Subject: november pricing
here is the november outlook from cera . note the predicted basin
differentials .
cera alert : sent mon , october 16 , 2000
title : monthly briefing : turning on the heat
author : n . american gas team
e - mail category : alert
product line : north american gas ,
url : http : / / www . cera . com / cfm / track / eprofile . cfm ? u = 5526
eastern inventories are expected to be above last year  , s levels at the end of
october .
storage injections in the west , however , have dwindled , revising the expected
storage inventories to be even with the five - year average but below 1999
levels .
pg & e gt - nw volumes have declined in october and are expected to be slightly
below 1999 levels by 50 - 100 mmcf per day in november as well . northern border
pipeline is running about 50 mmcf per day above october 1999 but is expected
to be
slightly below 1999 levels in november . cooler - than - normal weather has pushed
western canadian demand up slightly but does not offset the lower eastern
canadian
demand .
high prices , wide differentials
the aeco - henry differential has leveled off in the upper us $ 0 . 50 s to low
us $ 0 . 60 s and is expected to remain in that range through the balance of
october .
for november the differential is expected to average us $ 0 . 50 , for a resulting
aeco
average of c $ 6 . 97 per gigajoule ( us $ 5 . 00 per mmbtu ) .
* * end * *
follow url for pdf version of this monthly briefing with associated tables .
cera ' s autumn 2000 roundtable event dates and agendas are now available at
http : / / www . cera . com / event
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