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Chapter 12

Quantitative Data Analysis: Part 2

Logic of Hypothesis Testing

Calculating inferential statistics allow us to test hypotheses to determine:

If 2 or more variables have linear relationships (hypothesis of covariation)

If 2 or more groups differ on an outcome variable (hypothesis of difference)

Statistical tests examine the probability that an observed linear relationship between variables or differences between groups occurred by chance

Errors in Hypothesis Testing

Null should not be rejected in reality Null should be rejected in reality
Decide to reject the null based on test Type I error – Null is rejected even though it should not be Decision 1 – Null is rejected when it should be
Decide not to reject the null based on test Decision 2 – Null is not rejected when it should not be Type II error – Null is not rejected even though it should be

Testing Hypotheses of Covariations

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Hypotheses of covariation focus on predicting linear relationships between two or more interval/ratio-level variables.

There are 2 options available for testing linear relationships:

Regression

Both tests are similar in their abilities to test for a linear relationship between variables, but not a curvilinear relationship.

Key difference is in interpretation of the 2 variables examined.

Correlation – either variable can be the IV or DV

Regression – there is a clear indicator of the IV and the DV

Correlation

Correlations

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Correlation coefficient r has values ranging from -1.00 to 1.00

Number provides an indicator of strength of the linear relationship

Sign provides direction of relationship

Four common types:

Pearson correlation

Point-biserial correlation

Phi correlation

Spearman rho correlation

Interpreting the Coefficient

Direction

of relationship

Positive- both variables increase or both variables decrease

Negative – one variable increases while the other decreases

Relationship strength

< .20 – slight, almost negligible

.20-.40 – low, definite but small

.40-.70 – moderate, substantial

.70-.90 – high; marked

>.90 – very high or dependable

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Regressions

Estimates the linear relationships between one or more independent variable(s) and a dependent variable.

Regression analysis focuses on finding the best fitting straight line to predict the dependent variable based on the data.

General formula for regression line: Y = a + bX

a is the Y-intercept

b is the slope/regression coefficient:

Scatterplot: Cumulative GPA and Semester GPA

Scatterplot: Cumulative GPA and Number of Drinks

Regressions

Regression coefficient indicates magnitude of the effect

There are 2 basic types of regressions:

Simple linear regression

Multiple regression

Other Forms of Regression

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Hierarchical regression Researcher enters IVs in the order in which they are theoretically presumed to influence the DV.

Stepwise regression

Order of variables is determined by statistical analysis based on the degree of influence each IV has on the DV.

Beta Weights

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Also known as beta coefficients (β)

Provides a standardized measure of the magnitude of influence for different IVs on the DV.

Coefficients range from +1.00 to –1.00