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Day15-TheFederalBudget.ppt

The Federal Budget

Professor

Matthew N. Beckmann

LBJ – Great Society (& Vietnam)

NIXON

Great Society

Social Security +

Medicare

Dem Congress

Vietnam

(Oil Embargo)

Short-Term Solutions

Price Controls

Wage Controls

FORD & CARTER

Outline

The Economy and the US Government

Where the Money Goes

- Discretionary Spending

- Non-Discretionary Spending (Entitlements)

Where the Money Comes From

- Income Taxes

- Payroll Taxes

II. You Balance the Budget!

The Budget

Fiscal Policy:

The use of government spending and revenue to influence the economy. In short, fiscal policy is like the federal government’s checking account.

The Budget

Early Feb: President Submits Budget

April(ish): Congressional Budget Resolutions

- 20 categories

- divide the pie

By October: Authorizing and Appropriating

(Note: Congress Routinely Misses Its Deadlines;

Hasn’t been on time since 1997.)

Where the Money Goes

The Federal Budget:
Two Categories of Spending

Where the Money Goes:
Non-Discretionary Spending

Where the Money Goes: Discretionary Spending

Why is it Non-Discretionary?

Neither the current President nor Congress really “decides” how much to spend on Social Security or Medicare or Unemployment and the like.

Instead, these programs result from previous laws, and when people become eligible, they get the benefits.

The Growth of
Non-Discretionary Spending

In terms of its cost, which one has grown the most in the last generation?

Medicare/Medicaid

or

Social Security

Where the Money Comes From

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes

http://qz.com/37639/check-your-us-tax-rate-for-2012-and-every-year-since-1913/

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes

Few paid 91% tax rate (Only 8 people in 1960).

The main effect was pushing businesses to distribute profits differently – away from top.

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Income Taxes (Deductions)

Where the Money Comes From
Payroll Taxes

Payroll Taxes Are Designated for “Entitlement” Programs.

Social Security = 6.2% (cap now at $137,700)

Medicare = 1.45% (no cap)

(Matched by your employer.)

Where the Money Comes From
Payroll Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Payroll Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Payroll Taxes

Where the Money Comes From
Payroll Taxes

Income & State

Taxes

Revenues – Outlays = Surplus/Deficit

The Economy & The US Gov’t
revenues and spending

Balance the Budget!

If you wanted to balance the budget, what would you do?

Cut Spending

or

Raise Taxes

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

During the Great Depression, FDR helped enact Social Security – a program to help ensure seniors did not end their life bankrupt.

LBJ extended that safety net to include Medicare – a program that guaranteed seniors would have affordable healthcare at the end of their lives.

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

These “entitlement” programs have been very successful at their stated goals – helping Americans retire (and stop getting an income) yet avoid ending up sick and broke.

Not surprisingly, they are popular, especially with seniors.

But they are also expensive!

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

The other big-ticket budgetary item is national defense. We spend more on the military than the next 8 countries combined – and we have for generations!

This has many advantages – diplomatically, militarily, and even economically.

But it is also expensive!

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

Everything else comprises fairly small pieces of the federal budget – and often those pieces are popular (e.g., Pell Grants; School Lunches; Roads; Hospitals; Veterans Benefits).

The reality is there is not much fraud, waste, or abuse in the federal budget. Rather, we spend money on a few major programs plus a bunch of (pretty popular) minor ones.

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

Of course, taxes aren’t popular either!

The Budget,
Accountability, and Leadership

The question for politicians, then, is what are your priorities given the basic budgetary realities.

There is no magic bullet; tradeoffs are a must.

Trump

President Trump has not touched Medicare or Social Security, and he helped increase defense spending.

President Trump also signed into a law a fairly large tax cut.

Eventually, something will have to give. But for now, we can borrow the difference (at low rates).

Midterm

Nice Job.

  • Do Readings!
  • Come to Class!
  • Cite Course Materials!
  • Answer Questions!
  • Explain the Logic of Your Answer.

Mean 83

Median 85

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