Financial Modeling Assignment (Due In 12 Hours)

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ExhibitsforAriel11.xlsx

Exhibit 1

Exhibit 1 Groupe Ariel S.A.—Selected Consolidated Financial Data (millions of Euros, except as noted)
2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Sales 3345.3 3561.8 3, 576.9 3078.9 3050.3
Operating Income 61.2 189.2 172.9 163.5 149.9
Net Income (0.7) 85.7 61.2 88.2 85.7
Total Assets 2809.3 2764.9 2899.6 3129.0 2445.5
Total Debt 660.6 616.0 613.0 578.4 504.2
Equity 782.6 819.5 829.7 941.0 865.1
Capital Expenditures 87.6 100.0 95.1 240.9 234.1
Depreciation 195.0 209.4 214.0 152.9 155.0
R&D Expenditures
Earnings/Share (Euros) 0.0 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.0
Dividend/Share (Euros) 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Return on Sales 0.0% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8%
Return on Equity (%) -0.1% 10.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9%

Exhibit 2

Exhibit 2 Comparison of Projected Operating Data for Different Recycling Processes (thousands of pesos, except as noted)
Assumes 7% inflation rate in Mexico Tax Rate: 0.35
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Projected Operating Costs, Manual Process
Unit Volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials 564,816 664,788 782,456 920,951 985,417 1,054,396 1,128,204 1,207,178 1,291,681 1,382,099
Direct Labor 1,115,184 1,312,572 1,544,897 1,818,343 1,945,627 2,081,821 2,227,549 2,383,477 2,550,321 2,728,843
Overhead 1,680,000 1,797,600 1,923,432 2,058,072 2,202,137 2,356,287 2,521,227 2,697,713 2,886,553 3,088,611
Total 3,360,000 3,774,960 4,250,785 4,797,366 5,133,182 5,492,505 5,876,980 6,288,369 6,728,555 7,199,553
Materials/unit 1.1387 1.2185 1.3037 1.3950 1.4927 1.5971 1.7089 1.8286 1.9566 2.0935
Direct labor/unit 2.2484 2.4057 2.5741 2.7543 2.9471 3.1534 3.3742 3.6104 3.8631 4.1335
Projected Operating Costs, New Automatic Equipment
Unit Volume (000s) 496 546 600 660 660 660 660 660 660 660
Materials 542,223 638,197 751,158 884,113 946,001 1,012,221 1,083,076 1,158,891 1,240,014 1,326,815
Direct Labor 524,136 616,909 726,101 854,621 914,445 978,456 1,046,948 1,120,234 1,198,651 1,282,556
Overhead 1,566,211 1,675,846 1,793,155 1,918,676 2,052,983 2,196,692 2,350,460 2,514,993 2,691,042 2,879,415
Total 2,632,571 2,930,951 3,270,414 3,657,410 3,913,429 4,187,369 4,480,484 4,794,118 5,129,707 5,488,786
Materials/unit 1.0932 1.1697 1.2516 1.3392 1.4330 1.5336 1.6406 1.7554 1.8783 2.0098
Direct labor/unit 1.0567 1.1307 1.2098 1.2945 1.3852 1.4821 1.5859 1.6969 1.8157 1.9427

Exhibit 3

Exhibit 3 Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data For Mexico
Year Consumer Price Inflation (%) Real Growth GDP (%) Year-End Spot Exchange Rate (MXN/EUR)
2000 9.5% 6.6% 9.4
2001 6.4% -0.3% 9.5
2002 5.0% 0.9% 10.4
2003 4.3% 1.4% 12.9
2004 4.7% 4.2% 15.3
2005 3.3% 3.2% 13.3
2006 4.1% 5.1% 14.4
2007 3.8% 3.3% 16.2
Date Short-Term Bank Lending Rate (a) JP Morgan Mexico 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds (b) 10-year Government Bonds ©
31-Mar-06 7.78% 8.20% 8.47%
30-Jun-06 7.68% 9.35% 9.06%
29-Sep-06 7.50% 8.22% 8.24%
29-Dec-06 7.60% 7.42% 7.42%
28-Mar-07 7.68% 7.50% 7.58%
27-Jun-07 7.82% 7.68% 7.19%
26-Sep-07 7.77% 7.86% 7.82%
31-Dec-07 8.00% 8.17% 8.08%
26-Mar-08 7.94% 7.42% 7.49%
23-Jun-08 8.10% 9.21% 9.12%
Sources:
a - Bank of Mexico
b - Thomson Datastream
c - Global Financial Data

Exhibit 4

Exhibit 4 Selected Macroeconomic and Financial Market Data For France
Year Consumer Price Inflation (%) Real Growth GDP (%) Year-End Exchange Rate (MXN/EUR)
2000 1.7% 4.2% 9.4
2001 1.6% 2.1% 9.5
2002 1.9% 1.1% 10.4
2003 2.1% 0.5% 12.9
2004 2.3% 2.3% 15.3
2005 1.7% 1.9% 13.3
2006 1.7% 2.4% 14.4
2007 1.5% 2.3% 16.2
Date Short-Term Bank Lending Rate JP Morgan France 7-10 Year Corporate Bonds 10-year Government Bonds
31-Mar-06 3.08% 3.73% 3.79%
30-Jun-06 3.27% 4.03% 4.08%
30-Sep-06 3.63% 3.69% 3.72%
31-Dec-06 4.07% 3.96% 3.98%
31-Mar-07 4.42% 4.08% 4.11%
30-Jun-07 4.69% 4.60% 4.62%
30-Sep-07 4.91% 4.36% 4.41%
31-Dec-07 5.13% 4.34% 4.42%
31-Mar-08 4.81% 4.00% 4.11%
23-Jun-08 4.99% 4.75% 4.81%