
Epidemics often immediately followed European exploration, sometimes destroying entire villages.
Historians estimate that 80% of some Native populations may have died from European diseases.
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IN 1619 an English captain sailing past Cape Cod reported that the Massachusetts shore was “utterly void”. The Indians “died in heapes as they lay in their houses” confirmed an English merchant. By killing much of the population of the Wampanoag confederacy, the epidemic that raged from 1616-19 made possible the first permanent European settlement in north America, that of the Pilgrim Fathers in 1620. The Indians had caught the illness, thought to have been viral hepatitis, from prior contact with Europeans, probably captured French sailors.
Dr. Jenner and Cowpox (1764)
Lady Mary Wortley Montague (1689-1762) Brought back variolation to England from Istanbul 1721.
Case study: NYC Cholera Epidemic of 1832
How Do Epidemics Travel?
Causes widely misunderstood.
Cholera, originally confined to South Asia, had spread in 1817 from seaport to seaport, carried by infected sailors.
Struck London in 1831 & reached NYC the next June.
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This document, written by the Edinburgh Board of Health in Scotland and distributed in New York during the cholera epidemic of 1832, reflects misunderstandings of the disease at the time. "Remedies" like laudanum -- morphine -- were ineffective at best; at worst, they added to the suffering of the victims. Most doctors did not believe that cholera was contagious among people, but rather arose from "miasmas," or noxious vapors of decaying organic matter. Certain activities like drinking of alcohol were believed to make one more susceptible to cholera.
The dreadful time is recalled in art, maps, death tallies and other artifacts in an exhibition, “Plague in Gotham! Cholera in Nineteenth-Century New York,” at the New-York Historical Society.
The outbreak, as portrayed in the exhibition and other documentation, highlighted the vulnerabilities of life in overcrowded cities in a time of deplorable sanitation and before medical science recognized the role of germs in disease. Cities were growing faster in population than in understanding what it took to make them fit places to live — an urban problem probably as old as the Sumerians of Mesopotamia.
Disease, Race and Class
Source: Valentine's Manual of Old New York
Many of the cases emanated from Five Points, a crowded slum of
African-Americans & Irish immigrants.
Five Points was a slum that had metastasized through the area that is now Foley Square & Chinatown.
“All that is loathsome, drooping and decayed is here,” Charles Dickens wrote after a visit.
Many believed that the cholera victims brought the disease upon themselves through immoral behavior.
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The cholera outbreak fitted pre-existing prejudices of class and race. Many of the cases emanated from Five Points, a crowded slum of African-Americans and Irish immigrants north of City Hall, and many believed that the cholera victims brought the disease upon themselves through immoral behavior. This illustration, from the book Valentine's Manual of Old New York, depicts Five Points in 1827.
People of means were escaping to the country. The New York Evening Post reported, “The roads, in all directions, were lined with well-filled stagecoaches, livery coaches, private vehicles and equestrians, all panic-struck, fleeing the city, as we may suppose the inhabitants of Pompeii fled when the red lava showered down upon their houses.”
Remedies of 1832
Laudanum (morphine), calomel (mercury) as a binding laxative, and camphor as an anesthetic.
The attempted remedies also included pouring boiling water on victims.
Marinus Willet Jr., the physician-in-chief: "We soon abandoned this remedy, because we derived no benefit from it, and its application produced great agitation in the mind of the patient."
Horatio Bartley, an apothecary, put together a pamphlet of illustrations and descriptions of cholera cases at one of the city's cholera hospitals.
Bartley: "E.W. aged forty-three, was rubbed with camphorated mercurial ointment, and given hot toddy to drink. Seven o' clock, P.M. was under hospital treatment, and died at half-past one, A.M. being ill only seven hours and a half."
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Cholera was a recurring scourge for decades.
A second cholera outbreak in New York in 1849 killed 5,071 out of a population of 500,000.
Then John Snow, a British physician, plotted the locations of cholera cases during an outbreak in England in 1854, showing that it was associated with contaminated water.
An infected baby’s diapers had been dumped into a cesspool near a well.
With the advances in knowledge & sanitation, a third cholera outbreak in New York in 1866 was much less deadly.
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Science and medicine advanced more slowly in the 19th century. It was 1883 before the bacterium Vibrio cholerae was discovered to be the agent causing the gastrointestinal disease. But a turning point in prevention came in 1854, when a London physician, Dr. John Snow, established the connection between contaminated water and cholera.
Dr. Snow tested the idea by plotting cholera cases on a map of Soho. This showed that most of the victims drew their water from a public pump on Broad (now Broadwick) Street. An infected baby’s diapers had been dumped into a cesspool near the well. A recent book, “Ghost Map,” by Steven Johnson, recounts the discovery.
The cholera research was an early application of mapping in medical investigations, a technique that has become widespread now that computers facilitate the display and analysis of such data. Historians of medicine credit Dr. Snow with advancing the modern germ theory of disease and laying the foundations of scientific epidemiology.
Cholera
Cholera has made a comeback in the last 25 years, says the WHO, which wants to see renewed efforts to control it.
War, conflict & natural disaster all play their part in its return, as poor sanitation and unclean drinking water are the root cause of outbreaks.
In the aftermath of the Rwandan crisis of 1994, up to 800,000 people crossed the border to refugee camps near the city of Goma in Congo.
In the first month after their arrival, an estimated 50,000 died from cholera & dysentery, as Vibrio cholerae contaminated Lake Kivu, the only source of drinking water.
The WHO says that the increasing urbanization of many countries means thousands living in poor accommodation on the outskirts of major cities, with cholera the inevitable result.
Cholera
Cholera has made a comeback in the last 25 years, says the WHO, which wants to see renewed efforts to control it.
War, conflict & natural disaster all play their part in its return, as poor sanitation and unclean drinking water are the root cause of outbreaks.
In the aftermath of the Rwandan crisis of 1994, up to 800,000 people crossed the border to refugee camps near the city of Goma in Congo.
In the first month after their arrival, an estimated 50,000 died from cholera & dysentery, as Vibrio cholerae contaminated Lake Kivu, the only source of drinking water.
The WHO says that the increasing urbanization of many countries means thousands living in poor accommodation on the outskirts of major cities, with cholera the inevitable result.
Monsoons: Global scale land-sea oscillations
ريح موسمية, الموسم الذي تهب فيه الريح
Copepods and Cholera
- Consider the outflow from the Ganges-Brahmaputra river system and the spread of cholera down the east coast of India.
- Formulate a river plume model for the spread of vibro attached to copepods in the river plume.
- Assume a simple model for the plume and its flows. What can be said about possible timing of epidemics starting in the delta and outbreaks farther down the coast?
- Construct a simple model for the copepod/vibrio system and consider if it might be employed to predict levels of bacterium in coastal waters.
Vibrio and Copepods
Haq et al (1983)
Epidemic Cholera in India
El Nino and Indian Coastal Cholera
Bouma and Pascual (2001)
Coping with the World:
(2) Poverty is Bad for Your Health
- Pollution
- Affording the price of clean
- Water Scarcity
- Disease
- Infectious disease & endemics
- Chronic disease
- Famines & Malnutrition
- income inequality
- high HIV infection rates
- violent conflict
Poverty Is Dirty
Bad news: Nations enjoying a smaller share of the wealth that globalization brings may bear a larger share of the costs.
Good news: Environmental Kuznets curves work for health effects.
Poverty is Often Dry
One billion now lack access to clean drinking water.
Over the next 50 years, more nations will suffer from water scarcity
- Climate change
- Population Growth
- Institutional Rigidities
Less water means more disease & lower crop yields
The 1918 Influenza
The Spanish Flu
An unusually severe & deadly Influenza A virus strain of subtype H1N1 lasting from March 1918 to June 1920.
WW I Allies called it the Spanish Flu, because the pandemic received greater attention after it moved from France to Spain in Nov 1918. Spain was not at war and had not imposed wartime censorship.
Close troop quarters & massive troop movements WW I hastened the pandemic. Soldiers' immune systems were weakened by the stresses of combat & chemical attacks, increasing susceptibility.
Modern transportation systems made it easier for soldiers, sailors & tourists to spread the disease quickly worldwide.
Global mortality rate was 2.5 to 5%, with 20% suffering from the disease to some extent. May have killed 25 million in its first 25 weeks (in contrast, AIDS killed 25 million in its first 25 years).
Current estimates say 50 million to 100 million died.
Has been described as "the greatest medical holocaust in history" & may have killed more than the Black Death.
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Avian Flu
Avian influenza is an infectious disease caused by type A strains of the influenza virus.
All human cases have coincided with outbreaks of the H5N1 avian influenza in poultry.
H5N1 has met all prerequisites for a pandemic save one: an ability to spread efficiently & sustainably among humans.
Human cases reported in six Asian countries: Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Thailand, Turkey & Viet Nam. Viet Nam is the most severely affected country, with more than 90 cases.
Most laboratory-confirmed cases have been fatal. Human H5N1 is still rare, but must be closely watched & studied because of its potential to start a pandemic.
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Epidemic to Pandemic
Critical Population Size
Spread of rabies in fox populations Murray (2003)
How does this depend on the environment?
- Water and its quality and flow carries many of the disease and parasitic organisms or their vectors in the terrestrial environment.
- What is the role of marine systems in human health?
- How do parasitism and disease occur in the plankton?
- Is there a role of disturbance in the onset of disease?
Malaria
100-200 million victims of malaria every year, most within reach of medication, but it still kills a couple million people.
Has appeared everywhere, except Antarctica. Spread is now facilitated by air travel and ship ballast water.
Malaria is emerging in new areas, or coming back in areas where it was thought to be eradicated.
By the 1960s, the use of insecticides against mosquitoes spreading the illness meant that, outside sub-Saharan Africa, it was no longer considered a public health threat.
However, this led to dwindling investment in control.
In addition, the parasite that causes the disease is becoming more resistant to some treatments.
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Malaria has been recognized as a disease for more than 4,000 years. In 2700 BC, several characteristic symptoms were described in the Nei Ching (The Canon of Medicine), which was associated with the mythical Emperor Huang-Ti of China. The disease, which is transmitted by the Anopheles mosquito, has determined the fate of nations, as it has been responsible for more military defeats than weapons themselves.
It is a very old disease and prehistoric man is thought to have suffered from malaria. It probably originated in Africa and accompanied human migration to the Mediterranean shores, India and South East Asia. In the past it used to be common in the marshy areas around Rome and the name is derived from the Italian, (mal-aria) or "bad air"; it was also known as Roman fever. Fishermen and traders, long before British colonisation, probably introduced the disease into northern Australia and in the past malaria was not uncommon in the northern parts of the country. In Western Australia an explosive outbreak of falciparum malaria occurred at Fitzroy Crossing in 1934 which at first was mistaken for influenza and resulted in 165 deaths. WHO declared Australia free of malaria in 1981, however since that time 9 patients have contracted locally acquired malaria.
In the American Civil War, the North had denied quinine to the Southern states and this may have been a minor contributory factor to the southern armies' relative failure after their supplies were largely exhausted by the autumn of 1862. While the Confederates didn’t keep records, it is estimated that seventy-five percent of the 258,000 Southern deaths could be attributed to disease.
The so called "airport malaria" has become a problem in recent years. A publican working in an establishment close to London's Heathrow Airport became acutely ill and was found to be suffering from falciparum malaria; he had never been out of the country. A lady driving her car past the same airport became ill with malaria although she too had never been out of the country. Four workers unloading a cargo plane at Amsterdam airport became infected with malaria. It is assumed that infected mosquitoes were carried on planes from Africa and released at the destination airport.
According to most experts, malaria did not exist in the Americas prior to Spanish contact, yet crude bark preparations containing quinine were presumably used for thousands of years by indigenous peoples as a febrifuge. The Spaniards soon "discovered" that the bark also offered symptomatic relief of malaria. Its early exportation to and use in Italy and Spain was soon expanded to other European countries as the preparation's effectiveness against the dreaded ague was recognized there.
Malarial Parasite Life Cycle
Worldwide Distribution of Malaria
Malaria and altitude with Climate Change
Control of Infectious Disease
- Genome sequencing of the Anopheles mosquito
- Bed nets
- Change in land use practices: wetland development
- New effective antimalarial drugs
Dengue in S.E. Asia
As the region has modernized, deaths from other infectious diseases, from malaria to measles, have fallen.
But rising prosperity and globalization have given a boost to Aedes aegypti, the mosquito that carries dengue (and yellow fever).
As commercial shipping expanded worldwide in the 18th and 19th centuries, Aedes was a stowaway, possibly from Africa.
By the early 20th century dengue was endemic across the tropics.
Globalization provides ever more opportunities for mosquitoes & infected humans to carry the disease by land, air & sea.
The four types of dengue virus, none of which confers immunity to the rest, spread faster in densely populated areas. So migration from countryside to city—both a cause & an effect of S.E. Asia's rising prosperity—has made it more prone to dengue.
Many people infected with dengue suffer only mild symptoms and do not know they are carrying it.
What other factors involving competition influence our choices in living quarters and their style?
- Choices in the plants we choose: That does the yard look like?
- Do we allow pets? The influence of domesticated animals on the environment.
- Wild animals in the city: What types of animals can adapt to urban or suburban settings?
HIV/AIDS
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is a retrovirus that can lead to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), a condition in humans in which the immune system begins to fail, leading to life-threatening opportunistic infections.
As of Jan 2006, AIDS has killed more than 25 million since 1981, making it one of the most destructive pandemics in recorded history.
0.6% of the world's population is infected with HIV.
In 2005, AIDS claimed 2.4–3.3 million lives; 570,000 were children.
A third of these deaths are occurring in sub-Saharan Africa, retarding economic growth and increasing poverty.
Antiretroviral treatment reduces both HIV mortality & morbidity infection, but access to antiretroviral medication is not available in all countries.
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Cancer
How clean can one get?
Dysevolution: feedback and disease
Causes of Human Mortality
Deaths from Various Cultural Hazards
Consequences of habit?
The Cultural Risk of Tobacco Use
Indoor Air Pollution: Developed Countries
- Hazardous fumes from home products
- Well-insulated buildings
- Long exposure to indoor air
The 10 Leading Global Risk Factors
Fig. 15-9 here
Other problems with breathing?
- Smoke, smog and other air pollution
- Tobacco smoke
- Air pollution
- Radiation sources in lungs
- Chronic diseases of the lung
- Scarring of lungs
- Cancers involving mutations
- Bronchial problems and asthma
Loss of Life Expectancy from Various Risks
(6) Public Policy
- Prevention often cheaper than treatment.
- Data sharing
- Jakarta has refused to share its H5N1 samples amid fears that drug companies will use them to make vaccines that are too expensive for Indonesia.
- China started sharing its H5N1 samples in June.
- WHO says half outbreak alerts it receives come from the media.
- Funds for treatment, prevention
- Since 1996, Brazil has cut the number of people dying of AIDS in half, by providing patented anti-retroviral drugs to 150,000 people free of charge. It can do so because it either makes cheap, generic versions of the drugs itself—or it gets the drugs cheap from the patent-holder by threatening to make them itself.
- Food security
- Economic development (Kuznets)
- Social problems with technological elements.