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DataAnalysisProject3.xlsx

National Economy

Increase in Personal income increases consumer expenditures?
Observation_date Personal Income Consumer expenditures
1990-01-01 26876 4.1
1991-01-01 26483 3.6
1992-01-01 26217 3.1
1993-01-01 26473 2.7
1994-01-01 26799 2.2
1995-01-01 27534 2.2
1996-01-01 28118 1.9
1997-01-01 29352 1.8
1998-01-01 30808 1.3
1999-01-01 31120 1.4
2000-01-01 31462 1.8
2001-01-01 31185 1.8
2002-01-01 30959 1.7
2003-01-01 31029 1.5
2004-01-01 30935 2.0
2005-01-01 31354 2.2
2006-01-01 32205 2.3
2007-01-01 32324 2.2
2008-01-01 30997 2.0
2009-01-01 30661 1.2
2010-01-01 30211 1.4
2011-01-01 29750 1.6
2012-01-01 29572 1.9
2013-01-01 29883 1.5
2014-01-01 30532 1.6
2015-01-01 32051 1.3
2016-01-01 32542 1.6
2017-01-01 32741 1.7
2018-01-01 33706 1.9
Statistical Metrics
Mean 30134 2
Median 30808 2
Sample Variance 4392205.18965517 0.4524368842
Standard Deviation 2095.7588577065 0.6726342871
Coefficient of Variation 6.95% 34.30%
Max 33706 4
Min 26217 1
Range 7489 3
Percentile 32367.6 2.77
Quartile 29352 1.575
Skewness -0.5959228932 1.680161164

Increase in personal income increases consumer expenditure

Personal Income 32874 33239 33604 33970 34335 34700 35065 35431 35796 36161 36526 36892 37257 37622 37987 38353 38718 39083 39448 39814 40179 40544 40909 41275 41640 42005 42370 42736 43101 26876 26483 26217 26473 26799 27534 28118 29352 30808 31120 31462 31185 30959 31029 30935 31354 32205 32324 30997 30661 30211 29750 29572 29883 30532 32051 32542 32741 33706 Consumer expenditures 32874 33239 33604 33970 34335 34700 35065 35431 35796 36161 36526 36892 37257 37622 37987 38353 38718 39083 39448 39814 40179 40544 40909 41275 41640 42005 42370 42736 43101 4.0750000000000002 3.5750000000000002 3.05 2.7 2.2250000000000001 2.1749999999999998 1.9 1.7749999999999999 1.3 1.35 1.75 1.7749999999999999 1.675 1.45 1.95 2.15 2.2999999999999998 2.2000000000000002 2.0249 999999999999 1.1499999999999999 1.35 1.575 1.875 1.5 1.6 1.25 1.6 1.65 1.925

Wealth, Income, and Poverty

Higher Inflation increases the poverty?
Observation_date Inflation rate Poverty
1989-01-01 4.2 31528020
1990-01-01 4.1 33875346
1991-01-01 3.6 35917654
1992-01-01 3.1 38291114
1993-01-01 2.7 39264811
1994-01-01 2.2 37191809
1995-01-01 2.2 36424609
1996-01-01 1.9 36529140
1997-01-01 1.8 35573858
1998-01-01 1.3 34475762
1999-01-01 1.4 32791272
2000-01-01 1.8 31581086
2001-01-01 1.8 32906511
2002-01-01 1.7 34569951
2003-01-01 1.5 35861170
2004-01-01 2.0 37039804
2005-01-01 2.2 38231474
2006-01-01 2.3 38757253
2007-01-01 2.2 38052247
2008-01-01 2.0 39108422
2009-01-01 1.2 42868163
2010-01-01 1.4 46215956
2011-01-01 1.6 48452035
2012-01-01 1.9 48760123
2013-01-01 1.5 48810868
2014-01-01 1.6 48208387
2015-01-01 1.3 46153077
2016-01-01 1.6 44268996
2017-01-01 1.7 42583651
Statistical Metrics
Mean 2.0379310345 39113536.862069
Median 1.775 38052247
Sample Variance 0.6173937808 29644929955060.6
Standard Deviation 0.7857440937 5444715.78276227
Coefficient of Variation 39% 14%
Max 4.15 48810868
Min 1.15 31528020
Range 3 17282848
Percentile 3.155 48257116.6
Quitiles 1.575 35573858
Skewness 1.5675196079 0.5835847881

Higher Inflation increases the poverty

Inflation rate 32509 32874 33239 33604 33970 34335 34700 35065 35431 35796 36161 36526 36892 37257 37622 37987 38353 38718 39083 39448 39814 40179 40544 40909 41275 41640 42005 42370 42736 4.1500000000000004 4.0750000000000002 3.5750000000000002 3.05 2.7 2.2250000000000001 2.1749999999999998 1.9 1.7749999999999999 1.3 1.35 1.75 1.7749999999999999 1.675 1.45 1.95 2.15 2.2999999999999998 2.2000000000000002 2.0249999999999999 1.1499999999999999 1.35 1.575 1.875 1.5 1.6 1.25 1.6 1.65 Poverty 32509 32874 33239 33604 33970 34335 34700 35065 35431 35796 36161 36526 36892 37257 37622 37987 38353 38718 39083 39448 39814 40179 40544 40909 41275 41640 42005 42370 42736 31528020 33875346 35917654 38291114 39264811 37191809 36424609 36529140 35573858 34475762 32791272 31581086 32906511 34569951 35861170 37039804 38231474 38757253 38052247 39108422 42868163 46215956 48452035 48760123 48810868 48208387 46153077 44268996 42583651

Business Statistics

Increase in sales increases profits?
Company Name Sales ($) (Billions) Profits ($) (Billions)
ICBC 179.5 45.2
JP Morgan Chase 132.9 32.7
China construction bank 150.3 38.8
Agriculture Bank of China 137.5 30.9
Bank of America 111.9 28.5
Apple 261.7 59.4
Ping An Insurance Group 151.8 16.3
Bank of China 126.7 27.5
Royal Dutch Shell 382.6 23.3
Wells Fargo 101.5 23.1
Exxon Mobil 279.2 20.8
AT&T 170.8 19.4
Samsung Electronics 221.5 39.9
citigroup 100 17.9
toyota motor 272.1 17.2
microsoft 118.2 33.5
alphabet 137 30.7
volkswagen group 278.2 14
chevron 158.7 14.8
verizon communications 130.9 15.5
HSBC holdings 64.3 13.7
petro china 322.8 8
allianz 118.8 8.8
BP 299.1 9.3
total 184.2 11.4
berkshire hathaway 247.8 4
china mobile 111.8 17.9
amazon 232.9 10.1
walmart 514.4 6.7
santander 89.5 9.2
Statistical Metrics
Mean 192.9533333333 21.6166666667
Median 155.25 17.9
Sample Variance 10018.0418850575 167.0359195402
Standard Deviation 100.0901687732 12.9242376773
Coefficient of Variation 52% 60%
Max 514.4 59.4
Min 64.3 4
Range 450.1 55.4
Percentile 301.47 38.91
Quitiles 120.775 11.975
Skewness 1.3914372868 1.0566186151
Single Regression
Sales ($) (Billions) Profits ($) (Billions)
Sales ($) (Billions) 1
Profits ($) (Billions) -0.1803817608 1
Multiple Regression

Is the profits of company is affected by Sales?

179.5 132.9 150.30000000000001 137.5 111.9 261.7 151.80000000000001 126.7 382.6 101.5 279.2 170.8 221.5 100 272.10000000000002 118.2 137 278.2 158.69999999999999 130.9 64.3 322.8 118.8 299.10000000000002 184.2 247.8 111.8 232.9 514.4 89.5 45.2 32.700000000000003 38.799999999999997 30.9 28.5 59.4 16.3 27.5 23.3 23.1 20.8 19.399999999999999 39.9 17.899999999999999 17.2 33.5 30.7 14 14.8 15.5 13.7 8 8.8000000000000007 9.3000000000000007 11.4 4 17.899999999999999 10.1 6.7 9.1999999999999993

Sales (x)

Profit (y)

Labor Statistics

High wages and salaries high compensation?
Observation Date Wages and Salaries Compensation
2001-01-01 88.8 6039.136
2002-01-01 91.7 6135.569
2003-01-01 94.3 6354.054
2004-01-01 96.8 6720.058
2005-01-01 99.2 7066.605
2006-01-01 102.1 7479.895
2007-01-01 105.5 7878.862
2008-01-01 108.6 8056.978
2009-01-01 110.4 7758.509
2010-01-01 112.1 7924.936
2011-01-01 114.0 8225.931
2012-01-01 116.0 8566.725
2013-01-01 118.2 8834.222
2014-01-01 120.6 9249.097
2015-01-01 123.3 9698.155
2016-01-01 126.3 9960.324
2017-01-01 129.5 10411.610
2018-01-01 133.4 10928.452
Statistical Metrics
Mean 110.6 8182.7
Median 111.2 7991.0
Sample Variance 177.2458986928 2119868.16933351
Standard Deviation 13.313372927 1455.9767063156
Coefficient of Variation 12% 18%
Max 133.4 10928.5
Min 88.8 6039.1
Range 44.6 4889.3
Percentile 127.225 10095.7098
Quitiles 99.875 7169.9275
Skewness -0.0051840429 0.276182045

High wages and salaries compensation would be high

Wages and Salaries 88.8 91.65 94.25 96.75 99.15 102.05 105.5 108.625 110.35 112.125 113.95 116.02500000000001 118.22499999999999 120.625 123.325 126.25 129.5 133.4 Compensation 6039.136 0000000004 6135.5690000000004 6354.0540000000001 6720.058 7066.6049999999996 7479.8950000000004 7878.8620000000001 8056.9780000000001 7758.509 7924.9359999999997 8225.9310000000005 8566.7250000000004 8834.2219999999998 9249.0969999999998 9698.1550000000007 9960.3240000000005 10411.61 10928.451999999999

Government

Increase in Monetory base increases government expenditures and tax reciepts?
Observation_date Monetory base Government expenditures Tax recipts
1984-01-01 188.593 1368.669 409.681
1985-01-01 201.523 1496.843 442.913 SUMMARY OUTPUT
1986-01-01 220.644 1597.895 462.034
1987-01-01 241.703 1681.169 526.416 Regression Statistics
1988-01-01 259.332 1764.459 549.808 Multiple R 0.721917786
1989-01-01 271.319 1896.993 601.144 R Square 0.5211652898
1990-01-01 290.686 2055.425 620.563 Adjusted R Square 0.4921450043
1991-01-01 318.316 2166.643 617.116 Standard Error 947.442615843
1992-01-01 347.924 2339.236 645.424 Observations 36
1993-01-01 386.349 2412.752 699.268
1994-01-01 423.924 2485.781 763.463 ANOVA
1995-01-01 447.810 2601.781 825.697 df SS MS F Significance F
1996-01-01 466.003 2696.964 916.958 Regression 2 32241083.593489 16120541.7967445 17.95865483 0.0000052852
1997-01-01 494.047 2772.353 1015.091 Residual 33 29622367.8404119 897647.510315512
1998-01-01 525.784 2855.590 1095.258 Total 35 61863451.4339009
1999-01-01 575.560 2995.829 1174.537
2000-01-01 607.177 3142.051 1288.531 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
2001-01-01 641.489 3362.406 1226.823 Intercept -622.7136666805 371.7377431454 -1.6751424308 0.1033585102 -1379.0197917491 133.5924583882 -1379.0197917491 133.5924583882
2002-01-01 697.560 3585.206 1053.184 Government expenditures 0.4820004863 0.2638165582 1.827028939 0.0767519364 -0.054738337 1.0187393097 -0.054738337 1.0187393097
2003-01-01 741.442 3816.096 1053.864 Tax recipts 0.1427096338 0.912862918 0.1563319431 0.8767238587 -1.7145239374 1.9999432049 -1.7145239374 1.9999432049
2004-01-01 777.281 4019.412 1140.597
2005-01-01 806.993 4303.497 1367.823
2006-01-01 835.678 4519.969 1534.776
2007-01-01 851.592 4833.635 1607.657 RESIDUAL OUTPUT
2008-01-01 1006.437 5260.720 1489.516
2009-01-01 1800.003 5634.240 1123.665 Observation Predicted Monetory base Residuals
2010-01-01 2033.934 5833.445 1273.598 1 95.4507619458 93.1427163151
2011-01-01 2540.387 5872.122 1478.404 2 161.973459833 39.5493478593
2012-01-01 2665.589 5842.439 1572.950 3 213.4092033869 7.2352410575
2013-01-01 3264.358 5854.124 1744.886 4 262.7353283517 -21.0326745055
2014-01-01 3948.949 6002.212 1900.055 5 306.2193277903 -46.8874816364
2015-01-01 4008.087 6165.902 2023.050 6 377.4270425078 -106.1080425078
2016-01-01 3794.853 6377.580 2019.390 7 456.5625014393 -165.8766552854
2017-01-01 3826.076 6597.431 2019.163 8 509.677675745 -191.3614834373
2018-01-01 3675.693 6930.384 1956.081 9 596.9076018534 -248.9834480073
2019-01-01 3315.907 0 0 10 640.0260947739 -253.6770563123
11 684.3875450866 -260.463429702
12 749.1808723515 -301.3706415822
13 808.0831181771 -342.0799258694
14 858.4249363336 -364.378417815
15 909.985729204 -384.2013445886
16 988.8949081427 -413.3350619889
17 1075.6423867507 -468.4653867507
18 1173.0470859843 -531.5585859843
19 1255.6570280987 -558.0974511756
20 1367.0428862653 -625.6006170345
21 1477.4187399592 -700.1372784208
22 1646.7756559007 -839.7825405161
23 1774.9409596373 -939.2634211758
24 1936.5288601851 -1084.9372448005
25 2125.5240942311 -1119.0866127496
26 2253.3503688432 -453.3474842278
27 2370.7642083926 -336.8299776234
28 2418.6345357811 121.7523488343
29 2417.8199269118 247.7690730882
30 2447.9887986553 816.3696244216
31 2541.5116745189 1407.437671635
32 2637.9627002128 1370.1239536334
33 2739.4692819027 1055.3838334819
34 2845.4051400628 980.6710137833
35 2996.8865155542 678.8065229074
36 -622.7136666805 3938.6209166805

Increase in Monetory base increase government expenditure and Tax reciepts

Government expenditures 188.59347826086957 201.52280769230768 220.64444444444445 241.70265384615385 259.33184615384613 271.31900000000002 290.68584615384617 318.31619230769229 347.92415384615384 386.34903846153844 423.92411538461539 447.81023076923077 466.0031923076923 494.0465185185185 525.78438461538462 575.55984615384614 607.17700000000002 641.48850000000004 697.55957692307697 741.44226923076928 777.281461538461 49 806.99311538461541 835.67753846153846 851.59161538461535 1006.4374814814814 1800.0028846153846 2033.9342307692307 2540.3868846153846 2665.5889999999999 3264.3584230769229 3948.9493461538464 4008.0866538461537 3794.8531153846152 3826.0761538461538 3675.6930384615384 3315.9072500000002 1368.66875 1496.8432499999999 1597.895 1681.1692499999999 1764.4590000000001 1896.99325 2055.4250000000002 2166.643 2339.2362499999999 2412.7517499999999 2485.7809999999999 2601.7807499999999 2696.96425 2772.35275 2855.5895 2995.8285000000001 3142.05125 3362.4059999999999 3585.2062500000002 3816.09575 4019.4115000000002 4303.4972500000003 4519.9692500000001 4833.6350000 000002 5260.7197500000002 5634.2394999999997 5833.4447499999997 5872.1222500000003 5842.4390000000003 5854.1237499999997 6002.2122499999996 6165.90175 6377.5797499999999 6597.4307500000004 6930.3842500000001 0 Tax recipts

188.59347826086957 201.52280769230768 220.64444444444445 241.70265384615385 259.33184615384613 271.31900000000002 290.68584615384617 318.31619230769229 347.92415384615384 386.34903846153844 423.92411538461539 447.81023076923077 466.0031923076923 494.0465185185185 525.78438461538462 575.55984615384614 607.17700000000002 641.48850000000004 697.55957692307697 741.44226923076928 777.28146153846149 806.99311538461541 835.67753846153846 851.59161538461535 1006.4374814814814 1800.0028846153846 2033.9342307692307 2540.3868846153846 2665.5889999999999 3264.3584230769229 3948.9493461538464 4008.0866538461537 3794.8531153846152 3826.0761538461538 3675.6930384615384 3315.9072500000002 409.68099999999998 442.91300000000001 462.03399999999999 526.41575 549.80799999999999 601.14400000000001 620.56299999999999 617.11575000000005 645.42425000000003 699.26774999999998 763.46325000000002 825.69725000000005 916.95775000000003 1015.09075 1095.258 1174.5372500000001 1288.53125 1226.82275 1053.18425 1053.864 1140.5965000000001 1367.8232499999999 1534.7755 1607.6567500000001 1489.5160000000001 1123.66525 1273.5977499999999 1478.4034999999999 1572.9502500000001 1744.8855000000001 1900.05475 2023.05 2019.39 2019.16275 1956.0809999999999 0

Monetory Base