Homework Set #3

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FIN534HW3.docx

Running Head: CALCULATIONG BETA, HISTORICAL AVERAGE AND STANDARD DEVIATION 7

Name: Mireya Tifre

Title of Assignment: Homework Set 3: Chapters 6, 7, and 8

Professor: Michael D. Schnur

Course: FIN 534-Financial Management

Due Date: 15 May 2017:

A. Using the two stocks you selected from Homework #1, identify the Beta for each stock. In your own words, what conclusion can you draw from the stocks’ current and historical beta? If the stock market went up 10% today, what would be the impact on each of your stocks?

Equation: Beta = Covariance / Variance

Equation: Beta = Covariance/ Variance = 0.6553

Coca Cola (KO) Beta as of 30th April 2017= 0.6553

As of 30th April 2017, the calculated current Beta or financial elasticity for Coca-Cola is at 0.6553. In making an interpretation of it, this indicates that it is 0.65 % less volatile as the overall market. Since Coca-Cola’s beta is below 1.0 then we can interpret that their stock tends to be less volatile than the underlining index. If the market went up 10% today on an investment, then Coca-Colas’ will be expected to gain 6.5% (10 X 0.6553). based on their beta “it implies the stock prices will move with the overall market, however, the stock prices will remain less risky and volatile” ("CAPM Beta - Definition, Formula, Calculate Beta in Excel", 2017)

Coca-Cola Historical Beta Data

Data for this Date Range

 

April 30, 2017

0.6553

March 31, 2017

0.6425

Feb. 28, 2017

0.6641

Jan. 31, 2017

0.6771

Dec. 31, 2016

0.639

Nov. 30, 2016

0.6352

Oct. 31, 2016

0.6687

Sept. 30, 2016

0.5827

Aug. 31, 2016

0.5774

July 31, 2016

0.5137

June 30, 2016

0.5257

May 31, 2016

0.5225

April 30, 2016

0.5257

March 31, 2016

0.5227

Feb. 29, 2016

0.4791

Jan. 31, 2016

0.4791

Dec. 31, 2015

0.4863

Nov. 30, 2015

0.4986

Oct. 31, 2015

0.4952

Sept. 30, 2015

0.4922

Aug. 31, 2015

0.5165

July 31, 2015

0.4716

June 30, 2015

0.5196

May 31, 2015

0.5074

April 30, 2015

0.507

March 31, 2015

0.5051

Feb. 28, 2015

0.4944

Jan. 31, 2015

0.4731

Dec. 31, 2014

0.486

Nov. 30, 2014

0.474

Oct. 31, 2014

0.4885

Sept. 30, 2014

0.4927

Aug. 31, 2014

0.5237

July 31, 2014

0.5006

June 30, 2014

0.478

May 31, 2014

0.4806

April 30, 2014

0.5323

March 31, 2014

0.4758

Feb. 28, 2014

0.4983

Jan. 31, 2014

0.4948

Dec. 31, 2013

0.4806

Nov. 30, 2013

0.481

Oct. 31, 2013

0.419

Sept. 30, 2013

0.5267

Aug. 31, 2013

0.4963

July 31, 2013

0.4881

June 30, 2013

0.497

May 31, 2013

0.5261

April 30, 2013

0.5317

March 31, 2013

0.5141

STRABUCKS (SBUX)

Equation: Beta = Covariance/ Variance = 0.7601

Variance as of 30th April 2017= 0.7601

As of 30th April 2017, the calculated current Beta or financial elasticity for Starbucks (SBUX) is reported as 0.7601. In making an interpretation of it, this indicates that it is 0.7601% less volatile as the overall market. Since Starbuck’s beta is below 1.0 then we can interpret that their stock tends to be less volatile than the underlining index in the S&P 500. If the market went up 10% today on an investment, then Coca-Colas’ will be expected to gain 7.6% (10 X 0.7601).

Starbucks Historical Beta (24 Months) Data

Data for this Date Range

Beta 

April 30, 2017

0.7601

March 31, 2017

0.752

Feb. 28, 2017

0.8055

Jan. 31, 2017

0.7926

Dec. 31, 2016

0.7954

Nov. 30, 2016

0.8042

Oct. 31, 2016

0.7698

Sept. 30, 2016

0.8287

Aug. 31, 2016

0.8034

July 31, 2016

0.7982

June 30, 2016

0.7992

May 31, 2016

0.7747

April 30, 2016

0.7761

March 31, 2016

0.7543

Feb. 29, 2016

0.7763

Jan. 31, 2016

0.7702

Dec. 31, 2015

0.7881

Nov. 30, 2015

0.7622

Oct. 31, 2015

0.7479

Sept. 30, 2015

0.756

Aug. 31, 2015

0.8035

July 31, 2015

0.8237

June 30, 2015

0.7772

May 31, 2015

0.824

April 30, 2015

0.7716

B. Using the 2014 financial statements from your stocks above and the equations from your textbook, prepare the Historical Average and Standard Deviation for each stock.

Coca-Cola’s Historical Average Return (5 Years) as reported by ("Stocks Performance Guide", 2017)

3.62 +13.96+2.20+1.75 +(-3.49) = 18.04 % / 5 = 6.01%

Year

  Beginning Price

  Ending Price

  Gain or Loss

  Percent Gain or Loss

2012

69.97

72.50*

2.53

3.62%

2013

36.25

41.31

5.06

13.96%

2014

41.31

42.22

0.91

2.20%

2015

42.22

42.96

0.74

1.75%

2016

42.96

41.46

-1.50

-3.49%

Starbucks’ Historical Average Return (5 Years) as per ("Stocks Performance Guide", 2017).

(16.56 + 46.17 + 4.67 + 46.33 + [-7.51]) = 106.22% / 5 = 35.41 %

Year

  Beginning Price

  Ending Price

  Gain or Loss

  Percent Gain or Loss

2012

46.01

53.63

7.62

16.56%

2013

53.63

78.39

24.76

46.17%

2014

78.39

82.05

3.66

4.67%

2015

82.05

120.06*

38.01

46.33%

2016

60.03

55.52

-4.51

-7.51%

Coca Cola (KO) Standard Deviation as per ("Coca-Cola Co. (KO) | CAPM", 2017)

Standard Deviation Calculated at 4.03%

Starbuck (SBUX) Standard Deviation as per ("Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) | CAPM", 2017)

Standard Deviation Calculated at: 5.56%

Both stocks; Coca Cola’s SD of 4.03 % and Starbucks’ SD at 5.56 % are indicative of their volatility. The set of data was calculated using set of data from 2010 till 2016 fiscal year.

Reference:

Brigham, E. F., & Ehrhardt, M. C. (2017). Financial management (15th ed.). Mason, OH: South-Western Cengage Learning.

CAPM Beta - Definition, Formula, Calculate Beta in Excel. (2017, May 12). Retrieved May 12, 2017, from http://www.wallstreetmojo.com/capm-beta-definition-formula-calculate-beta-in-excel/

Publishing, V. L. (n.d.). Retrieved May 10, 2017, from http://www.valueline.com/Tools/Educational_Articles/Stocks/Using_Beta.aspx#.WRSshmkrLIU

Starbucks Beta (5Y). (n.d.). Retrieved May 11, 2017, from https://ycharts.com/companies/SBUX/market_beta_60_month

Andrew,C., Value. Line, Using Beta (2012). Retrieved May 10, 2017, from http://www.valueline.com/Tools/Educational_Articles/Stocks/Using_Beta.aspx#.WRSshmkrLIU

Stock’s Performance Guide, (2017). Retrieved May 13, 2017, from http://www.1stock1.com/1stock1_642.htm

Stock’s Performance Guide, (2017). Retrieved May 13, 2017, from http://www.1stock1.com/1stock1_199.htm

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) | CAPM. (n.d.). Retrieved May 14, 2017, from https://www.stock-analysis-on.net/NASDAQ/Company/Starbucks-Corp/DCF/CAPM

Coca-Cola Co. (KO) | CAPM. (n.d.). Retrieved May 14, 2017, from https://www.stock-analysis-on.net/NYSE/Company/Coca-Cola-Co/DCF/CAPM