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Trade and Green Economy

1. Introduction

The potential trade risks of a transition to a green economy

— protectionism, conditionality, subsidies — are issues of long

standing and not unique to the green economy. The urgency of

the global challenges which a green economy transformation is

intended to address, and the scale of the actions being taken by

many countries to build green economies, does however bring

renewed focus to these risks.

At the same time, the new greening of markets associated

with a green economy may provide opportunities for many

developing countries to find global markets for goods and

services with low environmental impacts. This will, however, test

the supply capacities of developing countries as reflected, for

example, in domestic trade infrastructure.

The green economy offers an opportunity to improve both

global trade governance and the domestic trade environment to

ensure that trade contributes positively to a green economy in

the context of sustainable development and poverty eradication.

2. Policy options for green transformation and

trade implications

As a growing number of countries adopt strategies and

policies to promote a transition to a green economy, this will

have implications for trade flows and trading opportunities. The

following external and internal measures and pressures, not

necessarily mutually exclusive, may serve as driving forces to a

transition to a green economy via international trade.

1) Local regulations and rules. For example, some U.S. states

have imposed recycling requirements on newsprint, which is

likely to have significant implications for the forest industries of

its trading partners.

2) Environmentally-driven consumer pressure from major

customers: For instance, the Chief Executive Officer of one of

Canada’s most competitive paper companies remarked that the

pressures from his European customers have become so severe

that he is now running his mills to European, rather than

Canadian, standards.

3) National legislation and plans: For example, many Chinese

business leaders expect to face much stronger environmental

regulations and an environmental tax over the next five years

under China’s 12th five-year plan. Many are building major

changes into their long term trade and investment planning to

accommodate the need for sustainable development.

4) Unilateral policy measures: Many countries seem committed

to the use of trade measures to persuade other countries to

change their domestic environmental practices, despite the fact

that many measures may be contrary to GATT-WTO rules (see

Table 1 and discussion).

5) International environmental, climate change

agreements/conventions: The outcome of negotiations on

climate change will have an influence on trade, e.g., by affecting

the consumption of various natural resources which are traded

and shifting demand for various low-carbon technologies (see

Table 1).

Some countries have expressed concerns that a green

economy transition could cause their export industries to

experience declining demand or competitiveness. 1 These

concerns can be real and need to be addressed through pro-

active policies at both national and international level. 2

Competitiveness and environmental standards are often

considered enemies. There is evidence, however, that trade

policy and environmental policy can act as complements in the

development of conditions within which firms can innovate and

become more internationally competitive. 3 Germany and Japan

have amongst the toughest environmental regimes in the world,

yet both are among the most able to compete internationally.

Their strategies are clear: innovate now and capture markets in

the future. It should be stressed, however, that technological

capacity is key to such success.

Table 1 shows three broad categories of policy measures:

regulatory measures, fiscal measures and trade capacity

development measures which may affect trade. The 'traffic lights'

in the right-hand column provide simple signals by assessing

GATT-WTO rules and disciplines. Green light illustrates that policy

measures are generally free from trade concerns. Yellow light

requires moving slowly with caution and underlines the need to

revisit the rules to seek further clarity. Red light means "stop" or

“no-go-zone” under current WTO rules. The following sub-

sections discuss each of these green transformation measures,

their trade-related concerns and proposed responses.

1 See Cosbey‘s (2010) analysis on trade and competitiveness impact.

2 See the subject of Rio 2012 Issues Brief #4 on New Growth Strategies in a Green

Economy. 3 For example, Japan refused to shelter its industry from the oil shocks of the

1970s. Indeed, it increased the domestic pressure by adding taxes to the price

increases. This contributed to Japanese industry’s inventing the energy efficient

technology of the 1980s.

March 2011

Produced by the UNCSD Secretariat and UNCTAD No. 1

RIO+20 Issues Briefs

www.uncsd2012.org

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2.1 Environmental regulations, standards, labelling

and certification

Concern: There is a large body of environmentally-related rules

and regulations. 4 The regulations, standards and labelling may

represent significant obstacles to market entry.

Suggestion: One type of standard with potential to promote a

green economy dictates the energy efficiency of a product in use.

But different countries all have different standards, meaning

higher costs for exporters and less dissemination. An

international harmonization of standards and labelling would be a

solid step towards lowering entry barriers, but there is no obvious

forum for such harmonization (Cosbey, 2010).

2.2 Unilateral border carbon adjustments (BCAs), air and

sea transport levies

Concern: The risks associated with environmentally-related

border tax policies are that they may be disguised protection of

domestic firms. Countries could face significant difficulties in

establishing that the proposed border measure would be

compatible with WTO rules. In particular, border tax adjustments

or international transportation levies have the potential to impact

negatively trade and the conditions of competition for developing

country exporters, or to penalize them unfairly.

Suggestion: The solution may be regime design, ideally based on

internationally agreed principles (Cosbey, 2010). 5 Nevertheless,

the issue of BCAs will likely remain on the table in the

negotiations on climate change, in the trade negotiations of the

Doha Development Agenda and in the multilateral trading system

in the near term. Some have suggested that a firm Multilateral

Environmental Agreement (with explicit reference to trade

measures) can form the basis for origin-based charges on traded

goods. 6 This requires strong carbon monitoring, reporting and

verification (MRV). In the absence of a global agreement, MRV

may be developed on a bilateral or regional basis.

2.3 Subsidies and domestic support mechanisms

Concern: Recently, there have been a number of trade disputes

related to 'green subsidies' and domestic support for green

sectors. For example, the US government has petitioned in late

2010 to take China to WTO dispute settlement for its support to

clean energy sectors. One question is whether environmental

threats like climate change might provide a strong enough base

to re-examine the WTO rules on domestic support to ensure that

renewable energy can be promoted effectively.

4 For details of a sectoral analysis, see Cosbey, 2010.

5 For example, one of the key negotiation issues on taxing international

transportation is how to build on special and differential treatment principle so

that small and vulnerable economies, such as small island states dependent on

tourism trade, are protected. 6 See Sussex Energy Group Policy Briefing, No. 8, May 2010.

Suggestion: In discussing specific subsidy-related rules of

relevance to climate change, some have suggested the careful

revival of an expired clause in the WTO subsidies agreement

specifying that certain environmental subsidies were "non-

actionable" (meaning that they are permitted) as a way of

encouraging support for clean technologies (ICTSD, 2008). In this

regard, developing countries have proposed that the

environmental subsidies they provide shall be considered “non-

actionable” under WTO rules.

2.4 Technology transfer and intellectual property rights

Concern: Intellectual property rights (IPRs) have long been a tool

to promote innovation and the dissemination of new ideas and

inventions. 7 The crucial issue is how they help or hinder

developing countries’ gaining access to technologies and

enhancing indigenous technological capacity for their

development (Cosbey, 2011).

Suggestion: A global green economy package could promote the

faster development of green technologies through collaborative

arrangements that enshrine the sharing of technologies and the

utilization of financing mechanisms like the green climate fund to

acquire and place in the public domain IPRs for key climate-

related technologies. These types of initiatives would be a solid

step toward a green economy (ICTSD, 2008).

2.5 Liberalization of environmental goods and services

Concern: Liberalizing trade in environmental goods and services

(EGS) has been on the agenda of the WTO Doha Round since the

beginning. Yet, very little has been achieved. Two particular areas

of controversy involve "dual use" technologies that may be used

to reduce emissions as well as meet other consumer needs, and

agriculture products.

Suggestion: Any liberalization package will need to be

complemented by a set of financial and technical assistance

measures. The impact of trade liberalization for climate change

mitigation efforts will only be as effective as the broader enabling

framework within which it is put into play (ICTSD, 2008).

Developing countries need to have the prospect of developing

capacities to compete domestically and internationally in the EGS

industry.

7 Odagiri, H. et al eds. (2010), Intellectual Property Rights, Development, and Catch

Up: An International Comparative Study, Oxford University Press.

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Table 1. Examples of green transformation measures and related trade implications

Green transformation measures Assessing GATT-WTO compatibility

Examples of regulatory measures WTO-rule compatibility and conditions

Energy efficiency standards

1) These have been introduced in most OECD countries,

but also in certain developing countries.

2) In 2006, 57 countries with 80 percent of the world’s

population had energy efficiency standards and labeling

programs in place.

Yellow light:

WTO’s Technical Barriers to Trade agreement prohibits

standards that create unnecessary obstacles to trade,

and favors international standards over national ones.

Environmental labeling schemes

For example, carbon labeling schemes describe the carbon

dioxide emissions created as a by-product of

manufacturing, transporting, and disposing of a consumer

product.

Yellow light:

It is unclear whether labeling can be based on process

and production methods (PPMs) that do not affect the

end characteristics of final products.

The WTO-US Shrimp-Turtle case seems to give a green

light, subject to conditions for acceptability. 8

Regulations, standards and targets for renewable energy

1) China: 15 percent from renewables by 2020;

2) EU: 20 percent of energy from renewables by 2020;

3) US: 35 billion gallons of alternative fuels in 2017.

Green light:

National targets for renewables per se do not generally

raise trade concerns so far. However, government

measures to achieve the targets may raise trade

concerns.

Examples of fiscal measures WTO-rule compatibility and conditions

Domestic carbon and energy taxation

1) Energy taxes on consumption;

2) Embedded carbon taxes proposed in some countries

but actually implemented in few.

Green light:

Domestic carbon and energy taxes do not raise trade

concerns as long as national treatment and non-

discrimination principles apply.

Carbon/energy tax on imports or exports

Border tax adjustment on imports/exports proposed in

some countries but not yet implemented in any.

Yellow light:

1) Under GATT rules border tax adjustments are possible

for taxes levied directly on products.

2) It is unclear whether adjustment can be made for

taxes on unincorporated input (such as energy) during

the production of goods.

Subsidies and domestic support mechanisms part I

Subsidies to biofuels are common in many developed and

developing countries.

Subsidies and domestic support mechanisms part II

Subsidies to renewable energy

Red light:

The SCM (subsidies and countervailing measures)

agreement of WTO does not allow enterprise- and

sector-specific subsidies, if they cause adverse effects

for foreign producers.

The Agreement prohibits two types of subsidies: those

contingent on exports and those contingent on the use

of domestic over imported goods. 9

Sustainable government procurement

Green procurement policies in several countries

Green light:

Environmental factors can be taken into account in

government procurement decisions under the WTO

Agreement on government procurement (GPA)

Examples of capacity development measures WTO-rule compatibility and conditions

Trade facilitation, promotion, and financing, as well as Aid-

for-Trade for green sectors 10

See Section 3.

Green light:

Trade facilitation and trade finance do not generally

raise trade concerns so far.

Note: The current institutional home for global trade rules and disciplines is WTO. However, the current WTO rules seem to be not clear on the

principles for the design and implementation of trade-related instruments for a green economy, as there is no multilateral consensus on best practices

yet. The aim of developing this table is to serve as a reference for policy deliberation on trade rules and green economy.

Source: adapted from ICTSD, Climate Change and Trade on the Road to Copenhagen, 2008, http://ictsd.org/i/publications/12524/.

8 For details of the conditions and analysis, see Cosbey (2010) and Cosbey (2011).

9 For a possible extensions of the scope of energy subsidies to include exemptions from user fees or general taxes and environmental externalities, see

http://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/. 10

For illustrative green sectors, see Table 2.

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2.6 Sustainable public procurement

Concern: Not counting compensation to public employees, public

procurement is estimated to represent 6-10 percent of GDP. With

sustainable public procurement, governments can select and

purchase products and services that minimize adverse

environmental and social impacts. This can in turn create critical

mass for market development. Sustainable government

procurement is sometimes accompanied by a requirement for

domestic content or sourcing.

Suggestion: Domestic content requirements would probably

breach the non-discrimination provisions of the WTO Agreement

on Government Procurement (GPA) (Cosbey, 2010). However,

most developing countries are not parties to the GPA and would

as result be immune from direct challenge under international

law for utilizing social and/or environmental criteria

(Kjöllerström, 2008, Sustainable Development Innovation Briefs,

DESA).

3. Trade promotion and financing — the positive agenda

Table 2 illustrates selected green sectors that have export

potentials. Trade facilitation and financing in these fast growing

sectors could assist exporters in seizing new green export

opportunities, from organic fruits to clean technologies.

Table 2. Selected green sectors with trade potentials

Agriculture

Organic agriculture in Uganda (UNEP Green Economy: Developing countries success

stories, 2010)

Certified sustainable agriculture in Hawaii (Food Alliance, United States of America)

Fisheries

Sustainable native fish management in Peru (UNCTAD Biotrade Initiative)

Sustainable tuna fishing (Marine Stewardship Council)

Forests

Sustainable forestry practices for pulp and paper production in Brazil (Program for

the Endorsement of Forest Certification, Brazil)

Tourism — trade in services

Sustainable sea tourism in Honduras (Coral Reef Alliance)

Conservation charging in Abrolhos Islands (Brazil, IBAMA)

Energy

Hydro power exports in Lao PDR a (Ministry of Energy and Mines, Lao PDR,

www.poweringprogree.org )

Biofuel production in Brazil (Brazilian Ministry for Mines and Energy)

China — the world’s largest producer and export of solar photovoltaics (Ren21, 2010)

Sahara Desert Solar Project for solar electricity export to Europe (Bloomberg, March

08, 2010)

Manufacturing

Lean manufacturing in Japan (Toyota Production System)

Renault (France) pledge to use set percentages of recycled plastic in its cars (EU,

2010)

Global low-carbon supply chains (Carbon Trust, 2006, Carbon footprints in the supply

chain)

Waste recycling and water treatment technologies (ICT, 2010) Source: Author.

Note: a In 2008 the hydropower exports amounted to about 30% of total Lao PDR's exports. Agreement for future

hydropower exports are in place with Thailand, Viet Nam and Cambodia. However, with these hydropower projects, villages

disappeared under the reservoir — and tens of thousands more living downstream have been affected. Not everyone considers

these exports sustainable without thorough environmental assessment as well as sufficient resettlement and adaptation support.

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3.1 Targeted trade facilitation — minimizing non-tariff

barriers for green trade

Concern: Small producers can be disadvantaged by mandatory

certification schemes. Trade facilitation and capacity building

programs need to help relieve the certification burden on small-

scale producers. For example, the cost of certification remains

one of the most contentious issues in organic agriculture both for

small scale farmers and for commercial operators.

Suggestion: One option is the creation of a government

institution helping to facilitate affordable inspection and

certification services. For example, the Conservation Agriculture

Trust of Kenya (CATOK), a non-profit trust duly registered under

the Trustship Act of Kenya, was formed to assist farmers and

agricultural exporters access the services of internationally

recognized organic inspectors and certification bodies (Ndugire,

2010, UNECA African Trade Policy Centre, No.80).

Moreover, the transition to a green economy will mean a

large-scale transfer of technologies and acquisition of

technological capabilities in developing countries. Trade

facilitation can increase the transfer and diffusion of clean

technologies to developing countries by enhancing transparency

of trade and business regulations and the rule of law.

3.2 Trade finance — a green trade enabler

There is an opportunity to mobilize committed trade

financing to strengthen a global green economy package and

enhance the transition to a green economy (see Box 1). The

Green Climate Fund recently agreed at Cancún could be a source

of trade facilitation financing packages to assist poorer countries

to finance development of new green sectors with export

potential. A global program of green trade financing in developing

countries may be helpful to create synergy between international

and national initiatives.

3.3 Aid-for-Trade

The WTO work program on Aid-for-Trade aims to mobilize

additional funding to help suppliers from developing countries

build capacity to compete in international markets. Depending on

country demand, it could play an important role in promoting

trade in green products. The UNDP Project on “Aid-for-Trade in

Central Asia: Support to Economic Development along Trade

Corridors” aims to enhance private sector capacity to increase

exports, with a special focus on promotion of environmentally

friendly technologies and green commodity production.

Box 1. The new trend in green trade financing

Republic of Korea Export-Import (EXIM) Bank plans to develop a Green Pioneer Program that provides

US$20 billion annually until 2020 to 200 selected green enterprises in the field of renewable energy.

According to the Chairperson of the Bank, the Program is developed to promote the exports of green

industry as a future growth engine and applies the strategy of creating an overseas market to help

companies strengthen their track records and accumulate business development experience. The

Program is planned to launch by the first half of 2011. b

The Japan Bank for International Cooperation (JBIC) has recently signed a US$20 million untied loan

agreement with the private Turkish commercial bank Denizbank to finance renewable energy trade loans.

It also signed a green memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Banco Nacional de Obras y Servicios

Públicos to implement green operations in Mexico.

Eight U.S. government agencies, including Export-Import Bank of the United States and U.S. Trade and

Development Agency, have launched a coordinated effort to promote renewable energy and energy

efficiency exports, the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Export Initiative (RE&EE). c

ECGD, the UK’s export credit agency, is in negotiations with Indian banking institutions to establish two

$100 million credit lines, one of which will be earmarked for renewable energy projects.

Source: Trade Finance magazine (various dates).

b See http://www.korea.net/news.do?mode=detail&guid=51748.

c See http://www.export.gov/reee/eg_main_023036.asp.

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4. Conclusions

Countries may take measures to make trade policy respond

better to social development and sustainable development

objectives, including international commitments to poverty

reduction, food security, quality jobs, and environmental

sustainability. These measures may actually have positive impacts

on green exports but some may raise concerns from trade

partners. As suggested by UNCTAD (2011), the international

community must agree upon the principles for the design and

implementation of trade-related instruments in relation to a

green economy.

In conclusion, this brief provides guidance on issues to be

addressed to reinforce trade, green economy, and sustainable

development complementarities.

1) Identify and address trade-related obstacles to a green

economy

2) Ensure trade rules enable the transition to a green economy,

e.g. ensure trade rules provide policy space for development and

for the technology diffusion and acquisition necessary for a low-

carbon development trajectory

3) Discuss and resolve issues of regulation, standards, labelling

and certification to ensure they do not constitute unjustified non-

tariff barriers to trade

4) Discuss and resolve issues of unilateral border carbon

adjustments

5) Discuss and resolve treatment of green energy and industry

subsidies

6) Conclude and implement effective Doha Round agreement

on environmental goods and services

7) Embrace green trade opportunities by pro-active trade

promotion and facilitation programs

8) Ensure access to affordable trade finance, particularly for the

poorest countries, and particularly for sectors and activities

related to a green economy

9) Finance green technology transfer and public procurement of

key patents on latest generation green technologies to put them

in the public domain

10) Provide Aid-for-Trade on promotion of environmentally

friendly technologies and green commodity production.

These issues may require the further attention of all parties

and stakeholders. Many questions remain unanswered and will

need to be discussed in effective multilateral forums. Further

research and policy deliberation would assist in filling knowledge

gaps and contribute to preparation of countries for the Rio+20

conference and, eventually, a successful transition to a green

economy.

Key Reading

Cosbey, Aaron (2011) “Trade, sustainable development and a

green economy: benefits, challenges and risks”, Ch. 2 of The

Transition to a Green Economy: Benefits, Challenges and Risks

from a Sustainable Development Perspective, Report by a Panel of

Experts for the UNCSD’s 2nd PrepCom Meeting, March.

Cosbey, Aaron (2010) "Are there downsides to a green economy?

The trade, investment and competitiveness implications of

unilateral green economy pursuit", background paper for Ad Hoc

Expert Meeting on the Green Economy: Trade and Sustainable

Development Implications, UNCTAD, Oct., Geneva, Switzerland.

UNCTAD (2011), The Road to Rio+20 For a Development-led Green

Economy, United Nations publications,

UNCTAD/DITC/TED/2010/8.

UNCTAD (2010) "The green economy: trade and sustainable

development implications", background note for Ad Hoc Expert

Meeting on the Green Economy: Trade and Sustainable

Development Implications, UNCTAD, Oct., Geneva, Switzerland.

The purpose of the Rio+20 Issues Briefs is to provide a channel for

policymakers and other interested stakeholders to discuss and

review issues relevant to the objective and themes of the

conference, including a green economy in the context of

sustainable development and poverty eradication, as well as the

institutional framework for sustainable development.

For further information on this Brief, contact Wei Liu

([email protected]).