QUANT homework

profilemilesss
Exemplarreference.pdf

Exemplar: Homework 1 Quant 530 1

Homework 1 : Exemplar

1. Generate descriptive statistics tables for each variable. Discuss measures of

center, variability, skewness, kurtosis, and maximum and minimum values for

each variable individually (5pts). Discuss a comparison of the mean and

variability for both variables. (5 pts)

Table 1

Descriptive statistic tables

Approach 1 Approach 2

Mean 14.4 Mean 12.3

Standard Error 1.377259 Standard Error 1.452946

Median 14 Median 12

Mode 12 Mode 10 Standard Deviation 6.159289

Standard Deviation 6.497773

Sample Variance 37.93684 Sample Variance 42.22105

Kurtosis 0.110085 Kurtosis -0.74375

Skewness 0.337807 Skewness -0.08879

Range 24 Range 24

Minimum 4 Minimum 0

Maximum 28 Maximum 24

Sum 288 Sum 246

Count 20 Count 20

Measures of center Measures of the center provide an indication of what is likely the most typical number of

subscriptions sold when either sales approach is used. It can be seen from the Descriptive

Statistics tables that for both approach 1 and approach 2, the mean and median are close in

value. This suggests that the distribution of subscription sales under both approaches are near

bell in shape with most subscription sales remaining close to the typical value regardless of

approach used. Even so, the tables suggests that when approach 1 is applied, on average a

larger number of subscriptions will be sold than when approach 2 is applied.

Exemplar: Homework 1 Quant 530 2

Measures of variability

Given the near bell shape of both distributions, the Empirical Rule can be applied to provide a

range estimate for the percentage of subscriptions sold. That is for approach 1 and approach 2,

approximately 68% of the number of subscriptions sold are between (8.2, 20.6) and (5.8, 18.8)

respectively. Agents that are applying approach 1 are more likely and at a more consistent rate

sale a higher number of subscriptions that those who applied approach 2. Furthermore, it can

be seen from the Descriptive Statistics table that there have been agents who have not been

successful selling any subscriptions while applying approach 2. This has not occurred, as of yet,

when approach 1 has been applied. In fact, the highest selling agent applied approach 1 when

accomplishing this goal.

Kurtosis and Skewness

The reported skewness numbers indicate that distributions of subscription sales under both

approaches are fairly symmetric in shape suggesting a balance in the number of agents who sell

subscriptions over and below the expected number. In fact, the reported kurtosis values

suggest that it is not very likely that large percentages of agents will sell extremely poorly or

well, beyond what is considered typical, regardless of which approach is used.

2. Generate a histogram for each variable. Discuss the shape of the histogram.

(5pts)

Figure 1: Number of subscriptions sold using Approach 1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

5 10 15 20 25 30

S u

b sc

ri p

ti o

n s

so ld

Sale Categories

Exemplar: Homework 1 Quant 530 3

Figure 2: Number of subscriptions sold using Approach 2

Shape of histograms

Although the reported mean and median numerical summaries suggested that both approaches

resulted in near bell shaped subscription sales distributions, closer to a bi-modal shaped

distribution can be seen in Figure 2 for subscriptions sold under the method of approach 2. This

suggests that the reported mean value of approximately 12 subscriptions sold for approach 2

may not be the best representation of the number of subscriptions that are likely to be sold by

agents using this approach. If fact, it might be worth examining under which conditions are

agents more likely to sell the high of 20 as opposed to the high of 10 subscriptions under this

method. If these conditions are easily replicated, then it is possible that approach 2 may be

considered as viable (or even more so) an approach to the sell of subscriptions as approach 1 is

suggested to be.

3. Calculate the correlation coefficient between the two variables. Interpret the

results (5 pts)

A correlation of approximately .7 suggest a moderately positive relation between the

subscription sales performance of an agent applying approach 2 and their performance when

applying approach 1. That is, in general we can expect that if an agent does well selling

subscriptions using approach 1, then there is a likely chance that they will also do well when

using approach 2. It’s possible that this may mean that it is not necessarily the talent of the

sales agent that is generating the sales differences observed but the actual use of the particular

approach. More investigation is needed.

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

5 10 15 20 25

S u

b sc

ri p

ti o

n s

so ld

Sales Categories

Exemplar: Homework 1 Quant 530 4

4. Select one of the variables to be explanatory and the other to be response.

Indicate your selection. Generate a scatter plot of the two variables. Interpret

the direction, form, and strength observed through examination of the data

pattern (5 pts)

Figure 3: Scatterplot of the relation between the number of subscriptions sold under approach 1 and approach 2

Figure 3 shows the dot pattern resulting when an agent’s sales performance using approach 1

(explanatory) is being evaluated for impact on their performance when using approach 2

(response). It appears from Figure 3 that a positive upward trending dot pattern is most

evident for low and high selling agents. That is, if agents sell subscriptions well or badly under

approach 1 they appear to be likely to also sell well or badly under approach 2. However that

same positive linear trend doesn’t appear to be as evident for those agents who tend to sell

near the mid-range of subscription levels around the reported mean value of 14.5 for approach

1. The dot pattern in that area appears more scattered and less systematically predictable.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

A p

p ro

a ch

2 s

a le

s

Approach 1 Sales

Exemplar: Homework 1 Quant 530 5

5. On the scatter plot in Excel, generate the regression line and the regression

equation. Re-Write the regression equation using the variable names. Write an

interpretation of the regression equation using the variable names and the

regression coefficient values. (5 pts)

Figure 4: Scatterplot of the relation between the number of subscriptions sold under approach 1 and approach 2 with regression equation included

The regression equation, (Approach 2 Sales) = .7(Approach 1 sales) + 2.3, suggests that for the typical

agent the change in the rate of a sales made under approach 1 is lower than under approach 2. In

other words, this suggests that more effort may be needed to generate a comparable number of

subscription sales using approach 1 than when using approach 2. Moreover, the equation suggests

that even the worst agent, that doesn’t successfully sale any subscriptions under approach 1 is likely on

average to sell approximately two subscriptions using approach 2.

y = 0.6959x + 2.2791

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

A p

p ro

a ch

2 s

a le

s

Approach 1 Sales