Finance
César Ritz Colleges
Decision Making in Entrepreneurial Finance
Final
Submitted on Date by:
16 December 2021
Yan Qiao (Joya) - 737387
Wen,Hsin-Ling(Estela) - 745967
Nicholas Santoso - 746565
Word count :
4120
Submitted to: Yuriy Barabantsev
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Executive Summary
The report aims to analyze two firms, which are Royal Caribbean Cruises Limited and
Carnival Corporation & Public Limited Company in four parts: firms' overview, stock
valuation, financing mixed and final argument provided to investors. According to two firms'
stock performances in the past 5 years, it's clear to see the trend that pandemic made 2 firms
break in finance; for the stock valuation part, the authors utilize 3 models to measure whether
two firms' fair value assets result is considerable with self-analysis and refer to history
situation, then come up with the result that CCL's share is long and RCL's is short sale or
wait; for the financing mixed and final arguments part, the authors also analyze 3 financial
statements with two horizontal, vertical, and trend analysis to analyze the performance of
stock and evaluation of the companies. The result is that it would be better to wait and see for
two companies owing to the harsh situation (COVID-19).
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Table of content
Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................2
Table of content ..........................................................................................................................3
Overview ....................................................................................................................................5
Common stock valuation ............................................................................................................9
Valuation Model ...........................................................................................................9
Analysis suggestion ....................................................................................................11
The suggestion from analyzing ..................................................................................11
Discussion ..................................................................................................................12
Financing Mix ..........................................................................................................................17
Final Argument .........................................................................................................................20
Group Reflection ......................................................................................................................23
References List .........................................................................................................................24
Appendix ..................................................................................................................................27
1. Revenue Multiple ................................................................................................27
2. DDM ....................................................................................................................27
3. RCL DDM ..............................................................................................................28
4. RCL’s Income statement ........................................................................................30
5. RCL’s Vertical Analysis ..........................................................................................31
6. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis .....................................................................................32
7. RCL’s Balance Sheet ..............................................................................................33
8. RCL’s Vertical analysis ..........................................................................................34
9. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis .....................................................................................35
10. RCL’s Cash Flow .................................................................................................36 3
11. RCL’s Trend Analysis ...........................................................................................36
12. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis ...................................................................................37
13.CCL’s Income Statement .......................................................................................38
14. CCL’s Vertical Analysis ........................................................................................38
15. CCL’s Horizontal Analysis ...................................................................................39
16. CCL’s Balance Sheet ............................................................................................40
17. CCL’s Vertical Analysis ........................................................................................41
18. Horizontal Analysis ..............................................................................................41
19. CCL’s Cash Flow .................................................................................................42
20. CCL’s Trend Analysis ...........................................................................................42
21. CCL’s Horizontal Analysis ...................................................................................42
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Overview
Introduction
Royal Caribbean Cruises Limited (RCL) is a global cruise company, which was developed
into the current parent company in 1985, set their headquarters in Miami. It owns both four
main cruise brands (Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Azamara and Silversea
Cruises) and a half joint interest in TUI Cruises GmbH (“TUIC”), reaching out to almost
1000 destinations on 7 continents. Till the end of 2020, the global and partner brands of RCL
have managed 61 ships in cruise travel industry with a large quantity of roughly 137930
berths. RCL had a damage impact on both financial part and operations due to the pandemic,
they sell Azamara brand and the transaction desired to close in the first quarter of 2021.
(Royal Caribbean Group Annual Report, 2021)
Carnival Corporation & Public Limited Company (CCL), founded in 1974 in Panama, is one
of world’s largest leisure travel companies including 9 of leading cruise lines. Their
operations radiate 4 continents, having investment embody Carnival Cruise Line, Princess
Cruises, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), Seabourn, Costa Cruises, AIDA
Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK) and Cunard. To overcome difficulties that they suffered during
Covid-19, they stopped the services of guest cruise operations and adjust their inner
administration crews, expanding debt maturities and guarantee financial covenant
amendments. Their gained approximately $9.5 billion in revenue till the end of 2020 and
desire to maintain the standard through 2021. (Carnival Corporation & PLC Annual Report,
2020)
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History and principal activities
Activities discussed will be based on the five recent years. For Carnival Corporation & Public
Limited Company (CCL), they’ve declared the expansion of its global Fleet Operations
Centers with the beginning of new facilities in Seattle, which was the second center they’ve
had before in 2017 (Carnival Corporation & PLC, no date). With sustained allowances
improvement and strong cash flow, they improved their quarterly dividend to $0.45 per share
(PRNewswire, nodate). In 2018, their portfolio features global brands, which includes nine of
the world’s leading cruise lines as the largest fleet of the world (Carnival Corporation & PLC,
no date). At the same time, they launched and renovated system of travel agent finder in
Carnival.com (carnivalcorp.com, no date), which made them gain positive demand trends
(Carnival Corporation & PLC Annual Report, 2018). In 2019, they found Asia cruises market
was booming in this case they ported 5% of their total capacity in China. This year their
quarterly dividend has doubled, which disturbed the total number of dividends to their
shareholders (Carnival Corporation & PLC Annual Report, 2019). In 2020, Diamond
Princess, which is affiliated to CCL, suffering from a wide range of COVID-19 infection,
which forced them to pause guest cruise operations in mid-March. (Carnival Corporation &
PLC Annual Report, 2020). To sum up, the operation part of CCL had performed well until
the COVID-19 broke the orders and let them suffer from pausing all the managements.
For Royal Caribbean Cruises Limited (RCL), they’ve completed their acquisition of Silversea
Cruises shares, which combined two leading characters in the cruise industry and filled in
RCL's portfolio of cruise brands across key market segments in 2018 (Royal Caribbean
Group Press Center, no date). Hurricane Dorian’s impacted the finance broke hard that almost
16 sailings were cancelled and made the financial department broke in 2019 (Royal
Caribbean Cruises Limited Annual Report, 2020). Then they executed a voluntary suspension
of its cruise operations as part pf the global containment due to COVID-19 (PRNewswire, no
date) in 2020 and since the COVID-19 conditions become even worse, they set a permanent
contract to sell the Azamara brand, including its three-ship fleet for $201 million (Royal
Caribbean Group Annual Report, 2021). RCL declared to shut down offering of about 16
billion shares of common stock due to general corporate purpose (PRNewswire, nodate). In
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brief, RCL has also suffered a lot from COVID-19 since 2020 and this trend will remain
impacting company's finance department for a long time.
Overview of Stock performance
Figure 1: CCL, RCL, Stock Performance Chart Compare with DJI
The stock performance of Royal Carnibbean Cruises Limited (RCL), Carnival Corporation &
Public Limited Company (CCL) of the past five years (Figure 1) see a similar trend but quite
different from Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI).
Looking on the stock performance chart with the industry average (figure 1), RCL saw a
steep increase from 2017 to 2018 (from USD 84.03 per share to USD 127.53 per share) since
they achieved beating their Double-Double EPS targets (PRNewswire, no date) and stuck on
top in the first quarter of 2018 which the stock performance increased by 60.63% . CCL also
saw a upward trend during first quarter of 2017 due to adjusting delayed from fuel and
currency (Carnival Corporation&PLC Annual Report, 2017) and they maintained this trend
to the end of 2017 and the performance had increased by 28.87%. And their stock
performances are both higher than average, comparing with DJI during the period of 2017 to
2018.
From 2018 to 2020, CCL had a distinct decrease (from USD 65.88 per share to USD 45.93
per share) owing to big effect on COVID-19. During this sensitive period, they had to pause
their guest cruise performances in mid-March 2020 (Carnival Corporation&PLC Annual
Report,2020). Since this period, CCL had been largely below the average compared with DJI.
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RCL fluctuated unsteadily but met the average from 2018 to the end of 2019 (from USD
128.97 per share to USD 133.33 per share) And both of the companies had dramatically
dropped to the bottom since 2020 in that they've suspended for a long time.
After first quarter of 2020, RCL saw a smooth increase in trend but still under DJI which
increased by 4%. This had something to do with the agreement which they sell the Azamara
brand in January 2021. (Royal Caribbean Group Annual Report, 2021) But CCL still left to
the bottom and decreased much by 65.15%.
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Common stock valuation
The common stock valuation portion will through the multiple dimensions, fair value, and
analysts suggestions to assess the CCL and RCL’s common stock. Then authors will give the
suggestion for the two companies common stock at the end of the portion will discuss the
conclusion of the common stock valuation.
Market price (Yahoo! Finance, 2021)
CCL’s market price: 19.24
RCL’s market price: 74.70
Valuation Model
In this part, the authors will use to valuation model to get the fair values, then compare them
with the market price to find what is the situation of the stock for now.
1. Market Cap to Revenue Multiple
The revenue multiple is a tool to find the number of times it is valuation, and it allows to
through calculation to find the fair value. In the approach of the authors use for this
evaluation, the industry price to sales ratio is applied. From the result of revenue multiple, the
fair value of CCL is 31.13, hence it is undervalued. While RCL’s fair value from revenue
multiple is 12.72, hence it is overvalued.
2. CAPM & DDM
In the mid-1960s the CAPM by Sharpe, Lintner and Treynor (Brealey, Myers and Allien,
2018) is still widely used until today. In the process of this evaluation, the authors will use
CAPM to find the rate to discount the future dividends of CCL and RCL, then use DDM to
calculate the fair value. DDM (Dividend Discount Model) is an approach through the sum of
further dividends to discount for finding the present value (Berk, DeMarzo and Harford). The
authors went back through the past 13 years’ dividend, to find the next 5 years of predicted
dividend through linear progression model, and find the average growth rate for the next 5
years and use it for g in the calculation. Through DDM, the authors found the CCL’s fair
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value is 9.22, and RCL’s fair value is 14.33, which suggests that the two stocks are
overvalued.
Below is the linear progression chart to show the goodness-of-fit for the model.
Figure2- Linear char of the CCL’s dividend of past of 13 years. (Qiao, Santoso and Wen, 2021 )
Figure3- Linear char of the RCL’s dividend of past of 13 years. (Qiao, Santoso and Hsin-Ling, 2021 )
R-square’s value is anywhere between 0 to 1, with higher value usually means more data fit
in the regression model. Judging from the two charts, the R-square’s numbers for both
companies are quite low, even particularly low for CCL, which makes the data not
statistically fit. Hence, this is the weakness of the DDM used for the two companies.
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Analysis suggestion
Figure4 of left -Yahoo finance’s recommendation of CCL. (Yahoo Finance, 2021) Figure5 of right -Yahoo finance’s recommendation of RCL. (Yahoo Finance, 2021)
Most analysts rate the stock as a strong buy and hold for CCL’s stock, and for RCL, most
analysts rate the stock as a strong buy. Also, according to Nasdaq’ CCL analyst research, the
consensus of seven analysts is to buy, and for the RCL, there are seven analysts also
suggested to buy (Nasdaq, n.d.). The analyst from the Nasdaq stated that based on twelve-
month price targets for the two firms in the last three months, ‘The average price target of
CCL is $30 with a high estimate of $41 and a low estimate of $20 (Nasdaq, n.d.), and The
average price target of RCL is $85.4 with a high estimate of $111 and a low estimate of
$75’(Nasdaq, n.d.).
The suggestion from analyzing
Due to the valuation models having limitations, the common stock assessment can not only
use one approach. The authors will sum up all results above, to give the suggestion for CCL
and RCL’s common stock. And the authors made a table to show the table clearly.
Figure6 - Result compare table. (Qiao, Santoso and Wen, 2021 )
Valuation approaches CCL’s result RCL’s result
Revenue multiple Undervalue Overvalue
DDM Overvalue Overvalue
Analysts suggestion Buy Buy
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Judging from the result table shows, the CCL has two results stating a long position
(undervalued), and RCL only has one recommendation for long position from the analysts
suggestion. This stated that CCL is worth be invested in a long position, while the situation
RCL’s stock is not optimistic. In the DDM side, CCL’s result is overvaluing, but the revenue
multiple and analyst suggestion shows it is undervalued. Due to the particularity of each
model, the final assessment result needs to follow the most of result, so the CCL’s stock is
undervalued as well. According to the analyzes above that, the suggestion for CCL is to take
a long position buy and hold. The recommendation for RCL common stock is to take a short
position, or although the authors consider to wait for the situation to get better, then to invest
RCL’s common stock.
Discussion
The stock valuation is a complicated and comprehensive’s process, one model’s result does
not have any reference value. Such as the revenue multiple, the problem of the revenue
multiple is not easily cover the reality of the firm that has lost profit (Damodaran, 2011).
Moreover, the global crisis allows to impact the stock of each firm strongly, through financial
crisis (Amado, 2021 and Ashworth, 2020 ) and COIVD-19, CCL and RCL both have their
dividend paused in financial crisis and COIVD-19 periods. The investors also could follow
the crisis the choose how to invest the stock.
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Short to Medium Term Prospects
Financial Perspective
Figure7 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
According to the vertical analysis, RCL gross profit was increasing steadily until 2019. Then
due to the pause in operations it is declining, and still declining until Q3 2021. However, the
authors may argue that despite the obvious decline in net income in 2021, the gap is not as
big as it is for cost of revenue, showing a good cost management for RCL.
Figure 8 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
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The similar condition can be seen for CCL income statement, however the change of
net income is not as bad as RCL. This is due to their booked position for the Q2 2021 is at
new historical high, along with the strong booking volume for the future trips, and they even
have an unprecedented early demand for 2023 trips (Q3 CCL Report, 2021).
Figure9 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
From the horizontal analysis, we can see that the total revenue of RCL was growing at the
average of 11.5% from 2017 - 2019, showing a good sign of the company. Although the
percentage in horizontal analysis shows a positive change from 2019 to 2020, please be
advised that the number is growing in minus especially for gross profit. There is a slight
reduce of cost of revenue from 2020 – TTM, this is due to RCL has been shown to have
drastically reduce their operational cost to minimize the impact of operational pause since
early 2019.
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Figure10 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
As for CCL, the growth of total revenue from 2017 - 2019 was around 9%. The gross profit
and net income for CCL is almost similar to RCL. However, we can see the difference in cost
of revenue. There is quite a gap from 2019 – 2020, and 2020 – Q3 2021. This is because the
cost of revenue for CCL is still quite big in 2020 due to they put ship and other impairments
to the cost of revenue (CCL annual report, 2020), while RCL does not.
Managerial Perspectives
According to RCL Annual Report 10-K (2020), one of the major factors that could
affect the business is still the effect of Covid-19. The suspension of operations due to travel
bans and cruising advisories, RCL determines that it is necessary to voluntarily extend the
global operation suspension until at least April 30,2021. This results in the agreement of not
paying cash dividends until the end of Q3 2022. Aside from that, their operating costs
including fuel, food, payroll and benefits, air taxes, insurance, and security costs are all
subject to the geopolitical conditions. Being a globally operated business also provide a
certain risk for RCL as they are subject to more volatile regulations from different countries
across the globe. However, the company has worked relentlessly in restarting their
operations, seeing over 500 thousands guests sailed across five brands since the restart of
operations, and over 1 million expected by the end of the year (RCL 8K report Q3, 2021).
CCL also face the same risk from Covid-19 with a significant impact on the financial
conditions and operations. According to CCL Annual report 10-K (2020), in addition of the
direct cost of covid-19 such as providing air transport for crews and passengers and
repatriated shipboard crews, they have also been a subject to negative publicity as the result
of illness and loss of life in certain cases which may affect the company in a longer,
unpredictable term. Aside from all the similar reason with RCL, CCL shipbuilding contracts
are typically denominated in Euros, hence movements in foreign currency exchange will also
affect their financial activity. However, according to CCL business update Q3 (2021), the
company has sufficient liquidity of $7.8 billion to return to full cruise operations.
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Market Perspective
According to Statista (2021), the global cruise industry revenue grew to over 27
billion USD in recent years, before the hard impact of Covid-19. The USA is the leading
market with a margin of 4 times compared to Germany, the 2nd position. For cruise industry,
it is observed that offline sales channel is still dominating the industry, despite online booking
has been dominating other aspects of travel industry. Demographically speaking, most of the
ocean cruise passengers come from North America, which doubles the number of passengers
hailing from Western Europe. It is also seen that the islands of Carribean, the Bahamas, and
Bermuda have remained the top destinations.
Looking back further on the Covid-19 effects when the passengers on Diamond
Princess and Grand Princess got infected and forced to quarantine onboard, shaped the
perspectives of public of how terrifying lockdown onboard, and made it hard to imagine the
continuation of cruise industry. Even with the vaccination momentum in the USA in April
2021 and the loosening of travel restrictions, cruise ships remained suspending their
operation. However, if cruise lines can change this perspective of public, it would turn to be
beneficial, since the demand is still there, proven by about half of cancelled passengers would
prefer to keep their money as a travel credit rather than cash back. This is also in accordance
with the policies of each cruise lines, where usually they offer higher value for the credits as
incentive (Yeginsu and Chokshi, 2021).
Looking for the future, Deloitte (2021), says that cruise lines need to be ready to
welcome a new passenger demographics, the Millennials. With the rising of Millennials first-
timer onboard, a competition of heightened personalization and customization should become
the cruise lines focus. According to Deloitte’s Passenger-First Framework, the two elements
of “empower me” and “delight me” have larger influence than the others. This means that
cruise lines who wish to turn this market into their loyal customers, need to pay attention to
how they provide opportunities and access to drive customer’s experience on their own way,
and give moments that surprise and exceed their expectations.
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Financing Mix
Figure11 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
From the vertical analysis of RCL balance sheet, it can be seen that fixed and other assets
usually make up to more than 95% of the total asset. However, due to the pause of operation
in 2020, the company raised approximately $9 billion (roughly 27% increase of non-current
liabilities) of new capital through a combination of bond issuance, common stock public
offerings and other loan facilities (R.C. Group, 2021). As can be seen there is almost 10%
raise of the current assets, this is also to prepare its liquidity so it may be well positioned for
recovery.
.
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Figure12 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
Similar effort can be seen in CCL balance sheet’s vertical analysis, although with a slightly
higher volume. As can be seen in the chart, there is an increase of roughly 15% of the current
assets, and 20% raise of long-term debt in 2020. The authors may find the slight difference
does not affect much of the valuation for both company, hence stay indifferent.
Figure13 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
Looking at the horizontal analysis of RCL balance statement, we can see a declining trend for
the total assets. Despite this, the total assets still grow up to Q3 2021 at a positive rate 0.62%,
showing a the company is still growing. Furthermore, there is an obvious increase in current
assets on 2020. However, investors may be advised that the spike in current assets is due to
the company’s effort in staying liquid during the pandemic as can be seen from the spike in
total non-current liabilities. The downtrend in 2021 shows that they are capable of surviving
with the accumulated current assets in 2020.
18
Figure14 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
Unlike RCL, CCL total assets growth is counted as -0.15% in Q3 2021, showing a lack of
growth compared to RCL. However, the same indications can be seen in horizontal analysis
of CCL Balance sheet, although with a much higher volume, up to 413% increase of current
assets in 2020. This may due to the fact that up to the end of 2020, CCL is still bigger in size
compared to RCL, hence the need of bigger cash to keep the company afloat.
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Final Argument
Cash Flow Analysis
Figure15 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
Based on the trend analysis of CCL cash flow, its net cash flow was already fluctuating
before the pandemic. But it was amplified by great magnitude during 2020, with 38 times
downtrend. However, please be informed that the change in amount was from (241) $ million
in 2017 to a positive 9.161 $ billion in 2020. It was the result of financing activities as
mentioned before.
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Figure16 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
The horizontal analysis tells pretty much the same pattern, with a different range of
percentage. Here we can see clearly how the net cash flow financing in 2020 (2947%) affect
the total net cash flow change (2070%). The net cash flow operating also shows a good sign
of growing percentage on Q3 2021, a good indication that the company is starting to make
money from its daily operations, albeit still on the red.
Figure17 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
In the trend analysis of RCL cash flow, again we can see a similar pattern. The net cash flow
shows a growth of more than 7 times compared to 2017, however please note that the cash
flow in 2017 for RCL is negative. Therefore, any positive change shown in the trend analysis
shows a more negative figure for their net cash flow.
In the horizontal analysis of RCL cash flow, we can clearly see a different progression for the
3 components of cash flow statement. The growth of net cash flow and financing cash flow
means they are relying less on the financing cash flow. And the growth of operating cash flow
shows they are starting to make money in Q3 2021 albeit still in the red.
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Figure18 - (Qiao, Santoso, and Wen, 2021 )
Investment Recommendation
After analyzing the performance of stock and the evaluation of the companies by using
different sources, the authors believe it would be better to wait and see for the two
companies. The main reason being the cruise industry is heavily impacted by the whole
Covid-19 pandemic, and up until now it is still unknown when it will really go back to its
previous state, or at least finding the status quo. For example, with the new virus Omicron
variation found, it would affect the regulations on sailing again, despite the two companies
best effort in performing health and safety protocol.
However, when compared side by side, the authors believe that RCL would be better for the
short to medium term, due to a slightly better performance on income statement, balance
sheet, and the cash flow statement. In addition, the DDM model shows a wide margin, where
the market price currently is trading 5 times higher than its fair price, creating better
opportunities for short-selling, compared to CCL that is roughly only twice higher than its
fair price. For longer term however, investors may consider CCL as a better option due to it is
currently considered undervalued by the analysts suggestion and the revenue to market cap
model.
22
Group Reflection
The authors argue that in order for the above analysis stay relevant in the next 6-12 months, is
that there is no sudden negative impact. For example, right now the two companies are
already resuming their activities although at a slower rate, but if there is an outbreak onboard
like what happened in the Diamond Princess ship, it would affect the stock price drastically.
In conclusion, the two companies are extremely vulnerable to the dynamic regulations
regarding Covid-19.
First of all, the work division should be mentioned: the overview of two firms and stock
performances for the last 5 years are measured by Estela; common stock valuation is made by
Joya and financing mix and final argument are analyzed by Nicholas.
According to this report, we all enhanced a lot abilities, especially can confidently grasp
skills in stock market by knowing the trend performances on it, and also measure firms' stock
by using various of models. Although we struggled for this assignments for several days, we
had a discussion for several times as long as someone had difficulties or confusion in any
part, sorting out together and got along well with each other in harmony. It's worthy that we
spent time together and were able to hold and accomplish the report smoothly.
23
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quarter-earnings-and-updates-full-year-guidance/ (09 December 2021)
Royal Caribbean Group Press Center. (No date)Royal Caribbean Cruises Named One Of The
2019 World's Most Ethical Companies® By Ethisphere For the Fourth Consecutive
Year. Available at: https://presscenter.rclcorporate.com/press-release/26/royal-
caribbean-cruises-named-one-of-the-2019-worlds-most-ethical-companiesreg-by-
ethisphere-for-the-fourth-consecutive-year/ (09 December 2021)
Statista. 2021. Topic: Cruise industry worldwide. [online] Available at: <https://
www.statista.com/topics/1004/cruise-industry/#dossierKeyfigures> [Accessed 10
December 2021].
Yahoo Finance. (2021) Yahoo Finance CCL. [online] Available at: <https://
finance.yahoo.com/quote/RCL/profile?p=RCL> (29 November 2021).
Yahoo Finance. (2021) Yahoo Finance RCL. [online] Available at: <https://
finance.yahoo.com/quote/RCL/profile?p=RCL> (29 November 2021).
Yeginsu, C. and Chokshi, N., 2021. The Cruise Industry Stages a Comeback. [online]
Nytimes.com. Available at: <https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/28/travel/cruise-
industry-comeback.html>.
26
Appendix
1. Revenue Multiple
1.1 CCL
1.2 RCL
2. DDM
2.1 CCL DDM
Maket cap 2240600000 Marker price 19.25 Outsranding share= 116394805.2 total revenue 654,000,000.00 price of sales 3.425993884 industry price to sales 5.54 market cap = 3623160000 Fair value = 31.12819334
maket cap 19004000000 marker price 74.73 Outstanding share= 254302154.4 total revenue 584,024,000 price of sales 32.53975864 industry price to sales 5.54 market cap = 3235492960 fair value = 12.72302615
CCL CAPM CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) R = Rrf+Beta (Rm-Rrf) Rrf = 1.43% (Source )
Rm = 9.80% (Source )
CCL's beta = 2.14 (Source )
R = 1.43%+2.14*(9.8%-1.43%) = 19.34%
year Dividend of each year
2007 1.375 2008 1.6 2009 0 2010 0.4 2011 1 2012 1.5 2013 1
27
3. RCL DDM
2014 1 2015 1.1 2016 1.35 2017 1.6 2018 1.95 2019 2 2020 0.5
Slope = 0.04291209 intercept= -85.233846 For get the fair value: P0= D1/(r-g) fro 2022 1.5343956 (D1)
for 2023 1.57730769 2.80% for 2024 1.62021978 2.72% for 2025 1.66313187 2.65% for 2026 1.70604396 2.58% R= 19.34% g= 2.69% Fair velue 9.21558922
RCL CAPM CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) R = Rrf+Beta (Rm-Rrf) Rrf = 1.43% Source
Rm = 9.80% Source
RCL's beta = 2.62 Source
R = 1.43%+2.14*(9.8%-1.43%) = 23.36%
year Dividend for each year
2007 0.6 2008 0.45 2009 0 2010 0 2011 0.2 2012 0.44 2013 0.72 2014 1.1 2015 1.35
28
2016 1.71 2017 2.16 2018 2.6 2019 2.96 2020 0.5
Slope = 0.16591209 intercept= -333.00756 For find the fair value: P0= D1/(r-g) For 2022 2.46668132 (D1) For 2023 2.63259341 6.73% For 2024 2.79850549 6.30% For 2025 2.96441758 5.93% For 2026 3.13032967 5.60% R= 23.36%
g=(5ys of future) 6.14%
Fair velue 14.3250132
29
4. RCL’s Income statement
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 TTM
Total Revenue 8,777,845 9,493,849 10,950,661 2,208,805 584,024
Cost of Revenue 4,896,579 5,262,207 6,062,765 2,765,108 1,787,268
Gross Profit 3,881,266 4,231,642 4,887,896 -556,303 -1,203,244
Operating Expense 2,137,210 2,336,841 2,805,195 2,478,874 2,400,094
Operating Income 1,744,056 1,894,801 2,082,701 -3,035,177 -3,603,338
Net Non Operating Interest Income
-269,881 -300,872 -381,568 -823,202 -1,262,479
Other Income Expense 150,958 221,863 206,467 -1,916,751 -404,649
Pretax Income 1,625,133 1,815,792 1,907,600 -5,775,130 -5,270,466
Net Income Common Stockholder
1,625,133 1,811,042 1,878,887 -5,797,462 -5,270,466
Diluted NI Available to Common Stockholder
1,625,133 1,811,042 1,878,887 -5,797,462 -5,270,466
Basic EPS 7.57 8.60 8.97 -27.05 0
Diluted EPS 7.53 8.56 8.95 -27.05 0
Basic Average Shares 214,617 210,570 209,405 214,335 0
Diluted Average Shares 215,694 211,554 209,930 214,335 0
Total Operating Income as Reported
1,744,056 1,894,801 2,082,701 -4,601,557 -3,855,138
Total Expenses 7,033,789 7,599,048 8,867,960 5,243,982 4,187,362
Interest Income 30,101 32,800 26,945 21,036 18,596
Interest Expense 299,982 333,672 408,513 844,238 1,281,075
Net Interest Income -269,881 -300,872 -381,568 -823,202 -1,262,479
Net Income from Continuing & Distributing
1,625,133 1,811,042 1,878,887 -5,797,462 -5,270,466
Normalized Income 1,531,385 1,657,190 1,710,272 -4,017,796 -4,808,594
EBIT 1,925,115 2,149,464 2,316,113 -4,930,892 -3,989,391
EBITDA 0 0 0 0 -2,711,851
Reconciled Cost of Revenue 4,896,579 5,262,207 6,062,765 2,765,108 1,787,268
Reconciled Depreciation 951,194 1,033,697 1,245,945 1,279,254 1,277,540
Net Income from Continuing Operations
1,625,133 1,811,042 1,878,887 -5,797,462 -5,270,466
30
5. RCL’s Vertical Analysis
Total Unusual Items Excluding Goods
156,247 210,756 230,980 -1,779,666 -461,872
Total Unusual Items 156,247 210,756 230,980 -1,779,666 -461,872
Normalized EBITDA 2,720,062 2,972,405 3,331,075 -1,871,972 -2,249,979
Tax Rate for Calcs 0 0 0 0 0
Tax Effect of Unusual Items 62,499 56,904 62,365 0 0
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 TTM
Total Revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Cost of Revenue 55.78% 55.43% 55.36% 125.19% 306.03%
Gross Profit 44.22% 44.57% 44.64% -25.19% -206.03%
Operating Expense 24.35% 24.61% 25.62% 112.23% 410.96%
Operating Income 19.87% 19.96% 19.02% -137.41% -616.98%
Net Non Operating Interest Income
-3.07% -3.17% -3.48% -37.27% -216.17%
Other Income Expense 1.72% 2.34% 1.89% -86.78% -69.29%
Pretax Income 18.51% 19.13% 17.42% -261.46% -902.44%
Net Income Common Stockholder
18.51% 19.08% 17.16% -262.47% -902.44%
Diluted NI Available to Common Stockholder
18.51% 19.08% 17.16% -262.47% -902.44%
Basic EPS 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Diluted EPS 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Basic Average Shares 2.44% 2.22% 1.91% 9.70% 0.00%
Diluted Average Shares 2.46% 2.23% 1.92% 9.70% 0.00%
Total Operating Income as Reported
19.87% 19.96% 19.02% -208.33% -660.10%
Total Expenses 80.13% 80.04% 80.98% 237.41% 716.98%
Interest Income 0.34% 0.35% 0.25% 0.95% 3.18%
Interest Expense 3.42% 3.51% 3.73% 38.22% 219.35%
Net Interest Income -3.07% -3.17% -3.48% -37.27% -216.17%
31
6. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis
Net Income from Continuing & Distributing
18.51% 19.08% 17.16% -262.47% -902.44%
Normalized Income 17.45% 17.46% 15.62% -181.90% -823.36%
EBIT 21.93% 22.64% 21.15% -223.24% -683.09%
EBITDA 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -464.34%
Reconciled Cost of Revenue
55.78% 55.43% 55.36% 125.19% 306.03%
Reconciled Depreciation 10.84% 10.89% 11.38% 57.92% 218.75%
Net Income from Continuing Operations
18.51% 19.08% 17.16% -262.47% -902.44%
Total Unusual Items Excluding Goods
1.78% 2.22% 2.11% -80.57% -79.08%
Total Unusual Items 1.78% 2.22% 2.11% -80.57% -79.08%
Normalized EBITDA 30.99% 31.31% 30.42% -84.75% -385.25%
Tax Rate for Calcs 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Tax Effect of Unusual Items 0.71% 0.60% 0.57% 0.00% 0.00%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 TTM
Total Revenue 8% 15% -80% -74%
Cost of Revenue 7% 15% -54% -35%
Gross Profit 9% 16% -111% 116%
Operating Expense 9% 20% -12% -3%
Operating Income 9% 10% -246% 19%
Net Non Operating Interest Income
11% 27% 116% 53%
Other Income Expense 47% -7% -1028% -79%
Pretax Income 12% 5% -403% -9%
Net Income Common Stockholder
11% 4% -409% -9%
Diluted NI Available to Common Stockholder
11% 4% -409% -9%
Basic EPS 14% 4% -402% N/A
32
7. RCL’s Balance Sheet
Diluted EPS 14% 5% -402% N/A
Basic Average Shares -2% -1% 2% N/A
Diluted Average Shares -2% -1% 2% N/A
Total Operating Income as Reported
9% 10% -321% -16%
Total Expenses 8% 17% -41% -20%
Interest Income 9% -18% -22% -12%
Interest Expense 11% 22% 107% 52%
Net Interest Income 11% 27% 116% 53%
Net Income from Continuing & Distributing
11% 4% -409% -9%
Normalized Income 8% 3% -335% 20%
EBIT 12% 8% -313% -19%
EBITDA N/A N/A N/A N/A
Reconciled Cost of Revenue
7% 15% -54% -35%
Reconciled Depreciation 9% 21% 3% 0%
Net Income from Continuing Operations
11% 4% -409% -9%
Total Unusual Items Excluding Goods
35% 10% -870% -74%
Total Unusual Items 35% 10% -870% -74%
Normalized EBITDA 9% 12% -156% 20%
Tax Rate for Calcs N/A N/A N/A N/A
Tax Effect of Unusual Items -9% 10% N/A N/A
BALANCE SHEET
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 9/29/2021 (Q3 2021)
Total Assets 22,296,317 27,698,270 30,320,284 32,465,187 32,665,566
Current Assets 843,028 1,242,044 1,162,628 4,311,747 4,167,381
Non-current Assets 21,453,289 26,456,226 29,157,656 28,153,440 28,498,185
Total Liabilities Net Minority Interest
11,594,014 16,592,809 18,156,438 23,704,518 26,198,068
33
8. RCL’s Vertical analysis
Current Liabilities 4,790,264 7,112,165 7,952,896 4,537,121 5,242,920
Total Non- Current Liabilities
6,803,750 9,480,644 10,203,542 19,167,397 20,955,148
Total Equity Gross Minority Interest
10,702,303 11,105,461 12,163,846 8,760,669 6,467,498
Total Capitalization 17,053,240 19,460,831 20,577,956 26,718,625 26,350,258
Common Stock Equity 10,702,303 11,105,461 12,163,846 8,760,669 6,467,498
Capital Lease Obligations - - 698,617 666,553 620,440
Net Tangible Assets 10,413,791 9,727,108 10,289,627 7,506,335 5,658,125
Working Capital -3,947,236 -5,870,121 -6,790,268 -225,374 -1,075,539
Invested Capital 18,241,754 21,883,160 23,198,722 28,089,712 27,307,001
Tangible Book Value 10,413,791 9,727,108 10,289,627 7,506,335 5,658,125
Total Debt 7,539,451 10,777,699 11,733,493 19,995,596 21,459,943
Net Debt 7,419,339 10,489,847 10,791,138 15,644,569 17,550,177
Share Issued 235,199 235,848 236,548 265,198 282,672
Ordinary Shares Number 213,338 209,017 208,801 237,399 254,789
Treasury Shares Number 21,861 26,831 27,747 27,800 27,883
VERTICAL ANALYSIS
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 9/29/2021 (Q3 2021)
Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Current Assets 3.78% 4.48% 3.83% 13.28% 12.76%
Non-current Assets 96.22% 95.52% 96.17% 86.72% 87.24%
Total Liabilities Net Minority Interest
52.00% 59.91% 59.88% 73.02% 80.20%
Current Liabilities 21.48% 25.68% 26.23% 13.98% 16.05%
Total Non- Current Liabilities
30.52% 34.23% 33.65% 59.04% 64.15%
Total Equity Gross Minority Interest
48.00% 40.09% 40.12% 26.98% 19.80%
Total Capitalization 76.48% 70.26% 67.87% 82.30% 80.67%
Common Stock Equity 48.00% 40.09% 40.12% 26.98% 19.80%
34
9. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis
Capital Lease Obligations N/A N/A 2.30% 2.05% 1.90%
Net Tangible Assets 46.71% 35.12% 33.94% 23.12% 17.32%
Working Capital -17.70% -21.19% -22.40% -0.69% -3.29%
Invested Capital 81.82% 79.01% 76.51% 86.52% 83.60%
Tangible Book Value 46.71% 35.12% 33.94% 23.12% 17.32%
Total Debt 33.81% 38.91% 38.70% 61.59% 65.70%
Net Debt 33.28% 37.87% 35.59% 48.19% 53.73%
Share Issued 1.05% 0.85% 0.78% 0.82% 0.87%
Ordinary Shares Number 0.96% 0.75% 0.69% 0.73% 0.78%
Treasury Shares Number 0.10% 0.10% 0.09% 0.09% 0.09%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 9/29/2021 (Q3 2021)
Total Assets 24.23% 9.47% 7.07% 0.62%
Current Assets 47.33% -6.39% 270.86% -3.35%
Non-current Assets 23.32% 10.21% -3.44% 1.22%
Total Liabilities Net Minority Interest
43.12% 9.42% 30.56% 10.52%
Current Liabilities 48.47% 11.82% -42.95% 15.56%
Total Non- Current Liabilities
39.34% 7.62% 87.85% 9.33%
Total Equity Gross Minority Interest
3.77% 9.53% -27.98% -26.18%
Total Capitalization 14.12% 5.74% 29.84% -1.38%
Common Stock Equity 3.77% 9.53% -27.98% -26.18%
Capital Lease Obligations N/A N/A -4.59% -6.92%
Net Tangible Assets -6.59% 5.78% -27.05% -24.62%
Working Capital 48.71% 15.68% -96.68% 377.22%
Invested Capital 19.96% 6.01% 21.08% -2.79%
Tangible Book Value -6.59% 5.78% -27.05% -24.62%
Total Debt 42.95% 8.87% 70.41% 7.32%
35
10. RCL’s Cash Flow
11. RCL’s Trend Analysis
Net Debt 41.39% 2.87% 44.98% 12.18%
Share Issued 0.28% 0.30% 12.11% 6.59%
Ordinary Shares Number -2.03% -0.10% 13.70% 7.33%
Treasury Shares Number 22.73% 3.41% 0.19% 0.30%
CASH FLOW
12/30/2017 12/30/2018 12/30/2019 12/30/2020 9/29/2021 (Q3 2021)
Operating Cash Flow 2,874,566 3,479,139 3,716,366 -3,731,653 -2,498,167
Investing Cash Flow -213,592 -4,489,158 -3,091,406 -2,178,566 -1,950,107
Financing Cash Flow -2,675,796 1,198,073 -670,371 9,349,788 4,718,585
End Cash Position 120,112 287,852 243,738 3,684,474 3,287,099
Interest Paid Supplemental Data
249,615 252,466 246,312 418,164 790,841
Capital Expenditure -564,138 -3,660,028 -3,024,663 -1,965,131 -2,046,161
Issuance of Capital Stock - - - 1,431,375 3,053,235
Issuance of Debt 5,866,966 13,321,026 29,766,104 20,313,005 5,019,077
Repayment of Debt -7,835,087 -10,928,961 -29,673,355 -11,682,768 -3,177,340
Repurchase of Capital Stock -224,998 -575,039 -99,582 0 -
Free Cash Flow 2,310,428 -180,889 691,703 -5,696,784 -4,544,328
Net Cash Flow (Nasdaq, 2021) -12,491 167,740 -44,114 3,440,736 -961,043
TREND ANALYSIS
11/29/2017 11/29/2018 11/29/2019 11/29/2020 TTM
Operating Cash Flow 100% 121% 129% -130% -87%
Investing Cash Flow 100% 2102% 1447% 1020% 913%
Financing Cash Flow 100% -45% 25% -349% -176%
End Cash Position 100% 240% 203% 3068% 2737%
Interest Paid Supplemental Data
100% 101% 99% 168% 317%
36
12. RCL’s Horizontal Analysis
Capital Expenditure 100% 649% 536% 348% 363%
Issuance of Capital Stock - - - - -
Issuance of Debt 100% 227% 507% 346% 86%
Repayment of Debt 100% 139% 379% 149% 41%
Repurchase of Capital Stock 100% 256% 44% 0% -
Free Cash Flow 100% -8% 30% -247% -197%
Net Cash Flow (Nasdaq, 2021) 100% -1343% 353% -27546% 7694%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS
11/29/2017 11/29/2018 11/29/2019 11/29/2020 TTM
Operating Cash Flow 21.03% 6.82% -200.41% -33.05%
Investing Cash Flow 2001.74% -31.14% -29.53% -10.49%
Financing Cash Flow -144.77% -155.95% -1494.72% -49.53%
End Cash Position 139.65% -15.33% 1411.65% -10.79%
Interest Paid Supplemental Data
1.14% -2.44% 69.77% 89.12%
Capital Expenditure 548.78% -17.36% -35.03% 4.12%
Issuance of Capital Stock N/A N/A N/A 113.31%
Issuance of Debt 127.05% 123.45% -31.76% -75.29%
Repayment of Debt 39.49% 171.51% -60.63% -72.80%
Repurchase of Capital Stock 155.58% -82.68% -100.00% N/A
Free Cash Flow -107.83% -482.39% -923.59% -20.23%
Net Cash Flow (Nasdaq, 2021) -1442.89% -126.30% -7899.65% -127.93%
37
13.CCL’s Income Statement
14. CCL’s Vertical Analysis
INCOME STATEMENT
(in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Revenue 17,510,000 18,881,000 20,825,000 5,595,000 546,000
Cost of Revenue 10,501,000 11,089,000 12,909,000 8,245,000 1,616,000
Gross Profit 7,009,000 7,792,000 7,916,000 -2,650,000 -1,070,000
Operating Expenses
Sales, General, and Admin 2,265,000 2,450,000 2,480,000 1,878,000 426,000
Non-Recurring Items 89,000 0 0 2,096,000
Other Operating Items 1,846,000 2,017,000 2,160,000 2,241,000 562,000
Operating Income 2,809,000 3,325,000 3,276,000 -8,865,000 -2,057,000
Add'l income/ expense items 55,000 76,000 -9,000 -493,000 -385,000
EBIT 2,864,000 3,401,000 3,266,000 -9,358,000 -2,441,000
Interest Expense 198,000 194,000 206,000 895,000 418,000
Eearnings Before Tax 2,666,000 3,207,000 3,060,000 -10,253,000 -2,859,000
Income Tax 60,000 54,000 71,000 -17,000 -23,000
Minority Interest
Equity Earnings / Loss Unconsolidated Subsidiary
Net Income Continuous Operations
2,606,000 3,153,000 2,989,000 -10,236,000 -2,836,000
Net Income 2,606,000 3,152,000 2,990,000 -10,236,000 -2,836,000
Net Income Applicable to Common Shareholders
2,606,000 3,152,000 2,990,000 -10,236,000 -2,836,000
VERTICAL ANALYSIS
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Revenue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
38
15. CCL’s Horizontal Analysis
Cost of Revenue 59.97% 58.73% 61.99% 147.36% 295.97%
Gross Profit 40.03% 41.27% 38.01% -47.36% -195.97%
Operating Expenses Sales, General, and Admin 12.94% 12.98% 11.91% 33.57% 78.02%
Non-Recurring Items 0.51% 0.00% 0.00% 37.46% 0.00%
Other Operating Items 10.54% 10.68% 10.37% 40.05% 102.93%
Operating Income 16.04% 17.61% 15.73% -158.45% -376.74%
Add'l income/ expense items 0.31% 0.40% -0.04% -8.81% -70.51%
EBIT 16.36% 18.01% 15.68% -167.26% -447.07%
Interest Expense 1.13% 1.03% 0.99% 16.00% 76.56%
Eearnings Before Tax 15.23% 16.99% 14.69% -183.25% -523.63%
Income Tax 0.34% 0.29% 0.34% -0.30% -4.21%
Minority Interest - - - - -
Equity Earnings / Loss Unconsolidated Subsidiary
- - - - -
Net Income Continuous Operations
14.88% 16.70% 14.35% -182.95% -519.41%
Net Income 14.88% 16.69% 14.36% -182.95% -519.41%
Net Income Applicable to Common Shareholders
14.88% 16.69% 14.36% -182.95% -519.41%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Revenue 7.83% 10.30% -73.13% -90.24%
Cost of Revenue 5.60% 16.41% -36.13% -80.40%
Gross Profit 11.17% 1.59% -133.48% -59.62%
Operating Expenses Sales, General, and Admin 8.17% 1.22% -24.27% -77.32%
Non-Recurring Items -100.00% - - -100.00%
Other Operating Items 9.26% 7.09% 3.75% -74.92%
Operating Income 18.37% -1.47% -370.60% -76.80%
Add'l income/ expense items 38.18% -111.84% 5377.78% -21.91%
39
16. CCL’s Balance Sheet
EBIT 18.75% -3.97% -386.53% -73.92%
Interest Expense -2.02% 6.19% 334.47% -53.30%
Eearnings Before Tax 20.29% -4.58% -435.07% -72.12%
Income Tax -10.00% 31.48% -123.94% 35.29%
Minority Interest - - - -
Equity Earnings / Loss Unconsolidated Subsidiary
- - - -
Net Income Continuous Operations
20.99% -5.20% -442.46% -72.29%
Net Income 20.95% -5.14% -442.34% -72.29%
Net Income Applicable to Common Shareholders
20.95% -5.14% -442.34% -72.29%
BALANCE SHEET (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Assets 40,778,000 42,401,000 45,058,000 53,593,000 53,514,000
Total Liabilities 16,562,000 17,957,000 19,692,000 33,038,000 38,652,000
Total Equity 24,216,000 24,443,000 25,365,000 20,555,000 14,863,000
Total Current Asset 1,596,000 2,225,000 2,059,000 10,563,000 8,909,000
Fixed Assets 34,430,000 35,336,000 38,131,000 39,443,000 40,283,000
Goodwill, Intangible, & Other Assets
4,752,000 4,839,000 4,869,000 3,587,000 4,323,000
Total Current Liabilities 8,800,000 9,204,000 9,127,000 8,686,000 9,491,000
Long-Term Debt 6,993,000 7,897,000 9,675,000 22,130,000 26,831,000
Other Liabilities 769,000 856,000 890,000 2,222,000 2,330,000
Common Stocks 365,000 365,000 365,000 372,000 372,000
Capital Suplus 23,292,000 25,066,000 26,653,000 16,075,000 9,194,000
Retained Earnings -6,349,000 -7,795,000 -8,394,000 -8,404,000 -8,500,000
Treasury Stock 8,690,000 8,756,000 8,807,000 13,948,000 15,146,000
Other Equity -1,782,000 -1,949,000 -2,066,000 -1,436,000 -1,349,000
40
17. CCL’s Vertical Analysis
18. Horizontal Analysis
VERTICAL ANALYSIS (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Assets 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Total Liabilities 40.62% 42.35% 43.70% 61.65% 72.23%
Total Equity 59.38% 57.65% 56.29% 38.35% 27.77%
Total Current Asset 3.91% 5.25% 4.57% 19.71% 16.65%
Fixed Assets 84.43% 83.34% 84.63% 73.60% 75.28%
Goodwill, Intangible, & Other Assets
11.65% 11.41% 10.81% 6.69% 8.08%
Total Current Liabilities 21.58% 21.71% 20.26% 16.21% 17.74%
Long-Term Debt 17.15% 18.62% 21.47% 41.29% 50.14%
Other Liabilities 1.89% 2.02% 1.98% 4.15% 4.35%
Common Stocks 0.90% 0.86% 0.81% 0.69% 0.70%
Capital Suplus 57.12% 59.12% 59.15% 29.99% 17.18%
Retained Earnings -15.57% -18.38% -18.63% -15.68% -15.88%
Treasury Stock 21.31% 20.65% 19.55% 26.03% 28.30%
Other Equity -4.37% -4.60% -4.59% -2.68% -2.52%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Total Assets 3.98% 6.27% 18.94% -0.15%
Total Liabilities 8.42% 9.66% 67.77% 16.99%
Total Equity 0.94% 3.77% -18.96% -27.69%
Total Current Asset 39.41% -7.46% 413.02% -15.66%
Fixed Assets 2.63% 7.91% 3.44% 2.13%
Goodwill, Intangible, & Other Assets
1.83% 0.62% -26.33% 20.52%
Total Current Liabilities 4.59% -0.84% -4.83% 9.27%
Long-Term Debt 12.93% 22.51% 128.73% 21.24%
Other Liabilities 11.31% 3.97% 149.66% 4.86%
Common Stocks 0.00% 0.00% 1.92% 0.00%
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19. CCL’s Cash Flow
20. CCL’s Trend Analysis
21. CCL’s Horizontal Analysis
Capital Suplus 7.62% 6.33% -39.69% -42.81%
Retained Earnings 22.78% 7.68% 0.12% 1.14%
Treasury Stock 0.76% 0.58% 58.37% 8.59%
Other Equity 9.37% 6.00% -30.49% -6.06%
CASH FLOW (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Net Cash-Flow Operating 5,322,000 5,549,000 5,475,000 -6,301,000 -879,000
Net Cash Flows-Investing -3,122,000 -3,514,000 -5,277,000 -3,240,000 620,000
Net Cash Flows- Financing
-2,452,000 -1,460,000 -655,000 18,650,000 376,000
Net Cash Flow -241,000 574,000 -465,000 9,161,000 111,000
TREND ANALYSIS (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Net Cash-Flow Operating 100.00% 104.27% 102.87% -118.40% -16.52%
Net Cash Flows-Investing 100.00% 112.56% 169.03% 103.78% -19.86%
Net Cash Flows- Financing
100.00% 59.54% 26.71% -760.60% -15.33%
Net Cash Flow 100.00% -238.17% 192.95% -3801.24% -46.06%
HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS (in thousand)
11/30/2017 11/30/2018 11/30/2019 11/30/2020 8/31/2021 (Q3)
Net Cash-Flow Operating 4.27% -1.33% -215.09% -86.05%
Net Cash Flows-Investing 12.56% 50.17% -38.60% -119.14%
Net Cash Flows- Financing
-40.46% -55.14% -2947.33% -97.98%
Net Cash Flow -338.17% -181.01% -2070.11% -98.79%
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43
- Executive Summary
- Table of content
- Overview
- Common stock valuation
- Financing Mix
- Final Argument
- Group Reflection
- References List
- Appendix