Airplane Leasing Analysis
To help you understand how to perform Airplane Leasing Break Even payment analysis, I am providing the following example for your reference. For your case, you will have to choose other models.
1) Buying cost of Boeing 747-8 airplane
2) Maintenance cost
Assume the plane will be used 500 hours per year and 50 trips per year (you may work harder by assuming a higher number) Google Search “Boeing 747 maintenance cost”, I got the following
Google “Boeing 747-8 insurance cost”
3) Depreciation (assume 20 year schedule)
|
20 years |
|
|
1 |
3.75% |
|
2 |
7.22% |
|
3 |
6.68% |
|
4 |
6.18% |
|
5 |
5.71% |
|
6 |
5.29% |
|
7 |
4.89% |
|
8 |
4.52% |
|
9 |
4.46% |
|
10 |
4.46% |
|
11 |
4.46% |
|
12 |
4.46% |
|
13 |
4.46% |
|
14 |
4.46% |
|
15 |
4.46% |
|
16 |
4.46% |
|
17 |
4.46% |
|
18 |
4.46% |
|
19 |
4.46% |
|
20 |
4.46% |
|
21 |
2.23% |
4) Salvage value
Assume 10% of the initial value after 25 years of services
Apply Method 2 discussed in the chapter note: After Cash Flow Method to calculate the cost: Calculate the PV of each of the following four items: Buying, Expenses and Costs, Depreciation Tax Shield, and salvage 1) Buying of the equipment: -357 million 2) Maint.,Ins, and Selling cost will add to the cost: Using the number found from Google search: Operating Cost=Operating cost per hour*Hours per year=$24,000*500=12000000 Insurance cost=Insurance per trip*number of trip per year=$2175*50=108750
Total Cost=12108750
Please note this cost is incurred in the beginning of each period T= 0 1 2 … 24 25
Costs (million) 12.10875 12.10875 12.10875 … 12.10875 0
After Tax Cost 9.48 9.48 9.48 … 9.48 0 Note: after tax cost is calculated as 12,108,75000*(1-T)= 12,108,75000*(1-.21)=9.48 (million)
Now calculate PV: PV(r=7%,PMT=9.48,n=25,BEGing)=-119.28 Million
3) The depreciation tax saving will reduce the cost: Depreciation base: $357 million
Assume 7% cost of capital
|
Time |
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
|
Depreciation schedule |
0.0375 |
0.0722 |
0.0668 |
0.0618 |
0.0571 |
0.0529 |
0.0489 |
|
|
Depreciation |
-13.388 |
-25.775 |
-23.848 |
-22.063 |
-20.385 |
-18.885 |
-17.457 |
|
|
Dep Tax Shield |
2.811 |
5.413 |
5.008 |
4.633 |
4.281 |
3.966 |
3.666 |
|
|
PV(7%) |
2.627 |
4.728 |
4.088 |
3.535 |
3.052 |
2.643 |
2.283 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Time |
|
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
|
Depreciation schedule |
0.0452 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
|
|
Depreciation |
-16.136 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
|
|
Dep Tax Shield |
3.389 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
|
|
PV(7%) |
|
1.972 |
1.819 |
1.700 |
1.589 |
1.485 |
1.388 |
1.297 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Time |
|
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
|
Depreciation schedule |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0446 |
0.0223 |
|
|
Depreciation |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-15.922 |
-7.961 |
|
|
Dep Tax Shield |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
3.344 |
1.672 |
|
|
PV(7%) |
|
1.212 |
1.133 |
1.059 |
0.989 |
0.925 |
0.864 |
0.404 |
PV=2.811/1.07+5.413/1.07^2+5.008/1.07^3+4.633/1.07^4+4.281+…
PV=2.62745 +4.72778 +4.08802 +3.5346 +3.05214
+2.64266+2.28302+1.97222+1.81873+1.69975+1.58855+1.48463+1.38750+1.29673+1.21190+1.13261+1.05852+0.98927+0.92455+0.86407+0.40377=40.788 million
Note: For simplicity, you may use straight line depreciation method as follows:
Suppose the airplane costs $357 million
Depreciation base: 357, for 20 years, Dep per year=357/20=17.850
Tax Shield per year=Dep*T=17.85*21%=3.749
Now calculate PV of Dep Tax Shield=PV(r=7%,n=20,PMT=3.749)=$39.71 million
4) Salvage Value will reduce the total cost
10% of the purchase price=$35.7 million
After tax Cash Flow=$35.7*(1-T)=35.7*(1-.21)=28.203 million
PV=28.203/1.07^25= 5.1964
Now put all these costs together:
Total PV of Cost=-357-119.28+40.788+5.1964=430.2956 million
How much do you have to charge the rent per year to cover the total cost of 430.2956?
Find Break even Rent
Using a financial calculator, PMT(PV=-430.2956, r=7%,n=25, beginning Yr)=34.5083 million
How much do I have to receive per year before tax so that I will have the above rent after tax?
X—before tax leasing charge
Tax at 21% -- .21X
After tax X-.21X=X(1-.21)
After Tax leasing payment =34.5083
X= After Tax leasing payment/(1-T)=34.5083/(1-.21)
X=34.5083/.79=43.6814 million
The answer: You have to charge $43.6814 million before tax
Verify the numbers: Before tax rent: 43.6814
Tax (at 21%) -9.1731
After Tax Rent: 34.5083