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Econ3_ps2_sol.pdf

Problem Set 2 Solutions

ECON 3 − Principles of Macroeconomics

University of California San Diego

Christopher Gibson

Monday, April 13th

1. If the following table describes consumption and prices for a small economy, with year 1

as the base year,

Apples Bananas

Quantity Price Quantity Price

1 qA1 p A 1 q

B 1 p

B 1

2 qA2 p A 2 q

B 2 p

B 2

3 qA3 p A 3 q

B 3 p

B 3

(a) Quantities qA2 , q A 3 , q

B 2 , and q

B 3 are irrelevant for the calculation of CPI in years 1-3.

(b) All quantities and prices are needed to calculate nominal GDP in years 1-3.

(c) Prices pA2 , p A 3 , p

B 2 , and p

B 3 are irrelevant for the calculation of real GDP in years 1-3.

(d) All quantities and prices are needed to calculate GDP deflator in years 1-3.

2. Consider a small economy in which the representative consumer eats only cheese and

drinks only wine.

Cheese (pounds) Wine (bottles)

Quantity Price Quantity Price

2000 1,200 $1.00 40 $10

2001 1,300 $1.20 60 $12

2002 700 $2.00 120 $4

1

(a)

CPI2000 =

( Qc2000 · Pc2000 + Qw2000 · Pw2000 Qc2000 · Pc2000 + Qw2000 · Pw2000

) · 100 =

( $1, 600

$1, 600

) · 100

= 100

CPI2001 =

( Qc2000 · Pc2001 + Qw2000 · Pw2001 Qc2000 · Pc2000 + Qw2000 · Pw2000

) · 100 =

( $1, 920

$1, 600

) · 100

= 120

CPI2002 =

( Qc2000 · Pc2002 + Qw2000 · Pw2002 Qc2000 · Pc2000 + Qw2000 · Pw2000

) · 100 =

( $2, 560

$1, 600

) · 100

= 160

(b) CPI in 2001 suffers from no substitution bias. Given that the prices both increased

by 20%, the consumer has no incentive to substitute toward one good over the other.

(c) CPI in 2002 suffers from substitution bias. Since wine becomes relatively less ex-

pensive, the consumer would substitute away from consuming cheese and toward

consuming wine. This is exactly what we see in the consumption pattern.

Given that CPI does not account for substitution away from the relatively more

expensive good, it exaggerates the burden of the price change on the consumer and

hence overestimates inflation.

(d) With utility u(qc,qw) = q 2 c · qw, in 2000 the consumer enjoys utility

u(1200, 40) = 12002 · 40 = 57, 600, 000

while in 2002 utility is

u(700, 120) = 7002 · 120 = 58, 800, 000

so it is clear that utility is higher in 2002. Moreover, expenditure on 2000 quantities

would be

Qc2000 · P c 2002 + Q

w 2000 · P

w 2002 = $2 · 1200 + $4 · 40

= $2, 560

while actual expenditure is

Qc2002 · P c 2002 + Q

w 2002 · P

w 2002 = $2 · 700 + $4 · 120

= $1, 880

so the consumer spends less than they would have on the base year basket.

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(e) GDP deflator is

GDPd2002 =

( Qc2002 · Pc2002 + Qw2002 · Pw2002 Qc2002 · Pc2000 + Qw2002 · Pw2000

) · 100 =

( $1, 880

$1, 900

) · 100

= 98.95

Since 2000 is the base year, GDP deflator is 100, so inflation according to GDP

deflator is

π =

( 98.95 − 100

100

) · 100% = −1.05%

while according to CPI

π =

( 160 − 100

100

) · 100% = 60%

GDP deflator indicates deflation, consistent with the price burden of the consumer

as shown above, while CPI indicates large inflation. This discrepancy shows that

GDP deflator seems to be a better representative for 2002 price level than CPI.

3. Beginning with a wage of $10 per hour and increasing 10% per year in real terms, we

know that in 2000 dollars, Esmerelda should make $11 per hour in 2001 and $12.10 in

2002. From (2), inflation in 2001 is

π =

( 120 − 100

100

) · 100% = 20%

while inflation from 2000 to 2002 is

π =

( 160 − 100

100

) · 100% = 60%

Inflating real wage to compensate for price changes gives a nominal wage of $11 · (1.2) = $13.20 in 2001 and f $12.10 · (1.6) = $19.36 in 2002.

Note that you could also have grown nominal wage in 2001 by 10% and applied inflation

from 2001 to 2002, which is

π =

( 160 − 120

120

) · 100% =

100

3 % ≈ 33.33%

Then wage in 2002 is

w2002 = $11 · (1.2) · (1.1) · (

1 + 1

3

) = $11 · (1.1)

( 6

5

) · (

4

3

) = $12.10 ·

( 8

5

) = $19.36.

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4. The exact real interest rate is given by

r = i − π 1 + π

(a) If the nominal interest rate is 6% and inflation is 1%.

i. The exact real interest rate (as a percent) is

r =

( 0.06 − 0.01

1 + 0.01

) · 100% ≈ 4.95%

ii. The real interest rate implied by the approximation rule (as a percent) is

r = (0.06 − 0.01) · 100% = 5%

(b) If the nominal interest rate is 10% and inflation is 5%.

i. The exact real interest rate (as a percent) is

r =

( 0.1 − 0.05 1 + 0.05

) · 100% ≈ 4.76%

ii. The real interest rate implied by the approximation rule (as a percent) is

r = (0.1 − 0.05) · 100% = 5%

(c) If the nominal interest rate is 15% and inflation is 10%.

i. The exact real interest rate (as a percent) is

r =

( 0.15 − 0.1

1 + 0.1

) · 100% ≈ 4.55%

ii. The real interest rate implied by the approximation rule (as a percent) is

r = (0.15 − 0.1) · 100% = 5%

(d) The approximations all indicate the real interest rate is 5%, while the exact real

interest rates are all lower than this. As inflation increases, the real interest rate

decreases, so the approximations become more inaccurate.

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