HedgeRatioLabHandout.xlsx

History of hedges

Natural Gas–Henry Hub
Floors Ceilings
Period and Type of Contract MMBtus Swaps Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price
January 2015 - December 2015
Swaps - Henry Hub 24,500,000 $4.27
Collars - Henry Hub 29,200,000 $ 3.50-$3.75 $ 3.69 $4.89-$5.48 $5.04 Production 170,586,500.00 MMBtu F 2.904
January 2016 - December 2016
Swaps - Henry Hub 133,710,000 $3.17 Production 195,239,214.00 MMBtu F 2.424
January 2017 - December 2017
Swaps - Henry Hub 72,690,000 $3.41
Collars - Henry Hub 65,700,000 $2.40-$3.00 $2.47 $2.92-$3.88 $3.08 Production 225,683,606.00 MMBtu F 3.543

Hedging for 2017

Positions as of the end of 2016
Floors Ceilings
Period and Type of Contract MMBtus Swaps Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price
January 2017 - December 2017
Swaps - Henry Hub 72,690,000 $3.41
Collars - Henry Hub 65,700,000 $2.40 - $3.00 $2.47 $2.92 - $3.88 $3.08
sigma r F T PUT X CALL X S
0.3366824168 0.0062 3.543 0.5 $2.47 $3.08 3.724
Delta SWAP
d1 put
d2 put
d1 call
d2 call
Delta PUT
Delta CALL
Total
Expected production, MMBtu 225,683,606.00
One-Year Hedge Ratio

Hedges for 2016

Positions as of the end of 2015
Period and Type of Contract MMBtus Swaps Weighted Average Price
Swaps - Henry Hub 133,710,000 $3.17
sigma r F T PUT X CALL X S
0.3366824168 0.0062 2.424 0.5 N/A N/A 2.337
Delta SWAP
d1 put
d2 put
d1 call
d2 call
Delta PUT
Delta CALL
Total
Expected production, MMBtu 195,239,214.00
One-Year Hedge Ratio

Hedges for 2015

Positions as of the end of 2014
Floors Ceilings
Period and Type of Contract MMBtus Swaps Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price Range Weighted Average Price
Swaps - Henry Hub 24,500,000 $4.27
Collars - Henry Hub 29,200,000 $ 3.50-$3.75 $ 3.69 $4.89-$5.48 $5.04
sigma r F T PUT X CALL X S
0.3366824168 0.0062 2.904 0.5 $ 3.69 $5.04 2.889
Delta SWAP
d1 put
d2 put
d1 call
d2 call
Delta PUT
Delta CALL
Total
Expected production, MMBtu 170,586,500.00
One-Year Hedge Ratio