Airplane Leasing Analysis

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HowtoFindnumbersforairplaneleasingbreakevenpaymentanalysis1.docx

To help you understand how to perform Airplane Leasing Break Even payment analysis, I am providing the following example for your reference. For your case, you will have to choose other models.

1) Buying cost of Boeing 747-8 airplane

2) Maintenance cost

Assume the plane will be used 500 hours per year and 50 trips per year (you may work harder by assuming a higher number) Google Search “Boeing 747 maintenance cost”, I got the following

Google “Boeing 747-8 insurance cost”

3) Depreciation (assume 20 year schedule)

Year

20 years

1

3.75%

2

7.22%

3

6.68%

4

6.18%

5

5.71%

6

5.29%

7

4.89%

8

4.52%

9

4.46%

10

4.46%

11

4.46%

12

4.46%

13

4.46%

14

4.46%

15

4.46%

16

4.46%

17

4.46%

18

4.46%

19

4.46%

20

4.46%

21

2.23%

4) Salvage value

Assume 10% of the initial value after 25 years of services

Apply Method 2 discussed in the chapter note: After Cash Flow Method to calculate the cost: Calculate the PV of each of the following four items: Buying, Expenses and Costs, Depreciation Tax Shield, and salvage 1)      Buying of the equipment: -357 million 2) Maint.,Ins, and Selling cost will add to the cost: Using the number found from Google search: Operating Cost=Operating cost per hour*Hours per year=$24,000*500=12000000 Insurance cost=Insurance per trip*number of trip per year=$2175*50=108750

Total Cost=12108750

Please note this cost is incurred in the beginning of each period T= 0 1 2 … 24 25

Costs (million) 12.10875 12.10875 12.10875 … 12.10875 0

After Tax Cost 9.48 9.48 9.48 … 9.48 0 Note: after tax cost is calculated as 12,108,75000*(1-T)= 12,108,75000*(1-.21)=9.48 (million)

Now calculate PV: PV(r=7%,PMT=9.48,n=25,BEGing)=-119.28 Million

3)      The depreciation tax saving will reduce the cost: Depreciation base: $357 million

Assume 7% cost of capital

Time

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Depreciation schedule

0.0375

0.0722

0.0668

0.0618

0.0571

0.0529

0.0489

Depreciation

-13.388

-25.775

-23.848

-22.063

-20.385

-18.885

-17.457

Dep Tax Shield

2.811

5.413

5.008

4.633

4.281

3.966

3.666

PV(7%)

2.627

4.728

4.088

3.535

3.052

2.643

2.283

Time

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

Depreciation schedule

0.0452

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

Depreciation

-16.136

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

Dep Tax Shield

3.389

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

PV(7%)

1.972

1.819

1.700

1.589

1.485

1.388

1.297

Time

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

Depreciation schedule

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0446

0.0223

Depreciation

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-15.922

-7.961

Dep Tax Shield

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

3.344

1.672

PV(7%)

1.212

1.133

1.059

0.989

0.925

0.864

0.404

PV=2.811/1.07+5.413/1.07^2+5.008/1.07^3+4.633/1.07^4+4.281+…

PV=2.62745 +4.72778 +4.08802 +3.5346 +3.05214

+2.64266+2.28302+1.97222+1.81873+1.69975+1.58855+1.48463+1.38750+1.29673+1.21190+1.13261+1.05852+0.98927+0.92455+0.86407+0.40377=40.788 million

Note: For simplicity, you may use straight line depreciation method as follows:

Suppose the airplane costs $357 million

Depreciation base: 357, for 20 years, Dep per year=357/20=17.850

Tax Shield per year=Dep*T=17.85*21%=3.749

Now calculate PV of Dep Tax Shield=PV(r=7%,n=20,PMT=3.749)=$39.71 million

4) Salvage Value will reduce the total cost

10% of the purchase price=$35.7 million

After tax Cash Flow=$35.7*(1-T)=35.7*(1-.21)=28.203 million

PV=28.203/1.07^25= 5.1964

Now put all these costs together:

Total PV of Cost=-357-119.28+40.788+5.1964=430.2956 million

How much do you have to charge the rent per year to cover the total cost of 430.2956?

Find Break even Rent

Using a financial calculator, PMT(PV=-430.2956, r=7%,n=25, beginning Yr)=34.5083 million

How much do I have to receive per year before tax so that I will have the above rent after tax?

X—before tax leasing charge

Tax at 21% -- .21X

After tax X-.21X=X(1-.21)

After Tax leasing payment =34.5083

X= After Tax leasing payment/(1-T)=34.5083/(1-.21)

X=34.5083/.79=43.6814 million

The answer: You have to charge $43.6814 million before tax

Verify the numbers: Before tax rent: 43.6814

Tax (at 21%) -9.1731

After Tax Rent: 34.5083

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