Read the attached two articles. Discuss their relevance to the three important relationships on bond valuation we studied in this chapter. Not all three relationships may be referenced in the article. So you need to be specific.
Investing in Funds &ETFs: A Monthly Analysis -- - 6 Questions for Bond Investors: As interest rates rise, finding the right fixed-income strategy is crucial Pollock, Michael A . Wall Street Journal , Eastern edition; New York, N.Y. [New York, N.Y]08 May 2017:
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ABSTRACT
For the best combination of yield and safety, investors might consider putting money into a high-yielding, federally
insured bank savings account, says Bankrate.com chief financial analyst Greg McBride. While higher-yielding
bonds are less vulnerable to rising yields, they are very sensitive to worries about defaults and can be volatile,
notes Scott Kimball, portfolio manager of BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund (BATCX).
FULL TEXT
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates, and there are several questions that savers and bond investors would
like answered.
For example, to be blunt: Is my savings account going to pay any worthwhile interest at some point?! (The answer:
probably not soon. But there are alternatives.)
If this all sounds familiar, it should: Many bond-market strategists had expected bond yields would be a lot higher
by this point in the economic recovery, perhaps even making a savings account desirable. But a climb in rates
seems to be getting closer.
With inflation ticking higher, the Fed now anticipates lifting short-term rates more rapidly. Officials also are
discussing winding down the Fed's huge bond portfolio, accumulated during the recession to damp yields. Such a
move would eliminate a major source of demand for government bonds, whose prices fall as yields rise.
And meanwhile, Washington lawmakers are talking about tax cuts and infrastructure spending that could stoke
growth and lift inflation.
Amid such developments, "you need to be really careful about how you invest the fixed-income part of your
portfolio," says Terri Spath, chief investment officer at Sierra Investment Management in Santa Monica, Calif.
She and others say there are some smarter ways to play this: Avoid putting any cash that might be needed soon
into bonds. Keep additional funds around to invest later, at potentially higher rates. Dial back on rate-sensitive
holdings, and further limit risk by owning a range of U.S. and foreign bonds.
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Here are six questions for savers and those who own bonds or are considering buying them:
1. What risks do rising rates pose for bonds now?
One threat is to short-maturity bond funds and exchange-traded funds, which some investors may think are
immune to rate risk. These commonly have average maturities of around two years and aim to generate 1% to 2%
in annualized yield.
After raising rates twice since last fall, Fed officials expect to boost rates another five or six times by the end of
2018, lifting the Federal Reserve's rate target to around 2.25%-2.5% from about 1% now.
Bond yields move the opposite way as prices. Although short-term funds are less affected by yield changes than
those that own longer maturities, many have a rate sensitivity of around two. If yields rose by one percentage
point, that would result in a 2% decline in principal value -- more than an investor would get back in interest paid by
such a fund.
"If you are an investor who really can't stomach any losses, you should be in a money-market fund" where principal
value would remain steady, says Emory Zink, analyst at fund-trackers Morningstar Inc.
2. Where can investors get reasonable returns on cash?
Although short-term rates are rising, banks -- not the market -- decide what rate of interest they will pay on savings.
The national average rate today is just 0.08%, and banks will raise rates slowly since doing so will boost their
profitability.
Some money-market funds yield closer to 1%. Their yields will rise gradually, though lagging behind the Fed's rate
increases.
For the best combination of yield and safety, investors might consider putting money into a high-yielding, federally
insured bank savings account, says Bankrate.com chief financial analyst Greg McBride. Such accounts are offered
by virtual institutions that are courting depositors. Two such banks, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s GS Bank and the
CIT Bank unit of CIT Group, are advertising rates above 1%.
3. Which bonds offer some protection against rising rates?
One way to diversify against U.S. rate risk is with bonds issued in other countries whose rate cycles aren't in sync
with that in the U.S. Raman Srivastava, managing director for global fixed income at Standish Mellon Asset
Management Co., cites emerging-markets bonds as among "the more compelling opportunities" after investors fled
such bonds several years ago. Yields can top 5%, offering a bigger offset to the impact of rising yields.
Moving lower on the U.S. credit ladder is another solution. High-yield bonds (or junk bonds) issued by companies
with weaker credit ratings can yield more than 6%.
But be cautious about loading up on such securities to the exclusion of higher-quality bonds. While higher-yielding
bonds are less vulnerable to rising yields, they are very sensitive to worries about defaults and can be volatile,
notes Scott Kimball, portfolio manager of BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund (BATCX). In 2015, he says, some high-
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yield bonds issued by energy companies plunged in price during the oil-market swoon.
4. How can investors lock in better income as rates rise?
Traditionally investors did that by building a ladder of bonds having sequential maturities. As the nearest matured,
the proceeds were reinvested in a new bond due to mature several years later, when the investor hoped to reinvest
at an even higher yield.
Alternatively, an investor could build a ladder with defined-maturity bond ETFs, says David Berman, chief executive
of Baltimore-based wealth manager Berman McAleer. Unlike conventional bond ETFs, which periodically buy new
bonds to replace maturing ones, defined-maturity ETFs own bonds with closely bunched maturities. After all the
bonds mature, the ETF repays principal and interest.
Mr. Berman uses Guggenheim BulletShares ETFs, which are available in either investment-grade or high-yield
corporate versions. BlackRock's iShares unit offers defined-maturity ETFs that own taxable corporate bonds or tax-
exempt municipal bonds.
5. What are the alternatives to fixed-rate bond funds?
Floating-rate funds -- sometimes called senior-loan or bank-loan funds -- can be a good defensive play when rates
are rising.
Such funds own loans made by banks to companies with lower credit ratings and yield 4% or more. The rates on
the loans periodically adjust up or down, based on changes in a benchmark index such as the London interbank
offered rate, or Libor, so a fund's yield moves higher as rates rise.
One concern is that surging demand for such funds is enabling companies now to get much more lenient
borrowing terms, says Frank Ossino, who oversees Virtus Senior Floating Rate Fund (PSFRX) at Newfleet Asset
Management, in Hartford, Conn. Mr. Ossino cautions that another downturn eventually could spark defaults on
lower-grade loans, denting a fund's returns. Funds that yield more than peers may own a larger percentage of such
loans, he says.
Among senior loan funds that Morningstar rates highly are Eaton Vance Floating-Rate (EVBLX), Lord Abbett
Floating Rate (LFRAX) and Fidelity Floating Rate High Income (FFRHX).
6. Are mutual funds or ETFs better at this point in the cycle?
Active managers can reposition a portfolio to trim rate risk, moving to bonds that are less rate-sensitive. But ETFs
may be a good choice because they charge much lower management fees -- a benefit at times when bond returns
are slim by historic standards.
Still, people who plan to buy an ETF need to understand what they are getting, says Josh Jalinski, an adviser in
Toms River, N.J. ETFs that focus on certain narrower sectors, such as iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT),
can be volatile, posing more risk of mistiming a purchase or sale, he says.
Some ETFs hedge against rising rates. They include WisdomTree Barclays Interest Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate
Bond Fund (AGZD), which yields about 2%, and Deutsche X-trackers Investment Grade Bond Interest Rate Hedged
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ETF (IGIH), which recently yielded about 3 1/4%.
Hedged funds outperform when rates rise, but may underperform when rates are falling, says Todd Rosenbluth,
director of ETF and mutual-fund research at CFRA, a New York-based provider of investment research. "By hedging,
you protect against something, but also you can miss something," he says.
---
Mr. Pollock is a writer in Ridgewood, N.J. He can be reached at [email protected].
Credit: By Michael A. Pollock
DETAILS
Subject: Bond issues; Interest rates; Government bonds; Short term
Location: United States--US
Company / organization: Name: Morningstar Inc; NAICS: 511120, 511140, 511210
Publication title: Wall Street Journal, Eastern edition; New York, N.Y.
Pages: R.1
Publication year: 2017
Publication date: May 8, 2017
Publisher: Dow Jones &Company Inc
Place of publication: New York, N.Y.
Country of publication: United States, New York, N.Y.
Publication subject: Business And Economics--Banking And Finance
ISSN: 00999660
Source type: Newspapers
Language of publication: English
Document type: News
ProQuest document ID: 1895817618
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ub.researchport.umd.edu/docview/1895817618?accountid=28969
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- Investing in Funds & ETFs: A Monthly Analysis --- 6 Questions for Bond Investors: As interest rates rise, finding the right fixed-income strategy is crucial