Semester Long Journal (50%)
Origins of Institutions and Inequality in Latin
America
Stefania Paredes Fuentes∗
[email protected] Department of Economics
University of Warwick
February 2016
Abstract
Colonial institutions are considered to be an important determi-
nant of post-colonial development with many scholars concluding that
former British colonies inherited better institutions. This paper pro-
vides an empirical analysis of the origins of Latin American institutions
and shows that colonial features have only indirect effects on institu-
tions through their effects on economic and political redistribution. It
also explains the role of British intervention in the region. After in-
dependence, Britain exerted an important economic influence in Latin
America which contributed significantly to the consolidation of the
economic and political institutions in the region. Another aspect of
the region that affect the institutions is the economic dependence on
natural resources which has a negative effect on institutions. Peru,
Bolivia, Uruguay and Costa Rica are used as examples to explain how
colonial inheritance, natural resources, inequality, institutions interact
in the Latin American context. (JEL F54, O17, O54, P48)
∗Author details: [email protected]; +44(0) 2476150045, Social Sciences
Building S2.121
1
1 Introduction
From the 16th to the mid-20th century, several European powers established
colonies in Asia, Africa and America. Europeans settled and took control
of these territories. The impact of colonisation is considered to be immense
and pervasive. Colonial practices spur the spread of colonial languages,
religion, culture and territorial boundaries and scholars have proposed sev-
eral theories on the colonial origins of institutions in developing countries.
This literature is based on two hypotheses. One is that a series of colonial
aspects shaped the character of those institutions created after the indepen-
dence (i.e. early institutions). The second one is that current institutions
strongly reflect early ones due to institutional persistence (Section 2 reviews
this literature).
Most of these empirical studies use large samples composed by all former
colonies (for which data is available). While this is helpful to maximise the
number of observations in cross-country regressions, it neglects some basic
differences among regions. The discovery and exploration of the Americas
was mainly an Iberian (Spanish and Portughese) project. However, after the
Napoleonic wars and the raise of Britain as coloniser power, Iberian crowns
lost their colonies. Most of the colonised territories in Latin America de-
clared their independence in the 1820s. This is over a century earlier than
the decolonisation process of British and French colonies in other regions in
the 1960s. So, even if the colonial past may have shaped the region’s early
institutions, the greater passage of time has given greater scope for institu-
tional change meaning that current institutions may not just reflect the ones
created at the time of independence as hypothesised by previous literature
(second hypothesis), but other factors and post-colonial events may have
also played a role in influencing the character of current institutions.
The empirical analysis in Section 3 shows that Latin American institutions
are the outcome of a more complex interaction between colonial history, in-
herited colonial inequality and post-colonial events. These interactions help
to explain the current poor institutional setting and high levels of inequality
in the region.
2
This work proceeds by testing the most popular theories of colonial origins
of institutions based on four colonial aspects: coloniser identity, size of Euro-
pean settlements, organisation of pre-colonial populations, and colonial re-
source endowment. Many scholars have suggested that British did better, i.e.
British former colonies inherited better institutions than non-British ones.
However, these scholars do not elucidate the specific mechanisms through
which British colonial rule exerts a positive effect. This work investigates
these mechanisms. Although Latin American countries were mainly Iberian
colonies, Britain did show interest in Latin America and, after independence,
it exerted a sort of indirect colonial rule through foreign investments and
trade with the region. This intervention has two effects on institutions. One
negative direct effect derives from the problems of economic management
and rent seeking opportunities created by the inflow of British capital. A
second positive indirect effect goes through redistribution. In those areas
where British capital was invested in productive activities, this may have
contributed to the development of a middle class (through creation of job
opportunities) improving thus redistribution and the quality of institutions.
The net effect of British intervention in Latin America depends on which of
these effects prevailed.
Finally, Latin American institutions cannot be explained without consider-
ing the role of natural resources. The colonisation of Latin America was
driven by the discovery of silver and gold. The results show that resource-
rich areas during colonial times inherited higher levels of inequality and
therefore worse institutions. Moreover, after independence, countries with
larger resource endowments attracted British investments increasing the
rent-seeking opportunities and increasing the negative direct effect of British
intervention on institutions. There is no evidence that European settlements
and native population have any impact on current institutions (as hypothe-
sised by previous literature) but British intervention and natural resources
seem to play role.
The results also shed light on the role of natural resource endowments.
Resource-rich colonial territories inherited higher levels of inequality and
therefore worse institutions. After the independence, British investments in
countries with a highly skewed distribution of resources increase the rent-
3
seeking opportunities for the ruling elite; in these countries a negative direct
effect of British intervention on institutions prevails. In countries with lit-
tle/no colonial resources, British investments provided the needed resources
for economic development but without a strong dominant political and eco-
nomic elite, these investments seem to have benefited a larger share of the
population.
Finally, most Latin American economies were resource dependent even after
the independence. Post-colonial oil and gas discoveries have a negative direct
impact on institutions.
Section 4 presents some historical evidence for four Latin American countries
that supports the empirical findings. The good performance of Costa Rica
and Uruguay – backwater territories during the colonial period due to the
lack of attractive natural resources –contrast to the poor institutions and
high levels of inequality of Peru and Bolivia, both mineral based economies
before and after independence. Section 5 summarises and concludes.
2 On the Origins of Institutions
Colonialism is perhaps the single most salient historical event of the modern
era and as such, it has influenced several studies investigating the origins
of institutions in the developing world. The most common colonial aspects
considered to affect institutions of former colonies are: the identity of the
coloniser power, size of European settlements, native population, and min-
eral and agricultural resources.
Most of the studies looking at how the identity of the coloniser power (e.g.
Spanish, French, British) affects institutions in colonised territories con-
clude that British did better. For instance, La Porta et al. (1998, 1999)
argue that former British colonies have better institutions due to the inheri-
tance of common law legal systems that are linked to protection of property
rights1. The supremacy of British legacy has also been related to tax pol-
1This is because common law developed in England as a defence of Parliament and property owners against the attempts by the sovereign to regulate and expropriate them;
4
icy (Thirsk, 1997), labour market regulation (Stotsky and WoldeMariam,
1997; Botero et al., 2004), contract enforcement (Djankov et al., 2003), in-
vestments on education and school enrolment (Grier, 1999; Bertocchi and
Canova, 2002).
In their seminal contribution, Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson (2001) ar-
gue that European colonisers created good institutions in those territories
where they settled down. Good institutions are defined as those ones that
protect property rights from possible government expropriation and are op-
posed to extractive institutions which are considered bad for development
because they did not provide protection for private property and checks and
balances against government expropriation. The aim of extractive institu-
tions was to transfer as much of the colony’s resources to the coloniser crown
and were created in territories where Europeans did not find favourable
conditions to settle due to adverse climatic conditions. Therefore, large Eu-
ropean settlements are related to good institutions (similar conclusion in
Easterly and Levine (2012)) .
An implicit assumption in Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson’s works, is that
all European colonisers had the same institutions. Mahoney (2010) argues
that this is not the case and identifies two type of European colonisers: mer-
cantilist (e.g. Spanish, Portuguese and French) and liberals (e.g. British).
While during the colonial period, European institutions were mostly based
on mercantilist principles, this was also the period when liberalism started
as major doctrine and intellectual endeavour in Europe and some countries
approached this doctrine earlier than others, Britain being the first. These
differences may have impacted the type of institutions that colonisers set in
their colonies. According to Mahoney, mercantilists settled and implanted
their institutions in territories with large populations due to the labour ex-
ploitation opportunities. Mercantilist institutions were bad for economic
development while liberal ones promoted the creation of good institutions.
This is because liberal colonisers preferred less complex societies where they
sought possibilities for capitalist accumulation. The organisation of pre-
colonial societies has thus also been considered relevant to understand the
civil law developed more as an instrument used by the sovereign for State building and controlling economic life.
5
type of institutions created in a territory (Acemoglu et al., 2002; Baker
et al., 2008; Mahoney, 2010). Larger pre-colonial populations required a
more complex organisation and are related to worse institutions than those
created in scarcely populated areas.
Finally, the exploration and further colonisation of Latin America was driven
by the search of mineral wealth and other commodities. The search of gold
and silver carried the Spaniards far and wide across the Americas, contribut-
ing much to the amazing rapidity to which they explored and settled the
continent: on the promise of gold Spaniards settled the Caribbean; finding
little in the islands, they moved to the Isthmus, then to New Spain (Mex-
ico), then to Peru. The presence of mineral resources was in fact the key
determinant of the level of colonisation, at least in a first phase with Mexico,
Peru and Bolivia (where large deposits of silver were found) as key centres
of the colonial power. Following the increased demand of tropical crops in
Europe, agriculture plantation for export became very profitable. In fact,
it was in the context of plantation agriculture and sugar that the Brazilian
colonial society was formed and sugar production emerges in the Caribbean
as an alternative to the rapidly depleted mining industry.
Different natural resources (mining or plantation agriculture) required dif-
ferent ways of organisation and this is reflected in the labour organisation
and land distribution. Mineral resources were generally found in areas with
large native populations (such as Aztecs in Mexico and Incas in Peru), but
in less populated areas American natives were transferred under different
systems (as in Potosi-Bolivia). The discovery of gold or silver in a territory
translated into several direct state interventions in favour of the mining sec-
tor. Due to the initial high investments required in tropical plantations
Crops such as sugar, coffee and cocoa are most efficiently produced on large
estates2 and require a high initial investment and these productions were
mainly supported by the import of African slaves.
Institutions put in place by colonisers in rich-endowed territories aimed to
systematically extract the surplus from the (human and natural) resources
2Scale-neutral food crops such as wheat, rice and maize are historically produced on modest size plots (Kawagoe et al., 1985)
6
to enrich the coloniser power and prevented the labour force from partaking
the benefits and possibilities from the economic wealth they produced (En-
german and Sokoloff, 1997, 2002). The wealth allocation that arises from the
exploitation of these resources facilitates the creation of different endowed
and motivated groups that could steer the mode of accumulation within
the society as a whole. Landowning elites developed coercive labour mar-
ket institutions such as serfdom, slavery, or permanent debt peonage (Do-
mar, 1970), while trade restrictions and monopolistic structures favoured
the creation of a wealthy elite of merchants. These merchants were often
tied through investments to landowners and together they trapped capital,
stifled investment and entrepreneurial activity, and thus blocked develop-
ment.
Independently of which colonial factor is found relevant for explaining insti-
tutions, there are two implicit assumptions in these theories. The first is that
distinctive colonial features shaped early institutions i.e. the institutions put
in place after the independence of these territories. The second (more or less
implicit) assumption is that current institutions still reflect early ones. This
is the due to a specific characteristic of institutions: their persistence over
time. Institutions tend to change slowly in response to social, political and
economic individuals’ behaviours and interactions.
Figures 1 to 4 show the relationship between the colonial features and two
measures of early institutions in Latin America (democracy and political
constraints - definitions in Appendix). Given the conclusion that British
did better, Figure 1 compares institutions at the time of independence in
British and non-British colonies and shows that, in average, British former
colonies have better institutions than non-British ones.
Figure 2 shows the relationship between the two measures of institutions
and the size of European settlements in 1800. Unlike Acemoglu, Johnson
and Robinson argue, the relationship between European settlements and
institutions seem to be negative. A large number of European settlers is not
enough to secure good institutions in a colonised territory and other factors
may affect the creation of these institutions.
7
Figure 1: Coloniser Identity
Figure 2: European Settlements
(a) Index of Democracy (b) Political Constraints
Figure 3 shows the relationship between the pre-colonial population density
(in 1500) and early institutions. Unlike argued by Mahoney, we can observe
that there is a (weak) positive correlation between institutions and native
populations.
Figure 4 shows that in average, those Latin American and Caribbean coun-
tries that did not exploit mineral resources during the colonial times had
better early institutions. and that those areas with more suitable lands for
the production of sugar are correlated with worse early institutions.
8
Figure 3: Pre-colonial populations
(a) Index of Democracy (b) Political Constraints
Figure 4: Colonial Natural Resources
(a) Minerals (b) Sugar crops
9
Figure 5: Current vs Early Institutions in Latin America
(a) Index of Democracy (b) Political Constraints
Finally, Figure 5 plots the correlation between early and current Latin Amer-
ican institutions. We can observe that there is a weak correlation between
early (at the time of independence) and current institutions in this region.
This result should not surprise much: as shown in Table 1, most Latin
American countries obtained independence in the first half of the 19th cen-
tury. This is over a century earlier than the majority of the colonised world
which acquired independence only during the decolonisation process that
took place in the second half of the 20th century. The greater passage of
time in Latin America has given, in effect, greater scope for institutional
change, and although important, colonial factors cannot be considered as
the only factors that shaped institutions. Post-colonial events may have
also played a role in influencing the character of current institutions.
10
Table 1: Independence of Latin America and the Caribbean
Period of Independence
Independence Early Late Overseas territories from ( before1830) (after 1960) (no independent)
Spain/ Argentina Portugal Bolivia
Brazil Chile
Colombia Costa Rica
Cubaa
Dominican Rep. Ecuador
El Salvador Guatemala Honduras Mexico
Nicaragua Panama
Paraguay Peru
Puerto Rico Uruguay
Venezuela
France Haiti French Guiana Guadeloupe Martinique St. Martin
St. Barthlemy
Netherlands Netherlands Antillesb Bonaire Aruba Sint Eustatius
Curacao Saba Sint Maarten
Suriname
Britain Antigua & Barbuda Anguilla Bahamas British Virgin Islands Barbados Cayman Islands
Belize Monserrat Dominica Turks and Caicos Is. Grenada Guyana Jamaica
St. Kitts and Nevis St. Vincent and the Gren.
Trinidad and Tobago
Notes: a. Cuba obtained its independence in 1902 b. Netherlands Antilles dissolved in 2010. After dissolution, Bonaire, Sint Eustatius
and Saba became special municipalities of the Netherlands, while Curacao and
Sint Maarten became constituent countries within the Kingdom of the Netherlands,
along the lines of Aruba, which separated from the Netherlands Antilles in 1986.
11
2.1 Post-colonial Latin America: British Intervention
As previously explained, there is a large consensus that British did better;
that is, former British colonies inherited better institutions compared to
non-British ones3. Few considerations have to be done for the Latin Amer-
ican case. First, British were late-comers in the process of colonisation of
American territories that were discovered, explored and colonised by Iberian
crowns since late-15th century. This means that, unlike argued by Mahoney,
British colonisers could not choose which territories to colonise, but they
were left with the remnants of the Iberian ones. Second, Table 1 shows that
most of the former British colonies acquired their independence much later
compared to Iberian colonies which makes difficult to establish whether the
positive effect of being a British colony is the result of a late independence
rather than being a former British colony. In fact, another question that has
arisen when attempting to assess the impact of colonial rule is whether a
longer period of colonial rule was better or worse for economic development;
nonetheless, for Latin America, it is difficult to disentangle the relationship
between Britain colonies and late independence.
Furthermore, the British intervention in the region, did not stop at the colo-
nial period. A broad literature in economic history explains how British
intervention in the post-independence period played an key role in the
economies of newly independent countries. After the independence, Latin
American countries were freed from the obligation to sell their primary prod-
ucts through Iberian outlets which favoured an increase of trade with other
European powers. The 1870s and 1880s saw a sharp increase in trade be-
tween Britain and Latin America, as the region became fully incorporated
into the Atlantic economy (Platt, 1972).
Moreover, in the late 19th century, the centre of dynamism within the British
economy moved from the manufacturing areas towards the commercial and
financial interests, Latin American governments tapped the London bond
markets and the flow of portfolio capital was followed by direct foreign in-
3This is also the implicit assumption in Mahoney’s argument: given the more liberal background of the British system, they established institutions that promoted a more capitalist accumulation that is linked to higher development.
12
vestment (Victor Bulmer-Thomas, 1998). First, Latin American economies
approached the international capital markets in order to finance indepen-
dence wars and finance public debt. Following the high political instability
during the post-independence period a wave of defaults ensued, with all
bond issues in default by 1827 (Rippy, 1959). Most countries remained in
default for decades, and new flows of capital started to circulate only during
1850s4. The macroeconomic and financial crisis produced a second wave
of defaults that spread over the region in the 1870s. With the recovery of
trade in the 1880s a new and bigger borrowing boom began. Capital inflows
were mostly concentrated in favour of those countries with new booming
trade sectors (della Paolera and Taylor, 2012). This once again ended with
an economic crisis in 1890s (which affected mainly the greater economies of
Brazil and Argentina).
Therefore, the British impact in Latin America went through two channels.
First, Britain was one of the main destiny markets of Latin American goods
in the nineteenth century. Second, the massive growth in British investment
which occurred after the independence wars totally redefined the nature of
Britain’s relations with Latin America. On the eve of World War I, British
investments in Argentina were the second largest group of investments made
by British investors in a foreign country (US being the largest).
2.2 Other Factors that May Affect Institutions: Natural Re-
sources and Inequality
There is of course more than colonial history. With almost two centuries
since the region’s independence, we need to consider other factors that may
have shaped Latin American institutions. This paper will analyse two (per-
haps the most common) distinctive features of Latin America: natural re-
sources and levels of inequality.
Resource wealth has played a key role in the participation of Latin American
economies on the international market before and after the colonisation.
4First, Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Chile accessed to new loans, followed by Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Bolivia, Peru.
13
In fact, Engerman and Sokoloff (1997, 2002) link colonial resource wealth
to poor initial institutions, but Latin America still possesses large natural
resource endowments and the export sector in many of the economies in the
region is concentrated on natural resources. In the past decade, commodities
accounted for 52 percent of the region’s exports according to the World
Bank. This is down from 86% in the 1970s, but over the same period
the figure in East Asia and the Pacific fell from 94 to 30% (Sinnot et al.,
2010).
A number of scholars argue that the exploitation and management of natural
resources have negative effects on the institutions of the producer countries.
These rents tend to be large, volatile, geographically concentrated, and con-
trolled by the government. Together these features have important conse-
quences on basic functions of the government. For instance, rentier effects
are associated with a high proportion of government revenue originating
from resource rents. The consequent fiscal volatility may create an unfor-
tunate political dynamic that ratchets up expenditures in booms to levels
that cannot be efficiently absorbed or sustained over time, with a stop-go
pattern of public expenditure that reduces the quality of public investment
and services and thus limits growth potential. In addition, much of a gov-
ernment’s fiscal strength comes from its capacity to extract taxes from the
population, a capacity that often takes decades to develop. A government
that fails to develop this ability may also be unable to establish the type
of bureaucracy that can provide effective public goods, and ameliorate so-
cial conflicts (Mahdavy, 1970; Beblawi, 1987; Ross, 2003; Fearon and Laitin,
2003).
Some scholars offer a more nuanced view of the role of natural resources on
political regimes. Perhaps, the best attempt to address the possibility of
conditional effects of resources on political regimes (rather than just con-
sidering one direct negative effect) is offered by Dunning (2008) who claims
that natural resources may have both democratic and authoritarian effects
and the key task is to understand variables or structural factors that tend
to privilege one of these effects. The conflict over the redistribution of the
resource rents does foster authoritarian desires, but this is only one way
how resources may affect the political regime. In societies with substantial
14
inequality of assets (different from natural resources), a resource boom may
help to mitigate the negative impact of inequality and therefore strengthens
democracy.
There are also indirect effects on institutions through redistribution. A
windfall of resource rents can generate conflicts over redistribution which
may provide incentives for politicians and/or ruling elites to suppress democ-
racy in order to take possession of these rents. This will thus affect the foun-
dations of political regimes in favour of more authoritarian ones (Sachs and
Warner, 1995; Ross, 2001; Boix, 2003; Jensen and Wantchekon, 2004).
In fact, inequality is another feature of these region’s economies. Despite the
decrease in inequality levels since 2000, the region is still the most unequal
in the world. The richest one-tenth of the population in Latin America
earns 50% of total income, while the poorest tenth earns only 2.5 percent.
Using the Gini index, the inequality in the region measures 50 percent in
the period 2000-09, this is higher than the rest of developed and developing
areas of the world (World Bank, 2011).
There is a large consensus in literature on the relationship between inequal-
ity and institutions: countries with poor institutions tend to have large levels
of inequality. Hoff and Stiglitz (2004) suggest that an equal distribution of
income is a more fertile ground for good institutions; while Easterly (2001)
and Keefer and Knack (2002) empirically show that social polarisation neg-
atively affects institutional quality. Lipset (1959); Rubinson and Quinlan
(1977); Muller (1988) and Boix (2003) argues that wealth distribution has
a positive role on the democratisation of a country.
In particular, Boix shows that, in societies with high levels of asset specificity
(e.g. with big landowners), the demand for redistribution increases and the
potential level of transfers becomes larger (which would make the elites worse
off), this fosters the authoritarian inclinations of the wealthy and decreases
thus the probability of democratisation. Therefore, if the political power is
in the hands of few, the small wealthy elite refuses the implementation of
any change that redistributes economic power. Moreover, high inequality
will also affect the survival of democracy. Democracies tend to survive
only if the regime contributes to narrow the gap between rich and poor
15
(Friedman, 2002); in fact, the greater challenge for unequal countries is to
sustain democracy once it is established (Houle, 2009).
While it is plausible that inequality plays a part in blocking the adoption
of good institutions, the reverse holds as well, so that poor institutional
quality results in higher degree of inequality. The analysis in this paper will
suggest in fact that inequality and poor institutional quality may reinforce
each other, indicating double feedback between the two.
Institutions, inequality and natural resources are all considered to influence
economic development. However, none of these features on their own can
explain the problems of Latin America. The social structures, the distri-
bution of power and wealth, the role and strength of its elites, and the
complex, often painful process of state-building, in combination with the
legacy of colonial times and the economic and political difficulties that the
newly independent states have in positioning themselves on the world stage,
have all been decisive factors and all have something to do with the suc-
cesses and failures of Latin American economies. Understanding how these
variables interact may benefit the explanation on how institutions evolve in
Latin America and the rest of the paper aims to contribute towards this
explanation.
3 Empirical Analysis
This section offers an empirical analysis of how colonial features, post-
colonial British intervention features along with inequality levels and re-
source endowments interact and affect the creation and further development
of institutions in Latin America. Institutions and inequality are considered
to be simultaneously determined; we can expect that those countries with
better institutions would also have lower levels of inequality, and that at the
same time a better distribution of resources will be translated into better
division of power and therefore better political institutions.
16
3.1 Data
Data definitions and sources are provided in the appendix. The depen-
dent variables are institutions and distribution of resources. Institutions is
measured using variables for Democracy, Autocracy and Constraints on the
Executive Power from the Polity IV Project. Distribution is measured by
the percentage of family farms from Vanhanen (2003) defined as the area of
family farms as a percentage of the total area of holdings – a family farm em-
ploys no more than four people and the family owns and cultivates the land.
More family farms thus represent a better distribution of these resources and
therefore higher values of this variable are related to lower inequality5.
Four variables capture the colonial inheritance of these countries. First, fol-
lowing the work of Acemoglu et al. (2001), European settlements is measured
by the percentage of Europeans in colonised territories in 18006. Second,
there is a measure of the population density in 1500 as a proxy of pre-colonial
native population. Finally, two variables are used to analyse the effect of
colonial resource endowment. One captures those countries endowed with
gold and silver mines by using a dummy variable that assumes the value of
1 if the country’s main economic activity at the time of the colonial period
was based on the exploitation of either gold or silver and 0 otherwise. The
second variable considers those countries that were specialised in the pro-
duction of cash-crops. For this purpose a measure of the land suitability for
the production of sugar is used7 (from the FAO database).
The impact of British intervention in Latin America after the independence
is measured by the level of trade of these countries with Britain, and the
5Several measures of inequality have been proposed, however the share of family farms is the only measure of inequality that is consistently available through time for a large sample of the countries considered and in the period analysed. Moreover, given the key role that land distribution have had since colonial times in Latin America, this is the most adequate measure to study how inequality affects institutions in the region.
6Acemoglu, Johnson and Robinson (2001) consider European settlements in 1900, how- ever Latin American countries acquired independence in 1820s which makes European settlements in 1800 a better measure for this region.
7sugar was one of the main cash-crops of interest for European markets and the pro- duction of sugar dictates the distribution of land and labour organisation in most of the producer territories.
17
British investments at the beginning of the century (Paish, 1909). Trade
with Britain is given by the average exports of Latin American economies to
Britain weighted for the total exports for the period 1898-1906. This variable
is constructed using data from the Annual Statement of Trade of the United
Kingdom with Foreign Countries and British Possessions for various years
(Statistical Office, 1906). British investments in Latin America considers
the average of these investments in the period 1905-1911 (data from Paish
(1909)).
Several variables have been used in literature to measure natural resources
and in particular to investigate whether resource-rich countries are actually
cursed. Based on the work of Sachs and Warner (1995) commonly used
variables are the ratio of resource exports to GDP and the ratio of resource
exports to total exports. Brunnschweiler and Bulte (2008); Ross (2006) and
Dunning (2008) argue that these variables measure dependence rather than
abundance therefore they are not independent of economic policies and in-
stitutions (i.e. they are endogenous) and prefer a measure of oil rents per
capita (based on the work of Hamilton and Clemens (1999)). This measure
provides an estimate of the value of a wide range of natural resources, net
of production costs and a return to capital, giving an approximation of the
size of the rents available for public spending. Although this variable pro-
vides a better measure of resource abundance, it is not without problems.
Extraction costs are based on estimates for a single observation in 1990s,
and costs for other years are obtained using a GDP deflator, when no data
on extraction costs are available for a country, the extraction costs for a
neighbour country are used (Ross, 2006).
For this analysis I use a measure that captures when a resource is discovered.
This is a binary variable for the discoveries of oil and natural gas. It assumes
the value of 1 if there has been a discovery in the 5-year period considered,
0 otherwise (constructed from the data provided by Lujala et al. (2007) on
oil discoveries on- and off-shore). The advantages of this variable are two-
fold, (i) there is a larger number of observations (across country and time),
and (ii) it is not subject to the common endogeneity issues. In addition,
the effects of natural resources on institutions may start well before these
resources start producing rents. The mere discovery of a mineral resource
18
might be a source of rent-seeking behaviour from the governing elites in
order to guarantee an early appropriation of future rents (e.g. guaranteeing
exploration and extraction rights under the promises of future economic
favours).
3.2 Results
The empirical analysis estimates the following model:
Insti,t = α1 + α2Disti,t + α3BRi + α4Nat Resi,t + α5COLi + �it (1)
Disti,t = β1 + β2Insti,t + β3BRi + β4Nat Resi,t + β5COLi + υit (2)
Equation (1) considers Distribution (Dist) as independent variable for ex-
plaining institutions (Inst) while Equation (2) uses institutions as explana-
tory variable for asset distribution. In addition, both regressions use vari-
ables that capture the post-colonial British influence through trade and in-
vestments (BR), the natural resources (Nat Res) and the different colonial
factors (COL).
Table 2 shows the results for the analysis of the relationship between institu-
tions and inequality. In Panel A, a General Least Squares (GLS) estimation
is used to explain institutions (democracy, autocracy and constraints on the
executive) as function of land redistribution (family farms ). The coefficients
are all statistically significant and with the expected sign. In particular,
higher democracy and constraints on the executive are positively related to
a higher land redistribution, while autocracy has a negative sign. In Panel B
land redistribution is considered as function of institutions. The coefficients
confirm the previous findings. This suggests a bilateral causality between
institutions and inequality.
In order to deal with the endogeneity problems caused by the relation-
ship between inequality and institutions a Hausman-Taylor estimator (a
transformed random effect model with instrument variables) is used. The
Hausman-Taylor estimator deals with endogeneity issues while distinguishes
between time-varying and time-invariant regressors8.
8Another approach could be to consider the lags of the endogenous variables into
19
Table 2: Institutions and Inequality
Panel A - Institutions as dependent variable
Explanatory Contraints on Variable Democracy Autocracy the Executive
Family Farms .683*** -.598*** .805*** (.131) (.123) (.121)
constant .190*** .401*** .249*** (.026) (.025) (.026)
n 20 20 20 T 20 20 20
Wald χ2 27.34*** 23.79*** 43.88***
Panel B - Family Farms as dependent variable
Explanatory Variables (a) (b) (c)
Democracy .098*** (.011)
Autocracy -.086*** (.014)
Contraints on .110*** the Executive (.012)
constant .138*** .200*** .126*** (.005) (.006) (.006)
n 20 20 20 T 20 20 20
Wald χ2 73.53*** 36.74*** .87.16***
notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses ***, **; significance at 1 and 5% respectively
20
Table 3 shows the results of the Hausman-Taylor estimator for regression
(1) in which institutions is the dependent variable. In all the specifications,
family farms is statistically significant and has a positive sign. That is,
a better distribution of land has a positive effect on institutions. The oil
and gas discoveries variable has a statistically significant negative effect on
institutions which provides support to the literature on ’resource curse’ i.e.
the exploitation of natural resources in Latin America harms development
(through their effect on institutions).
The coefficient for trade with Britain is positive and statistically significant.
This suggests that those countries with more commercial tights with Britain
have better institutions. However, the coefficient for British investments is
negative. While these results may seem contradictory, we can expect that
trade brings wealth to the economy through the support of productive activ-
ities that promote job creation and improve living standards for workers. On
the other hand, British capital could be intercepted by political elites and
used to support their economic dominance. In addition, none of the colonial
factors seem to have a statistically significant effect on institutions. This
result rejects most of the common theories of colonial origins of institutions
for Latin America.
Finally, institutions are themselves endogenous and tend to improve with in-
come, so that richer countries tend to have/afford better institutions. There-
fore, columns (c), (c’) and (c”) of Table 3 include a variable for the initial
level of GDP. This is statistically significant and with the expected sign,
suggesting that there is statistical evidence that richer countries can afford
better institutions. However, the signs and significance of the other variables
remain unchanged so the main conclusions still hold.
Equations (1) and (2). Nonetheless, the validity of the lag variables as instruments is questionable due to the high persistence of these institutions and inequality. In partic- ular, we need to assume that E[�it|Ineqis] = 0 and E[υit|Instis] = 0 for all t > s (but not otherwise) in order for second- and higher-order lags of the endogenous variables to be good instruments in the estimation of our model. Nonetheless, if our endogenous vari- ables display persistence over time, their lagged levels will be poor instruments. A second approach could be to find strictly exogenous instruments. Our colonial variables could be considered as good instruments because they are not subject to reverse causality, nonethe- less, they suffer from the drawback that they do not vary over time, so these cannot be used in a panel framework.
21
T a b
le 3 : H a u s m a n -T
a y l o r E s t im
a t o r f o r In
s t it u t io n s
D e p
e n
d e n t
V a ri
a b
le s:
In st
it u
ti o n
s E
x p
la n
a to
ry D
e m
o c ra
c y
A u
to c ra
c y
C o n
st ra
in ts
o n
th e
E x e c .
V a ri
a b
le s
(a )
(b )
(c )
(a ’)
(b ’)
(c ’)
(a ” )
(b ” )
(c ” )
T im
e v a r ia n t E n d o g e n o u s
F a m
il y
1 .3
2 * * *
1 .3
1 * * *
.4 8 3 * *
-. 7 5 0 * * *
-. 7 4 5 * * *
-. 3 3 3 *
1 .3
5 * * *
1 .3
4 * * *
.8 4 9 * * *
F a rm
s (.
1 6 4 )
(. 1 6 5 )
(. 2 2 1 )
(. 1 6 5 )
(. 1 6 6 )
(. 2 3 0 )
(. 1 6 8 )
(. 1 6 8 )
(. 2 3 9 )
(i n
it ia
l) G
D P
.0 7 0 * * *
-. 0 4 5 * * *
.0 4 9 * * *
p e r
c a p
it a
(. 0 1 1 )
(. 0 1 2 )
(. 0 1 2 )
T im
e v a r ia n t E x o g e n o u s
O il
a n
d g a s
-. 0 8 7 * *
-. 0 8 9 * *
-. 0 5 1 *
.0 9 9 * *
.0 9 9 * *
.0 9 1 * *
-. 0 8 5 * *
-. 0 8 7 * *
-. 0 6 9 *
d is
c o v e ri
e s
(. 0 4 3 )
(. 0 4 3 )
(. 0 4 4 )
(. 0 4 2 )
(. 0 4 3 )
(. 0 4 5 )
(. 0 4 3 )
(. 0 4 4 )
(. 0 4 7 )
T im
e in v a r ia n t E x o g e n o u s
(l o g )
T ra
d e
w it
h .0
4 0 * *
.0 4 0 * *
.0 5 1 * *
-. 0 3 2 * *
-. 0 3 2 * *
-. 0 4 6 * * *
.0 2 2
.0 2 5
.0 3 6 *
B ri
ta in
la te
1 9 th
(. 0 2 0 )
(. 0 2 0 )
(. 0 2 3 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 7 )
(. 0 1 8 )
(. 0 1 7 )
(. 0 2 1 )
(l o g )
B ri
ti sh
In v e st
. -.
1 1 0 * * *
-. 1 0 7 * * *
-. 0 7 0 * *
.0 5 9 * * *
.0 5 9 * * *
.0 3 5 *
-. 0 9 7 * * *
-. 0 9 5 * * *
-. 0 6 9 * *
e a rl
y 2 0 th
(. 2 8 2 )
(. 0 2 8 )
(. 0 3 2 )
(. 0 1 9 )
(. 0 1 9 )
(. 0 2 3 )
(. 0 2 6 )
(. 0 2 4 )
(. 0 2 9 )
M in
e ra
l .0
1 1
.0 2 1
-. 0 8 9
-. 0 4 5
-. 0 4 6
-. 0 0 6
.0 5 5
.0 3 6
.0 0 4
c o lo
n ia
l c e n tr
e (.
0 7 6 )
(. 0 7 9 )
(. 0 8 6 )
(. 0 5 2 )
(. 0 5 6 )
(. 0 6 4 )
(. 0 6 9 )
(. 0 6 8 )
(. 0 7 8 )
S u
g a r
.1 0 3 * *
.1 0 7 * *
.1 0 8 * *
-. 0 4 9
-. 0 4 9
-. 0 5 3
.0 3 7
.0 6 5
.0 5 1
su it
a b
il it
y (.
0 4 4 )
(. 0 4 8 )
(. 0 4 9 )
(. 0 3 0 )
(. 0 3 4 )
(. 0 3 6 )
(. 0 4 0 )
(. 0 4 1 )
(. 0 4 4 )
E a rl
y E
u ro
p e a n
-. 3 5 5
.0 1 0
-. 7 9 0 *
se tt
le m
e n ts
(. 5 3 2 )
(. 3 7 4 )
(. 4 5 6 )
n a ti
v e
p o p
u la
ti o n
-. 0 2 6
.0 0 2
-. 0 0 1
(. 0 3 5 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 3 0 )
c o n
st a n t
.0 4 0
.0 0 2
-. 0 4 7
.5 3 1 * * *
.5 2 8 * * *
.5 4 8 * * *
.0 5 8
.2 3 0 *
.0 4 6
(. 0 8 9 )
(. 1 5 1 )
(. 1 0 9 )
(. 0 7 3 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 8 6 )
(. 0 9 0 )
(. 1 3 3 )
(. 1 0 2 )
n 3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
T 1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
W a ld χ 2
9 3 .0
8 * * *
9 5 .0
6 * * *
1 2 2 .8
8 * * *
4 7 .9
9 * * *
4 7 .9
2 * * *
6 3 .5
2 * * *
9 3 .0
1 * * *
1 0 2 .0
7 * * *
1 0 0 .2
3 * * *
n o te
s: R
o b
u st
st a n
d a rd
e rr
o rs
in p
a re
n th
e se
s * * * ,
* * ,
* ;
si g n
ifi c a n
c e
a t
1 ,
5 a n
d 1 0
p e rc
e n t
re sp
e c ti
v e ly
22
T a b
le 4 : H a u s m a n -T
a y l o r E s t im
a t o r f o r L a n d -R
e d is t r ib u t io n
E x p
la n
a to
ry D
e p
e n
d e n t
V a ri
a b
le :
F a m
il y
F a rm
s V
a ri
a b
le s
(a )
(b )
(c )
(a ’)
(b ’)
(c ’)
(a ” )
(b ” )
(c ” )
T im
e v a r ia n t E n d o g e n o u s
D e m
o c ra
c y
.1 3 5 * * *
.1 3 4 * * *
.0 3 7 * *
(. 0 1 7 )
(. 0 1 7 )
(. 0 1 7 )
A u
to c ra
c y
-. 0 8 6 * *
-. 0 8 6 * *
-. 0 2 3
(. 0 1 9 )
(. 0 1 9 )
(. 0 1 7 )
C o n
st ra
in ts
o n
th e
. 1 3 3 * * *
.1 3 2 * * *
.0 5 4 * * *
E x e c u
ti v e
(. 0 1 6 )
(. 0 1 6 )
(. 0 1 6 )
(i n
it ia
l) G
D P
.0 2 9 * * *
.0 3 1 * * *
.0 2 8 * * *
p e r
c a p
it a
(. 0 0 3 )
(. 0 0 3 )
(. 0 0 3 )
T im
e v a r ia n t E x o g e n o u s
O il
a n
d g a s
-. 0 2 1
-. 0 2 1
-. 0 1 0
-. 0 2 6 *
-. 0 2 5 *
-. 0 1 0
-. 0 1 9
-. 0 1 8
-. 0 0 8
d is
c o v e ri
e s
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 2 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 1 3 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 2 )
T im
e in v a r ia n t E x o g e n o u s
(l o g )
T ra
d e
w it
h .0
0 4
.0 0 5
.0 1 1
-. 0 0 8
-. 0 0 9
.0 1 2
.0 0 6
.0 0 7
.0 1 0
B ri
ta in
la te
1 9 th
(. 0 0 7 )
(. 0 0 6 )
(. 0 1 1 )
(. 0 0 7 )
(. 0 0 6 )
(. 0 1 1 )
(. 0 0 7 )
(. 0 0 6 )
(. 0 1 1 )
(l o g )
B ri
ti sh
In v e st
. .0
2 1 * *
.0 2 6 *
.0 2 0 * *
.0 1 2
.0 1 1
.0 2 5
.0 1 9 * *
.0 1 8 * *
.0 2 7 *
e a rl
y 2 0 th
(. 0 1 0 )
(. 0 0 9 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 1 0 )
(. 0 0 9 )
(. 0 1 6 )
(. 0 0 9 )
(. 0 0 9 )
(. 0 1 5 )
M in
e ra
l -.
0 3 7
-. 0 5 2 * *
-. 0 7 3
* *
-. 0 4 4 *
-. 0 6 0 * *
-. 0 7 7 *
-. 0 4 3 *
-. 0 5 4 * *
-. 0 7 4 *
c o lo
n ia
l c e n tr
e (.
0 7 6 )
(. 0 2 6 )
(. 0 4 1 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 4 2 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 2 5 )
(. 0 4 0 )
S u
g a r
-. 0 3 7 * *
-. 0 2 7 *
-0 .1
4 -.
0 3 1 * *
-. 0 1 8
-. 0 1 2
-. 0 2 8 * *
-. 0 2 2 * *
-. 0 1 3
su it
a b
il it
y (.
0 1 5 )
(. 0 1 6 )
(. 0 2 4 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 2 4 )
(. 0 1 4 )
(. 0 1 5 )
(. 0 2 3 )
E a rl
y E
u ro
p e a n
-. 1 3 9
-. 2 1 1
-. 0 8 2
se tt
le m
e n ts
(. 1 7 3 )
(. 1 6 7 )
(. 1 7 0 )
n a ti
v e
p o p
u la
ti o n
-. 0 1 7
.0 1 5
.0 1 3
(. 0 1 1 )
(. 0 1 1 )
(. 0 1 1 )
c o n
st a n t
.2 2 4 * * *
.2 5 6 * * *
.1 7 9 * * *
.2 9 0 * * *
.3 3 7 * * *
.1 9 1 * * *
.2 0 6 * * *
.2 5 6 * * *
.1 6 9 * * *
(. 0 3 0 )
(. 0 4 7 )
(. 0 4 8 )
(. 0 3 0 )
(. 0 4 5 )
(. 0 5 0 )
(. 0 2 9 )
(. 0 4 7 )
(. 0 4 7 )
n 3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
3 2 0
3 2 0
2 7 6
T 1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
1 6
W a ld χ 2
8 6 .6
4 * * *
9 2 .1
0 * * *
1 8 5 .9
7 * * *
4 2 .5
7 * * *
4 9 .6
0 * * *
1 8 1 .3
1 * * *
8 9 .0
3 * * *
9 3 .9
7 * * *
1 9 9 .0
1 * * *
n o te
s: R
o b
u st
st a n
d a rd
e rr
o rs
in p
a re
n th
e se
s * * * ,
* * ,
* ;
si g n
ifi c a n
c e
a t
1 ,
5 a n
d 1 0
p e rc
e n t
re sp
e c ti
v e ly
23
The results for redistribution (Equation 2) are shown in Table 4. Institutions
help to explain redistribution: countries with higher levels of democracy and
constraint on the executive and lowers level of autocracy have more family
farms i.e. a more equal distribution of land. The discovery of oil has a
statistically significant effect only if we consider autocracy as institutional
variable (regressions (a’), (b’), and (c’)). A possible explanation is that the
resource shock affects redistribution only under autocratic regimes. Under
more democratic rulers, the effects of a resource on inequality is not signifi-
cant.
The coefficient of Trade with Britain is not statistically significant, but
British investments have a positive and statistically significant effect. When
democracy or constraints on the executive are used as institutional variables,
British investments increase the percentage of family farms (i.e. inequality
decreases) showing a positive indirect effect of British investments on insti-
tutions through inequality. This contrasts with the direct negative effect on
institutions observed in Table 3 and the net effect of British investments on
institutions will depend on which of these two effects prevails.
While colonial factors seem not to matter for institutions, colonial resource
endowments have affected redistribution. Colonial mineral centres and plan-
tation based countries have less family farms (i.e. higher land inequality)
than those territories with no resources. This result supports Engerman
and Sokoloff’s hypothesis that colonial past matters for initial inequality.
These results hold when controlling for colonial European settlements and
native populations (columns (b), (b’) and (b”)) which are not statistically
significant.
Two are the main contributions of this analysis. One is that, given the
early independence of most Latin American countries, institutions are not
just a colonial outcome. Second, The effect of British intervention after
independence goes through different channels. While trade with Britain has
a positive direct effect on institutions, the direct effect of British investments
is negative. This may be explained by the political instability caused by the
series of defaults that followed the entry of these capitals in Latin American
financial markets. These investments have nonetheless an indirect positive
24
effect through redistribution.
To understand which effect dominates we may need to look at the country’s
individual characteristics. It is likely that in those countries that invested
these capitals in more efficient projects saw an increase of their employ-
ment opportunities which in turn reduces inequality. However, in strongly
autocratic regimes, this indirect effect may be reduced to a minimum. Ac-
cording to Miller (1993), external loans and direct investments in Latin
America contributed to put off taxation reforms and undermined local po-
litical institutions as more politicians became beholden to their links with
the British companies. This affected the adoption of redistribution policies,
and therefore the negative direct effect of British investments on institutions
dominated.
To better understand how the different variables analysed interact and to es-
tablish how post-colonial British intervention may have affected these coun-
tries, the next section offers some historical narratives for four Latin Amer-
ican countries. The experiences of Costa Rica and Uruguay which are con-
sidered consolidated democracies in the region, will be contrasted with the
realities of Peru and Bolivia which history is marked by political instability
with continuous break-downs of democracy.
4 Historical Evidence: Some Case Studies
Costa Rica and Uruguay good development experiences contrast with the
poor economic, social and political scenarios observed in Bolivia and Peru.
The history of these four countries helps to illustrate the specific mechanisms
through which the variables considered in the empirical analysis work and
how their interactions affected these countries’ institutions.
4.1 Costa Rica
Costa Rica is one of the most stable, prosperous, and progressive nations
in Latin America. Nonetheless, it was a poor, isolated, backwater territory
25
during colonial experience. Costa Rica had no gold or silver and few op-
portunities to promote sugar plantations which made this territory of little
attraction to colonial settlement (Monge Alfaro, 1974; Quirós Vargas, 1990).
According to Quirós Vargas (1990), one of the factors behind Costa Rica’s
colonial poverty was the lack of a significant indigenous population available
for forced labour. For this reason Costa Rican settlers were forced to work
their own land and this prevented the establishment of large latifundios. So
the lack of natural and human resources has been considered to constitute
the basis for a successful rural democracy in Costa Rica (Thorning, 1945).
At the time of independence, this country had in fact the highest level of
land redistribution compared to the rest of the region (based on data of land
distribution from Vanhanen, 2003).
After its independence in 1821, and with the introduction of coffee, there
were clear attempts to stimulate export agriculture. By late 1830s coffee
exports began to reach important levels and the main destiny was Great
Britain. In fact, British merchants played a key role in financing the coffee
expansion9 (Gudmundson, 1986). This specialisation and export-dependence
on coffee was accompanied by high political instability; the 1860s were
marred by power struggles among the coffee elite. As the Costa Rican
economy moved to monoculture and declining returns10, the coffee-based
peasantry and the growing urban middle-class increasingly protested for a
greater wealth distribution and taxation of the coffee-oligarchy. This cul-
minated in the 1948’s Revolution which is seen as the beginning of the new
process of democratisation in Costa Rica11. Social and economic progress
since 1948 helped the return of the country to stability, and though post-
civil war politics reflected the play of old loyalties and antagonisms, elections
have been free and fair since then.
9As matter of fact, the first bank founded in Costa Rica was the Banco Anglo- Costarricense in 1862.
10The declining returns on coffee production were due to the ageing of the groves, soil exhaustion, and the infrequent use of fertilisers (as explained in Hall [1976] cited in Gudmundson (1986, p. 5)).
11See Gudmundson (1984) for a review of the literature on the Costa Rican revolution and civil war in 1948.
26
4.2 Uruguay
As Costa Rica, the colonial history of Uruguay is also characterised by no
gold, silver, and sugar plantations, making this territory unattractive for
colonisation (especially in early times). In fact, the current Uruguayan ter-
ritories were little inhabited during the colonial times, at least until the es-
tablishment of Colonia del Sacramento by the Portuguese in 1680 (Bértola,
2003). Unlike Costa Rica, Uruguay had a quite unstable transition to inde-
pendence. Uruguay was on the border between the Spanish and Portuguese
empires, and was the subject of several disputes between the two crowns;
this was decisive for the creation, with strong British involvement, of an
independent state in 1828-1830 (Bértola, 2003).
The mid-19th century was characterised by the growth of the Uruguayan
agricultural sector based on the production of meat and livestock production
in general. The main destiny of Uruguayan production was Britain which
attracted British investments in the country (Winn, 1976). Despite episodes
of political unrest and economic stagnation in 1930s for most of the past 180
years, Uruguay has been a model democracy with one of the lowest rates of
income inequality in the region12.
4.3 Bolivia
The history of Bolivia contrasts with the development experiences of Costa
Rica and Uruguay. Bolivia is one of the less developed and more unequal
countries in the region (and in the world). Despite recent improvements in
the Gini index (from 60.1 in 2002 to 56.3 in 2008), the differences in income
still remains: in 2007, the 10% of the population earned 45% of the popu-
lation’s total income, while the poorest earned merely 0.5% (World Bank,
2011). It can hardly be argued that the origins of Bolivian underdevelop-
ment and inequality are found in colonial times. After the discovery of large
silver deposits in Potośı in 1545, Bolivia became a key mining centre and
an important source of revenue for the Spanish Empire and virtually every
12However, Uruguay did not escape the wave of military dictatorships that swept through South America in the 1970s.
27
aspect of Bolivia’s economic, political but also cultural and social develop-
ment responded to the mining monocultures of silver first and then tin. The
labour force was organised around the exploitation of minerals and based
on forced labour (Cunningham and Jacobsen, 2003).
After independence, the white Creole elite, took control of the State, and
although servitude and slavery were abolished, indigenous people were pre-
vented from participating in the political life through the introduction of
the ‘qualified vote’ i.e. only alphabetised people with a minimum income
could vote at the elections and new forms of forced labour were introduced13.
Universal vote was introduced only after the Bolivian National Revolution
of 1952. However, this was of little help for the redistribution of power
which was in the hands of the wealthy elite (Albro, 2005). One of the main
limitations for political inclusion was the skewed distribution of land that
strongly favours small elite groups. The numerous land reforms introduced
after 1952 implemented only temporary and minor changes and had little
effect on wealth distribution (Medina, 2010). In fact, in the 1980s, over 66%
of land was still controlled by 0.22% of landowners with an average of more
than 16,000 hectares per owner (Weisbrot and Sandoval, 2008).
The last decades have been characterised by political instability and a con-
tinuos economic fluctuations arising from the unstable commodity mar-
ket. A succession of militaristic dictators repressed labour-based organisa-
tions and continued the social discrimination of the indigenous populations
(Madrid, 2012). In current times, Bolivia is still a mining country with the
second largest natural gas reserve in South America14. The economy’s re-
liance on mining has reinforced regional tensions and determined political
power in Bolivia (Morales, 2010). Of all the oil and gas significant producers
in the world, Bolivia is perhaps the only country where sub-national gov-
ernments share these resources revenues according to where they happen
to be underground. This creates further divisions and limits redistribution
(Weisbrot and Sandoval, 2008).
13The most common was ponguaje, through which indigenous population had to provide cheap or unpaid labour in exchange for access to subsistence parcels of land (Bueno, 2011)
14Natural gas and oil and other minerals replaced tin in its role on Bolivian economy, after the collapse of the world tin market in 1980s
28
4.4 Peru
Peru was also a mining centre during the colonial period. Peru was in fact
described as the “Spain’s great treasure house in South America” (Pike,
1967). Labour was organised following the needs of the mining sector under
different forms of forced labour creating the same social inequalities be-
tween indigenous and colonisers described in the Bolivian case. Colonisers
monopolised control over land and gradually the land tenure system became
polarised between large haciendas and subsistence-based indigenous commu-
nities (Hunefeldt, 2004). After independence, the elite class that inherited
the power from colonisers aimed to preserve and enhance their privileged
economic status15. The new-independent country experienced severe po-
litical instability lasting until the advent of the guano boom in mid-19th
century16.
The Guano Era in Peru represents a period of economic prosperity. Demand
for guano increased with the industrial revolution in the United Kingdom
first and the increase of demand in the rest of Europe and US afterwards.
Although the revenues of guano were used to accomplish some social projects
such as the end of slavery and the Indian tribute (1854), Peru failed to be-
come a modern state. Much of the guano wealth went into the support of
state bureaucracy and some infrastructure projects that were never com-
pleted (Hunefeldt, 2004). The guano revenues were distributed between
British and Peruvian bondholders who held long-standing claims on the
government. According to Quiroz (1987) two-thirds of the total bond value
was held by only 126 people, mostly land-owners and state bureaucrats. In
addition, guano financial windfalls made it easy to get loans on the inter-
national financial markets which eventually led to a deep financial crisis17.
15At the time of independence and for several decades after, Peru had a racially defined occupational structure. Artisans were black, peasants were Indians, smaller merchants were mestizos, and elites were white (Hunefeldt, 2004).
16Guano is created by seabird droppings deposited for thousands of years and sedi- mented n coastal islands. The benefits of guano as fertilising were known by pre-Columbian societies, by it was Alexander von Humboldt who alerted Europeans to the value of guano.
17The Peruvian debt crisis had his origins in the independence wars. In 1822 and 1824 two loans were contracted in London, and by 1848 the principal and interest had increased Peru’s debts of three times the initial loan. In addition, the government acknowledged
29
The discovery of synthetic fertilisers and the collapse of the guano price in
the international market were devastating to the Peruvian economy. The
discovery of nitrate mines could have replaced the role of guano in Peru-
vian economy, but the conflict between Chile and Peru for the control of
the mines ended in the War of the Pacific where Peru lost its nitrate-rich
provinces (Greenhill and Miller, 1973).
After guano and nitrate, Peru experienced several booms in its primary sec-
tor. Rubber, coffee, sugar cane, cotton, rice and other natural resources
were crucial for Peruvian development. Nonetheless, these resources were
in the hands of a Peru’s oligarchy (estimated as 40 to 200 families) that
retained much influence until late 1960s. In 1980s some attempts to address
the problems of rural communities were made, and although the levels of in-
equality still remain very high, the political participation of the marginalised
communities has increased, fostering a greater redistribution and the new
wave of democracy in the country.
The experiences of these countries contribute to the previous explanation
on how the different variables interact. We can see how the effect of British
indirect rule in the region depends on the levels of inequality and quality
of institutions inherited from the colonial times which in turn depend on
the colonial resource endowment. Due to the lack of gold, silver and sugar
plantations in Costa Rica and Uruguay, these were not considered relevant
for the colonial activities of the European powers, so these countries did
not inherited a strong colonial economic elite. When British investments
arrived into these markets, these went to finance agricultural production
which fosters the development of the peasantry and middle class in these
countries. These investments did have a negative impact on these coun-
tries institutions (shown by a series of revolts in 1948 in Costa Rica and
in 1930s in Uruguay), however, the indirect effect (through the increase in
redistribution) dominate.
internal debt to those citizens who had supplied funds for the patriot armies during the independence wars in order to foster the development of an entrepreneurial middle class. During the guano boom, British bondholders pressured the Peruvian government for re- payment and in 1849 they obtained new bonds to be issued backed by future sales of guano. However, new loans were used to repay old loans and accumulated interest.
30
In Peru and Bolivia, the negative effect on institutions was dominant. Both
these countries inherited a strong colonial elites that controlled the wealth
of this region and occupied main charges in the governments. Labour was
mainly organised under force labour creating huge social inequalities. The
revenues from mining (in Bolivia) and guano (in Peru) were managed by
these elites which also took control over the British capital. The limited
participation of the working class to the political activities makes the indirect
effect of British investments being only marginal.
5 Concluding Remarks
The discovery and colonisation of new territories has been one of the most
salient events in the World history. This has brought several scholars to
argue that colonial past exerted a strong influence on the economic and
political institutions created in former colonies. Two are the hypotheses
of these studies, (i) various colonial aspects affect the creation of early in-
stitutions, (ii) given that institutions tend to be highly persistent, current
institutions still reflect early ones. This paper shows that Latin American
institutions cannot be explained just by their colonial past due to the re-
gion’s early decolonisation process that leaves scope for other factors and
post-colonial events to change the character of these institutions so that cur-
rent institutions do not just reflect early ones. Two additional distinctive
characteristics of the region are considered: inequality and natural resource
dependence.
Latin America is the most unequal region in the world. High levels of in-
equality and poor institutions are correlated and the relationship tends to
be highly persistent due to the feedback mechanisms put in place. As ex-
plained by Boix (2003), in societies with high level of inequality and land-
concentration, the cost of taxation and redistribution becomes high enough
for the elites to prefer an authoritarian regime which in turn will put in
place policies that allow these elites to keep their economic and political
benefits reinforcing the current levels of inequality and asset-concentration.
As matter of fact, we can observe a long-standing political discrimination
31
of indigenous populations in Peru and Bolivia after independence. The au-
thoritarian regimes in these countries delayed the required policies to abolish
forced labour and allowed the political participation of the poorer parts of
the society. However, whereas Boix (2003) explains how inequality and
institutions interact, he fails to explain the impact of the colonial (and non-
colonial) past on current institutions. The understanding of the origins of
institutions and inequality can be used to explain the observed persistence
of the relationship between institutions and inequality.
The analysis of the colonial factors shows that colonial resource endowment
has a negative effect on the redistribution of land in these countries having
thus a negative (indirect) effect on institutions. Latin America territories
with larger European settlements and smaller pre-colonial populations do
not seem to have better institutions as discussed by Acemoglu et al. (2001);
Easterly and Levine (2012) and Acemoglu et al. (2002); Baker et al. (2008);
Mahoney (2010) respectively.
This paper also goes more in depth analysing how coloniser’s identity affects
on institutions. Authors tend to conclude that British did better, but they
fail to elucidate the mechanisms through which British left behind better in-
stitutions in colonised territories. This paper explains the channels through
which British intervention affected institutions. While most Latin American
countries were Iberian colonies, Britain showed a great interest on these ter-
ritories after they acquired independence. Latin American countries become
an important provider of natural resources for the booming British economy
and a potential market for British exports. Moreover with the development
of British financial sector, Latin American governments tapped the London
market.
The results show that while trade with Britain played a positive role in im-
proving institutions, the channels through which investment affected institu-
tions are more complex. There is a negative direct effect on institutions that
can be explained by the political instability created once the governments
in these countries could not make front to British investors and decided to
default creating economic and financial instability. However, in those coun-
tries where these investments were efficiently utilised to finance productive
32
sectors, we can observe a positive indirect effect that goes through the im-
provement in redistribution. Countries with a better initial redistribution of
resources may have used these investments in productive enterprises that,
in the long-run, benefited the economic development and the institutional
setting of these economies (see for instance the improvement of transport
infrastructure in Costa Rica during the coffee era).
In addition, the dependence of some of these economies on natural resources
even after the independence promoted further authoritarianism in order to
gain control over these resources. Discoveries of natural resources have in
fact a negative effect on institutions. Dunning’s claim (2008) that natu-
ral resources may have both authoritarian and democratic effects based on
the redistribution of resources is thus not entirely consistent with the Latin
American experience. There is no evidence that in societies with substantial
inequality of assets (not related to the natural resource sector) a resource
boom helps to mitigate the negative impact of inequality on institutions
through an increase in redistribution policies. On the contrary, there is a
tendency for these resources to promote authoritarian regimes – the pres-
ence of resource rents increases the payoff of controlling power in order to
control the distribution of rents. Even in those countries with a more egal-
itarian wealth redistribution, these resources generated some conflict over
power (see for example the Costa Rican political instability marred by power
struggles among the coffee elite in 1860s).
While the colonial period contributed to the struggles over power control and
redistribution of income and wealth in Latin America, post-independence
discoveries of natural resources provided the elites with further incentives
to maintain authoritarian regimes in order to control the rents generated
by these resources. Future research on what facilitates the redistribution
of power within a country is needed. After independence, the several rev-
olutions and democratisation processes that took place in Latin America
allowed these countries to reach important milestones: in the 1980s-1990s
democracy and universal suffrage became a reality in the region, however
sound political practices have not always kept pace. This may be due to the
persistence of unequal distribution of power in some countries that, even
during periods of transition (that may translate into a temporary loss of
33
power), allows elites to find alternative ways to influence the distribution
of resources in order to maintain their privileges. How to contrast the elite
behaviour would help us to provide with clearer policy advices to these
countries.
34
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A Appendix
A.1 Data Sources and Variable Definitions
This appendix offers definitions and sources for the data used for the em- pirical analysis. Table 5 provides the descriptive statistics of the variables used.
The variables for institutions, democracy, autocracy and constraints on the executive power, are from Marshall and Gurr (2013). This data set consists of six component measures that record key qualities of executive recruitment, constraints on executive authority, and political competition. It covers all major, independent states, currently 167 countries over the period 1800- 2012.
As measure of inequality, I use the percentage of family farms from the “Vanhanen Index of Power Resources” (Vanhanen, 2003). This covers the period 1850-2000. Family farms are distinguished from large farms culti- vated mainly by hired workers. However, family farms are not dependent on the actual size of the farm which varies with the type of product and the agricultural technology being used.
The percentage of family farms capture the degree of concentration and therefore inequality in the ownership of land. The variable for the discovery of oil and natural gas is based on the dataset PETRODATA (Lujala et al., 2007). This dataset includes 890 onshore and 383 offshore locations with geographic coordinates and information on the first oil or gas discovery and production year. Based on this dataset, I created the variable for the discovery of natural resources.
The British influence in Latin America is considered using measures of British investments in Latin America in the period 1905-1911 and trade with Britain in the period 1898-1906. Investments are from Paish (1909). These are expressed in British Sterling. These investments were mainly based on government loans. Considering the differences in population and dimensions among countries, I have divided this variable by the average gov- ernment revenue in the same period. The data for the government revenue is from the “Cross-NationalTime-Series DataArchive” (CNTS) (Banks and Wilson, 2013). This data is expressed in US dollars, therefore, British in- vestments are converted in US dollars using US$4.85=GBP£1 as exchange rate (during late 19th and early 20th centuries, many countries adopted the
41
gold standard, as consequence, conversion rates between different currencies was fixed and determined by the respective gold standard).
Trade is from the “Annual Statement of the Trade of the United Kingdom with Foreign Countries and British Possessions”. This is given by a country’s exports to Britain in a given year divided by the total exports of that country. Total exports are also from CNTS (Banks and Wilson, 2013). Trade is also expressed in US dollars following the same procedure than before. The CNTS contains data for over 200 states from 1815 onwards (excluding the periods 1974-1918 and 1940-1945) for a number of social indicators.
Table 6 summarises variables definitions and sources.
42
Table 5: Descriptive Statistics
Variable Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Observations
Democracy overall 0.332246 0.328692 0 1 N = 400 between 0.197039 0.115 1 n = 20 within 0.266577 -0.20275 1.017246 T = 20
Autocracy overall 0.334746 0.296249 0 1 N = 400 between 0.13727 0 0.534 n = 20 within 0.264231 -0.19925 0.930663 T = 20
Constraints overall 0.408285 0.324914 0 1 N = 400 on the Executive between 0.184884 0.141667 1 n = 20
within 0.270213 -0.15672 1.149951 T = 20
Family overall 0.17665 0.113929 0.01 0.62 N = 400 Farms between 0.071893 0.062 0.34 n = 20
within 0.089762 -0.07435 0.46965 T = 20
Oil and gas overall 0.1375 0.344806 0 1 N = 400 discoveries between 0.169267 0 0.45 n = 20
within 0.302662 -0.3125 1.0375 T = 20
Trade with overall 0.1573601 .1547945 .0000836 .645317 N = 400 Britain between .1586171 .0000836 .645317 n = 20
within 0 .1573601 .1573601 T = 20
British overall 0.356444 0.24639 0.009175 0.871568 N = 320 Investments in between 0.254073 0.009175 0.871568 n = 16 Latin America within 0 0.356444 0.356444 T = 20
European settlements overall 0.157923 0.102771 0 0.4612 N = 49 in 1800
Native population overall 1.386844 0.995758 0 5.64 N = 48 in 1500
Colonial mineral overall 0.183674 0.39123 0 1 N = 49 centre Sugar suitability overall 1.134926 1.214803 0 5.315139 N = 49
43
Table 6: Variable definitions and sources
Variable Definition and Source
Democracy An eleven category scale, from 0 to 10, with a higher score indicating more democracy. Points are awarded on three dimensions: competitiveness on political participation, competitiveness of executive recruitment, and con- straints on chief executive. This has been re-scaled to 0-1. Variable de- scribed in Gurr (1999). Source: Marshall and Gurr (2013)
Autocracy An eleven category scale, from 0 to 10, with a higher score indicating more autocracy. This has been re-scaled to 0-1. Variable described in Gurr (1999). Source: Marshall and Gurr (2013)
Constraint on Execu- tive
A seven category scale, from 1 to 7, with a higher score indicating more constraints. This has been re-scaled to 0-1. Variable described in Gurr (1999). Source: Marshall and Gurr (2013)
Family Farms The area of family farms as a percentage of the total area of holdings. A family farm employs no more than four people including family members and the family owns and cultivates the land. The data set is reported in averages for each decade. For this study, we use five-years average, therefore the data has been considered twice (e.g. for the periods 1990- 1995 and 1995-2000, I use the data reported for 1990s. Source: (Vanhanen, 2003)
Oil and Natural gas discoveries
This variable assumes the value of 1 if there was a discovery of oil or natural gas in that period of time, otherwise it is equal to 0. This variable has been created based in PETRODATA, and from several other sources (for the missing years). Source: (Lujala et al., 2007), and author’s elaboration
British Investments in Latin America
Average of British investments in Latin American countries in the period 1905-1911, divided by the country’s average government revenue. The value is expressed in US$. Source: Paish (1909) and Banks and Wilson (2013)
Latin American trade with Britain
Average of British imports from Latin American economies in the period 1898-1906, divided by total country’s exports. The value is expressed in US$. Source Statistical Office (1906) and Banks and Wilson (2013)
European settlements in 1800
Percentage of population that was European or of European descent in 1800. Source: Acemoglu et al. (2001) and McEvedy and Jones (1977)
Pre-colonial popula- tion
Total population in 1500. Source: Acemoglu et al. (2002) and McEvedy and Jones (1977)
Colonial Minerals Dummy variable. It is equal to 1 if the main economic activity during the colonial period was based on the exploitation of gold or silver. 0 otherwise. Source: Author’s elaboration
Sugar suitability Percent of national land area suitable for the production of sugar, tak- ing into account such factors as soil, rainfall, temperature, and elevation. Source: FAO (2010)
44
- Introduction
- On the Origins of Institutions
- Post-colonial Latin America: British Intervention
- Other Factors that May Affect Institutions: Natural Resources and Inequality
- Empirical Analysis
- Data
- Results
- Historical Evidence: Some Case Studies
- Costa Rica
- Uruguay
- Bolivia
- Peru
- Concluding Remarks
- Appendix
- Data Sources and Variable Definitions