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ENT526Wisewinter2019week5v2.pptx

Welcome to Elevator Pitches, Business Plans & Investor Decks  Ent 526  Winter 2019  Week 5

Dr. Sean Wise, BA LLB MBA PhD

TRSM 2-076

[email protected]

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Last Week’s Concepts

21st Century Entrepreneurship

The Lean Startup Methodology

Customer Development

Business Plans

Business Model Canvas

Lean Canvas

Build/Measure/Learn

The Lifecycle of a startup

S curve

Problem Solution Fit

Product Market Fit

Creating a Lean Canvas for: uber, amazon, google search, tinder, etc.

Not yet covered:

Hypothesis Design

Hypothesis Testing

A/B Testing

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#1 Cause behind changes in Entrepreneurship?

#1 Cause behind changes in Entrepreneusnhip?

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The Changing Process

20th Century 21st Century
Build in Secret Go to customers early and often
Only focus group in Secret Share, share, share
Only have 1 chance to make a first impression of customers Name it BETA and let customers shape it
Engineering Driven Customer Driven

21st Century

Entrepreneurship

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Keys to 21st Century Entrepreneurship

Get out of the Building

Done today, beats perfect tomorrow

Build Measure Learn

Share, Share, Share

Launch early and iterate often

Customers before Investors

Show Don’t Tell

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What’s a business model?

A business model describes the rationale of how an organization creates, delivers, and captures value, in economic, social, cultural or other contexts.

Business model = revenue model – cost model

The revenue model breaks down all the sources of revenue that your business will generate.

The cost model identifies how you are spending your resources to make money. It includes your cost of goods sold (COGS) and your operating expenses.

Business Model has 9 components

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9 Parts of a Business Model

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Lean Canvas

You need to be able to fill in a Lean Canvas for:

Google

Facebook

Netflix

Uber http:// www.tomersagi.com/blog/2015/5/8/what-would-ubers-business-model-look

Tinder

Wikipedia

Hypothesis Testing

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Lean Startup Methodology

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Lean Startup Methodology

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Hypothesis Testing

A hypothesis is a way of taking a scientific question and turning it into testable prediction.

A good hypothesis is important because it leads to good experimental design. Good experimental design is important because you need it to properly validate or invalidate what you’re doing.

“What is the simplest thing we could do here to prove our hypothesis?”

The key outcome of an experimental approach is measurable evidence and learning.

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Hypothesis Testing

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Hypothesis Testing

The basic structure is this:

I believe [target market] will not [do this action / use this solution] for [this reason].

A good hypothesis must be:

Written down in advance

Be falsifiable Is there a test after which the hypothesis could turn out to be wrong? If not, it's not a falsifiable hypothesis or in other words: It's not really a hypothesis

Be testable

Be quantifiable

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Hypothesis Testing

Examples:

I believe that East Coast U.S.-based investors will read at least one article per week on NextMontreal because they have a growing interest in the Montreal startup ecosystem.

I believe that people will not want to download their content to have a separate place in case of being audited or canceling an online service.

More people would catch the train if they got an SMS message 15 minutes before they needed to leave.

If we add logos of our existing customers to our landing page, it will convey trust as a key value proposition to Bernie, our customer persona, and he will sign up.

Potential partners will not be willing to fill out a lead sheet when they view a partner page explaining our 3 key value propositions.

Customers are only willing to pay a max price for a hotel based on the time of day they book.

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A/B Testing

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The Startup Lifecycle

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Key Inflection Points

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Customer Discovery

Goal is to Achieve Problem/Solution Fit

Problem/Solution fit means you answer: Does this Problem exist? And can I Solve it?

Customer Validation

Goal is to Achieve Product/Market Fit

Product/Market fit means being in a good market with a product that can satisfy that market

Achieving Product/Market fit requires at least 40% of users saying they would be “very disappointed” without your product.

Customer Creation – Drive Demand

Company Building – Scale the Company

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The S Curve:

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The Startup Life Cycle

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The Startup Life Cycle

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Key Inflection Points

MVP

Problem Solution Fit

Product Market Fit

Scale

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The Startup Life Cycle

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The S Curve:

Product Market Fit Scale now

(LTV > COCA)

Problem Solution Fit

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The Story of Uber

https:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=horKATZh4-8

This Week

Lecture:

The Elevator Pitch

The Executive Summary

Business Plans

Business Plans vs Lean Canvas

Investor Decks

KPIs and Pirate Metrics

  

Readings:

ENT pg 285-302

The Art of the Pitch, Chapter 3, The Art of the Start, Guy Kawasaki, (BB)

10 magic slides http://www.marsdd.com/mars-library/how-to-create-a-pitch-deck-for-investors/

Investor Decks http://blog.pickcrew.com/the-investor-presentation-we-used-to-raise-2-million/

How to Write a Business Plan, Sahlman, HBS (BB)

The 10/20/30 Rule http://blog.guykawasaki.com/2005/12/the_102030_rule.html

The Executive Summary (BB)

 

Exercise:

Crafting elevator pitches for Netflix, Google & Wikipedia

 

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This Week’s Concepts

Business Plan

Business Plans vs Business Canvases vs Lean Canvases

Elevator Pitching

Back of the Napkin Diagram (BoND)

KPIs

Pirate Metrics

Show don’t Tell

UVP

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It is a small investment in time and cost when compared to the time and cost of starting a business.

It forces the entrepreneur to think critically about all aspects of the business venture.

It can later be used as a benchmark to monitor the progress of the business.

“Plans are nothing, but planning is everything” - GEN Dwight D. Eisenhower

You need a business plan

***new slide***

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Many established ventures use business model canvas instead of a business plan. Many startups use a lean startup canvas not a business plan

So why write one?

Helps stakeholders align.

It forces the entrepreneur to think critically about all aspects of the business venture.

It can later be used as a benchmark to monitor the progress of the business.

Not the paper, but the ideas that matter.

“No plan survives first contact with customer” Steve Blank

Wait! No one reads a business plan

***new slide***

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Start business planning when starting to think about a new venture

Organize information into topic areas

Focus on critical aspects of the business model and follow basic/common plan formats

Keep in mind—the business plan is a “living document.” It will continue to evolve as you progress.

Business planning is a continuous process

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How will stakeholders interpret your plan?

A tagline creates a unifying plot line that organizes your thinking

Keep your plan as close to the “general format” as possible

Your plan should flow like a story

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What is your primary reason for starting a business?

What are some personal objectives you have for the business?

Is the Industry growing or declining? How do you know and where will the industry be in 5 years?

What are the past, present and future industry rends?

Have you anticipated technological changes? How will technology affect the business?

In geographic terms, how large is the market area you intend to serve with your product or services?

What percentage of the market share do you hope to obtain in each of the first three years? How are you going to capture it?

Who are you major potential business customers? Where are they located? How often will they buy your product or service?

Do you know the strength and weaknesses or advantages and disadvantages of your competition?

What will be the image if your business?

How much will it cost you to acquire one customer? How much profit will you make from that one customer? How long will that customer remain a customer?

What do readers want to know?

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The 9 parts of the Business Model

The milestones you have hit so far

What you will do with the money, what KPIs will be hit, by when?

Why you? your team?

What is the UVP?

What is the defensible competitive advantage?

Who else is committed?

What stage is the business at? MVP? Product/Market Fit

What do investors really want to know?

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People –Who are the people behind the venture? Can they successfully build a company?

Pain – The bigger the “pain” the company is solving, the better

Product – Is the product or service 10 times better, 10 times faster, 10 times cheaper.

Placement (industry) – Is the cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) of the industry > 25%

Go to market Plan – Is the plan reasonable, not right

Pitch – Is the pitch clear, confident and concise

Proposal – Is the reward worth the risk

The 7 Ps

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Your plan should cover 8 main areas

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Executive Summary

Operations

Marketing Plan

Team

Develop-ment Plan

Critical Risks

Company/ Product Description

Industry/ Competitor Analysis

Financial Plan

Appendix

Start with your Business Model Canvas

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Elevator Pitch = Customer Pain + Startup Solution

Must be:

Irrefutable – the pain statement should not be subjective

Greed Inducing – should illustrate how an investor can make money

Easily Understandable - simple enough that both an investor and your Grandmother

Succinct – short enough to be said in 3 to 4 sentences or 1 to 2 minutes

http:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tq0tan49rmc

The elevator pitch

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One person’s trash is another’s treasure. Our online global garage sale brings together buyers and sellers from around the world through our proprietary trust-based platform.

Not everyone can afford US$1000+ to access information. Our online platform offers encyclopedic knowledge, available on demand, in the cloud, 24/7 and free. We are 100 x larger than the Encyclopedia Britannica and growing exponentially. Our content is updated by thousands of editors daily. We are the world’s largest repository of human knowledge.

Elevator pitch samples

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Unique Value Proposition

UVP is a clear statement that describes the benefit of your offer, how you solve your customer's needs and what distinguishes you from the competition.

value proposition is a clear statement that

explains how your product solves customers’ problems or improves their situation (relevancy),

delivers specific benefits (quantified value),

tells the ideal customer why they should buy from you and not from the competition (unique differentiation).

A key part of your Elevator Pitch

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UVP Sample

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Investor Decks: Keys

10/20/30 Rule of Powerpoint

No more than 10 Slides

No more than 20 minutes

No less than 30 point font

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Investor Decks: 10 magic slides

Problem

Your solution

Business model

Underlying magic/technology

Marketing and sales

Competition

Team

Projections, milestones & traction

Status and timeline

Summary and call to action

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https:// slidebean.com/blog/startups/pitch-deck-examples

One Rule for all Tools?

Use objective numbers not subjective opinion to validate your positions

Always provide 3rd Party evidence

Always focus on KPIs

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Show vs Tell

People love us

vs

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Key Performance Indicators

KPIs are like vital statistics (e.g. Blood pressure) for your venture

KPIs for a growing organization should be as simple and inexpensive to track as possible, while providing information leading to better decision making.

Stratup metrics fall into five groups:

financial, user, acquisition, sales, and marketing.

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AARRRrrrrrrr

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Pirate Metrics

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Other Key Performance Indicators

Customer Acquisition Costs (CAC) – COCA, equal to your sales and marketing expenses divided by the # of customers

Customer Retention - % of new customers that stay

Life Time Value (LTV) – ARPU, how much one customer is worth to your company.

Product Metabolism -  how quickly your team makes decisions and rolls out updates to your products

Viral Coefficient - measures your initial customers and the number of invites they send out

Revenue - $$$

Conversion Rate - activation rate, a measure of the # of visitors who become customers

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Dr. Sean Wise, BA LLB MBA PhD

TRSM 2-076

[email protected]

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