Two Exercise
RCD Tool - Summarized (1).pdf
Risk Categorization and Definition (RCD) Tool ‐ Summarized Version
CATEGORY Sub‐Category Definition
Copyright © SimErgy. All rights reserved.
FINANCIAL A category of risks related to unexpected changes in external markets, prices, rates, and liquidity supply and demand. See also market risk, credit risk, and liquidity risk.
FINANCIAL MARKET
Unexpected changes in external markets (such as stock markets), prices (such as commodity prices), or rates (such as interest rates), related to (a) general market movements (although the source for this is often economic risk) or (b) a specific asset on the company’s balance sheet. Some examples include equity market risk, interest rate risk, and currency risk.
FINANCIAL CREDIT
Unexpected changes in credit markets (availability), prices (credit spreads), or credit‐worthiness of issuers, related to (a) general credit market movements (although the source for this is often economic risk) or (b) a specific issuer of a fixed‐income security on the company’s balance sheet or (c) a counterparty to whom the company has extended credit.
FINANCIAL LIQUIDITY
Unexpected changes in liquidity supply or demand, related to three different levels of impact on the company: (a) untimely asset sales; (b) inability to meet contractual demands; or (c) default. A change in liquidity supply involves an unexpected change in the ability to sell assets as expected in the market, in terms of price, volume, or timeliness. A change in liquidity demand involves an unexpected change in demand for liquidity by option holders, such as bondholders exercising early put options or ‘‘run‐onthe‐bank’’ situations for financial services companies, where account holders suddenly request the withdrawal of funds from their accounts, en masse.
FINANCIAL ECONOMIC
Unexpected changes in the economy. This is often the source of risk that triggers multiple simultaneous unexpected changes in other items, such as consumer disposable income (impacting demand for the company’s products or services), employment markets (impacting the company’s fixed expenses), inflation/deflation (impacting the company’s variable costs), items related to market risk, and items related to credit risk.
STRATEGIC A category of risks related to unexpected changes in key elements of strategy formulation or execution. This is highly variable by company and must be customized.
STRATEGIC STRATEGY
Viability of strategy—such as choice of products, distribution channels, markets, or value proposition— does not match expectations. This is highly variable by company and must be customized.
STRATEGIC EXECUTION Strategy is not implemented as expected. Note: Execution risk is highly variable by company and must be customized. STRATEGIC GOVERNANCE Governance is not functioning as expected
Risk Categorization and Definition (RCD) Tool ‐ Summarized Version
CATEGORY Sub‐Category Definition
Copyright © SimErgy. All rights reserved.
STRATEGIC STRATEGIC RELATIONSHIPS Unexpected change in strategic relationships (e.g., parent company or joint venture partner)
STRATEGIC COMPETITOR Unexpected change in competitive landscape, such as new entrants, aggressive competitor actions against the company, price wars, and so forth.
STRATEGIC SUPPLIER Unexpected changes in supplier environment, such as supplier capacity, supplier failure, or change in the cost of goods or services.
STRATEGIC EXTERNAL RELATIONS
Unexpected changes in the company’s relationship with external stakeholders with public voices, such as the media, consumer advocates, equity analysts, rating agencies, regulators, and politicians.
STRATEGIC LEGISLATIVE/ REGULATORY Unexpected changes in laws or regulations
STRATEGIC INTERNATIONAL
Unexpected changes in the business environment of foreign countries in which the company operates, such as unexpected changes in the government’s stability, attitude toward foreign companies, and tariffs.
OPERATIONAL A category of risks related to unexpected changes in elements related to operations, such as human resources, technology, processes, and disasters.
OPERATIONAL HUMAN RESOURCES
Human resources (i.e., people) are not performing as expected, such as unexpected changes in talent management, performance, productivity, and conduct.
OPERATIONAL TECHNOLOGY Technology not performing as expected. Some examples include data security, data privacy, data integrity, capacity, and reliability OPERATIONAL LITIGATION Unexpected civil suits or judgments against company
OPERATIONAL COMPLIANCE Level of compliance not matching expectations (e.g., fines for noncompliance are higher than expected)
OPERATIONAL EXTERNAL FRAUD Unexpected change in the amount of fraud by external parties.
OPERATIONAL DISASTERS
Unexpected natural or man‐made disasters, such as weather‐ related (such as hurricane, flood, tornado, earthquake, and drought), health‐related (such as pandemic), accidental (such as fire), general acts of destruction (such as war, terrorism, and rioting), and specific acts of destruction against the company (such as product tampering, attack on employees, and sabotage). This also includes unexpected man‐made disasters caused by company employees or agents, such as environment damage.
OPERATIONAL PROCESSES Processes are not functioning as expected (e.g., processes are too convoluted)
__MACOSX/._RCD Tool - Summarized (1).pdf
EXERCISE 2 - Spring 2021 Section 2.docx
EXERCISE 2 – INDIVIDUAL
Categorize the following risks by source.
Event 1: Admiral Motor Company, a major U.S. automobile manufacturer, just received some bad news. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ordered Admiral to recall its best-selling line of sedans for violating fuel efficiency requirements for all new vehicles sold in the United States. An internal audit investigation at Admiral uncovered that the violation in fuel efficiency was attributable to the inferior quality of the intake valves being used in the vehicles. The manufacturer of the intake valves was changed right before the new sedans began to be produced. The new intake valve manufacturer had promised Admiral to produce the same quality intake valve as the incumbent manufacturer for half the price.
Event 2: Wycombe Welding reported an unexpected loss in its most recent financials. Wycombe’s management attributes most of the loss to a settlement of a class action lawsuit by former Wycombe employees alleging discriminatory hiring and promotion practices by the company. The lawsuit itself was not news and had been disclosed six months earlier. However, the amount paid by Wycombe to the plaintiffs was almost four times what Wycombe had previously signaled to investors.
Event 3: Wandavision Studios recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection due to lagging sales of its high production cost blockbuster theatrical releases. While most of Wandavision’s competitors embraced the trend towards at-home entertainment streaming, either partnering with direct to consumer distributors or creating their own such platforms, Wandavision executives continued to pursue a strategy emphasizing movie theater distribution. Their rationale was that their CGI heavy productions are more impactful on a large theater screen than a home theater. With movie theaters struggling to keep customers, this resulted in much lower rights fees paid by theaters to Wandavision to show their highly acclaimed films.
Event 4: Bakasana Yoga Studio recently experienced a drop-off of 25% in class and workshop attendance. An internal investigation conducted by the studio owners discovered that the two main eastern spirituality websites selected for advertising Bakasana events were not receiving the level of internet traffic anticipated when Bakasana pivoted to an all-online advertising campaign. The two sites ranked in the bottom quartile in internet clicks received. Most of Bakasana’s new customers are now through word of mouth from satisfied existing customers.
Event 5: Endicon Energy recently unwound large long positions in oil futures, incurring a substantial loss. An analysis of what occurred did not uncover any major geopolitical event, weather anomaly, or business development that would cause such a rapid movement in oil prices. Endicon’s Corporate ERM Team concluded that the sudden drop in prices rather reflected a market correction after a steady increase over the previous three months.
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Copyright © SimErgy. All rights reserved.
EXERCISE
2
–
INDIVIDUAL
Copyright © SimErgy. All rights reserved.
Categorize the following risks by source.
Event 1:
Admiral
Motor Company, a major U.S. automobile manufacturer
,
just received some bad news
.
The
National Highway
Traffic
Safety
A
dministration
ordered Admiral to recall its best
-
selling line
of
sedans
for violating
fuel efficiency requirements
for all new vehicles sold in the U
nited States
.
An
internal
audit
investigation
at
Admiral
uncovered that
the violation in fuel efficiency was attributable
to
the inferior quality of
the intake valve
s being used
in the vehicles
. The manufacturer of the inta
ke valves
was changed right before the new sedans began to be produced. The new intake valve manufacturer
had promised
Admiral to produce
the same quality
intake valve
as the incumbent
manufacturer
for
half
the price.
Event 2:
Wycombe Welding
reported a
n unexpected loss in its most recent financials.
Wycombe
’
s
management attr
ibutes m
ost
of the
loss to a settlement
of a cla
ss action lawsuit
by former Wycombe
employees alleging
discriminatory
hiring and promotion practices by the company. The lawsuit itself
was not news and had
been disclosed
six months
earlier
.
However, t
he
amount paid by Wycomb
e to
the plaintiffs
w
as
almost four
times what
Wycombe
had previously signaled to
investors.
Event 3:
Wa
nda
vision
Studios
recently
filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection due to lagging sales of
its
high
production
cost
blockbuster theatrical releases.
While most of Wandavision
’
s competitors
e
mbraced the trend towards at
-
ho
me entertainment streamin
g
,
either
partnering
with direct to
consumer
distributors or creating their own such platforms, Wandavision executives continued to
pursue a strategy emphasizing movie theater distribution.
Their rationale was that their CGI heavy
productions
are more impactful on a large theater screen than a home theat
e
r
.
With
movie
theaters
struggling t
o keep customers, this resulted in
m
uch
lower rights fees paid by theaters to Wandavision to
show their
highly
acclaimed
films.
Event 4:
Bakasana
Yoga Studio recently experienced a drop
-
off of
2
5
% in
class
and workshop
attendance
.
An internal investigation conducted by the studio owners discovered that
the
two
main
eastern
spiritual
ity
websites
selected
for advertising Bakasana events were not receiving the
level of
internet traffic
anticipated when Bakasana pivoted to an all
-
online advertising campaign. The two sites
ranked in the bottom quartile in
internet clicks
received
.
Most of Bakasana
’
s new customers are now
through word of mouth from satisfied existing customers.
Event 5:
Endicon Energy
recently
unwou
nd large
long
positions in oil
futures
, incurring
a substantial loss.
An analysis of what occurred
di
d not uncover any major geopoli
ti
c
al
event
, weather anomaly, or
business development that would cause such a
rapid movement in oil prices. Endicon
’
s Corporate ERM
Team concluded that the
sudden
drop in prices
rather re
flected a market correction after a steady
increase
over the
previous three months.
EXERCISE 2 – INDIVIDUAL
Copyright © SimErgy. All rights reserved.
Categorize the following risks by source.
Event 1: Admiral Motor Company, a major U.S. automobile manufacturer, just received some bad news.
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ordered Admiral to recall its best-selling line of
sedans for violating fuel efficiency requirements for all new vehicles sold in the United States. An
internal audit investigation at Admiral uncovered that the violation in fuel efficiency was attributable to
the inferior quality of the intake valves being used in the vehicles. The manufacturer of the intake valves
was changed right before the new sedans began to be produced. The new intake valve manufacturer
had promised Admiral to produce the same quality intake valve as the incumbent manufacturer for half
the price.
Event 2: Wycombe Welding reported an unexpected loss in its most recent financials. Wycombe’s
management attributes most of the loss to a settlement of a class action lawsuit by former Wycombe
employees alleging discriminatory hiring and promotion practices by the company. The lawsuit itself
was not news and had been disclosed six months earlier. However, the amount paid by Wycombe to
the plaintiffs was almost four times what Wycombe had previously signaled to investors.
Event 3: Wandavision Studios recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection due to lagging sales of
its high production cost blockbuster theatrical releases. While most of Wandavision’s competitors
embraced the trend towards at-home entertainment streaming, either partnering with direct to
consumer distributors or creating their own such platforms, Wandavision executives continued to
pursue a strategy emphasizing movie theater distribution. Their rationale was that their CGI heavy
productions are more impactful on a large theater screen than a home theater. With movie theaters
struggling to keep customers, this resulted in much lower rights fees paid by theaters to Wandavision to
show their highly acclaimed films.
Event 4: Bakasana Yoga Studio recently experienced a drop-off of 25% in class and workshop
attendance. An internal investigation conducted by the studio owners discovered that the two main
eastern spirituality websites selected for advertising Bakasana events were not receiving the level of
internet traffic anticipated when Bakasana pivoted to an all-online advertising campaign. The two sites
ranked in the bottom quartile in internet clicks received. Most of Bakasana’s new customers are now
through word of mouth from satisfied existing customers.
Event 5: Endicon Energy recently unwound large long positions in oil futures, incurring a substantial loss.
An analysis of what occurred did not uncover any major geopolitical event, weather anomaly, or
business development that would cause such a rapid movement in oil prices. Endicon’s Corporate ERM
Team concluded that the sudden drop in prices rather reflected a market correction after a steady
increase over the previous three months.