Estee Lauder P&L ratios presentation

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FinanceforMarketingDecisions.pptx

Finance for

Marketing Decisions

Foreign Exchange. Jenny’s case

Jenny is a student at NYU and runs a high-end shoe business on the side. A friend of hers produces high quality, made to order shoes in China which are then sold to wealthy shoppers in NYC for $2,000 each. The cost to produce each pair of shoes is RMB 1,800.

Once per month, after taking the Finance for Marketing Decisions class, Jenny goes to Newark airport and gets on an Air China flight. She visits her mom, collects 10 pair of shoes and flies back to NYC. This is Jenny’s P&L:

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Jenny’s case updated

While the exchange rate was close to 6 RMB per dollar back in 2014, it has now increased to 7.

Thus, Jenny has updated her P&L as follows:

Before, 2014

Now, 2019

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Jenny’s luxury watches business

One of Jenny’s uncles knows that Jenny is travelling back and forth to NYC and asked her is she could buy him a Rolex watch which is hard to find in China. She bought it for $5,000 and gave it to her Uncle, who was very thankful. He also told her that many of his friends would like her to bring a watch and they would pay her RMB42,000 (they don’t speak English, and want to save the hassle and expense to come to NYC). So she started doing that as well. This is her P&L

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Jenny’s luxury watches business updated

While the exchange rate was close to 6 RMB per dollar back in 2014, it has now increased to 7.

The friends of her uncle wont pay more than 42,000 RMB, she cannot increase prices.

Thus, Jenny has updated her P&L as follows:

Before, 2014

Now, 2019

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Inflation, pricing & wage changes, last 15 years

Prices increase 2% /year. The currencies of Russia, Turkey, decline by 5X as much

8%

-5%

3.4%

1.5%

3.8%

-0.3%

-37%

-21%

20%

-6%

2003-2017 compounded annual % changes

Inflation, Wages & Prices

Exchange rates to the Dollar

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Source IMF (exl Turkey)

5%

-6%

15%

3%

Inflation, pricing & cost changes, last 15 years

On the left hand side, you can see that over the last 15 years, inflation, pricing and wages rose 2% per year, with small variations up and down.

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Values

Inflation Wages Pricing 1.9271507229360565E-2 2.165244658231515E-2 2.1321526028943667E-2

CAGR

Euro China Russia Turkey 1.8340048782740093E-2 7.2013045845571444E-3 -7.6975489365252558E-2 -0.10876202711894645

Currency change. Europe, Asia & Africa. 10 years

Exchange rate change to the $

Source: IMF, except Turkey

$ Rate 2008 2018 Change
Russia 25 60 -59%
Turkey 1.30 4.63 -72%
India 43 66 -34%
China 6.95 6.42 8%
Euro 1.47 1.20 22%

In 1 year, Russia’s currency depreciated 37%, Turkey’s 28%

Rates are average for full year, Jul 31st for‘18

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Turkey

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.16056503276613054 3.1210307662788095E-2 -0.10210472327687603 -6.7566066089700616E-2 -4.7401531895349125E-2 -0.14058419942279332 -0.19252913644836367 -9.9327542265660984E-2 -0.17085002884289291 -0.21238786400321974 Russia

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.21744664770566957 4.6431361688251016E-2 3.4208835783245961E-2 -5.5026781599734176E-2 -2.4576377296780305E-2 -0.17467211561663809 -0.37061020996470229 -8.2580110014537689E-2 0.14685918181451929 -2.8874416735468755E-2 India

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.10165623860614825 5.7260764778938711E-2 -1.8594942959195393E-2 -0.12815146695560509 -8.7877128222250911E-2 -3.9623473146405019E-2 -4.8895371188175329E-2 -4.5359790665029043E-2 3.2677362948242195E-2 -1.6809106852898714E-2 Euro 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 5.4469461102664818E-2 5.1651948185657881E-2 -4.7536702974948386E-2 8.3954254655942417E-2 -3.262132102641635E-2 -7.3122515120482845E-4 0.19817471140845466 1.7259317593190104E-3 -2.016105272638824E-2 -6.1675125430994848E-2 China

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1.7384763655322377E-2 8.8018966715643909E-3 4.8278316725711479E-2 2.3252675484962904E-2 1.9240774746529521E-2 8.1755616578782497E-3 -1.365542045908974E-2 -6.2537371980953216E-2 -1.6764680414935729E-2 5.2144557678424741E-2

Average annual rate

Currency change. North & Latin America. 10 years

Exchange rate change to the $

Source: IMF, except Argentina

$ Rate 2008 2018 Change
Argentina 3.16 24.92 -87%
Brazil 1.81 3.48 -48%
Mexico 11.14 19.09 -42%
Canada 1.07 1.28 -17%

In 1 year, Argentina’s currency depreciated 37%, Brazil’s 30%

Rates are average for full year, Jul 31st in ‘18

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Argentina

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.15172003208880758 -4.6491661863236278E-2 -5.2777620671266567E-2 -9.24130405769088E-2 -0.15697575284884902 -0.33730692235241322 -0.11988384427178433 -0.3733363949664944 -0.10834239951647018 -0.336144999966563 Brazil

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -9.0385145644187759E-2 0.12850560456070492 5.4953486861000878E-2 -0.14471964356405809 -9.4364194523524292E-2 -8.3149880982034241E-2 -0.29537648037969588 -4.3543588407042422E-2 9.3361602066 344584E-2 -8.4568143289373676E-2 Mexico

09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -0.17449573070143454 6.8276587819991352E-2 1.5342880741106679E-2 -5.4868945945162895E-2 3.1261812681507628E-2 -4.018913703569893E-2 -0.16285218682661273 -0.14938810987956708 -9.8022820454384263E-3 -1.1829061614541225E-2 Canada 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 -6.6789573542718861E-2 0.10840320577543383 4.1704637121599886E-2 -1.0604994827859593E-2 -2.8899293974179008E-2 -6.8106159505590957E-2 -0.13663222502108729 -3.3951976399920203E-2 1.9927370589256643E-2 1.2337035663081419E-2

Average annual rate

Johnson & Johnson. P&L 2018

  FY 2018 FY 2017 FY 2016
Volume growth 8.5% 8.0% 3.2%
Price Change -2.2% -2.0% 0.7%
Net Sales Growth 6.7% 6.3% 2.6%
International Sales (%) 49% 48% 47%
Net Margin 66.8% 66.7% 69.7%
SG&A 27.6% 28.1% 27.9%
Other Expenses 20.4% 36.9% 18.8%
Net Earnings 18.8% 1.7% 23.0%

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Disney what we did in class

  FY 2018 FY 2017 FY 2016
Net Sales Growth 59,434 55,137 8%
Cost & expenses 44,597 41,264 8%

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Apple’s P&L

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Disney’s P&L

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

Estee Lauder’s P&L

George Benaroya

Finance for Marketing Decisions

G Benaroya Lecture

‹#›

RMB @ 6Units$Total% Sales

Revenue102,00020,000100%

Cost of Shoes10(300)(3,000)-15%

USD = 6 RMB, RMB 1,800 each

Cost of Sales(3,000)

Gross Profit17,00085%

SG&A (Travel)1(500)(500)-3%

Net Income16,50083%

RMB @ 7Units$Total% Sales

Revenue102,00020,000100%

Cost of Shoes10(257)(2,571)-13%

USD = 7 RMB, RMB 1,800 each

Cost of Sales(2,571)

Gross Profit17,42987%

SG&A (Travel)1(500)(500)-3%

Net Income16,92985%

In RMBIn $

RMB @ 6

Revenue42,0007,000

Cost of Rolex(30,000)(5,000)

USD = 6 RMB, USD 5,000

Cost of Sales(30,000)(5,000)

Gross Profit12,0002,000

SG&A (Travel)(3,000)(500)

Net Income9,0001,500

In RMBIn $

RMB @ 6

Revenue42,0007,000

Cost of Rolex(30,000)(5,000)

USD = 6 RMB, USD 5,000

Cost of Sales(30,000)(5,000)

Gross Profit12,0002,000

SG&A (Travel)(3,000)(500)

Net Income9,0001,500

In RMBIn $

RMB @ 7

Revenue42,0006,000

Cost of Rolex(30,000)(5,000)

USD = 6 RMB, USD 5,000

Cost of Sales(30,000)(5,000)

Gross Profit12,0001,000

SG&A (Travel)(3,000)(500)

Net Income9,000500