EECS4460.2311.23.19.pptx
Power System Management
EECS 4460/5460-901
Lecture #23
International Power Systems
1
Forecasts continue to predict a substantial growth in energy global needs
World population is 7.7Billion, reaching 9.7B by 2050 (at <1% growth)
Infrastructure development continues worldwide
Technological advancements contribute to growth
Government projections differentiate the OECD countries from the non-OECD countries
OECD is the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development, formed in 1961
The 36 OECD Countries include the U.S., Canada, Japan, Korea, Australia, New Zealand, and most of Europe
Non-OECD countries include China, India, Russia, Ukraine, most of Africa, South America and the Middle East.
The Global Energy Picture
The 2010 Global Energy Forecast
Updated for 2019*: Global Energy Consumption Increases by Nearly 50% between 2018 and 2050
*EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook
Industrial: Increases by more than 30% between 2018 and 2050, driven by consumption of goods
Transportation: Increases by nearly 40% between 2018 and 2050, driven by non-OECD countries (personal travel and freight movement)
Global Energy Forecast by Sector
Transportation Sector Remains the Largest Consumer of Liquid Fuels*
*EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook
Carbon Emissions Will Grow as Well
*EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook
Carbon Emissions Growth by Fuel Source
*EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook
Economic Trends are Related
*EIA 2019 International Energy Outlook
Global Electricity Growth
Drivers for Electricity Growth
11
Lifestyle
Larger houses
Heating and cooling
Comfort and security
Entertainment
U.S. Per Capita Electricity Consumption Among Highest in the World
Annual KWH Per Capita
Source: (1) CIA, World Fact Book
16,020
13,281
11,920
10,238
7,567
6,696
6,210
2,559
2,046
498
UAE
Germany
China
India
Location • Date
Meeting Name
12
Consumption Update – 2018
| Country | Consumption KWhr(billion) | Population (Million) |
| China | 6,840** | 1,390 |
| United States | 4,178 | 328 |
| India | 1,541 | 1,311 |
| Japan | 1,101 | 127 |
| Russia | 1,090 | 142 |
** +8.5%
13
The World is Watching Television
14
Global Growth by Fuel Source
15
Fuel Mix Varies by Region
16
IEA Projects Significant Asian Growth
17
Globally, electricity demand rose 4% in 2018, nearly twice as fast as overall energy demand
The 900 TWhr growth was the largest increase since 2010
CO2 emissions from the electricity sector grew 2.5% due to the increased use of natural gas and more coal in China
China’s electricity demand grew 8% in 2018; U.S. grew 4%
Renewable generation accelerated 7% in 2018
Renewable generation in Germany surpassed coal for the first time in its history
Global Electricity Growth in 2018
International Power Systems
Fuel Alternatives
Environmental Update
Policies and politics
Technology advancements
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