Corporate Valuation and Planning, Conversion cycle and budget

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Globalfinance.docx

1) Improving the cash conversion cycle

Choose a company from the Dow Jones 30 (https://money.cnn.com/data/dow30/). Use the most recent balance sheet and income statement from Hoover’s database to calculate the Operating Cycle and Cash (Conversion) Cycle. Would your company improve its Cash Conversion Cycle by reducing or increasing it? Explain your answer? List at least two ways your company could achieve this improvement. Explain the possible risks your company may face if it follows your suggestion?

2) Calculating the cash budget

Here are some important figures from the budget of Baltimore Baking for the second quarter of 2017:

 

April

May

June

Credit sales

$ 225,000

 

$ 275,000

 

$ 300,000

 

Credit purchases

60,000

 

60,500

 

50,250

 

Cash disbursements

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Wages, taxes, and expenses

42,750

 

55,000

 

51,250

 

   Interest

8,300

 

8,300

 

8,300

 

   Equipment purchases

79,000

 

81,000

 

0

 

In Baltimore Baking’s experience, 4% of its credit sales will never be collected, 46% of its credit sales are paid in the month of the sale, and another 50% of its credit sales are paid in the month after the sale. Credit purchases will be paid in the month following the purchase.

In March 2017, credit sales were $230,000 and credit purchases were $38,500. Using this information, complete a cash budget (Round answers to the nearest whole dollar):

Note: The beginning cash balance for April should be $625,000.

3) Supernormal Growth Model

Global Finance

GM is expected to grow at 12% in year 1, 11% in years 2 and 3, 8 % in year 4 and then grow at a constant rate of 5% in the years that follow. The required rate of return (Rs) equals 9%. The company will pay a Dividend at the end of year 1 (D1) equal to 2.15. What is the expected price of this stock?

4) Corporation Valuation

Use the following data to calculate MicroDrive’s Horizon Value, Value of Operations, and Estimated Stock Price. Show all calculations on a separate sheet of paper.

Figure 12-1

 

 

 

 

 

 

MicroDrive’s Most Recent Financial Statements (Millions, Except for Per Share Data)

 

INCOME STATEMENTS

 

 

BALANCE SHEETS

 

 

 

2012

2013

Assets

 

2012

2013

Net sales

$ 4,760

$ 5,000

Cash

 

$ 60

$ 50

COGS (excl. depr.)

3,560

3,800

ST Investments

40

-

Depreciation

170

200

Accounts receivable

380

500

Other operating expenses

480

500

Inventories

820

1,000

EBIT

$ 550

$ 500

Total CA

 

$ 1,300

$ 1,550

Interest expense

100

120

Net PP&E

 

1,700

2,000

Pre-tax earnings

$ 450

$ 380

Total assets

$ 3,000

$ 3,550

Taxes (40%)

180

152

 

 

 

 

NI before pref. div.

$ 270

$ 228

Liabilities and equity

 

 

Preferred div.

8

8

Accounts payable

$ 190

$ 200

Net income

$ 262

$ 220

Accruals

 

280

300

 

 

 

Notes payable

130

280

Other Data

 

 

Total CL

 

$ 600

$ 780

Common dividends

$48

$50

Long-term bonds

1,000

1,200

Addition to RE

$214

$170

Total liabilities

$ 1,600

$ 1,980

Tax rate

40%

40%

Preferred stock

100

100

Shares of common stock

50

50

Common stock

500

500

Earnings per share

$5.24

$4.40

Retained earnings

800

970

Dividends per share

$0.96

$1.00

Total common equity

$ 1,300

$ 1,470

Price per share

$40.00

$27.00

Total liabs. & equity

$ 3,000

$ 3,550

 

 

 

 

 

 

Figure 12-3

MicroDrive's Forecast of Operations for the Selected Scenario (Millions of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

Status QuoIndustry

Panel A: InputsActual

A1. Operating Ratios20132012201320142015201620172018

Sales growth rate5%15%5%10%8%7%5%5%

COGS (excl. depr.) / Sales76%75%76%76%76%76%76%76%

Depreciation / Net PP&E9%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%

Other op. exp. / Sales10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%

Cash / Sales1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

Acc. rec. / Sales8%8%10%10%10%10%10%10%

Inventory / Sales15%17%20%20%20%20%20%20%

Net PP&E / Sales33%36%40%40%40%40%40%40%

Acc. pay. / Sales4%4%4%4%4%4%4%4%

Accruals / Sales7%6%6%6%6%6%6%6%

Tax rate40%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%

Panel B: ResultsActual

B1. Sales Revenues201320142015201620172018

Net sales$5,000$5,500$5,940$6,356$6,674$7,007

B2. Operating Assets and Operating Liabilities

Cash$50$55$59$64$67$70

Accounts receivable$500$550$594$636$667$701

Inventories$1,000$1,100$1,188$1,271$1,335$1,401

Net PP&E$2,000$2,200$2,376$2,542$2,669$2,803

Accounts payable$200$220$238$254$267$280

Accruals$300$330$356$381$400$420

B3. Operating Income

COGS (excl. depr.)$3,800$4,180$4,514$4,830$5,072$5,326

Depreciation$200$220$238$254$267$280

Other operating expenses$500$550$594$636$667$701

EBIT$500$550$594$636$667$701

Net operating profit after taxes$300$330$356$381$400$420

B4. Free Cash Flows

Net operating working capital$1,050$1,155$1,247$1,335$1,401$1,472

Total operating capital$3,050$3,355$3,623$3,877$4,071$4,274

FCF = NOPAT – Δ op capital−$260$25$88$128$207$217

B5. Estimated Intrinsic Value

Target WACC11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%11.0%

Return on invested capital9.8%9.8%9.8%9.8%9.8%9.8%

Growth in FCF252%45.1%61.7%5.0%

Horizon Value:Value of operations

+ ST investments

=Estimated total intrinsic value

− All debt

Value of Operations:− Preferred stock

Present value of HVEstimated intrinsic value of equity

+ Present value of FCF÷ Number of shares

Value of operations =Estimated intrinsic stock price =

Forecast

MicroDriveMicroDrive

ActualForecast

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