Cost of Capital
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A Refresher on Cost of Capital by Amy Gallo
You’ve got an idea for a new product line, a way to revamp your inventory
management system, or a piece of equipment that will make your work easier.
But before you spend the company’s hard- earned money, you’ve got to prove to
your company’s leaders that it’s worth the investment. You’ll likely be asked to
show that the return on the investment will be better than your company’s cost
of capital. But are you sure you know exactly what that is? And how your company
uses it?
To learn more about this commonly used business term, I spoke with Joe Knight,
author of the HBR TOOLS: Return on Investment and co-founder and owner of
www.business-literacy.com.
What is the cost of capital?
“The cost of capital is simply the return expected by those who provide capital
for the business,” says Knight. There are two groups of people who may put up
the capital needed to run a business: investors who purchase stock and debt
holders who buy bonds or issues loans to the company. Any investment a
company makes has to earn enough money that investors get the return they
expect and debt holders can be repaid.
You may be wondering if this is the same as discount rate and the terms are
sometimes used interchangeably, explains Knight. Though there is typically a
distinction. “At most companies, the cost of capital is a mechanical calculation
done by the finance people. Then the management team takes that number and
decides on the discount rate, or hurdle rate, that you have to exceed to justify an
investment,” he says.
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In many businesses, the cost of capital is lower than the discount rate or the
required rate of return. For example, a company’s cost of capital may be 10% but
the finance department will pad that some and use 10.5% or 11% as the discount
rate. “They’re building in a cushion,” says Knight, which is not a bad thing. And
how much they pad it will depend on their appetite for risk. A risk-averse
company might raise the discount rate even further, as high as 15-20%. But if the
business is looking to stimulate investments, they might lower the rate, even if
just for a period of time.
What do companies typically use it for?
There are two ways that cost of capital is typically used. Senior leaders use it to
evaluate individual investments and investors use it to assess the risk of a
company’s equity.
Let’s look at that first instance. “A wise company only invests in projects and
initiatives that exceed the cost of capital,” says Knight. So once the finance
department, CFO, or treasure department has determined what the rate is,
managers know that is the number to beat if they want to win support for their
projects or proposals. “If you make investments that don’t get a return that
exceeds the cost of capital, you’re encouraging investors to go elsewhere,”
explains Knight. “You’re basically saying that we’re not getting the return you
expected.” Therefore it’s important that managers — often with the help of
finance — take a close look at potential projects to make sure they exceed the
cost of capital
Now for the second instance. Although this use is less common, investors will look
at an aspect of the cost of capital — the beta or volatility (more on this in the next
section) — which will help them understand if a stock is a risky investment or not.
How do you calculate the cost of capital?
In reality, few managers will ever make this calculation. “This is the job of finance
professionals,” says Knight, “and to the average manager what goes into
determining the cost of capital can often be opaque.” Here’s a brief overview
(based on the example in Knight’s book, Financial Intelligence):
The first step is to calculate the cost of debt to the company. This is pretty
straightforward. You take all of the money that the company has borrowed and
look at the interest rates you’re paying. So if the company has a credit line with a
rate of 7%, a long-term loan at 5%, and bonds that it uses to make acquisitions at
3%, you add that all up and calculate the average. Let’s say it’s 6%. Then because
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interest on debt is tax deductible you multiply it by the corporate tax rate (which
is usually around 30% in the U.S.). The formula looks like this:
Cost of debt = average interest cost of debt x (1 – tax rate)
So you take your 6% and multiply it by (1.00-.30). In this case the cost of debt =
4.3%.
Now, set that number aside and move over to the equity calculation. This is a
much more theoretical number and takes into account beta (risk) and prevailing
interest rates.
The formula looks like this:
Cost of equity = risk-free interest rate + beta (market rate – risk-free rate)
Beta measures the volatility of the company’s stock compared to the market. The
higher the beta, the riskier the stock is, according to investors. If a stock rises and
falls at close to the same rate as the market, the beta will be close to 1. If it tends
to rise and fall more than the market, it might have a beta closer to 1.5. And if it
doesn’t fluctuate as much as the market, like a utility for example, it might be
closer to 0.75.
The market rate is the expected return on the stock market right now. There is
typically lots of debate about this number but generally it falls between 10-12%.
The risk-free rate is the return you’d get on a risk-free investment, such as a
treasury bill (somewhere between 1-3%). This figure can also be debated.
Let’s assume that that the company’s beta is 1,that it uses 2% for the risk-free
rate and 11% for the market rate, then you’d get the following calculation:
2% + 1 (11% – 2%) = 11%
Note how important the beta can be. For example, if the company’s beta was 2
instead of 1, the cost if equity would be 20% instead of 11%. That’s quite a
difference.
Now the next step is to take your two percentages – the cost of debt (4.3% in the
example above) and the cost of equity (11%) – and weight them according to the
percentage of debt and equity the company uses to finance its operations. Let’s
assume the company uses 30% debt and 70% equity to run its business. So you’d
do the following final calculation:
(0.3 x 4.3%) + (0.7 x 11%) = 8.99%
This is the company’s WACC.
Keep in mind that this is a number used to evaluate future investments so there
is a lot of projecting going on. “You’re using the current structure of interest rates
and business conditions to calculate a future return and there’s an implicit
assumption that your current beta will be the same going forward. In a volatile
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market, that’s never true,” explains Knight. It’s hardly an exact figure and is, in
fact, a very theoretical calculation. “Like everything in finance it’s based on a lot
of estimates and assumptions. It may look like a hard, fixed number — but it’s far
from that.”
What mistakes do people make when using cost of capital?
The biggest mistake managers make, according to Knight, is taking the number at
face value. “Sure, some grouse about the number, claiming that it’s too high and
it limits the investments that they can reasonably make, but most just take the
figure handed to them by finance.” This is problematic because the cost of capital
has a big influence on what you’re able to do. “It’s not something you should just
accept. You should absolutely challenge it,” says Knight.
He recommends asking your counterpart in finance: What did you use for cost of
equity? How did you come up with cost of debt? Or why do we use 12% as the
market rate? “You can miss a lot of opportunities when you have to hit a higher
standard,” Knight says, so it’s worth asking tough questions and seeing if you can
negotiate the rate. What you want the rate to be will depend on the type of
project you’re taking on. For example, if you’re a manager proposing a whole new
R&D software for a new product that you’ve never done before, you want to
use a high number, probably higher than your WACC, to show that this type of
risky investment is worth it. But if your order processing system is breaking down
and you need a new one, you can use a lower rate since this is part of the nuts
and bolts infrastructure for running your business. After all, if you don’t have an
order processing system, you’ll be out of business.
Another mistake managers make is to pad the number. “They like to bump it up
to be safe,” explains Knight. If the corporate cost of capital is 12%, then a manager
might think, I’m going to use 15% to be on the safe side. But the number likely
already includes a cushion. Don’t up it again or you will be making things
unnecessarily hard on yourself.
When finance tells you that your new project or initiative needs a return that
beats the company’s cost of capital, it’s helpful to know what that figure is and
how it’s calculated. Armed with this information, you’ll be able to better make
the case that your idea is worth the company’s investment.