Accounting
Real Estate Finance and Investment
FIN549
Alex is responsible for the leadership of Altus’ equity investments, acquisitions, capitalizations and joint- venture structuring. Additionally, Alex shares leadership responsibility of the firm's portfolio strategy and development endeavors. Prior to joining Altus, Alex was an executive team member of Koch Development Co., responsible for the leadership of asset management, portfolio strategy and development activities across its retail, office and industrial portfolio located throughout the Midwest. Alex is a graduate of Washington University in St. Louis, with degrees in Finance and Marketing. He serves as a member of Washington University's Alumni Board of Governors, the Board of Directors for the United Way of Greater Saint Louis, the Alumni Board of St. Louis Priory School, and as a past president and member of the Olin Business School Alumni Board.
Peter is responsible for firm strategy and capitalization. He oversees all aspects of Altus strategy, operations and cultural alignment – with an emphasis on the financial elements. Prior to joining Altus, Peter was at Pannatoni Development Company, Inc., a leading international development company that develops and owns industrial, office and retail properties in more than 175 cities throughout the United States, Canada and Europe. While at Panattoni, Peter managed approximately $1 billion of assets across multiple markets, intimately involved with every facet of an asset’s lifecycle from acquisition, development, stabilization, asset management, and disposition. Peter began his career in investment banking at Banc America Securities, LLC after graduating from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill with a Bachelor’s Degree with a double major in Economics and German. In addition, Peter holds an MBA from the Olin School of Business at Washington University in St. Louis.
Alexander D. Borchert Managing Partner
Peter Gray Managing Partner
Course Objective Introduction to CRE investment from the perspective of an equity investor
PRODUCT TYPES, INVESTMENT STRATEGIES, RISKS
REAL ESTATE CYCLES
FINANCIAL EVALUATION: Return on Cost, IRR, Multiple, Return Metrics
CASH FLOW ELEMENTS & BUILDING ASSUMPTIONS
LEASES
CRE LEVERAGE, INCLUDING LOAN PROVISIONS
RESEARCH
VALUATION
DEVELOPMENT
Real Estate Finance and Investment
FIN549
Course Objective Introduction to CRE investment from the perspective of an equity investor
PRODUCT TYPES, INVESTMENT STRATEGIES, RISKS
REAL ESTATE CYCLES
FINANCIAL EVALUATION: Return on Cost, IRR, Multiple, Return Metrics
CASH FLOW ELEMENTS & BUILDING ASSUMPTIONS
LEASES
CRE LEVERAGE, INCLUDING LOAN PROVISIONS
RESEARCH
VALUATION
DEVELOPMENT
Expectations
Material Changes (speakers, more text, less underwriting, etc.)
Format
Punctuality
Content Focus on the Meat of The Curve
C O U R S E O B J E C T I V E
Integrity, Code of Conduct, Behavior
Reading the textbook, including the prerequisite sections
Online Companion – Extremely useful in the virtual course delivery
Course subject to change
Interaction - Communication
Expectations C O U R S E O B J E C T I V E
Grading
Homework: The problems are meant to illustrate the fundamental concepts and their application to concrete real estate problems.
Take Home Exam
Expectations C O U R S E O B J E C T I V E
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Fifth Edition Dr. Peter Linneman and Bruce Kirsch
https://www.getrefm.com/textbook/index.php/toc/
Required Reading C O U R S E O B J E C T I V E
1. CRE Investment Overview
2. Why Real Estate?
3. Product Types
4. Cycles
5. Strategies
6. Risk
7. Investment Analysis
Agenda C O U R S E O B J E C T I V E
Class #1
Readings: Chapter 1, 2, 25 Prerequisite #1
Click to edit Master Click to edit Master subtitle style
CRE Investment Overview
CRE Investment Overview W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
1) Where are the markets right now?
2) What are real estate returns? What is anticipated?
3) How are capital flows? What is the denominator effect?
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
The Opportunities
Potential upside
Operating Costs
Terminal Value
Rental Growth
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
The Risks
Expect the unexpected:
• Operating Cost • Vacancy • Natural Disaster • Leasing • Liquidity • Pandemic
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Market Research
• Product Type • Geography • Analyze supply and demand balance
Supply Existing New
Demand Tenants Site-Specific
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities; Peter Linneman, PhD; Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Real Estate Finance and Investments: Risks and Opportunities
Peter Linneman, PhD Bruce Kirsch, REFAI®
Personal Decision
Investment Goals
Risk Aversion
Expertise
Synergies
Liquidity
Holding Period
Opportunity Cost
Resources W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
PwC: Emerging Trends in Real Estate Integra Realty Resources:
Annual Report Half-Year Report
CBRE: Cap Rate Survey (biannually) Quarterly Local, Regional and National Reports – All Property Types Periodic White Papers
Cushman & Wakefield: Quarterly Local, Regional and National Reports – All Property Types Periodic White Papers
Colliers International: Quarterly Local, Regional and National Reports – All Property Types Periodic White Papers
Jones Lang Lasalle: Quarterly Local, Regional and National Reports – All Property Types Periodic White Papers
Block Realty: Kansas City Multifamily
PNC: Periodic White Papers
MPF: Local Market Multifamily Research
Resources W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
CoStar: Quarterly St. Louis and National Reports – Office, Industrial and Retail. Periodic White Papers. Moody’s/CoStar Commercial Property Price Index CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices - http://www.costar.com/about/CCRSI.aspx
Rubin Brown: Multifamily Annual Report (rent and operating expense trends). National Real Estate Investor (NREI): Daily White Papers http://nreionline.com/ Urban Land Institute (ULI):
Annual / Biannual Real Estate Business Barometer - http://www.uli.org/research/economy-capital/ Periodic White Papers
Prudential: http://research.prudential.com/view/page/rp Periodic White Papers
CCIM: Periodic White Papers. CEL & Associates, Inc.: Strategic Advantage (http://celassociates.com/strategic-advantage-e-newsletter-recent-issues/) National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF):
NCREIF Fund Index Open-End Diversified Core (ODCE) Returns - https://www.ncreif.org/fund-index-odce-returns.aspx
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Do it All
Single Family Rental / Four Family Rentals
Capitalize with agency debt. Equity sourced friends and family.
Toilets, Tenants, Trash
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Services
Leasing
Management
Finance
Construction
Accounting
Marketing
Investor relations
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Brokerage
Leasing Tenant Rep / Landlord
Investment
Mortgage
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Asset Management Versus Property Management
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Investment and Development
Development Manager
Capital Markets
Investments
Construction Manager
General Contractor / Sub Contractor
Roles in Real Estate W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Decision Makers
Sponsorship
Capital Partners
Government / Zoning
Click to edit Master Click to edit Master subtitle style
Why Real Estate?
Commercial Real Estate Universe
Source: ACLI, AON, BIS, Bloomberg, CoreLogic, Federal Reserve Board, Guy Carpenter, NAIC, OECD, Oliver Wyman estimates, Preqin, Savill’s, SIGMA, SNL, TEFAF, Thomson, Reuters, UN, University of St. Gallens, World Federation of Exchanges
Domestic equities (S&P 500) and bonds are a fraction of the investable universe
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
An absolute return takes into account appreciation, depreciation and cash flows to measure the amount of money an investment earns over time, and is expressed as a percentage gain or loss on the initial investment.
Benefit #1
Private Real Estate Generates High Absolute Returns
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Looking at data from Preqin, a research company that tracks the performance of alternative investments, a $100,000 investment in private real estate beginning on December 31, 2007, would have been worth about $410,000 on December 31, 2020. That same $100,000 investment in the S&P 500 would be worth $350,000 on December 31, 2020.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
“Up” and “Down” Years
Sources: NCREIF (National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries) and Bloomberg. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Real estate is represented by the NCREIF Property Index (NPI), an index of quarterly returns reported by institutional investors on investment grade commercial properties owned by those investors. The NPI is used as an industry benchmark to compare an investor’s own returns against the industry average. NCREIF data is based on institutional investments and is presented without leverage or fees. Institutional investors often invest on substantially different terms and conditions than individual investors, which may include lower fees, expenses or leverage. Stocks are represented by the S&P 500 Index, an unmanaged index of the 500 largest stocks (in terms of market value), weighted by market capitalization and considered representative of the broad stock market. Bonds are represented by the Barclay’s Capital Aggregate Bond Index, an index of securities that are SEC-registered, taxable and dollar-denominated. The index covers the U.S. investment grade fixed rate bond market, with index components for government and corporate securities, mortgage pass-through securities and asset-backed securities. These major sectors are subdivided into more specific indices that are calculated and reported on a regular basis. The prices of securities represented by these indices may change in response to factors including: the historical and prospective earnings of the issuer, the value of its assets, general economic conditions, interest rates and investor perceptions. All indices are unmanaged and do not include the impact of fees and expenses. An investment cannot be made directly in any index.
82
66 64
5
21 23
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Real Estate Stocks Bonds
Up Years
Down Years
For Real Estate, Stocks and Bonds (1934 to 2022)
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
NCREIF ODCE Index Returns
CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) – January 2019 (With Data Through December 2018).
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
1978 2021
89.2% positive quarters
ODCS W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
ODCS W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Asset Pricing Trends: RCA CPPI W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
The RCA CPPI is based on repeat-sales (RS) transactions that occurred at any time up through the month of the current report and is used to measure commercial real estate price movements using repeat-sales regression methodology.
The 6 Major Metros (6MM) are Boston, Chicago, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco and Washington DC. Non-Major Metros (NMM) refers to all secondary and tertiary markets.
All indexes are benchmarked to 100 at December 2006 and the time series extends to January 2001.
RCA CPPI
Asset Pricing Trends: RCA CPPI W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
RCA CPPI
Private real estate helps investors temper the volatility in their portfolios because it’s immune to the daily shocks of trading.
The value of a private real estate fund is based on the actual value of property held by the fund. Conversely, in a public REIT, the share price value is determined by daily market forces, which means the share price of a public REIT may not reflect the actual value of the underlying real estate.
Benefit #2
Correlation to Other Asset Classes
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Heavy Weight to Alternatives
Employ an investment philosophy focused around diversification, taking advantage of a long-term investment time horizon that allows them to invest a portion of capital in less-liquid assets whilst also being tolerant of market volatility.
This, in turn, ensures the pursuit of long-term investment objectives, as opposed to reacting to shorter-term market movements.
Endowment Leaders Allocation
With large exposure to alternative asset classes, leading US university endowments (Yale, Harvard) consistently achieved attractive annual returns with moderate risk The rationale for investing across multiple asset classes is supported by modern portfolio theory.
This theory, developed by Nobel Memorial Prize– winning economist Harry Markowitz, demonstrates the risk-adjusted returns of a portfolio can be improved by diversification across assets with varied correlations.
Harvard and Yale held 55 percent in traditional asset classes, with the remaining 45 percent allocated to alternatives.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
55% 45%
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
By adding global real estate, a portfolio has the potential to achieve either a higher return or the same level of return at lower risk.
Real Estate and the Efficient Frontier GLOBAL INDICES EFFICIENT FRONTIER 2005-171
Risk (quarterly standard deviation, %)
Re tu
rn (q
ua rt
er ly,
% )
2.5
1.7
1.5
1.3
1.1 2.0 73.53.0 4.54.0 5.55.0 6.56.0
Portfolio comprised of global equities and bonds,
listed and private real estate
Portfolio comprised of global equities and bonds exclusively
1Bellman, Tim & Sabrina Unger. Invesco Real Estate “Considerations for Investing in Global Real Estate.” 2019/11, Accessed 2021/2, irei.com. Please see exhibit for additional analysis.
Income generated by properties is generally shielded through depreciation, providing investors with the long- term benefits of substantial cash flow and very little tax burden.
IRS rules allow owners to take annual losses in the form of depreciation to smooth out eventual capital expenditures as buildings age. However, only the physical elements of a property are subject to depreciation.
CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) – January 2019 (With Data Through December 2018).
Benefit #3
Private Real Estate is Tax Advantaged
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
After Tax Comparison INVESTMENT DISTRIBUTION THE IRS AFTER TAX YIELD
SAMPLE OTHER INVESTMENT
DIRECT COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
DEPRECIATION SHELTER
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Real estate depreciation affords tax-sheltering benefits for income generating properties.
Book value declines due to depreciation, a non-cash expense for income tax purposes, while investors enjoy distributions and net operating income grows or continues to stabilize. This is an advantage not shared by stocks or bonds.
Accelerated depreciation schedules enhance the real estate advantage.
Direct Real Estate is Uniquely Tax Advantaged
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Direct Real Estate Depreciation Results in Higher After-tax Distributions
The depreciation tax shelter can be used to:
Shield income generated from the direct real estate investment.
Offset gains elsewhere in an investor’s portfolio providing a rebalancing opportunity.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
The method that investors can use to determine their depreciation deductions depends on the life of the asset being depreciated and is set by the Internal Revenue Service’s Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS).
Under these regulations, buildings are generally depreciated on what is effectively straight-line depreciation over the course of 27.5 or 39 years, depending on whether the property is residential or commercial. Straight-line depreciation spreads the value of the property evenly over its useful life.
How is Depreciation Calculated?
The Tax Benefits of Depreciation for Private Real Estate Investors, Origin Investments, Priya Venkataraman, June 14, 2021
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Let’s say an investor buys a residential rental property for $1,000,000. If the land value is $175,000 and the cost of the building is $825,000, the annual depreciation would be $30,000 ($825,000/27.5).
In this example, let’s assume that the property yields a 5% cash return that amounts to $50,000. Unlike stock dividends, which are fully taxable in the year of receipt, the income from a rental property is substantially shielded from taxation by depreciation, providing real potential for investors to enjoy a highly tax-efficient stream of income for years, as Table 1 below shows.
Depreciation Expense
Cash From Rental Operations $50,000
Less: Deprecation ($30,000)
Taxable Income $20,000
Tax @ 37% $7,400
Post-Tax Cash Flow $42,600
Annual Tax Savings ($30,000 x 37%) $11,100
The Tax Benefits of Depreciation for Private Real Estate Investors, Origin Investments, Priya Venkataraman, June 14, 2021
The tax savings provided by depreciation can be substantial.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
That’s because taking depreciation deductions reduces the cost basis of the property, often resulting in higher gains when a property is sold.
Those gains are taxable and are subject to depreciation recapture, which allows the IRS to collect taxes on the deductions the property owner had used to previously offset taxable income.
How does depreciation impact the sale of a property?
While depreciation works for investors when they own a property, it works against them when they sell it.
The Tax Benefits of Depreciation for Private Real Estate Investors, Origin Investments, Priya Venkataraman, June 14, 2021
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
The tax characteristic of depreciation recapture can be either ordinary income or capital gains, and will depend on the type of property that was sold – was it a section 1245 property or a section 1250 property?
At a high-level, section 1245 property includes tangible personal property such as office equipment or furniture that is subject to depreciation, or intangible personal property such as patents that are subject amortization. Section 1250 property most commonly consists of depreciable real property, such as residential rental buildings.
How does depreciation impact the sale of a property?
Depreciation recapture is assessed when a property that has been depreciated is sold and the sale price exceeds its adjusted cost basis—in other words, when the sale of a property results in a taxable gain.
The Tax Benefits of Depreciation for Private Real Estate Investors, Origin Investments, Priya Venkataraman, June 14, 2021
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
When a section 1250 property is sold for a gain, that gain to the extent of depreciation the owner deducted annually, is subject to taxes at a maximum rate of 25%.
This is commonly referred to in tax accounting as unrecaptured section 1250 gains. For investors in a high tax bracket, the 25% cap on the recapture rate is a silver lining as they are likely to have enjoyed depreciation deductions during the hold period at their ordinary income tax rates, which can be as high as 37%.
Note: Please consult with your tax advisor for the most up-to-date information regarding the various tax consequences when investing in real estate.
How does depreciation impact the sale of a property?
The Tax Benefits of Depreciation for Private Real Estate Investors, Origin Investments, Priya Venkataraman, June 14, 2021
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Commercial Real Estate
After Tax Income
(1) A depreciation recapture tax of 25% is paid upon asset disposition in the event the asset is sold for more than its depreciated value. As of February 2021, this tax rate is less than the ordinary income tax rate for individuals earning more than $163,301 per year. The depreciation tax shield not only defers taxes but results in less total taxes for those earning $163,301 or more. The tax shelter is higher in earlier years of the investment and lessens in subsequent years. In some instances, depreciation may be recaptured as ordinary income.
INCOME TAX PAID FROM OPERATIONS(1)
Comparing investments on an after-tax basis is key.
Depreciation is a Key Tool Available for Direct Real Estate to Shelter Income
40% 60%
Non Tax-Sheltered Asset
Taxes After Tax Income
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Direct Real Estate vs. Taxable Bond
A $1 million equity-only investment in direct commercial real estate that generates an annual return from operations of 5% over a 7-Year holding period and appreciates approximately 3.8% annually.
Please note that using a mix of debt and equity to invest in real estate could generate a higher return and provide an even larger tax shield than shown in this 100% equity investment example.
Investment: $1,000,000 Holding Period: 7 Years Coupon: 5% Sales Price: $1,300,000
A standard taxable bond that generates an annual coupon of 5% over a 7-year holding period and is redeemed at par.
Par Value: $1,000,000 Maturity: 7 Years Coupon: 5% Value at Maturity: $1,000,000
Real Estate Taxable Bond
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Direct Real Estate vs. Taxable Bond
Real Estate Taxable Bond A bond yield of 11.74% would be required in order to generate a breakeven after-tax IRR of 7.40%, the IRR of the direct commercial real estate asset in our example.
• The WSJ CCC Rated (Junk Bond) Index currently yields 14.62%. An Investor would need to invest in significantly lower quality junk bonds in order to achieve a comparable return.
Compared to a non-tax shielded asset, the direct commercial real estate asset generates:
• 2.3x higher IRR over the life of the investment
• 1.6x the operating (up-front) cash flows
As of 2/28/23, compared to 9.23% a year ago
https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_high_yield_ccc_effective_yield#:~:text=US%2 0High%20Yield%20CCC%20Effective%20Yield%20is%20at%2014.62%25%2C%20 compared,long%20term%20average%20of%2014.19%25.
1. Annual depreciation is used to offset pre-tax distributions taxed at ordinary income potentially as high as 37%.
2. Depreciation in excess of distributions can be used to offset similar income in the portfolio taxed at ordinary income potentially as high as 37%. Deprecation can create passive losses that are deferred until passive gains are recognized.
3. Operating distributions provide cash flow early in the investment period allowing these funds to be reinvested potentially earning additional returns for the life of the investment.
4. Increased rental rates result in increased property values.
5. Represents the difference between the sale price and the purchase price.
6. At sale, the depreciation which shielded current income over the life of the investment is taxed at a 25% rate vs. ordinary income potentially as high as 37%.
7. The $14,097 in annual depreciation in Excess of Distributions shields other income in the portfolio from being taxed at the ordinary income rate potentially as high as 37%. $14,097 x 7 x 37% = $36,511.
8. The internal rate of return measures the total return from the investment and incorporates the time value of money.
9. This analysis excludes the 3.8% net investment income tax, which would be applicable to the real estate gain and taxable bond.
Category Commercial Real Estate Asset Non-Tax Shielded Asset Initial Investment $1,000,000 $1,000,000 Hold Period 7-Years 7-Years Federal Tax Rate 37% 37%
Annual Distribution Rate 5.00% 5.00%
Annual Pretax Distributions $50,000 $50,000 Annual Depreciation(1) $64,097 $0 Annual Depreciation in Excess of Distributions(2) $14,097 $0
Annual Post Tax Operating Distribution(3) $50,000 $31,500 Annual Post Tax Operating Distribution Rate 5.00% 3.15% Total Post Tax Operating Distributions $350,000 $220,500
Yearly Appreciation(4) 3.82% 0.00% Sales Price $1,300,000 $1,000,000
Capital Gain(5) $300,000 $0 Depreciation Recapture(6) $448,680 $0 Taxable Gain $748,680 $0
Capital Gains Tax Rate 20% 20% Depreciation Recapture Tax Rate 25% 25%
Capital Gains Tax $60,000 0 Excess Depreciation Savings(7) -$36,511 0 Depreciation Recapture Tax $112,170 0 Tax on Operating Distributions $0 $129,500 Total Taxes $135,658 $129,500 % Variance 100.0% 95.5%
Internal Rate of Return(8) 7.40% 3.15%
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Direct Real Estate vs. Taxable Bond
1031 Exchanges: The ability to defer taxes into the future is one of the greatest attributes of owning real estate directly.
• The 1031 exchange tax provision allows real estate owners to sell a property and buy another property without incurring capital gains taxes.
• In theory, an investor could buy and sell properties without ever paying taxes on the gains.
Opportunity Zones
CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) – January 2019 (With Data Through December 2018).
Benefit #4 W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Favorable Tax Rules
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Like-Kind Exchanges under Section 1031
Inflation Hedge Owners can benefit from increasing rents and values as inflation rises.
Preservation of Capital Well located real estate has traditionally maintained value.
CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) – January 2019 (With Data Through December 2018).
Other Benefits W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Inflation
Commercial real estate not only protects against higher inflation but provides outsize returns specifically in these environments.
If inflation follows the most probable script—higher inflation for a period but not damaging to the economy—then property stands to benefit. Our analysis shows that every 1% increase in inflation is associated with a 1.1% increase in total returns. This environment also results in lower cap rates across property sectors. Source: Cushman & Wakefield: What Rising Inflation Means for CRE Investing 2021
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Inflation
For the right assets, in the right markets, real estate historically has performed well in a rising-rate environment, particularly when economic growth is strong.
Within certain sectors, real estate can provide cash flow yield and growth, with the potential downside protection that hard assets provide. 1. Green Street Advisors, as of 3/1/21. Major sectors include apartments, industrial, mall, office, and strip centers. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is no guarantee that any of these trends will continue or will not reverse. Past events and trends do not imply, predict or guarantee, and are not necessarily indicative of, future events or results. There is no guarantee that any risk can be mitigated in whole or in part. Real Estate products are subject to the risk of capital loss and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. 2. Major sectors real estate cap rate was 5.4% as of March 31, 2021. 10-Yr UST was 1.7% as of March 31, 2021. The “long-term average” reflects the period between March 1986 to March 2021. “Major Sectors” is sourced from Green Street Advisors and reflects the equal weighted average of the asset weighted averages for the five major property sectors (apartments, industrial, mall, office, and strip center). 3. CBRE-EA, as of 3/31/21.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Inflation
Real estate can offer dynamic cash flows
https://pws.blackstone.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2021/04/Real-Estate-Investing-at-an-Inflation-Inflection-Point.pdf?v=1629478159
• Unlike traditional bonds that generate fixed cash flows, the income streams from real estate can rise over time.
• Prioritizing assets with shorter lease durations in sectors with strong underlying growth fundamentals can result in faster translation of higher market rents into underlying operating cash flows. Hotels effectively have one-night leases. Other sectors, including apartments and warehouses, also tend to have shorter-duration leases.
• Certain assets with longer duration leases, such as net lease properties, often include contractual rent escalators to mitigate inflationary risks.
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Inflation
• Bond-like assets that have long-term leases with limited rent resets are more susceptible as rates rise.
• Sectors facing tenant demand headwinds, such as U.S. regional malls and urban office buildings, may not be able to command near-term rent increases that can keep up with inflation.
Sector selection matters
https://pws.blackstone.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2021/04/Real-Estate-Investing-at-an-Inflation-Inflection-Point.pdf?v=1629478159
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Inflation
• Supply, even within in-demand sectors like industrial,3 remains in check.
• In an inflationary environment, increases in the cost of land, construction, and labor are likely to make new supply less financially feasible.
Limited supply generally supports valuations
https://pws.blackstone.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2021/04/Real-Estate-Investing-at-an-Inflation-Inflection-Point.pdf?v=1629478159
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
Environmental, Social and Governance
ENVIRONMENTAL IREM CSP certifications
ENERGY STAR certifications
Sustainable purchasing program
Waste management and recycling options
Increase landfill diversion rate
Conservation of water usage and control waste generation
SOCIAL COVID response, vaccination time off and mileage reimbursement
Chaplain program
Employee interest free loan program
Employee directed charitable donations
Fitness centers
Healthy food options
Green cleaning programs
Healthy indoor air quality verification
Work from home flexibility
GOVERNANCE Mission statement drives our business
Employee evaluations align with core values
Daily data backups
Frequent, transparent reporting to investors
Robust cybersecurity enhancements
Clear decision-making structure through committees
WiredScore Certified
Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) is the framework for assessing the overall impact of sustainability and ethical business practices on a company’s operations and financial performance
Care for stakeholders.
Compensations, incentives, shareholder returns, diversity
of the board
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
ESG in Real Estate
E S G Physical and environmental
risks that threaten the income and value of the asset.
Floods, climate change, water conservation, waste disposal,
renewal energy usage
Human issues and company culture.
How employees are treated, right wages for all workers, benefits employees receive, personal
development
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
ESG in Real Estate
The CRE sector has an important role to play in mitigating climate change. But with climate risks growing, the real estate industry must proactively address the impacts of climate change on assets.
Climate change may alter the dynamics of where people want to live and invest. In addition to the discomfort and health risks of living in ever-hotter climates, energy costs rise with temperatures, as do the risks of power outages as more strain is placed on power grids. Extended drought conditions may limit new development because authorities may limit new hookups.
Many investors rely on insurance rather than capital improvements to protect their investments, but changing investor sentiment toward climate risks may force more affirmative changes.
Pressures for greater ESG disclosure by real estate owners and investors are intensifying due to efforts both from industry groups like NCREIF and PREA and from government regulation by the SEC.
FRAMEWORK FOR TENANT LIFECYCLE
• Climate change risk profile • Renewable-energy strategy • Green commute options • Sustainable business improvement districts • Traditional lease vs Flexible space agreement • “Green leasing” • Landlord engagement • Sustainable building certification • Energy-efficient opportunities
• Material Selection • Role and impact of partners and suppliers • Improve operational management and enhance
asset performance • Promote & support sustainable travel patterns • Inform & influence organizational behaviors • Business strategy & resources • Metrics & specific/measurable goals • Materiality, consistency, and transparency
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
ESG in Real Estate
INCORPORATE COMMUNITY
Diversity, Equity, & Inclusion
• Sourcing talent from DE&I-focused organizations
• Develop site selection criteria to ensure consideration of markets that provide a more diverse base of talent
• Consider needs of the talent base including accessibility, commute time, public transportation, and childcare
Community Impact
• Strengthen the local economy by partnering with local businesses
• Sponsoring public events
• Advocate/build neighborhood amenities to serve the community (grocery, health, & green space)
• Support employment of disadvantaged populations of talent
Health & Well-Being
• Assess & optimize building health and how this impacts well-being in the workplace
• Establish wellness programs
• Set zero-accident goals for employee health & safety
W H Y R E A L E S T A T E ?
ESG in Real Estate
Product Types
Single Family Detached Cluster developments Zero lot line developments
Multifamily High rise Low rise Garden apartments
Residential P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Non-Residential
Retail Regional shopping centers/malls Neighborhood centers Community centers Strip centers Specialty /lifestyle centers Discount/outlet centers
Warehouse/ Industrial Heavy industrial Light industrial warehouse
Office/warehouse Warehouse:
Distribution Research & development (R&D) Flex space
Office Major multitenant (central business district) Single or multitenant- suburban Single tenant - build to suit Combination office/showroom Professional-
Medical specialized use
Hotel/Motel Business/convention Full service Tourist/resort:
Limited service Extended stay All suites
Recreational Country clubs Marinas/resorts Sports complexes
Institutional (special purpose) Hospital/convalescent Universities Other
Mixed Use Developments Combinations of the above uses
P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Strip Center: Ranges from 10,000 to 200,000 square feet and may be dependent on a single anchor tenant. Strip centers often have out parcels detached from the main building.
Community Retail Centers: Generally 150,000- 350,000sqft and have more than one anchor tenant.
Power Center: Several big-box retailers, such as Walmart or Staples, and is most commonly located outside a city or in the outskirts of a major urban area, where land is cheap.
Retail Properties P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Regional Malls: largest type of retail property, ranging from 400,000 to 2,000,000 square feet. Regional malls do well when they successfully maximize a customer’s shopping experience by offering a complementary tenant mix (with both anchor tenants and inline stores), good design, shared amenities, and well maintained common areas.
Retail Properties P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Deemed non-essential—apparel retailers, salons, gyms, and movie theaters, for example—were temporarily shut down across much of the U.S. due to COVID-19.
On the other hand, businesses believed to be essential to daily life, including grocers, home improvement stores, pharmacies, banks and gas stations, were allowed to remain open.
Savvy retailers are also accelerating their innovations in store locations, formats, layouts, branding and marketing, supporting the idea that brick-and mortar shopping is not going away — it’s just evolving.
Bifurcation: Essential and Non-Essential Retail P R O D U C T T Y P E S | R E T A I L P R O P E R T I E S
2020: omnichannel
2021 U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook. CBRE. 2020. Accessed 5 January 2021.
Brick-and-mortar retail sales are expected to grow in 2021 as e-commerce sales decline after the 2020 COVID-fueled surge.
New opportunistic and emerging retailers will capitalize on market conditions to absorb some of the vacancies from bankrupt retailers and store closures.
Adaptive reuse and conversion will drive the repositioning of Class B and C malls, which have been hardest hit by COVID restrictions.
Bifurcation: Essential and Non-Essential Retail P R O D U C T T Y P E S | R E T A I L P R O P E R T I E S
2021: repositioning
Retail Trends P R O D U C T T Y P E S | R E T A I L P R O P E R T I E S
After plunging briefly during the lockdown at the beginning of the pandemic last spring, retail sales quickly rebounded, with overall sales (including e- commerce) recovering to pre-COVID levels by the fall and physical retailers matching pre-COVID levels by year-end. Retail spending has only continued to grow from there.
2021 PWC Emerging Trends in Real Estate
Every major category registered sales
exceeding pre-COVID levels by mid-2021.
Reimagination of Retail
2021 U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook. CBRE. 2020. Accessed 5 January 2021.
Malls will require a strategic evaluation of the highest and best use of the underlying land and demand drivers for adaptive reuse and conversion.
Off-mall big-box retailers will increasingly consider acquisition of mall sites for redevelopment given favorable pricing for prime locations.
While the fastest-growing conversion category is retail to industrial, adaptive reuse with multifamily, office and hotel components will still be viable on a market and asset-specific basis.
Alternative uses also include medical, education, cultural centers and open space.
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | R E T A I L P R O P E R T I E S
Malls
Adaptive Reuse
Alternatives
Adaptative Reuse
2021 U.S. Real Estate Market Outlook. CBRE. 2020. Accessed 5 January 2021.
Successful adaptive reuse and conversion require overcoming complex regulatory issues, as well as greater flexibility in municipal zoning and department store cooperation granting consent and modifications to reciprocal easement agreements permitting redevelopment.
To avoid the further loss of retail uses and sales tax revenue, some local and state jurisdictions may provide more public financing and subsidies for these redevelopments.
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | R E T A I L P R O P E R T I E S
Regulatory Zoning
Easements
Financing Subsidies
Warehouse & Industrial Properties
Manufacturing Facilities: Categorized as ‘heavy’ or ‘light’. Heavy manufacturing facilities carry long-term leases because they are not easily transferable to new tenants.
Warehouses: Used for storage and distribution and are usually located near major transportation hubs. Warehouses are notated on a cubic square footage basis since height is important for stacking goods.
Light Assembly
Flex Buildings
P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Industrial Demand P R O D U C T T Y P E S | W A R E H O U S E & I N D U S T R I A L
E-commerce sales expected to increase by up to 26% by 2025, further increasing the demand to build and acquire industrial real estate.
Retail Dive, “US needs 330M square feet of warehouse space to keep up with e-commerce: CBRE”, https://www.retaildive.com/news/warehouse-ecommerce-construction-fulfillment-center/602308/, June 2022 7CNBC, “Commercial Real Estate: Warehouse Demand Offsets Vacant Office Space”, https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/10/commercial-real-estate-warehouse-demand-offsets-vacant-office-space.html, July 2022
+26%
Construction Inflation P R O D U C T T Y P E S | W A R E H O U S E & I N D U S T R I A L
Construction cost inflation has continued to cool off from the peaks seen in Q1 and Q2 of 2022.
Engineering News Record’s (ENR) Building cost index measuring year of year inflation peaked at just above a 16% YOY inflation rate in April of 2022.
ENR’s most recent reporting in January of 2023 has this YOY inflation rate at 9.4%.
It would be typical to see this rate fluctuating between 2-4%. Consistent with the macroeconomic environment , construction cost inflation remains at elevated levels but has pulled back significantly from its recent peaks.
Slowdown? P R O D U C T T Y P E S | W A R E H O U S E & I N D U S T R I A L
The ABI is seen as a leading indicator of the health of the construction industry, as demand for architectural services is typically a precursor to construction activity.
On a forward looking note, the Architectural Billing Index (ABI), reporting by the American Institute of Architects, remained below 50 for the 4th straight month indicating architecture firms are seeing a reduction in billings/demand for services over the past 4 months, possibly signally continued softening in demand for construction services.
Generally the market for design and construction services appears to be reflective of many developers and owners “wait and see” position as many variables, including the ongoing impact of the pandemic, global economic conditions, and government policies related to, inflation, trade and infrastructure spending begin to take shape
E-Commerce, an Outsized Driver P R O D U C T T Y P E S | W A R E H O U S E & I N D U S T R I A L
Alicia Phaneuf, Insider Intelligence, “Ecommerce Statistics: Industry Benchmarks & Growth,” https://www.insiderintelligence.com/insights/ecommerce-industry- statistics/ , July 29, 2021
It is predicted for every $1 billion in e-commerce sales made, businesses will require 1.25 million square feet of industrial space.
It is predicted for every $1 billion in e- commerce sales made, businesses will
require
1.25 million square feet
of industrial space.
Central Business District (Cbd)
Class A
Class B
Class C
Highrise
Suburban / Garden
Office Properties P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Cushman Wakefield
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
The United States has 5.56 billion sf (bsf) of office space and inventory will likely reach over 5.68 bsf by theend of the decade.
Office Market Size
Current size of US office market
5.56 billion square feet
https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/office/return-to-work-levels-post-pandemic-high-110514
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
A survey conducted by international architecture and design firm Gensler found that the time workers spent collaborating with colleagues fell to 27 percent during the pandemic from 43 percent before, while individual focus time more than doubled to 62 percent of time spent working.
The Physical Office and Remote Work
Collaboration fell from 43% to
27%
1The Office Hub and Spoke Model is Coming, Globest.com, June 2020. Accessed 9/18/2020.
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
CEOs are feeling the impact of COVID among their workforce.
In all candor, it’s not like being together physically. And so I can’t wait for everybody to be able to come back into the office.
I don’t believe that we’ll return to the way we were because we’ve found that there are some things that actually work really well virtually.
TIM COOK, CEO, APPLE INC.
1What CEOs Really Thing About Remote Work. The Wall Street Journal. September 23, 2020. Accessed 11/11/2020.
“That unplanned kind of interaction that contributes so much to how we build relationships with people and
how we build culture, those things are what are missing.
ANDI OWEN, CHIEF EXECUTIVE, HERMAN MILLER INC.
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
More than three-quarters of those surveyed said it is of “considerable” or “great” importance to go to an office to enable effective collaboration and company culture, with more than 60 percent saying it is important to “deliver inperson coaching or training.”
EMERGING TRENDS IN REAL ESTATE® 2022, PWC, ULI
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
The Work from Home (WFH) environment and need for additional space per employee offset each other. Ultimately, we believe that the revenue benefits from in person collaboration more than offset the savings from WFH. Further, we believe well-located suburban infill office properties are uniquely positioned to benefit coming out of this crisis.
1What CEOs Really Thing About Remote Work. The Wall Street Journal. September 23, 2020. Accessed 11/11/2020.
“What I worry about the most is innovation. Innovation is hard to
schedule — it’s impossible to schedule.
ELLEN KULLMAN, CEO OF 3-D PRINTING STARTUP CARBON INC., ON HER CONCERNS ABOUT
REMOTE WORK1
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Companies also recognized the growing trend of “work from anywhere” knowledge workers who use technology to boost their mobile productivity and lessen their dependence on physical offices.
1What CEOs Really Thing About Remote Work. The Wall Street Journal. September 23, 2020. Accessed 11/11/2020.
“There’s sort of an emerging sense behind the scenes of executives saying,
‘This is not going to be sustainable.’
LASZLO BOCK, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OF HUMAN-RESOURCES STARTUP HUMU AND
FORMER HR CHIEF AT GOOGLE, ON THE STATE OF REMOTE WORK1
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Well-located, thoughtfully designed and tech-enabled physical spaces – combined with the power of choice over when and how to use them – will deliver good productivity and engagement outcomes for employees and employers alike.
1What CEOs Really Thing About Remote Work. The Wall Street Journal. September 23, 2020. Accessed 11/11/2020.
“It’s a much harder way to work for anything that requires a personal relationship. And as a consequence, I think we’re going to find that we maybe not go back to 100% in the office all the time. Because remote work clearly works for
many things, but I think we’re going to find that being together delivers value in productivity and creativity and relationships that is irreplaceable
ARNE SORENSON, CEO OF MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC., AT WSJ’S 2020 FUTURE OF
EVERYTHING1
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Great offices of the future will do what great offices of today already do: serve as important hubs for the human elements and experiences that technology can’t provide – relationships, teamwork, chemistry and culture.
1What CEOs Really Thing About Remote Work. The Wall Street Journal. September 23, 2020. Accessed 11/11/2020.
“I am concerned that we would somehow believe that we can basically take kids from college, put them in front of Zoom, and think that three years
from now, they’ll be every bit as productive as they would have had they had the personal
interaction [of work in offices].
RONALD J. KRUSZEWSKI, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OF STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP., ON PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT WHILE
WORKING REMOTELY 1
Flight to Quality P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
We expect Class A properties to experience much faster improvement in demand, vacancy and rents, as they have done in past recovery periods.
Well-located and well-amenitized properties could thrive while lesser-quality and poorly located properties struggle with obsolescence.
EMERGING TRENDS IN REAL ESTATE® 2022, PWC, ULI
Less overall demand and occupiers’ need for technology and amenities create a doubtful future for older, class B/C buildings that require increased capital expenditures.
Usage was already in long-term decline, as firms maximize the efficiency of their office space. Class B and C markets have really borne the brunt of this trend. Recruit and retain top talent by offering a luxurious work environment. Employers cut costs by reducing excess space, pushing employees closer together in back office areas. Obvious trends: Telecommute, flex time, unassigned desks, framed photos replaced by digital pics on their phones, instead of needing tall cubicle walls to help them focus, workers listen to music on earbuds.
190 SF PRE-PANDEMIC 2020
165 SF 2028
Cushman Wakefield
A Reduction in Square Footage P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
SHRINKING SQ FEET PER WORKER
A Reduction in Square Footage P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
A Reduction in Square Footage P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Sanitation stations
Increased space and barriers between workers
Offices continue to be reconfigured to suit a post-COVID world, featuring:
Updated floor plans adding larger interior pathways
Reimagined common areas
The Pandemic and the Physical Office P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
The Pandemic and the Physical Office
Companies are reconsidering total space needs as well as design and health and safety concerns. “Employers need to take seriously that people are looking for a good place to do work,” said one senior executive at an architecture firm. The industry “took design for granted,” but that is no longer an option, she said.
Another analyst noted that working remotely has shed light on issues such as loneliness and burnout. “We’re starting to see a growing recognition [of how design impacts] mental health issues,” he said.
EMERGING TRENDS IN REAL ESTATE® 2022, PWC, ULI
What's Next for Offices, Cushman & Wakefield, Live Webcast, November 05, 2021
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Offices must now show added value.
Tenants and owners must significantly raise the bar for what it takes to be an office.
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Physical Workplace Transformed
Placemaking by owners can deliver what might be missing by not be in the central business districts
Office property owners may increasingly find that providing an experience for tenant users is key to maintaining sustainable demand.
“The competition for talent will make it hard to force people to come back five days a week,” said a partner at an office industry consulting firm. “You have to give employees a reason to come to the office; otherwise, they won’t come in.”
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Placemaking and Community Building
We need to talk more about the experiences people want to have in the office. The office has to be a place for community socialization, even with people who are not in your immediate work group. Sociologists talk about people having strong and weak ties.
“Some companies asked me that. I said to them, you’ve been cooking from home over past year, right? So have you ever asked if we need restaurants anymore? Of course we do. We cherish the experience of the restaurant. We connect there. So why are you not feeling that way about your office?”
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-13/how-to-design-an-office-for-a-hybrid-work-future
RYAN ANDERSON, VICE PRESIDENT OF RESEARCH AND GLOBAL INSIGHTS FOR OFFICE FURNITURE MAKER HERMAN MILLER
Bringing more enhanced amenities and services to aiming for higher usage and tenant retention.
Placemaking and Community Building P R O D U C T T Y P E S | O F F I C E P R O P E R T I E S
Multifamily Properties
Highrise: Yardi Matrix, an apartment market data provider and our sister company, defines high-rises as apartment communities of 10+ stories in height.
Better views More privacy More natural light Less noise Fewer insects Better ventilation
Low Rise/Garden: A garden apartment complex is characterized by a cluster of low-rise buildings, usually no more than two or three stories high
Easier street access Less walking/waiting Lower energy costs More green spaces in sight
P R O D U C T T Y P E S
76% Built before 1990
P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Multifamily Demand P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Only the leading edge of the millennial cohort—ages 35 to 40—have pivoted toward homeownership, meaning most of the rest of the 75 million millennial generation wants to rent.
Further, with an enormous generation Z filtering into real-world adulthood, the demand side of the apartment sector shows no sign of ebbing through at least another decade.
Multifamily rents have outperformed those of the other major property sectors during and after the 2008-2009 recession in three ways:
1) Lowest level of rent decline 2) Fastest recovery to pre-recession
peaks 3) Longest post-recession period of rent
growth.
Historically Resilient P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Cumulative Effects on Rent During and After 2008-09 Recession
However, let’s unpack the 2008-2009 recession… The recession's single-family housing collapse helped multifamily demand by moving households from homeownership to rentals (via foreclosures) and by diminishing the appeal of homeownership given falling home values.
Based on CBRE Research’s analysis of effective rent change during and after the past two recessions, multifamily outperformed office and industrial in the 2001 recession and all major property sectors (office, industrial, retail) during the 2008-2009 recession.
Recessions P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
St. Louis Absorption to Construction Ratio
St. Louis supply has not kept up with demand for the past five years.
Even with new supply, vacancy has declined and rental rates continue to increase.
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6
Austin
Charlotte
Cincinnati
Cleveland
Columbus
Denver
Kansas City
Minneapolis-St. Paul
Nashville
Omaha
Salt Lake City
St. Louis
Absorption to Construction Ratio 2021 – Selected Secondary Markets
Absorption to Construction Ratio P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
1.6
Consumer-Driven Amenities P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Consumer-Driven Amenities P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Consumer-Driven Amenities P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Consumer-Driven Amenities P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Increase in renter households earning $100,000 a year or more from 2012 through 2021 36% Increase in Baby Boomers moving into the rental market from 2007 through 2021
43%
Renters by Choice P R O D U C T T Y P E S | M U L T I F A M I L Y
Full Service
Limited Service
Extended Stay
Owner Operated vs. Management Company
Hotel Properties P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Commodity product by design
Climate-controlled
Non-climate controlled
Self Storage P R O D U C T T Y P E S
Investment Cycles
What Are Cycles?
Real estate markets are rarely near equilibrium
Prolonged periods of property supply and demand imbalance
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Four Phases of the Real Estate Cycle
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Contractual Agreements and Market Frictions
Real estate takes years to plan, build, and lease
Long-term nature of real estate leases
Landlord perspective vs. tenant perspective
Certainty vs. flexibility and upside potential
Construction to completion lag
Timing is everything
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Demand Dynamics
Population growth and job growth often do not match in any given year
Excess supply results in large vacancy downward pressure on rents and new supply creation ceases
Excess supply is slowly absorbed, destroyed, or re-used
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Capital Cycle
If a developer can source funds, they will build
If debt is cheap, owners will overpay and over-leverage
Short-term illiquidity often results in an opportunity to purchase at bargain prices
Having substantial equity is a tremendous advantage
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Market Cycle Quadrants – Rent Growth Rates
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Office Cycle Overview
Office employment growth was constrained by full employment, as firms found it difficult to hire from a smaller hiring pool.
New supply is moderate, as higher construction and financing costs are creating better rationalization.
Short term rentals like WeWorks is leading new demand for space as small startups need the growth flexibility and larger firms realize that the tax code now favors short terms rentals that do not have to be accounted for as debt on their balance sheets like long term leases.
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Office Market Cycle Analysis
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Glenn R. Mueller – Professor - University of Denver - Burns School of Real Estate & Construction Management [email protected]
Industrial Market Cycle Analysis
Glenn R. Mueller – Professor - University of Denver - Burns School of Real Estate & Construction Management [email protected]
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Apartment Market Cycle Analysis
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Glenn R. Mueller – Professor - University of Denver - Burns School of Real Estate & Construction Management [email protected]
Real Estate Cycle
Phases do not necessarily occur in equal periods.
Cycles have different durations.
Cycles vary on geography and asset class.
Application of investment strategies
I N V E S T M E N T C Y C L E S
Investment Strategies
Core
RISK
RE TU
RN
Core Plus
Value Add
Opportunistic
Returns derived primarily from Positive Cash Flow
Returns derived primarily from Reversion
I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
Stabilized, Class A, assets in major core markets
Often featuring long-term leases and tenants with strong credit profiles
Core
Synonymous with ‘income’ in the stock market.
Property investors are conservative investors looking to generate stable income with very low risk.
Properties require very little hand-holding by their owners and are typically acquired and held as an alternative to bonds.
This type of investing is as close as one can get to passive investing when buying properties directly.
A core property requires very little asset management and is typically occupied with credit tenants on long-term leases.
Core
I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
Stabilized assets with diversified multi-tenant income streams
Institutional quality attributes in infill locations
Core Plus
‘Core Plus’ is synonymous with ‘growth and income’ in the stock market and is associated with a low to moderate risk profile.
Core plus property owners typically have the ability to increase cash flows through light property improvements, management efficiencies or by increasing the quality of the tenants.
Similar to core properties, these properties tend to be of high-quality and well-occupied.
Core Plus
Strategy hinges on being able to buy low and sell at an opportune time
Value Add
Value-add real estate investments may require additional leasing or capital improvements with the goal of better positioning the assets to achieve greater total returns.
Properties require physical improvement and/or suffer from captial contraints; little in-place cash flow
Value Add
I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
Properties require a high degree of enhancement
Development, raw land and niche property sectors
Opportunistic
Opportunistic is the riskiest of all real estate investment strategies. It is also synonymous with ‘growth’ in the stock market, like ‘value add,’ but it is even riskier.
Opportunistic investors take on the most complicated projects and may not see a return on their investment for three or more years.
These investment strategies require years of experience and a team of people to be successful.
Ground up developments, acquiring an empty building, land development and repositioning a building from one use to another are examples of opportunistic investments.
Opportunistic
I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
Property Sector Investing
Contrarian Investing
Market Timing
Investing for Future Growth
Value Investing
Investing in “Trophy” or “Blue Chip” Properties
Strategy as to Size of Property
Strategy as to Tenants
Turnaround/Special Situations/Liquidation/Spin Offs
Geography Investing
Specialized Strategies I N V E S T M E N T S T R A T E G I E S
Click to edit Master Click to edit Master subtitle style
Risk
Possible Investor Risks
Operating Cost Vacancy / Demand Natural Disaster
Leasing Liquidity Capital Markets
R I S K
Market Risk
Investors can’t eliminate market shocks, but they can hedge their bets against booms and busts with a diversified portfolio and strategy based on general market conditions.
All markets have ups and downs tied to the economy, interest rates, inflation or other market trends.
R I S K
Business Plan Risk
Is the investment a ground-up development that requires substantial planning, effort and cost to achieve the end result or is it more of a passive investment in a project with a credit tenant who has a decade or more left on their lease?
The less business and asset level risk, the lower the DCF discount rate, or required return, will be.
Business plan risk refers to the investment strategy behind the project.
R I S K
Asset Class
In real estate investing, there’s always demand for apartments in good and bad economies, so multifamily real estate is considered low-risk and therefore often yields lower returns.
Office buildings are less sensitive to consumer demand than shopping malls, while hotels, with their short, seasonal stays and reliance on business and tourism travel, pose far more risk than either apartments or office.
Hotels tend to have more asset-level risk than apartments due to higher operating leverage and shorter duration of leases (nightly versus annual leases for apartments).
Some risks are shared by every investment in an asset class.
R I S K
Property Risk
Construction, for example, will add risk to a project because it limits the capacity for collecting rents during this time.
And when developing a parcel from the ground up, investors take on more types of risk than just the construction risk.
There’s also entitlement risk – the chance that government agencies with jurisdiction over a project won’t issue the required approvals to allow the project to proceed; environmental risks that range from soil contamination to pollution; budget overruns and more, such as political and workforce risks.
Idiosyncratic risk is specific to a particular property. The more risk, the more return.
R I S K
Lease and Obsolescent Risk
As demand for space in the market drives lease rates higher in older properties, it’s only a matter of time before those lease rates justify new construction and increase supply risk. What if a new building makes your investment property obsolete because there’s a better facility with comparable rents? It may not be possible for an investor to raise rents, or even attain decent occupancy rates.
A property leased to Apple for 30 years will command a much higher price than a multi-tenant office building with similar rents.
The length and stability of the property’s income stream is what drives value.
R I S K
Capital Risk
The more debt on an investment, the more risky it is and the more investors should demand in return. Leverage is a force multiplier: It can move a project along quickly and increase returns if things are going well, but if a project’s loans are under stress – typically when its return on assets isn’t enough to cover interest payments – investors tend to lose quickly and a lot.
A lack of alignment can create a divergence of incentives between the manager and the investor.
R I S K
Operating cost synergies by combining services to reduce expenses associated with managing the asset.
Scale Expertise
Commercial real estate is local business.
R I S K
Investment Analysis
CRE Cash Flows Rental income, expenses, offsets, capital
expenditures, fees, debt service, distributions
Sources and Uses Understanding the stakeholders,
types of debt and financing constraints
Valuation Valuation techniques: DCF,
capitalization rates, appraisal techniques
Underwriting Comparables, market research, assumption
building
Development Return on cost, entitlement
process
Investment Analysis I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
Acquisition Underwriting Model
$47.5 MM 270,000 SF OFFICE
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
Acquisition Process
DEAL SOURCING UNDERWRITING DUE DILIGENCE / CONTRACT ACQUISITION ASSET
MANAGEMENT DISPOSITION
UNDERWRITING Granular, data-driven approach
Investment analysis includes tenant-by-tenant cash flow forecasts
Rooted in quantification, disciplined underwriting
DECISION
Comprehensive risk assessment of underwriting process Investment Committee grants/ rejects approval
ACQUISITION Transaction and legal documents structured
Physical due dilligence
Letter of intent / Purchase Contract
ASSET MGMT
Best position the asset in fluid economic environment
Identifies optimal exit strategies for value maximization
Ensure asset positioning is aligned with investment objectives
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
One Page
Cash Flows
Components
Granular Assumptions
Underwriting Pyramid Presentation
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
Mpls Suburban Office Property Executive Summary
Project Detail Summary Uses Mpls Suburban Office Property 277,044 sf Acq NOI (12M From Analysis Start Date) $3,895,105 Reporting Start Date / Analysis Start Date Jan-19 Jan-19 Purchase Price 8.20% $171.45 $47,500,000 Analysis Presentation 2/19/19 Altus Acquisition Fee 1.00% % of purchase price $475,000
Bank Fee (A & B) 0.55% % of loan $170,418 Building Name Occupied Total SF InPlace NOI InPlace Cap Purchase Price PSF Broker Fee $0 Mpls Suburban Office Property 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Due Diligence 0.05% % of purchase price $22,329
Legal (Buyer & Lender) 0.22% % of purchase price $105,300 Title & Mortgage Registration 0.18% % of purchase price $85,038 Entrance Basis 8.05% $174.55 $48,358,084 Initial Project Cash Reserve $0.36 $100,000 Total Initial Capitalization $174.91 $48,458,084
Sources Initial Equity Funding 46% 22,333,084$ Initial Debt Funding 54% 26,125,000$ Total Initial Capitalization 100% $48,458,084.28
Totals 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Follow on Equity Funding Mar-18 $0
Financing & Underwriting General Underwriting
General Inflation 2.50% Portfolio Permanent Vacancy Impact Over Invest Period 0.31% Expenses (Year 1) $13.01 PSF Portfolio General Vacancy $1,421,977 5.00% Market Rent Growth $0.50 PSF Structural Offset $173,153 $0.10 PSF Specific Identified Capital Improvements $2,639,985 Economic Offset $2,952,994 10.23%
Initial Debt Financing Initial Loan to Purchase Actually Gets Drawn 54.02% LTC 55.00% LTP $94.30 26,125,000$ DSCR (Intial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 2.31 x 1.95 x Additional Draw Proceeds $4,860,000 84m Max Draw Period $17.54 4,860,000$ Debt Yield (Initial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 14.57% 12.29% Total Loan Amount 54.71% LTC 65.23% LTP $111.84 30,985,000$ Prepayment Penalty 0.00% -$ Loan Term 7.0 years Dec-25 84 months Balance at Refinance $0.00 -$ Interest Only Period 3.0 years 36 months Balance at Sale $106.35 29,464,000$ Amortization Acq Fixed Draw Float Index Spread Buffer $39,000/month 30 years Interest Rate 4.77% 2.51% 2.20% 0.25% 4.80%
Disposition Summary Project AVG RENT
(Day 1) AVG NOI
(Inv Period) Occupancy at
Sale 12M NOI
(Sale Date) AVG RENT
(At Sale) Accelerated
Debt Sale
Month Exit Date
Cap Rate
Sales Price
PSF Sales Price Allocation
Mpls Suburban Office Property $15.34 PSF $4,230,094 100% $4,946,515 $18.01 PSF 100.00% 75 Mar-25 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 100.0%
Total Capital Offset @ Sale $140,000 $4,230,094 $4,946,515 75 6.3 yr hold 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 0.75% Offset
Project Structure Partnership Structure General Partner Fees and Promote
Structure: ARIF II Acquisition Fee 1.00% $475,000 Step 1: Simple Interest Preferred Return to Member 6.00% Asset Mgmt - Annual 1.25% $279,164 Step 2: Return of Capital to Member 100.00% Disposition Fee 0.50% $308,904 Step 3: Manager Catchup 0.00% Step 4: Manager Cash Flow Split After Catchup 20.00%
Project Performance Limited Partner Level Project Level Return on Equity (Cash on Cash )
Investors Altus Promote Levered Unlevered On Equity Outstanding On Capital Invested
Investment $22,333,084 $22,333,084 $48,358,084 Y1 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Total Return $16,403,287 $2,062,558 $18,465,844 $27,401,900 Y2 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Cash Multiple 1.7 11.17% 1.8 1.6 Y3 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR 10.6% 11.58% 8.3% Y4 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR % From Operating / Reversion Cash Flows 26.1% 73.9% Average Over Investment Period 6.0% 6.0%
Mpls Suburban Office Property Executive Summary
Project Detail Summary Uses Mpls Suburban Office Property 277,044 sf Acq NOI (12M From Analysis Start Date) $3,895,105 Reporting Start Date / Analysis Start Date Jan-19 Jan-19 Purchase Price 8.20% $171.45 $47,500,000 Analysis Presentation 2/19/19 Altus Acquisition Fee 1.00% % of purchase price $475,000
Bank Fee (A & B) 0.55% % of loan $170,418 Building Name Occupied Total SF InPlace NOI InPlace Cap Purchase Price PSF Broker Fee $0 Mpls Suburban Office Property 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Due Diligence 0.05% % of purchase price $22,329
Legal (Buyer & Lender) 0.22% % of purchase price $105,300 Title & Mortgage Registration 0.18% % of purchase price $85,038 Entrance Basis 8.05% $174.55 $48,358,084 Initial Project Cash Reserve $0.36 $100,000 Total Initial Capitalization $174.91 $48,458,084
Sources Initial Equity Funding 46% 22,333,084$ Initial Debt Funding 54% 26,125,000$ Total Initial Capitalization 100% $48,458,084.28
Totals 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Follow on Equity Funding Mar-18 $0
Financing & Underwriting General Underwriting
General Inflation 2.50% Portfolio Permanent Vacancy Impact Over Invest Period 0.31% Expenses (Year 1) $13.01 PSF Portfolio General Vacancy $1,421,977 5.00% Market Rent Growth $0.50 PSF Structural Offset $173,153 $0.10 PSF Specific Identified Capital Improvements $2,639,985 Economic Offset $2,952,994 10.23%
Initial Debt Financing Initial Loan to Purchase Actually Gets Drawn 54.02% LTC 55.00% LTP $94.30 26,125,000$ DSCR (Intial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 2.31 x 1.95 x Additional Draw Proceeds $4,860,000 84m Max Draw Period $17.54 4,860,000$ Debt Yield (Initial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 14.57% 12.29% Total Loan Amount 54.71% LTC 65.23% LTP $111.84 30,985,000$ Prepayment Penalty 0.00% -$ Loan Term 7.0 years Dec-25 84 months Balance at Refinance $0.00 -$ Interest Only Period 3.0 years 36 months Balance at Sale $106.35 29,464,000$ Amortization Acq Fixed Draw Float Index Spread Buffer $39,000/month 30 years Interest Rate 4.77% 2.51% 2.20% 0.25% 4.80%
Disposition Summary Project AVG RENT
(Day 1) AVG NOI
(Inv Period) Occupancy at
Sale 12M NOI
(Sale Date) AVG RENT
(At Sale) Accelerated
Debt Sale
Month Exit Date
Cap Rate
Sales Price
PSF Sales Price Allocation
Mpls Suburban Office Property $15.34 PSF $4,230,094 100% $4,946,515 $18.01 PSF 100.00% 75 Mar-25 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 100.0%
Total Capital Offset @ Sale $140,000 $4,230,094 $4,946,515 75 6.3 yr hold 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 0.75% Offset
One Page
Cash Flows
Components
Granular Assumptions
Underwriting Pyramid Presentation
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
Mpls Suburban Office Property Cash Flow Summary
Bank DSC (Based On: Outstandingl Loan Proceeds, 6% Rate, 30 Yr Amort) 1.98 x 1.86 x 1.73 x 1.66 x 1.95 x 2.06 x 1.87 x Bank DSC (Based On: Full Loan Proceeds, 6% Rate, 30 Yr Amort) 1.73 x 1.71 x 1.70 x 1.65 x 1.91 x 1.98 x 1.79 x
Bank DY (Based On: Outstanding Loan Proceeds) 14.22% 13.36% 12.48% 11.98% 14.06% 14.80% 13.49% Bank DY (Based On: Full Loan Proceeds) 12.48% 12.31% 12.22% 11.87% 13.73% 14.23% 12.84%
Average SF Owned For Period 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 69,261 sf Average Occupied SF For Period (Excluding General Vacancy) 264,638 sf 259,538 sf 265,726 sf 253,687 sf 273,363 sf 269,293 sf 272,414 sf Occupancy Year over Year Change 0 sf (5,100 sf) 6,189 sf (12,040 sf) 19,677 sf (4,071 sf) 3,122 sf
Portfolio Vacancy (Excluding General Vacancy) 4.28% Avg 4.5% 6.3% 4.1% 8.4% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% Portfolio Vacancy Including 5% Gen Vacancy 7.05% Avg 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 9.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.1%
Initial 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 For the Year Ending Investment Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25
Rental Revenue 4,309,743 4,418,969 4,549,048 4,675,568 4,766,943 4,893,611 1,247,355 Absorption, Turnover Vacancy, Base Rent Abatements (220,323) (323,972) (354,396) (568,914) (145,111) (156,858) (90,592) Reimbursement & Other Revenue 3,588,949 3,707,785 3,777,936 3,689,958 4,156,715 4,245,514 1,040,699
Potential Gross Income 7,678,369 7,802,782 7,972,588 7,796,612 8,778,547 8,982,267 2,197,462
General Vacancy Factor 5.0% (179,216) (141,405) (243,318) (88,376) (372,672) (318,396) (78,592) Effective Gross Income 7,499,153 7,661,377 7,729,270 7,708,236 8,405,875 8,663,871 2,118,870
Total Expenses (3,604,048) (3,819,835) (3,914,700) (4,003,185) (4,122,940) (4,225,620) (1,080,209) $13.01 $13.79 $14.13 $14.45 $14.88 $15.25 $15.60
Net Operating Income 3,895,105 3,841,542 3,814,570 3,705,051 4,282,935 4,438,251 1,038,661
Debt Service (1,297,205) (1,367,811) (1,446,666) (1,942,474) (1,922,252) (1,899,792) (471,439) Tenant Improvements (132,545) (231,462) (1,292,217) (1,209,777) (544,409) (129,851) (441,201) Commissions (166,324) (74,372) (427,134) (518,477) (233,319) (57,766) (179,385) Asset Management Fee (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (69,791) Refinance Costs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Structural Reserve (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (6,926) Spec. Identified Cap Improvements (1,812,260) (275,309) (236,375) (150,255) (165,785) 0 0 Cash Flow after Debt Service and Capital Items 179,903 1,585,719 105,310 (422,800) 1,110,302 2,043,974 (130,081)
781.4% (93.4%) (501.5%) (362.6%) 84.1% (106.4%) Pruchase Price (47,500,000) Closing Costs ($858,084) Follow-On Equity Funding - - - - - - - Initial Debt Funding 26,125,000 Loan Draw Proceeds - 2,111,129 581,143 1,955,726 212,001 - - - Refinance Proceeds (Remargin) - - - - - - - - Cash Account Outflow (Reserve) ($100,000) (986,543) (862,374) (756,548) 1,515,288 194,187 (739,485) 1,735,474 Sale Net Proceeds - - - - - - 60,869,602 Debt Repay Assoc. W/ Sale (Including Offsets & Prepayment Penalty) - - - - - - (29,503,000)
Levered Cash Flow 18,465,844 (22,333,084)$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 32,971,995$
Project Levered IRR / Multiple 11.58% 1.83 x IR Distributions 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489
Capital Invested End of the Period 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 - CoC - Equity Invested (e) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0% CoC - Equity Invested (Net of Reserves) 2.9% 0.8% 7.1% 0.5% (1.9%) 5.0% 9.2% (0.6%) CoC - Equity Invested (Net of Reserves & Capitals) 8.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.5% 9.2% 10.0% 2.2%
Projected Equity Balance End of the Period 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 - CoC - Equity Outstanding (c) (e) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0%
Projected Debt Balance End of the Period 26,125,000 28,236,129 28,817,272 30,772,999 30,517,000 30,049,000 29,581,000 - Debt Balance by SF $106.70 $111.03 $115.81 $120.29 $109.92 $109.85 $0.00 Year over Year Change 2,111,129 581,143 1,955,726 (255,999) (468,000) (468,000) (29,581,000) Debt Balance by SF * $101.92 PSF $104.02 PSF $111.08 PSF $110.15 PSF $108.46 PSF $106.77 PSF $0.00 PSF
Projected Cash Balance End of the Period $100,000 1,086,543 1,948,916 2,705,464 1,190,176 995,989 1,735,474 - Year over Year Change 986,543 862,374 756,548 (1,515,288) (194,187) 739,485 (1,735,474)
Total Basis* 48,358,084 49,482,671 49,201,440 50,400,619 51,659,908 51,386,095 50,178,611 - Basis by SF * $174.55 PSF $178.61 PSF $177.59 PSF $181.92 PSF $186.47 PSF $185.48 PSF $181.12 PSF $0.00 PSF
* Average SF owned for the period.
Unlevered Returns Total Unlevered Cash Flow 27,401,900 (48,287,667) 1,477,108 2,953,531 1,551,976 1,519,673 3,032,554 3,943,766 61,210,960 Project Unlevered IRR / Multiple 8.28% 1.57 x
Project Structure Partnership Structure General Partner Fees and Promote
Structure: ARIF II Acquisition Fee 1.00% $475,000 Step 1: Simple Interest Preferred Return to Member 6.00% Asset Mgmt - Annual 1.25% $279,164 Step 2: Return of Capital to Member 100.00% Disposition Fee 0.50% $308,904 Step 3: Manager Catchup 0.00% Step 4: Manager Cash Flow Split After Catchup 20.00%
Project Performance Limited Partner Level Project Level Return on Equity (Cash on Cash )
Investors Altus Promote Levered Unlevered On Equity Outstanding On Capital Invested
Investment $22,333,084 $22,333,084 $48,358,084 Y1 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Total Return $16,403,287 $2,062,558 $18,465,844 $27,401,900 Y2 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Cash Multiple 1.7 11.17% 1.8 1.6 Y3 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR 10.6% 11.58% 8.3% Y4 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR % From Operating / Reversion Cash Flows 26.1% 73.9% Average Over Investment Period 6.0% 6.0%
Cash Flow Summary Bank DSC (Based On: Outstandingl Loan Proceeds, 6% Rate, 30 Yr Amort) 1.98 x 1.86 x 1.73 x 1.66 x 1.95 x 2.06 x 1.87 x Bank DSC (Based On: Full Loan Proceeds, 6% Rate, 30 Yr Amort) 1.73 x 1.71 x 1.70 x 1.65 x 1.91 x 1.98 x 1.79 x
Bank DY (Based On: Outstanding Loan Proceeds) 14.22% 13.36% 12.48% 11.98% 14.06% 14.80% 13.49% Bank DY (Based On: Full Loan Proceeds) 12.48% 12.31% 12.22% 11.87% 13.73% 14.23% 12.84%
Average SF Owned For Period 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 277,044 sf 69,261 sf Average Occupied SF For Period (Excluding General Vacancy) 264,638 sf 259,538 sf 265,726 sf 253,687 sf 273,363 sf 269,293 sf 272,414 sf Occupancy Year over Year Change 0 sf (5,100 sf) 6,189 sf (12,040 sf) 19,677 sf (4,071 sf) 3,122 sf
Portfolio Vacancy (Excluding General Vacancy) 4.28% Avg 4.5% 6.3% 4.1% 8.4% 1.3% 2.8% 2.5% Portfolio Vacancy Including 5% Gen Vacancy 7.05% Avg 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 9.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.1%
Initial 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 For the Year Ending Investment Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25
Rental Revenue 4,309,743 4,418,969 4,549,048 4,675,568 4,766,943 4,893,611 1,247,355 Absorption, Turnover Vacancy, Base Rent Abatements (220,323) (323,972) (354,396) (568,914) (145,111) (156,858) (90,592) Reimbursement & Other Revenue 3,588,949 3,707,785 3,777,936 3,689,958 4,156,715 4,245,514 1,040,699
Potential Gross Income 7,678,369 7,802,782 7,972,588 7,796,612 8,778,547 8,982,267 2,197,462
General Vacancy Factor 5.0% (179,216) (141,405) (243,318) (88,376) (372,672) (318,396) (78,592) Effective Gross Income 7,499,153 7,661,377 7,729,270 7,708,236 8,405,875 8,663,871 2,118,870
Total Expenses (3,604,048) (3,819,835) (3,914,700) (4,003,185) (4,122,940) (4,225,620) (1,080,209) $13.01 $13.79 $14.13 $14.45 $14.88 $15.25 $15.60
Net Operating Income 3,895,105 3,841,542 3,814,570 3,705,051 4,282,935 4,438,251 1,038,661
Net Operating Income 3,895,105 3,841,542 3,814,570 3,705,051 4,282,935 4,438,251 1,038,661
Debt Service (1,297,205) (1,367,811) (1,446,666) (1,942,474) (1,922,252) (1,899,792) (471,439) Tenant Improvements (132,545) (231,462) (1,292,217) (1,209,777) (544,409) (129,851) (441,201) Commissions (166,324) (74,372) (427,134) (518,477) (233,319) (57,766) (179,385) Asset Management Fee (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (279,164) (69,791) Refinance Costs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Structural Reserve (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (27,704) (6,926) Spec. Identified Cap Improvements (1,812,260) (275,309) (236,375) (150,255) (165,785) 0 0 Cash Flow after Debt Service and Capital Items 179,903 1,585,719 105,310 (422,800) 1,110,302 2,043,974 (130,081)
781.4% (93.4%) (501.5%) (362.6%) 84.1% (106.4%) Pruchase Price (47,500,000) Closing Costs ($858,084) Follow-On Equity Funding - - - - - - - Initial Debt Funding 26,125,000 Loan Draw Proceeds - 2,111,129 581,143 1,955,726 212,001 - - - Refinance Proceeds (Remargin) - - - - - - - - Cash Account Outflow (Reserve) ($100,000) (986,543) (862,374) (756,548) 1,515,288 194,187 (739,485) 1,735,474 Sale Net Proceeds - - - - - - 60,869,602 Debt Repay Assoc. W/ Sale (Including Offsets & Prepayment Penalty) - - - - - - (29,503,000)
Levered Cash Flow 18,465,844 (22,333,084)$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 1,304,489$ 32,971,995$
Project Levered IRR / Multiple 11.58% 1.83 x IR Distributions 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489 1,304,489
Capital Invested End of the Period 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 - CoC - Equity Invested (e) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0% CoC - Equity Invested (Net of Reserves) 2.9% 0.8% 7.1% 0.5% (1.9%) 5.0% 9.2% (0.6%) CoC - Equity Invested (Net of Reserves & Capitals) 8.2% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.5% 9.2% 10.0% 2.2%
Projected Equity Balance End of the Period 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 22,333,084 - CoC - Equity Outstanding (c) (e) 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0%
Projected Debt Balance End of the Period 26,125,000 28,236,129 28,817,272 30,772,999 30,517,000 30,049,000 29,581,000 - Debt Balance by SF $106.70 $111.03 $115.81 $120.29 $109.92 $109.85 $0.00 Year over Year Change 2,111,129 581,143 1,955,726 (255,999) (468,000) (468,000) (29,581,000) Debt Balance by SF * $101.92 PSF $104.02 PSF $111.08 PSF $110.15 PSF $108.46 PSF $106.77 PSF $0.00 PSF
Projected Cash Balance End of the Period $100,000 1,086,543 1,948,916 2,705,464 1,190,176 995,989 1,735,474 - Year over Year Change 986,543 862,374 756,548 (1,515,288) (194,187) 739,485 (1,735,474)
Total Basis* 48,358,084 49,482,671 49,201,440 50,400,619 51,659,908 51,386,095 50,178,611 - Basis by SF * $174.55 PSF $178.61 PSF $177.59 PSF $181.92 PSF $186.47 PSF $185.48 PSF $181.12 PSF $0.00 PSF
* Average SF owned for the period.
Unlevered Returns Total Unlevered Cash Flow 27,401,900 (48,287,667) 1,477,108 2,953,531 1,551,976 1,519,673 3,032,554 3,943,766 61,210,960 Project Unlevered IRR / Multiple 8.28% 1.57 x
One Page
Cash Flows
Components
Granular Assumptions
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
Investment Life Cycle Volatility, Risk, and Exit
Mpls Suburban Office Property Portfolio-Level NOI & Occupancy Indicator
65.00%
70.00%
75.00%
80.00%
85.00%
90.00%
95.00%
100.00%
$2,200,000
$2,700,000
$3,200,000
$3,700,000
$4,200,000
$4,700,000
$5,200,000
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Portfolio Exit Date NOI Occupancy
Tenant AA / September 2020 /
22,780 SF
Tenant AB / December 2021 /
20,774 SF
Tenant R / September 2024 /
18,318 SF
Tenant O / April 2029/ 58,786 SF
Tenant K / 23,761 SF / Spec Rollover Post 3YR Lease Term
Renewal/Blend.
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Cash Flows
Components
Granular Assumptions
Underwriting Pyramid Presentation
I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
NOI Stats
Months Above Months Below SD From Average
Average NOI $4,383,406 30 44 0.00
InPlace NOI $3,806,844 72 2 (1.58)
10% Greater than InPlace $4,187,528 47 27 (0.54) 20% Greater than InPlace $4,568,213 28 46 0.51
10% Less Than InPlace $3,426,160 74 0 (2.62) 20% Less Than InPlace $3,045,475 74 0 (3.66)
Min NOI $3,800,193 73 0 (1.60) Max NOI $5,008,387 0 73 1.71
Sale NOI $4,946,515 3 71 1.54
Mpls Suburban Office Property
Rollover Variance - Full InPlace Tenancy
Tenant Name Suite Tenant Size % of
Portfolio Expiration Date (Current Term) Current Rent Ending Rate Rollover Rate
Change at
Roll Notes
Mpls Suburban Office Property
Tenant J 291 0.00% Feb-19 999 SF. 100% Vacate Tenant I 290 1,974 0.71% Mar-19 $15.50 $16.00 $16.50 3.13% Tenant W 920 5,600 2.02% May-19 $15.50 $16.00 $16.50 3.13% Tenant X 930 0.00% Jun-19 1,729 SF. Assumed 1YR Flat Renew al, Then 100% Vacate Tenant K 910 23,761 8.58% Sep-19 $17.50 $17.50 $17.50 0.00% Spec 3yr Renew al / Lease Term Blend Tenant M 340 14,243 5.14% Jun-20 $17.50 $17.50 $17.00 -2.86% 50% Renew al. $42.50 New TI / $14.50 Renew TI Tenant H 270 1,945 0.70% Jul-20 $15.60 $16.00 $17.00 6.25% Tenant G 250 2,604 0.94% Aug-20 $16.55 $17.55 $17.00 -3.13% Tenant L 330 1,505 0.54% Aug-20 $16.50 $17.00 $17.00 0.00% Tenant D 155 975 0.35% Sep-20 $17.00 $17.50 $17.50 0.00% Tenant T 800 4,677 1.69% Oct-20 $16.00 $17.00 $17.50 2.94% Tenant AA 1100 22,780 8.22% Dec-20 $15.70 $16.40 $17.50 6.71% Tenant Y 940 4,113 1.48% Jun-21 $16.00 $17.50 $17.50 0.00% Tenant B 130 2,462 0.89% Aug-21 $18.00 $19.00 $17.50 -7.89% Tenant U 810 4,263 1.54% Oct-21 $15.82 $16.90 $17.50 3.55% Tenant AB 1200 20,774 7.50% Dec-21 $15.50 $17.00 $17.50 2.94% Tenant AD 1360 1,665 0.60% Dec-21 $18.00 $19.50 $17.50 -10.26% Tenant AC 1310 10,951 3.95% Jan-22 $17.00 $17.75 $17.50 -1.41% Tenant Q 640 9,346 3.37% Apr-22 $15.50 $17.00 $17.50 2.94% Tenant F 210 2,813 1.02% Jul-22 $16.35 $17.75 $18.00 1.41% Tenant P 620/950 7,505 2.71% Jul-22 $17.75 $19.25 $18.00 -6.49% Tenant V 820 9,539 3.44% Aug-22 $16.10 $17.75 $18.00 1.41% Tenant V 825 2,274 0.82% Aug-22 $15.75 $17.75 $18.00 1.41% Tenant N 350 3,983 1.44% Dec-22 $16.00 $17.00 $18.00 5.88% Tenant Z 1080 3,365 1.21% Apr-23 $16.00 $18.50 $18.00 -2.70% Tenant A 125 3,995 1.44% Sep-23 $16.50 $19.00 $18.00 -5.26% Tenant E 175 1,733 0.63% Dec-23 $16.50 $19.00 $18.00 -5.26% Tenant R 700 18,318 6.61% Sep-24 $14.15 $15.90 $18.00 13.21% 65% Renew Probability Tenant S 710 4,522 1.63% Jun-25 $15.50 $18.75 $18.00 -4.00% Tenant C 140 3,744 1.35% Dec-26 $15.25 $17.00 $18.00 5.88% Tenant O 400-600 58,109 20.97% Apr-29 $15.50 $20.50 $18.00 -12.20%
Mpls Suburban Office Property
Rollover Variance - Full InPlace Tenancy
Tenant Name Suite Tenant Size % of
Portfolio Expiration Date (Current Term) Current Rent Ending Rate Rollover Rate
Change at
Roll Notes
2019 Roll Occupied SF: 31,335 Average: $16.17 $16.50 $16.83 2.08%
Weighted Average: $17.02 $17.14 $17.26 0.76%
2020 Roll Occupied SF: 25,949 Average: $16.53 $17.09 $17.17 0.53%
Weighted Average: $16.92 $17.27 $17.11 -0.88%
2021 Roll Occupied SF: 33,277 Average: $16.66 $17.98 $17.50 -2.33%
Weighted Average: $15.91 $17.32 $17.50 1.19%
2022 Roll Occupied SF: 46,411 Average: $16.35 $17.75 $17.86 0.74%
Weighted Average: $16.45 $17.78 $17.78 0.16%
2023 Roll Occupied SF: 9,093 Average: $16.33 $18.83 $18.00 -4.41%
Weighted Average: $16.31 $18.81 $18.00 -4.32%
2024 Roll Occupied SF: 18,318 Average: $14.15 $15.90 $18.00 13.21%
Weighted Average: $14.15 $15.90 $18.00 13.21%
2025 Roll Occupied SF: 4,522 Average: $15.50 $18.75 $18.00 -4.00%
Weighted Average: $15.50 $18.75 $18.00 -4.00%
2026 Roll Occupied SF: 3,744 Average: $15.25 $17.00 $18.00 5.88%
Weighted Average: $15.25 $17.00 $18.00 5.88%
2029 Roll Occupied SF: 58,109 Average: $15.50 $20.50 $18.00 -12.20%
Weighted Average: $15.50 $20.50 $18.00 -12.20%
Rolls in Investment Period Occupied SF: 168,845 Average: $16.40 $17.56 $17.50 -0.14%
Weighted Average: $16.41 $17.36 $17.50 0.96%
Total Occupied SF: 253,538 Average: $16.22 $17.63 $17.57 -0.02%
Weighted Average: $16.01 $17.99 $17.67 -1.19%
Mpls Suburban Office Property Operating Expense Detail
2015 Actual 2016 Actual 2017 Actual Altus 2019 Budget
Building Occupancy 75.0% 87.0% 80.0% Building Occupancy 96.51%
Cleaning $331,834 $1.20 $375,465 $1.36 $404,332 $1.46 Repairs & Maintenance $404,004 $1.46 R&M $189,265 $0.68 $111,772 $0.40 $185,935 $0.67 Landscape $82,152 $0.30 Utilities $509,295 $1.84 $530,127 $1.91 $634,249 $2.29 Cleaning $497,700 $1.80 Salaries $328,168 $1.18 $318,129 $1.15 $290,981 $1.05 Security & Safety $98,016 $0.35 Supplies $31,771 $0.11 $19,640 $0.07 $18,666 $0.07 Utilities $652,728 $2.36 Contract Services $249,605 $0.90 $215,139 $0.78 $243,863 $0.88 Parking $53,352 $0.19 Administrative $149,925 $0.54 $166,677 $0.60 $160,470 $0.58 Management Fee (2.5%) $191,960 $0.69 Management Fee (2.5%) $125,523 $0.45 $137,439 $0.50 $161,535 $0.58 Administrative $103,908 $0.38 Electric Billback $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Insurance $57,816 $0.21 Insurance $68,879 $0.25 $62,367 $0.23 $63,615 $0.23 Real Estate Taxes $1,402,836 $5.06 RE Taxes $1,231,593 $4.45 $1,326,693 $4.79 $1,138,426 $4.11 LL Misc NR Expenses $59,592 $0.22 LL Misc NR Expenses $942 $0.00 $3,058 $0.01 $204,418 $0.74
Totals $3,216,801 $11.61 $3,266,507 $11.79 $3,506,491 $12.66 Totals $3,604,064 $13.01
Reimbursable CAM $1,915,387 $6.91 $1,874,388 $6.77 $2,100,031 $7.58 Reimbursable CAM $2,083,820 $7.52 Insurance $68,879 $0.25 $62,367 $0.23 $63,615 $0.23 Insurance $57,816 $0.21 Real Estate Taxes $1,231,593 $4.45 $1,326,693 $4.79 $1,138,426 $4.11 Real Estate Taxes $1,402,836 $5.06 Non-Reimbursable Expenses $942 $0.00 $3,058 $0.01 $204,418 $0.74 Non-Reimbursable Expenses $59,592 $0.22
Totals $3,216,801 $11.61 $3,266,507 $11.79 $3,506,491 $12.66 Totals $3,604,064 $13.01
Mpls Suburban Office Property Capital Improvement Guide
1 2 3 4 5 For The Year Ending Dec-19 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-22 Dec-23 Sale Offset Notes
Roof $8,000 $140,000 2001 vintage sections (could be increased by $188k based on five unknown age sections)
HVAC $8,000 $23,000 $16,000 $20,000 $58,000
Curtainwall $202,650 $202,309 $120,375 $80,255 $57,785
Parking Garage $150,000 $50,000 $100,000 $50,000 $50,000
Whiteboxing Suite 1050 2,863 sf $18,610 $6.50 PSF
1st Floor Lounge/Café $750,000
Corridors/Restrooms 1st Floor $50,000 2nd Floor $25,000 3rd Floor $50,000 4th Floor 5th Floor 6th Floor $50,000 7th Floor $50,000 8th Floor $125,000 9th Floor $125,000 10th Floor $50,000 11th Floor 12th Floor $25,000 13th Floor $125,000
Grand Total $1,812,260 $275,309 $236,375 $150,255 $165,785 $140,000
Mpls Suburban Office Property Executive Summary
Project Detail Summary Uses Mpls Suburban Office Property 277,044 sf Acq NOI (12M From Analysis Start Date) $3,895,105 Reporting Start Date / Analysis Start Date Jan-19 Jan-19 Purchase Price 8.20% $171.45 $47,500,000 Analysis Presentation 2/19/19 Altus Acquisition Fee 1.00% % of purchase price $475,000
Bank Fee (A & B) 0.55% % of loan $170,418 Building Name Occupied Total SF InPlace NOI InPlace Cap Purchase Price PSF Broker Fee $0 Mpls Suburban Office Property 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Due Diligence 0.05% % of purchase price $22,329
Legal (Buyer & Lender) 0.22% % of purchase price $105,300 Title & Mortgage Registration 0.18% % of purchase price $85,038 Entrance Basis 8.05% $174.55 $48,358,084 Initial Project Cash Reserve $0.36 $100,000 Total Initial Capitalization $174.91 $48,458,084
Sources Initial Equity Funding 46% 22,333,084$ Initial Debt Funding 54% 26,125,000$ Total Initial Capitalization 100% $48,458,084.28
Totals 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Follow on Equity Funding Mar-18 $0
Financing & Underwriting General Underwriting
General Inflation 2.50% Portfolio Permanent Vacancy Impact Over Invest Period 0.31% Expenses (Year 1) $13.01 PSF Portfolio General Vacancy $1,421,977 5.00% Market Rent Growth $0.50 PSF Structural Offset $173,153 $0.10 PSF Specific Identified Capital Improvements $2,639,985 Economic Offset $2,952,994 10.23%
Initial Debt Financing Initial Loan to Purchase Actually Gets Drawn 54.02% LTC 55.00% LTP $94.30 26,125,000$ DSCR (Intial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 2.31 x 1.95 x Additional Draw Proceeds $4,860,000 84m Max Draw Period $17.54 4,860,000$ Debt Yield (Initial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 14.57% 12.29% Total Loan Amount 54.71% LTC 65.23% LTP $111.84 30,985,000$ Prepayment Penalty 0.00% -$ Loan Term 7.0 years Dec-25 84 months Balance at Refinance $0.00 -$ Interest Only Period 3.0 years 36 months Balance at Sale $106.35 29,464,000$ Amortization Acq Fixed Draw Float Index Spread Buffer $39,000/month 30 years Interest Rate 4.77% 2.51% 2.20% 0.25% 4.80%
Disposition Summary Project AVG RENT
(Day 1) AVG NOI
(Inv Period) Occupancy at
Sale 12M NOI
(Sale Date) AVG RENT
(At Sale) Accelerated
Debt Sale
Month Exit Date
Cap Rate
Sales Price
PSF Sales Price Allocation
Mpls Suburban Office Property $15.34 PSF $4,230,094 100% $4,946,515 $18.01 PSF 100.00% 75 Mar-25 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 100.0%
Total Capital Offset @ Sale $140,000 $4,230,094 $4,946,515 75 6.3 yr hold 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 0.75% Offset
Project Structure Partnership Structure General Partner Fees and Promote
Structure: ARIF II Acquisition Fee 1.00% $475,000 Step 1: Simple Interest Preferred Return to Member 6.00% Asset Mgmt - Annual 1.25% $279,164 Step 2: Return of Capital to Member 100.00% Disposition Fee 0.50% $308,904 Step 3: Manager Catchup 0.00% Step 4: Manager Cash Flow Split After Catchup 20.00%
Project Performance Limited Partner Level Project Level Return on Equity (Cash on Cash )
Investors Altus Promote Levered Unlevered On Equity Outstanding On Capital Invested
Investment $22,333,084 $22,333,084 $48,358,084 Y1 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Total Return $16,403,287 $2,062,558 $18,465,844 $27,401,900 Y2 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Cash Multiple 1.7 11.17% 1.8 1.6 Y3 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR 10.6% 11.58% 8.3% Y4 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR % From Operating / Reversion Cash Flows 26.1% 73.9% Average Over Investment Period 6.0% 6.0%
Mpls Suburban Office Property Closing Cost Estimate
Service Vendor Amount
Altus Legal $65,800.00 Lender Legal $39,500.00 Misc Lender DD Reimbursements $790.00 Appraisal $5,200.00 ALTA Survey $3,538.54 Phase I & PCA $5,500.00 Title Insurance $0.00 Title Recording Fees, Mortgage Registration, Ect $85,038.24 Garage Study $7,300.00
Total Closing Costs $212,666.78
Total Due Diligence $22,328.54 Total Legal $105,300.00 Total Title & Mortgage Registration $85,038.24 Total Closing Costs $212,666.78
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Mpls Suburban Office Property Leasing Competitive Set
Property Building RSF Vacant SF % Occupied Asking Rates - $0.50 Opex & Taxes Normandale 8400 Tower 416,844 40,017 90.4% $20.50 $15.79
Normandale 8500 Tower 467,016 97,606 79.1% $20.50 $16.00
Two MarketPointe 241,695 16,435 93.2% $19.00 $13.85
Norman Pointe I 213,851 64,369 69.9% $17.00 $12.95
Bell Plaza 298,171 20,276 93.2% $16.50 $13.16
Centennial Lakes Park III 130,000 7,930 93.9% $16.50 $15.61
Centennial Lakes Park IV 216,000 33,912 84.3% $16.50 $15.14
Centennial Lakes Park I 130,000 9,360 92.8% $16.50 $16.37
Centennial Lakes Park V 220,048 13,203 94.0% $16.50 $15.76
Wells Fargo Plaza 451,022 92,179 79.6% $16.50 $12.99
One MarketPointe 236,939 21,561 90.9% $16.00 $13.16
Norman Pointe II 322,551 33,223 89.7% $16.00 $11.67
France Place 204,245 75,979 62.8% $16.00 $13.21
Minnesota Center 277,044 8,311 97.0% $16.00 $12.95
Northland Center Bldg I 247,877 4,710 98.1% $15.00 $12.09
Northland Center Bldg II 244,637 26,910 89.0% $15.00 $12.09
7500 Flying Cloud 201,495 6,045 97.0% $15.00 $12.36
Edinborough Corp Center 101,568 8,359 91.8% $14.75 $12.50
7700 France 310,082 78,761 74.6% $14.50 $12.79
Centennial Lakes Park II 130,000 0 100.0% N/A $16.42
Mpls Suburban Office Property Comparable Sales
Property Building SF Submarket Year Built Occupancy Sale Price $/SF Cap Rate Sale Date Norman Pointe I 212,722 Bloomington 2000 70% $35,500,000 $166.88 Dec-17 The Colonnade 356,399 Golden Valley 1988 98% $100,000,000 $280.63 7.20% Aug-17 Valley Creek Office Park 128,628 Golden Valley 1989 99% $22,700,000 $176.48 Feb-16 Grandview Square 96,000 Edina 2001 95% $19,000,000 $197.92 Oct-15 605 Waterford Park 207,598 Plymouth 1989 81% $31,500,000 $151.74 Oct-15 Golden Hills Office Center 190,758 2000 98% $36,300,000 $190.29 Sep-15 Northland Plaza 296,965 Bloomington 1985 93% $52,500,000 $176.79 7.50% Aug-15 UnitedHealth Care 345,937 1981 100% $78,750,000 $227.64 Dec-14 600 Nathan Lane 182,000 Plymouth 1999 100% $34,000,000 $186.81 6.80% Dec-14 601 Tower at Carlson Parkway 288,458 Minnetonka 1989 100% $75,000,000 $260.00 7.50% Jun-14
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Mpls Suburban Office Property Rent Roll & Current Term Tenant Summary
277,044 sf
General Tenant Information Rent Details Free Rent Recovery Tenant Improvements Leasing Commissions Renewal Assumption Tenant Name Rate Per Year Suite Number Lease Period Amount Per Year Rent Rent Structure Name Market - % Lease Dates Initial Area Lease Status Rate Per Month Changes On Changes To Type Rate $/SF Rate $/SF Reabsorb Lease Term Building Share % Market Leasing Amount Per Month Date $/SF-Annual Date Months Input Amount Total Amount Total Amount Option
Tenure Lease Type Rental Value Per Year
1. Tenant A 3,995. Base 16.50 Jul-2019 17.00 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0125 1.44% Contract 65,918 Jul-2020 17.50 0 0
1/1/1988 - 9/30/2023 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.38 Jul-2021 18.00
35 Years 9 Months Office 5,493 Jul-2022 18.50 Freehold 65,918 Jul-2023 19.00
2. Tenant B 2,462. Base 18.00 Sep-2019 18.50 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0130 0.89% Contract 44,316 Sep-2020 19.00 0 0
11/1/2015 - 8/31/2021 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.50
5 Years 10 Months Office 3,693 Freehold 40,623
3. Tenant C 3,744. Base 15.25 Aug-2019 15.50 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0140 1.35% Contract 57,096 Aug-2020 15.75 0 0
1/1/2011 - 12/31/2026 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.27 Jan-2022 16.00
16 Years Office 4,758 Jan-2023 16.25 Freehold 61,776 Jan-2024 16.50
Jan-2025 16.75 Jan-2026 17.00
4. Classics Deli 2,982. Base 0.00 None None 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0145 1.08% Contract 0 N/A 0 0
4/1/2015 - 3/31/2040 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 0.00
25 Years Office 0 Freehold 49,203
5. Tenant D 975. Base 17.00 Oct-2019 17.50 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0155 0.35% Contract 16,575 0 0
5/1/2015 - 9/30/2020 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.42
5 Years 5 Months Office 1,381 Freehold 16,088
6. Suite 160 - PERM VACANT 845. Base 18.00 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0160 0.31% Speculative 15,210 0 0
12/1/2029 - 11/30/2030 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.50
1 Year Office 1,268 Freehold 15,210
7. Tenant E 1,733. Base 16.50 Aug-2019 17.00 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0175 0.63% Contract 28,595 Aug-2020 17.50 0 0
7/1/2015 - 12/31/2023 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.38 Aug-2021 18.00
8 Years 6 Months Office 2,383 Aug-2022 18.50 Freehold 28,595 Aug-2023 19.00
1/1/2019 - 12/31/2068 G st Roll 0.00
50 Years Office 0 Freehold 28,314
9. **Training Room** 2,579. Base 0.00 None None 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0205 0.93% Contract 0 N/A 0 0
1/1/2019 - 12/31/2068 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 0.00
50 Years Office 0 Freehold 42,554
10. Tenant F 2,813. Base 16.35 May-2019 16.70 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0210 1.02% Contract 45,993 May-2020 17.05 0 0
5/1/2017 - 7/31/2022 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.36 May-2021 17.40
5 Years 3 Months Office 3,833 May-2022 17.75 Freehold 46,415
11. Tenant G 2,604. Base 16.55 Jun-2019 17.05 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0250 0.94% Contract 43,096 Jun-2020 17.55 0 0
9/1/2016 - 8/31/2020 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.38
4 Years Office 3,591 Freehold 42,966
12. Tenant H 1,945. Base 15.60 Aug-2019 16.00 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0270 0.70% Contract 30,342 0 0
8/1/1991 - 7/31/2020 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.30
29 Years Office 2,529 Freehold 32,093
13. Tenant I 1,974. Base 15.50 Jan-2019 16.00 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0290 0.71% Contract 30,597 0 0
1/1/2016 - 3/31/2019 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.29
3 Years 3 Months Office 2,550 Freehold 32,571
14. Tenant J 999. Base 14.70 Feb-2019 15.05 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Market - 0.00% Suite: 0291 0.36% Contract 14,685 0 0
2/1/2016 - 2/28/2019 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.23
3 Years 1 Month Office 1,224 Freehold 16,484
15. **Fitness Center** 1,470. Base 0.00 None None 0.00 0.00 Market - 75.00% Suite: 0295 0.53% Contract 0 N/A 0 0
1/1/2019 - 12/31/2068 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 0.00
50 Years Office 0 Freehold 24,255
16. Tenant K 2,752. Base 17.00 Jul-2019 17.50 None NNN 0.00 0.00 Reabsorb Suite: 0320 0.99% Contract 46,784 0 0
3/1/2013 - 9/30/2019 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.42
6 Years 7 Months Office 3,899 Freehold 45,408
17. Tenant K - Spec Blend/Renewal 2,752. Base 17.50 Oct-2020 18.00 None NNN 0.00 4.50 Market - 75.00%
Suite: 0320 0.99% Speculative 48,160 Oct-2021 18.50 0 12,384
10/1/2019 - 9/30/2022 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll 1.46
3 Years Office 4,013 Freehold 45,408
Mpls Suburban Office Property BLDG MLA - 1st Roll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll Dec-2019 Dec-2020 Dec-2021 Dec-2022 Dec-2023 Dec-2024 Dec-2025 Term Length (Years/Months) 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Renewal Probability† 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% Months Vacant 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Months Vacant (Blended) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Market Base Rent (New, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Renew, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Blended, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Fixed Steps ($ / SF / Year) 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Free Rent (New, Months) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Free Rent (Renew, Months) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Free Rent (Blended, Months) 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Recovery Type NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN Tenant Improvements (New, $ / Area) 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 Tenant Improvements (Renew, $ / Area) 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 Tenant Improvements (Blended, $ / Area) 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 Leasing Commissions (New, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Renew, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Blended, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Upon Expiration BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll
BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll Dec-2019 Dec-2020 Dec-2021 Dec-2022 Dec-2023 Dec-2024 Dec-2025 Term Length (Years/Months) 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Renewal Probability† 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% Months Vacant 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Months Vacant (Blended) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Market Base Rent (New, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Renew, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Blended, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Fixed Steps ($ / SF / Year) 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Free Rent (New, Months) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Free Rent (Renew, Months) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Free Rent (Blended, Months) 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Recovery Type NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN Tenant Improvements (New, $ / Area) 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 Tenant Improvements (Renew, $ / Area) 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 Tenant Improvements (Blended, $ / Area) 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 Leasing Commissions (New, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Renew, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Blended, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Upon Expiration BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll
Tenant M - 1st Roll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Tenant M - 1st Roll Dec-2019 Dec-2020 Dec-2021 Dec-2022 Dec-2023 Dec-2024 Dec-2025 Term Length (Years/Months) 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Renewal Probability† 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% Months Vacant 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Months Vacant (Blended) 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 Market Base Rent (New, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Renew, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Blended, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Rental Value (Continue Prior) Continue Prior Continue Prior Continue Prior Continue Prior Continue Prior Continue Prior Continue Prior Use Market or Prior N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Prior Rent N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Fixed Steps ($ / SF / Year) 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 CPI Increases None None None None None None None Free Rent (New, Months) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Free Rent (Renew, Months) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Free Rent (Blended, Months) 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 Recovery Type NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN Recoveries (Net) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Miscellaneous Rent None None None None None None None Incentives None None None None None None None Tenant Improvements (New, $ / Area) 42.50 42.50 42.50 42.50 42.50 42.50 42.50 Tenant Improvements (Renew, $ / Area) 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 Tenant Improvements (Blended, $ / Area) 28.50 28.50 28.50 28.50 28.50 28.50 28.50 Leasing Commissions (New, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Renew, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Blended, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Upon Expiration BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll
Mpls Suburban Office Property BLDG MLA - 1st Roll
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 BLDG MLA - 1st Roll Dec-2019 Dec-2020 Dec-2021 Dec-2022 Dec-2023 Dec-2024 Term Length (Years/Months) 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Renewal Probability† 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% 75.00% Months Vacant 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Months Vacant (Blended) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Market Base Rent (New, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Renew, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 Market Base Rent (Blended, $ / SF / Year) 16.50 17.00 17.50 18.00 18.00 18.00 Fixed Steps ($ / SF / Year) 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 Free Rent (New, Months) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 Free Rent (Renew, Months) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Free Rent (Blended, Months) 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 Recovery Type NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN NNN Tenant Improvements (New, $ / Area) 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 Tenant Improvements (Renew, $ / Area) 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 Tenant Improvements (Blended, $ / Area) 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 17.50 Leasing Commissions (New, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Renew, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Leasing Commissions (Blended, $ / SF) 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 7.5 Upon Expiration BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd Roll BLDG MLA - 2nd
Mpls Suburban Office Property Executive Summary
Project Detail Summary Uses Mpls Suburban Office Property 277,044 sf Acq NOI (12M From Analysis Start Date) $3,895,105 Reporting Start Date / Analysis Start Date Jan-19 Jan-19 Purchase Price 8.20% $171.45 $47,500,000 Analysis Presentation 2/19/19 Altus Acquisition Fee 1.00% % of purchase price $475,000
Bank Fee (A & B) 0.55% % of loan $170,418 Building Name Occupied Total SF InPlace NOI InPlace Cap Purchase Price PSF Broker Fee $0 Mpls Suburban Office Property 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Due Diligence 0.05% % of purchase price $22,329
Legal (Buyer & Lender) 0.22% % of purchase price $105,300 Title & Mortgage Registration 0.18% % of purchase price $85,038 Entrance Basis 8.05% $174.55 $48,358,084 Initial Project Cash Reserve $0.36 $100,000 Total Initial Capitalization $174.91 $48,458,084
Sources Initial Equity Funding 46% 22,333,084$ Initial Debt Funding 54% 26,125,000$ Total Initial Capitalization 100% $48,458,084.28
Totals 97% 277,044 sf $3,806,844 8.01% $47,500,000 $171.45 Follow on Equity Funding Mar-18 $0
Financing & Underwriting General Underwriting
General Inflation 2.50% Portfolio Permanent Vacancy Impact Over Invest Period 0.31% Expenses (Year 1) $13.01 PSF Portfolio General Vacancy $1,421,977 5.00% Market Rent Growth $0.50 PSF Structural Offset $173,153 $0.10 PSF Specific Identified Capital Improvements $2,639,985 Economic Offset $2,952,994 10.23%
Initial Debt Financing Initial Loan to Purchase Actually Gets Drawn 54.02% LTC 55.00% LTP $94.30 26,125,000$ DSCR (Intial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 2.31 x 1.95 x Additional Draw Proceeds $4,860,000 84m Max Draw Period $17.54 4,860,000$ Debt Yield (Initial / Full Balance, InPlace NOI) 14.57% 12.29% Total Loan Amount 54.71% LTC 65.23% LTP $111.84 30,985,000$ Prepayment Penalty 0.00% -$ Loan Term 7.0 years Dec-25 84 months Balance at Refinance $0.00 -$ Interest Only Period 3.0 years 36 months Balance at Sale $106.35 29,464,000$ Amortization Acq Fixed Draw Float Index Spread Buffer $39,000/month 30 years Interest Rate 4.77% 2.51% 2.20% 0.25% 4.80%
Disposition Summary Project AVG RENT
(Day 1) AVG NOI
(Inv Period) Occupancy at
Sale 12M NOI
(Sale Date) AVG RENT
(At Sale) Accelerated
Debt Sale
Month Exit Date
Cap Rate
Sales Price
PSF Sales Price Allocation
Mpls Suburban Office Property $15.34 PSF $4,230,094 100% $4,946,515 $18.01 PSF 100.00% 75 Mar-25 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 100.0%
Total Capital Offset @ Sale $140,000 $4,230,094 $4,946,515 75 6.3 yr hold 8.01% $61,780,812 $223.00 PSF 0.75% Offset
Project Structure Partnership Structure General Partner Fees and Promote
Structure: ARIF II Acquisition Fee 1.00% $475,000 Step 1: Simple Interest Preferred Return to Member 6.00% Asset Mgmt - Annual 1.25% $279,164 Step 2: Return of Capital to Member 100.00% Disposition Fee 0.50% $308,904 Step 3: Manager Catchup 0.00% Step 4: Manager Cash Flow Split After Catchup 20.00%
Project Performance Limited Partner Level Project Level Return on Equity (Cash on Cash )
Investors Altus Promote Levered Unlevered On Equity Outstanding On Capital Invested
Investment $22,333,084 $22,333,084 $48,358,084 Y1 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Total Return $16,403,287 $2,062,558 $18,465,844 $27,401,900 Y2 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% Cash Multiple 1.7 11.17% 1.8 1.6 Y3 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR 10.6% 11.58% 8.3% Y4 22,333,084 6.0% 22,333,084 6.0% IRR % From Operating / Reversion Cash Flows 26.1% 73.9% Average Over Investment Period 6.0% 6.0%
CRE Cash Flows Rental income, expenses, offsets, capital
expenditures, fees, debt service, distributions
Sources and Uses Understanding the stakeholders,
types of debt and financing constraints
Valuation Valuation techniques: DCF,
capitalization rates, appraisal techniques
Underwriting Comparables, market research, assumption
building
Development Return on cost, entitlement
process
Investment Analysis I N V E S T M E N T A N A L Y S I S
- Real Estate �Finance and Investment
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- Real Estate �Finance and Investment
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- The Opportunities
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- Market Research
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- Personal Decision
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- Commercial �Real Estate �Universe
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- Like-Kind Exchanges under Section 1031
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- ESG in Real Estate
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- FRAMEWORK FOR TENANT LIFECYCLE
- INCORPORATE COMMUNITY
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- Placemaking and Community Building
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