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Chapter 1 International Trade

International Trade

International Trade Growth

International Trade Milestones

Largest Exporting and Importing Countries

International Trade Drivers

International Trade Theories

International Business Environment

International Trade Growth

International Trade Growth 1953-2015.

Source: World Trade Organization

International Trade Milestones

Bretton-Woods Conference (1944)

Creation of the International Monetary Fund (1945)

First General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (Geneva, 1948)

General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade

Multiple reductions on tariffs: GATT’s Kennedy Round (1964-67), Tokyo Round (1973-79), and Uruguay Round (1986-94). Currently in the Doha Round (started in 1998, stalled).

Treaty of Rome (1957)

World Trade Organization (1995)

The Euro’s creation (1999) and placement in circulation (2002)

Major Exporting Countries (2015)

Country Exports (US$ billions) Percentage
China 2,275 13.8%
United States 1,505 9.1%
Germany 1,329 8.1%
Japan 625 3.8%
Netherlands 567 3.4%
Korea, Republic of 527 3.2%
Hong Kong, China 511 3.1%
France 506 3.1%
United Kingdom 460 2.8%
Italy 459 2.8%
Canada 408 2.5%
Belgium 398 2.4%
Mexico 381 2.3%
Singapore 351 2.1%
Russian Federation 340 2.1%
Rest of the World 5,839 35.4%
World 14,482 100.0%

Major Importing Countries (2015)

Country Imports (in US$ billions) Percentage
United States 2,308 13.8%
China 1,682 10.1%
Germany 1,050 6.3%
Japan 648 3.9%
United Kingdom 626 3.7%
France 573 3.4%
Hong Kong, China 559 3.3%
Netherlands 506 3.0%
Korea, Republic of 436 2.6%
Canada 436 2.6%
Italy 409 2.4%
Mexico 405 2.4%
India 392 2.3%
Belgium 309 2.2%
Spain 280 1.8%
Rest of the World 6,361,028 35.9%
World 18,567,000 100.0%

International Trade Drivers

Cost Drivers

Companies increase their sales worldwide to recover their high investment costs.

Competition Drivers

Companies enter foreign markets to keep up with their competitors , retaliate against them, or enter a market first.

Market Drivers

Companies enter foreign markets because their customers expect them to be present in those countries.

Technology Drivers

Companies enter foreign markets because their customers use technology to make purchases from these markets

Cost Drivers

Companies in industries with high fixed costs try to spread these costs over many units, and therefore seek sales outside of their home markets.

Automobile companies were among the first to seek sales abroad:

Automobile production is dominated by 19 companies

(89 percent of all automobiles worldwide)

Automobile production is concentrated in 15 countries

(88 percent of worldwide production)

yet

Automobiles are sold in 143 countries.

Major Automobile Makers (2015)

Company Units Sold Worldwide Brands
Toyota Motors Corp. 10,475,000 Toyota, Lexus, Daihatsu, Hino
Volkswagen Group AG 9,895,000 Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche, Škoda, Scania, SEAT
General Motors Corp. 9,609,000 Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac, GMC, Opel, Holden
Hyundai Motor Group 8,009,000 Hyundai, Kia
Ford Motor Company 5,970,000 Ford, Lincoln, Troller, Bedford
Nissan 5,098,000 Nissan, Dacia, Infiniti, Datsun
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles 4,866,000 Fiat, Chrysler, Dodge, Alfa-Romeo, Ferrari
Honda Motors 5,514,000 Honda, Acura
Suzuki 3,017,000 Suzuki, Maruti
Peugeot-Citroën SA 2,917,000 Peugeot, Citroën
Renault 2,762,000 Renault
BMW AG 2,166,000 BMW, Mini, Rolls-Royce
SAIC Motors 2,088,000 Wuling, Baojun
Daimler AG 1,973,000 Mercedes-Benz, Mitsubishi-Fuso, Setra
Chang’an 1,447,000 Chang’an,Chana
Mazda Motors 1,328,000 Mazda
DongFeng Motors 1,302,000 Dongfeng, Fengshen
Mitsubishi 1,262,000 Mitsubishi
Beijing Automotive Group 1,116,000 BAIC, BAW, Foton
Rest of the World 9,958,000 Tata, Jaguar, Land Rover, Geely, Emgrand, Englon, Gleagle, Subaru, Great Wall, Haval, FAW, Besturn, Hong Qi, Jilin, IKCO

Vehicle Production Countries (2015)

Country Vehicles Produced
China 24,503,000
United States 12,100,000
Japan 9,278,000
Germany 6,033,000
South Korea 4,556,000
India 4,126,000
Mexico 3,565,000
Spain 2,733,000
Brazil 2,429,000
Canada 2,283,000
France 1,970,000
Thailand 1,915,000
United Kingdom 1,464,000
Russia 1,458,000
Turkey 1,359,000
Rest of the World 10,862,000
Total 90,781,000

Competition Drivers

Companies that see themselves as global players seek to counter their competitors’ international moves in order to retain global market share.

Every move by one of the players is met with some retaliatory measure:

When Benetton—an Italian company—, entered the U.S. market, The Gap—an American company—, retaliated by entering the Italian market.

When Carrefour—a French retailer—enters a market, Walmart enters another. And when Walmart enters a market, Carrefour does as well.

Competition Drivers

The way Carrefour and Walmart split the world (2017)
Countries in which both are present Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Japan, Kenya, United Kingdom.
Countries in which only Carrefour is present Albania, Armenia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Egypt, France, Georgia, Greece, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Italy, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Macedonia, Monaco, Malaysia, Morocco, Oman, Pakistan, Poland, Portugal ,Qatar, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Spain, Slovakia, Slovenia, Syria, Taiwan, Tunisia, Turkey, United Arab Emirates.
Countries in which only Walmart is present Botswana, Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, Ghana, Guatemala, Honduras, Lesotho, Malawi, Mexico, Mozambique, Namibia, Nicaragua, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, United States, Zambia.

Market Drivers

Companies in industries where customers travel will follow these customers internationally:

Hotel chains were first to offer a standardized experience worldwide.

Fast-food restaurants followed their customers abroad (McDonald’s first foreign ventures followed U.S. military personnel in Germany and Japan).

Market Drivers

Number of countries in which selected companies are present*
McDonald’s Restaurants 121
Hilton Hotels 91
Benetton Stores 120
Cartier Jewelry Stores 125
Accor Hotels 92
Exxon-Mobil Gas Stations 100+

* Some companies have a very “broad” definition of countries, counting

Puerto Rico, Martinique, and Jersey as separate countries. The tallies in

this table are self reported.

International Trade Theories

Adam Smith’s Theory of Absolute Advantage

David Ricardo’s Theory of Comparative Advantage

Eli Hecksher and Bertil Ohlin’s Factor Endowment Theory

Raymond Vernon’s International Product Life Cycle Theory

Michael Porter’s Cluster Theory

Yossi Sheffi’s Logistics Cluster Theory

Theory of Absolute Advantage

If a country can produce a certain good more efficiently than other countries, it will trade with countries that produce other goods more efficiently.

In this case, both countries are using the same amount of labor to produce these alternatives. France will specialize in making wine, and Germany will specialize in making machinery.

Wine Machinery
France 20,000 2
Germany 15,000 3

Theory of Comparative Advantage

Nations will trade with one another as long as they can produce certain goods relatively more efficiently than one another

The UK has an absolute advantage in both machinery and wheat. However, in the UK, the relative price of 1 unit of machinery is 5 tons of wheat, and in Brazil, it is 7 tons of wheat.

The nations will trade: If the UK sells 1 unit of machinery to Brazil for 6 units of wheat, both the UK and Brazil are better off. The UK has a comparative advantage in producing machinery, Brazil in growing wheat.

Tons of Wheat Units of Machinery
UK 25 5
Brazil 21 3

Factor Endowment Theory

A country will enjoy a comparative advantage over other countries if it is naturally endowed with a greater abundance of one of the factors of economic production.

Country Abundance Advantage
Argentina Grazing Land Beef
India Educated Labor Call centers
USA Economic system where entrepreneurship is rewarded Innovation & development of intellectual property
Factors of Economic Production
1. Land
2. Labor
3. Capital
4. Entrepreneurship

International Product Life Cycle Theory

Over its life, a product will be manufactured in different types of countries, in stages, generating trade between these countries.

Stage 1

Product is created in developed country, using new technology and serving a market need.

Stage 2

As sales grow, competitors start to make similar products in other developed countries, responding to local needs.

Stage 3

Manufacturing of product has become routine and costs need to be reduced, and production moves to developing countries.

Cluster Theory

Competitive clusters form when companies in the same industry, as well as their suppliers, concentrate in one geographic area. When this happens, the companies “feed” on each other’s know-how, pushing them to innovate faster. They become so efficient and innovative that they become world-class suppliers.

Cluster Examples
Silicon Valley, California, U.S. – Information technology
Sassuolo, Italy – Ceramic tiles
Genève, Switzerland – Watches
Yiwu, China – Socks & hosiery

Logistics Cluster Theory

Logistics clusters form when logistics companies concentrate in one geographic area. When this happens, the companies allow manufacturers to operate more efficiently, since all the services they need to ship are located in one area. The logistics suppliers, even though they are competitors, actually help each other attract new customers.

Logistics Cluster Examples
Singapore
Memphis, United States
Rotterdam, The Netherlands
Zaragoza, Spain

International Business Environment

To be successful in international logistics, not only is it important to have an understanding of logistics, but it is also fundamental to understand the international environment.

This can be achieved by learning a foreign language, taking classes in international economics, international finance, intercultural communication, and international marketing, but also by traveling frequently, meeting foreign nationals, and making an effort to understand what is happening in foreign countries.

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