Research paper
www.elsevier.com/locate/jom
Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82
The impact of enterprise systems on corporate performance:
A study of ERP, SCM, and CRM system implementations
Kevin B. Hendricks a,1
, Vinod R. Singhal b,*, Jeff K. Stratman
b,2
a Richard Ivey School of Business, The University of Western Ontario, London, Ont., Canada N6A-3K7
b College of Management, Georgia Institute of Technology, 800 West Peachtree St., NW, Atlanta, GA 30332-0520, United States
Available online 23 March 2006
Abstract
This paper documents the effect of investments in Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Supply Chain Management (SCM), and
Customer Relationship Management (CRM) systems on a firm’s long-term stock price performance and profitability measures such
as return on assets and return on sales. The results are based on a sample of 186 announcements of ERP implementations, 140 SCM
implementations, and 80 CRM implementations. Our analysis of the financial benefits of these implementations yields mixed
results. In the case of ERP systems, we observe some evidence of improvements in profitability but not in stock returns. The results
for improvements in profitability are stronger in the case of early adopters of ERP systems. On average, adopters of SCM system
experience positive stock returns as well as improvements in profitability. There is no evidence of improvements in stock returns or
profitability for firms that have invested in CRM. Although our results are not uniformly positive across the different enterprise
systems (ES), they are encouraging in the sense that despite the high implementation costs, we do not find persistent evidence of
negative performance associated with ES investments. This should help alleviate the concerns that some have expressed about the
viability of ES given the highly publicized implementation problems at some firms.
# 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP); Supply Chain Management (SCM); Customer Relationship Management (CRM)
1. Introduction
Enterprise systems (ES) represent an important
technology investment option for operations managers,
and have been acclaimed in the practitioner and academic
literature for their potential to improve business
performance (Akkermans et al., 1999; Davenport,
1998). For the purposes of this research, ES include
* Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 404 894 4908;
fax: +1 404 894 6030.
E-mail addresses: [email protected] (K.B. Hendricks),
[email protected] (V.R. Singhal),
[email protected] (J.K. Stratman). 1
Tel.: +1 519 661 3874; fax: +1 519 661 3959. 2
Tel.: +1 404 894 4928; fax: +1 404 894 6030.
0272-6963/$ – see front matter # 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jom.2006.02.002
one or more of the following applications: Enterprise
Resource Planning (ERP), Supply Chain Management
(SCM), and/or Customer Relationship Management
(CRM) systems. This paper documents the effect of
investments in ERP, SCM, and CRM systems on long-run
stock price and profitability performance. The results are
based on an analysis of a sample of 186 announcements
of ERP implementations, 140 SCM implementations,
and 80 CRM implementations at publicly traded firms.
Performance effects are examined over a five-year time
period for ERP implementations and a four-year time
period for SCM and CRM implementations. Perfor-
mance effects are also examined for both the imple-
mentation and post-implementation periods.
Firms have invested heavily in ES. AMR Research
estimates that investment in ES amounted to more than
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8266
US$ 38 billion in 2001 (Kraus and O’Brian, 2002).
Forecasters predict continued high growth in the level of
investments in ES (AMR, 2004), which makes
quantifying the financial returns of these investments
an important research issue. By estimating the long-run
financial effects of investments in ES, we shed light on
the value of these systems.
Given the level of ES investment, there is relatively
little empirical research that links investments in ES to
financial performance using objective financial perfor-
mance data. While some researchers have examined the
effect of investments in ERP systems on financial
performance, research on the effect of SCM and CRM
systems on financial performance is very limited or non-
existent. Furthermore, as we discuss in our literature
review (see Section 2), existing research on the effect of
ES systems on financial performance is not as
comprehensive and thorough as it could be in terms
of the metrics used, the methodology used to estimate
the performance effects, and the time periods covered.
Our analysis provides more rigorous and complete
evidence on the effect of ES system on performance.
The evidence in this paper also contributes to the
literature on the effect of information technology (IT)
investments on financial performance (see Dehning and
Richardson, 2002 for a recent review of this literature).
Most of these studies have primarily focused on the total
level of IT spending by firms over several years and the
impact of this spending on different financial perfor-
mance metrics. Very few studies have attempted to
examine the effects of specific type of IT investments on
performance (Chatterjee et al., 2002). Therefore, even
though we may know that at an aggregate level IT
spending positively affects performance, our knowledge
about how specific IT investments affect performance is
limited. Such knowledge can be useful in capital
budgeting and allocating decisions, and targeting
investments to those applications that give the highest
returns. Investments in ES systems require major
commitments of capital and managerial resources,
and it makes sense to carefully estimate the returns from
these investments.
Section 2 critically reviews the previous research on
ES systems and motivates the need for this study.
Section 3 briefly reviews the rationale behind the belief
that investments in ES will improve financial perfor-
mance. The contribution of this paper is a rigorous
validation of this premise. Section 4 describes the
sample collection. Section 5 describes the methods used
to estimate the long-run stock price and profitability
effects of the sample firms. The empirical results are
presented in Section 6. Section 7 discusses these results
in the context of theories on how firms develop
competitive capabilities and develops suggestions for
future research on the operational mechanisms by
which ES systems can improve performance.
2. Review of existing literature on the
relationship between ES systems and financial
performance
In documenting the effect of ES, researchers have
used objective performance data on stock returns and
accounting metrics as well as performance data
collected through surveys and experiments. With
respect to stock returns, researchers have used event
study methods to analyze the short-term stock market
reaction to announcements of ERP implementation.
Hayes et al. (2001) and Ranganathan and Samarah
(2003) estimate the stock market reaction to ERP
implementation announcements based on samples of 91
and 136, respectively. Although not directly related to
ERP systems, Chatterjee et al. (2002) examine the stock
market reaction to 112 infrastructural IT investment
announcements about technologies that provide a
platform for future business applications. These studies
find statistically significant abnormal stock market
returns ranging anywhere from 0.5% to 0.84%,
indicating that the market reacts positively to IT
investment announcements.
Using the efficient market theory one could argue
that the stock market reaction documented by these
studies is an unbiased estimate of the value of such
investments. However, abnormal returns over short
windows may not provide a complete assessment of the
value of investment. Recent research has shown that the
stock market partially anticipates many corporate
announcements, and in other cases abnormal stock
price performance is also observed subsequent to the
announcement (see Fama, 1998 for a review of some of
these studies). This suggests that to get a better idea of
the value of ERP investments, one should estimate
abnormal performance over a longer time period. This is
particularly important for ES announcements given the
complex nature of these investments, their relative
uniqueness and newness, as well as the uncertainty
associated with how the adoption and benefits of these
systems will evolve over time.
There are a couple of academic papers that use
publicly available data to examine the effect of ERP
systems on accounting metrics. Based on a sample of 50
publicly traded firms that announced ERP adoption
during 1993 and 1997 Poston and Grabski (2001)
investigate the effect of ERP adoption on profitability.
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 67
They use paired t-tests to compare the profitability in
the year before the implementation with the profitability
one, two, and three years after ERP implementation.
Although they do not find evidence of improvement in
profitability in the three years after implementation,
their results are questionable because of their metho-
dology. In estimating changes in year-to-year perfor-
mance they do not use any benchmarks to control for
changes in performance that may be related to the
sample firm’s prior performance, industry, or economy.
Therefore, it is not correct to equate changes in
performance as estimated by Poston and Grabski (2001)
to the effect of ERP investments on profitability, and
conclude that ERP systems have no effect on profit-
ability. Using benchmarks to control for normal changes
in performance is a basic and minimum requirement in
estimating performance effects of any corporate
investment or decision.
Hitt et al. (2002) analyze a sample of SAP’s ERP
implementations using accounting and stock market-
based performance measures. They find evidence of
improved financial performance during implementation,
but are unable to estimate the long-run impact of ERP
systems due to a lack of post-implementation data at the
time they conducted their study. Furthermore, they
estimate the effects using pooled regressions of data from
SAP’s ERP implementers and the remaining publicly
traded firms (control firms) without matching their
sample and control firms on prior performance. Barber
and Lyon (1996) show that in studies that use accounting
metrics matching on prior performance is critical to get
well-specified and powerful test statistics. Matching on
prior performance adjusts for mean reversion in
accounting metrics that reflects a transitory component
of performance that may have nothing to do with the
event under consideration. Without matching on prior
performance, results can be confounding as it is unclear
whether the observed abnormal performance is due to
mean reversion or due to the event under consideration.
Other academic studies have examined the effect of
ERP investments on performance using in-depth case
studies, data collected from surveys, or experiments.
McAfee’s (2002) is an example of an in-depth case
study of an ERP implementation and its effect on
performance at a single firm. A survey by Mabert et al.
(2003) found some improvements in managers’
perceptions of performance (mainly in financial close
cycles and order management) but found that few firms
had reduced direct operational costs. Stratman’s (2001)
survey found that manufacturing firms saw little change
in operational metrics. Hunton et al. (2002) experi-
mentally test the relation between ERP and perfor-
mance by presenting 63 certified financial analysts at a
financial services firm with a hypothetical case of a
company and comparing these analysts’ initial earning
forecasts with the forecasts after they are told that the
hypothetical firm has committed to investing in an ERP
system. The results of the experiment indicate that the
revisions in earnings is positive, thereby providing
support for the hypothesis that implementation of ERP
systems have a positive effect on performance. The
results from survey-based and experimental research
could be further supported by triangulation with
findings based on objective performance data.
We are aware of only one academic study that
attempts to examine the performance effects of SCM
systems using objective data. Dehning et al. (2004)
investigate the financial benefits of SCM systems by
analyzing a set of 123 manufacturing firms (SIC Codes
2011-3999) who have chosen to implement or have
implemented an SCM application. They find that that
these systems generally are associated with improved
financial performance. Unlike Poston and Grabski’s
(2001) analyses of ERP adoptions, Dehning et al. (2004)
control for industry and economy-wide effects by using
the median industry performance as benchmark. While
this is certainly better than not using any controls, they
do not control for prior performance as advocated by
Barber and Lyon (1996). As mentioned earlier, this can
confound the estimation and interpretation of abnormal
performance. To the best of our knowledge we are not
aware of any study that has rigorously analyzed the
effect of CRM systems on performance.
The above critique of the existing literature identifies
some significant gaps in our understanding of the effect
of ES system on financial performance. It also
highlights major differences between our study and
the existing literature. First, previous studies have
focused on a specific type of ES such as ERP or SCM. In
contrast, we analyze the impacts of ERP, SCM, and
CRM (three types of commonly used ES) and thereby
provide a more comprehensive assessment of the effect
of ES on performance. Second, previous studies either
use stock returns or accounting measures (but not both)
to assess the impact of ES on firm performance.
Furthermore, previous stock return studies have mainly
focused on estimating the stock market reaction over
short windows, typically over one to three days. As
mentioned earlier, given the nature of the ES investment
it may be more relevant to estimate the long-term stock
price effects of ES investments. We examine the effect
of ES on both the long-term stock returns and
profitability to examine the consistency between
different categories of performance measures. In the
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8268
long run both the stock price changes and profitability
changes should point to the same conclusion about the
effect of ES on performance. Third, unlike other studies,
we examine performance effects for both the imple-
mentation and the post-implementation periods. Finally,
to isolate the effect of ES on performance, we use
methodologies that address some of the estimation and
statistical concerns and drawbacks of previous studies.
In particular, we control for prior performance, which
has been shown to result in well-specified and powerful
statistical tests (Lyon et al., 1999; Barber and Lyon,
1997, 1996; Kothari and Warner, 1997).
3. Benefits of enterprise systems
Information integration is a key benefit of ES. This
integration can replace functionally oriented and often
poorly connected legacy software, resulting in savings
in infrastructure support costs. Furthermore, improve-
ments in operational integration enabled by ES can
affect the entire organization and therefore can
positively impact firm performance. As discussed
below, ERP systems also provide benefits in the area
of transaction automation, SCM systems provide more
sophisticated planning capabilities, and CRM systems
facilitate customer relationship management.
3.1. ERP systems
ERP systems replace complex and sometimes manual
interfaces between different systems with standardized,
cross-functional transaction automation. Order cycle
times (the time from when an order is placed until the
product or service is delivered) can be reduced, resulting
in improved throughput, customer response times, and
delivery speeds (Cotteleer and Bendoly, 2006; McAfee,
2002). Similarly, automated financial transactions can
reduce cash-to-cash cycle times and the time needed to
reconcile financial data at the end of the quarter or year
(Mabert et al., 2000, 2003; McAfee, 1999; Stratman,
2001). The result is a reduction in operating capital and
the headcount of the financial area.
Another benefit of ERP systems is that all enterprise
data are collected once during the initial transaction,
stored centrally, and updated in real time. This ensures
that all levels of planning are based on the same data and
that the resulting plans realistically reflect the prevailing
operating conditions of the firm. For example, a single,
centrally developed forecast ensures that operational
processes remain synchronized and allows the firm to
provide consistent order information to customers
(Bancroft et al., 1998).
Taken together, the standardized firm-wide transac-
tions and centrally stored enterprise data greatly
facilitate the governance of the firm (Scott and Vessey,
2000; McAfee and Upton, 1996). ERP reports provide
managers with a clear view of the relative performance
of the various parts of the enterprise, which can be used
to identify needed improvements and take advantage of
market opportunities (AT Kearney, 2000; Boston
Consulting Group, 2000).
3.2. SCM systems
The primary benefit of SCM systems is better
operational and business planning. The MRP II and
ERP systems of the nineties usually included only
rough-cut capacity planning logic, with basic finite-
capacity planning functionality limited to key work
centers (Vollmann et al., 2005). SCM systems use finite-
capacity planning algorithms that do not require
iterative adjustments to the master schedule (Raman
and Singh, 1998), and real-time planning capabilities
allow firms to react quickly to supply and demand
changes. Coordinated planning and flow of materials
and information among supply chain partners can
mitigate the ‘‘bullwhip effect’’ (Lee et al., 1997). There
is a rich literature in OM on the benefits of better supply
chain planning and coordination (Cachon and Fisher,
2000; Cheung and Lee, 2002; Milner and Kouvelis,
2002). Recent empirical research has demonstrated that
reducing forecasting and planning errors that result in
supply chain disruptions avoids value destruction
(Hendricks and Singhal, 2003). Increased revenue,
increased productivity, operational cost savings, lower
inventory, and reduced order-to-fulfillment cycle time
are some of the benefits from SCM system implementa-
tions (Nucleus Research, 2003a).
3.3. CRM systems
CRM is a synthesis of many existing principles from
relationship marketing (Jancic and Zabkar, 2002; Sheth
et al., 2000; Morgan and Hunt, 1994), and the broader
issue of customer-focused management. CRM systems
provide the infrastructure that facilitates long-term
relationship building with customers. Some examples
of the functionality of CRM systems are sales force
automation, data warehousing, data mining, decision
support, and reporting tools (Katz, 2002; Suresh, 2004).
CRM systems also reduce duplication in data entry and
maintenance by providing a centralized firm-wide
database of customer information. This database
replaces systems maintained by individual sales people,
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 69
institutionalizes customer relationships, and prevents
the loss of organizational customer knowledge when
sales people leave the firm. Centralized customer data
are also valuable to firms managing multiple product
lines. In many cases customers will overlap across
different lines of business, providing an opportunity for
increasing revenues through cross-selling.
Based on the above review and discussion of the
literature we hypothesize:
H1 (2 and 3). Investments in ERP (SCM and CRM) systems lead to improvements in financial performance
as measured by stock returns and profitability.
4. Sample selection procedure and data
description
Business Wire, Dow Jones News Service, PR News-
wire, and the Wall Street Journal are our primary sources
for collecting the sample of firms that have invested in
ES. We started with the set of all announcements during
1991–1999 that mention ES providers by name.
Although more than 25 providers are used in our search,
the major ones are SAP, Oracle, JD Edwards, and
Peoplesoft for ERP systems; i2 Technologies, Manugis-
tics, Aspen Technology, American Software, and
Logility Inc. for SCM systems; and Siebel and SCT
Corp. for CRM systems. These announcements men-
tioned firms that have invested in ES. To be included in
the final sample a firm must have stock price information
on the Center for Research on Security Prices (CRSP)
database and accounting information on the COMPU-
Table 1
Description of the sample of firms that have made announcements of inves
Measure Mean Med
(Panel A) Descriptive statistics for the sample of ERP investment announc
Sales (US$ million) 6958.6 1678
Total assets (US$ million) 10329.9 1461
Equity market value (US$ million) 10092.9 2002
Employment (thousands) 31.2 9
(Panel B) Descriptive statistics for the sample of SCM investment announc
Sales (US$ million) 10020.8 4089
Total assets (US$ million) 13735.9 3253
Equity market value (US$ million) 18882.2 3265
Employment (thousands) 38.5 16
(Panel C) Descriptive statistics for the sample of CRM investment announ
Sales (US$ million) 9609.5 2876
Total assets (US$ million) 25199.7 3404
Equity market value (US$ million) 27377.2 5216
Employment (thousands) 32.2 14
STAT database. Nearly 98% of the announcements were
made during 1995–1999.
Our sample consists of 406 firms with the following
breakdown: 186 announcements of investments in ERP
systems, 140 in SCM systems, and 80 in CRM systems.
Panel A of Table 1 presents statistics on the sample based
on the most recent fiscal year completed before the date
of the announcement of investing in ES. The mean
(median) ERP observation represents a firm with annual
sales of nearly US$ 6956 million (US$ 1679 million) and
total assets of US$ 10,330 million (US$ 1461 million).
SCM observations represents firms with mean (median)
annual sales of nearly US$ 10,020 million (US$ 4089
million) and total assets of US$ 13,735 million (US$
3253 million) whereas CRM observations represent firms
with mean (median) annual sales of nearly US$ 9609
million (US$ 2879 million) and total assets of US$
25,199 million (US$ 3404 million). Overall, it appears
that larger firms have invested in ES. Furthermore, the
size of firms that invest in SCM and CRM applications is
larger than those that invest in ERP applications. This
may be because SCM and CRM applications are
relatively new compared to ERP applications.
Our sample has two distinct sets of announcements.
One set indicates that the firm has started or plans to
start the implementation of an ES application. The other
set indicates that the firm has completed the imple-
mentation of an ES application. Of the 186 ERP
announcements, 35 are on completed implementations;
of the 140 SCM announcements, 12 are on completed
implementations; and of the 80 CRM announcements, 5
are on completed implementations.
ting in ES
ian S.D. Maximum Minimum
ements
.7 16651.8 168919.0 0.53
.6 36612.7 355935.0 4.00
.3 2983.9 333672.0 6.01
.2 64.3 608.0 0.01
ements
.0 18931.1 120279.0 0.53
.6 46632.2 405200.0 23.54
.0 55572.1 508329.5 11.15
.0 59.2 340.0 0.01
cements
.8 15431.6 99820.0 4.12
.1 6050.5 355935.0 5.58
.8 5517.8 333672.1 5.66
.0 49.9 293.0 0.10
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8270
5. Methodology for estimating performance
effects of investments in ES
This section describes our methodology including
the period over which the performance effects are
measured and the approach used to estimate the long-
term stock price and profitability effects of investments
in ES.
5.1. Choosing the period over which to measure
performance impacts
In deciding the period over which to measure
performance changes, we focus on longer periods to
fully capture the performance effects of ES. We also
examine the performance during the implementation
period as well as the post-implementation period. Based
on the evidence in the literature, we use a two-year
implementation period for ERP systems. O’Leary
(2000) and McAfee (1999) report that ERP installation
takes between 1 and 3 years, with an average of 21
months. Stratman (2001) collected detailed timeline
information from 43 respondents, and estimates that the
average time from start of installation to live is 17.1
months. The weighted average implementation time
from the survey of 479 US manufacturing firms by
Mabert et al. (2000) is about 17.5 months. Given the
above evidence, we choose to use a two-year
implementation period.
The evidence on the time required to implement
SCM and CRM applications is limited. Compared to
ERP systems, SCM and CRM systems are less complex
and easier to implement. Raman and Singh’s (1998)
case study on i2 Technologies indicated that imple-
mentation of SCM systems can take about 6–12 months.
Nucleus Research (2003a,b) reports a 1.5-year imple-
mentation period for SCM systems. Our discussion with
an SCM expert at SAP suggests that a 12-month
implementation period seems reasonable. We are
unable to find much information about implementation
time for CRM. A summary of white papers found at
crmguru.com indicated that 50% of the projects get a
payback within 18 months, suggesting that implemen-
tation time might be short. Based on the above evidence,
we choose to use a one-year implementation period for
SCM and CRM systems.
The existing literature provides little guidance on
what should be the appropriate length of the post-
implementation period over which one should measure
the benefit of investments in ES. There does seem to be
an agreement that the benefits will be felt over a long
time period. Given this, we choose a three-year post-
implementation period for ERP, SCM, and CRM
applications. Overall, we examine the changes in
financial performance over a five-year period for
ERP systems (a two-year implementation period and
a three-year post-implementation period), and a four-
year period for SCM and CRM systems (a one-year
implementation period and a three-year post-imple-
mentation period).
For sample firms that plan to implement ES, the five-
year period in the case of ERP systems (four-year period
in the case of SCM and CRM systems) starts on the
announcement date. For sample firms that have
announced they have completed the implementation
of an ES application, we set the starting date back by
two years (one year) relative to the announcement date
of completion of the implementation of ERP system
(SCM and CRM systems), and use these reset dates to
measure the five-year and four-year periods. This
adjustment of dates allows us to align the starting time
for both the planned and completed implementations.
5.2. Methodology for estimating the long-term
stock price effects
We estimate the long-run buy-and-hold abnormal
returns using daily returns. An abnormal return is the
difference between the return on a stock and the return
on an appropriate benchmark. There has been con-
siderable discussion in the literature on the appropriate
methodology for computing long-run abnormal returns
(Lyon et al., 1999; Fama, 1998; Barber and Lyon, 1997;
Kothari and Warner, 1997). This discussion has focused
on two issues. The first issue is the appropriate factors
that should be controlled for in computing long-run
abnormal returns. The current consensus seems to be
that abnormal return computations should control for
size, market-to-book ratio of equity, and prior perfor-
mance. The second issue is the interpretation of the
statistical significance of long-run abnormal returns.
Barber and Lyon (1997) and Kothari and Warner (1997)
report that test statistics from many commonly used
methods are misspecified because these methods do not
adjust for cross-sectional dependency. Barber and Lyon
(1997) and Lyon et al. (1999) find that abnormal returns
using matching portfolios of similar firms give well-
specified tests. We implement this approach as follows:
Step 1 I
n each month, all eligible NYSE firms are
sorted into deciles according to their market
value of equity. Next all AMEX and NASDAQ
firms are placed into the appropriate size
portfolio. The smallest size decile portfolio is
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 71
further divided into quintiles, resulting in 14 size
portfolios. Each portfolio is further divided into
quintiles according to their market-to-book ratio
of equity, resulting in 70 portfolios. Each
portfolio is further divided into 3 portfolios
based on the stock price performance of firms in
that portfolio over the previous year, resulting in
210 portfolios for each month where firms in
each portfolio are similar in terms of size,
market-to-book ratio, and prior performance.
Over 300 months, the mean (median) number of
firms over 63,000 portfolios is about 22 (21).
Step 2 W
e identify the portfolio that a sample firm is
assigned to in the first month of the start of the
sample firm’s measurement period. Since all
other firms in this portfolio are similar to the
sample firm on size, market-to-book ratio, and
prior performance, all these firms can be
considered as benchmarks for the sample firm.
For example, Allied Signal announced on
October 7, 1998, that they plan to implement
an ERP system. In this case we search the 210
portfolios for August 1998 and identify the
portfolio that includes Allied Signal. Suppose
that Allied Signal is in portfolio #20, which also
includes 25 other firms. These 25 firms then
become the benchmark against which Allied
Signal’s performance is evaluated.
Step 3 A
sample firm’s abnormal return is the
difference between its buy-and-hold return
and the average of the buy-and-hold returns of
all other firms that belong to the sample firm’s
portfolio (see Hendricks and Singhal, 2005 for
more details). For example, in the case of Allied
Signal, we compute the buy-and-hold return of
Allied Signal and the 25 other firms that belong
to portfolio #20. If Allied Signal’s return over a
particular period is say 25%, and the average
return of the 25 other firms in portfolio #20 is
15%, then Allied Signal’s abnormal return is
10%.
Step 4 S
tatistical inference is based on a simulation
approach (see Lyon et al., 1999). The idea is to
compute an empirical distribution of abnormal
returns for a portfolio that has similar
characteristics to those of the sample portfolio,
and compare where the abnormal return of the
sample portfolio falls on this distribution. To
achieve this we create a pseudo-sample where
for each sample firm we randomly select, with
replacement, a firm that belongs to the
portfolio assigned to the sample firm. This
randomly selected firm is assigned the same
announcement date as that of the sample firm.
Thus, in the case of Allied Signal, we would
select one of the 25 firms that belong to
portfolio #20 and assign it the date of October
7, 1998. Once this is done for all sample firms,
the mean abnormal performance for this
pseudo-sample is computed using the portfolio
approach discussed in Step 3. This results in
one observation of the mean abnormal perfor-
mance from a pseudo-sample. We repeat this
process 1000 times to obtain 1000 mean
abnormal return observations.
Step 5 T
he empirical distribution of the mean abnormal
returns from 1000 pseudo-portfolios is used to
test whether the mean abnormal return for the
sample portfolio is significantly different from
zero. We compute the p-value as the fraction of
the 1000 pseudo-samples with mean abnormal
returns less than the mean abnormal return of the
sample portfolio. For example, if 600 pseudo-
samples have mean abnormal returns above the
mean abnormal return of the sample, then the p-
value is 0.400. Using the empirical distribution
to compute p-values explicitly accounts for
cross-sectional dependencies, which has been a
major source of concern about the validity of p-
values from conventional test statistics (Lyon
et al., 1999).
To pool observations across time, for each sample
firm, we translate calendar time to event time as follows.
The announcement date is day 0 in event time, the next
trading date is day 1, and trading day after that is day 2,
and so on. Since a year typically has 250 trading days,
the implementation period for ERP systems (SCM and
CRM systems) span event days 0–500 (0–250) and the
post-implementation period spans event days 501–1250
(251–1000).
5.3. Methodology for estimating the long-term
operating performance effects
To estimate the profitability effects of investments in
ES, we analyze changes in operating return on assets
(ROA) and operating return on sales (ROS). ROA
(ROS) is the ratio of operating income to book value of
total assets (sales), where operating income is defined as
sales less cost of goods sold, and selling, general, and
administrative expenses. We focus on operating income
over other income measures (for example, net income or
earnings per share) because it is a cleaner measure of
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8272
performance as it is not obscured by special items, tax
considerations, or capital structure changes.
To control for various factors unrelated to invest-
ments in ES that could affect the performance, we
compare the performance of each sample firm against
an appropriately chosen comparison group. We estimate
abnormal performance as the change in the sample
firm’s performance minus the change in the median
performance of the comparison group. More formally,
let PIt1 and PIt2 be the performance level in year t1 and t2 (where t2 > t1), respectively, for the sample firm I. Let PCt1 and PCt2 be the median performance level in year
t1 and t2, respectively, for the comparison group for
sample firm I. Then API, the abnormal performance of
sample firm I is
API ¼ðPIt2 � PIt1Þ�ðPCt2 � PCt1Þ
In earlier studies of operating performance the
choice of the comparison group was generally based on
industry and size. Furthermore, some researchers used a
single firm as the basis for comparison while others used
a portfolio of firms as their comparison group. More
recently, Barber and Lyon (1996) develop robust
guidelines on selecting comparison groups that give
well-specified and powerful test statistics. They
emphasize the importance of selecting comparison
groups that have similar prior performance as that of the
sample firms as well as using a portfolio of firms as the
comparison group. We implement the findings of
Barber and Lyon (1996) using a four-step procedure.
Step 1 F
or each sample firm we identify all firms that
have the same two-digit SIC code as that of the
sample firms and whose ROA (ROS) in the
starting year of the measurement period is
within 90–110% of the sample firm. All firms
that meet these criteria are considered part of the
comparison group for the sample firm. The 90–
110% filter on performance is used because this
range yields well-specified test statistics (Barber
and Lyon, 1996).
Step 2 I
f we do not find any firms in Step 1, then we
attempt to match performance within the 90–
110% filter using all firms in the same one-digit
SIC code.
Step 3 I
f we do not find any firms in Step 2, then we
attempt to match performance within the 90–
110% filter without regard to SIC code.
Step 4 I
f we do not find any firms in step 3, then we
chose the firm that is closest in performance
without regard to SIC code.
The mean (median) number of firms in the comparison
groups is 20 (14) for the ERP sample, 17 (12) for the SCM
sample, and 28 (18) for the CRM sample. To test the
sensitivity of our results from the above approach, we
create a second comparison group, which takes the firms
identified in the first comparison group and includes only
those firms whose total assets are within a factor of 10 of
the total assets of the sample firm. Since these results are
very similar to the first comparison group, we only report
the results from the first comparison group.
Abnormal performance can be reported as the
change in the level of performance or as the percent
change in the level of performance. To see the
difference between these two methods, consider a
sample firm where the ROA has changed from 3% to
5%. In this case the change in the level of ROA is 2%,
whereas the percent change in ROA is 66.66%. If the
starting ROA is negative, then percent change calcula-
tions are nonsensical. Therefore, basing results on
percent change require that we exclude firms (sample or
comparison group firms) that have negative starting
ROA. This not only diminishes the power of statistical
tests, but can also lead to biases in test statistics.
Because of these issues with the percent change
method, we report abnormal performance based on
the change in the level of performance.
To pool observations across time, for each firm in our
sample, we translate calendar year to event years as
follows. The year of the announcement date is year 0 in
event year, the next year is year 1, and year after that is year
2, and so on. For ERP systems (SCM and CRM systems)
the implementation period spans years 0–2 (0–1) and the
post-implementation period spans years 2–5 (1–4).
6. Empirical results
Outliers can influence the mean values of long-term
performance effects. To control for outliers, all
abnormal stock return results are reported after capping
the data at the 1.0% level in each tail. Outliers are a
more serious problem with accounting data. To control
for outliers all profitability results are reported after
capping the data at the 2.5% level in each tail. Even with
capping, outliers can still influence the mean values of
long-term performance effects. Therefore, we will put
more emphasis on non-parametric statistics such as
median and percent of sample firms with positive
abnormal performance. In addition to reporting the
parametric tests on changes in the mean, we report two
non-parametric tests. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test is
used to test whether the median of the changes is
significantly different from zero, and the binomial sign
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 73
test is used to test whether the percent of sample firms
experiencing positive abnormal performance is sig-
nificantly different from 50%. Consistent with our
hypotheses, we measure statistical significance using
one-tailed tests.
6.1. Results for investments in ERP systems
Table 2 presents results for the sample of firms that
invested in ERP systems. During the two-year imple-
mentation period, the stock price performance of the
sample firms fared poorly relative to the benchmark
portfolios. The mean (median) abnormal return during
this time period is �11.96% (�23.04%). A p-value of 0.064 indicates that the mean abnormal return of the
sample firm is lower than the mean abnormal returns of
936 out of the 1000 pseudo-portfolios abnormal returns.
Of the 186 sample firms, only 40% of the sample firms do
better than the median return of the firms that belong to
their assigned portfolios, significantly lower than 50%
( p-value � 0.01). The abnormal stock price performance during the implementation period is negative and
statistically significant.
Table 2
Performance results for the sample of firms investing in ERP systems
Panel A
Performance measures Implementation period
(days 0–500)
Number of observations 186
Mean abnormal return (%) �11.96 (0.064) Median abnormal return (%) �23.04 Percent of sample firms
with returns greater than
its portfolio median
39.78 (�2.79)a
Panel B
Performance measures Implementation
period from years 0 to 2
Post-imp
period f
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observa
Abnormal change in the
level of return on assets
186 1.03
(1.74) c
0.56
(1.76) c
56.45
(1.76) c
167
Abnormal change in the
level of return on sales
186 0.58
(1.28)
0.36
(1.42)
53.22
(0.88)
167
Panel A: Results on the mean abnormal stock return ( p-value from the empir
parenthesis), the median abnormal stock return, and the percent of sample firm
their assigned benchmark portfolios (the binomial sign test Z-statistic in pa
Panel B: Results on abnormal return on assets and return on sales. T-statistics
binomial sign test Z-statistic for the percent positive are reported in parent a
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) b
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) c
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive)
The results for the three-year post-implementation
period are mixed. The mean abnormal return of 10.97%
is statistically significant ( p-value = 0.043) and similar
in magnitude to the loss experienced during the
implementation period. However, the median abnormal
return is �1.03%. Only 51.07% of the firms do better than the median return of the firms that belong to their
assigned portfolio, insignificantly different from 50%.
Overall, only one of the three statistics suggests positive
abnormal performance.
When the performance is examined over the full five-
year period (the combined implementation and post-
implementation periods), there is no evidence of
abnormal performance. The mean abnormal return is
�5.06%, insignificantly different from zero ( p- value = 0.41). The median abnormal return is
�11.39%. Nearly 52% of the sample firms do better than the median return of the firms that belong to their
assigned portfolio, insignificantly different from 50%.
The evidence suggests that over the five-year period, the
stock price performance of firms that invest in ERP
systems is no different from that of their benchmark
portfolios.
Post-implementation
period (days 501–1250)
Implementation and
post-implementation period
(days 0–1250)
186 186
10.97 (0.043) �5.06 (0.41) �1.03 �11.39 51.07 (0.29) 51.61 (0.44)
lementation
rom years 2 to 5
Implementation
and post-implementation
period from years 0 to 5
tion Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
0.37
(0.52)
0.60
(0.81)
53.89
(1.01)
186 1.09
(1.53)
1.03
(2.49) a
57.53
(2.05) b
0.31
(0.38)
1.04
(1.93) c
57.48
(1.90) c
186 �0.15 (�0.18)
0.67
(1.42)
56.98
(1.90) c
ical distribution created from 1000 replications of pseudo-portfolios in
with returns greater than the median return of the firms that belong to
rentheses).
for the mean, Wilcoxon signed-rank test Z-statistic for the median, and
heses.
at the 1% level for one-tailed test.
at the 2.5% level for one-tailed test.
at the 5% level for one-tailed test.
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8274
The results on changes in profitability (Panel B of
Table 2) provide some evidence of improvements in
profitability. The mean and median changes in ROA are
positive for the implementation, post-implementation,
and the combined implementation and post-implemen-
tation periods. The positive changes in ROA during the
implementation period are statistically significant at the
5% level. Although the changes in ROA during the post-
implementation period are positive, none of the changes
are statistically significant. However, during the
combined implementation and post-implementation
periods the median change of 1.03% in ROA is
significantly different from zero ( p-value � 0.01), and nearly 58% of the sample firms experienced positive
abnormal change in ROA, significantly different from
50% ( p-value � 0.025). The evidence suggests that ERP adopters show an improvement in ROA.
When ROS is used as the performance metrics, eight
of the nine performance metrics (three for each time
period) are positive but only three changes are
statistically significant at the 5% level. These are the
median change during the post-implementation period,
the percent of sample firms that experience positive
abnormal change during the post-implementation period,
and the percent of sample firms that experience positive
abnormal change during the combined implementation
and post-implementation periods. Although there is some
evidence of positive abnormal changes in ROS, the
results are not as strong as that of the changes in ROA.
Overall the evidence suggests that although firms
that invest in ERP systems do not experience a
statistically significant increase in stock returns, there
is some evidence to suggest that profitability improves
over the combined implementation and post-imple-
mentation periods. To examine the ERP results in more
detail, we segment the sample into four different
subsamples. We briefly summarize these findings. The
detailed results are available from the authors.
To estimate the effect of ERP systems during the
post-implementation period more precisely we examine
the results only for those announcements that indicated
that the firm has completed the implementation of an
ERP system. In this case we know when the
implementation was completed, and hence the time
period after the completion would more accurately
represent the performance effects during the post-
implementation period. The results for this subsample
are very similar to the overall sample.
We also examine the results for those announce-
ments that indicated that the firm has started or planned
to start the implementation of an ERP system. In this
case we know when the implementation was started but
not necessarily when it was completed. By examining
the performance of these firms over the five-year period,
we shed some light on the payback from ERP systems
over a five-year period. Again the results for these
subsamples are very similar to the overall sample.
We also segment our sample into manufacturing and
service firms to see if the benefits from investments in
ERP systems are more or less for manufacturing or
service firms. We did not find any evidence to suggest
that the benefits of ERP implementation are different for
manufacturing or service firms. Basically, the results for
these two subsamples are very similar to those for the
full sample.
6.2. Results for investments in SCM systems
Table 3 presents results for the sample of firms that
invested in SCM systems. During the one-year
implementation period, the mean abnormal return is
�1.46%, insignificantly different from zero ( p- value = 0.624). The median abnormal return is
�8.11%. Of the 140 sample firms, about 45% of the sample firms did better than the median return of the
firms that belong to their assigned portfolios, insignif-
icantly different from 50%. Basically, the abnormal
stock price performance during the implementation
period is not statistically significant.
During the post-implementation period the mean
abnormal return of 18.06% is statistically significant ( p-
value = 0.025). However, the median abnormal return is
�4.91%. Nearly 51% of the firms do better than the median return of the firms that belong to their assigned
portfolio, insignificantly different from 50%. Over the
full four-year period, the mean abnormal return of
18.75% is statistically significant at the 7% level. The
median is �9.24%. Half the sample firms do better than the median return of the firms that belong to their
assigned portfolio. Overall, there is some evidence of
positive abnormal stock price performance during the
four-year period.
The results for the accounting metrics (see Panel B of
Table 3) provide strong support that firms that invest in
SCM systems show improvements in ROA and ROS.
Improvements are observed in both the implementation
and post-implementation periods, with mean and
median changes in ROA and ROS generally positive
and most are statistically significant at the 2.5% level or
better. The results for the combined implementation and
post-implementation periods indicate that the median
change in the level of ROA is 1.78%. The median
change in the level of ROS is 1.44%. Both these changes
are statistically significant ( p-value � 0.01). More than
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 75
Table 3
Performance results for the sample of firms investing in SCM systems
Panel A
Performance measures Implementation
period (days 0–250)
Post-implementation
period (days 251–1000)
Implementation
and post-implementation
period (days 0–1000)
Number of observations 140 140 140
Mean abnormal return (%) �1.46 (0.624) 18.06 (0.025) 18.75 (0.068) Median abnormal return (%) �8.11 �4.91 �9.24 Percent of sample firms
with returns greater than its
portfolio median
45.71 (�1.01) 51.42 (0.34) 50.00 (0.00)
Panel B
Performance measures Implementation
period from years 0 to 1
Post-implementation
period from years 1 to 4
Implementation
and post-implementation
period from years 0 to 4
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Abnormal change in the
level of return on assets
141 0.95
(2.18) b
0.76
(2.61) a
60.99
(2.61) a
130 1.58
(2.35) a
01.58
(4.31) a
59.23
(2.10) b
141 2.98
(4.31) a
1.78
(3.59) a
60.99
(2.61) a
Abnormal change in the
level of return on sales
141 0.65
(1.80) c
0.58
(2.50) a
59.57
(2.27) b
131 0.43
(0.77)
0.43
(1.75) c
57.69
(1.75) c
141 1.33
(2.59) a
1.44
(2.78) a
62.41
(2.95) a
Panel A: Results on the mean abnormal stock return ( p-value from the empirical distribution created from 1000 replications of pseudo-portfolios in
parenthesis), the median abnormal stock return, and the percent of sample firm with returns greater than the median return of the firms that belong to
their assigned benchmark portfolios (the binomial sign test Z-statistic in parentheses).
Panel B: Results on abnormal return on assets and return on sales. T-statistics for the mean, Wilcoxon signed-rank test Z-statistic for the median, and
binomial sign test Z-statistic for the percent positive are reported in parentheses. a
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 1% level for one-tailed test. b
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 2.5% level for one-tailed test. c
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 5% level for one-tailed test.
60% of the sample firms experience positive abnormal
changes in ROA and ROS during the combined
implementation and post-implementation periods. All
the results for the combined implementation and post-
implementation periods are statistically significant at
the 1% level or better. Overall the results indicate that
investments in SCM systems improved profitability.
Since very few of the SCM investment announce-
ments in our sample indicated that the firm had
completed the implementation of an SCM system, it is
not meaningful to analyze this subsample separately.
We also segment the SCM announcements sample into
those made by manufacturing firms (about 80% of the
sample). The results for this subsample are generally
consistent with the results for the full sample.
6.3. Results for investments in CRM systems
Table 4 presents results for the sample firms that
invested in CRM systems. During the implementation
period, the mean abnormal return is 6.84%, insignif-
icantly different from zero ( p-value = 0.15). During
the post-implementation period the mean abnormal
return of �3.07% is not statistically significant ( p- value = 0.617). The percent of sample firms that do
better than the median return of the firms that belong to
their assigned portfolio is insignificantly different from
50%. Overall, there is no evidence of positive or
negative abnormal stock price performance during the
implementation and post-implementation periods. Over
the full four-year period, the mean (median) abnormal
return is �15.22% (�12.41%), and nearly 53% of the sample firms do better than the median return of the
firms that belong to their assigned portfolio. However,
none of these performance changes are statistically
significant. Basically, investments in CRM systems
have had little effect on the stock returns of investing
firms.
The results of abnormal stock price performance are
corroborated by the results on changes in operating
performance (see Panel B of Table 4). Changes in ROA
and ROS are generally positive during the implementa-
tion, post-implementation, and the combined imple-
mentation and post-implementation period. Except for
the mean change in ROA and ROS during the combined
implementation and post-implementation periods, none
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8276
Table 4
Performance results for the sample of firms investing in CRM systems
Panel A
Performance measures Implementation
period (days 0–250)
Post-implementation
period (days 251–1000)
Implementation
and post-implementation
period (days 0–1000)
Number of observations 80 80 80
Mean abnormal return (%) 6.84 (0.152) �3.07 (0.617) �15.22 (0.804) Median abnormal return (%) �4.66 �12.12 �12.41 Percent of sample firms
with returns greater than its
portfolio median
53.75 (0.67) 48.75 (�0.22) 52.50 (0.45)
Panel B
Performance measures Implementation
period from years 0 to 1
Post-implementation
period from years 1 to 4
Implementation
and post-implementation
period from years 0 to 4
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Abnormal change in the
level of return on assets
81 1.01
(0.79)
0.25
(�0.80) 56.79
(1.22)
77 0.79
(0.58)
0.02
(0.84)
50.64
(0.11)
81 2.21
(1.94) c
0.25
(1.46)
55.55
(0.99)
Abnormal change in the
level of return on sales
81 2.40
(1.57)
0.67
(1.63)
58.02
(1.44)
77 0.75
(0.57)
8.02
(0.96)
53.25
(0.57)
81 4.64
(2.25) b
1.37
(1.48)
54.32
(0.78)
Panel A: Results on the mean abnormal stock return ( p-value from the empirical distribution created from 1000 replications of pseudo-portfolios in
parenthesis), the median abnormal stock return, and the percent of sample firm with returns greater than the median return of the firms that belong to
their assigned benchmark portfolios (the binomial sign test Z-statistic in parentheses).
Panel B: Results on abnormal return on assets and return on sales. T-statistics for the mean, Wilcoxon signed-rank test Z-statistic for the median, and
binomial sign test Z-statistic for the percent positive are reported in parentheses. a Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 1% level for one-tailed test. b
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 2.5% level for one-tailed test. c
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 5% level for one-tailed test.
of these changes are statistically significant. Overall,
investments in CRM systems seem to have had little
impact on profitability.
Since very few of the CRM investments announce-
ments in our sample indicated that the firm has
completed the implementation of a CRM system, it is
not meaningful to analyze this subsample separately.
We also segment the CRM announcements sample into
those made by manufacturing firms (about 67% of the
sample) and service firms (about 33% of the sample). In
both these subsamples, the results are generally
consistent with the results for the full sample.
6.4. Are the results driven by the control group
methodology?
Before we discuss the implications of our results, we
need to address an important issue that has been raised
during the review process. The issue is whether our
results could be driven by the control sample, as it is not
clear that the controls have not invested in ES. Hence, it
is plausible that the some of the insignificant results that
we find with respect to ES systems are because the
controls have adopted ES systems. We certainly cannot
claim that all firms in our control set have not
implemented ES. However, as discussed below we
believe that the chances are low that our results are
driven by the possibility that a subset of control firms
may have implemented ES.
First, our sample has 406 ERP, SCM, and CRM
announcements. Given that at any point in time more
than 5000 firms are publicly traded, our control firms
will come from a sample of more than 4600 firms. If
most of these 4600 firms have adopted ES, then one
would be very much concerned about our results. While
we do not know what the controls have done, the
chances that most of the controls have ES are quite low.
The adoption of ERP systems is still limited among
midsize and small firms, and the adoption is even lower
for SCM and CRM systems. Furthermore, given that our
last announcement is in December 1999, the adoption
rate among controls in 1999 is likely to be much lower
than today.
Second, even if some of the 4600 control firms have
adopted ES, it should not have much of an impact on our
stock price performance results because of the method
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 77
used to create the 1000 pseudo-samples. In each
pseudo-sample we use size, prior performance, and
market to book ratio to select 406 firms from the sample
of more than 4600 firms. We then compare the results of
the sample firms against the results of these 1000
pseudo-samples. If each of these 1000 pseudo-samples
is dominated by control firms that have implemented ES
then our results would be a source of concern. While
this could happen in a few of the pseudo-samples, the
chances of this happening in most of the pseudo-
samples are very low as process of creating the pseudo-
samples is quite randomized.
Third, in analyzing the performance effect of ES on
ROA and ROS, we match each sample firm to a
comparison group that consists of firms from the same
industry, and which have similar performance char-
acteristics. On average each comparison group consists
of 20 firms. Furthermore, we estimate abnormal
performance relative to the change in the median
performance of the comparison group. The median of
the comparison group is less likely to be impacted by
non-identified ES adopters. For example, with this
approach if more than 50% of the firms in each
comparison group adopt ES, and ES adoption leads to
positive results, then it would be a cause of concern as
these adopters would drive the median, and negate any
positive effect observed in the sample firms.
Finally, we note that our sample is based on firms that
have started their implementation between 1991 and
1999. At least in the case of SCM and CRM systems our
sample is likely to have firms that are early adopters,
which minimizes the chances that the control firms may
have also implemented SCM and CRM systems.
The above discussion provides some rationale of
why the chances are low that our results are impacted by
controls that may have also implemented ES. The
purpose of controls is to control for broad economic and
industry factors. No control process will be perfect on
all dimensions. With a large sample of firms and
reasonable level of randomization in the selection
process, there should not be any systematic bias in the
selection of controls. Nonetheless, given the concerns
about whether the controls are driving the results we
report some additional analyses on early ES adopters to
test the robustness of our results.
6.5. Analysis of the performance of early adopters
of ERP
Since it is not clear that controls have not invested in
ES, another way of dealing with the issue of whether
this could drive our results is to examine the perfor-
mance of early adopters. While at a conceptual level the
issue of controls adopting ES still remains, at a practical
level the issue would be less of a concern for the early
adopters. It is less likely that most of our controls are
early adopters. We restrict our analysis only to the ERP
sample as ERP systems have been around longer than
SCM and CRM systems. We define as early adopters
those firms that have made announcements of invest-
ments in ERP systems before 1998. Table 5 reports the
abnormal stock price and operating performance results
for the early adopter.
The evidence indicates that abnormal stock price
performance results of early adopters are not that
different from the overall sample. The abnormal return
during the implementation period is negative, and is
positive during the post-implementation period. How-
ever, the mean abnormal returns over the implementa-
tion and post-implementation periods are insignificantly
different from zero.
The profitability performance (see Panel B of
Table 5) of early adopters appears to be stronger than
the results for the full ERP sample (see Panel B of
Table 2). Over the combined implementation and post-
implementation periods, the improvements in ROA and
ROS are positive and statistically significant. There is
some evidence of statistically significant positive
changes in ROA and ROS during the post-implementa-
tion period, which is stronger than what was observed
for the full ERP sample. Consistent with the results for
the full sample, there is weak evidence of improvements
in profitability during the implementation period. The
evidence of Table 5 suggests that early adopters may
have benefited more from ERP implementation when
compared to later adopters.
7. Summary and future research
Our analysis of the financial benefits of ES
implementations yields mixed results. In the case of
adopters of ERP systems, we find some evidence of
improvements in profitability but not in stock returns.
The results for improvements in profitability are
stronger in the case of early adopters of ERP systems.
On average, adopters of SCM system experience
positive abnormal returns as well as improvements in
profitability. There is no evidence of improvements in
stock returns or profitability for firms that have invested
in CRM. Although our results are not uniformly positive
across the different ES systems, they are encouraging in
the sense that despite the high implementation costs, we
do not find persistent evidence of negative performance
associated with ES adoption. This should help alleviate
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8278
Table 5
Performance results for the early adopters (1997 and before) ERP systems
Panel A
Performance measures Implementation
period (days 0–500)
Post-implementation
period (days 501–1250)
Implementation
and post-implementation
period (days 0–1250)
Number of observations 104 104 104
Mean abnormal return (%) �6.48 (0.167) 14.99 (0.075) �1.82 (0.36) Median abnormal return (%) �16.46 0.23 �13.43 Percent of sample firms
with returns greater than its
portfolio median
40.8 (�2.04)c 52.88 (0.58) 52.88 (0.87)
Panel B
Performance measures Implementation
period from years 0 to 2
Post-implementation
period from years 2 to 5
Implementation
and post-implementation
period from years 0 to 5
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Observation Mean Median Percent
positive
Abnormal change in the
level of return on assets
110 1.16
(1.60)
0.45
(1.51)
54.54
(0.95)
102 0.47
(0.51)
1.51
(1.25)
59.80
(2.27) b
110 1.55
(1.59)
1.51
(2.51) a
60.91
(2.27) b
Abnormal change in the
level of return on sales
110 1.43
(1.78) c
0.66
(1.78) c
55.45
(1.14)
102 0.80
(0.52)
1.74
(2.97) a
64.71
(2.97) a
110 �0.28 (�0.19)
1.75
(2.08) b
60.91
(2.27) b
Panel A: Results on the mean abnormal stock return ( p-value from the empirical distribution created from 1000 replications of pseudo-portfolios in
parenthesis), the median abnormal stock return, and the percent of sample firm with returns greater than the median return of the firms that belong to
their assigned benchmark portfolios (the binomial sign test Z-statistic in parentheses).
Panel B: Results on abnormal return on assets and return on sales. T-statistics for the mean, Wilcoxon signed-rank test Z-statistic for the median, and
binomial sign test Z-statistic for the percent positive are reported in parentheses. a
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 1% level for one-tailed test. b
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 2.5% level for one-tailed test. c
Significantly different from zero (50% in the case of percent positive) at the 5% level for one-tailed test.
the concerns that some have expressed about the
viability of ES given the highly publicized implementa-
tion problems at few firms.
Our results also add to the emerging literature on
information technology and productivity. The mixed
results of studies examining the financial impact of IT
investments led some to propose a ‘‘productivity
paradox’’. Brynjolfsson and Hitt (1996) and Kohli
and Devaraj (2003) argue that often the financial value
of large systems was hidden from those studies because
of lack of sufficient rigor. Some of the research issues
that may obscure the results are: (1) the choice of the
performance metrics (Bharadwaj et al., 1999), (2) the
time period studied (Devaraj and Kohli, 2000), (3) the
method of analysis (Robey and Boudreau, 1999), and
(4) the presence of important intermediate variables
(Barua et al., 1996; Bresnahan et al., 2002).
This study addresses the first three of the four issues.
The use of both accounting data and stock returns gets at
the need for financial metrics. We analyze data over a
four-year or five-year period to capture the long-term
impact of ES adoption, and our estimation procedures
ensure that abnormal performance is robustly measured,
and that the associated statistical tests are well specified.
However, in using publicly available stock price and
accounting data, we are not able to examine internal
firm mediating factors that may influence the financial
value from ES.
The linkage between specific internal capability
factors and overall financial performance is not always
clear. The resource-based view (RBV) provides a
theoretical framework for evaluating the types of internal
capabilities that provide a competitive advantage that can
in turn lead to improvements in financial performance
(Peteraf, 1993; Rumelt, 1984; Wernerfelt, 1984, 1995).
Competitive capabilities are defined by the ‘‘VRIN’’
criteria of value, rarity, inimitability, and non-substitut-
ability (Barney, 1991). Grant (1991) further classified
internal firm capabilities into tangible, intangible, and
personnel-based capabilities. Tangible capabilities are
the hardware, software, and network connections that
make up the physical components of an ES. Intangible
capabilities are the customer and intra-firm relationships
that are used to exchange knowledge in support of the
business. Personnel-based capabilities are the managerial
and technical skills of the personnel using the system.
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–82 79
The business integration and transaction automation
offered by ES are valuable tangible capabilities.
However, the other three VRIN criteria are somewhat
questionable when applied to software systems that can
be readily purchased (Carr, 2003). Nevertheless, the
complex and expensive implementation process may
serve as a barrier to competitors (Rumelt, 1984; Weill
and Broadbent, 1998). Sambamurthy et al. (2003)
suggest that the personnel training and business process
changes required to integrate the technical capabilities
of these systems into the day-to-day operational
practices of the firm are difficult to imitate and
effectively non-substitutable. The decisions made
during the adoption process are likely to differ across
firms (Adner and Helfat, 2003), which implies that the
outcomes may also differ. Indeed, several studies
suggest that internal organizational capabilities could
Fig. 1. Distribution of post-implementation period abn
influence the direction and extent of financial benefits
from ES adoption (Boudreau and Robey, 2005;
Brynjolfsson et al., 2002; Mata et al., 1995; Melville
et al., 2004; Powell and Dent-Micallef, 1997).
A more detailed analysis of the distribution of
abnormal performance of our sample firms suggests that
future research should explore the relationship between
internal organizational capabilities and financial perfor-
mance. The abnormal stock price performance results
presented in Tables 2–5 have mean values that are
generally higher than the median values. For example, the
buy-and-hold abnormal returns during the post-imple-
mentation period of firms investing in ERP systems
(Table 2) have a mean value of 13.41%, but a median value
of �9.52%. This suggests that some firms are achieving high returns from their ES investments. Additional
support for this explanation is provided by Fig. 1, which
ormal returns for ERP, SCM, and CRM samples.
K.B. Hendricks et al. / Journal of Operations Management 25 (2007) 65–8280
shows the distribution of abnormal stock returns during
the three-year post-implementation period for our three
ES samples. In the case of the ERP adopters, nearly 20 out
of 186 sample firms have abnormal returns greater than
100%. While one must be careful in drawing strong
conclusions based on a small sample, it is plausible that
these 20 firms may represent firms that are best able to
develop the requisite internal capabilities during ES
adoption. The performance improvements reported by
such firms may have convinced later adopters that they
can achieve similar results by purchasing ES, even though
they lack the internal capabilities needed to fully leverage
the potential of these systems.
Existing OM research in the area of ES has primarily
focused on key factors for successful implementation
(e.g., Mabert et al., 2003) and the operational benefits,
such as faster transaction processing and customer
response, obtained from the use of these systems (e.g.,
McAfee, 2002). Researchers have started to examine
organizational capabilities that influence the success of
ES adoption. For example, Stratman and Roth (2002)
investigate the development of internal capabilities such
as the ERP competence, which is comprised of a
portfolio of intangible capabilities that enable a firm to
leverage its ERP technology for competitive advantage.
These capabilities encompass both technical and
organizational elements. Stratman (2001) found that
ERP users with high ERP competence are more likely to
experience a performance improvement from ERP
adoption. Somers and Nelson (2003) also look beyond
implementation issues to assess the fit between ERP
capabilities and organizational strategies and integra-
tion mechanisms.
Future research on ES should move beyond the key
factors for successful implementation to address three
key issues. First, operations strategy researchers need to
use resource-based theory to understand how firms
realize benefits from the use of ES. Important questions
such as what organizational capabilities facilitate the
successful use of ES, and what types of operational
processes promote the development of these capabil-
ities, need to be addressed. This research would
logically focus on firms that have successfully
implemented the software component of ES in order
to avoid confounding the analyses with the organiza-
tional disruptions associated with failed software
projects.
This raises an important issue related to the results of
this study. We report the financial impact experienced
by the average firm adopting ES. Although we do not
capture details of individual firm implementation
success or failure, it is likely that our sample includes
some firms which had implementation difficulties or
failed implementations. Although the presence of such
firms would tend to attenuate the average performance
benefits of ES investment, our approach allows us to
assess the overall benefits and risks faced by a typical
firm planning to adopt ES. Sampling only ‘‘successful’’
firms would tend to bias our results toward the benefits
of ES and provide managers with unrealistic expecta-
tions of ES adoption. However, future research
examining only firms that are actively and successfully
using ES in day-to-day operations would show the
potential of these systems for those adopters skilled at
complex systems implementation.
Second, objective performance criteria need to be
applied when assessing ES benefits. A study that
combines both secondary and primary source data
might provide a clearer picture of how ES influence
operational, and in turn financial, performance. Primary
data sources could be used to determine precise
implementation timelines, as well as to collect
information on specific operational practices that
leverage the capabilities of ES. A study that compares
and contrasts the operational practices of firms that have
financially benefited from ES against those that have not
could be very valuable.
Finally, the statistically significant improvement in
performance of SCM adopters suggests that the benefits
of these systems are also tied to the capabilities of the
software. SCM systems codify many of the optimiza-
tion techniques and algorithms developed by OM
researchers. Matching business characteristics such as
extent of machine-paced production, environmental
dynamism, location in the supply chain, market power,
etc., would provide validation for the applicability of
OM models, as well as guidance to the most useful
avenues of future theory development.
Acknowledgements
We are very grateful to Gregory Hines, Serguei
Netessine, four referees, and the associate editor, whose
constructive comments have significantly improved the
paper.
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- The impact of enterprise systems on corporate performance: �A study of ERP, SCM, and CRM system implementations
- Introduction
- Review of existing literature on the relationship between ES systems and financial performance
- Benefits of enterprise systems
- ERP systems
- SCM systems
- CRM systems
- Sample selection procedure and data description
- Methodology for estimating performance effects of investments in ES
- Choosing the period over which to measure performance impacts
- Methodology for estimating the long-term stock price effects
- Methodology for estimating the long-term operating performance effects
- Empirical results
- Results for investments in ERP systems
- Results for investments in SCM systems
- Results for investments in CRM systems
- Are the results driven by the control group methodology?
- Analysis of the performance of early adopters of ERP
- Summary and future research
- Acknowledgements
- References