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RESEARCH ARTICLE

Applications of artificial neural networks in

health care organizational decision-making: A

scoping review

Nida ShahidID 1,2*, Tim Rappon1, Whitney Berta1

1 Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada, 2 Toronto

Health Economics and Technology Assessment (THETA) Collaborative, University Health Network, Toronto,

Canada

* [email protected]

Abstract

Health care organizations are leveraging machine-learning techniques, such as artificial

neural networks (ANN), to improve delivery of care at a reduced cost. Applications of ANN

to diagnosis are well-known; however, ANN are increasingly used to inform health care

management decisions. We provide a seminal review of the applications of ANN to health

care organizational decision-making. We screened 3,397 articles from six databases with

coverage of Health Administration, Computer Science and Business Administration. We

extracted study characteristics, aim, methodology and context (including level of analysis)

from 80 articles meeting inclusion criteria. Articles were published from 1997–2018 and orig-

inated from 24 countries, with a plurality of papers (26 articles) published by authors from

the United States. Types of ANN used included ANN (36 articles), feed-forward networks

(25 articles), or hybrid models (23 articles); reported accuracy varied from 50% to 100%.

The majority of ANN informed decision-making at the micro level (61 articles), between

patients and health care providers. Fewer ANN were deployed for intra-organizational

(meso- level, 29 articles) and system, policy or inter-organizational (macro- level, 10 arti-

cles) decision-making. Our review identifies key characteristics and drivers for market

uptake of ANN for health care organizational decision-making to guide further adoption of

this technique.

Introduction

As health care systems in developed countries transform towards a value based, patient-cen-

tered model of care delivery, we face new complexities relating to improving the structure and

management of health care delivery; for example, improving integration of processes in care

delivery for patient-centered chronic disease management [1]. Artificial intelligence lies at the

nexus of new technologies with the potential to deliver health care that is cost-effective and

appropriate care in real-time, manage effective and efficient communication among multidis-

ciplinary stakeholders, and address non-traditional care settings, the evolving heathcare work-

place and workforce, and the advent of new and disparate health information systems. With

PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212356 February 19, 2019 1 / 22

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OPEN ACCESS

Citation: Shahid N, Rappon T, Berta W (2019)

Applications of artificial neural networks in health

care organizational decision-making: A scoping

review. PLoS ONE 14(2): e0212356. https://doi.

org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212356

Editor: Olalekan Uthman, The University of

Warwick, UNITED KINGDOM

Received: October 4, 2018

Accepted: January 31, 2019

Published: February 19, 2019

Copyright: © 2019 Shahid et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the

Creative Commons Attribution License, which

permits unrestricted use, distribution, and

reproduction in any medium, provided the original

author and source are credited.

Data Availability Statement: All relevant data are

within the manuscript and its Supporting

Information files.

Funding: The authors received no specific funding

for this work.

Competing interests: The authors have declared

that no competing interests exist.

the rapid uptake of artificial intelligence to make increasingly complex decisions across differ-

ent industries, there are a multitude of solutions capable of addressing these health care man-

agement challenges; however, there is a paucity of guidance on selecting appropriate methods

tailored to the health care industry[2].

Global health care expenditure is expected to reach $8.7 trillion by 2020, driven by aging

populations growing in size and disease complexity, advancements made in medical treat-

ments, rising labour costs and the market expansion of the health care industry. Many health

systems are reported to struggle with updating aging infrastructure and legacy technologies

with already limited capital resources. In an effort toward moving to value-based care, deci-

sion-makers are reported to be strategically shifting the focus to understanding and better

alignment of financial incentives for health care providers in order to bear financial risk; popu-

lation health management including analyses of trends in health, quality and cost; and adop-

tion of innovative delivery models for improved processes and coordination of care.

Health care organizations are required to be increasingly strategic in their management due

to a variety of system interdependences such as emerging environmental demands and com-

peting priorities, that can complicate decision-making process [3]. According to economy the-

ory, most organizations are risk-aversive [4] and decision-makers in health care can face issues

related to culture, technology and risk when making high-risk decisions without the certainty

of high-return [4, 5]. Patient care and operations management requires the interaction of mul-

tiple stakeholders, for example clinicians, front-line/middle managers, senior level executives

to make decisions on a clinical (e.g. diagnosis, treatment and therapy, medication prescription

and administration), and non-clinical (e.g. budget, resource allocation, technology acquisition,

service additions/reductions, strategic planning) [6].

A white paper published by IBM suggests that with increasing capture and digitization of

health care data (e.g. electronic medical records and DNA sequences), health care organizations

are taking advantage of analyzing large sets of routinely collected digital information in order to

improve service and reduce costs [7]. Reported examples include analyzing clinical, financial and

operational data to answer questions related to effectiveness of programs, making predictions

regarding at-risk patients. The global market for health care predictive analytics is projected was

valued at USD 1.48 billion in 2015 and expected to grow at a rate of 29.3% (compound annual

growth rate) by 2025 [8]. Similarly, global revenue of $811 million is expected to increase 40%

(Compound Annual Growth Rate) by 2021 due the artificial intelligence (AI) market for health

care applications. A subfield of AI, machine learning-as-a-service-market (MLaaS), is expected to

reach $5.4 billion by 2022, with the health care sector as a notable key driver [9].

A recent survey of AI applications in health care reported uses in major disease areas such

as cancer or cardiology and artificial neural networks (ANN) as a common machine learning

technique [10]. Applications of ANN in health care include clinical diagnosis, prediction of

cancer, speech recognition, prediction of length of stay [11], image analysis and interpretation

[12] (e.g. automated electrocardiographic (ECG) interpretation used to diagnose myocardial

infarction [13]), and drug development[12]. Non-clinical applications have included improve-

ment of health care organizational management [14], prediction of key indicators such as cost

or facility utilization [15]. ANN has been used as part of decision support models to provide

health care providers and the health care system with cost-effective solutions to time and

resource management [16].

Rationale

Despite its many applications and, more recently, its prominence [17], there is a lack of coher-

ence regarding ANN’s applications and potential to inform decision making at different levels

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

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in health care organizations. This review is motivated by a need for a broad understanding the

various applications of ANN in health care and aids researchers interested in bridging the dis-

ciplines of organizational behaviour and computer science. Considering the sheer abundance

in reported use and complexity of the area, it can be challenging to remain abreast of the new

advancements and trends in applications of ANN [18]. Adopters of ANN or researchers new

to the field of AI may find the scope and esoteric terminology of neural computing particularly

challenging [18]. Literature suggests that current reviews on applications of ANN are limited

in scope and generally focus on a specific disease [19] or a particular type of neural network

[20], or they are too broad (i.e. data mining or AI techniques that can include ANN but do not

offer insights specific to ANN) [10]. The overarching goal of this scoping review is to provide a

much-needed comprehensive review of the various applications of ANN in health care organi-

zational decision-making at the micro-, meso-, and macro-levels. The levels pertain to deci-

sions made on the (micro) level of individual patients, or on a (meso) group level (e.g.

departmental or organizational level) where patient preference may be important but not

essential; and on a wider (macro) level by large groups or public organizations related to allo-

cation or utilization of resources where decisions are based on public interest and reflective of

society as a whole [21]. By means of this review, we will identify the nature and extent of rele-

vant literature and describe methodologies and context used.

Overview

According to an overview by Kononenko (2001), as a sub-field of AI, machine learning pro-

vides indispensable tools for intelligent data analysis. Three major branches of machine learn-

ing have emerged since electronic computers came in to use during the 1950s and 1960s:

statistical methods, symbolic learning and neural networks [22]. ANN have been successfully

used to solve highly complex problems within the physical sciences and as of late by scholars

in organizational research as digital tools enabling faster processes of data collection and pro-

cessing [23]. As practical and flexible modelling tools, ANN have an ability to generalize pat-

tern information to new data, tolerate noisy inputs, and produce reliable and reasonable

estimates [23]. ANN belong to a wide class of flexible nonlinear regression and discriminant

models, data reduction models, and nonlinear dynamical systems [24]. ANN are similar to sta-

tistical techniques including generalized linear models, nonparametric regression and discrim-

inant analysis, or cluster analysis [24]. As a statistical model, it’s general composition is one

made of simple, interconnected processing elements that are configured through iterative

exposure to sample data [23]. Its application is particularly valuable under one or more of sev-

eral conditions: when sample data show complex interaction effects or do not meet parametric

assumptions, when the relationship between independent and dependent variables is not

strong, when there is a large unexplained variance in information, or in situations where the

theoretical basis of prediction is poorly understood [23]. ANN architectures are commonly

classified as feed-forward neural networks (e.g. single-layer perceptron, multi-layer percep-

tron, radial basis function networks) or feed-back, or otherwise referred to as recurrent neural

networks (e.g. Competitive networks, Kohonen’s self-organizing maps, Hopfield networks)

[25].

Artificial neural networks

Originally developed as mathematical theories of the information-processing activity of bio-

logical nerve cells, the structural elements used to describe an ANN are conceptually analogous

to those used in neuroscience, despite it belonging to a class of statistical procedures [23].

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Basics

ANN can have single or multiple layers [23], and consist of processing units (nodes or neu-

rons) that are interconnected by a set of adjustable weights that allows signals to travel through

the network in parallel and consecutively[13, 26]. Generally ANN can be divided in to three

layers of neurons: input (receives information), hidden (responsible for extracting patterns,

perform most of internal processing), and output (produces and presents final network out-

puts) [27].

A review by Agatonovic-Kustrin & Beresford (2000) describes neural computation to be

powered from the connection of its neurons and that each neuron has a weighted input, trans-

fer function and a single output. The authors state that the neuron is activated by the weighed

sum of inputs it receives and the activation signal passes through a transfer function to pro-

duce a single output. The transfer functions, the learning rule and the architecture determine

the overall behaviour of the neural network [26].

Architecture

Sharma & Chopra (2013) describe the two most common types of neural networks applied in

management sciences to be the feed-forward and recurrent neural networks (Fig 1) in compar-

ison with feed-forward networks common to medical applications [28, 29]. A feed-forward

network can be single-layered (e.g. Perceptron, ADALINE) or multi-layered (e.g. Multilayer

Perceptron, Radial Basis Function) [27, 30]. Sharma & Chopra (2013) describe information

flow in feed-forward networks to be unidirectional from input layer, through hidden layers to

the output layer, without any feedback. Whereas, a recurrent or feedback network involves

Fig 1. Conceptual model of a feed-forward and recurrent neural network.

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dynamic information processing having at least one feedback loop, using outputs as feedback

inputs (e.g. Hopfield) [27, 30]. Fig 1 illustrates the two types of networks with three layers

(input, hidden and output).

Learning

In an overview of basic concepts, Agatonovic-Kustrin & Beresford (2000) describe ANN

gather knowledge by detecting patterns and relationships in data and “learn” through experi-

ence. The authors state an artificial neural network learns by optimizing its inner unit connec-

tions in order to minimize errors in the predictions that it makes and to reach a desired level

of accuracy. New information can be inputted into the model once the model has been trained

and tested [26]. Also referred to as the generalized delta rule, backpropagation refers to how an

ANN is trained or ‘learns’ based on data. It uses an iterative process involving six steps: (i) sin-

gle case data is passed to input later, output is passed to the hidden layer and multiplied by the

first set of connection weights; (ii) incoming signals are summed, transformed to output and

passed to second connection weight matrix; (iii) incoming signals are summed, transformed

and network output is produced; (iv) output value is subtracted from known value for that

case, error term is passed backward through network; (v) connection weights are adjusted in

proportion to their error contribution; (vi) modified connection weights saved for next cycle,

next case input set queued for next cycle [23]. Sharma & Chopra (2013) broadly classify train-

ing or ‘learning’ methods in ANN into three types: supervised, unsupervised and reinforced

learning. In supervised learning, every input pattern used to train the network is associated

with an output pattern. The error in computed and desired outputs can be used to improve

model performance. In unsupervised learning, the network learns without knowledge of

desired output and by discovering and adapting to features of the input patterns. In reinforce-

ment learning, the network is provided with feedback on if computation performance without

presenting the desired output [30].

Artificial neural networks and regression models

Neural networks are similar to linear regression models in their nature and use. They are com-

prised of input (independent or predictor variable) and output (dependent or outcome vari-

able) nodes, use connection weights (regression coefficients), bias weight (intercept

parameters) and cross-entropy (maximum likelihood estimation) to learn or train (parameter

estimation) a model [31]. ANN learn to perform tasks by using inductive learning algorithms

requiring massive data sets [18]. A working paper on the use of ANN in decision support sys-

tems states that the structure, quality and quantity of data used is critical for the learning pro-

cess and that the chosen attributes must be complete, relevant, measurable and independent

[18]. The authors further observe that in business applications, external data sources (e.g.

industry and trade databases) are typically used to supplement internal data sources.

Classification and prediction modelling

In the book entitled ‘Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques’, classification is defined as the

process of finding a model that describes and distinguishes data classes or concepts based on

analysis of a set of training data [32]. The authors write that models called classifiers predict

categorical class labels and can be used to predict the class label of objects for which the class label is unknown. Furthermore, the process is described to consist of a learning step (when a

classification model is constructed) and a classification step (when a model is used to predict

class labels for a given data). Methods include naïve Bayesian classification, support vector machines, and k-nearest-neighbour classification [32]. Han et al. (2012) suggest that

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

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applications can broadly include fraud detection, target marketing, performance prediction,

manufacturing and medical diagnosis.

The available data is divided into two sets for cross-validation: a training set used to develop

a model and a test set, used to evaluate the model’s performance [33, 34]. Appropriate data

splitting is a technique commonly used in machine learning in order to minimize poor gener-

alization (also referred to as over-training or over-fitting) of models [34]. Using more training

data improves the classification model, whereas using more test data contributes to estimating

error accurately [35]. Although a 70:30 ratio can typically be used for training/testing size [36],

various statistical sampling techniques ranging from simple (e.g. simple random sampling,

trial-and-error) to more deterministic (e.g. CADEX, DUPLEX) can be used to split the data

depending on the goals and complexity of the problem [34].

Han and colleagues (2012) write that where classification predicts categorical labels, regres-

sion is used to predict missing or unavailable numerical data values (rather than discrete class labels). The authors describe regression analysis as a statistical methodology often used for

numeric prediction and encompasses identification of distribution trends based on available

data. An example of numeric prediction is when a model is constructed to predict a continu-

ous-valued function or ordered value (as opposed to a class label). Such a model is called a pre-

dictor model and typically uses regression analysis [32].

ANN can be used to perform nonlinear statistical modeling and provide new alternatives to

logistic regression, the most commonly used method for developing predictive models for

dichotomous outcomes in medicine [31]. Users require less formal statistical training and the

networks are able to detect complex non-linear relationships and interactions between depen-

dent and independent variables. ANN can combine and incorporate literature-based and exper-

imental data to solve problems [26]. Other advantages of ANN, relative to traditional predictive

modeling techniques, include fast and simple operation due to compact representation of

knowledge (e.g., weight and threshold value matrices), the ability to operate with noisy or miss-

ing information and generalize to similar unseen data, the ability to learn inductively from

training data and process non-linear functionality critical to dealing with real-word data [37].

Although ANN do not require knowledge of data source, they require large training sets due

to the numerous estimated weights involved in computation [26]. They may require lengthy

training times and the use of random weight initializations may lead to different solutions [37].

Despite successful applications, ANN remain problematic in that they offer us little or no insight

into the process(es) by which they learn or the totality of the knowledge embedded in them [38].

Several limitations of ANN are identified in the literature: they are limited in their ability to explic-

itly identify possible causal relationships, they are challenging to use in the field, they are prone to

over fitting, model development is empirical potentially requiring several attempts to develop an

acceptable model [37], and there are methodological issues related to model development [31]. In

comparing advantages and disadvantages of using ANN to predict medical outcomes, Tu (1996)

suggests that logistic regression models can be disseminated to a wider audience, whereas ANN

models are less transparent and therefore can be more difficult to communicate and use. Even if

published and made available, the connection weight matrices used in ANN for training a data set

may be large and difficult to interpret for others to make use of, whereas logistic regression coeffi-

cients can be published for any end user to be able to calculate [31].

Methods

The Arksey & O’Malley framework (2005) was adopted to identify the (i) research question,

(ii) relevant studies, (iii) select studies, (iv) chart the data and (v), collate, summarize and pres-

ent findings.

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Search strategy

Due to the cross-disciplinary nature of our query, the search strategy was designed to identify

literature from multiple databases according to the key disciplines of Health Administration

(Medline and Embase), Computer Science (ACM Digital Library and Advanced Technologies

& Aerospace Database), and Business and Management (ABI/Inform Global and JSTOR). The

selection of the three disciplines reflects the core concepts embedded in our research question:

‘what are the different applications of ANN (Computer Science) in health care organizational

decision-making (Health Administration and Business Management)?’

In consultation with a librarian, a comprehensive search syntax was built on the concepts of

‘artificial neural networks’ applied in ‘health care organizational decision-making’ and tailored

for each database for optimum results. The final search syntax was based on search terms

refined through an iterative process involving examination of a preliminary set of results to

ensure relevance (S1 Appendix). The search strategy was limited to peer-reviewed publications

in English without limitation to the year of publication up until the time of our search (January

2018). Our background search did not identify seminal paper(s) published or advancements

related to our research question, thereby justifying the rationale for not limiting the search to a

specicic start date.

Data collection

Screening of articles occurred in two stages. Identified articles were de-duplicated and

imported to EndNote as a reference manager and to Covidence, a web-based platform, for

screening. The screening inclusion and exclusion criteria were built iteratively via consensus

(NS, TR and WB) (Table 1). Titles and abstracts were first screened to include articles with

keywords related to and/or in explicit reference to artificial neural networks. Articles were

excluded if there was no explicit reference to artificial neural networks; the application was not

in the health care domain or context of health care organizational decision-making, or was not

a publication that was peer-reviewed (e.g. grey literature e.g. conference abstracts and papers,

book reviews, newspaper or magazine articles, teaching courses). Table 1 lists the criteria used

to screen, include or exclude articles in the review.

Subsequently, a full-text review of articles that met the initial screening criteria was con-

ducted on basis of relevance and availability of information for data extraction. In addition to

independent review and extraction of articles, two coders (NS and TR) extracted data from a

subset of articles for consensus, minimization of error, and clarity between reviewers regarding

Table 1. Screening inclusion, exclusion criteria.

Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria

Titles and

abstracts

Explicit reference to keywords: neural network;

artificial neural network; ANNs;

Does not make explicit reference to artificial

neural networks within the context of healthcare

or medicineMust make reference to ANN if any type of

artificial intelligence or machine learning

techniques used, (e.g. Fuzzy logic, Bayesian

statistics and Self-Organizing Maps, back-

propagation; prediction model; unsupervised

learning)

Publication

Type

Peer-reviewed empirical or theoretical work

(e.g. Journal articles, reports)

Not based on empirical or theoretical work (e.g.

book reviews, newspaper article, course

material); conference papers and abstracts

Setting or

Context

Application in domain of Healthcare and/or

Medicine

Application was not directly related to healthcare

organizational decision making (e.g. speech

recognition)

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the choice of data selected for extraction. Information related to study characteristics, aim,

methodology (application, taxonomy, accuracy) and context including organizational level of

analysis (micro-, meso- and macro-) was collected and entered into Microsoft Excel for cate-

gorization and descriptive analysis. Applications of ANN to make decisions directly between

providers and patients was categorized as ‘micro’, any decisions made by a larger group and

not directly related to a patient was categorized as ‘meso’, and decisions beyond an organiza-

tional group (i.e. across different institutions, a system or countries) was categorized as

‘macro’ level of decision-making.

Results

Overall, 3,457 articles were imported for screening, out of which (after removal of duplicates)

3,397 were screened for titles and abstracts to give a total of 306 articles used for full-text

review (Fig 2). Articles were excluded from data collection for reasons such as: there being no

Fig 2. Review process overview. �Articles excluded for the following reasons: Not ANN or suitable synonym (n = 93), use of ANN

unrelated to healthcare organizational decision-making (n = 70), based on iterated exclusion criteria (n = 45), not based on

empirical or theoretical research (n = 9), could not access full-text (n = 9).

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explicit reference to ANN being used (91 articles), the application of ANN was not in the con-

text of health care organizational decision-making (68 articles), on basis of study exclusion cri-

teria (53 articles) or the articles were irretrievable (8). In total, 80 articles were used for data

collection. Fig 2 illustrates the overall review process including number of articles excluded at

each stage.

Study characteristics

Publication dates ranged from 1997 to 2018 with the number of studies fluctuating each year

(Fig 3A). Studies were published across 24 countries with the majority of first authors from the

United States (26), the United Kingdom and India (7), Taiwan (6) and Italy (5) (Fig 3B). Fig 3A

and 3B illustrate the number of articles published over the years and across varying countries.

Aim and methodology

Main topics or area of interest based on the article’s overall purpose included Organizational

Behaviour (18%), Cardiovascular (14%), Infectious Disease and Telemedicine (7%) (Table 2).

Topics categorized under ‘Organizational Behaviour’ include: behaviour and perspectives, cri-

sis or risk management, clinical and non-clinical decision-making, and resource management

(S2 Appendix). Table 2 lists the main topic areas of articles reviewed.

Applications of ANN were mainly found to be classification (22), prediction (14), and diag-

nosis (10) (Fig 4). Examples of applications include classification of data in medical databases

(i.e. organizing or distinguishing data by relevant categories or concepts) [39], using a hybrid

learning approach for automatic tissue recognition in wound images for accurate wound eval-

uations [40], and comparison of soft-computing techniques for diagnosis of heart conditions

by processing digitally recorded heart sound signals to extract time and frequency features

related to normal and abnormal heart conditions [41]. Applications for prediction included

developing a risk advisor model to predict the chances of diabetes complication according to

changes in risk factors [42], identifying the optimal subset of attributes from a given set of

attributes for diagnosis of heart disease [43], modelling daily patient arrivals in the Emergency

Department [44]. ANN was applied for diagnosis of disease based on age, sex, body mass

index, average blood pressure and blood serum measurements [45], comparing predictive

accuracies of different types of ANN and statistical models for diagnosis of coronary artery dis-

ease [46], diagnosis and risk group assignment for pulmonary tuberculosis among hospitalized

patients [47], and non-invasive diagnosis of early risk in dengue patients [48]. Other examples

include exploring the potential use of mobile phones as a health promotional tool by tracking

daily exercise activities of people and using ANN to estimate a user’s movement[49], or using

ANN to identify factors related to treatment and outcomes potentially impacting patient

length of stay[50]. In addition to S2 Appendix, Fig 4 illustrates the various applications of

ANN identified in the literature review.

With respect to nomenclature or taxonomy, authors mostly reported using artificial neural

networks (36 articles), feed-forward networks (25 articles), a hybrid model (23 articles), recur-

rent feedback networks (6 articles) or other (3 articles) (S2 Appendix). Various types of data

(e.g. patients, cases, images, and signals) and sample sizes were used. Training/testing sets

were in ratios of 50:50, 70:30 or 90:10 and the reported accuracy ranged between 50% and

100%.

Context and key findings

ANN was primarily applied to organizational decision-making at a micro-level (61 articles)

between patients and health care providers in addition to meso-, macro-levels out of which 48

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

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articles referenced to micro-level decision-making only; with 29 articles referencing meso-

level applications between patients, health care providers, hospital managers and decision-

makers, out of which 10 referenced meso- only. A small portion (10) of studies applied ANN

at a macro level of decision-making mainly between policy and decision-makers across multi-

ple facilities or health care systems, out of which 2 referenced macro- only. Micro-level appli-

cations of ANN include diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis among hospitalized patients by

Fig 3. Article characteristics. (A) Number of articles by publication year. (B) Number of articles by country.

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health care providers using models developed for classification and risk group assignment

[47], classify Crohn’s Disease medical images [51], analyse recorded ECG signals to trigger an

alarm for patients and allow collection and transmission of patient information to health care

providers[52]. Meso-level applications include decision-making among managers involving

classification of cost [53], developing a forecasting model to support health care management

decision-making[54], among patients, providers, and hospital managers in order to evaluate

the effect of hospital employee motivation on patient satisfaction [55], and predicting the

adoption of radio frequency identification (RFID) technology adoption in clinical setting [56].

Macro-level applications of ANN include risk-adjustment models for policy-makers of Tai-

wan’s National Health Insurance program [57], a global comparison of the perception of

Table 2. Study areas identified in the review.

Study Area Number of Articles

Organizational Behaviour 18

Other� 15

Cardiovascular 14

Infectious Disease 7

Telemedicine 7

Finance 5

Trauma 5

Medical Imaging 4

Diabetes 4

Surgery 4

Information Systems 4

�Sub-categories of ‘Other’ articles include: elderly studies, renal disease, medical diagnosis, data mining,

pharmacology, fall detection, disorders (epilepsy or autism).

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Fig 4. Types of applications of artificial neural networks identified in the review.

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corruption in the health care sector [58], model revenue generation for decision-makers to

determine best indicators of revenue generation in not-for-profit foundations supporting hos-

pitals of varying sizes [59].

Authors reported neural networks reduced computation time in comparison to conven-

tional planning algorithms [60] thereby enabling users to access model output faster in real-

time, outperforming linear regression models in prediction [44, 56, 61–63] and support vector

machines in classification [64, 65]. Limitations centered around the use of small data sets [42,

53, 66–72], limiting data set to continuous variables [69], inability to examine causal relation-

ships [56] or have the network explain weights applied, appropriateness of decision-making

[71, 73, 74], difficulty in implementation or understanding of the output [75]. ANN were cau-

tioned to be used as a proof of concept rather than a successful prediction model [66].

Discussion

This review provides a comprehensive review of the various applications of artificial neural

networks in health care organizational decision-making. To our knowledge, this is the first

attempt to comprehensively describe the use of ANN in health care, from the time of its origins

to current day use, on all levels of organizational decision-making.

Prior efforts have concentrated on a specific domain or aspect of health care and/or limited

study findings to a period of time. A systematic review on the use of ANN as decision-making

tools in the field of cancer reported trends from 1994–2003 in clinical diagnosis, prognosis and

therapeutic guidance for cancer from1994 to 2003, and suggested the need for rigorous meth-

odologies in using neural networks [19]. Another review reported various applications in areas

of accounting and finance, health and medicine, engineering and marketing, however focused

the review on feed-forward neural networks and statistical techniques used in prediction and

classification problems [20]. Outside of medicine and health care, Wong et al. conducted liter-

ature reviews of ANN used in business (from 1988–1995) [76] and finance (1990–1996) [77],

at that time describing the promise of neural networks for increasing integration with other

existing or developing technologies [76, 77]. Data mining is the mathematical core of a larger

process of knowledge discovery from databases otherwise referred to as the ‘KDD process

[78]. The main activities involved in the KDD process include (i) integration and cleaning, (ii)

selection and transformation, (iii) data mining and (iv) evaluation and interpretation. Data

mining pertains to extraction of significant patterns and knowledge discovery and employs

inferring algorithms, such as ANN, to pre-processed data to complete data mining tasks such

as classification and cluster analysis [79]. Data mining and machine learning have produced

practical applications in areas of analysing medical outcomes, detecting credit card fraud, pre-

dicting customer purchase behaviour or predicting personal interests from internet use [80].

Although limited in scope to the field of infertility, Durairaj & Ranjani (2013) conducted a

comparative study of data mining techniques including ANN, suggesting the promise of com-

bining more than one data mining technique for diagnosing or predicting disease [81].

Due to the primitive nature of computer technology mid-20 th

Century, most of the research

in machine learning was theoretical or based on construction of special purpose systems [18].

We found that application of ANN in health care decision-making began in the late 90’s with

fluctuating use over the years. A number of breakthroughs in the field of computer science and

AI bring insight to reported publication patterns [82]. ANN gained prominence with the pub-

lication of a few seminal works including the publication of the backpropagation learning rule

for multilayered feed-forward neural networks [22]. In 1986, backpropagation was proven as a

general purpose and simple procedure, powerful enough for a multi-layered neural network to

use and construct appropriate internal representations based on incoming data [83]. A few

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

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years later, the ability of neural networks to learn any type of function was demonstrated [84],

suggesting capabilities of neural networks as universal approximators [85]. During the 90’s,

most of the research was largely experimental and the need for use of ANN as a widely-used

computer paradigm remained warranted [18].

With the digitization of health care [86], hospitals are increasingly able to collect large

amounts of data managed across large information systems [22]. With its ability to process

large datasets, machine learning technology is well-suited for analysing medical data and pro-

viding effective algorithms [22]. Considering the prevalent use of medical information systems

and medical databases, ANN have found useful applications in biomedical areas in diagnosis

and disease monitoring [87].

Although the backpropagation learning rule enabled the use of neural networks in many

hard medical diagnostic tasks, they have been typically used as black box classifiers lacking the

transparency of generating knowledge as well as the ability to explain decision-making [22].

The lack of transparency or interpretability of neural networks continues to be an important

problem since health care providers are often unwilling to accept machine recommendations

without clarity regarding the underlying rationale [88]. Prior to 2006, application of neural

networks included processing of biomedical signals, for example image and speech processing

[89, 90], clinical diagnosis, image analysis and interpretation, and drug development [87]. In

2006, a critical paper described the ability of a neural network to learn faster [91]. Six years

later, the largest deep neural network to date (i.e. depth pertaining to layers of the network),

was trained to classify 1.2 million images in record-breaking time as part of the ImageNet

Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge [92].

The most successful applications of ANN are found in extremely complex medical situa-

tions [13]. We found ANN to be mainly used for classification, prediction and clinical diagno-

sis in areas of cardiovascular, telemedicine and organizational behaviour. Use of ANN applies

to four general areas of cardiovascular medicine: diagnosis and treatment of coronary artery

disease, general interpretation of electrocardiography, cardiac image analysis and cardiovascu-

lar drug dosing [93]. Telemedicine offers health care providers elaborate solutions for remote

monitoring designed to prevent, diagnose, manage disease and treatment [94] and can include

machine learning techniques to predict clinical parameters such as blood pressure [95]. Pre-

liminary diagnosis of high-risk patients (for disease or attributes) using neural networks pro-

vide hospital administrators with a cost-effective tool in time and resource management [16].

Neural networks have been used effectively as a tool in complex decision-making in strate-

gic management, specifically in strategic planning and performance, assessing decision-mak-

ing [96]. In health care, neural network models have been successfully used to predict quality

determinants (responsiveness, security, efficiency) influencing adoption of e-government ser-

vices [97]. With its ability to discover hidden knowledge and values, scholars have suggested

using ANN to improve care performance and facilitate the adoption of ‘Lean thinking’ or

value-based decision making in health care [87]. An example of ANN facilitating Lean think-

ing adoption in health care contexts is its application to describe ‘information flow’ among

cancer patients by modeling the relationship between quality of life evaluations made by

patients, pharmacists and nurses [87]. ‘Flow’ is a key concept in a Lean System and ‘informa-

tion flow’ is an essential improvement target to the successful operation of a health care system

using a Lean approach [87]. Key success factors or differentiators that define effective machine

learning technology in health care include access to extensive data sources, ease of implemen-

tation, interpretability and buy-in as well as conformance with privacy standards [9]. Support

vector machines are used to model high-dimensional data and are considered state-of-the-art

solutions to problems otherwise not amenable to traditional statistical analysis. Despite its ana-

lytic capabilities, wide-scale adoption remains a challenge, mainly due to methodological

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

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complexities and scalability challenges [98]. For example, a systematic review of deep learning

models using electronic health record data recently identified challenges related to the tempo-

rality (e.g. hidden relationships among clinical variables occurring at short and long term

events) and irregularity of information used which can reduce model performance if not han-

dled appropriately [88]. Poor interpretability remains a signicant challenge with implementing

ANN in health care [90]. Zhang et al (2018) report that in comparison to linear models, ANN

are not only difficult to interpret but the identification of predictors (input features) important

for the model also seem to be a challenge [99]. Fisher et al (2016) developed an ANN based

monitoring method evaluating Parkinson’s disease motor symptoms and reported signiciant

challenges with detecting disease states due to the inherent subjectivity underlying the inter-

pretation of disease state descriptors (i.e. the degree of motor symptoms experienced by each

patient would likely vary) [100]. Despite the evident progress in certain areas (e.g. knowledge

and temporal representation, machine learning), the adoption of key standards required for

integration and knowledge sharing (e.g. controlled terminologies, semantic structuring, stan-

dards representing clinical decision logic) has been slow [101] Patel et al. (2009) suggest barri-

ers to progress are related to political, fiscal or cultural reasons and not purely technical. A

national study on the implementation of Health Information Technology (HIT) in the United

States reported a poor understanding of IT staff, informaticians, health information managers

and others playing a significant role in implementation of HIT in health care [102] Barriers to

adoption of HIT include mismatch of return on investment, challenges to workflow in clinical

settings, lack of standards and interoperability, and concerns about privacy and confidentiality

[102].

We found that researchers often adopted a hybrid approach when using neural networks.

Hybrid approaches (e.g. combining two or more techniques/soft-computing paradigms) are

effective in reducing challenges with neural networks when introducing new items to the sys-

tem or having insufficient data [103]. ANN learn (supervised, unsupervised or reinforcement)

based on the iterative adjustment of connection weights using optimization algorithms such as

the backpropagation rule. Challenges related to such algorithms include the necessity of a pre-

viously defined architecture for the model, sensitivity to the initial conditions used in training

[104]. A hybrid model of an ANN and decision tree classifier has been used to predict univer-

sity admissions using data related to student academic merits, background and university

admission criteria. Reported advantages of using a hybrid model included higher prediction

accuracy rates (error rate of <2%), flexibility and faster performance (0.1 second) in compari-

son with a model using neural networks only (20 minutes learning time). Another advantage

reported was improved generalizability, e.g. ability to understand rules extracted that can be

later coded into another type of system [105] Literature suggests extensive use of ANN in busi-

ness applications in particular areas related to financial distress and bankruptcy problems,

stock price forecasting and decision support [106] Hybrid networks have also been developed

in business applications to improve performance of standard models [106]. The integration of

ANN with secondary AI and meta-heuristic methods such as fuzzy logic, genetic, bee colony

algorithms, or artificial immune systems have been proposed to reduce or eliminate challenges

related to ANN (e.g. selection of network topology, initial weights, choice of control parame-

ters) [106]. Applications of hybrid intelligent systems include robotics, medical diagnosis,

speech/natural language understanding, monitoring of manufacturing processes.

Our findings suggest a possible correlation between advancements made in the field of

ANN and publication rates related to the application of ANN in health care organizational

decision-making. Despite the variety of study contexts and applications, ANN continues to be

mainly used for classification, prediction and diagnosis. As suggested by the literature, the

most commonly used taxonomy of ANN found was the feed-forward neural network.

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212356 February 19, 2019 14 / 22

However, our study showed a significant use of hybrid models. ANN’s application to facilitate

more micro- and meso-level decision-making compared to macro-level may be explained by

the type and volume of data required and available to build an effective model.

Strengths and limitations

A primary strength of this review is its comprehensive scope and search strategy involving

multiple databases. Variables selected for data collection were based on bodies of work with

similar inquiry and well aligned with the methods of a scoping review. The complex nature of

artificial neural networks required a fundamental understanding for the authors who were

otherwise novice to the field. Studies included in this review did not always use standardized

reporting measures and may include publications of lower quality.

Implications

Practical implications

Current and anticipated advancements in the field of AI will play an influential role in decision-

making related to adopting novel and innovative machine learning based techniques in health

care. Clinical applications of AI include analysis of electronic health records, medical image pro-

cessing, physician and hospital error reduction [107] AI applications in workflow optimization

include payer claim processing, network coordination, staff management, training and educa-

tion, supply costs and management [107] For example, the top three applications of greatest

near-term value (based on the impact of application, likelihood of adoption and value to health

economy) are reported to be robot-assisted surgery (valued at $40 B), virtual nursing assistants

($20B) and administrative workflow assistance ($18 B) [108]. Applications with lowest esti-

mated potential value include preliminary diagnosis ($5B), automated image ($3B) and cyber-

security ($2B) [108]. Our findings warrant the understanding of perspectives and beliefs of

those adopting ANN-based solutions in clinical and non-clinical decision-making.

Patients and families are accessing health information in real-time with the array of AI or

ANN based health care solutions available to them in an open and unstructured market. Clini-

cal applications of ANN-based solutions can have implications on the changing role of health

care providers as well team dynamics and patterns in workflow. The changing role of the phy-

sicians has been at the forefront of recent debates on AI, with some anticipating the positive

impacts of augmenting clinical service with AI based technologies, e.g., enabling early diagno-

sis, or improving understanding of a patient’s medical history with genetic sequencing [109].

Literature suggests a need for bridging disciplines in order to enable of clinicians to benefit

from rapid advancements in technology [101] In addition to the implications for clinical deci-

sion-making, interprofessional team dynamics and processes can be expected to change. For

example, a US based hospital has collaborated with a game development company to create a

virtual world in which surgeons are guided through scenarios in the operating room using

rules, conditions and scripts to practice making decisions, team communication, and leader-

ship [110].

As policy-makers adopt strategies towards a value-based, patient-centred model of care

delivery, decision-makers are required to consider the readiness of health care organizations

for successful implementation and wide-scale adoption of AI or ANN based decision-support

tools. Factors such as easier integration with hospital workflows, patient-centric treatment

plans leading to improved patient outcomes, elimination of unnecessary hospital procedures

and reduced treatment costs can influence wider adoption of AI-based solutions in the health

care industry [107]. Challenges in uptake include the current inability of AI-based solutions to

read unstructured data, the perspectives of health care providers using AI-based solutions, and

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212356 February 19, 2019 15 / 22

the lack of supportive infrastructure required for wide-scale implementation [107]. For

improved organizational readiness, the governance and operating model of health care organi-

zations need to enable a workforce and culture that will support the use of AI to enhance effi-

ciency, quality and patient outcomes [108].

Machine learning from unstructured data (e.g. patient health records, photos, reviews,

social media data from mobile applications and devices) remain a critical unmet need for hos-

pitals [107, 111]. Currently, most of the data in health care is unstructured and difficult to

share [107] Wide-scale implementation and adoption of AI service solutions requires strong

partnerships between AI technology vendors and health care organizations [107]. Policies

encouraging transparency and sharing of core datasets across public and private sectors can

stimulate higher levels of innovation-oriented competition and research productivity [112].

Theoretical implications

Several theoretical implications emerge from our study findings. Healthcare organizations are

complex adaptive systems embedded in larger complex adaptive systems[113]; health care

organizational decision-making can appropriately rely on ANN as an internalized rule set. The

change of health care delivery from single to multiple settings and providers has led to new

complexities around how health care delivery needs are being structured and managed (e.g.,

support required for delivering collaborative care or patient participatory medicine) [1]. Tradi-

tional decision-making processes based on stable and predictable systems are no longer rele-

vant, due to the complex and emergent nature of contemporary health care delivery systems

[1]. Yet the health care organizational decision-making literature suggests the focus of deci-

sion-making persistently remains on problems that are visible, while the larger system within

which health care delivery organizations exist remains unacknowledged [1]. Using complex

adaptive systems (CAS) theory to understand the functionality of AI can provide critical

insights: first, AI enhances adaptability to change by strengthening communication among

agents, which in turn fosters rapid collective response to change, and further, AI possesses the

potential to generate a collective memory for social systems within an organization [114].

The theory of CAS has been used as an alternative approach to improve our understanding

and scaling up of health services; CAS theory shifts decision-making towards embracing

uncertainty, non-linear processes, varying context and emergent characteristics [115]. Interde-

pendent organizational factors such as clinical practice, organization, information manage-

ment research education and professional development, are built around multiple self-

adjusting interacting systems [116]. Agents (e.g. users of the system) respond to their environ-

ment based on internalized rule sets that are not necessarily explicit, shared or need to be

understood by another agent [116]. Although lacking the ability to explain decision-making,

ANN-based decision-support tools enable health care organizational decision-makers to

respond to complex and emergent environments using incoming and evolving data.

Conclusion

Our study found artificial neural networks can be applied across all levels of health care organi-

zational decision-making. Influenced by advancements in the field, decision-makers are taking

advantage of hybrid models of neural networks in efforts to tailor solutions to a given problem.

We found ANN-based solutions applied on the meso- and macro-level of decision-making

suggesting the promise of its use in contexts involving complex, unstructured or limited infor-

mation. Successful implementation and adoption may require an improved understanding of

the ethical, societal, and economic implications of applying ANN in health care organizational

decision-making.

Applications of ANN in health care organizational decision-making: A scoping review

PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0212356 February 19, 2019 16 / 22

Supporting information

S1 Checklist. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses

(PRISMA) checklist.

(PDF)

S1 Appendix. Search strategy and syntax.

(PDF)

S2 Appendix. Summary of findings.

(PDF)

S3 Appendix. Glossary of terms.

(PDF)

S1 Workflow. Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses

(PRISMA) flowchart.

(PDF)

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: Nida Shahid, Whitney Berta.

Data curation: Nida Shahid.

Formal analysis: Nida Shahid, Tim Rappon, Whitney Berta.

Investigation: Nida Shahid, Tim Rappon, Whitney Berta.

Methodology: Nida Shahid, Tim Rappon, Whitney Berta.

Project administration: Nida Shahid.

Supervision: Whitney Berta.

Writing – original draft: Nida Shahid.

Writing – review & editing: Nida Shahid, Tim Rappon, Whitney Berta.

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