enterprise risk management

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ERM.pdf

The challenges of and solutions for implementing enterprise risk management

John R.S. Fraser a, Betty J. Simkins b,*

a Former Chief Risk Officer, Hydro One Networks Inc., Toronto, Canada b Spears School of Business, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 74078, U.S.A.

1. The importance of enterprise risk management

Historically, risk management was viewed very nar- rowly and handled separately in silos. Under this fragmented view of risk, businesses focused on specific potential events that could be insured against (e.g., property, safety, health). In financial areas, the focus was on interest rate risk, currency risk, or commodity risk (Kloman, 2010). In the mid- 1990s a number of publications began advocating to businesses that risk management should include all risks, not just specific ones that are easier to quantify, and that risks should be managed as a

portfolio across the enterprise. Leading the way were the Australian/New Zealand Risk Management Standard 4360, Tillinghast-Towers Perrin, and the Conference Board of Canada. The Australian/New Zealand Risk Management Standard was first pub- lished in 1995 and the Canadian Standards Associa- tion (1997) soon followed with its version that added ‘communication’ and ‘consultation’ to the framework (CAN/CSA-Q850-97). The Australian/ New Zealand Standard was then re-issued (Stand- ards Australia/Standards New Zealand, 1999) with updates, including the Canadian additions.

The 1990s saw an increased emphasis on gover- nance, risk, and control, with several important publications moving forward the concepts of gover- nance and risk management. These included the Group of Thirty report (USA), CoCo (the criteria of control model developed by the Canadian

Business Horizons (2016) 59, 689—698

Available online at www.sciencedirect.com

ScienceDirect www.elsevier.com/locate/bushor

KEYWORDS Enterprise risk management; Corporate governance; Risk; Corporate culture; ISO 31000

Abstract Enterprise risk management (ERM) began to take root in the late 1990s and has since become generally recognized as an expectation of good management and corporate governance. However, as evidenced by surveys and research, many com- panies still struggle with ERM implementation. This article explores the challenges companies face when implementing ERM and offers solutions for firms struggling with the concepts and execution. We draw upon Hydro One’s experience in achieving ERM maturity as a best practice case study. The company’s ERM methods have been researched and documented extensively. With over 15 years of ERM success, Hydro One is an excellent organization to benchmark for ERM best practices. # 2016 Kelley School of Business, Indiana University. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

* Corresponding author E-mail address: [email protected] (B.J. Simkins)

0007-6813/$ — see front matter # 2016 Kelley School of Business, Indiana University. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.bushor.2016.06.007

Copyright 2016 by Kelley School of Business, Indiana University. For reprints, call HBS Publishing at (800) 545-7685. BH775

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Institute of Chartered Accountants), the Toronto Stock Exchange Dey report (Canada), and the Cad- bury report (UK). During this period, many thought of enterprise risk management (ERM) as just another flavor-of-the-month management technique, espe- cially since it was often consultants who pushed for it–—with their guidance, of course.

ERM has come a long way since we began re- searching the topic at the beginning of this century. Much has been written about it and the concepts are now well enough entrenched that ERM is likely here to stay. Many misconceptions exist about ERM, how- ever, such that someone starting on the implemen- tation journey is likely to be confused. Furthermore, a number of additional drivers for ERM have emerged: rating agencies (particularly Standard and Poor’s and Moody’s, which include assessments of ERM in their methodologies); regulators; and, in the United States, the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO), which in 2004 developed its own ERM framework, lending credibility to the concept of ERM among U.S. management and boards.

The credit crisis of 2008/2009 demonstrated that risk management was weak in many compa- nies. As a result, financial regulators now promote ERM to help manage risks and to demonstrate that they are taking action. Given this momentum, one would expect that ERM would now be widely adopted, practiced, and entrenched. Unfortu- nately, however, the lack of progress has been disappointing. Recent surveys demonstrate that only about 25% of large organizations claim to have ERM in place (Beasley, Branson, & Hancock, 2015). Some organizations have tried and failed; some are still trying to get started; and many of those who start are struggling and doing only a partial job.

We use Hydro One’s ERM practices from 2000 to 2013 as a case study throughout this article to draw on the company’s experiences in achieving ERM maturity, and illustrate the process using various aspects of ISO 31000 (see International Standards Organization, 2009). With over 15 years of ERM success, Hydro One is an excellent organization to benchmark for ERM best practices. ERM methods at Hydro One have been investigated and documented in numerous academic and other publications (e.g., Aabo, Fraser, & Simkins, 2005; Mikes, 2010). We also draw on the experiences documented in our second book on ERM, Implementing Enterprise Risk Man- agement: Case Studies and Best Practices (Fraser, Simkins, & Narvaez, 2014), and numerous interviews with active risk managers/executives. This article explores the struggles organizations face and offers some solutions. We proceed by explaining

the challenges many organizations experience in attempting to implement ERM, as well as why this leads to frustration and failure or ineffective re- sults. We then provide highlights of proven solutions and suggestions, referencing additional guidance materials to assist implementers of ERM.

2. The challenges

This section discusses challenges we have observed in companies trying to implement ERM. We have identified these challenges–—including misconcep- tions, implementation challenges, corporate gover- nance, and external challenges–—through our own experience, research, analysis, and conversations with risk executives. The challenges represent ob- stacles to success.

2.1. Misconceptions

In our article Ten Common Misconceptions about Enterprise Risk Management (Fraser & Simkins, 2007), we described many of the misconceptions about ERM that were then limiting organizations’ abilities to implement ERM. Based on our research to date, we do not believe that–—in the last decade–— much progress has been made in overcoming these issues.

2.2. Internal challenges

We next discuss eight internal challenges we have observed in implementing ERM. These are: (1) cor- porate culture, (2) boards of directors’ knowledge, (3) not applying a KISS mindset, (4) training without having risk workshops, (5) identifying too many risks, (6) no timeframes, (7) not making ERM enjoy- able or meaningful, and (8) not recognizing ERM as change management.

2.2.1. Corporate culture Unfortunately, ERM will not work in all corporate cultures. Successful implementation of ERM de- pends on organizational willingness to be open, to share, and to develop teamwork among the board of directors, senior management, and staff. Much of Hydro One’s ERM success was due to the firm’s openness and desire for transparency on the part of various chairs, CEOs, and senior manage- ment over the years. More research is needed regarding how corporate culture affects ERM. We would postulate that a firm’s chances of suc- cess with ERM are directly proportional to its cultural capacity for openness, transparency, and teamwork.

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2.2.2. Boards of directors’ knowledge While boards of directors’ knowledge about ERM is increasing, it is still far from adequate. Various surveys (e.g., Deloitte, 2007; Deloitte/Economist Intelligence Unit, 2004) reveal a lack of knowledge about the information on risks, as well as the purpose and value of ERM. Many director organiza- tions (i.e., those that train directors and provide networking opportunities) offer risk training to board members, but older directors especially may feel they do not need the education. Without an understanding of ERM as a methodology, board members will not be able to evaluate the adequa- cy of an organization’s ERM processes and the credibility of risk reporting to the board. The role of the board in risk oversight is still not well understood (see Fraser, 2016). In brief, the board needs to review and be satisfied with the ERM process and then review and be satisfied with the risk reporting.

2.2.3. Not applying a KISS mindset On starting the ERM journey, there is a temptation to implement too many features at once, leading to complexity. This can present an added bureau- cratic burden on line management (e.g., main- taining cumbersome risk/loss registers with too much detail). Interestingly, however, many of the organizations we have researched have en- joyed great success with only two or three ERM staff facilitating the methodology (see Fraser et al., 2014). The more successful implementa- tions seem to come from those organizations that do pilots first and then later add additional fea- tures (e.g., resource allocation based on risk cri- teria, the use of key risk indicators). In the beginning, it is important to remember the KISS principle: keep it simple, silly.

2.2.4. Training without having risk workshops We have observed organizations that decide to im- plement ERM by first launching into a series of training sessions. One major multinational had a team traveling globally, presenting and teaching ERM to managers; only several years later did the firm stage its first risk workshop. There is much evidence that presenting and teaching ERM first without conducting workshops is of limited value, and little is retained by attendees. A far more practical and engaging method of training staff entails holding workshops in which ERM methods can be applied to practical business realities; here, attendees learn the methods, language, and risk criteria being used, and then relate them to solving their own real-life business problems.

2.2.5. Identifying too many risks Some organizations–—especially those influenced by well-meaning but conflicted consultants–—create extensive lists of risks. Indeed, one author of this article has heard of up to 700 risks being listed. If these risks are then recorded in a risk register and updated, this becomes an administrative burden that may impress regulators or boards, but is not seen as helpful or relevant by line management. Shorter can often be better, with the top 10 to 20 risks being monitored by each part of the organi- zation and then reported upward, based on prede- termined criteria.

2.2.6. No timeframes To identify risks and the related probabilities, it is essential to define the time period being dis- cussed. Amazingly, few organizations think of this. Consider the following example we use when teaching ERM to a class: ‘‘What is the likelihood of you dying?’’ This is typically followed by a variety of answers listing various percentages, until someone shouts out ‘‘100%.’’ We acknowl- edge: ‘‘Yes, that is correct. Everyone is going to die.’’ But suppose we ask: ‘‘What is the likelihood of you dying in the next five years?’’ The percent- age will, hopefully, be much less than 100%, say 2% to 5% or less. This exercise illustrates that without defining a timeframe, one cannot mean- ingfully discuss probabilities.

2.2.7. Not making ERM enjoyable or meaningful Staff members are not always enthusiastic about the advent of ERM in the organization; many view it as an additional bureaucratic burden, with sur- veys or useless paperwork to be filled out. How- ever, proponents of risk workshops have found that participants actually look forward to these sessions, both as a learning experience and in helping to solve real business problems. The key to meaningful workshops involves having the right people in the room (i.e., those with relevant knowledge of the subjects being discussed), em- ploying a skilled facilitator, and designing the class/presentation to touch on important issues. The use of voting methods (e.g., software) pro- vides elements of surprise, excitement, and reali- ty that participants enjoy. Workshop attendees typically report they feel the time was well spent and that they better understand organizational risks and what is needed in light of those risks. As noted in section 2.2.1., though, some organi- zational cultures will not permit open and trans- parent discussions.

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2.2.8. Not recognizing ERM as change management ERM is a change management initiative. It requires a change in the way information is shared and how many critical activities are conducted. ERM is not about having a separate group at headquarters manage risk while others in the organization contin- ue as before, with little attention paid to this initiative. ERM will reinforce business objectives by constantly referencing them during risk work- shops, risk interviews, and business planning. Risk will need to be factored into all capital projects, both as part of the proposals and during the project phases. All requests for funding and resources will need to be supported by explanations as to the risks being addressed and the related strategic objec- tives. By using consistent risk criteria throughout these activities, there will be a common under- standing of agreed risk tolerances. For example, on an impact scale of 1 to 5, a rating of 3, 4, or 5 was considered intolerable at Hydro One. Manag- ers were expected to take action to reduce any such scored risks to level 1 or level 2 (i.e., tolera- ble). After several years of having it in place, Hydro One management confirmed that they could not confidently operate the business without ERM; too many unknowns and a lack of clarity about risks would exist, they said via executive interviews (Mikes, 2010).

In summary, there are many challenges in imple- menting ERM. But these are not insurmountable. Next, we offer solutions.

3. The solutions

To overcome many of the ERM implementation chal- lenges discussed in the previous section, we present the following solutions.

3.1. The basics of ERM

Much has been written about how to implement ERM. Our recent book, Implementing Enterprise Risk Management: Case Studies and Best Practices (Fraser et al., 2014), contains case studies of how major organizations (e.g., Lego, GM, TD Bank) have implemented ERM. The best practices for successful implementation of ERM may be summarized as two critical concepts: conversations and prioritization.

Conversations are essential in establishing un- derstanding and engaging staff. They are best conducted via risk workshops, risk interviews, and–—ultimately–—executive team/board talks regarding objectives and risks. Prioritization is achieved through the use of risk criteria, such as

pre-determined risk significance scales and what is/is not considered tolerable. Risk criteria may also include impact, probability and control scales, pri- oritization of objectives relative to each other, and prioritization of resources as part of business planning.

These techniques provide the basis for entrench- ing ERM into the organizational culture. Conversa- tions and prioritization are explained more fully in Fraser (2014). The concepts captured by Fraser are as follows.

ERM, with its simple, focused approach, gives every organization–—from small not-for-profits to the largest organizations and even countries–— a method to come back to the basics of good management:

� What are you trying to achieve, and in what time frame(s)?

� What are the sources of risk that could impact these objectives?

� How impactful could these be, and how probable? � What can and should be done to optimize the

opportunities and to reduce the potential down- sides?

� Are resources being allocated to those areas of risk that most need them?

� How well are these objectives, risks, and treat- ments understood by staff, and how committed and engaged are they to executing the plans?

3.2. Basic techniques for implementing ERM

In this section we summarize 26 basic techniques that we believe need to be considered and, as appropriate, used to build an ERM methodology. Not every feature is required for all organizations. For example, ‘champions’ (see section 3.2.6.) are only necessary in large, geographically dispersed organizations; here, the Chief Risk Officer (CRO) or corporate risk group cannot visit frequently, so a local presence is needed.

3.2.1. ERM policy It is recommended that firms have an overarching ERM policy. This should be approved at the board level, either by the full board or a delegated committee such as the audit or risk committee. At a minimum, the policy should contain the general principles (e.g., that risks will be managed

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holistically) and define the accountabilities of key persons such as the CEO, the CRO, and the board. Definitions of major concepts such as ‘risk’ should also be included so that the same definitions may be used company-wide (see section 3.2.4.). Some orga- nizations will also include additional information, although much of this may be better placed in the framework (see section 3.2.2.). Two to four pages of description should suffice for an ERM policy.

3.2.2. ERM framework The framework is the procedure manual for how ERM will be conducted. A firm can base its ERM frame- work on an extant framework such as ISO 31000 and then customize the language to suit the organiza- tion. For small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), the International Standards Organization (2015), or ISO, has just issued the publication ISO 31000 Risk Management: A Practical Guide for SMEs. The length recommended for the framework document is about 10 to 15 pages.

3.2.3. Executive risk committee It is a good idea to have a management committee to focus on risk. This function can be handled by an existing executive committee. This committee should consist of the most senior executives, pref- erably including the CEO.

3.2.4. Common language ERM is a change management initiative; as such, there will be changes in how the business is man- aged. Separate departments will now need to be on the same page and this will require a shared under- standing of how the organization views and treats risks. An extensive dictionary is not needed, but common ERM terms–—such as risk, residual risk, greatest credible risk, treatment/migrants/control, etc.–—should be understood and used in the same way by all departments.

3.2.5. Dedicated corporate risk group It is a good idea to have a centralized group, perhaps even including the CRO, that will facilitate and guide ERM. Whether additional risk-related func- tions are added to this group is up to each organiza- tion. Based on our research, most such groups require two to three individuals; however, addition- al functions–—such as insurance, security, whistle- blower hotlines, etc.–—can increase this number. The various types of roles that a CRO may play are explained by Mikes (2010).

3.2.6. Champions Champions are individuals that help promote and engage employees with ERM at the local level. This

is especially critical in large, diverse organizations. Champions should be trained in ERM techniques and conduct workshops, perform risk interviews, pre- pare risk profiles, and liaise with the central risk group.

3.2.7. Integration with loss control Most companies keep track of losses, however they are defined (e.g., fines, lawsuits, product returns). This is useful information for ERM, especially as key risk indicators of future trends, and should be avail- able to the CRO. Hopefully, these losses are already being tracked and monitored by management.

3.2.8. Integration with strategic planning Each company’s definition of risk derives from that firm’s business objectives. Thus, risk is variable from corporation to corporation. However, identifying and discussing risks as they relate to strategy is an itera- tive process. The best ways to integrate ERM and strategy are explained by Beasley and Frigo (2010).

3.2.9. Integration with business planning ERM best practice dictates allocation of resources based on risks. As part of business planning, all business units should prepare risk assessments to support the need for resources. Also, enterprise- wide risk prioritization needs to be implemented to ensure that resources are used where the risks are most critical. Toneguzzo (2010) and Grose (1986) explain ways of prioritizing resources based on risks.

3.2.10. Risk criteria and approved risk tolerances In order to identify, evaluate, and prioritize risks, firms must have predetermined risk criteria.1 These are best articulated as scales to facilitate prioriti- zation (e.g., with ranges from 1—5). The ranges that are deemed tolerable versus intolerable should also be agreed on to assist in implementing ERM. As described, this concept is sometimes thought of or referred to as ‘risk appetite,’ but specific criteria provide a practical application compared to the vague wording in most risk appetite statements seen to date. For a more complete discussion on risk criteria, see Purdy (2011).

3.2.11. Risk workshops for line staff Successful ERM entails having a common under- standing of objectives, risks, and treatments in place (or to be implemented). This is best achieved through conversations and prioritization among the staff responsible. The most efficient and effective way of doing this is via risk workshops; obviously, this

1 Refer to ISO 31000 for examples.

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can prove more difficult in large, multinational, or geographically dispersed organizations. How to de- sign and facilitate risk workshops is described in detail by Quail (2010).

3.2.12. Risk workshops for the leadership team Risk workshops among the leadership team are also essential toward a common understanding and pri- oritization of risks and actions to be taken. In addi- tion, such workshops build essential team spirit. Leadership team members will, in turn, take the acquired risk knowledge into risk workshops with their own staff, thereby embedding the concepts, knowledge, and risk tolerances throughout the or- ganization.

3.2.13. Voting software We recommend the use of voting software for the immediate and iterative feedback of workshop par- ticipants. While voting can be conducted via pens and slips of paper, voting software adds a sense of excitement that has been found to make workshops more enjoyable and efficient. Without the use of voting technology, discussions can become dominat- ed by the loudest voices or most-senior persons present. These may not be the most knowledgeable, leading to biased or politically motivated decisions.

3.2.14. Risk interviews One-on-one risk interviews can be a key source of conversations to gather and disseminate informa- tion related to risks. These can elicit information that some staff may not feel comfortable sharing in a group setting. They also offer an opportunity to reinforce corporate business objectives and risk- related issues outside of the interviewee’s purview. See Fraser (2010) for how to conduct risk interviews.

3.2.15. Measurement: Broad ranges The measurement of risks in quantitative terms is relatively easy as regards certain domains (e.g., investment portfolios). This is not the case, howev- er, in other areas (e.g., regulatory risk, government risk, safety); here, in order to understand and pri- oritize risks, it is necessary to utilize broad ranges. This is the most popular method at present among organizations practicing ERM. The use of ranges to measure risks is explained by Hargreaves (2010).

3.2.16. Measurement: Detailed metrics To better gauge the potential effects of risks among a multiplicity of scenarios, statistical analysis is a useful tool. For example, Monte Carlo simulations can be run to analyze the interrelationship of im- pacts across multiple events. The use of statistical

analysis to measure risks quantitatively for ERM is explained by Hargreaves (2010).

3.2.17. Risk register A risk register, which lists all identified risks and information pertinent to the same, is often consid- ered essential for risk management. There is a dan- ger, however, that upkeep and maintenance of the risk register will prove an administrative burden unrelated to managing the business. This, in turn, can lead to irrelevance of the process and frustration on the part of management. Some records are help- ful, but risk management is a living, real-time activ- ity, not an outdated record. This must be understood by all.

3.2.18. Business plan templates As part of risk-based business planning, it is recom- mended that line management be provided with templates as to what information should be supplied on risks, and thereby support the need for resour- ces. Risk-based resource allocation is described by Toneguzzo (2010) and Grose (1986).

3.2.19. Key risk indicators Key risk indicators (KRIs) are statistical data that provide potential insights to future situations. Un- like key performance indicators, which record past accomplishments, KRIs can warn management of evolving issues that may increase or reduce risks, and should be developed and factored into risk discussions and analyses. For further reading on key risk indicators, see Hwang (2010).

3.2.20. Scenario analysis Scenario analysis, especially in a brainstorming set- ting, is a useful technique for identifying and plan- ning for possible sources of risk. In the financial industry, there are often regulatory requirements for stress testing the impact on an institution’s financial position under various scenarios. This tech- nique is also useful when discussing black swans (see section 3.3.3.).

3.2.21. Sign-off by line management Some organizations have adopted the practice of having line managers sign off as to the adequacy of risk disclosure in their reports, business planning, etc. This can be helpful in the early days of ERM to ensure that line managers fully understand their accountability regarding risk evaluation and disclo- sure.

3.2.22. ERM in executives’ personal contracts Directly referencing the risk responsibilities listed in executives’ personal annual contracts–—which are

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used to evaluate their performance and determine bonuses–—can support the attention paid to risks and risk management by executives.

3.2.23. Corporate risk profile A corporate risk profile should periodically be pre- pared for executive management and the board. At a minimum, this should be done semi-annually, with updates for important changes in the interim. The profile should reflect the key risk information of residual risks in excess of predefined tolerances for a given future time period (e.g., five years). Corporate risk profiles typically take the form of risk maps, lists of top ten risks, and heat maps, all supplemented with accompanying narratives ex- plaining the sources of risks, objectives impacted, and actions in place/proposed. These profiles are usually prepared by the corporate risk group under the direction of the CRO or equivalent, and based on the various databases of risk information. Such data- bases may include risk registers, results of work- shops and risk interviews, key risk indicators, recent events analysis, and relevant records. How to design and conduct risk profiles is described in detail by Fraser (2010).

3.2.24. Reporting to leadership Many firms implement ERM to ensure that members of the leadership team share an understanding of the risks that may affect company objectives. The first step in reporting to leadership entails composi- tion of an initial risk profile. In smaller organiza- tions, ERM may be launched with risk workshops where executive team members brainstorm the risks and subsequently prioritize them for any addi- tional actions required.

3.2.25. Reporting to the audit (or other board) committee When accountability for risk oversight has been delegated by the board to a committee, that committee periodically should ask for risk profiles from management. These profiles typically con- tain the aforementioned risk maps, lists of top ten risks, and heat maps, all supplemented with accompanying narratives explaining the sources of risks, objectives impacted, and actions in place/proposed. Frequent updates may also be required upon major changes in circumstances that could affect the accomplishment of business objectives.

3.2.26. Reporting to the board As previously described, there is debate as to what level of detail and effort the full board should focus on regarding risk. If no board committee performs

more detailed oversight, the full board must do this review.

3.3. Additional practical techniques for ERM

This section contains more complex concepts and additional techniques for employment in ERM. First, we offer explanations about the confusion over risk appetite as a concept, and provide a suggestion for addressing this concept and employing a practical method of prioritizing strategic objectives. Second, we present guidance on the use of risk criteria, in line with ISO 31000 guidelines. Third, we proffer practical guidance on dealing with ‘black swans’ (high-impact, low-probability events). Fourth, we supply a practical example of using risk criteria to solve a major business problem. Fifth, and finally, we introduce a new technique: creating a ‘risk calendar’ to track upcoming events that could cre- ate risk for the organization in the future.

3.3.1. Risk attitude/risk appetite As mentioned, the mass confusion generated by COSO in its definitions of risk appetite and risk tolerance has been one of the great inhibitors of successful implementation of ERM. This confusion was recognized by ISO, which decided not to use either term in the ISO 31000 (Purdy, 2011). Instead, it used the term ‘risk attitude,’ which we illustrate in this section.

ISO 31000 only mentions risk attitude twice, once being in its definition. Hydro One has explored this concept in order to gauge and provide feedback on whether its employees’ views of risk attitude are those intended by executive management and the board. As shown in Figure 1, Hydro One uses a spider diagram graphic and associated ranking criteria, first to establish the executive team’s attitude to- ward each major strategic objective (i.e., the tar- get attitude). Then, at the beginning of every risk workshop, staff members are surveyed to gauge their perception of the organization’s attitude and behaviors toward the strategic objectives. Rob Quail (2012), Vice President — Customer Service at Hydro One, describes this process in more detail.

In testing this methodology, Hydro One discov- ered somewhat diverse views to risk attitude throughout the company. This is important feedback regarding communication in the organization and whether the attitude needs to change or the com- munications efforts need to be enhanced. As with all its initiatives, Hydro One seeks here to create struc- tured conversations so that optimal prioritizations can be made. This feedback will also influence the impact and tolerance criteria.

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3.3.2. Risk criteria: The essence of prioritization ISO 31000 defines risk criteria as the ‘‘terms of reference against which the significance of a risk� � �is evaluated’’ (International Standards Orga- nization, 2009). Some examples provided include: ‘‘the nature and types of causes and consequences that can occur and how they will be measured; how likelihood will be defined; the timeframe(s) of the likelihood and/or consequence(s); the level at which risk becomes acceptable or tolerable’’ (Inter- national Standards Organization, 2009).

Risk criteria drive much of the ERM process. For example, risk criteria include the use of scales for impact, probability, control, etc. The benefit comes from (1) the conversations and agreement as to appropriate scales and (2) the ability to prioritize risks and treatments. Risk workshops should be facilitated for all major projects; for major types of risks; by business units through business plan- ning; and for the executive team and–—where ap- propriate–—the board of directors, both to obtain their input and to demonstrate how management

identifies and assesses risks. Given that they all use the same criteria and methodology, this also edu- cates and embeds the understanding of risks and risk attitude. Risk workshops and how to design and facilitate them are described in hard-hitting detail by Quail (2010).

Measurement of risk impact and risk tolerance as applied by Hydro One was designed such that a rating of 1 or 2 (minor or moderate, respectively) is considered a tolerable impact. A rating of 3, 4, or 5 (major, severe, or worst-case, respectively) is considered an intolerable impact, and the sources of these risks must be addressed and prioritized for treatment.2

3.3.3. Risk criteria: Black swans Popularized by Nassim Taleb (2007), the term ‘black swan’ describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major impact, and–—after the fact–—is recog- nized as something that should have been foreseen. Nowadays, the term is often used to describe a high- impact but low-probability potential event. Several years ago, Hydro One realized that it did not always create explicit conversations around these types of risks. As a result, the firm re-evaluated its approach and recognized that different criteria would be required for assessing and prioritizing these risks. It determined that the key consideration factors for these types of risks were speed/velocity of impact (see Table 1) and preparedness of the firm

Figure 1. Risk attitude*

*This diagram shows a comparison of opinions by staff across work units. This input is obtained by use of voting technology during risk workshops throughout the company. This is a model only.

Table 1. Velocity*

5 Instantaneous Less than one day

4 Immediate One day to one month

3 Rapid One month to one year

2 Gradual One to five years

1 Slow More than five years * Velocity is the interval between the initiating event and its

peak impact on the organization’s business objectives. 2 See page 539 of Fraser and Simkins (2010) for an example.

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(see Table 2). As a result, Hydro One structured scales to allow the company to have meaningful discussions about such risks (e.g., computer failures in which the back-up also fails; massive, but unlike- ly, regulatory or government decisions). Hydro One now maps results onto a velocity x resilience chart to help ensure that its contingency plans and re- source allocations for resilience match the potential speed of the impacts (e.g., having a ‘hot’ back-up site for an event that will not provide the firm with adequate warning).

3.3.4. Making decisions and solving problems First and foremost, ERM must be viewed as providing important information that aids in decision making, thereby helping to solve managers’ problems. This does not mean that ERM team members will them- selves possess the requisite expertise in particular areas, but it does mean using methodologies that facilitate sound decision making and optimal outcomes for managers. Hydro One’s ERM team members earned their stripes early in the imple- mentation phase by helping managers make

decisions and solve problems. For example, as part of a planned initiative, 20% of Hydro One’s work- force took early retirement in 2000. This changed staffing scenario left the company with a dramati- cally different risk profile. Hydro One applied the aforementioned techniques using risk criteria, workshops, etc. to show how areas of greatest residual risk could be identified and treatments prioritized (Aabo et al., 2005). Hydro One’s ERM team was thereafter constantly requested to facili- tate risk workshops and advise on risk issues.

3.3.5. The risk calendar While not all events will necessarily experience difficulties, future events can create risks due to the uncertainty of whether or not they will actually occur and what the impacts–—good or bad–—may be. Accordingly, it is a good idea that someone (e.g., the CRO or his/her staff) maintain a calendar recording major upcoming events (e.g., government elec- tions, union negotiations, lease renewals) several years into the future so that these can be moni- tored, planned for, and leveraged whenever

Table 2. Resilience*

5 Immediate Appropriate resources and plans accessible or in place; are regularly tested and could be deployed immediately.

4 Full Resources accessible or in place; could be deployed with some effort. Responsibility for development of plans is clear.

3 Substantial Resources are accessible for large aspects of the risk and its impact, but there are significant gaps; would require organization, procurement of resources, and development and deployment ‘on-the-fly’.

2 Partial No resources exist for significant aspects of the risk or its impact; coping with the risk would take years of planning and resource redeployment.

1 Minimal Plans and resources unavailable. * Resilience is the ability to detect and deploy (plans, organizations, and structures), and the availability of resources (people,

knowledge, liquidity, equipment, etc.).

Table 3. Risk calendar*

Strategic Objectives 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Customers Major new computer system

Government elections

Regulatory New regulations take effect

Human Resources

Union agreements to renew

CEO has announced retirement for June 2018

Other Lease on warehouse due to expire

Major competitor announced opening here

Patents for major product due to expire in 2020

* The risk calendar keeps track of important future risk events that could affect the organization in a material way. In discussing these, each should be evaluated as to the possible benefits, opportunities, and impacts that might occur and how these can best be addressed.

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possible (see Table 3). In discussing these events, each should be evaluated regarding the possible benefits, opportunities, and impacts that might occur and how these can best be addressed.

4. Conclusion

In this article, we presented explanations from our research as to the challenges faced by implementers of ERM. We provided a summary of the basic tech- niques for implementing ERM and included some additional techniques that may be used when ap- propriate. Numerous surveys (Beasley et al., 2015) show that the successful implementation of ERM trails the expectations of senior management, boards, and regulators. This article provided spe- cific, practical explanations of the reasons for frequent failures, as well as simple, effective tech- niques and guidance on how to improve the chances of success in implementing ERM. References to additional guidance materials on each critical as- pect were proffered.

It is our belief that in any organization that has successfully implemented ERM, the management team will deem it essential for continued good management and governance. This article should be of interest to organizations implementing ERM, to academics teaching ERM, and to risk professionals desiring to learn more on this evolving process.

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