Chapter 1 draft
Acceptance of Artificially Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology
(AIASGT): A Qualitative Case Study
Dissertation Manuscript
Submitted to Northcentral University
Graduate Faculty of the School of Business and Technology Management
in Partial Fulfillment of the
Requirements for the Degree of
DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY
by
Dr. ROBERT E. CARMACK Jr.
Prescott Valley, AZ
November 2016
All rights reserved
INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted.
In the unlikely event that the author did not send a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed,
a note will indicate the deletion.
All rights reserved. This work is protected against unauthorized copying under Title 17, United States Code
Microform Edition © ProQuest LLC.
ProQuest LLC. 789 East Eisenhower Parkway
P.O. Box 1346 Ann Arbor, MI 48106 - 1346
ProQuest
Published by ProQuest LLC ( ). Copyright of the Dissertation is held by the Author.
ProQuest Number:
10244826
10244826
2016
Approval Page
Acceptance of Artificially Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology (AIASGT): A
Qualitative Case Study
Approved by:
Chair: MC. Clowes, Ph.D.
Certified by:
Dean of School: Dr. Peter Bemski
By
Robert Carmack
November 28, 2016
Date
Date
ii
Abstract
The purpose of this qualitative study was to examine the acceptance and use of
Artificially Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology (AIASGT). AIASGT
will give machines full autonomy, allowing them to make independent decisions without
any human intervention. No empirical research has been found regarding the impact of
what has been described as technology creep associated with the assimilation of
sophisticated Artificial Intelligence (AI) into autonomous systems. The focus of this
study was on the assimilation of AI into self-governing systems that are utilized by
members of the American Legion (AL). The AL sample pool was of those who have
used self-governing technology. Data collection began with a general search for a
purposeful sample of 10 retired or separated military personnel from the AL. The
expectation was that the study would show that the rules and regulations currently in
place for technology assimilation and development do not adequately address AIASGT.
The analysis of the findings of the study revealed the effect of AIASGT may have on the
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). The recommendation is to specifically consider
AIASGT in all technology acceptance models. Another recommendation is for the
creation of a regulatory commission that will monitor and control AIASGT. The
consequence of not having the right constraints in place may become increasingly
difficult to correct.
iii
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Introduction ........................................................................................................1
Background ..................................................................................................................... 3
Statement of the Problem ................................................................................................ 4
Purpose of the Study ....................................................................................................... 5
Theoretical Framework ................................................................................................... 6
Research Questions ....................................................................................................... 12
Nature of the Study ....................................................................................................... 13
Significance of the Study .............................................................................................. 14
Definition of Key Terms ............................................................................................... 16
Summary ....................................................................................................................... 18
Chapter 2: Literature Review .............................................................................................20
Documentation .............................................................................................................. 21
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM2) ...................................................................... 23
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM3) ...................................................................... 30
Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) / TAM4 ................ 43
Self-Governance and Autonomous Technology ........................................................... 46
Advanced Autonomous Technologies .......................................................................... 49
AIASGT and Autonomous Technologies ..................................................................... 53
Ethical Considerations and Autonomous Technology .................................................. 54
AIASGT Moral, Ethical Adaptation, and Data Collection Integrity............................. 60
Various Developed Branches of Artificial Intelligence ................................................ 61
Applications of Artificially Intelligent Technology ...................................................... 64
AIASGT Software Development .................................................................................. 67
AIASGT Systems of Systems Common Operating Environment (SOSCOE) ............. 70
AIASGT Test and Evaluation ....................................................................................... 71
AIASGT Software Integration and Test (SWIT) .......................................................... 72
AIASGT Software Defect Documentation, Correction and Reintegration ................... 75
AIASGT and Cyber Security ........................................................................................ 78
Summary ....................................................................................................................... 81
Chapter 3: Research Method ..............................................................................................83
Research Method and Design ........................................................................................ 84
Population...................................................................................................................... 85
Sample ........................................................................................................................... 86
Materials/Instruments .................................................................................................... 88
Data Collection, Processing, and Analysis.................................................................... 90
Assumptions .................................................................................................................. 92
Limitations .................................................................................................................... 93
Delimitations ................................................................................................................. 95
Ethical Assurances ........................................................................................................ 96
iv
Summary ....................................................................................................................... 97
Chapter 4: Findings ..........................................................................................................100
Results ......................................................................................................................... 103
Evaluation of Findings ................................................................................................ 109
Summary ..................................................................................................................... 113
Chapter 5: Implications, Recommendations, and Conclusions .......................................115
Implications ................................................................................................................. 118
Recommendations ....................................................................................................... 127
Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 135
References ........................................................................................................................138
Appendixes ......................................................................................................................143
Appendix A: Informed Consent Form .............................................................................144
Appendix B: Screening Demographic Questionnaire ......................................................145
Appendix C: Survey Questionnaire .................................................................................146
Appendix D: AIASGT Acceptance and Use Survey .......................................................147
Appendix E: Survey Participation Advertisement ...........................................................148
v
List of Figures
Figure 1. High Level Schematic of the Ethical Hybrid-Deliberative Reactive
Architecture....................................................................................................................... 60
Figure 2. Software Development Life Cycle ................................................................. 125
1
Chapter 1: Introduction
Many fields of robotics have been developed for U.S. military defense
applications as well as for industry, medical, and research fields (Singer, 2013). With the
employment of Artificially Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology
(AIASGT) utilized by the U. S. military, multiple permutations have been associated with
this use along with risks that have not been quantified with the rapid assimilation of
Artificially Intelligent (AI) powered machines. The U.S. military has utilized AI for
conducting military related purposes on land, sea, air, and in space (Singer, 2013). The
U.S. Air Force (USAF) categorized the use of AI for Aerospace, Command, Control,
Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (AC2ISR) that includes direct
engagement of hostile forces, and the sophistication and capabilities of AI has increased
exponentially (Sleeman, 2008).
The intent of the military is to assimilate autonomous technology into its war
making capabilities in an auspicious attempt to mitigate friendly force casualties (Arkin,
2011). Organizations like the U.S. Army have developed a continuous acquisition life
cycle at specific locations, such as Aberdeen Proving Ground (APG) Maryland for the
sole purpose of replacing and upgrading existing technologies to achieve full autonomy
(Arkin, 2011). A symbiotic relationship between the advances of autonomous and
robotic platforms means that as the technology maturates, robotic platforms will possibly
become increasingly autonomous (Singer, 2013). The incorporation of AI in systems,
such as the Predator Drone, whereby AI powered robotic platforms have made major
advancements, has increased the capabilities of the technology (Arkin, 2011). A purpose
of autonomous systems, such as the Predator Drone, is to eliminate the need for human
2
involvement or the physical requirement of deliberate execution (Arkin, 2011) and the
utilization of autonomous systems has given the U.S. military exponential flexibility in
pursuing the enemy along with a substantial mitigation of friendly force causalities
(Mackey, 2013). Mackey (2013) and Arkin (2011) noted a key goal for military
commanders is to mitigate friendly-force casualties by utilizing autonomous technology
that is fully independent of human interaction.
The ethical discussions associated with the use of autonomous technology are as
revolutionary as the technology itself (Arkin, 2011). Neutrality is considered nonexistent
in AIASGT and ethics are not a current consideration in the development of AIASGT.
The distinctive attribute of autonomy in robotics utilizes is revolutionary, producing
ethical dilemmas associated with its control, employment, and acceptance (Arkin, 2011).
Concerns that develop because of the acceptance and use of autonomous technology in
war will possibly generate unknown ethical problems (Sparrow, 2012). The technology
has unpredictable permutations and is different compared to legacy triggered systems that
followed a set state of rules, such as artillery (Sparrow, 2012). The U.S. military
currently uses autonomous robotic technology for conducting military related mission
purposes on land, sea, in air, and space. The USAF categorizes the use of these systems
for Aerospace Command and Control, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
(AC2ISR) activities, which includes the direct engagement of hostile forces, however all
U.S. military branches utilize AIASGT. The sophistication and capabilities of
autonomous technology are increasing exponentially. The main impetus behind the
military’s current and future acquisitions strategy are based on the development of war
fighting machines that can operate with full autonomy (Singer, 2013).
3
Background
The rapid assimilation and sophistication of fully autonomous systems like
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have unprecedented utilization and expansion in both
military and civilian applications (Donley, 2010). The systems that are currently
employed by the military for the specific purpose of taking human lives are incorporating
AI to ensure their full autonomy (Arkin, 2011). The omission of commands once the
system is deployed is the impetus of incorporating the increasingly sophisticated
technology. Researchers, such as Mackey (2013) and Donley (2010), noted the lack of
specificity in considering the permutations of autonomous technology and associated
dynamics with embedded AI on autonomous platforms and recommended case study
exploration. The emphasis on considering the acceptance of fully autonomous artificially
intelligent systems has not been fully theorized (Arkin, 2011).
The organizational theological perspective for studying the influences and
ramifications that fully autonomous self-governing systems will have on humankind will
be closely tied to existing and future military operations. It is the military that is
currently developing and exploiting the technology specifically developed to take human
lives. The utilization of autonomous platforms for the USAF is a top priority as the
organizational structure of the military is rapidly incorporating fully autonomous self-
governing systems into their daily operations (Donley, 2010). Artificially intelligent
platforms were a reality in today’s battle space (Sharkey, 2012). The organizational
theories associated with Sharkey’s research indicated the recalcitrant nature of military
commanders when questioned about their employment of autonomous systems against
human targets. Sharkey noted that there is an increased trend for regulation and
4
quantification of autonomous systems the more these platforms are utilized and theorized
that this new way of persecuting war will be different, especially when evaluating their
use in real world combat-related scenarios. The organizational theological perspective is
relevant to the theory behind the military’s use of fully autonomous systems and its
increases assimilation into the military’s organizational structure.
The economical theological perspective for studying the influences and
ramifications are viewed as being associated to the budgets. The single greatest theme to
emerge from technology horizons is believed to be based on the need, opportunity, and
potential to dramatically advance technologies that can allow the Air Force to gain the
increased capability, manpower efficiencies, and cost reductions available through far
greater use of autonomous systems in essentially all aspects of Air Force operations
(Donley, 2010). The increased utilization of fully autonomous self-governing systems
are posited to increase because of the noted economic factors and advantages (Donley,
2010).
Statement of the Problem
The problem is the opinions of ex-military personnel who have experience with
the operation and development of AIASGT have not been consulted concerning its actual
employment. The rapid proliferation of autonomous, self-governing platforms and the
secret nature of their employment by the U.S. military have increased pressure to fully
quantify and delineate their capabilities (Singer, 2013). Arkin (2011) and Geis (2011)
both noted that new technologies used by the military have historically made killing more
efficient than the longbow, artillery, armored vehicles, aircraft carriers, or nuclear
weapons. Autonomous self-governance has not been identified as a technology that
5
requires comprehensive policies and procedures to mandate compliance within known
and acceptable parameters (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011; Singer 2013).
The determination of the military’s use of self-governing systems is frequently
based upon observation of their employment on the battlefield and the belief that the uses
of these systems are based on specific methodologies, and much of the current research in
autonomous systems is often viewed as a tool capable of some autonomy that a remote
human operator commands (Arkin, 2011). Systems, such as Pathfinder, an unmanned
combat vehicle that can accompany or precede a manned platform into adversarial
territory, has created the specific problem related to the ethical concerns of an
autonomous system that is currently terminating human lives (Arkin, 2011). Pathfinder
and similar systems are capable of launching and controlling fleets of small, unmanned
vehicles without human intervention, and capable of defense while attacking a range of
targets without human intervention or control (Geis, 2011; Singer, 2013). The autonomy
demonstrated by systems, such as Pathfinder, result in the perceived problem of omitting
an operator who is capable of controlling the actions of the system (Geis, 2011) and the
autonomous nature has raised ethical concerns related to autonomous technology that has
the omission of the human element (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011; Singer, 2013).
Purpose of the Study
The purpose of this qualitative case study was to explore the perceptions of AL
members who have developed or used some form of artificially intelligent self-governing
technology designed to take human lives. Only AL members who were knowledgeable
of AIASGT were asked to participate. The study objective was to explore the
perceptions of AL members for two study constructs: the acceptance of artificially-
6
intelligent technology (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011;
Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012), and autonomous self-
governance (Arkin, 2011; Brock, 2010; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Erlebach 2013; Geis
2011; Ghazizadeh et al., 2011; Phalp, 2008; Singer, 2013; Sleeman, 2008, Sparrow,
2012; Valavanis, 2007). A qualitative study was appropriate in this type of research as
the qualitative instruments needed to measure the impact of autonomous systems do not
yet exist (Yin, 2013). Davis’ (1989) TAM and its five factors (external factors, perceived
usefulness, perceived ease of use, intention to use, and attitude to using) will be used as
the theoretical lens of this study. The target population was 600 ex-military personnel
associated with the AL Post 346 who may have experience operating AIASGT and
purposeful sampling was used as it was best suited to construct multi-perspectival,
emancipatory, participatory, and deconstructive interpretations for qualitative data
collection (Harsh, 2011). Purposeful screening of the ex-military personnel associated
with the AL Post 346 was used to determine if they have experience with AIASGT. The
screened personnel were the participant pool for the study. The utilization of a
purposeful sample of 10 ex-military personnel associated with the AL Post 346 who have
used self-governing technology on the battlefield were accepted as participants. Data
collection was in the form of web-based questionnaires to conduct a systematic content
analysis for emergent themes (Harsh, 2011; Yin, 2013).
Theoretical Framework
The theoretical framework for this study was the technology acceptance model
(TAM; Davis, 1989), which is rooted in the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA)
developed by Ajzen and Fishbein (1973). TRA is used for the prediction of behavioral
7
intention, spanning predictions of attitude and predictions of behavior, and the
subsequent separation of behavioral intention from behavior allows for explanation of
limiting factors on attitudinal influence (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973). This theory serves as
an appropriate framework for this study to view AIASGT and the effects on behavioral
intention within a military setting. The military’s use of technology has been centric to
the termination of human lives (Singer, 2013), and theory is appropriate for the
consideration of theoretical positions to understand the risk factors in technology
adoption and ethical challenges in the deployment of autonomous technology for military
purposes (Singer, 2013).
TRA is used for the prediction of behavioral intention (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973).
TRA theorists explain the intention to perform a behavior is a function of attitudes toward
engaging in the behavior and perceived normative pressure to perform the behavior
(Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973). This means that behavior is a function of the attitude towards
a specific action and the subjective norms regarding that action. Performing a behavior is
often a function of intention to perform the behavior and attitudes do not directly predict
behavior, but more so to predict intention. Norms do not directly predict behavior, they
are used to predict intention and intention predicts behavior (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973).
The concept of TRA is based on what individuals think regarding the consequences and
implications of their actions occurs before they decide whether or not to take action.
Furthermore, intention was highly correlated with behavior (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973).
The acceptance of AIASGT and its influence on adoption, acceptance, assimilation, and
use from the lens of TRA was a component of the theoretical framework for this study.
8
The opinions of ex-military personnel who have the operations experience
employing AIASGT were advertisement to the chosen theoretical framework. The
intention of those who operate AIASGT is significant in that it allows for assessment of
unadulterated opinions. Ex-military personnel are especially significant because they are
civilians with real-world operational experience. The predictions of attitude and behavior
is different for ex-military because they are no longer actively conducting military
operations. They have had time to reflect on the impact of AIASGT and have opinions
that can shape the way national policy is made. The behavior of ex-military is different
than that of an active duty participant of military operations. Many ex-military personnel
may have a different opinion because of their chance to reflect upon the current and
continued use of AIASGT. The subsequent separation of the behavioral intention of ex-
military personnel from the behavior of current operators allows for explanation of
limiting factors on attitudinal influence.
Behavioral intention based on TRA subsequently leads to a connection with
TAM. Davis (1989) postulated on what he identified as the Technology Acceptance
Model (TAM) theory, and identified five elements for any technology to be accepted
overall. These five elements are (a) external factors, (b) perceived usefulness, (c)
perceived ease of use, (d) intention to use, and (e) attitude to using (Davis, 1989). An
expansion of the TAM theory created a theoretical postulation that would consider the
element of autonomous, artificially intelligent self-governance.
TAM is a theory application that is employed to accurately describe the general
acceptance of technology (Davis, 1989), but has not been expanded upon regarding the
acceptance or exercise of the dynamics associated with the increasingly sophisticated
9
technology of AI. The utilization of artificially intelligent systems that make independent
human-free decisions into the existing TAM has not been fully considered or theorized
(Arkin, 2011). The example of AIASGT for military applications that will ultimately
take human lives is an aspect of the acceptance of technology that would expand the
existing TAM model.
Numerous empirical studies have indicated that TAM could be applied to
consistently explain a substantial proportion of the variance (typically about 40%) in
usage intentions and behavior of those who use technology and that TAM compared
favorably with alternative models, such as the TRA (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The use
and public acceptance of any technology (including AIASGT) are dependent on the five
factors delineated in TAM (Davis, 1989). The military’s use of AIASGT would further
test theory when introduced as a consideration as continued research using the TAM
framework may benefit from examinations of AIASGT as a determining factor for the
overall acceptance of such technology for military applications. Davis’ (1989) five
external factors would need consideration of a sixth factor. This factor would be
AIASGT and the unpredictability of this type of technology. The construct of
autonomous technology would enhance the TAM external factors that are associated with
the overall acceptance of autonomous technology, as the military’s use of autonomous
technology has been conducted in secret, thereby limiting the postulation or theoretical
acceptance of AI for military purposes (Singer, 2013). Concerns regarding the secretive
nature of the development of AI may allow the development of questionable technologies
(Singer, 2013).
10
Davis (1989) noted technology adoption and use in the workplace has remained a
central concern of information systems research and practice. This is important for this
study because the postulation of AIASGT will affect the adaptation and use of
technology in the workplace. The use of AIASGT and its effects on the workplace would
be to test theory in a new field within a military setting. Despite impressive advances in
hardware and software capabilities, the problem of underutilized or undesired systems
has continued (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). To understand how TAM could be used to
predict conditions under which technology can be embraced by human organizations has
remained a high-priority for all aspects of technology adoption (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000), which would include the military’s use of AIASGT. Technology acceptance, and
the conditions under which technology will be embraced by human organizations, can
and will affect the acceptance of the military use of AIASGT once it is understood that
machines are designed to autonomously kill a human being. The acceptance of AIASGT
and its effect on adoption, acceptance, assimilation, and use from the lens of TAM is a
component of the theoretical framework for this study.
Venkatesh and Davis (2000) suggested that another important avenue for future
research concerned the temporal dynamics of the determinants of user acceptance. A
theoretical extension of TAM known as TAM2 was developed and tested from pre-
implementation to post-implementation. The perceived usefulness and intent to use were
quite stable in the expanded TAM2 (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). However, perceived
ease of use, in contrast, appeared to be less stable over time, which attributed to the
known role of direct hands-on experience in forming this belief (Venkatesh & Davis,
1996, 2000). Consideration of autonomous self-governance would likely test a theory in
11
a new field. The methodologies of theory development by Venkatesh and Davis (1996,
2000) would benefit with the consideration of what autonomous technology would have
on the theory. TAM is not specific to the development of autonomous self-governing
technology; however, Venkatesh and Davis (2000) noted that TAM2 focused on a
number of related criteria that determine technology acceptance. The consideration of
the changes that AIASGT will have on the overall acceptance of technology would
expand TAM. The self-governance and ability of technology to make independent,
artificially intelligent decisions could affect the way technology is accepted. The
parameters identified in TAM and TAM2 for the acceptance of technology within a
military setting were used to postulate the military’s use of AIASGT and serve as a
theoretical lens to explore the problem of AIASGT used by the USAF (Davis, 1989;
Venkatesh & Davis, 1996, 2000). As a combined theoretical framework, TRA (Ajzen &
Fishbein, 1973), Davis’ (1989) TAM, and Venkatesh and Davis’ (2000) TAM2 will
contribute to the TAM literature within a military context.
When inserting the element of AI into TAM, the permutations that AI causes will
possibly alter all of the known factors identified by applying TAM. In particular, AI will
probably alter the intent to use as well as the attitude of use in unpredictable ways. The
intent to use will possibly be permutated by the unknown variables introduced by the
self-governing properties of AI. This independence is desirable with systems that the
military develops and classifies as “fire and forget.” Therefore, it makes sense that any
research regarding AI in relation to technology acceptance would likely be aligned, at
least in part, with TAM.
12
The formulation of a theological educational perspective is the possible influence
on the associated technological advances and benefits of the technology. Theological
studies, like the Phalp (2008) study on the increased sophistication of platforms that
utilize the particle swarm guidance system, further indicate the need for a new look at
TAM, especially when it is applied to fully autonomous, artificially intelligent platforms
designed to take human lives. The benefits for the formulation of a theological
educational perspective will center on the permutations associated with the advancement
of multiple technologies associated with the maturation of autonomous technology.
Research Questions
The background of the questions posted are directly associated with autonomous
systems that have the ability to make independent decisions that will or may reasonably
be expected to terminate a human life. The independent functionality and the ability to
make reasonable decisions in relation to terminating a human is the impetus for the
questions. The reasoning that these systems are being integrated into the military’s
defense methodology and the acceptability of systems that can make independent
decisions along with the uncertainty of their continued acceptance is a theory needing
expansion and testing. The study was inductively built on the reasoning behind the use of
AIASGT integrated into the U.S. military’s defense methods from the user perspective.
Q1. How do ex-military personnel perceive the usefulness of AIASGT?
Q2. What are the perceptions of ex-military personnel regarding the attitude to
use AIASGT?
13
Nature of the Study
The impetus of this qualitative case study is to explore the perceptions of military
personnel who administrate artificially intelligent self-governing technology designed to
take human lives. The study objective is to explore the perceptions of the military
personnel for two study constructs: the acceptance of artificially-intelligent technology
(Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011;
Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012), and autonomous self-governance (Arkin,
2011; Brock, 2010; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Erlebach 2013; Geis 2011; Ghazizadeh et
al., 2011; Phalp, 2008; Singer, 2013; Sleeman, 2008, Sparrow, 2012; Valavanis, 2007).
A case study design was used in order to develop an in-depth depiction of the
participants’ perspectives (Yin, 2013) regarding the acceptance and use of the AIASGT
on the battlefield.
A qualitative study was appropriate for this research as the quantitative
instruments needed to measure the impact of autonomous systems do not yet exist (Yin,
2013). Davis’ (1989) TAM and its five factors (external factors, perceived usefulness,
perceived ease of use, intention to use, and attitude to using) was used as the theoretical
lens of this study. The study target population is 600 ex-military or ex-military
associated with AL Post 346 who has operated AIASGT, and the target population served
as the study-sampling frame. Purposeful sampling was used as it is best suited to
construct multi-perspectival, emancipatory, participatory, and deconstructive
interpretations for qualitative data collection (Harsh, 2011), and gather a purposeful
sample of a minimum of 10 ex-military personnel from the AL active duty and ex-
military personnel who have used AIASGT on the battlefield. Data collection was in the
14
form of web-based surveys upon email receipt of informed consent (see Appendix A).
Participants were identified by their responding to an AL Post 346 newsletter and
webpage article that delineates procedures on how to access the Google Docs
questionnaire for data collection. A letter of collaboration (see Appendix B) was received
from the AL Post 346, which is the participating organization.
Data collection involved an open-ended survey questionnaire regarding their
acceptance and perceptions concerning the use of AISAGT (see Appendix C). Online
data collection was conducted through the utilization of Google Docs to deliver the
informed consent form and questionnaire to the sampling frame. Data analysis was
manually processed to conduct a systematic content analysis for emergent themes (Harsh,
2011; Yin, 2013). The results allowed the downloading and storage of the data as an Excel
table once the respondents populated the questionnaire and were reviewed for missing data,
coded and analyzed.
Significance of the Study
The U.S. armed services have been affected by the increased use of fully
autonomous robotic systems in both civilian and military applications (Sharkey, 2012),
and perceptions and acceptance of those that have used these systems to take human lives
is something that the military should be concerned about because the nation’s acceptance
in the global village could be affected if this technology is not employed correctly (Arkin,
2011; Geis, 2011; Sparrow, 2012; Singer, 2013). The civilian use of autonomous systems
is on the rise, especially with law enforcement and for agricultural applications (Singer,
2013), and the proposed study may contribute to the worldview of the use of AIASGT by
relating the use of AIASGT from the user and or operator’s perspective to better
15
understand user perceptions and experiences in the acceptance of AIASGT. Singer’s
(2013) findings were important to consider for this study as they illustrated the
proliferation and associated challenges with military developed AI used for civilian
applications as the study may be contributive to examples of how AI affects many aspects
of autonomous technologies (Singer, 2013). For example, maritime applications have
increased so much that sailors are becoming extinct in many maritime occupations, and
the use of autonomous systems is fast becoming the preferred choice of military
commanders on the battlefield (Mackey, 2013). The significant contribution that
Mackey’s (2013) findings support the need for further study of AI as it identified the
inevitable exponential proliferation of AI technology due to its efficiency, utility, and
mitigation of friendly force casualties. Mackey also noted that the proliferation of
AIASGT is devoid of any regard of acceptance of the technology and based solely on the
needs of military commanders and the efficiencies the technology creates.
There has been an increased trend for regulation and quantification of
autonomous systems the more these platforms are utilized and theorized that this new
way of persecuting war is different, especially when evaluating the use autonomous
systems in real world combat related scenarios (Sharkey, 2012). Since constructivism, as
it applies to how the population is affected by the military’s employment of fully
autonomous robotic self-governing platforms, is defined as active construction of new
knowledge based on prior experience, the worldview of military personnel and others
may benefit from the military being as transparent as possible (Singer, 2013). Singer’s
(2013) findings further support the study of AIASGT by identifying the lack of data
concerning the acceptance or the perception by those that use and manufacture AIASGT.
16
Singer (2013) also reported this will be mainly because of the secretive nature of
AIASGT’s development and deployment, especially in hostile environments, and called
for transparency by the manufactures and the military’s commanders that use AIASGT.
This transparency may allow all people, who have any knowledge or firsthand experience
in the military’s use of fully autonomous robotic self-governing systems that are used to
take human lives, the opportunity to strengthen their knowledge to make rational and
informed decisions on the practicality and utility of these systems (Arkin, 2011; Geis,
2011; Singer, 2013; Sparrow, 2012). Since constructivism is defined as active
construction of new knowledge and the subject mediates input from the outside world to
determine what the person will learn, there is the potential for a dichotomy of opinions
concerning the utility and ethicality of the military’s use of these systems to take human
lives (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011; Sparrow, 2012; Singer, 2013). These varying views and
opinions support the need for the study to explore the worldview and associated influence
on society from the user’s perspective (Arkin, 2011; Davis, 1989).
Definition of Key Terms
Artificial intelligence (AI). The term AI is described as the computer science
that creates the intelligence of machines. Traditional AI concepts, such as pattern
recognition, numerical optimization, and data mining, are simple types of AI algorithms
(Kroeker, 2011).
Autonomous. Acting independently and having the ability to execute the
independence is referred to as autonomous. A crucially important aspect for mission-
critical robotic operations is ensuring as best as possible that an autonomous system be
able to complete its task (Erlebach, 2013).
17
Permutation. Permutation is the act of permuting or permutating; alteration; or
transformation. A transformation or alteration is referred to as a permutation (Ching,
2010).
Self-governance. Self-governance is act of exercising control or rule over
oneself or itself. Self-governance means self-organizing and independent of human
intervention. (Arkin, 2011).
Semi-autonomous. The term semi-autonomous refers to partial self-government
acting semi-independently. Semi-autonomy involves a team composed of robots and
humans that comprises the overall system (Franceschini, 2010).
System. A system is a group of interacting, interrelated, or interdependent
elements forming a complex whole. This term is synonymous with the term sensor-based
autonomous system, which can be an automatically or autonomously self-governing
system, including both hardware and software components (Geis, 2011).
Subsystem. A subsystem is a system that is part of some larger system.
Subsystem is a term used to describe either hardware or software components that form a
system (Geis, 2011).
System’s context. The operating environment the system will perform in and
will be designed for is referenced as the system’s context. This includes all
environmental as well as technical interrelationships and dependencies (Geis, 2011).
Surroundings. Surroundings are the external objects, conditions, and
circumstances that affect existence and development; the environment. These elements
are space, land, sea, and air (Arkin, 2011).
18
Summary
The key point of the study was to postulate the acceptance and the use of
AIASGT by the personnel who have utilized and developed these technologies. The
study purpose surrounds the acceptance of AIASGT. The research plan involved use of a
purposeful sample of 10 personnel that have used AIASGT. Data collection were in the
form of web-based surveys, and data analysis was processed by the software application
to conduct a systematic content analysis for emergent themes. The background statement
delineated the rapid assimilation of AIASGT in the military. The emphasis on
considering the acceptance of fully autonomous artificially intelligent systems has not
been fully theorized (Arkin, 2011). The statement of the problem noted the rapid
proliferation of autonomous, self-governing platforms and the secret nature of their
employment by the U.S. military. The problem is that autonomous self-governance has
not been identified as a technology that requires comprehensive policies and procedures
to mandate compliance within known and acceptable parameters (Arkin, 2011; Geis,
2011; Singer 2013). The purpose of the study is to explore the perceptions of the military
personnel that utilize AIASGT. The acceptance of the technology and the willingness to
use the technology and its associated impact has not been measured (Arkin, 2011; Clarke,
2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013,
Sparrow, 2012).
The theoretical framework for this study is the Technology Acceptance Model
(TAM; Davis, 1989), which is rooted in the theory of reasoned action (TRA) developed
by Ajzen and Fishbein (1973). TRA theorists explain the intention to perform a behavior
is a function of attitudes toward engaging in the behavior and perceived normative
19
pressure to perform the behavior (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1973). Davis (1989) postulated on
what he identified as the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), and identified five
elements for any technology to be accepted overall. These five elements are (a) external
factors, (b) perceived usefulness, (c) perceived ease of use, (d) intention to use, and (e)
attitude to using (Davis, 1989). The research questions are directly associated with
autonomous systems (AIASGT) that have the ability to make independent decisions that
will or may reasonably be expected to terminate a human life. The nature of this study is
to explore the perceptions of the military personnel that operate AIASGT. A qualitative
study is appropriate for this research as the quantitative instruments needed to measure
the impact of autonomous systems do not yet exist (Yin, 2013).
The significance of the study may Advertisement to the worldview by correlating
the advancements in AIASGT to the users or operators perspective. The rapid
assimilation of AIASGT and the impact of the technology on the users, operators, or
targeted population have not been quantified (Singer, 2013). The key terms delineated
the significant terms associated with AIASGT. AI, as defined by Kroeker (2011), and
self-governance (Arkin, 2011) are the foundation for discussing AIASGT.
20
Chapter 2: Literature Review
Information technology (IT) and the development of AIASGT provide ease of use
and are rapidly introduced to the consumer, however, there are no limits currently set by
the international community on how autonomous technology is accepted or developed. If
the technology has a degree of perceived safety, society is quick to adapt the technology
simply because human nature is the path of least resistance and ease. Increase in the
innovations associated with AIASGT have awesome advantages and have brought
changes to human life and work endeavors. As people, organizations, and governments
move toward the use of AIASGT, interaction with this technology will cause great debate
(Singer, 2013), but the debate issues are not currently considered in any of the current
technology acceptance models.
Most consumers of technology assume that computers run on electricity and that
they use binary logic to carry out programmed instructions (Popkin, 2015). Actually,
computers shuttle information using materials known as semiconductors and its brains
are built on integrated circuit chips packed with tiny switches known as transistors
(Popkin, 2015). In the nearly 70 years since the first modern digital computer that were
built, the above specs have become all but synonymous with computing (Popkin, 2015).
A computer is defined not by a particular set of hardware, but by being able to take
information as input and to change or “process” the information in some controllable way
in order to deliver new information as output (Popkin, 2015). This information and the
hardware that processes it can take an almost endless variety of physical forms (Popkin,
2015).
21
Over nearly two centuries, scientists and engineers have experimented with
technology driven computerized designs that use mechanical gears, chemical reactions,
fluid flows, light, DNA, living cells, and synthetic cells (Popkin, 2015). Many of the new
technologies, such as chemical, wetware, fluidic, and ternary computing, will further
revolutionize AI and the reasonable expectation is that AI will become much more
capable in the near future (Singer, 2013). However, interaction between humans and
AIASGT are affected by quite a number of human factors that are not singled out or even
considered in the current technology models.
Following the documentation section, the chapter begins with four sections
devoted to the various models of the TAM. This is followed by a discussion of self-
governance and autonomous technology, advanced autonomous technologies, AIASGT
and autonomous technologies, ethical considerations and autonomous technologies, and a
summary.
Documentation
Peer-reviewed journals were the primary means of literary review. A high
percentage of articles were obtained from academic databases, such as Emerald Insight,
ProQuest, e-books, and EBSCOHost’s Business Source Premier. Several military
publications in the form of books or journals were also reviewed. TAM was developed
based on the theorization that an individual’s behavioral intention to use a system is
determined by two beliefs: perceived usefulness, defined as the extent to which a person
believes that using the system will enhance his or her job performance, and perceived
ease of use, defined as the extent to which a person believes that using the system will be
free of effort (Davis, 1989). The effects of external variables (e.g., system
22
characteristics, development process, training) on intention to use are believed to be
mediated by perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use (Davis, 1989). Based on
TAM, perceived usefulness is also influenced by perceived ease of use because, other
things being equal, the easier the system is to use, the more useful it can be (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000).
Since perceived usefulness is such a fundamental driver of usage intentions, it is
important to understand the determinants of this construct and how their influence
changes over time with increasing experience using the system (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000). Perceived ease of use, TAM’s other direct determinant of intention, has shown a
less consistent effect on intention across studies (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). A better
understanding of the determinants of perceived usefulness would enable the designing of
organizational interventions that would increase user acceptance and usage of new
systems. Therefore, the goal of the present research is to extend TAM to include
Advertisementitional key determinants of TAM’s perceived usefulness and usage
intention constructs and to understand how the effects of these determinants change with
increasing user experience overtime with the target system (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
The reality is that neither of the current TAM models includes consideration of
the impact of AIASGT used for military purposes. The integration of AI systems that
make independent human-free decisions into the existing TAM has not been fully
considered or theorized (Arkin, 2011). The assimilation of AIASGT for military
applications that will ultimately take human lives as an aspect of the acceptance of
technology would expand the existing TAM models.
23
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM2)
The first of the variations is called the TAM2 (Taiwo & Downe, 2013). As with
the original Davis (1989) TAM, TAM2 does not include the consideration of the
acceptance or use of AIASGT for any purpose, including use by the military. Using the
original TAM as a starting point, TAM2 incorporates theoretical constructs spanning
social influence processes (subjective norm, voluntariness, and image) and cognitive
instrumental processes (job relevance, output quality, result demonstrability, and
perceived ease of use). Below, each of these constructs is defined along with the
theoretical rationale for the causal relationships of the TAM2 (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
TAM2 reflects the impact of three interrelated social forces impinging on an
individual facing the opportunity to adopt or reject a new system: (a) subjective norm, (b)
voluntariness, and (c) image (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The extended model, referred
to as TAM2, was tested using longitudinal data collected regarding four different systems
at four organizations: two involving voluntary usage and two involving mandatory usage
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Model constructs were measured at three points in time at
each organization: (a) pre-implementation, (b) 1 month post implementation, and (c) 3
months post implementation (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The extended model was
strongly supported for all four organizations at all three points of measurement,
accounting for 40–60% of the variance in usefulness perceptions and 34–52% of the
variance in usage intentions (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Both social influence processes (subjective norm, voluntariness, and image) and
cognitive instrumental processes (job relevance, output quality, result demonstrability,
and perceived ease of use) significantly influenced user acceptance (Venkatesh & Davis,
24
2000). These findings were applied to advance theory and contribute to the foundation
for future research aimed at improving understanding of user adoption behavior
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
The direct effect of subjective norm on intentions for mandatory usage contexts
were theorized to be strong prior to implementation and during early usage, but weaken
over time as increasing direct experience with a system provides a growing basis for
intentions toward ongoing use (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The authors expectations
were that the effect of subjective norm on perceived usefulness (internalization) to
weaken over time, since greater direct experience will furnish concrete sensory
information, supplanting reliance on social cues as a basis for usefulness perceptions
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). In contrast, the influence of image on perceived usefulness
(identification) to weaken over time since status gains from system use will continue as
long as group norms continue to favor usage of the target system is not expected
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
One key component is a potential user’s judgment of job relevance, which is
defined as an individual’s perception regarding the degree to which the target system is
applicable to his or her job. In other words, job relevance is a function of the importance
within one’s job of the set of tasks the system is capable of supporting (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000). TAM2 is posited to be over and above considerations of what tasks a
system is capable of performing and the degree to which those tasks match their job goals
(job relevance), which people will take into consideration as to how well the system
performs those tasks (i.e., perceptions of output quality; Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Empirically, the relationship between perceived output quality and perceived usefulness
25
has been shown before (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The expectation is for output quality
to be empirically distinct from and to explain significant unique variance in, perceived
usefulness over and above job relevance because a different underlying judgmental
process is involved (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Even effective systems can fail to garner
user acceptance if people have difficulty attributing gains in their job performance
specifically to their use of the system (Venkatesh & Davis, 2012).
Individuals can be expected to form more positive perceptions of the usefulness of
a system if the covariation between usage and positive results is readily discernable
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Conversely, if a system produces effective job relevant
results desired by a user, but does so in an obscure fashion, users of the system are
unlikely to understand how useful such a system really is (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
TAM2 retains perceived ease of use from the original TAM as a direct determinant of
perceived usefulness (Davis, 1989) since, all else being equal, the less effortful a system
is to use, the more using it can increase job performance (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The
authors suggested that there is extensive empirical evidence accumulated over a decade
that perceived ease of use is significantly linked to intention, both directly and indirectly,
via its impact on perceived usefulness (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Although beyond the scope of the present extension of TAM, other research has
begun to be modeled after the antecedents of perceived ease of use (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000). For example, Venkatesh and Davis’ (1996) model perceived ease of use will be
anchored to the aspect of one’s general computer self-efficacy and adjusted to account for
a system’s objective usability via direct behavioral experience using the target system
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The mechanisms by which ease of use perceptions are
26
theorized to form and evolve are conceptually distinct from, and complementary with, the
social influence and cognitive instrumental processes within TAM2 (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000). Consistent with the theories of mental representation discussed above, the
expectation is that even over time, people will continue to rely on the match between
their job goals and the consequences of system usage (job relevance) as a basis for their
ongoing usefulness perceptions (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Just as the role of what a
system does remains influential, how well a system does what it does (output quality)
will remain a significant determinant of perceived usefulness over time (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000). Similarly, there is no basis to expect the effect of result demonstrability on
perceived usefulness to become either stronger or weaker over time (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000).
Although there is no theoretical account of such temporal shifts, the effect of
perceived ease of use on perceived usefulness has sometimes been found to increase over
time, whereas the direct effect of perceived ease of use on usage intention has been
observed in some research to decrease over time (Davis, 1989), and in other research to
increase over time (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Presently, there is a lack of sufficient
theoretical rationale to hypothesize specific temporal shifts in the strength of any of the
effects of cognitive instrumental determinants (job relevance, output quality, result
demonstrability, or ease of use; Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). TAM2 will be strongly
supported across four organizations and three points of measurement (pre-
implementation, one month post-implementation, and three months post-implementation;
Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Encompassing both social influence processes (subjective norm, voluntariness,
27
and image) and cognitive instrumental processes (job relevance, output quality, result
demonstrability, and perceived ease of use; Venkatesh & Bala, 2008), TAM2 provides a
detailed account of the key forces underlying judgments of perceived usefulness,
explaining up to 60% of the variance in this important driver of usage intentions
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2012). The TAM2 extends TAM by showing that subjective norm
exerts a significant direct effect on usage intentions over and above perceived usefulness
and perceived ease of use for mandatory (but not voluntary) systems (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2012). The effects of social influence processes were consistent with TAM2
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Subjective norm significantly influenced perceived usefulness via both
internalization, in which people incorporate social influences into their own usefulness
perceptions, and identification, in which people use a system to gain status and influence
within the work group and thereby improve their job performance (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000). Beyond these two indirect effects via perceived usefulness, subjective norm had a
direct effect on intentions for mandatory, but not voluntary usage contexts (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000). The authors suggested that this may explain previous research that
indicated a non-significant role for social and that as individuals gained direct experience
with a system over time, they relied less on social information in forming perceived
usefulness and intention, but continued to judge a system’s usefulness on the basis of
potential status benefits resulting from use (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
The effects of cognitive instrumental processes were also consistent with TAM2
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). An important and interesting finding that emerged will be
the interactive effect between job relevance and output quality in determining perceived
28
usefulness. This implies that judgments about a system’s usefulness are affected by an
individual’s cognitive matching of their job goals with the consequences of system use
(job relevance), and that output quality takes on greater importance in proportion to a
system’s job relevance (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). There are several practical
implications of the findings (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Mandatory, compliance-based
approaches to introducing new systems appear to be less effective over time than the use
of social influence to target positive changes in perceived usefulness (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000). Practical alternatives to usage mandates based on social information
should be developed and tested, such as increasing the source credibility of social
information to increase internalization or designing communication campaigns that raise
the prestige associated with system use to increase identification (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000).
On the instrumental side, in designing systems to better match job relevant needs,
improving the quality of their output, or making them easier to use, research shows that
practical interventions for increasing result demonstrability, such as empirically
demonstrating to users the comparative effectiveness of a new system, may provide
important leverage for increasing user acceptance (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). The
current research represents an important contribution to theory by extending TAM to
Advertisementress causal antecedents of one of its two belief constructs, perceived
usefulness (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Venkatesh & Davis (2000) noted that they have
begun to model the determinants of TAM’s other major belief, perceived ease of use
(Davis, 1996). Further research on TAM, in refining the models of the determinants of
perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use, should include the role of other direct
29
determinants of usage intentions and behavior and continue to map the major contingency
factors moderating the effects of perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, subjective
norm, and other constructs on intention (Venkatesh & Davis, 2012). Another important
avenue for future research concerns the temporal dynamics of the determinants of user
acceptance.
Researchers found that TAM2 held up well at three points of measurement
spanning from pre-implementation to 3 months post-implementation (Venkatesh &
Davis, 2000). Perceived ease of use, in contrast, will be less stable over time, which is
attributed to the known role of direct hands-on experience in forming this belief
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Future researchers might profitably seek to establish how
early in a system development process, for example, even before a working prototype is
built, one can measure key user reactions, such as perceived usefulness and intention, and
still rely on them as indicators of post-implementation success of the system concept
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Research is needed to elucidate the processes involved in
cognitively matching important job goals to the consequences of system use (Venkatesh
& Davis, 2000). Understanding the process is a vital research direction since it explicitly
links the functional design characteristics of a system to perceived usefulness and
ultimately user acceptance (Venkatesh & Davis, 2012).
Future researchers should also seek to further extend models of technology
acceptance to encompass other important theoretical constructs, such as the choice sets of
available alternative technologies, learning and training, misperceptions of usefulness or
ease of use and how to correct them, changes in work content or job goals, and changing
social environments (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Future research should involve
30
comparison of past findings regarding the role of subjective norm with other more recent
findings (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). Of particular interest would be a comparison of
TAM2 with recent approaches from the media choice paradigm that attempt to integrate
normative and utilitarian determinants. The continuing trend in organizations away from
hierarchical, command-and-control structures toward networks of empowered,
autonomous teams underscores the finding regarding the limits of organizational mandate
as a lever for increasing usage (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). To adapt user acceptance
theory to this trend, the conceptualization of perceived usefulness will need to be
expanded from its current focus on expected individual-level performance gains to
encompass team-based structures and incentives (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
As the adoption decision becomes more of a team rather than an individual-level
decision, the nature and role of social influence processes (both within teams and across
teams) will need to be elaborated beyond TAM2 (Venkatesh & Davis, 2012). User
acceptance of IT in the workplace remains a complex, elusive, yet extremely important
phenomenon and the development and test of TAM2 advances theory and research on
this important issue (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM3)
The second of these variations is called the TAM3 (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). As
with the original TAM and TAM2, TAM3 does not consider AIASGT as a determining
factor for perceived usefulness or acceptance of technology. Combining TAM2
(Venkatesh & Davis, 2000) and the model of the determinants of perceived ease of use
(Venkatesh, 2000), led to the development of an integrated model of technology
acceptance known as TAM3 (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). TAM3 presents a complete
31
nomological network of the determinants of individuals’ IT adoption and use (Venkatesh
& Bala, 2008). Three theoretical extensions beyond TAM2 and the model of the
determinants of perceived ease of use were posited.
Prior research has provided valuable insights into how and why employees make
a decision about the adoption and use of (IT) in the workplace (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
From an organizational point of view, Venkatesh and Bala (2008) noted that the more
important issue is how managers make informed decisions about interventions that can
lead to greater acceptance and effective utilization of IT. The other suggestion is that
there is limited research in the IT implementation literature that deals with the role of
interventions to aid such managerial decision making (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Particularly, there is a need to understand how various interventions can influence the
known determinants of IT adoption and use (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). To
Advertisementress this gap in the literature, the vast body of research on TAM,
particularly the work on the determinants of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of
use, needs to be drawn upon in order to develop a comprehensive network (integrated
model) of the determinants of individual level (IT) adoption and use, empirically test the
integrated model, and present a research agenda focused on potential pre- and post-
implementation interventions that can enhance employees’ adoption and use of IT
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The authors suggested that their findings and research agenda
have important implications for managerial decision making on IT implementation in
organizations.
The expectation is that the general pattern of relationships suggested by
Venkatesh and Davis (2000) and Venkatesh (2000) holds in TAM3 (Venkatesh & Bala,
32
2008). The determinants of perceived usefulness are believed to not influence perceived
ease of use and the determinants of perceived ease of use will not influence perceived
usefulness (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Furthermore, TAM3 does not indicate the
presence of any cross-over effects (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). As noted earlier, two
theoretical processes explain the relationships between perceived usefulness and its
determinants: social influence and cognitive instrumental processes (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). The effects of the various factors—that is, subjective norm, image, job relevance,
output quality, and result demonstrability—on perceived usefulness are tied to these two
processes (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). However, there is no theoretical and empirical
basis to expect that these processes will play any role in forming judgments about
perceived ease of use (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Perceived ease of use has been
theorized to be closely associated with individuals’ self-efficacy beliefs and procedural
knowledge, which requires hands-on experience and execution of skills (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008).
Venkatesh (2000) suggested that individuals form perceived ease of use about a
specific system by anchoring their perceptions to the different general computer beliefs
and later adjusting their perceptions of ease of use based on hands-on experience with the
specific system. Social influence processes (i.e., compliance, identification, and
internalization) in the context of IT adoption and use represent how important referents
believe about the instrumental benefits of using a system (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Even if an individual gets information from important referents about how easy a system
is to use, it is unlikely that the individual will form stable perceptions of ease of use based
on the beliefs of referent others over and above his or her own general computer beliefs
33
and hands-on experience with the system (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The determinants
of perceived ease of use represent several traits and emotions, such as computer self-
efficacy, computer playfulness, and computer anxiety (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). There
are no theoretical and empirical reasons to believe that these stable computer-related
traits and emotions will be affected by social influence or cognitive influence processes
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The determinants of perceived ease of use are stated to not
believe to influence perceived usefulness (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The determinants of perceived ease of use suggested by Venkatesh (2000) are
primarily individual differences variables and general beliefs about computers and
computer use (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). These variables are grouped into three
categories: (a) control beliefs, (b) intrinsic motivation, and (c) emotion. Perceived
usefulness is an instrumental belief that is conceptually similar to extrinsic motivation
and is cognition (as opposed to emotion) regarding the benefits of using a system
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The perceptions of control (over a system), enjoyment or
playfulness related to a system, and anxiety regarding the ability to use a system do not
provide a basis for forming perceptions of instrumental benefits of using a system
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Therefore, control over using a system does not guarantee
that the system will enhance one’s job performance (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Similarly, higher levels of computer playfulness or enjoyment from using a system do not
mean that the system will help an individual to become more effective (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008). However, the expectation is that the determinants of perceived ease of use
will not influence perceived usefulness (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
34
Venkatesh and Bala (2008) posited that TAM3 has three relationships that were
not empirically tested by Venkatesh (2000) and Venkatesh and Davis (2000). The
recommendation is that experience will moderate the relationships between perceived
ease of use and perceived usefulness, computer anxiety and perceived ease of use, and
perceived ease of use and behavioral intention (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Perceived ease
of use to perceived usefulness is thought to be or can be moderated by experience
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The concept is that with increasing hands-on experience with
a system, a user will have more information on how easy or difficult the system is to use
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). While perceived ease of use may not be as important in
forming behavioral intention in a later period of system use (Venkatesh et al., 2003),
users will still value perceived ease of use in forming perceptions about usefulness
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The premise for the afore mentioned belief is action identification theory
(Vallacher & Kaufman, 1996); wherein it is hypothesized that there is a clear distinction
between high-level and low-level action identities (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). High-level
identities are related to individuals’ goals and plans, whereas low-level identities refer to
the means to achieve these goals and plans (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). For example
regarding the context of a word processing software use, a high-level identity can be
writing a high quality report and a low-level identity can be striking keys or use of a
specific feature of the software (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Venkatesh and Bala (2008)
proffered that perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use are considered high-level
and low-level identities respectively. With increasing experience, the influence of
perceived ease of use (a low-level identity) on perceived usefulness (a high-level identity)
35
will be stronger as users will be able to form an assessment of their likelihood of attaining
high-level goals (i.e., perceived usefulness) based on information gained from experience
of the low-level actions (i.e., perceived ease of use; Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Computer anxiety to perceived ease of use would be moderated by experience
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Experience will moderate the effect of computer anxiety on
perceived ease of use, such that with increasing experience, the effect of computer
anxiety on perceived ease of use will diminish (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The
expectation is that with increasing experience, system specific beliefs, rather than general
computer beliefs, will be stronger determinants of perceived ease of use of a system
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Venkatesh (2000) argued that system-specific objective
usability and perceived enjoyment will be stronger determinants over time and the effects
of general computer beliefs (e.g., computer anxiety) will diminish because with
increasing experience as users will develop accurate perceptions of effort required to
complete specific tasks (i.e., objective usability) and discover aspects of a system that
leads to enjoyment (or lack thereof; Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). However, computer
anxiety (Venkatesh, 2000) is theorized by Venkatesh and Bala (2008) as an anchoring
belief that inhibits forming a positive perception of ease of use of a system. The effect of
computer anxiety on perceived ease of use will be argued by Venkatesh and Bala to
decline with increasing experience as individuals will have more accurate perceptions of
the effort needed to use a system and perceived ease of use to behavioral intention will be
moderated by experience.
Venkatesh and Bala (2008) posed the expectation that experience will moderate
the effect of perceived ease of use on behavioral intention, such that the effect will be
36
weaker with increasing experience. Perceived ease of use—that is, how easy or difficult
a system is to use—is an initial hurdle for individuals while using a system (Venkatesh,
2000). Once individuals become accustomed to the system and gain hands-on experience
with the system, the effect of perceived ease of use on behavioral intention will be
observed to recede into the background as individuals possessed more procedural
knowledge about how to use the system (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Consequently,
individuals place less importance on perceived ease of use while forming their behavioral
intentions to use the system (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The findings of Venkatesh and Bala (2008) regarding perceived usefulness were
generally consistent with the legacy TAM2 Venkatesh and Davis (2000) results. In
particular, perceived ease of use, subjective norm, image, and result demonstrability were
significant predictors of perceived usefulness at all time periods (see Table 5). Also
consistent with Venkatesh and Davis (2000), job relevance and output quality had an
interactive effect on perceived usefulness; such that with increasing output quality, the
effect of job relevance on perceived usefulness will be stronger (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). Experience will be found to moderate the effects of subjective norm on perceived
usefulness, such that the effect will be weaker with increasing experience (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008). Also, the effect of image on subjective norm will be significant at all points
of measurements (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Therefore, it will be posited that with
TAM3, the effect of perceived ease of use on perceived usefulness will be moderated by
experience and the determinants of perceived ease of use (i.e., computer self-efficacy,
perceptions of external control, computer anxiety, computer playfulness, perceived
enjoyment, and objective usability) will not have any significant effects on perceived
37
usefulness over and above the determinants of perceived usefulness (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). In short, experience moderated the effect of perceived ease of use on perceived
usefulness, such that with increasing experience the effect became stronger and the
determinants of perceived ease of use had significant effects on perceived usefulness at
any point in time (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Overall, TAM3 could be used to explain between 52% and 67% of the variance in
perceived usefulness across different time periods and models (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Consistent with Venkatesh (2000), the anchors, that is, computer self-efficacy,
perceptions of external control, computer anxiety, and computer playfulness, were
significant predictors of perceived ease of use at all points of measurement (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008). Experience moderated the effect of computer anxiety on perceived ease of
use such that the effect became weaker with increasing experience and none of the
determinants of perceived usefulness had a significant effect on perceived ease of use.
Overall, TAM3 could be used to explain between 43% and 52% of variance in perceived
ease of use across different points of measurements and models (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008).
The theoretical contributions of TAM3 were to present a complete network of the
determinants of IT adoption and use. The key strength of TAM3 is its
comprehensiveness and potential for actionable guidance (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
While TAM presented a parsimonious model, the follow-up research on the general
determinants of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use indicated pointers to
constructs that could be levers (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). TAM3 is believed to
Advertisement richness and insight to the understanding of user reactions to new IT in the
38
workplace. The comprehensiveness ensures whether all relevant factors are included in a
theory and parsimony dictates whether some factors should be deleted because they
Advertisement little value to our understanding of a phenomenon. Therefore, the
comprehensiveness of TAM3 is important as the move is more toward a research agenda
related to various interventions (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The emphasis of the TAM3 is on the unique role and processes related to
perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use and is based on the theory that the
determinants of perceived usefulness will not influence perceived ease of use and vice
versa (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). This is an important theoretical contribution by itself
because there have been many inconclusive findings regarding the relationships among
some of these determinants, specifically perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use
(Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Venkatesh (2000) found that perceived ease of use fully
mediates the effect of computer self-efficacy on behavioral intention (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). The theoretical justification and empirical support of why the determinants of
perceived ease of use (e.g., computer self-efficacy) will not have significant effects on
perceived usefulness over and above the known determinants of perceived usefulness that
are driven by the social influence and cognitive instrumental processes were provided by
Venkatesh and Bala (2008). An example of this is while self-efficacy may have a weak
influence on perceived usefulness; this influence will become nonsignificant in the
presence of other important social and cognitive constructs (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
TAM3 is posited to promote new theoretical relationships, such as the moderating effects
of experience on key relationships, ergo it is important to understand the role of
experience in IT adoption and use contexts (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
39
With increasing experience, the effect of perceived ease of use on behavioral
intention will diminish while the effect of perceived ease of use on perceived usefulness
will increase (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). This clearly indicates that perceived ease of use
is still an important user reaction toward IT even if users have substantial hands-on
experience with IT (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). This important theoretical relationship has
significant practical utility as there has been increasing concerns about the ease of use of
various IT, particularly enterprise systems that are inherently complex to understand and
use (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). There have been numerous cases of enterprise system
failures because of user resistance (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). In many cases, the users
stopped using an enterprise system as they saw no benefits of using the new system; it is
possible that a lack of perceived ease of use contributed to unfavorable perceptions of
perceived usefulness in the context of those systems (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The
most important theoretical contribution is the delineation of relationships among the
suggested interventions and the determinants of perceived usefulness and perceived ease
of use (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). As a note, though, these perceptions did not include
consideration of fully autonomous technology or the use of it for military purposes.
While prior research has shown important relationships between interventions and
key IT adoption determinants, extension of this research can be attained by providing a
comprehensive list of interventions, suggesting potential relationships of these
interventions with the determinants of perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use,
and offering important future research directions (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Unless
organizations can develop effective interventions to enhance IT adoption and use, there is
no practical utility of the rich understanding of IT adoption (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
40
The importance of interventions in enhancing IT adoption will be underscored by
Venkatesh (1999) who provided an example of how different modes of training can be
used to manipulate system-specific enjoyment, which enhances the salience of perceived
ease of use of a system as a determinant of behavioral intention (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). At this juncture, however, there is little or no scientific research aimed at
identifying and linking interventions with specific determinants of IT adoption. The
theoretical arguments about the relationships between the interventions and the
determinants of IT adoption are thus an important contribution that could direct future
research (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The implications for decision making indicate that the findings and research
agenda focusing on interventions have direct implications for two types of decision
making in organizations: employees’ IT adoption decisions and managerial decisions
about managing the IT implementation process (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Given that IT
is becoming increasingly complex and pertinent to employees’ decision making and work
processes, this research has implications for broad IT-enabled organizational decision
making (e.g., collaborative forecasting, inventory management, replenishment, service
delivery; Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The authors of TAM3 suggested that interventions
primarily focus on the complex IT to understand how pre- and post-implementation
interventions can help employees make better adoption decisions about these complex
systems and managers make effective implementation decisions (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008). This is consistent with Venkatesh (2006) who argued that in order to be relevant
to organizational decision-making processes, individual-level IT adoption research
should focus on phenomena that are pertinent to decision making (knowledge sharing,
41
business process outsourcing) and IT that is critical for organizational decision making
(enterprise resource planning, supply chain management, collaborative forecasting,
inventory management systems; see also Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The interventions and future research agenda discussed here have implications for
these types of phenomena and systems (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Due to the complexity
of IT, it is increasingly difficult for employees to make effective decisions about
adoption, utilization, and coping with new IT (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). As discussed
earlier, implementation of complex IT and associated changes in business processes have
a profound impact on employees’ job and cause changes in their job characteristics,
relationships with others in the workplace, and other aspects of their job (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008). Consequently, employees’ job outcomes, such as job satisfaction and
performance, can be affected (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
Other types of reactions, such as avoidance, sabotage, workarounds, and shortcuts
are also prevalent. Interventions that can help employees make appropriate decisions
about adopting and utilizing a new IT are presented below (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). In
the context of enterprise systems, certain design characteristics, such as extent of
customization or complexity of the system, can reduce changes in employees’ jobs as
these characteristics can potentially enhance the fit between a system and employees’
jobs (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Beaudry and Pinsonneault (2005) suggested that some
other interventions, such as user participation and training, can help employees decide
how to cope with or adapt to new IT (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Venkatesh (2006) called
for work on employees’ reactions to business process changes and process standards
implementation (see also Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Interventions can help organizations
42
generate favorable individuals’ reactions toward business process changes and process
standards implementation (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008).
The findings and discussion of interventions can support managerial decision
making in two ways (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). First, managers will now have a
framework to decide what interventions to apply during pre- and post-implementation
stages and for what types of system, such as for a complex system, perhaps interventions
that will create favorable ease of use perceptions will be relevant design characteristics,
user participation, training, and peer support; for a voluntary system, interventions that
will influence the determinants of perceived usefulness will be important to implement
design characteristics, user participation, incentive alignment, training, organizational and
peer support; and for interorganizational systems that affect organizational business
processes or a customer relationship management system that is critical to service
delivery (Froehle, 2006). Interventions, such as user participation, peer support, and
management support, will be particularly relevant (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). The
question of ethics and culpability for autonomous platforms is a major topic of debate and
research (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker,
2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012). Managers can decide on resource
allocation for interventions based on the impact of interventions on different determinants
of IT adoption and type of systems (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). For example, if design
characteristics cannot be changed in a system, managers can allocate more resources to
training and user participation to make employees familiar with the systems (Venkatesh
& Bala, 2008).
43
The implementation of interventions is, of course, not a “silver bullet” for greater
IT adoption and effective utilization as implementation of interventions can increase
system development costs substantially (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Managers have to be
mindful in their decisions about implementing interventions and identify specific
interventions that can serve as levers for managers. Based on a comprehensive network
of IT adoption and use, a set of pre- and post-implementation interventions were
presented that tare recommended as the object of future scientific inquiry (Venkatesh &
Bala, 2008).
Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) / TAM4
The most recent update of the TAM theory, which can be considered as TAM4,
will be classified by the authors as the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology
(UTAUT; Venkatesh, Morris, Davis, & Davis, 2003). UTAUT is applied to propose that
performance expectancy, effort expectancy, and social influence predict behavioral
intention towards the acceptance of IT (Venkatesh et al., 2003). The theory is further
based upon the concept that facilitating conditions and behavioral intention predicts use
behavior in the acceptance of IT (Taiwo & Downe, 2013). Ever since its inception, the
theory has been assessed using different applications and has become a dè factor model
of measuring user acceptance (Taiwo & Downe, 2013). Like all other models that
preceded it, UTAUT does not include consideration of the impact that AI has on
technology as far as its acceptance and perceived use. In terms of statistical significant
magnitude and direction, reports on the UTAUT model are diverse (Taiwo & Downe,
2013). UTAUT is based on a meta-analysis of 37 selected empirical studies in an effort
to harmonize the empirical evidence (Taiwo & Downe, 2013).
44
The outcome of the study indicated that only the relationship between
performance expectancy and behavioral intention is strong, while the relationships
between effort expectation, social influence, and behavioral intention are weak as well as
the relationship between facilitating condition, behavior, intention, and use behavior will
be also weak (Taiwo & Downe, 2013). The significance of the relationship between
facilitating condition and use behavior did not pass the fail-safe test, while the
significance of the relationship between behavioral intention and use behavior also did
not pass the fail-safe test satisfactorily (Taiwo & Downe, 2013).
UTAUT is a unified model that will be developed based on social cognitive
theory with a combination of eight prominent information acceptance research models
(Taiwo & Downe, 2013). The predictive validity of eight models in determining the
behavioral intention and usage to allow fair comparison of the models will be examined.
The eight models are (a) TRA, (b) the theory of planned behavior (TPB), (c) TAM, (d)
the motivational model, (e) a model combining TAM and TPB (C-TAM-TPB), (f) the
model of PC utilization, (g) innovation diffusion theory, and (h) socio cognitive theory.
The unified model outperformed the eight individual models. The UTAUT model
consists of four core determinants of usage and intention (performance expectancy, effort
expectancy, social influence, and facilitating conditions) alongside four moderators
(gender, age, experience and voluntariness of use) of key relationships (Taiwo & Downe,
2013). Through the meta-analysis, the researchers succeeded in combining and
investigating existing empirical literatures on UTAUT. The relationship between
UTAUT will be examined by Taiwo and Downe (2013) using a large sample size of over
45
11,000 and on the basis of the meta analyses reported, generally the findings confirm
Venkatesh et al.’s (2003) findings.
Initial findings among the five constructs of UTAUT indicated only some
relationships were strong, while others were slightly weak, but significant (Taiwo &
Downe, 2013). In conclusion, the majority of researchers cited UTAUT to support an
argument rather than using it, while others only partially used UTAUT and only a few
noted actual use of the theory (Taiwo & Downe, 2013). The findings of the study of
UTAUT contributes to the area of IT adoption and diffusion research by showing the
inadequacy and inconsistency in the use and output of a theory (Taiwo & Downe, 2013).
Similarly, there is no current permutation of TAM wherein the use of AIASGT is
considered.
This literature review contains a presentation of the dominant themes found in the
current research of the study problem. Researchers have tested micro level impacts of AI
and the field of AI is continually expanding, therefore there is a need to consider the
overall impact of AI (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012; Geis, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer,
2013). The use of AI by the military is expanding because of increased productivity,
decreased operating costs, and the mitigation of friendly force casualties (Arkin, 2011;
Epitropakis, 2012; Geis, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer 2013). Although inquiries have
been made to test and obtain specifics from the military on their involvement with AI
(Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012; Geis, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer 2013), disclosures of
AI and how it is used are made reluctantly (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011; Mackey, 2013).
46
Self-Governance and Autonomous Technology
The military is at the forefront of AI development (Geis, 2011). Major
development and testing of AIASGT has been primarily by the military and the
perceptions of the users of AIASGT will possibly significantly Advertisement to the
understanding of how AIASGT will enhance or impede the acceptance of technology.
Researchers have suggested that the use of fully autonomous artificially intelligent
systems by the military to conduct combat operations will give commanders a resource to
utilize as well as mitigate friendly-force casualties (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012; Geis,
2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer 2013). There are continual and escalating ethical, legal, and
societal challenges associated with the continued and expanding utilization of AI (Singer,
2013). Autonomy in machines employed to fight future wars have to have tested and
proven limitations programmed in them to limit their actions or the ramifications may
cause atrocities (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012). Autonomous terminator-style
machines can be capable of human destruction even if proper precautions are met (Arkin,
2011; Epitropakis, 2012). Sleeman’s (2008) research indicated the technology that is
developed by the military will eventually transcend into peaceful commercial
applications.
Arkin’s (2011) research findings showed that the major development of AI has
been primarily by the military, and that ethical controls of autonomous robotic platforms
that were utilized on the battlefield need to be fully tested and theorized. The perceptions
of the use and acceptance of technology that includes the use of AIASGT will
significantly assist in the understanding of how AIASGT will enhance or impede the
acceptance of technology. The opinion is that effective artificially-intelligent control
47
must be developed to place limitations on AIASGT deployed by the military (Arkin,
2011).
Singer (2013) researched the need for ethical controls of AI used by the military
and elaborated that these machines with AI capabilities have to have limitations that will
allow the regulation and constraint of lethal actions. Similarly, Arkin (2011) noted the
need to bring self-governing machines under regulation and have limitations delineated in
the military rules of engagement that govern conduct on the battlefield. Both Arkin and
Singer suggested the need to ensure that machines deployed on the battlefield do not
conduct illegal and unethical actions. Arkin (2011) opined that an unbiased assessment
that delineates the current use of AI is needed.
An unbiased assessment would possibly give military planners insight into the
dynamics associated with the utilization of AI that is capable of making and changing
decisions independently that can cause the loss of human lives (Arkin, 2011; Singer,
2013). Epitropakis’ (2012) research findings paralleled Arkin’s (2011) research.
Epitropakis (2012) noted there will be a challenge with the collection of research
data from the secretive military environment; however, collection of research information
has become possible due to the declassification of many forms of AI (Cook, 2013). This
declassification has led to researchers being capable of gathering unclassified input from
military personnel employed by the organizations that will deploy the systems on the
battlefield (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012). One example of the availability of
information is knowledge of the current use of AI expansion into many new, advanced
AI, such as ambient intelligence (Cook, 2013).
48
AmI has been identified as an emerging methodology that blends sensor
networks, pervasive computing, and AI (Cook, 2013). Advancements in technology,
such as AmI, is posited to transcend into commercial applications, and Singer (2013)
noted that fully autonomous aircraft and ground mobile platforms could conceivably
bring the commercial industry significant cost savings and efficiency. Cook (2013) also
noted that the use of technology, such as AmI, would eventually transcend AIASGT
utilized by the military. Cook predicted an increased utilization of technology that will
enhance AI’s flexibility and adaptability. Likewise, Arkin (2011) provided
representational and design recommendations for the implementation of an ethical control
and reasoning system potentially suitable for constraining lethal actions in an
autonomous robotic system. Arkin’s findings also indicated that an unbiased assessment
that delineates the current use of autonomous technology is needed to evaluate embedded
ethical controls if possible. Furthermore, Cook and Epitropakis (2012) offered that there
are benefits to autonomous technology based on consideration of the need to incorporate
ethical control and reasoning into developing technology.
The problem is as large as the military and the advancement of technology. The
military is at the forefront of the employment of this kind of technology on the battlefield.
The military is in a transitional phase that is primarily dependent on the acquisition and
employment of semi or fully autonomous platforms (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook,
2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow,
2012). Geis (2011) postulated that the single greatest theme to emerge from technology
horizons is the need, opportunity, and potential to dramatically advance technologies that
can allow the Air Force to gain the capability increases, manpower efficiencies, and cost
49
reductions available through far greater use of autonomous systems in essentially all
aspects of Air Force operations.
The specificity of the problem is as complex as the permutations associated with
autonomous technology, the employment of the systems on the battlefield, and the very
platforms themselves. The use of these systems is constantly changing as the technology
matures. Autonomous systems can be integrated in all aspects of existing C2ISR
activities (Mackey, 2013). The problem associated with the control, quantification, and
implications associated with the use of these systems is expanding as their popularity
increases (Singer, 2013).
The requirement that failed to be met will be and will continue to be the accurate
quantification of the involvement that autonomous or semi-autonomous systems will
have on current and future military conflicts (Arkin, 2011). An exacerbating factor is the
secretive nature of systems development and platform capability (Arkin, 2011; Clarke,
2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013,
Sparrow, 2012). Autonomous systems capable of making independent decisions are
transforming the battle space and will experience expanded use by military planners
(Mackey, 2013). Some major concerns are if the military ever lost control of these
systems or if the systems themselves were utilized against the very countries that employ
them.
Advanced Autonomous Technologies
Major advancements in the development of autonomous technology have been
primarily by the military and researchers have identified unregulated advanced
autonomous technology is being developed by the military (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis,
50
2012; Geis, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013). An example of advanced AIASGT will
be identified by Epitropakis (2012) known as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). PSO
will be utilized for the non-deterministic navigation of UAVs to allow UAVs to work
cooperatively toward the goal of protecting a wide area against airborne attack.
Advanced autonomous technology developed for military applications, such as PSO,
could transcend into commercial applications as it could be applied to benefit the
commercial industry in cost savings and efficiency as well as revolutionize the
transportation industry (Singer, 2013). However, the increased sophistication of
platforms that utilize advanced autonomous technology, such as the particle swarm
guidance systems, also call for a new look at the acceptance of this technology when it is
applied to fully autonomous, artificially intelligent platforms designed to take human
lives (Epitropakis, 2012). The reason technology like PSO will need to be further
researched is because of the increased efficiency the incorporation of AI will have in
creating human casualties (Epitropakis, 2012). Autonomous technology is posited to
create variables previously not considered or regulated (Arkin, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012).
Extant research shows that advanced AIASGT, such as UAVs that utilize PSO or
similar technology, will expand because of the efficiency, effectiveness, and increased
reliability (Geis, 2011). Mackey (2013) research concerned the current and envisioned
utilization of autonomous technology by the military and the findings were parallel with
the findings of Geis (2011) and Epitropakis (2012). The utilization of autonomous
technology for the military is a top priority (Geis, 2011; Epitropakis, 2012). Geis
authored the Blue Horizons research study for which the purpose will be to determine the
capabilities of advanced autonomous technology in which the Air Force would need to
51
invest to maintain its dominant air, space, and cyberspace capability in the year 2030.
Geis noted that specific recommendations from his research were to focus scarce research
dollars into future-system concepts and critical technology areas.
The expanded use of AIASGT is the primary goal of the USAF (Geis, 2011).
Adaptable and flexible advanced AIASGT could provide time-domain operational
advantages over adversaries, who are limited to human planning and decision making
(Geis, 2011). Similar research from Mackey (2013) and Singer (2013) indicated the
military’s use of advanced autonomous technology, which were designed to mitigate or
eliminate the human element out of the planning, preparation, and execution of an act,
will be utilized.
Research of advanced autonomous technology showed that the consideration of
such technologies originally surrounded the need for a machine to have the ability of
independent action, which is especially useful for mundane or routine activities,
particularly in terms of economic advantages in commercial applications (Geis, 2011;
Singer, 2013). The consideration of how advanced autonomous technologies are used
would change how technology would be accepted, especially when the major
advancements are covertly developed by the military (Arkin, 2011; Singer, 2013). Arkin
further accentuated the necessity of implementing an ethical control and reasoning
system into advanced autonomous technology. Ethical controls would have to be suitable
for constraining lethal actions in an AI powered robotic machines so that they fall within
the bounds prescribed by the laws of war and rules of engagement (Arkin, 2011).
Current research has not considered the permutations inherent in AI platforms that
are a reality in today’s battle space (Epitropakis, 2012; Singer, 2013). Epitropakis (2012)
52
identified the major breakthroughs and advancements of autonomous technologies are
designed to specifically terminate human lives on the battlefield. The postulation in
regards to the acceptance of technology specifically designed for battlefield applications
that autonomously make life or death decisions is the main theme of this study. A
recalcitrant resistant nature of military personnel to provide information when questioned
about their employment of autonomous technology against a human target has been
recognized (Singer, 2013). In correlation with Singer’s (2013) findings, Arkin (2011)
and Geis (2011) stated that the world will be fast approaching autonomous systems as a
predominant means of persecuting war, which is exacerbated by the recalcitrant resistant
nature of military commanders to provide information. In the event that the systems are
circumvented, the reality is that these very systems could be utilized against the
governments that employ them (Epitropakis, 2012; Singer, 2013).
There are many more complexities associated with the utilization of autonomous
technology for civilian applications, such as drug enforcement (Mackey, 2013).
Mackey’s (2013) research findings showed the utilization of autonomous technology is
far less restrictive when used on the battlefield. When systems are adapted for peaceful
commercial applications, the sophistication of the associated technologies will transcend
into even more deadly applications for the military, which are in correlation with
published research findings (Arkin, 2011; Mackey, 2013).
Technology is moving rapidly and causing unexpected changes; clandestine cyber
wars are a current reality and will accelerate as technology advances (Brock, 2010).
When autonomous technology is employed on the battlefield, it is vulnerable to cyber-
attacks (Brock, 2010; Geis, 2011). There is the need to embed safeguards against cyber-
53
attacks in machines that use autonomous technology because all major advancements in it
is due to microchip technology (Brock, 2010; Geis, 2011).
Researchers, such as Brock (2010), observed that Moore’s law in respect to the
subsequent miniaturization of the microchip may be obsolete due to the reality that
miniaturization will reach its apex. The apex of miniaturization is limited by the laws of
physics as they are currently understood. Advancements in technology, particularly
regarding AI that uses a microchip, will benefit with increased functionality giving
unknown capabilities to everything that uses advanced chipsets (Brock, 2010). In the
past, ethical controls and considerations had to be incorporated into the machine at the
time of development to be effective (Arkin, 2011). The uncertainties of the capabilities
of micro technology identified by Brock indicates that the ethical constraints identified by
Arkin (2011) and Epitropakis (2012) should be incorporated into autonomous machines.
The military continues to be a major developer and procurer of information
systems, yet very limited research has been done to determine the factors that influence
technology acceptance by military personnel (Levy & Green, 2010). Mackey (2013),
Arkin (2011), and Geis (2011) identified the military as the major developer of
information systems, including autonomous technology.
AIASGT and Autonomous Technologies
Major development of autonomous technology has been primarily by the military
and the use of TAM and its current relevance has been researched and considered as the
benchmark criterion when evaluating the acceptance of military technology (Ghazizadeh
et al., 2011). Original thoughts concerning acceptance of technology is parsimonious and
includes perceived usefulness, which has consistently been used to explain more variance
54
in technology acceptance than other variables (Ghazizadeh et al., 2011). Another
contribution to the acceptance of autonomous technology will be when Lee (2009)
expounded on the theory of planned behavior, perceived risk, and perceived benefit to
understand the acceptance of technology, such as AI (Holden & Karsh, 2010).
The development of technology and its insertion into how the medical industry
accepts new technology is developed with the principles incorporated in autonomous
technology (Ghazizadeh et al., 2011). The acceptance of autonomous technology has
been used to measure consumer acceptance of health informatics technologies, such as
m-health, e-health, and telemedicine research (Or et al., 2011). Consideration of
autonomous technology for the evaluation of the overall acceptance of technology is used
when postulating the benefits of medical technology and there is a push for the
application of AI in more consumer health informatics studies (Keselman, Logan, Smith,
Leroy, & Zeng-Treitler, 2010).
Ethical Considerations and Autonomous Technology
The ethical concerns inherent to the use of autonomous technology are directly
related to the necessary safety measures and controls that can or cannot be incorporated
into the design of AI deployed by the military along with the overall public acceptance of
the technology. The major advancements in the development of autonomous technology
have been achieved primarily by the military (Geis, 2011) and user perceptions of
AIASGT may correlate to literature to advance knowledge on the use and acceptance of
such technologies. There are ethical considerations necessary before the decision is made
to deploy military centric autonomous technology (Arkin, 2011). However, there are
55
moral dilemmas associated with autonomous technology that are designed to take human
lives (Arkin, 2011).
The problem concerning the ethics associated with the programming that is
imbedded in the technology as well as the ability of the technology to differentiate the
moral or ethical differences of any action is a problem that has been identified as needing
clarification (Geis; 2011). However, the needed technology that will embed ethics into
AI is not currently available (Arkin, 2011). The field of “roboethics” is a relatively new
academic concept, and will be described at a 2004 conference of philosophers,
sociologists, and scientists in Italy as being a machine that has the ability to both think
and act like a rational human possesses AI whether it is physically anthropomorphized or
not, and this necessitates ethical discussion about the treatment of these devices, for they
may possess cognitive (if not conscious) capacity beyond that of a simple machine
(Howlader, 2011, p. G:5). Arkin (2011) noted that the lack of technology that governs
ethical boundaries will not allow the needed ethical constraints to be imbedded into a
machine that is driven by AI. Imbedded ethical constraining technology will be a
consideration when evaluating the overall acceptance of autonomous technology used by
the military.
Howlader (2011) noted, “to create machines that can make their own choices, be
aware of their existence, and at the same time subordinate that free will to the benefit of
humanity is frankly unethical” (p. G:5). The dichotomy described by Howlader suggests
that ethics in relation to how AIASGT operate is a challenge. The U.S. Navy’s Office of
Naval Research produced a report on military robot ethics, which envisages a fast-
approaching era where robots are smart enough to make battlefield decisions that will
56
preserve human life (Epitropakis, 2012). Eventually, robots will come to display
significant cognitive advantages over homo sapien soldiers (Epitropakis, 2012).
There is a rush to the finish line that seems to be taken by the U.S. military in
production and fielding of AIASGT, especially with weapons, in the fields before other
countries (Lewis, 2013). Lewis (2013) noted that this rush may create challenges that
were not considered during the development and implementation of autonomous
technology. Furthermore, the deployment of AIASGT may create other problems that
could have never been anticipated. Because of budget reductions, all governmental
agencies are cash strapped and may be forced to cut corners (Lewis, 2013). Cost
mitigation is an ethical consideration when it forces engineers to field equipment that will
be not tested 100% (Arkin, 2011). Geis (2011) noted that military commander’s attitudes
were that as long as the equipment works, problems can be fixed as they are found. “we
put it into combat without knowing everything about it. But the Air Force needed to get
the Reaper capability into the field,” said Col. Chris Chambliss, the 432nd Wind and Air
Expeditionary Wing commander at Creech Air Base, Nevada (Geis, 2011, p. 8)
Ethical concerns are further exacerbated when admittedly; the developers of
autonomous technology noted that with all engineering challenges, there will be glitches
in the hardware or software (Drew, 2013). There have been configuration mishaps along
with equipment being fielded that is barely operable. The poor condition of the
equipment has been noted as a cause of damages to UAVs, properties, and civilian’s
lives. “The context will be to do just the absolute minimum needed to sustain the fight
now, and accept the risks, while making fixes as you go along,” said Colonel Mathewson
of the USAF said (Drew, 2013, p. 12). Robots are now being used for more than
57
surveillance to help troops on the ground. They are being used for more than providing
instant imagery back to the operators as these semiautonomous robots have now been
promoted to being used as “true hunter-killer” robots (Drew, 2013). This brings the
spectrum of using robots in warfare into a completely different realm of ethical issues.
The software development that makes AIASGT possible is a complex
undertaking. In software engineering, there are millions of lines of a programming code
that are written by a group of programmers. In the software development cycle, there
were many who created the base code for autonomous technology enabled machines,
producing ambiguity when attempting to track a single developer (Epitropakis, 2012). In
the software development environment, there is no one person who will know the
outcome of the entire program. Ethical concern can be generated because of the fact that
the possibility of faulty or malicious code could make its way into AIASGT software.
This faulty or malicious code could allow hostile or unauthorized access of the AI system
(Lewis, 2013). There is a misconception that autonomous technology will do only as
they are commanded or programmed, which has proven to be a serious problem
(Debusmann, 2009).
Under many of the autonomous technology guidelines designed to protect humans
from harm, the (potential) moral agency of autonomous technology is often ignored or
contradicted (Howlader, 2011). An AIASGT fully moral agent would be at least partially
self-aware, have some sense of self-preservation, and therefore should be able to save
itself from harm for any given circumstance. Under the current guidelines, self-
preservation on the part of autonomous technology is often subsumed within a duty to
protect humanity (Howlader, 2011). The motivation for self-preservation would compel
58
AIASGT to protect itself from harm. The ethical concern would be if the mechanisms
that will allow AIASGT to protect itself may cause harm to a human being. There are
multiple ethical considerations when it comes to AIASGT defending itself. Some ethical
questions that derive from AI defending itself against a human would be if the type of
action could be ethically (and/or legally) justifiable, or permissible, and what conditions
generate and sustain such ethical attitudes (Howlader, 2011).
Howlader (2011) asked if an autonomous technology machine could be
considered to have ethical or legal attributes and be held accountable for moral actions, or
if ethics are pre-programmed. The latter case would seem to indicate that AIASGT
cannot be fully moral agents. A fundamental problem with treating AIASGT, in human
forms or not as mere machines, arises from the nature of AI. AI has been described as
forms of nonorganic cognitive systems that can both think rationally and humanly as well
as act rationally and humanly (Howlander, 2011).
While in general, a human remains in the loop for decision making regarding the
deployment of lethal force, the trend is clear that targeting and engagement decisions are
being moved forward onto these machines as the science of autonomy progresses (Arkin,
2011). The dangers of abuse of unmanned robotic systems in war, such as the Predator
and Reaper, are well documented, which occurs even when a human operator is directly
in charge (Adams, 2010). With the advancements in autonomous technology, targeting
decisions will become increasingly autonomous with the intention of the military planner
of having them become fully autonomous (Mackey, 2013). Full autonomy is the goal for
military planners because of factors, such as the ever increasing tempo of the battlefield.
Military planners also found that inherently, AI machines limit casualties and offer
59
economy of resources by reducing the need for human personnel (Geis, 2011). These
achievements allow the Air Force to do more with less and to project air power with
increased efficiency (Geis, 2011).
A well delineated research hypothesis will be written that indicated the
autonomous systems could ultimately operate more humanely than human warfighters are
able (Arkin, 2011). As part of the research to test this thesis funded by the Army
Research Office, an ethical architecture for an autonomous system will be developed with
the intent to enforce the principles derived from the laws of war, thus having the goal of
enhancing noncombatant safety and survivability (Arkin, 2011). The author Both a
deontological (rights-based) perspective will be encoded within the laws of war (e.g., the
Geneva Conventions) and a utilitarian (consequentialist) perspective (e.g., for the
calculation of proportionality relative to military necessity as derived from the principle
of double effect) were considered (Arkin, 2011).
While the ethical architectural design is believed generalizable to other non-lethal
domains, such as personal robotics, nonetheless, there is the current implementation in
the context of military operations (Arkin, 2011). This implementation is a constraint
satisfaction problem for military obligations with inviolable constraints for ethical
prohibitions. Proportionality determination, the use of an appropriate level of force on a
specific target given military necessity, can be conducted by running, if needed, an
optimization procedure after permission is received over the space of possible responses
(from none, to weapon selection, firing pattern, aiming; Arkin, 2011). The
proportionality determination strives to minimize collateral damage when given
appropriate target discrimination certainty in a utilitarian manner, while the ethical
60
governor ensures that the fundamental deontological rights of civilian lives and property
are respected according to international conventions (Adams, 2010). If the potential
target remains below the certainty threshold and is thus ineligible for engagement, the
robotic system could invoke specific behavioral tactics to increase the certainty of
discrimination instead of “shooting first and asking questions later” (Arkin, 2011). See
Figure 1 for a depiction of this architectural process.
Figure 1. High Level Schematic of the Ethical Hybrid-Deliberative Reactive
Architecture. Adapted from R. Arkin, 2011, IEEE Society on Social Implications of
Technology, 30, p. 12.
AIASGT Moral, Ethical Adaptation, and Data Collection Integrity
In order for autonomous technology to display true ethical behavior, emotional
content has to be engineered into the programming (Haidt, 2010). Haidt (2010) provided
a list of parameters in what he described as a taxonomy of moral emotions that are
necessary to achieve true ethical constraints. The emotional content necessary to achieve
61
these goals is characterized as other-condemning (contempt, anger, disgust), self-
consciousness (shame, embarrassment, guilt), other-suffering (compassion), and other-
praising (gratitude, elevation). The concept of guilt has to be present whenever there is a
violation of ethics. Guilt has been noted as a critical motivator of ethical or moral
behavior. Guilt is usually caused by the violation of moral rules and regulations,
particularly if those violations caused harm or suffering to others (Haidt, 2010).
Guilt should only result from unintentional effects of the AI agent, but
nonetheless, its presence should alter the future behavior of the system so as to eliminate
or at least minimize the likelihood of recurrence of the actions that induced this affective
state (Arkin, 2011). Guilt is characterized by its specificity to a particular act and
involves the recognition that one’s actions are bad, but not that the agent itself is bad
(which instead involves the emotion of shame; Arkin, 2011). The value of guilt is that it
offers opportunities to improve one’s actions in the future (Haidt, 2010).
Various Developed Branches of Artificial Intelligence
Logistical AI has been accepted as a program that knows about the world in
general and the facts of the specific situation in which it must act, and its goals are all
represented by sentences of some mathematical logical language (McCarthy, 2012). The
program decides what to do by inferring that certain actions are appropriate for achieving
its goals. Pattern recognition has been incorporated into artificially intelligent
algorithms. AI programs often examine large numbers of possibilities, for example,
moves in a chess game or inferences by a theorem proving program and discoveries are
continually made about how to do this more efficiently in various domains. When a
program makes observations of some kind, it is often programmed to compare what it
62
sees with a pattern. An example that McCarthy (2012) gave to understand this is from a
vision program that may try to match a pattern of eyes and a nose in a scene in order to
find a face. The more complex patterns, like those found in a natural language text, a
chess position, or the history of some event are also studied. These more complex
patterns require quite different methods than do the simple patterns that have been
studied the most. The representations were facts about the world that are to be
represented in some way; usually languages of mathematical logic are used for
representation (McCarthy, 2012).
Inference AI is a technique utilized in developing AI, some from facts and others
can be inferred (McCarthy, 2012). Mathematical logical deduction is adequate for some
purposes, but new methods of non-monotonic inference have been used to logic since the
1970s. The simplest kind of on-monotonic reasoning is default reasoning in which a
conclusion is to be inferred by default, but the conclusion can be withdrawn if there is
evidence to the contrary. For example, when one hears a bird, the inference may be that
it can fly, but this conclusion can be reversed when one hears that it is a penguin. It is the
possibility that a conclusion may have to be withdrawn that constitutes the non-
monotonic character of the reasoning. Ordinary logical reasoning is monotonic in that
the set of conclusions that can the drawn from a set of premises is a monotonic increasing
function of the premises. However, circumscription is another form of non-monotonic
reasoning (McCarthy, 2012).
Common sense knowledge and reasoning is a foundation and strong basis for AI
development and is the area in which AI is farthest from the human-level, in spite of the
fact that it has been an active research area since the 1950s (McCarthy, 2012). There has
63
been considerable progress in terms of developing systems of non-monotonic reasoning
and theories of action, yet more new ideas are needed (McCarthy, 2012).
Learning from experience is one of the most important advances in the maturation
of AI (McCarthy, 2012). McCarthy (2012) suggested that artificially intelligent
programs can actually learn from experience as the approaches to AI are based on
connectionism and neural nets that specialize in learning. There is also learning of laws
expressed in logic; programs can only learn what facts or behaviors their formalisms can
represent, and unfortunately, learning systems are almost all based on very limited
abilities to represent information (McCarthy, 2012).
Planning is an aspect of AI that is considered a benchmark of its development
(McCarthy, 2012). Planning programs start with general facts about the world (especially
facts about the effects of actions), facts about the particular situation, and a statement of a
goal. From these, a strategy is generated for achieving the goal. In the most common
cases, the strategy is just a sequence of actions (McCarthy, 2012).
Epistemology is a study of the kinds of knowledge that are required for solving
problems in the world and is utilized in the development of AI (McCarthy, 2012).
Similar to epistemology, ontology is the study of the kinds of things that exist instead of
the kinds of knowledge. In AI, the programs and sentences deal with various kinds of
objects, and a study is conducted of what these kinds are and what their basic properties
are (McCarthy, 2012). Heuristics is experienced based technology for discovery, problem
solving, and learning that has been assimilated into AI development (McCarthy, 2012).
Heuristics is a way of trying to discover something or an idea imbedded in a program.
Heuristic functions are used in some approaches to search to measure how far a node in a
64
search tree seems to be from a goal. Heuristic leads to the need to compare two nodes in
a search tree to see if one is better than the other (i.e., constitutes an advance toward the
goal, and may be useful; McCarthy, 2012). Genetic programming is an algorithm based
machine learning methodology that emulates biological evolution (McCarthy, 2012).
McCarthy (2012) noted that genetic programming is a technique for getting programs to
solve a task by mating random list programs and selecting the fittest in millions of
generations.
Applications of Artificially Intelligent Technology
Game playing is identified as one of the most well-known applications that utilize
artificially intelligent technology (McCarthy, 2012). The development of the gaming
industry allowed developers to produce super sophisticated algorithms designed to
challenge the human mind. Machines that can play master level chess contain some AI in
them, but operate well against people mainly through brute force computation—looking
at hundreds of thousands of positions. However, for the program to beat a world
champion by brute force, known reliable heuristics require being able to look at 200
million positions per second. In the case of game playing, AI can run many algorithms
that rival the human mind’s capacity. The goal of the developers is to challenge the mind
in a gaming scenario. This quest could lead the developer to create a machine that could
out think a human (McCarthy, 2012).
The development of speech recognition technology is a major advancement in the
maturation of AI (McCarthy, 2012). Since speech is the primary means of
communication between people, scientists have worked on maturing the technology for
practical usage. There are many reasons that speech recognition technology has received
65
so much attention. The maturation of the technology can be traced to simple curiosity
about the mechanisms that are necessary to produce artificial human speech-like
capabilities in machines. The technology can be connected to the human desire to create
a machine that will automate tasks that require human interactions. Early in the
development of the computer, it will be clear that the man-machine interface could be
bridged quickly if the computer keyboard will be eliminated. Speech recognition by
machines will expedite the man-machine interface allowing for more efficient
transactions. Research in the field of automatic speech recognition is a major aspect of
the development of AI (McCarthy, 2012).
There were major advances in the development of speech recognition technology
in the 1990s (McCarthy, 2012). Computer speech recognition reached a practical level
for limited purposes such that United Airlines replaced its keyboard tree for flight
information by a system using speech recognition of flight numbers and city names.
While it is possible to instruct some computers using speech, most users have gone back
to the keyboard and the mouse due to it being more convenient. The challenges
associated with the development of a machine that can function and interact like a human
is still maturing. At present, human accomplishments are only at the beginning of this
new and rapidly maturing technology, but scientists predict that in the near future, the
sophistication of the machines that utilize this technology will rival that of a human.
Speech recognition technology is synonymous with AI and the acceptance of a
technology that can outthink a human is something that will require continuous research
that is parallel with its development. This parallel research could afford humanity the
66
opportunity to put in safeguards to eliminate or control there obsolescence (McCarthy,
2012).
Computer vision will be a major component of the use AI that will need to be
developed further (McCarthy, 2012). The world is composed of three-dimensional
objects, but the inputs to the human eye and computers’ TV cameras are two
dimensional. While some useful programs can work solely in two dimensions, full
computer vision requires partial three-dimensional information that is not just a set of
two-dimensional views. At present, there are only limited ways of representing three-
dimensional information directly, and they are not as good as what humans evidently use.
Today’s autonomous platforms are programmed to follow a predefined trajectory and this
methodology is only sufficient when the platform is operating in a fixed or predetermined
environment. A fixed or predetermined environment will have objects in known or
predetermined locations. In a semi-autonomous environment, there will be a human in
the loop that will make any needed alterations of the platforms trajectory (McCarthy,
2012).
Artificial vision is essential for fully autonomous platforms, especially when
machines must make decisions independent of human intervention (Howlander, 2011).
Artificial vision has to evolve to the point that the AI that is part of the system can
differentiate between objects observed. The technology will have to evolve to the point
the system can recognize all known objects. This is especially critical when these
systems are employed with platforms that are designed to seek and terminate a human life
(Arkin, 2011).
67
Fully autonomous systems capable of making independent decisions are being
utilized on the modern battlefield (Epitropakis, 2012). The need to consider the impact
that AI will have on humanity when used to take human lives needs to be theorized
(Epitropakis, 2012). Because of the covert utilization of AI by the military, a postulation
can be made that the topic has not been fully socialized. The development of AIASGT
should be considered in light of the component of ethical and societal acceptance.
The acceptance of fully autonomous technology capable of taking a human life
has not been fully vetted in the development of AIASGT. Autonomous platforms and
their ever expanding capabilities to make independent decisions will have immeasurable
impact on the way technology is used and accepted. The consideration of autonomous
self-governance will expand the original opinions of technological acceptance and
propagate theory to test the permutations that the future plethora of AI will have on the
acceptance of technology
Up to date, many researchers utilize new variables based on the acceptance of
technology (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker,
2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012). Lee (2009) united the then current
criteria associated with the acceptance of technology and the theory of planned behavior,
perceived risk, and perceived benefit to understand the adoption of AIASGT in banking.
AIASGT Software Development
The continued development of autonomous technology would depend on
incremental advancements in both hardware and software development (Cook, 2013).
Any autonomous technology developed for Future Combat Systems (FCS) would be a
System of Systems (SOS) with a complex architecture and set of responsibilities
68
(Mackey, 2013). Software is the nucleus of autonomous technology and this software
will be in manned and unmanned platform systems, networked software, stand-alone
training systems, and interface with many complementary programs and other external
systems (Geis, 2011). AIASGT FCS platform systems (which are also known as prime
items) include the Manned Ground Vehicle (MGV) platforms, Unmanned Ground
Vehicle (UGV) platforms, Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS) and Unmanned Air
Vehicles (UAV) (Mackey, 2013).
One major concern about the software developed for autonomous technology is
that it is becoming increasingly sophisticated and vulnerable to the insertion of malicious
logic (Singer, 2013). System and subcontractor developers of AIASGT are responsible
for developing the manned and unmanned platforms, integrating their software
components into the platform, integrating networked software and platform unique
software, integrating Buyer Furnished Equipment (BFE) systems into their platform, and
for incrementally testing platform functions for errors and disconnects with BFE systems
and components. Prime item specifications specify capabilities and performance
requirements of the platform (which reference BFE systems and components), interface
requirements for the BFE systems and components, and verification requirements for the
platform including some integrated verification of the total AIASGT integrated platform.
Critics of AI software development identify vulnerabilities of AI software noting that
some components of the software cycle are developed between many companies’
(Mackey, 2013). This distributed development can allow the possibility of malicious
logic insertion into AI software (Arkin, 2011). The prime item specifications are
decomposed to specifications for platform software components, platform hardware
69
components, and a set of requirements for the AIASGT Distributed Software System
(DSS).
The AIASGT networked software consists of software components which will be
installed in all platforms and will be networked together to achieve a network centric
SOS. These components include Battle Command (BC), Intelligence, Surveillance, and
Reconnaissance (ISR), Network Management System (NMS), Training Common
Components (TCM), and logistics components. These components will be built upon the
AIASGT Systems of Systems Common Operating Environment (SOSCOE). The
collective set of networked software requirements include functional and performance
requirements, requirements to interface with the platforms, and verification requirements
including some AIASGT SOS integrated verification.
Any AIASGT software development will implement products for Modeling and
Simulation (M&S) (Geis, 2011). The requirements, selection and schedule for
implementing M&S assets will be driven by the needs of Spiral Outs, Experiments, and
core program Integrated Phases. This M&S framework is designed to achieve the
objective of implementing and maintaining a credible autonomous technology equipped
UA SOS representation that enables execution of concurrent development of systems
engineering and software requirements; production and/or acquisition of software and
hardware products; execution of a broad range of test, experimentation, analysis, training,
and operational applications; and definition and assessment of products to be
incrementally spun out to current forces (Arkin, 2011).
The AIASGT Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligent,
Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) Segment Team is responsible for developing
70
the common software infrastructure, Battle Command, ISR, and Network Management
System software and for integrating that software into the C4ISR software package (Geis,
2011). The C4ISR team is responsible for integrating the C4ISR software and the rest of
the networked systems software into a networked software package. The AIASGT
networked software package will have the capabilities and capacities to support the
interoperability of different platform variants into one integrated, networked software
system. The C4ISR segment team will integrate the various C4ISR installations at the
FCS SOS level, and incrementally test the integrated variants to find errors and
disconnect with respect to C4ISR functions across the set of variants and in a SOS
operationally relevant set of platforms (Mackey, 2013).
AIASGT Systems of Systems Common Operating Environment (SOSCOE)
The SOSCOE concept will be developed in conjunction with the legacy US
Army’s FCS program. All autonomous technology will utilize some form of SOSCOE
which allows subsystem standardizes component-to-component communications between
software applications, computers, vehicles, virtual private networks, and communications
within the Global Information Grid (GIG), to enable interoperability with legacy, joint,
coalition, government, and non-government organizations (Geis, 2011). AIASGT
subsystem provides the capacity to process, synthesize, and transform enormous amounts
of information from multiple disparate sources and provides fault tolerance that maintains
information integrity in an unpredictable network environment. SOSCOE will isolate
applications from the underlying operation system to allow portability as operating
systems and platforms change. The SOSCOE subsystem provides the integration
framework for the Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence,
71
Surveillance and Reconnaissance (C4ISR) System. In turn, the C4ISR System is the
framework for integrating the overall Future Combat Systems (FCS) SOS. As such, the
SOSCOE subsystem is key to ensure integrated SOS functionality and performance. The
SOSCOE subsystem provides a stable framework for the FCS evolutionary-based
application development process, facilitating block upgrades over time.
FCS systems will be configured by integrating new and reusable hardware and
software components that are implemented by different suppliers. The SOSCOE is
configurable so that any specific instantiation only needs to incorporate the SOSCOE
components that are needed for the specific mission and capabilities for which the
instantiation is
AIASGT Test and Evaluation
AIASGT will have to be thoroughly tested and evaluated in order to build
confidence in system reliability before it is set loose to perform its intended function
(Arkin, 2011). All AIASGT development would have to follow a Software Test
Procedure that will be delineated in the Software Test Description (STD) which specifies
the delta qualification test preparations and procedures (Elgabalawi, 2012). In the case of
the US Army, the AIASGT Battle Command System (BCS) Computer Software
Configuration Item will be originally designed for the FCS program. The STD is
developed in accordance with the Software Test Plan (STP), Software Development Plan
(SDP) in accordance with a Software Test Description Standard (STDDS) (Elgabalawi,
2012).
AIASGT that are utilized by the military will be incorporated into what is known
as the BCS (Elgabalawi, 2012). The BCS is defined as a suite of IT and software
72
packages that will enhance the operational capability of the Modular Brigade Combat
Team (MBCT) by increasing its situational understanding and lethality. AIASGT will
enable units to better see first, understand first, act first and finish decisively. AIASGT
will be deployed in commander-type current force vehicles and Tactical Operations
Centers (TOC) from the Brigade down through the Battalion to the Company level. The
operator will interact with AIASGT using a Future Combat System (FCS) like generated
Graphical User Interface (GUI). AIASGT will be placed in all future Intelligent
Munitions Systems (IMS) and Unattended Ground Sensors (UGS) under development by
the US Army. AIASGT devices will be deployed as platoon and company assets to
gather situational awareness of particular areas of interest, and as a limited persistent
means of engagement with scalable effects (Mackey, 2013).
AIASGT Software Integration and Test (SWIT)
SWIT software integration activity that systematically exercises integrated
software items for the purpose of error finding and risk reduction for later testing. It
occurs at several levels including Computer Software Configuration Item (CSCI)
integration, integration of CSCIs within a platform, integration of CSCIs which are part
of a networked system and integration with complementary software systems. AIASGT
software qualification test activity that verifies that the software item performs to its
allocated requirements in the target computing system or an equivalent system. AIASGT
has to follow known software developmental life cycles. In following the best practices
of software development, the target computer within which the AIASGT software will
run, is usually located in an engineering Development Unit (EDU). If an EDU is not
73
available, what is known as the brass board (a Commercial Off-The–Shelf [COTS] item),
which closely emulates the EDU, is usually an acceptable substitute.
The processes comprising the AIASGT applications (components) along with key
system software processes are usually allocated amongst the Integrated Computer System
(ICS) processors. For military applications, AIASGT software includes Command and
Control (C2), Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR), Network
Management Systems (NMS), or System of Systems Common Operating Environment
(SOSCOE). The incorporation of AIASGT will expand as the technology maturates. All
current AIASGT software components communicate with each other using a SOSCOE
environment as a foundation of autonomy. AIASGT will assist in what is known as
Command Mission Execution (BCME), which enables the operators (commanders, staff
and other users at all levels) to collaborate on decision-making, policy, report and order
generation and control of tactical and support resources. AIASGT will focus on the
commander’s interface, control of friendly battlefield elements, and the production of
orders autonomously. AIASGT will have to develop Situation Understanding (SU).
AIASGT SU supports the knowledge of objects within the battlespace environment. It
calculates the area of coverage for things like the Intelligent Munitions System (IMS) and
Unattended Ground Sensor (UGS) fields, updates the Battle Space Objects (BSOs) based
on priority and warfighter input, and forwards the BSOs, field locations and engagement
status alerts to current systems like the Force XXI Battle Command Brigade and Below
(FBCB2).
AIASGT used by the military use what is universally known as the Warfighter
Machine Interface Services (WMIS) or what is known as simply the interface. AIASGT
74
will incorporate Sensor Data Management (SDM). AIASGT will collect and disseminate
sensor data, status, and performance information from other AIASGT devices such as the
UGS and IMS fields and provides this information to consuming applications. Any
software / computer based system including those with AIASGT will incorporate some
form of Network Management System (NMS). A NMS is responsible for the
management of the FCS wireless and wired networks within an integrated network
management framework. It provides network planning, configuration management, and
performance management. These services provide Internet Protocol (IP)
Advertisementress planning for the network architecture, manual planning inputs for IP
and spectrum. They also provide planning, configuring, and monitoring platform status
of the network elements, including ICS router, and surrogate Soldier Radio Waveform
(SRW).
AIASGT components are built atop the System of Systems Common Operating
Environment (SOSCOE). AIASGT SOSCOE services provide a stable, well defined
interface between domain application software and the underlying operating system,
networks, and processors in a network-centric environment. AIASGT SOSCOE provides
a significant amount of infrastructure functionality, which has been rolled up into a high
level set of service families including administrative services, Task Integration Network
(TIN) services, and communication services. AIASGT automates data store services,
information assurance services, interoperability services, software support services.
AIASGT SWIT Integration
AIASGT software integration strategy focuses on production of an overall general
plan for each Integration Phase (IP) or release. When software is developed for any
75
application including AIASGT development, the integration test threads and cases run for
a software release, are intended to demonstrate software soundness and to reduce the cost
and schedule risk associated with determining this soundness during later subsystem and
system tests. This is especially important by the nature of full autonomy in any system.
AIASGT software simulations will be used to support build integration and system test
activities. Execution of AIASGT software integration is fundamentally different from
verification testing. The nature of any AIASGT software integration is to focus on error-
finding, informal control of the testing, flexible procedure sketches and a rapid
mechanism for incorporation of important fixes to the software. It is important to have
firm engineering level configuration control of the software article being integrated and
other laboratory hardware and software so that problems can be associated with the
correct software versions. It is important to capture and fully document problems
encountered so that fixes can be developed. Equally important is to capture and
document input and operational sequences to support characterization and corrective
action. Software Problem Reports (SPR) will be generated by the engineer who
determines the error in the AIASGT software. These reports will list all submitted
Software Problem Reports, which will then be reviewed to evaluate the reliability of the
AIASGT software.
AIASGT Software Defect Documentation, Correction and Reintegration
During any software integration process, defects found in a software end item will
require that the software defect be documented and corrected. An AIASGT software
defect that is unique to a specific supplier test environment and does not impact other
suppliers’ software will be documented and resolved in accordance with the procedures
76
of that particular supplier and in compliance with the AIASGT Software Configuration
Management Plan (SCMP). If an AIASGT software defect is found that is present in a
delivered software end item or will not be resolved prior to delivery of the software end
item, that defect must be documented, tracked, and assessed by the Software
Configuration Control Board (SCCB) for the organization that is receiving that software,
also in compliance with the SCMP.
The ability for any AIASGT to function is dependent on the software that gives
AI its autonomous capability. Software development, test and integration are the essence
of AIASGT technology. The governance and the quality of the software that empowers
AIASGT will follow software engineering best practices. When an AIASGT software
anomaly is discovered, a Software Problem Report (SPR) will be initiated as described in
the SCMP. A SPR may be an indication of the reliability of AIASGT and is an indication
of the quality of the software. In software engineering, the AIASGT SPR is then
determined to be valid by the submitter’s lead or manager. If the software product that
the SPR should be assigned to is unclear, the lead/manager can determine that the SPR
needs to go to the SCCB for review and disposition. If the AIASGT software anomaly is
determined to be out of scope of this SCCB, it needs to be transferred to the appropriate
SCCB for assignment. If the AIASGT software anomaly impacts hardware, if will be
forwarded to the Configuration Control Board (CCB) for disposition. Once the
appropriate integration group has been assigned the SPR, they will evaluate the AIASGT
software anomaly to determine if an error exists and what changes will be needed to fix
it. The detailed analysis will be recorded on the SPR.
77
Analysis of the AIASGT software anomaly can include impacts to cost, schedule,
technical baseline, computer resource utilization, performance, supportability and
impacts to other software baselines. This is critical for the development of AIASGT
software. During the software engineering process, the SCCB reviews each AIASGT
software anomaly to determine if a change should be implemented in a software product
or in procedures. If the SCCB that is developing the software approves the AIASGT
software anomaly fix for implementation, it will determine the software version/block in
which it will be implemented. The SCCB also determines applicability of verification
testing for each SPR in order to govern the development of AIASGT. If corrective action
is complete, the result of the test is recorded in the SPR and/or in a test problem report, as
applicable, and the SPR approved for release. Once the fix has been provided, a fix for a
software defect, the verification venue must verify the fix has not adversely impacted
previously working functionality. To accomplish this, the SPR verification venue must
not only test the specific fix but also perform the appropriate level of regression testing.
The AIASGT software anomaly verification venue is responsible for determining the
appropriate test cases that need to be exercised to verify that the implemented software
fix has corrected the defect and for determining the level of regression testing required
that insures previously working functionality has not been impacted. Regression testing
may be required at integration facilities other than the SPR verification venue. This will
be assessed on a case-by-case basis and if not specifically required by the SCCB will be
left to the discretion of those integration facilities. Depending on where the software is in
the integration flow, the software containing the fix can be delivered as an engineering
version or as a final version. The engineering versions of the software can be delivered
78
as a Quick Turn-around (QT), Alpha, or Beta version depending on the nature of the
defect and the need of the other integration facilities. Following software development
best practices, if the software has previously completed a qualification test, the software
must be re-qualified prior to delivery. The level of AIASGT re-qualification can vary
from re-running the complete qualification test to performing a subset of the qualification
test. When evaluating the impact of a AIASGT software anomaly, the SCCB will
consider whether or not re-qualification is required and if so to what extent. After new
software has been delivered with the software defect corrected and verified at the
assigned verification venue, the software would usually proceed through the normal
integration testing flow. If the AIASGT SCCB determines that a software defect is
critical to the completion of a test in a higher-level integration environment such as the
System of Systems Integration Lab (SoSIL) or in Field Test, the normal integration or
qualification testing flow (exclusive of safety testing) may be accelerated. In these cases,
the AIASGT SCCB will determine which integration facilities can be skipped in the
reintegration testing process. The integration facilities that are receiving the software that
has skipped an integration level must agree to accept the risk associated with skipping
intermediate integration test levels. As the Integration and Lab Focal Point Engineers for
a given phase will be key SPR and SCCB players, they will need to be very
knowledgeable of both the content in the FCS Software Problem Report Database Users
Guide and the Software Configuration Management Plan (SCMP) D786-10251-1.
AIASGT and Cyber Security
The governance and protection of the data that AIASGT processes is a paramount
concern for civilian and military planners (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis,
79
1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012). The
national and economic security of the United States depends on the reliable functioning
of critical infrastructure. To strengthen the resilience of this infrastructure, President
Obama issued Executive Order 13636 (EO), “Improving Critical Infrastructure
Cybersecurity” on February 12, 2013. This Executive Order calls for the development of
a voluntary Cybersecurity Framework (“Framework”) that provides a “prioritized,
flexible, repeatable, performance-based, and cost-effective approach” for assisting
organizations responsible for critical infrastructure services to manage cybersecurity risk.
Executive Order 13636 notes that critical infrastructure is defined as systems and assets,
whether physical or virtual, so vital to the United States that the incapacity or destruction
of such systems and assets would have a debilitating impact on security, national
economic security, national public health or safety, or any combination of those matters.
AIASGT used by the military is a system and asset that uses cyberspace for various
functions that the EO delineates a national security concern. Due to the increasing
pressures from external threats, organizations responsible for critical infrastructure need
to have a consistent and iterative approach to identifying, assessing, and managing
cybersecurity risk (EO). AIASGT technology utilizes what is known as five framework
core functions.
The first function of mitigating any AIASGT cybersecurity related threat is
associated with its identification (EO). For the development of AIASGT, the developers
of each system have to manage their cybersecurity risk. The risks to deployed AIASGT
systems are extensive and can cause impact to the collection or dissemination of data.
80
To properly identify the function of cyber security and how it affects AIASGT,
the total development cycle of the AIASGT technology has to ensure that adequate cyber
security is incorporated into the management of the asset to include the business
environment, governance, risk assessment, and overall management strategy (EO). The
activities in the identification of the cyber security risks associated with AIASGT are
foundational for effective implementation of the cyber security framework necessary to
protect AIASGT. Understanding the business context, resources that support critical
functions and the related cybersecurity risks enable an organization to focus its efforts
and resources. Defining a risk management strategy for AIASGT enables risk decisions
consistent with the business needs or the organization. To protect AIASGT, there will be
a need to develop and implement the appropriate safeguards, prioritized through the
organization’s risk management process, to ensure delivery of critical AIASGT
infrastructure services. The protect function of AIASGT cybersecurity includes access
control, awareness, training, data security, information protection processes and
procedures, and protective technology.
The protect activities are performed consistent with the organization’s risk
strategy defined in the identify function. The detection phase will allow AIASGT
developers the ability to develop and implement the appropriate activities to identify the
occurrence of a cybersecurity event. The detect function includes following anomalies
and events, security continuous monitoring, and detection processes. The detect function
enables timely response and the potential to limit or contain the impact of potential cyber
incidents. In the respond phase of AIASGT cybersecurity, the challenge would be to
develop and implement the appropriate activities, prioritized through the organization’s
81
risk management process (including effective planning), to take action regarding a
detected cybersecurity event. AIASGT is autonomous by nature however the foundation
of AIASGT is computer automation. The respond function includes response planning,
analysis, mitigation, and improvements. The respond function is performed consistent
with the business context and risk strategy defined in the Identify function. The activities
in the respond function support the ability to contain the impact of a potential
cybersecurity event.
The AIASGT cybersecurity recover phase will be to develop and implement the
appropriate activities, prioritized through the organization’s risk management process, to
restore the capabilities or critical infrastructure services that were impaired through a
cybersecurity event. The recover function includes recovery planning, improvements,
and communications. The activities performed in the recover function are performed
consistent with the business context and risk strategy defined in the identify function.
The activities in the recover function support timely recovery to normal operations to
reduce the impact from an AIASGT cybersecurity event.
Summary
AIASGT is experiencing the scrutiny and associated political problems with the
employment of semi or fully autonomous systems on the battlefield (Epitropakis, 2012).
The problems are increasing for the United States Government and are in direct
correlation to the effectiveness and the increased popularity and utilization of
autonomous systems on the battlefield (Howlander, 2011). The use of these systems is
expanding primarily because of the inherent mitigation of loss of life of the personnel that
employ these systems along with the increased efficiency and endurance of the systems
82
(Geis, 2011). The argument has been made that the efficiency of these systems
transcends to the reduction of collateral damage against the hostile forces they are
employed against. TAM specifically related to intent to use needs to be further expanded
and tested to delineate the effect of the artificial, intelligent thinking nature of
autonomous platforms specifically employed to take human lives (Singer, 2013).
Autonomous platforms with imbedded AI are the most popular among military
commanders and they are employing these systems as soon as they are available (Geis,
2011). Donley (year) noted the demand for autonomous or semi-autonomous platforms
far exceeds the availability currently in the inventory (Geis, 2011). Geis (2011) also
suggested that the persecution of conflicts has been forever transformed by the use of
UAVs. Futurists have predicted that conflicts will be persecuted primarily by intelligent
self-governing autonomous systems (Sparrow, 2012).
The question of culpability for the destruction that autonomous platforms can bear
upon the enemy is a major topic of debate and research (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011;
Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013,
Sparrow, 2012). Many political and national leaders often debate as to how quickly
military planners gravitate towards the clean hands approach when it comes to the
employment of autonomous systems against human targets (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011;
Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013,
Sparrow, 2012). The lack of direct human involvement and the implications associated
with this detachment compels a need for theological research of artificially intelligent
autonomous systems that make decisions to terminate a human life.
83
Chapter 3: Research Method
The rapid proliferation of autonomous, self-governing platforms and the secret
nature of their employment by the U.S. military have increased pressure to fully quantify
and delineate their capabilities (Singer, 2013). Arkin (2011) and Geis (2011) both noted
that new technologies used by the military have historically made killing more efficient
than the longbow, artillery, armored vehicles, aircraft carriers, or nuclear weapons. The
problem is that autonomous self-governance has not been identified as a technology that
requires comprehensive policies and procedures to mandate compliance within known
and acceptable parameters (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011; Singer 2013). Therefore, the
purpose of this qualitative case study was to explore the perceptions of ex-military
personnel who have administrated artificially intelligent self-governing technology
designed to take human lives and the following research questions were used to guide the
study.
Q1. How do ex-military personnel perceive the usefulness of AIASGT?
Q2. What are the perceptions of ex-military personnel regarding the attitude to
use AIASGT?
The content of this chapter consists of the research method and design
justification, including details regarding the population and sample. The developments of
the survey questions are also discussed. The data collection, processing, and analysis
presented along with the assumptions, limitations, and delimitations as well as the ethical
assurances related to this study. The chapter ends with a summary.
84
Research Method and Design
A qualitative study was appropriate in this type of research as the quantitative
instruments needed to measure the impact of autonomous systems do not yet exist (Yin,
2013). A qualitative case study design was used in order to develop an in-depth depiction
of the participants’ perspectives (Yin, 2013) regarding the acceptance and use of the
AIASGT on the battlefield. This case study consisted of a survey as the main data
collection method as quantitative methods rely on objective questionnaires as the
research instrument (Yin, 2013). A case study offers rich, detailed information on a
particular phenomenon (Stake, 2008). Stake (2008) suggested a holistic approach be
used to answer the questions of how the collaborative system works, and what effect
collaborative communication can have on the franchised relationship.
A case study design was appropriate and chosen because it fits the criteria
described by Yin (2013) as the data from this study were applied to answer why and
when questions along with focusing on a contemporary phenomenon within a real-life on
text. A case study was appropriate when the researcher has little control over events
(Yin, 2013). The goals of a case study are to be exploratory, descriptive, or explanatory
(Yin, 2013). The case study procedures that need to be followed are planning, design,
preparation, collection, analyzation, and sharing stages (Yin, 2013).
A case study is an empirical inquiry used to investigate a contemporary
phenomenon in-depth and within its real-life context, especially when the boundaries
between phenomenon and context are not clearly evident (Yin, 2013). The case study
inquiry allows the researcher to cope with the technically distinctive situation in which
there will be many more variables of interest than data points and benefit from the prior
85
development of theoretical propositions to guide data collection and analysis (Yin, 2013).
This case study involved asking questions to ex-military personnel regarding their
opinion concerning the current and future use of AIASGT for military purposes. This
gave an indication as to the general acceptance of the technology if the civilian
population were given the opportunity to provide an educated opinion on its use.
The opinions of ex-military personnel who have used or are educated about
AIASGT may promote opinions that could dictate that AIASGT be strictly controlled or
banned. Question one was: Have you ever used AIASGT on the battlefield? This
question will help to quantify the degree of involvement an ex-military person had using
AIASGT. Question two was: Have you ever supported a mission that utilized AIASGT
on the battlefield? This question was also used to quantify the much larger pool of
personnel that were part of an operation that utilized AIASGT, but may not have had
direct involvement or development. The responses to these questions as well as others
allowed for the formation of a clear description of the research questions. Employing a
quantitative method or some other qualitative design would not allow answering the
research questions nor be in alignment to the purpose of this study.
Population
The ideal population from which participants were drawn was anyone who will
develop or use AIASGT. Reaching a population so vast would be a challenge so the
population was limited to ex-military personnel who are members of the American
Legion (AL) Post 346 located in Neptune, New Jersey. The AL participants chosen were
a subset of the population that is generalizable to the ideal population of those who
develop or use AIASGT.
86
The AL was chartered by Congress in 1919 as a patriotic veteran’s organization.
Focusing on service to veterans, service members, and communities, the Legion evolved
from a group of war-weary veterans of World War I into one of the most influential
nonprofit groups in the United States (AL history, 2015). Membership swiftly grew to
over 1 million with local posts across the country (AL, 2015). Today, membership stands
at over 2.4 million in 14,000 posts worldwide (AL, 2015). The posts are organized into
55 departments, one in each for the 50 states along with posts in the District of Columbia,
Puerto Rico, France, Mexico, and the Philippines (AL, 2015). Over the years, the Legion
has influenced considerable social change in America, won hundreds of benefits
for veterans and produced many important programs for children and youth (AL, 2015).
Therefore, drawing participants from this well-known and recognized entity allowed for
ample diversity and ensure saturation of data was possible. In terms of characteristics of
the population, the veterans range from pre-computerized technology usage in the
military to those who recently left the service (AL, 2015). Due to the focus of the study,
it was necessary to recruit from a subset of the overall population regarding those with
more recent military experience.
Sample
There is no past research from the user or developer’s perspective concerning the
assimilation of AIASGT by members who have served in the military and are no longer
governed by the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ). The members in this study
could give their opinion freely without concern for permission by the Department of
Defense (DOD) because they were no longer active duty or affiliated with the military.
The case study research plan involved use of a purposeful sample of 10 personnel who
87
have used AIASGT (Guest, Bunce, & Johnson, 2006). Purposeful sampling was used as it
is best suited to construct multi-perspectival, emancipatory, participatory, and
deconstructive interpretations for qualitative data collection (Harsh, 2011), and gather a
purposeful sample from the ex-military personnel from the AL Post 346. Purposeful
sampling from a group that is both knowledgeable and familiar with AIASGT was the best
methodology to employ for this study because this was a specialized case wherein in-depth
understanding was being sought.
The sample size was predominantly a discretionary judgmental choice with the
objective to detect a measureable effect with the approach (Yin, 2013). According to
Guest, Bunce, and Johnson (2006), saturation is possible upon the completion of six
surveys, therefore, a purposeful sample size of 10 participants is considered optimal.
However, it is noted that should saturation not be reached after the completion of 13
surveys, participants would have been recruited until such time saturation was reached.
An invitation to participate in the study was placed on the AL Post 346 website
and monthly paper that included a web-link to the post website that allowed participant
participation in the survey. The AL Post Commander made the announcement to the AL
members requesting participation in the study. The names and participation of the 600
members of the AL Post 346 located in Neptune, New Jersey were requested by both
email and conventional mail invitations. Screening was in the form a questionnaire that
quantified their suitability for the study. The first 10 participants who passed screening
were selected for the study. Suitability was determined if they had been exposed to
AIASGT while in the military. All participants were ex-military who were not governed
by any military protocol because they are civilians and have no secret or official use only
knowledge of any current operational use of AIASGT.
88
Materials/Instruments
The research problem of the acceptance and willingness to use AIASGT was
explored. The instruments (see Appendix D and E) was used to focus on the research
questions that are in direct correlation with the research problem. The questions were
straight forward to mitigate and ambiguities in the interpretation of results. The study
assimilated legacy content contained in non-classified public records. Current peer
reviewed information that already exist provided an outstanding resource and was easily
accessed. Peer reviewed information concerning the current use of AIASGT were
industry accepted as factual and facilitated the comparison of information concerning the
acceptance and use of AIASGT. The use of public records data was easily obtained and
cost effective. This study utilized a web-based questionnaire that delineated the study’s
purpose with the participants.
The instruments (see Appendix D and E) were comprised of questions that were
designed to allow each participant the ability to articulate their position concerning the
acceptance and use of AIASGT. The questions were accessible to all the participants via
email and Google Docs. Yin (2009) noted that an email survey methodology is effective
in mitigating any prejudice that may manifest itself during a face to face survey. Each of
the survey questions was designed to evoke the opinions of the participant’s willingness
to use or accept the use of AIASGT. Surveys of the participants in this case study
consisted of questions designed to gain a perspective of the suitability and overall
knowledge of the participants on the employment or operational aspects of AIASGT used
by the military as well as screening demographic questionnaire (see Appendix C) to
ensure the individual is qualified to participate. The general survey questions were
89
developed based on an extensive review of related literature to quantify the participants
past military involvement with AIASGT as well as garner the perspectives of AIASGT
employment. The survey instrument questionnaires (Appendix D and E) were centered
on the opinions of a military professional concerning the use and acceptance in their
previous role in operating AIASGT. All 15 questions (Appendix D) and 3 open ended
questions (Appendix E) were designed to answer the research questions concerning the
overall use and acceptance of AIASGT.
A field test was utilized in accordance with the validation process described by
Yin (2013), in that the survey questions used in the field test were designed to validate
the research design methodology along with the associated data collection
instrumentation for the actual case study. The process utilized in the field test was in
accordance with Northcentral University’s (NCU) policies, procedures, and subsequent
approval. The field test was conducted with the post commander and the deputy who
were not part of the overall study. The survey questions were validated by the post
commander and the deputy, who were non participants. Changes were made at the
request of the post commander or the deputy during the validation. A field test was
conducted in accordance with the data collection methodology necessary to make a claim
(Yin, 2013). Electronic data collection in the form of questionnaires delivered via
Google Docs was an optimal solution and the methodology used to assemble and process
all data. The AL website hosted a link to the data collection portal. The AL monthly
newspapers were also Advertisement a link to the data collection portal (Appendix F).
There was an announcement to all the members during a membership meeting that
directed participants to the web portal for data collection.
90
All materials including the online informed consent form were presented to the
participants simultaneously for their convenience. The Google Docs website was used
for data collection. Many participants were not expected to participate in the survey at
the time it was distributed because many work a variety of shifts. Again, the web-based
Google Docs distribution proved to be optimal because it allowed participants working
various shifts to complete the survey. Questionnaire responses were analyzed and
categorized for similarities and differences, and coded, leading to emergent themes (Merriam,
2009). The questionnaires were saved on the Google Docs portal set up specifically for this
data collection. There was no need for follow-up or revalidation of the questions because the
questions were validated by the initial field test (Yin, 2013).
Data Collection, Processing, and Analysis
Data collection was conducted through the recording of questionnaire results
utilizing Google Docs, a web-based survey host along with the in-depth analysis of peer
reviewed documents pertinent to and in direct correlation with the study. Data were
collected from the AL members using a survey questionnaire that included questions
focusing on their exposure to AIASGT. Yin (2009) suggested that each of the survey
questions was in direct correlation to one or more of the main research questions. The
study data were derived from the direct questions asked making the process expeditious
for any survey. Each question was asked by the questionnaire to ascertain the
participants’ experiences with AIASGT and their views on the acceptance and
willingness to use the technology. Prospective participants found using the AL
newsletter, website along with the post commander’s endorsement and public
announcement requesting maximum participation. The researcher made contact with the
participant via email when the participant returned the survey questionnaire and informed
91
consent forms. After this is accomplished, the researcher introduced himself via email
and invited the AL member to participate in the study. Only after the AL member agreed
to participate in the study, survey questions returned, forms signed, and secured by the
researcher, did the participant receive the research questions. The e-mail survey structure
served to eliminate any prejudice that the researcher might have shown in a face-to-face
survey (Yin, 2009).
The elimination of statistical analysis allows qualitative researchers to be more
creative in dealing with sampling issues. They do not have to endure the strenuous
randomization process of sampling procedure because the results cannot be generalized
to a bigger population, and only analytical generalization can be conducted where a
particular set of results is generalized to a broader theory (Yin, 2009). Flick (2009)
suggested that the individuals or cases are selected as participants for a qualitative study
not because they represent their population (and therefore, the issue of generalizability)
but owing to their relevance to the research topic. Inevitably, the idea of randomization
outmoded the idea of nonprobability sampling or nonrandom sampling.
The data collected from the responses received during the surveys were compared
to TAM and its five factors (external factors, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use,
intention to use, and attitude to using) using a pattern-matching technique presented to
align the TAM constructs to the responses by the participants. The research data needed
for this study were obtained from information obtained from explanatory content analysis
of archival records and the analysis of questioners. The content analysis helped uncover
cause and effect, identify core consistencies, patterns, and themes (Krippendorff, 2012).
Constructs were used for coding of the data, and analysis of the data was consistent with
92
the approach of relying on theoretical propositions as the first and most preferred strategy
for data analysis (Yin, 2009). Coding was used as an initial step towards more in-depth
analysis, arranging things in a systemic order, and making it part of a system or
classification to categorize (Saldana, 2009). The data was categorized and coded using a
process called open coding (Strauss & Corbin, 2008). Open coding is a process by which
the data is categorized by themes that appear to describe the phenomenon under study
(Strauss and Corbin, 2008). The study results offer developers of AIASGT effective
criterion to judge autonomous capabilities against the willingness to use and accept AI.
This study serves as a foundation to continued research into the necessary constraints
developers of AIASGT have to employ. The research was coded for patterns when
reviewing survey questioners from the participants. All documents were aligned and in
correlation with the study to extrapolate the emerging themes. This case study used a
survey as the main data collection method; quantitative methods rely on objective
questionnaires as their research instrument, which were collected for analysis (Yin,
2009). This study is descriptive in that the goal was to document a phenomenon and the
real life situations from where the phenomena originated (Yin, 2009).
Assumptions
It was assumed that all participants were active AL Post 346 members at the time
the study was conducted and that the participants were operators or developers of
AIASGT. All AL participants signed a consent form. All participants were informed of
the confidential nature that all information will be treated with, and the intentions of the
researcher with regards to the reason and nature of the research study. The participants
were made aware that their participation would be mutually beneficial for all and how
93
important their opinions were concerning the use of AIASGT. Transparency was
achieved by making available, and propagating all results to the participants. Credibility
and ease of any trepidation associated with the participants was achieved by the
researcher being a civilian who also was honorably retired ex-military after 21 years of
service. It was assumed that all participants responded truthfully and accurately to all
survey questions. The only assumed limitation was availability of the participants. There
was no expectation that there would be any abnormalities in any interpretation or
subsequent synthesis of the data.
The expectation was that many participants would not be able to participate in the
survey at the time it was distributed because many work a variety of shifts. It was
assumed that the web-based Google Docs distribution would be optimal because it
allowed participants working various shifts to complete the survey. The anonymous
nature and the inherent security features of the web-based Google Docs data collection
methodology allowed many of the participants the desired anonymity enabling them full
freedom to participate in the study. Questionnaire responses were analyzed and
categorized for similarities and differences, and coded, leading to emergent themes (Merriam,
2009). An email survey methodology is effective in mitigating any prejudice that may
manifest itself during a face-to-face survey (Yin, 2009). This data collection
methodology enabled the participants to take as much time as desired to fully articulate
the acceptance and willingness to use AIASGT.
Limitations
The expectation was that the primary limitation of this qualitative descriptive case
study would be the multiple types of AIASGT and the permutations associated with the
technology associated with its rapid development and insertion into operation. This
94
limited the study to existing or legacy technology. Limitations were that the AL
population would not respond to the request for participants. AL personnel respond best
with a questionnaire data collection methodology rather than face-to-face interviews.
According to Guest, Bunce, and Johnson (2006), saturation is possible upon the
completion of six surveys, therefore, a purposeful sample size of 10 participants is
considered optimal. An alternate plan was that should saturation not been reached after
the completion of 10 surveys, AL participants would be recruited until such time
saturation was reached. Another expected limitation included the problems of inference
which relate to the possibility of drawing acceptance and use of AIASGT due to current
global war or near war events. Current use of AIASGT is highly publicized and may
cause participants to draw conclusions about the use of AIASGT; meanwhile there may
be underlying constructs such as motives, attitudes, or norms regarding that the use of
AIASGT that may obscure rational thought. An expected limitation to the study was the
focus on only ex-military personnel. Many civilian uses of AIASGT have proven to be
gaining acceptance and use and the expectation is that civilian uses of AIASGT will
outpace the military’s utilization of the technology. Yin (2009) noted that the case study
methodology does not measure a phenomenon’s prevalence, but is a valuable method for
better understanding the phenomenon in its totality. A limitation may have been due to
the sample being restricted to ex-military personnel that has experience with AIASGT
and not involving or considering civilian application of the technology. An expected
limitation was due to the survey questionnaire methodology used for data collection. To
mitigate these limitations, adherence to proven methodologies of survey based data
collection implemented. Yin (2009) noted that the e-mail survey could be an
95
advantageous way of data collection. The e-mail survey structure served to eliminate any
prejudice that the researcher might have shown in a face-to-face survey (Yin, 2009).
Data collection was in the form of web-based questionnaires to conduct a systematic
content analysis for emergent themes (Harsh, 2011; Yin, 2013).
Despite these limitations, the expectation was that the strength of the study of
AIASGT would easily be extended to a larger sample population within the civilian
arena, with the same methodological approach. AIASGT will give machines full
autonomy, allowing them to make independent decisions without any human
intervention. No empirical research has been found regarding the impact of what has
been described as technology creep associated with the assimilation of sophisticated
artificial intelligence (AI) into autonomous systems. The focus of this study was upon
the assimilation of AI into self-governing systems that are utilized for the specific
purpose of terminating human lives. The technology acceptance model (TAM) and its
five factors (external factors, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, intention to
use, and attitude to using) were used as the theoretical lens of this study and to establish
the relationship between the findings generated from the data collected and the literature
review.
Delimitations
Delimiters include the study of AL that has experience with AIASGT. Their
experiences with the technology may be perceived differently since reverting to civilian
status. This delimitation allowed the research to concentrate on AL personnel
exclusively. This delimitation allowed the research to concentrate on ex-military
personnel that had experience with AIASGT technology. The delimitation delimited the
96
findings that emerged from the study to the AL personnel that frequent the AL. The
survey collection methodology for data collection including primary and secondary data
selected for this study further delineated the scope of the findings solely towards the
acceptance and willingness to use AIASGT by AL affiliated personnel. The data
collected form AL members narrowed the scope by focusing solely on AL operators of
AIASGT. This delimits the transferability of the findings of the study to AIASGT use
primarily by the military. Subsequent research should replicate this study in other
industries that develop or operate AIASGT.
The expectation was that the utilization of data collection from Google Docs
would allow the convenience and automation of the data collection (survey) process,
however, this methodology adversely impacted the opportunity for the researcher to have
the benefit of first person observation of the participants. The Google Docs data
collection methodology was utilized despite the limitations based on the convenience of
electronic data collection for both the participants and the researcher. Yin (2009)
identified electronic collection of survey documents as advantages by noting that an
email survey methodology is effective in mitigating any prejudice that may manifest
itself during a face to face interview.
Ethical Assurances
In accordance with established procedures, the Northcentral University
Institutional Review Board (IRB) reviewed all of the required documents to verify that
there was no safety or security risks associated with any of the participants at any time
during the data collection process. The researcher complied with the rules established by
the institution as the important cornerstone of ethical principles (Lensink, 2011). AL
97
members were provided complete details about the survey in advance. The members in
this study were able to give their opinion freely without concern for permission by the
Department of Defense or any other governmental entity because they are no longer
active duty, affiliated with, or know of any military operation besides what is publicly
disclosed. The data in the study does not include AL member’s names, ensuring that the
AL member’s personal information and answers to the questionnaires remain
confidential. Full disclosure concerning the purpose of the research given to all of the
AL members and an informed consent form (see Appendix A) was sent to each
participant in advance of the study. Participants were informed that their participation in
the study was voluntary and that they could drop out of the study at any time.
There were no deceptive methodologies used to access information in the study.
Any information concerning this study will be maintained confidentially. AL members
received the contact details of the researcher and had full access during the entire process.
Only after the AL member agreed to participate in the study, survey questions returned,
forms signed, and secured by the researcher did the participant receive the research
questions. All information was submitted to a secure web-based Google Docs data portal
giving flexibility and security the online survey. Results of the survey were provided to
all AL members at no charge and information regarding the administration of the surveys
was available to all AL members.
Summary
An in-depth, qualitative research of ex-military personnel that have had
experience with AIASGT was assimilated. The areas of consideration were based on the
theoretical framework for this study which is the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM;
98
Davis, 1989), which is rooted in the TRA developed by Ajzen and Fishbein (1973). The
Davis (1989) TAM and its five factors (external factors, perceived usefulness, perceived
ease of use, intention to use, and attitude to using) were used as the theoretical lens of this
study and to establish the relationship between the findings generated from the data
collected and the literature review. TAM specifically related to intent to use needs to be
further expanded and tested to delineate the effect of the artificial, intelligent thinking
nature of autonomous platforms specifically employed to take human lives (Singer,
2013). The outcome of this study expands the body of knowledge of the Davis (1989)
TAM and all of the various iterations of it that did not specifically the acceptance of AI.
One outcome of the findings of this research may result in the development of
multinational agreements limiting and controlling the assimilation of AI. The findings of
this study allow constructs, patterns, themes, and determinations that will assist future
planners in considering the possible impact that AIASGT can have if the proper
constraints are not put into place.
Finally, the results of this study can help those that who are responsible for
technology refresh or insertion to question the capability of the AI that is embedded into
the technology they are responsible for. The opinions of ex-military personnel who have
experience with the operation and development of AIASGT had not been consulted
concerning its actual employment. The rapid proliferation of autonomous, self-governing
platforms and the secret nature of their employment by the U.S. military have increased
pressure to fully quantify and delineate their capabilities (Singer, 2013). Questions
concerning the specificity of the constraints implemented by the manufactures of
AIASGT technology can be mitigated by utilizing the results of this study to develop
99
tools to better understand the concerns of researchers and civilian personnel affected by
the development and assimilation of AIASGT. Once AIASGT is inserted into the
society, it may be too late to put the needed safeguards in place.
100
Chapter 4: Findings
The impetus of this qualitative, purposeful case study was to explore the
relationship between TAM and AIASGT. The researcher set out to explore the ways that
the acceptance and use of technology in TAM would permutate with the postulation of
AIASGT. A purposeful case study methodology explored the use and acceptance of
AIASGT by utilizing existing archival data and research participants by conducting a
hard copy questionnaire. This chapter delineates the results of each research question.
Archival and legacy research utilized to validate, solidify and codify the findings.
Demographic data collected from all participants qualifying them prior to the collection
and analysis of the research data. The conclusion of the chapter consists of a summary of
findings obtained from the research questions in correlation to emergent themes and their
overall evaluation.
After receipt of NCU IRB approval on 26June16, the research began with the
recruitment of AL members to become participants in the study. The participants were
all recruited by the AL post website, newsletter, and a public endorsement from the post
commander with the recommendation to participate in the study. Identified participants
selected and the informed consent form was populated and signed. Once the forms
secured, the ability of the participant to access the survey instrument obtained. For
convenience of the participant, an electronic means to conduct the survey proved to be
optimal. All of the survey questionnaires were coded and responses to the research
questions were organized in correlation to the responses. Every participant provided
robust and complete answers to each of the questions. Flick (2009) suggested that the
individuals or cases are selected as participants for a qualitative study not because they
101
represent their population (and therefore, the issue of generalizability) but owing to their
relevance to the research topic.
Yin (2009) suggested that a purposeful case study could be the appropriate design
under several circumstances. Yin (2009) noted that this type of study represents the
critical case in testing a well-formulated theory. The theory probably has some specified
sets of proposition or assumption that are contained in specified circumstances (Yin,
2009). Data was arranged in categories, and placing collected data within categories (Yin,
2009). Data from such study can contribute significantly to knowledge and theory-
building process (Baker & Ishak, 2014). Baker & Ishak (2014) noted that qualitative
researchers can choose to have a case design, when the case represents an extreme or
unique case such as AIASGT.
During data collection, identifying the order of problems by urgency will be
important to identify the issues that need immediate intervention and devise a plan of
action for them before the rest of the issues (Yin, 2009). To employ such a design, the
researcher has to be certain that the phenomenon under study is very rare and the
participant that has the specific characteristics is very few and far in between (Baker &
Ishak, 2014). If other researchers have similar opportunities and can cover some
prevalent phenomenon previously inaccessible to social scientists, such conditions justify
the use of single-case study on the grounds of its revelatory nature (Yin, 2009). A case
study can be the design of choice when it involves revelatory case (Baker & Ishak, 2014).
Interview responses were analyzed and categorized for similarities and
differences, and coded, leading to emergent themes (Merriam, 2009). After an
examination of the textual data the researcher defined an initial set of codes with which to
102
organize the data (Yin, 2009). The research utilized open coding that analyzed the data
and reduced it into identifiable emerging themes. Coding was utilized as the initiating
step towards a robust in-depth analysis, arranging things in a systemic order, and making
it part of a system or classification to categorize (Saldana, 2009). Yin (2009) suggested
that a researcher would manually review the textual data for coding and qualitative
analysis, and this was accomplished. The data coding process identified the emergence
of meaningful patterns among the words or phrases in the textual data that matched the
initial set of codes (Yin, 2009). The author elaborates by noting that coding provided a
formal mechanism for organizing the data. In accordance with Yin (2009), several codes
were created based on emerging themes and patterns that emerged from the interview
data, and data were organized according to the appropriate category (Yin, 2009).
All participants provided demographic data as part of the study. All participants
were associated with the AL Post 346. As part of the data collection process, the
demographic survey was populated along with all informed consent forms. All informed
consent forms were secured before the electronic propagation of the questionnaires. The
survey questions were specifically designed to extrapolate the data necessary for a robust
study sample. Data was obtained by AL Post 346 whose members are located within the
New Jersey area. All of the participants are from the New Jersey area. All participants
were exposed to AIASGT while in or around the military. The average time that a
participant spent in the military and exposed to AIASGT was 4 years, however there
were personnel who participated in the study that have been exposed to AIASGT for over
20 years. All participants exposed to the development of AIASGT utilized for both
military and civilian applications for over 8 years. The question concerning the total
103
exposure to AIASGT by each participant requested by the researcher to determine if there
was an exposure to both civilian and military applications of AIASGT. The difference in
the opinion concerning the use and acceptance of AIASGT was determined as negligible
with minute differences in the responses based on the age of the member. All participants
were ex-military or civilians that were part of or serviced the US Armed Forces. All
members held a college degree. All but one of the participants lived within 5 miles of the
AL facility. The average exposure to AIASGT was 14 years, but there were participant
that had exposure that ranged from eight to twenty years. No participants exposed to
AIASGT for less than eight years. Nine out of ten of the participants were male and there
was one female in the study. All participants were college graduates.
Table 1
Participant Demographic Information (Listed in order of experience)
Results
The chapter reiterates the questions that were created to guide the research of
AIASGT along with the process and methodology is used to gather the necessary
Age Gender Years of College Degree
63 M 20 Y
62 M 20 Y
63 M 18 Y
60 M 15 Y
58 M 15 Y
58 M 15 Y
57 M 10 Y
55 M 10 Y
53 M 10 Y
50 F 8 Y
104
information for comprehensive analysis. The results from this case study will be
delineated and categorized under separate subjects. The chapter concludes with a
summary of the findings extrapolated from the salient points. The study employed a
comprehensive well-delineated survey that contained both demographic along with open-
ended questions used by participants. All documents related to the accomplishment of the
study were retrieved, reviewed, and properly secured. The questions proposed to the
participants were open-ended and easily comprehendible. All of the responses collected
from the participants were meticulously categorized and coded. The data further
categorized into intelligible themes extrapolated from the raw data of the participants.
There were 29 pages of data collected. Each participant produced and average of 2-4
pages of data.
How do ex-military personnel perceive the usefulness of AIASGT? The basis of
the study was encompassed in the first research question and that was how do ex-military
personnel perceive the overall usefulness of AIASGT. The perceived usefulness of
AIASGT by those that have used it was the impetus of the study.
This research question was on how the operator of AIASGT perceived its
usefulness. All participants answered this question unanimously and perceived AIASGT
as useful. One theme that emerged was concerning the mitigation of friendly force or first
responder casualty’s. These findings support Arkins (2011) assessment that the intent of
the military is to assimilate autonomous technology into its war making capabilities in an
auspicious attempt to mitigate friendly force casualties (Arkin, 2011). Mackey (2013)
and Arkin (2011) noted a key goal for military commanders is to mitigate friendly-force
105
casualties by utilizing AIASGT that is fully independent of human interaction. The
perceived usefulness of AIASGT was in direct correlation to its ability to be autonomous.
The survey questions that examined the perceived usefulness were questions 1
through 6. Most of the research participants responded to the survey questions with
simple yes or no answers. There was no distinction given concerning the willingness to
uses AIASGT between civilian or military applications of the technology. Everyone that
participated in the survey answered in the affirmative. The willingness to use AIASGT
was not only supported but also considered essential.
The second survey question was would you willingly use AIASGT in combat?
Like all of the survey questions, this question was designed to give the survey participant
the opportunity to elaborate. Simple yes answers given proving the willingness to use
AIASGT in combat, which was universally supported. Comments from 3 of the
participants noted that their willingness to use was to minimize friendly casualties. The
rapid development and adaptation of technology was considered essential.
Survey question 3 explored if the participant felt that enough transparency and
regulations are in place. The major theme gathered was that there was not enough
transparency and that development of AIASGT is considered compartmentalized. The
dichotomy was that even with the perceived lack of transparency, participants universally
supported the development of AIASGT. Along the lines of transparency, survey question
4 asked do you think that you can ethically use AIASGT? All participants answered in
the affirmative. Participants noted that ethics is considered paramount in western
development and use. In contrast, ethics was considered a low or no priority for foreign
nationals that were developing AIASGT.
106
Survey question 5 asked the participant if they would advocate for the use of
AIASGT for the military. Every participant answered in the affirmative. All participants
expressed their willingness to use AIASGT in combat and universally supported. A
strong theme concerning the willingness to use AIASGT in an effort to minimize friendly
casualties. Rapid development and adaptation of technology considered essential. Survey
question 6 asked were you ever asked on your willingness to use AIASGT? A common
theme was that no opinion was ever requested from any of the participants concerning
their willingness to use or not use AIASGT. AIASGT was part of daily environment and
the willingness to use AIASGT considered simply part of the position.
Table 2
Summary of Survey Themes in Relation to the Research Questions
Survey Question Themes
Q1. Would you willingly use AIASGT? • Willingness to use AIASGT was supported.
• Willingness to use considered essential.
Q2. Would you willingly use AIASGT in
combat? • Willingness to use AIASGT in combat
universally supported.
• Willingness to use to minimize friendly casualties.
• Rapid development and adaptation of technology considered essential.
Q3. Enough transparency and regulations are
in place? • Not enough transparency • Development of AIASGT considered
compartmentalized.
Q4. Do you think that you can ethically use
AIASGT? • Ethics considered paramount in western
development and use.
• Ethics considered a low or no priority to adversaries.
Q5. Would you advocate for the use AIASGT
for the military? • Willingness to use AIASGT in combat
universally supported.
• Willingness to use to minimize friendly casualties.
• Rapid development and adaptation of technology considered essential.
107
Q6. Were you ever asked on your willingness
to use AIASGT? • Willingness to use or not use AIASGT
was never asked.
• AIASGT was part of daily environment. • Willingness to use AIASGT considered
simply part of the position.
What are the perceptions of ex-military personnel regarding the attitude to
use AIASGT? The second research question was the operator’s attitude to the actual use
of AIASGT. Participant’s attitude to the use of AIASGT was unanimous acceptance.
Participants considered development of AIASGT is considered compartmentalized
resulting in inadequate oversight. Participant's responses described their participation in
providing any feedback concerning the assimilation of AIASGT as non-participatory.
Exposure to AIASGT and the associated system upgrades were described as cyclic
technology refresh. The pace of systemic upgrades to the existing AIASGT were only
limited to what was described as budgetary constraints and contractual challenges.
System upgrades along with increased capability of AIASGT were considered mission
essential and a top priority.
The survey questions that examined the attitude to using AIASGT were survey
questions 7 through 12. In all cases, most of the research participants responded to the
survey questions with simple yes or no answers. Themes did arise as the data collection
continued to support a positive attitude to using AIASGT. Survey question 7 asked are
there enough regulations of AIASGT for civilian use? This question was designed to
solicit a response from the participant in delineating the differentiation of military and
civilian use of AIASGT. The data collected noted that participants were indifferent
between the civilian or military use of AIASGT. Participants felt that current regulations
considered adequate. Participant’s comments indicated concerns over the preservation of
existing privacy regulations.
108
Survey question 8 asked is there enough information to accept AIASGT for
civilian use? All participants responded positively. Comments were that there is enough
information that exists with western development of AIASGT. Major themes were
concerns over the development of AIASGT by adversaries. Participants indicated that the
development of AIASGT for civilian use is generally transparent and acceptable. As with
question 8, question 9 asked if there enough transparency and regulations for AIASGT
for civilian use. Again the participants did not distinguish civilian from military use of
AIASGT and there were themes developed that suggested that there was enough
transparency that exists with western development of AIASGT.
Question 10 asked if you would advocate the use of AIASGT for the civilian use.
The use of AIASGT for civilian use was universally accepted. A theme that was present
was for the avocation and acceleration of AIASGT capabilities. The concern was not
concerning the development of AIASGT; it was to accelerate these capabilities.
Participants were concerned that we would fall behind on the development of AIASGT
by being over regulated. Question 11 asked, “Would you advocate strict regulations of
the use of AIASGT?” The themes generated were decidedly against any additional
regulations. Current regulations were considered adequate and robust. Concerns over the
preservation of existing privacy regulations were common. Question 12 was designed to
affirm question 11 which was “are you concerned about regulation of AIASGT?” The
affirmation was decidedly that current regulations were adequate and robust. One theme
that surfaced again were for the preservation of existing privacy regulations.
109
Table 3
Summary of Survey Themes in Relation to the Research Questions
Survey Question Themes
Q7. Are there enough regulations of
AIASGT for civilian use? • Regulations considered adequate
and robust.
• Concerns over the preservation of existing privacy regulations were
common.
Q8. Is there enough information to accept
AIASGT for civilian use? • Enough information exists with
western development of AIASGT.
• Concerns over the development of AIASGT by adversaries.
• The development of AIASGT for civilian use is generally transparent
and acceptable.
Q9. Is there enough transparency and
regulations for AIASGT for civilian use? • Enough transparency exists with
western development of AIASGT.
• The development of AIASGT for civilian use is generally transparent.
Q10. Would you advocate the use of
AIASGT for the civilian use? • Enough information exists with
western development of AIASGT.
• Concerns over the development of AIASGT by adversaries.
• The development of AIASGT for civilian use is generally transparent.
Q11. Would you advocate strict
regulations of the use of AIASGT? • Regulations considered adequate
and robust.
• Concerns over the preservation of existing privacy regulations were
common.
Q12. Are you concerned about regulation
of AIASGT? • Current regulations considered
adequate and robust.
• Concerns over the preservation of existing privacy regulations were
common.
Evaluation of Findings
The evaluation of the findings of this study were provided from the results of the answers
given to the twelve survey questions designed to answer the two research questions that
110
were the impetus of the study. Research of AIASGT showed that the consideration of
such technologies originally surrounded the need for a machine to have the ability of
independent action, which is especially useful for mundane or routine activities,
particularly in terms of economic advantages in commercial applications (Singer, 2013).
Utilizing archival along with participant involvement, the comprehensive analysis of the
research questions are as follows. The research questions were designed to codify the
user’s perspective of acceptance and use of AIASGT. Members that participated in the
study provided delineated and comprehensive responses. All responses to the survey
questions categorized and reviewed. The researcher expropriated themes, perceptions,
and the frequency of exposure to AIASGT. The research questions were designed to
solicit a robust response from the participant’s. The responses provided data concerning
the operator’s perspective on the acceptance and actual use of AIASGT.
The researcher conducted a study with 10 participants. According to Guest,
Bunce, and Johnson (2006), saturation is possible and a purposeful sample size of 10
participants considered optimal. When conducting data analysis, the frequency of similar
answers suggested data saturation was obtained. The results suggested that if further
research were conducted, the results of the continued research would most likely produce
the same or similar results. The researcher observed and recorded salient themes codified
from the careful analysis of the collected data. The impetus of the study was to
determine how the operator of AIASGT perceived the usefulness and the attitude to using
the technology.
The first research question was "How do ex-military personnel perceive the
usefulness of AIASGT?” The data collected to answer the research question was
111
extrapolated from the results of survey questions one threw six. Similar research from
Mackey (2013) and Singer (2013) indicated the use of advanced AIASGT, which were
designed to mitigate or eliminate the human element out of the planning, preparation, and
execution of an act. Further reinforcement of the analysis obtained from the remaining
questions. All survey data collected obtained from the ten participants of the study. The
researcher utilized questions one threw six of the survey instrument to assemble, analyze
and extrapolate salient themes to draw conclusions on the perceived usefulness of
AIASGT by the operator. While the intent of AIASGT is to assist the operator, the
perception of the operators concerning the usefulness was universally accepted. The
governance and protection of the data that autonomous technology processes is a
paramount concern for civilian and military planners (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook,
2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow,
2012). The Davis (1989) TAM and its factor (usefulness) were used to establish the
relationship between the findings generated from the data collected and the literature
review. While the producers and purchasers of AIASGT propagate the capabilities to the
field, the perception of the usefulness by the operators of the technology were rarely
considered. Despite the compartmentalization surrounding the development of AIASGT
and limits the input from the operators of the technology has in its development, the
technology was universally accepted as useful.
The second research question, “What are the perceptions of ex-military personnel
regarding the attitude to use AIASGT?” The data collected to answer the research
question extrapolated from the results of survey questions seven threw twelve. Further
reinforcement of the analysis obtained from the remaining questions. All survey data
112
collected obtained from the ten participants of the study. The researcher used questions
seven threw twelve of the survey instrument to assemble, analyze and extrapolate salient
themes to draw conclusions on the attitude to using AIASGT by the operator. Research of
advanced autonomous technology showed that the consideration of such technologies
originally surrounded the need for a machine to have the ability of independent action,
which is especially useful for mundane or routine activities, particularly in terms of
economic advantages in commercial applications (Geis, 2011; Singer, 2013).
The Davis (1989) TAM and its factor (attitude to using) were used to establish the
relationship between the findings generated from the data collected and the literature
review. Participant’s attitude to the use of AIASGT was unanimously accepted. Themes
emerged that codified the position that participants considered development of AIASGT
as essential. Despite the compartmentalization surrounding the development of AIASGT
and limits the input from the operators of the technology has in its development, the
technology received a positive attitude to use by every participant. Some themes
emerged that reveled trepidation concerning the erosion of privacy rights. Davis’ (1989)
TAM and its five factors (external factors, perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use,
intention to use, and attitude to using) was used as the theoretical lens of this study.
Singer (2013) noted that TAM intent to use needs to be further expanded and tested to
hypothesize the effect of the artificial, intelligent thinking nature of autonomous
platforms specifically employed to take human lives. The outcome of this study will
expand the body of knowledge of the Davis (1989) TAM and all of the various iterations
that did not specify the acceptance or use of AI and the subsequent changes that it would
produce to the model.
113
Summary
The study was designed to answer the research questions concerning the
acceptance and use of AIASGT from the operator’s perspective. In order to ascertain an
answer to the research questions, the testimony, feedback, and associated
recommendations from the actual operators of AIASGT were obtained. The research
concentrated on and extrapolated policy’s that concentrated specifically on the
introduction of AIASGT. The researcher noted the perceptions concerning the use and
acceptance of these capabilities by the operators along with the permutations associated
with AIASGT development. The researcher compared the publicly published policies of
AIASGT insertion, perceptions, and the recommendation of process owners and
operators. The correlation between the developers of AIASGT and the perceptions of the
real world operators of AIASGT is necessary in order to formulate the appropriate
response to a rapidly expanding and permutating technology. The specificity concerning
the effects that AIASGT has on the operator and the correlation between the producers of
AIASGT is needed.
All aspects of AIASGT development needs to be quantified and exposed in order
to adequately regulate, detect, and prevent what is known as technology creep. Currently
the public has little access to the actual use, advancements, or development of AIASGT.
The results contained in Chapter 4 and an evaluation of this study findings were
supported by previous study findings (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis,
1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012), and
autonomous self-governance (Arkin, 2011; Brock, 2010; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013;
Erlebach 2013; Geis 2011; Ghazizadeh et al., 2011; Phalp, 2008; Singer, 2013; Sleeman,
114
2008, Sparrow, 2012; Valavanis, 2007). Questionnaires were obtained from 10
participants from AL Post 346 were analyzed for the study.
The overall common theme was the support of the development and use of
AIASGT. Along with the willingness to use and acceptance of AIASGT, a common
theme that emerged was that no operator of AIASGT was ever consoled on their
willingness to accept the capabilities of AIASGT. Additional themes that emerged were
that operators of AIASGT felt that their opinion concerning the use or acceptance of
AIASGT capable platforms considered insignificant or irrelevant by developers.
115
Chapter 5: Implications, Recommendations, and Conclusions
The purpose of this qualitative study was to assess the willingness to use and
accept AIASGT by operators of the technology. The rapid development and assimilation
of AIASGT have necessitated the need to consult with the real world operators of the
technology. The necessity of acquisition policies of AIASGT that include operator
feedback and its effect on adoption, acceptance, assimilation, and use from the lens of
TAM which is a component of the theoretical perspective for this study. The problem is
the opinions of the personnel who have experience with the operation and development
of AIASGT have not been consulted concerning its actual employment. The purpose of
this study was to analyze the perspectives of experienced operators who can express and
articulate the usefulness of AIASGT and their attitude towards the use of the technology.
The rapid proliferation of autonomous, self-governing platforms and the secret nature of
their employment by the U.S. military have increased pressure to fully quantify and
delineate their capabilities (Singer, 2013). Autonomous self-governance has not been
identified as a technology that requires comprehensive policies and procedures to
mandate compliance within known and acceptable parameters (Arkin, 2011; Geis, 2011;
Singer 2013).
This chapter begins with a brief reiteration of the discussions concerning the
problem and purpose and the methodology used to codify this study. In this chapter I
reiterated the limitations, ethics, and overall challenges necessitated for data collection.
The implications of the findings were delineated to address the implications and impact
of AIASGT. In the final section, the findings are discussed in direct correlation with the
theoretical framework and the research questions. In this chapter, my research
116
expectations were explored and compared to existing literature and data. All questions
that were answered from the responses of survey participants were orchestrated to
extrapolate the necessary data to answer the research questions. All results extrapolated
from the findings of this research address the problem statement which is the impetus of
the study. The findings of this case study contribute to all present literature, and finally
culminate into recommendations for the continued research of AIASGT.
Since perceived usefulness is such a fundamental driver of usage intentions, it is
important to understand the determinants of this construct and how their influence
changes over time with increasing experience using the system (Venkatesh & Davis,
2000). Perceived ease of use, TAM’s other direct determinant of intention, has shown a
less consistent effect on intention across studies (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). A better
understanding of the determinants of perceived usefulness would enable the designing of
organizational interventions that would increase user acceptance and usage of new
systems. Therefore, the goal of the present research is to extend TAM to include key
determinants of TAM’s perceived usefulness and usage intention constructs and to
understand how the effects of these determinants change with increasing user experience
overtime with the target system (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
Current TAM models do not include or consider the impact of AIASGT used for
the military or law enforcement purposes. The integration of AI systems that make
independent human-free decisions into the existing TAM has not been fully considered or
theorized (Arkin, 2011). The assimilation of AIASGT for military applications that will
ultimately take human lives as an aspect of the acceptance of technology would expand
the existing TAM models. The findings presented in this qualitative study utilized the
117
collected participant survey information extrapolated from similar case studies. Well
categorized and delineated information was assembled for the final study. The collected
data was comprised of the survey questions that were presented to the participants along
with the researcher’s observations. The study will be propagated and made available to
researchers to assist in the documentation and creation of knowledge of AIASGT. The
findings will be available to any researcher for transferability and knowledge sharing.
All research documented and meticulously delineated to optimize authenticity and
continuity of data collection. The data were collected from a purposeful sample of 10
personnel who have used AIASGT (Guest, Bunce, & Johnson, 2006). Purposeful
sampling will be used as it is best suited to construct multi-perspectival, emancipatory,
participatory, and deconstructive interpretations for qualitative data collection (Harsh,
2011), and gather a purposeful sample from the personnel associated with the AL Post
346.
Purposeful sampling from a group that is both knowledgeable and familiar with
AIASGT is the best methodology to employ for this study because this will be a specialized
case wherein in-depth understanding is being sought. Surveys are an effective tool that will
allow the researcher to gather all needed data for a study (Yin, 2013). The sample size is
predominantly a discretionary judgmental choice with the objective to detect a
measureable effect with the approach (Yin, 2013). According to Guest, Bunce, and
Johnson (2006), saturation is possible upon the completion of six surveys, therefore, a
purposeful sample size of 10 participants is considered optimal. However, it is noted that
should saturation not be reached after the completion of 10 surveys, participants recruited
and saturation reached. The sample size chosen was optimal to complete the study
allowing the opportunity to expand the sample size during future research. AL Post 346
118
sponsored the study and the researcher does not have any interrelationships or prior
contact with any of the participants of the study. All participants conducted the survey
and submitted the data for collection electronically. The anonymity afforded by
electronic data collection facilitated the ability of the participants to be open, honest and
confident that their privacy be maintained. This chapter delineates related permutations
inherent in the development and deployment of AIASGT. All findings are in direct
correlation with the research literature. All subsequent recommendations derived from
the study will improve future research and use of AIASGT by the transfer of operator
knowledge. Chapter five has presented the implications of the study related to usefulness
and actual utility (use) of AIASGT along with the impact on operators and how this study
relates to previous studies.
Implications
Determining the impact that autonomous systems will have on society has to be a
priority for developers (Sharkey, 2012). After researching acquisition policies, an
understanding of the permutations and rapid development of various types of AIASGT,
an overview of current governmental regulations designed to cope with the phenomenon
emerged. After reviewing relevant documentation, the researcher found that there were
challenges with the development of AIASGT which included social, political, economic,
and overall governance because of the rapid assimilation of AIASGT. The areas of
consideration were based on the theoretical framework for this study which is the
technology acceptance model (TAM; Davis, 1989), which is rooted in the TRA
developed by Ajzen and Fishbein (1973). The intent of the military is to assimilate
autonomous technology into its war making capabilities in an auspicious attempt to
119
mitigate friendly force casualties (Arkin, 2011). Both social influence processes
(subjective norm, voluntariness, and image) and cognitive instrumental processes (job
relevance, output quality, result demonstrability, and perceived ease of use) significantly
influenced user acceptance (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000). These findings were applied to
advance theory and contribute to the foundation for future research aimed at improving
understanding of user adoption behavior (Venkatesh & Davis, 2000).
The researcher for this case study collected data form participants that operated
AIASGT and were able to articulate their positions by delineating clear and concise
answers on the survey. There were challenges experienced during data collection
mitigated by utilizing the survey methodology of data collection. The participants were
willing to answer surveys because of the ease surveys presented. This case study consists
of a survey as the main data collection method as quantitative methods rely on objective
questionnaires as the research instrument (Yin, 2013). A case study offers rich, detailed
information on a particular phenomenon (Stake, 2008). Stake (2008) suggested a holistic
approach be used to answer the questions of how the collaborative system works, and
what effect collaborative communication can have on the relationship. The sample size is
predominantly a discretionary judgmental choice with the objective to detect a
measureable effect with the approach (Yin, 2013). According to Guest, Bunce, and
Johnson (2006), saturation is possible upon the completion of six surveys, therefore, a
purposeful sample size of 10 participants is considered optimal.
A second challenge was that the nature of the data collection process was internet
based and did not yield a large number of connected personnel. This challenge was
mitigated by collecting the required number of participants for the study despite the
120
challenges. Many known limitations with data collection from the participants were not a
factor because of the data collection methodology utilized. All of the data was collected
within days with the added convenience of the use of electronic data collection that
required no direct researcher presence during the process. All research participants were
well educated and were cognizant and comprehensive concerning the requirements and
willingness to participate in the study. There were some nuances of bias amongst the
participants that may be reflected in their unanimous avocation for the use of AIASGT.
All of the participants were encouraged to elaborate on their answers, but most of the
responses were short and precise. This may be because all of the participants who
possessed experience with AIASGT considered their involvement limited by
compartmentalization because of federal and industrial sensitive government civilian
background.
The researcher sought to explore the methods that the participants wanted
AIASGT utilized. With the postulation on the methodologies that AL personnel wanted
to employ AIASGT there may be an opportunity to improve the development and
regulation of the technology. By understanding the user’s perspective of the technology,
there may also be an opportunity for the developers of AIASGT to foster and develop a
better relationship with the users of the technology. With the involvement of the
AIASGT user community, human factors engineers can work closer with the community
and engineer the capabilities and agreed upon limitations into the technology. The
facilitation of collaboration between the developers of AIASGT and the users of the
technology would prove to be advantageous to the rapid development of the technology.
With all factors considered, the lack of participation concerning the development of
121
AIASGT was the most salient point of consternation of the participants. 10 participants
from AL Post 346 participated by answering a survey. All participants were exposed to
AIASGT and the average time that a participant was exposed to AIASGT was 4 years,
and there were personnel who participated in the study that have been exposed to
AIASGT for over 20 years. There were no physical challenges experienced by any of the
participants. All ethical procedures were adhered to with no compromise in
confidentiality. Yin (2013) noted that the case study consists of a survey as the main data
collection method as quantitative methods rely on objective questionnaires as the
research instrument. The data collected from the participant’s answers were in direct
correlation with previous study’s along with a comprehensive review of the literature.
All themes that developed from data collection have identified commonality of
suggestions from amongst the participant’s perspectives. All themes produced by this
study delineated in the literature review as considerations for the permutations inherent in
the continued development of AIASGT. This case study created by the researcher
allowed the exploration of the themes associated from the process owner’s perspective on
the useful ness and willingness to use AIASGT. The study research will expand the
body of knowledge of the Davis (1989) TAM and all of the various iterations of it that
did not specifically the acceptance of AI. TAM specifically related to intent to use needs
to be further expanded and tested to delineate the effect of the artificial, intelligent
thinking nature of autonomous platforms (Singer, 2013). The amount of exposure that
the average participant had with AIASGT was robust and adequately sufficient. The
absence of participatory communication amongst the developers of AIASGT and the
actual operators was a common theme. Interventions, such as user participation, peer
122
support, and management support, will be particularly relevant (Venkatesh & Bala,
2008).
Managers can decide on resource allocation for interventions based on the impact
of interventions on different determinants of IT adoption and type of systems (Venkatesh
& Bala, 2008). First, managers will now have a framework to decide what interventions
to apply during pre- and post-implementation stages and for what types of system, such
as for a complex system, perhaps interventions that will create favorable ease of use
perceptions will be relevant design characteristics, user participation, training, and peer
support; for a voluntary system, interventions that will influence the determinants of
perceived usefulness will be important to implement design characteristics, user
participation, incentive alignment, training, organizational and peer support; and for inter
organizational systems that affect organizational business processes or a customer
relationship management system that is critical to service delivery (Froehle, 2006). For
example, if design characteristics cannot be changed in a system, managers can allocate
more resources to training and user participation to make employees familiar with the
systems (Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). Davis (1989) postulated on what he identified as the
technology acceptance model (TAM) theory, and identified five elements for any
technology to be accepted overall. These five elements are (a) external factors, (b)
perceived usefulness, (c) perceived ease of use, (d) intention to use, and (e) attitude to
using (Davis, 1989). The current iterations of TAM, there are no specific elements that
consider AI, AIASGT, and its effect on the Davis (1989) acceptance model for perceived
usefulness and attitude to using.
123
The first research question was on how the operator of AIASGT perceived its
usefulness. The survey questions used were specifically worded to extrapolate themes
which in this case ultimately supported the research question. The survey questions that
supported research question one are questions one threw six of the survey. Consistent
with the intent of the developers of AIASGT, successful integration and assimilation of
the technology was accepted as beneficial to the recipients (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011;
Cook, 2013; Davis, 1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013,
Sparrow, 2012). Although there was some consternation on who controlled AIASGT, the
participants perceived AIASGT as useful. In correlation with previous studies, the
contention is that there is not enough oversight concerning the development of AIASGT
(Arkin, 2011; Brock, 2010; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Erlebach 2013; Geis 2011;
Ghazizadeh et al., 2011; Phalp, 2008; Singer, 2013; Sleeman, 2008, Sparrow, 2012;
Valavanis, 2007). In a time when the public has shown concern for the deployment of
autonomous systems such as drones, the government has increased its use of these
technologies (Singer, 2013). These findings supported the theme for strict oversight of
the development and use of AIASGT. All respondents were given questions to determine
the saturation with AIASGT by soliciting responses from participants that would quantify
their exposure to AIASGT. Each respondent indicated that they experienced robust
exposure with AIASGT consisting of hands on or developmental involvement of the
technology. The participants indicated a very personal desire to utilize AIASGT. There
was some consternation amongst the participants on how AIASGT is currently developed
and subsequently deployed. The perception of being disconnected between the operator
and the developer of AIASGT was a constant theme. The developers of AIASGT
124
compartmentalize all aspects of the development of AIASGT. The consensus is that this
compartmentalization is to protect industrial security concerning the actual use, location,
and overall capabilities of AIASGT. The developers of AIASGT are under the asepsis
that all aspects of AIASGT have to be secured in this highly competitive environment.
This environment is perceived by the process owners in the field as a deficiency due to
the absence of robust operator feedback in the actual development and use of AIASGT.
Developers of AIASGT are concerned about the protection of intellectual
property causing receptacle feedback challenges between the operators of AIASGT and
its developers. It is the opinion of the operators of AIASGT that the developers monitor
the compartmentalization of every aspect of its development in order to keep positive
control of the technology. This allows for both the securing of industrial intellectual
property and technical advancements from competitors. While operator involvement
with the actual development of AIASGT is one of the best methods of designing the
desired capabilities into the technology, this type of involvement is limited to the ability
to find people with the desired real world field experience. This is exacerbated by the
reality that AIASGT is revolutionary and does not have a history of deployed
performance to adequately postulate the capabilities, constraints or limitations that would
be best practices to engineer into the technology. Operators noted that in the field that
there have been configuration mishaps along with equipment being fielded that is barely
operable. The poor condition of the equipment has been noted as a cause of damage to
AIASGT, properties, and civilian’s lives. “The context will be to do just the absolute
minimum needed to sustain the fight now, and accept the risks, while making fixes as you
go along,” said Colonel Mathewson of the USAF said (Drew, 2013, p. 12). These real
125
world operating conditions further disconnect and subsequent discontentment of the
operators of AIASGT in the field from the feedback loop to the acquisitions community.
Ethical concerns are further exacerbated when admittedly; the developers noted
that with all engineering challenges, there will be glitches in the hardware or software
(Drew, 2013). AIASGT are now being used for more than Intelligence, Reconnaissance,
or Surveillance (ISR) and is being developed and rapidly assimilated providing
revolutionary capabilities to the operators. The usefulness of AIASGT as with any
technology is dependent upon its accessibility and usefulness to the operator. AIASGT
utility accepted as a valuable asset by all respondents. The concerns on how AIASGT is
deployed were a constant theme that has to be mitigated for the perception of usefulness
of TAM to be a considerable factor.
The usefulness of the software that allows AIASGT to operate autonomously is
the foundation to its capabilities. The software development that makes AIASGT possible
is a complex undertaking.
Figure 2. Software Development Life Cycle
126
In software engineering, there are millions of lines of a programming code that
are written by a group of programmers. In the software development cycle, there were
many who created the base code for AIASGT enabled machines, producing ambiguity
when attempting to track a single developer (Epitropakis, 2012). In the software
development environment, there is no one person who will know the outcome of the
entire program.
Ethical concerns can be generated because of the fact that the possibility of faulty
or malicious code could make its way into AIASGT software. This faulty or malicious
code could allow hostile or unauthorized access of the AIASGT system (Lewis, 2013).
There is a misconception that AIASGT will do only as they are commanded or
programmed, which has proven to be a serious problem (Debusmann, 2009). The
importance of software development, its security, and the ability to eliminate malicious
code that can compromise its security is paramount (Drew, 2013).
The second research question was based on the operators’ attitude to use
AIASGT. The survey questions used were specifically worded to extrapolate themes,
which in this case ultimately supported the research question. The survey questions that
supported research question two are questions seven threw twelve. In correlation with the
findings of question ones determination of the usefulness, the developers of AIASGT and
the willingness to use, successful integration, and assimilation of the technology were
accepted as beneficial to the recipients (Arkin, 2011; Clarke, 2011; Cook, 2013; Davis,
1989; Geis, 2011; Kroeker, 2011; Mackey, 2013; Singer, 2013, Sparrow, 2012). The
findings were in direct correlation with the researcher’s expectations that the operator’s
attitude to using AIASGT was positively and universally accepted by all participants.
127
Since the development of AIASGT is highly compartmentalized, the participants
assimilated the equipment and the use of AIASGT as simply part of the duty position.
As in the first research question, there was some consternation on who controlled
AIASGT. In correlation with previous studies, the contention is that there is not enough
oversight concerning the development of AIASGT. A common theme was that all
participants considered development of AIASGT essential and highly
compartmentalized. The hands on operators of AIASGT described their participation in
providing any feedback concerning the assimilation of AIASGT as non-participatory.
Participants have a different opinion because of their experience and chance to reflect
upon the current and continued use of AIASGT. Although there was the lack of operator
input to developers, or regulatory constraints, all the participants’ attitude concerning the
utilization of AIASGT was universally accepted and positive. The Davis (1989) TAM is
not specific to the development of autonomous self-governing technology; however,
Venkatesh and Davis (2000) noted that TAM2 focused on a number of related criteria
that determine technology acceptance. There are no current models that specify the
consideration of AIASGT. The consideration of the changes that AIASGT will have on
the overall acceptance of technology would expand TAM , specifically the attitude to
using. The self-governance and ability of technology to make independent, artificially
intelligent decisions could affect the way technology is accepted.
Recommendations
The overall design of this study fit in well with the purpose of this research which
was to postulate the methods of determining the acceptance and use of AIASGT. The
128
problem is the opinions of AL personnel who have experience with the operation and
development of AIASGT have not been consulted concerning its actual employment.
The purpose of this qualitative case study is to explore the perceptions of AL members
who have developed or used some form of artificially intelligent self-governing
technology designed to take human lives. The findings were a synthesis of primary and
secondary resources. Based on the study’s objective of determining the acceptance and
use of AIASGT, the following recommendations are in direct correlation and congruent
with the findings.
The results and recommendations of this study may be used for the development
of AIASGT. The results of this study can be utilized for scholarly and practical
applications and as a foundation for subsequent research. This study was significant in a
multitude of ways. The primary contribution is to understand the user’s perspective of
utilizing the specific capabilities of AIASGT, and its acceptance and use by the operator.
The research of AIASGT contributed to all present literature on TAM. The findings of
this study may be utilized to further the relationship on autonomous capabilities and the
willingness to use AIASGT for both military and civilian applications. Firstly, the
findings of this study also contributed to the literature on the acceptance of AIASGT for
all applications to include both military and civilian applications. Secondly, every aspect
of AIASGT and how it would permutate the willingness to use and the perceived
usefulness of the technology can be added to collective collaboration with both the
developer and user communities. Thirdly, the findings of the study can positively
influence the future development and subsequent assimilation of AIASGT. The
developers of AIASGT may benefit from collaborative communion between the user and
129
developer communities. The developers of AIASGT may find that by utilizing some of
the recommendations from the findings that development of AIASGT will be influenced
positively with recommended ethical controls ever present.
This study contributed to the TAM theory framework that was the impetus of the
study. The postulation of the willingness to use and the perceived usefulness of AIASGT
and how it correlates into the present TAM was the basis of the study. This relationship
and the fostering of these relationships are the greatest concern and the foundation of the
user-developer communities. The problem concerning the ethics associated with the
programming that is imbedded in the technology as well as the ability of the technology
to differentiate the moral or ethical differences of any action is a problem that has been
identified as needing clarification (Geis; 2011). However, the needed technology that
will embed ethics into AI is not currently available (Arkin, 2011). By focusing on how
AIASGT was perceived by a controlled group from the AL, the researcher was able to
extrapolate form the data collected a well delineated and eclectic of the operators
experience with AIASGT and the interaction with developers.
This dissertation focused primarily on the actual hands on operator’s perception
of the usefulness and willingness to use AIASGT. The limited time associated with data
collection exacerbated by the infrequency of meetings at the AL, created few challenges
for the researcher. While the impetus of the study was to delineate the response data
from the participants, the researcher had a desire to reach out to the developers of
AIASGT in an attempt to foster the need for closer collaboration between both the user
and developer communities. This collaborative environment can manifest itself into
future research responses from all sides (user, regulatory and developer) optimizing
130
future development of AIASGT. By recording, delineating, and collaborating between
all communities, the analysis of feedback data could create effective and alternative ways
for the future development of AIASGT.
This study utilized theory such as TAM as a way to explain the relationship
between the user operator and the developer of AIASGT. Subsequent research could
utilize the theoretical base of this study intricately into the developmental relationship
between the industry developers of AIASGT and the operators along with additional
considerations considering the inevitable assimilation and maturation of AIASGT.
Original thoughts concerning acceptance of technology is parsimonious and includes
perceived usefulness, which has consistently been used to explain more variance in
technology acceptance than other variables (Ghazizadeh et al., 2011). Operators of
AIASGT as a norm will postulate that all aspects well thought out in reference to its
development. Another contribution to the acceptance of autonomous technology will be
when Lee (2009) expounded on the theory of planned behavior, perceived risk, and
perceived benefit to understand the acceptance of technology, such as autonomous
technology (Holden & Karsh, 2010). The users of AIASGT are concerned by ethical
controls. Howlader (2011) asked if an AIASGT machine could be considered to have
ethical or legal attributes and be held accountable for moral actions, or if ethics are pre-
programmed. Consternation concerning the assimilation and maturation of AIASGT
were control centric.
Subsequent research could incorporate one or more themes generated from the
data extrapolated from participants. The themes collected identified the desire for close
collaboration between the user and developer communities of AIASGT. This
131
collaboration could yield radical permutations in the current theory and assist in its future
development. The findings will assist future researchers in finding additional ways of
categorizing, developing, controlling, and optimizing the maturation of AIASGT. Based
on the study’s objective on determining the opinions of AL operators of the usefulness
and willingness to use AIASGT and the positive effect on its future development sparked
by collaboration, the additional recommendations are for consideration:
Conduct additional qualitative and quantitative analysis of collaborative
environments between the user, regulatory, and developer communities of AIASGT. Yin
(2009) noted that while the data collected by the researcher is valid, the only way to
establish reliability is to have the study replicated many times over. To compare the
themes observed by the researcher and to codify the validity of the findings, a subsequent
and similar study utilizing participants from another industry saturated with AIASGT
may be orchestrated for this purpose. The question of whether other operators of
AIASGT have similar elation or trepidation for the use may be explored with various
developers internationally.
Another approach to consider for the formulation of a qualitative study could be
to quantify the necessity for collaboration between the developers and the user
communities who operate AIASGT. One of the challenges of this study was that the
population selected for participation in the study was affiliated with the military in the
past; who are now civilians. If the researcher was able to find participants from multiple
industries and varying experiences, the expectation would be that robust data could have
been optimized for collection. The researcher would have been able to ensure that all
aspects of the current use and development of AIASGT were considered.
132
Additional challenges exist within the AIASGT user communities. The addition
of additional studies that would complement this effort, such as an AIASGT regulatory
commission’s effort, could create a model for the successful development of AIASGT. A
robust plethora of qualitative and quantitative analysis between AIASGT developers and
users other than the AL would assist in its maturation and acceptance. While the data
reviewed by the researcher is valid, the only way to stablish reliability is to have the
study replicated many times over (Yin, 2009). A different AIASGT community can be a
viable option to collect data from. Another approach to a similar study could be to
determine what degree of participation between the user community and the developers is
a factor for the future development of AIASGT. An additional approach to the
quantification on the degree that collaboration between the user and developer has on the
overall development of AIASGT.
The consideration of additional theories used to explain the use and acceptance of
AIASGT can be utilized to formulate a similar study. By utilizing a variation of the
accepted theoretical base that is used to delineate the current development of AIASGT,
various perspectives can be represented. This research can optimize the successful
development and assimilation of AIASGT internationally. Given that IT is becoming
increasingly complex and pertinent to employees’ decision making and work processes,
this research has implications for broad IT-enabled organizational decision making (e.g.,
collaborative forecasting, inventory management, replenishment, service delivery;
Venkatesh & Bala, 2008). A future study could be based on the developer and user
collaboration with regard to the effectiveness of the effort. All participants mentioned the
desire to collaborate and influence the development of AIASGT. The desire for
133
transparency and the ability to influence the development of AIASGT was the
overwhelming theme extrapolated from the data. A detailed study on the involvement of
the user community and collaboration of the developers of AIASGT may assist in the
contribution to the literature of the use and usefulness of AIASGT and provide a method
of positively influencing its technological maturation and assimilation.
A greater comprehension was obtained as to the satisfaction experienced and the
effectiveness on the collaboration between the user and developer communities. The
result of the research has shown that there is a positive correlation between the successful
use and perceived usefulness of AIASGT based on the degree of collaboration.
Trepidation concerning the introduction of AIASGT can be mitigated with the robust
involvement between impartial users and the developers. One method that will optimize
collaboration between the developer and user communities is to create effective
regulations and oversight of AIASGT development. Subsequent research could be used to
determine if the current development methodologies are affected by the feedback of the
user communities. If both the developer and user communities have the ability to
influence the development of AIASGT, then the developers will be satisfied with the
acceptance of the technology. The users of the technology will be similarly satisfied
allowing for the acceptance of the technology. This collaborative successful outcome
will aid in its acceptance, propagation increasing use and sales.
Future research could benchmark industry best practices ensuring that
communication between regulators, users, and developers are facilitating collaboration.
The themes and data collected from the various entities may produce additional
information as to whether collaboration between the user and developer has an influence
134
on perceived use of AIASGT. If the development of AIASGT can obtain transparency
and the perceived use and usefulness of AIASGT can be collaboratively developed, any
perceived challenges can be effectively mitigated. One challenge that the researcher
experienced was the lack of the preservation of human capital involved in the current
development of AIASGT. There were no participants in the study that were involved in
the operation of AIASGT that had any involvement in its development.
Past studies have explored the theoretical framework for this study which is the
Technology Acceptance Model (TAM; Davis, 1989), which is rooted in the theory of
reasoned action (TRA) developed by Ajzen and Fishbein (1973). Davis (1989)
postulated on what he identified as the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), and
identified five elements for any technology to be accepted overall. The emphasis of this
study was to study perceived usefulness and attitude to using AIASGT. Original
thoughts concerning acceptance of technology is parsimonious and includes perceived
usefulness, which has consistently been used to explain more variance in technology
acceptance than other variables (Ghazizadeh et al., 2011). The respondents to the study
were in correlation to accepting all aspects of AIASGT. All expressed a high degree of
confidence that AIASGT is currently regulated and assimilated into the user
communities. The positive responses from the participants expressed confidence in the
current efforts of development and maturation of AIASGT. All respondents expressed
optimism and value added associated with the expanding use of AIASGT. The
respondents were disappointed, confused, and frustrated that the developers of AIASGT
would miss the opportunity of collecting valuable data from the user community. The
desire to collaborate and have influence with the decision making process for the
135
development of AIASGT was evident. A transparent collaborative, reciprocal
environment would mitigate any trepidation associated with AIASGT.
Further research is needed on organizations that have regulatory control over
AIASGT. The findings may assist developers collaborate with users to increase the
perceived usefulness and the willingness to use AIASGT. Respondents believe that
developers of AIASGT are utilizing industry best practices. What would happen if the
developers of AIASGT were to use the operators of the technology more effectively?
The notion that operators of AIASGT considered their input to its development beneficial
may affect the acceptance and pace of technology assimilation than initially thought.
Additional research may determine if the findings of the current research is a singularity
or a reoccurrence amongst operators of AIASGT.
Conclusion
Davis (1989) postulated on what he identified as the Technology Acceptance
Model (TAM), and identified elements for any technology to be accepted overall. The
problem is that when inserting the element of AIASGT into TAM, the permutations that
AIASGT causes will possibly alter all of the known factors identified and accepted as
being governed by the current TAM. In particular, AIASGT will probably alter the intent
to use as well as the attitude of using in unpredictable ways. The intent to use will
possibly be permutated by the unknown variables introduced by the self-governing
properties of AIASGT. The main finding was that there is a deficiency in collaboration
between the users and developers of AIASGT. AIASGT is given to the operator as a
finished working technology often without operator input. The operator of AIASGT has
136
to believe in the technology for them to perceive the usefulness and have a positive
attitude to using AIASGT.
It is in the best interest of the developers of AIASGT to incorporate the feedback
from the operators. This along with accurate projections and controls of the propagation
of AIASGT will help to maturate the technology and mitigate any trepidation related to
its rapid assimilation amongst the user community. The use of autonomous systems is on
the rise, especially with law enforcement and for agricultural applications (Singer, 2013).
There is a deprivation of collaboration between the developers of AIASGT and the user
community. The underlying motivations of the community’s may not be totally
understood or proportional to the degree necessitated to properly influence the
development of AIASGT. Robust collaboration between the user and developmental
communities will be beneficial to every aspect of future AIASGT development. Current
regulations of AIASGT are incorporating collaboration between stakeholders to
formulate comprehensive policies. The rationale of current rules and policies rapidly
permutate in correlation with the maturation of AIASGT. The current theory’s and
subsequent policies that govern TAM are not in pace with the maturation and
assimilation of AIASGT.
The current governorship of AIASGT has been described as not clearly defined
and subject to confusion. Because of the pace of AIASGT development, it is a challenge
to observe the impact of AIASGT. Current measures of monitoring, regulation, and
control are imperfect and may lead to imperfect conclusions. What is described as stove
pipe solutions to AIASGT are increasing because developers are concentrating their
efforts on advancing and proliferation of technology. These efforts directly correlate to
137
the advancement of the technology, and profit margins by the proliferation of the
capability. Without effective regulation of AIASGT, conflict may exist between the user
and developer communities. Past research has proposed that TAM be expanded in a
multitude of ways. The main reason for this is that the original TAM had to be updated
to keep in correlation with the capabilities of technological advancements. A multitude
of factors are present in a dynamic user developer collaborative environment. As
examined threw this study of AIASGT, there are dynamic factors that can positively
impact the development and maturation of AIASGT. Collaboration between all decision
makers can mitigate ambiguity in the regulations necessary to develop AIASGT and
positively impact its development.
Including the perspectives of the user communities of AIASGT exposed multiple
additional factors of consideration that can impact its development. This will enable all
stakeholders with additional information that will assist in their evaluation, development,
and regulation of AIASGT. The themes that emerged from the participants can serve to
shape higher level theory directly impacting the regulation and maturation of AIASGT.
Subsequent future research should include other stakeholder groups, specifically
communities that operate AIASGT not affiliated with the AL.
138
References
Adams, J. (2010). US defends unmanned drone attacks after harsh UN Report. Christian
Science Monitor. Retrieved from http://www.csmonitor.com/
Arkin, R. (2011). Governing lethal behavior: Embedding ethics in a hybrid
deliberative/reactive robot architecture. IEEE Society on Social Implications of
Technology, 30(4), 7-11. doi:10.1109/MTS.2011.943307
Asimov, I. (1986). Robot dreams. New York, NY: Ace Books.
Bagozzi, R. (2011). Measurement and meaning in information systems and
organizational research: Methodological and philosophical foundations. MIS
Quarterly, 35(2), 261-292. Retrieved from http://www.misq.org/
Baxter, P. (2008). Qualitative case study methodology: Study design and
implementation for novice researchers. The Qualitative Report, 13 (4), 544-559.
Retrieved from http://www.nova.edu/ssss/QR/QR13-4/baxter.pdf
Botvich, D. (2010). BiRSM: bio-inspired resource self-management for all IP-networks.
Network, IEEE, 24(4), 20-25. doi:10.1109/MENT.2010.5464223
Brock, D. (2010). The uncertain future of Moore’s law. Journal of Chemical Education,
84(8), 1278. doi:10.1021/ED084p1278
Beaudry, A., & Pinsonneault, A. (2005). Understanding user responses to information
technology: A coping model of user adaptation. MIS Quarterly, 29, 493–525.
Retrieved from http://www.misq.org/
Carter, A. (2012). Autonomy in weapon systems. Department of defense directive
3000.09. Retrieved from https://www.fcsace.com/Windchill/servlet/
WindchillAuthGW/ wt.enterprise.URLProcessor/URLTemplateAction?
action=ObjProps&oid =VR%3 Acom.boeing.ids.doc.
FCSProgramDocument%3A57918465&u8=1
Clarke, J. (2011). Identification and control. International Journal of Modeling,
12(3), 208-209. doi:10.1504/IJMIC.2011.039699
Cook, D. (2013). Ambient intelligence: Technologies, applications, and opportunities.
Journal Elsevier, 6(2), 277-298. doi:10.1016/j.pmcj.2013.04.001
Corbin, J., & Strauss, A. (2008). Basics of qualitative research: Techniques and procedures for developing grounded theory (3rd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Crispin, B. (2008). What killed the robot soldier? Retrieved from
http://www.strangehorizons.com/2008/20081110/crispin-a.shtml
139
Darley, W. (2005). Clausewitz’s theory of war and information operations. Retrieved
from http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/awcgate/jfq/4015.pdf
Davies, S. (2013). It’s war but not as we know it. Engineering and Technology, 4(9), 40-
43. doi:10.1049/et.2013.0907
Davis, F. (1989). Perceived usefulness, perceived ease of use, and user acceptance of
information technology. MIS Quarterly, 13(3), 319-340. Retrieved from
http://www.misq.org/
Debusmann, B. (2009, April). Killer robots and a revolution in warfare. Retrieved from
http://www.reuters.com/article/2009/04/22/idUSLM674603
Desjarlais, O. F. (2008). UAS – Unseen, unheard, unstoppable. Airman Magazine,
September/October 2008, 4-11. Retrieved from http://airman.dodlive.mil/
Desjarlais, O. F. (2008). UAS – Unseen, unheard, unstoppable. Airman Magazine,
September/October 2008, 4-11. Retrieved from http://airman.dodlive.mil/
Drew, C. (2013, March 17). Drones are weapons of choice in fighting Al Qaeda.
Retrieved from http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/17/business/17uav.html?
sq=drones&st=cse&scp=1&pagewanted=all
Donley, M. (2010, May). Technology horizons: A vision for Air Force science &
technology. Retrieved from http://www.af.mil/shared/media/document/
AFD-101130-062.pdf
Elgabalawi, N. (2012). Software integration and test. Retrieved from
https://www.fcsace .com/Windchill/servlet/WindchillAuthGW/
wt.content.ContentHttp/viewContent/3762448.doc?u8&HttpOperationItem=wt.co
ntent.ApplicationData%3A8905455&ContentHolder=wt.doc.WTDocument%3A8
905452
Ellul, J. (1962, Autumn). The technical order, technology and culture. Proceedings of the
Encyclopedia Britannica Conference on the Technological Order, 3, 394-421.
Retrieved from: http://ellul.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Elluls-1962 -
Article1.pdf
Flick, U. (2009). An introduction to qualitative research: Fourth edition. London: Sage.
Froehle, C. (2006). Service personnel, technology, and their interaction in influencing
customer satisfaction. Decision Sciences, 37, 5–38. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/
j.1540-5414.2006.00108.x
140
Gattone, S. (2011). Adaptive cluster sampling with a data driven stopping rule.
Statistical Methods & Applications, 20(1), 1-21. doi:10.1007/s10260-010-0149-5
Geis, J. (2011). Blue horizons study assesses future capabilities and technologies for the
United States air force. Interfaces, 41(4), 342. doi:10.1287/inte.1110.0556
Gorenc, S. (2006, April). Air Force committed to unmanned vehicles. Retrieved from
http://www.af.mil/news/story.asp?storyID=123018987
Guest, G., Bunce, A., & Johnson, L. (2006). How many surveys are enough? An
experiment with data saturation and variability. Field Methods, 18(1), 59-82.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1525822X05279903
Haidt, J. (2003). The moral emotions. In R. Davidson, K. R. Sherer, & H. H. Goldsmith
(Eds.), Handbook of affective sciences (pp. 852-870). Oxford: Oxford University
Press.
Jones, T. (2008). Artificial intelligence: A systems approach. Sudbury, MA: Jones &
Bartlett.
Klinger, J. (2006). The social science of Carl von Clausewitz. Retrieved from
http://www.carlisle.army.mil/USAWC/parameters/Articles/06spring/klinger.pdf
Krippendorff, K. (2012). Content Analysis: An introduction to its methodology. Thousand
Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
Lee, M. (2009). Factors influencing the adoption of internet banking: An integration of
TAM and TPB with perceived risk and perceived benefit, Electronic Commerce
Research and Applications, 8(3), 130-141. Retrieved from
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1567422308000598
Lensink, R. (2011). Peeters Online Journal. Ethical Perspectives. 18(4), DOI:
10.2143/EP.18.4.2141848http://poj.peeters -leuven.be/content.php
?id=2141848&url=article&download=yes
Lewis, R. (2013). Robots must learn to obey a warrior code. Retrieved from
http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/tech_and_web/article5741334.ece
Mackey, J. (2013). Recent US and Chinese Antisatellite Activities. Air and Space Power
Journal, 23(3), 82–93. Retrieved from http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/ airchronicles/apj/apj09/fal09/mackey.html
Manfreda, K. (2008). Web surveys versus other survey modes. International Journal of
Market Research, 50 (1), 80. Retrieved from https://www.mrs.org.uk/ijmr
McCarthy, J. (2007). What is artificial intelligence? [Electronic version]. Retrieved from
Stanford University, computer science department website:
141
http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/whatisai.pdf
Merriam, S. (2009). Qualitative research: A guide to design and implementation. San
Francisco, CA: Jossey-Bass.
Phalp, K. (2008). Particle swarm guidance system for autonomous, unmanned aerial
vehicles in an air defense role. Journal of Navigation, 61, 9-21. http://dx.doi.org/
10.1017/S0373463307004444
Popkin, G. (2015). Moore’s law is about to get weird, never mind tablet computers. Wait
till you see bubbles and slime mold. Nautilus, 21. Retrieved from http://nautil.us
/issue /21/information/moores-law-is-about-to-get-weird
Saldana, J. (2009). The coding manual for qualitative researchers. London: Sage.
Sharkey, N. (2008). Cassandra or false prophet of doom: AI robots and war. Retrieved
from IEEE Computer Society database:
http://search3.computer.org.ezproxy.umuc.edu/search/results
Sharkey, N. (2012). Drone race will ultimately lead to sanitized slaughter. Retrieved
from: http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/aug/03/
drone-race-factory-slaughter
Sharkey, N. (2012). The evitability of autonomous robot warfare. International review of
the red cross, 94, 866. doi:10.1017/S1816383112000732
Singer, P. (2013). The global swarm. Foreign Policy. Retrieved from
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/03/11/the_global_swarm
Sinkovics, R., Penz, E., & Ghauri, P. (2010). Analyzing textual data in international
marketing research. Qualitative Market Research: An International Journal, 8(1),
9-38. doi:10.1108/13522750510575426
Sleeman, R. (2008). Systems approach to unmanned air vehicle development and
certification. Improvements in Systems Technology, 6, 209-221. doi:10.1007/
978-1-84800-100-8_13
Sparrow, R. (2012). Just say no to drones. IEEE Technology and Society, 31(1) 56-63.
doi:10.1009/MTS.2012.2185275
Stake, R. (2008). Qualitative case studies. In N. K. Denzin, Y. S. Lincoln (Eds.),
Strategies of qualitative inquiry (3rd ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.
Taiwo, A., & Downe, A. (2013). The theory of user acceptance and use of technology
(UTAUT): A Meta-analytic review of empirical findings. Journal of Theoretical
and Applied Information Technology, 49(1), 48-58. Retrieved from
http://www.jatit.org
142
The AL. (2015). History. Retrieved from http://www.legion.org/history
Valavanis, K. (2007). Advances in unmanned aerial vehicles: State of the art and the
road to autonomy. New York, NY: Springer.
Venkatesh, V. (1999). Creating favorable user perceptions: Exploring the role of
intrinsic motivation. MIS Quarterly, 23, 239–260. Retrieved from
http://www.vvenkatesh.us/Downloads/Papers/fulltext/pdf/
2000(2)_MS_Venkatesh_Davis.pdf
Venkatesh, V. (2013). User acceptance of information technology. MIS Quarterly, 36 (1),
157-178. Retrieved from http://www.vvenkatesh.com/Downloads
/Papers/fulltext/pdf /Venkatesh_Thong_Xu_MISQ_forthcoming.pdf
Venkatesh, V., Morris, M., Davis, G., & Davis, F. (2003). User acceptance of
information technology: Toward a unified view. MIS Quarterly, 27(3), 425-478.
Retrieved from http://www.vvenkatesh.us/Downloads/Papers/fulltext/
pdf/2000(2)_MS_Venkatesh_Davis.pdf
Venkatesh, V., & Davis, F. (2000). A theoretical extension of the technology acceptance
model: Four longitudinal field studies. MIS Quarterly, 46(2), 186-204. Retrieved
from http://www.vvenkatesh.us/Downloads/Papers/fulltext/pdf/
2000(2)_MS_Venkatesh_Davis.pdf
Venkatesh, V., & Bala, H. (2008). Technology acceptance model 3 and a research agenda
on interventions. Decision Sciences, 39 (2), 273-315. Retrieved from
http://www.vvenkatesh.com/downloads/papers/fulltext/pdf/
venkatesh_bala_ds_2008.pdf
Winner, L. (1978). Autonomous technology: Techniques-out-of-control as a theme in
political thought. Cambridge, MA: MIT.
Yin, R. (2013). Case study research: Design and methods (5th ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA:
Sage.
143
Appendixes
144
Appendix A: Informed Consent Form
145
Appendix B: Screening Demographic Questionnaire
Background: The military is continuously modernizing and increasing the use of
Artificially Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology (AIASGT) into combat
units. This technology is assimilated into the combat units without the consideration of
acceptance, approval, disapproval, or willingness to use by the operator.
Have you ever had any direct experience in using AIASGT for the military? _______
Do you feel qualified to give an opinion on the future or continued use of
AIASGT?_______
Demographic Questions:
1. Which of the following best represents your main area of work in support of AIASGT?
_______Instructor _______Management/Supervisor
_______Operator _______Technician
_______Hardware Engineer _______Software Engineer
_______Student _______Retired _______Other:__________________________
2. Indicate your highest completed level of education from the choices below.
_______Diploma _______Associate’s Degree
_______Bachelor’s Degree _______Master’s Degree
_______Doctoral Degree
3. What is your gender? _______Male _______Female
146
Appendix C: Survey Questionnaire
Thank you for participating in the survey concerning the use of Artificially
Intelligent Autonomous Self-Governing Technology (AIASGT). Once you
have completed the questionnaire, please email it back to
147
Appendix D: AIASGT Acceptance and Use Survey
1. Would you willingly use AIASGT on the battlefield?
2. Would you willingly accept the capabilities of AIASGT against others in
combat?
3. Do you think that enough transparency and regulations are in place for
you to accept AIASGT for military applications?
4. Do you think that enough transparency and regulations in place for the
ethical use of AIASGT for military applications?
5. Would you advocate for the use AIASGT for the military?
6. Were you ever consulted on your willingness to accept the military
capabilities of AIASGT?
7. Do you think that there are enough regulations of AIASGT for civilian
applications?
8. Do you think that there is enough information available to accept the
capabilities of AIASGT for civilian applications?
9. Do you think that enough transparency and regulations are in place for
you to accept AIASGT for civilian applications?
10. Would you advocate for the use AIASGT for the civilian applications?
11. Would you advocate for strict regulation concerning the use of
AIASGT.
12. Do you have any concerns regarding the regulation or future
development of AIASGT?
148
Appendix E: Survey Participation Advertisement
An invitation to participate in the study will be placed on the AL Post 346 website and
monthly paper.
Please participate in the survey concerning the use of Artificially Intelligent Autonomous
Self-Governing Technology (AIASGT). Please email Robert Carmack at
[email protected]. An email will be sent back to you with a link to access the survey
questions. You can access the survey directly at:
https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0B2W5Zu97xjCxcUZqSGpOXy1ISGs&usp=sha
ring. The link will also be available on the AL Post 346 website
http://www.al346neptune.org/.
Once you have completed the questionnaire, please email it back to [email protected]