Analysis paper on china politics and comparisons between china and usa

china22.pdf

Home >Political Science homework help >Analysis paper on china politics and comparisons between china and usa

POLS3331: Comparative Politics

CHINA

Background Population Language

• 1,379 million (2016 figure) (~811 times Idaho’s) • Standard Chinese or Mandarin (Putonghua, based on the Beijing dialect), Yue (Cantonese), Wu (Shang-haiese), Minbei (Fuzhou), Minnan (Hokkien-Taiwanese), Xiang, Gan, Hakka dialects, minority languages

Territory

• 3,705,386 mi2 (Idaho is 83,642 mi2 so 44x)

Year of PRC Inauguration

• 1949

Year of Current Constitution Religion

• 1982 (Amended 1988, 1993, 1999, 2004) • The nation is officially atheist. • Daoist (Taoist), Buddhist, Muslim 2-3%, and

Christian 1%. Head of State

• President Xi Jinping

Head of Government

• Premier Le Keqiang

Background Political Structure

◦ President

◦ Unicameral Legislature

Capital ◦ Beijing (19.6 million people) (* Idaho State Population is 1.7 million as of 2016, so 11.5x)

St. Basil’s Cathedral

Zhongnanhai

Imperial Palace

Outline 1. Background information

1. Geographic, demographic, and economic information

2. Current leadership and electoral process

3. Political parties and their differences (if it is a single party state then this section should describe how political change is or was achieved)

4. Public administration bodies

5. Culture and Markets

Background information 1. Geographic

◦ Land area: 9,388,211 km2 or 3,624,808 miles2

(US is 9,147,420 km2 or 3,531,838 million miles2)

2. Demographic ◦ Population: 1.371 billion (US is 321.4 million)

3. Economic information ◦ GDP: $11.065 trillion (US is $18.037 trillion)

◦ GDP per capita: $8,069.2 (US is $56,115.7)

◦ Gini: 42.2 (US is 41.1)

Political Parties 1. Political Representation

2. Political Dynamics

Provincial governments

Provincial congresses

Municipal governments

Municipal congresses

County governments

County congresses

County governments

County congresses

PUBLIC

Local Governments and Legislatures

Central Governing Bodies Party

Standing Committee (161 members)

Legislature

National People’s Congress (2,987 members)

Premier Li Keqiang

Government

Executive Committee (10 members)

Supreme People’s Court

Judiciary

Supreme People’s Procuratorate

State Council (35 members)

Government Ministries

General Secretary Xi Jinpinng

Standing Committee 7 members

Politburo 25 members

Central Committee 205 members

National Party Congress 2,270 members

Party Department

Chinese Political Structure

Chinese Policy Process Policies

Legislative Proposals and Implementing Regulations

Laws

Party Politburo (Approves Standing

Committee decisions)

Politburo Standing Committee

(Decides major policies)

Leading Small Groups

Party Departments and Government Ministries (Conduct policy research,

organize policy experiments, draft policy documents, consult businesses on regulatory issues)

Businesses (Lobby government

ministries on regulatory issues)

Recommend policies to Politburo Standing Committee

Coordinate and lead policy work in party departments and government ministries

To p

t ie

r S

e co

n d

t ie

r T

h ir

d t

ie r

E m

e rg

in g

I ss

u e

s E

m e

rg in

g I

ss u

e s

State Council (Drafts implementing

regulations)

Proposes legislation to NPC Chairman’s Group

National People’s Congress Chairman’s Group

National People’s Congress Specialized Legislative Committee

(Review, amend legislation)

National People’s Congress Standing Committee

(Debates, amends, passes legislation)

National People’s Congress (Debates, amends, passes

legislation or ratifies legislation passed by Standing Committee)

Refers proposed legislation to NPC committee to review and amend

Refers legislation recommended by committee for debate by NPC or NPC

Standing Committee

Recommend legislation to NPC Chairman’s Group

Ministries (comprise the State Council) Name of Ministry Name of Ministry

Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ministry of National Defense

National Development and Reform Commission Ministry of Education

Ministry of Science and Technology Ministry of Industry and Information Technology

State Ethnic Affairs Commission Ministry of Public Security

Ministry of State Security Ministry of Supervision

Ministry of Civil Affairs Ministry of Justice

Ministry of Finance Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security

Ministry of Land and Resources Ministry of Environmental Protection

Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development Ministry of Transport

Ministry of Water Resources Ministry of Agriculture

Ministry of Commerce Ministry of Culture

National Health and Family Planning Commission People’s Bank of China

National Audit Office

Communist Party-State Premise

◦ Ordinary citizens typically lack revolutionary consciousness and knowledge of communist theory. Thus, are incapable of making the correct choices that will lead from capitalism to socialism to communism.

◦ The solution is to establish a political party and political system built on principles of guardianship, hierarchy, and mass line.

◦ Party is the only organization with the politically correct knowledge to lead society. Thus, no opposition party is allowed.

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

◦ Mao Zedong ◦ Inaugurated the People’s Republic of China in 1949

◦ Deng Xioping ◦ Socialist Market Economy (Pragmatic Modernization)

◦ Yet political monopoly (Tiananmen Incident)

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

Sino-Soviet Split In 1960

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

Official Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

1958-1962

The Great Leap

(Claimed an

estimated 27 million

Lives)

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

1966-1976

Cultural Revolutio

n(Power Struggle,

Ideological Battle)

Formation of the Red

Guard and new power base in the

Gang of Four

Political Dynamics Ideological Origins

Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

Passing of Mao Zedong In 1976

Start of Deng Xioping era

Political Dynamics

Ideological Origins

Party Leaders

Government Premiers

1949

1954

1976

1981

1980

1987

2002

1998 2003

2012

2013

Mao Zedong

Zhou Enlai

Hua Guofeng

Hu Yaobang

Zhao Ziyang

Li Peng

1989 Jiang Zemin

Zhu Rongji

Hu Jintao

Xi Jinping

Wen Jiabao Li Keqiang

Abolition of the position of party chairman in 1982

Leadership and electoral process 1. Leadership

1. Xi Jinping CCP Secretary General

2. Li Keqiang Premier

2. Electoral process

Political Parties: Political Representation

Congress Year Party Members Congress Year Party Members

First 1921 More than 50 Eighth 1956 11 million

Second 1922 123 Ninth 1969 22 million

Third 1923 432 Tenth 1973 28 million

Fourth 1925 950 Eleventh 1977 35 million

Fifth 1927 57,900 Twelfth 1982 40 million

Sixth 1928 40,000 Thirteenth 1987 46 million

Seventh 1945 1.2 million Fourteenth 1992 51 million

Fifteenth 1997 60 million

Sixteenth 2002 66 million

Seventeenth 2007 74 million

Eighteenth 2012 83 million

Chinese Communist Party Congresses and Growth of Party Membership

People’s Republic of China established on October 1, 1949

Name (by rank) Position Age in October 2017

Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, president & chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC)

Li Keqiang Premier 62

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC)

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC)

Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Wang Qishan Secretary, Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI)

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70

Political Dynamics: Politburo Standing Committee

Political Dynamics: Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) Name (by rank) Position Age in October 2017

Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, president & chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC)

Li Keqiang Premier 62

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC)

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC)

Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Wang Qishan Secretary, Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI)

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70

Political Dynamics: Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) After Oct 24, 2017 Name (by rank) Position Age in October 2017

Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, president & chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC)

Li Keqiang Premier 62

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67

Han Zheng CCP Secretary, Shanghai 63

Wang Huning Direct, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Wang Yang Vice-Premier 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Direct, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Direct, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Direct, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping Neutral

Neutral but closer to Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Political Dynamics How will new members be selected?

Identifying interests/motivations behind leadership selection ◦ Ideological alignment to current leadership

◦ Current challenges facing China

◦ Ideological alignment to past leadership ◦ Establishing political stability by adhering to past orientations

Political Dynamics Contemporary Issues

◦ Urbanization (~140 million internal migrants)

◦ Fiscal federalism (granting greater local autonomy)

◦ Growth of individual wealth and telecommunications revolution (population more aware of the different political systems in the world)

◦ Expanding theatre of military operations ◦ String of Pearls

◦ Nine-dash line

◦ First and Second Island Chain

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Deng Xiaoping Chairman of the Central Military Commission

Xiǎokāng Small Peace (There is small comfort as the hard grain ripens inside the house)

Abundance (To be warm and eat till one is full)Wēnbǎo

Dàtóng

Large Unity (Multiple definitions: 1. Large forces agglomerate 2. The world is prosperous and peaceful 3. Although there are little differences, in general everyone is equal)

Deng Xiaoping Chairman of the Central Military Commission

Xiǎokāng Small Peace (There is small comfort as the hard grain ripens inside the house)

Abundance (To be warm and eat till one is full)Wēnbǎo

Dàtóng

Large Unity (Multiple definitions: 1. Large forces agglomerate 2. The world is prosperous and peaceful 3. Although there are little differences, in general everyone is equal)

Multiple definitions: 1. One kind 2. Group 3. Together

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Deng Xiaoping Chairman of the Central Military Commission

Xiǎokāng

Small Peace (There is small comfort as the hard grain ripens inside the house)

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Titles that are normally guaranteed a seat in the Politburo

Beijing CCP

Secretary

Shanghai CCP

Secretary

Tianjin CCP

Secretary

Chongqing CCP

Secretary

Guangdong CCP

Secretary

Xinjiang CCP

Secretary

(~21.5 million) (~ 24.2 million) (~ 15.5 million) (~ 30.2 million) (~ 108.5 million) (~ 23.6 million)

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Titles that are normally guaranteed a seat in the Politburo

Beijing CCP

Secretary

Shanghai CCP

Secretary

Tianjin CCP

Secretary

Chongqing CCP

Secretary

Guangdong CCP

Secretary

Xinjiang CCP

Secretary

(~21.5 million) (~ 24.2 million) (~ 15.5 million) (~ 30.2 million) (~ 108.5 million) (~ 23.6 million)

Cai Qi Beijing CCP Secretary

Han Zheng Shanghai CCP Secretary

Li Hongzhong Tianjin CCP Secretary

Sun Zhengcai Chongqing CCP Secretary

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Chen Quanguo Xinjiang CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Titles that are normally guaranteed a seat in the Politburo

Beijing CCP

Secretary

Shanghai CCP

Secretary

Tianjin CCP

Secretary

Chongqing CCP

Secretary

Guangdong CCP

Secretary

Xinjiang CCP

Secretary

(~21.5 million) (~ 24.2 million) (~ 15.5 million) (~ 30.2 million) (~ 108.5 million) (~ 23.6 million)

Cai Qi Beijing CCP Secretary

Han Zheng Shanghai CCP Secretary

(Tapped to be promoted to PSC)

Li Hongzhong Tianjin CCP Secretary

Sun Zhengcai Chongqing CCP Secretary

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Chen Quanguo Xinjiang CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Titles that are normally guaranteed a seat in the Politburo

Beijing CCP

Secretary

Shanghai CCP

Secretary

Tianjin CCP

Secretary

Chongqing CCP

Secretary

Guangdong CCP

Secretary

Xinjiang CCP

Secretary

(~21.5 million) (~ 24.2 million) (~ 15.5 million) (~ 30.2 million) (~ 108.5 million) (~ 23.6 million)

Cai Qi Beijing CCP Secretary

Li Hongzhong Tianjin CCP Secretary

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Chen Quanguo Xinjiang CCP Secretary

Age 64 (Born 1953) Age 61 (Born 1956) Age 57 (Born 1960) Age 54 (Born 1963) Age 62 (Born 1955)

Age 62 (Born 1955)Age 64 (Born 1953)

Li Qiang Shanghai CCP Secretary

Age 58 (Born 1959) - Was secretary general of the provincial party committee under Xi when the latter was Zhejiang party boss from 2002 to 2007

Xi Jinping President

Le Keqiang Premier

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Titles that are normally guaranteed a seat in the Politburo

Beijing CCP

Secretary

Shanghai CCP

Secretary

Tianjin CCP

Secretary

Chongqing CCP

Secretary

Guangdong CCP

Secretary

Xinjiang CCP

Secretary

(~21.5 million) (~ 24.2 million) (~ 15.5 million) (~ 30.2 million) (~ 108.5 million) (~ 23.6 million)

Cai Qi Beijing CCP Secretary

Li Qiang Shanghai CCP Secretary

Li Hongzhong Tianjin CCP Secretary

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Chen Quanguo Xinjiang CCP Secretary

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Wang Qishan Central Commission for

Discipline Inspection

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

- Zhejiang Province CCP Secretary (2002-2007)

- Guizhou Province CCP Secretary (2015-2017) - Guizhou Province Governor (2012-2015) - Propaganda head of Zhejiang Province (2002-2007)

What the news agencies are identifying as important movements prior to the 19th Party Congress

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun Chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Director, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping Neutral

Neutral but closer to Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun Chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Director, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping Neutral

Neutral but closer to Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao

Xi Jinping

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Li Zhensu Director,

General Office of the CCP

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

“the core” – announced Oct 27, 2016

Wang Huning Director,

CCP Central Policy Research Office

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Li Zhensu Director,

General Office of the CCP

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Wang Huning Director,

CCP Central Policy Research Office

Kingmaker

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Li Zhensu Director,

General Office of the CCP

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Wang Huning Director,

CCP Central Policy Research Office

Hu Jintao 6th President

“the core”“the core”

Theoretician of “the core”

Never been referred as “the core”

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Li Zhensu Director,

General Office of the CCP

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Wang Huning Director,

CCP Central Policy Research Office

Hu Jintao 6th President

“the core”“the core” Never been referred as “the core”

Age 62 (Born 1955) So will be 67 by the end of PSC promotion and thus is eligible for a 1-term President

Age 67 (Born 1950) So will be 72 by the end of PSC promotion and thus ineligible to continue in PSC

Age 57 (Born 1960) So will be 62 by the end of Politburo Promotion and therefore will be eligible for 2 term Presidency if directly promoted to PSC by being the President in 2022

Age 54 (Born 1963) So will be 59 by the end of the PSC Promotion and therefore will be eligible for 2-term Presidency in 2022

Chen Min’er Chongqing CCP Secretary (July 2017-Present)

Li Zhensu Director,

General Office of the CCP

Hu Chunhua Guangdong CCP Secretary

Xi Jinping President (2012- Present)

Le Keqiang Premier (2012-Present)

Hu Jintao 6th President

Jiang Zemin 5th President

Wang Huning Director,

CCP Central Policy Research Office

Age 62 (Born 1955)

?How strong is this pull?

How strong is this pull?

19th Politburo Standing Committee (Announced on October 25, 2017)

Xi Jinping - CCP General Secretary - President of PRC - Chairman of CMC

Li Keqiang - Premier of the

State Council

Li Zhanshu - Director of the

General Office of CCP Central Committee

Wang Yang - Vice Premier of the

State Council

Wang Huning - Executive Secretary

of the Secretariat of the CCP Central Committee

- Director of the Central Policy Research Center of the CCP Central Committee

Zhao Leji - Secretary of the

Central Commission for Discipline Inspection

- Director for the Central Organization Department of the CCP Central Committee

Han Zheng - Party Secretary of

Shanghai

19th Politburo Standing Committee (Announced on October 25, 2017)

Xi Jinping - CCP General Secretary - President of PRC - Chairman of CMC

Li Keqiang - Premier of the

State Council

Li Zhanshu - Director of the General Office of

CCP Central Committee

Wang Yang - Chairman of the Chinese

People’s Political Consultative Conference (Political Advisory Body)

Wang Huning - Executive Secretary of the Secretariat of the CCP Central Committee - Director of the Central Policy Research Center of the CCP Central Committee

Zhao Leji - Secretary of the Central Commission

for Discipline Inspection - Director for the Central Organization

Department of the CCP Central Committee

Han Zheng - Vice-Premier

19th Politburo (Announced on October 25, 2017)

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Yu Zhengsheng Chairman, CPPCC 72 Liu Yandong Vice-premier 72

Ma Kai Vice-premier 71 Li Jianguo Vice-chairman, NPC 71

Zhang Gaoli First-ranked vice-premier 70 Guo Jinlong CCP secretary, Beijing 70

Zhang Dejiang Chairman, Standing Committee of the NPC 70 Liu Yunshan Top-ranked secretary, CCP Central Secretariat 70

Fan Chanlong Vice-Chairman, CMC 70 Meng Jianzhu Head, Central Politics and Law Commission 70

Wang Qishan Head, CCDI 69 Li Yuanchao Vice-president 67

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 67 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 67

Sun Chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 67 Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC 64

Liu Qibao Head, CCP Propaganda Department 64 Zhang Chunxian Deputy, Leading Group for Party Building 64

Han Zheng CCP secretary, Shanghai 63 Le Keqiang Premier 62

Wang Yang Vice-premier 62 Wang Huning Director, CCP Central Policy Research Office 62

Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 60 Sun Zhengcai CCP secretary, Chongqing 54

Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Hu Jiantao

Neutral

Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao Xi Jinping

Hu Jiantao

19th Politburo (Announced on October 25, 2017)

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo after Oct. 25, 2018

Name Position Age Name Position Age Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 68 Le Keqiang Premier 63 Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 68 Wang Huning Director, CCP Central Policy Research Office 63 Zhang Youxia Commander of China’s Manned Space Program 68 Cai Qi CCP Secretary, Beijing 63 Wang Chen Secretary-General of the NPC 68 Chen Quanguo CCP Secretary of Xinjian (Uygur) Autonomous Region 63 Sun Chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 68 Li Hongzhong CCP Secretary, Tianjin 62

Yang Jiechi Director of the Office of the Central Leading Group for Foreign Affairs

68 Huang Kunming Executive Deputy Director of the Central Propaganda Department of the CCP Central Committee

Liu He Director of the General Office of the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Work of the CCP Central Committee

66 Li Xi CCP Secretary of Liaoning Province 62

Xi Jinping CCP general secretary, President & Chairman, CMC

65 Zhao Leji Head, Organization Department 61

Chen Xi Executive Deputy Director of the Central Organization Department

65 Li Qiang CCP Secretary, Shanghai 59

Yang Xiaodu Deputy Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI)

65 Ding Xuexiang Director of the Office of the General Secretary 56

Guo Shengkun Minister and Party Secretary of the Ministry of Public Security (Police)

64 Hu Chunhua CCP secretary, Guangdong 54

Han Zheng Vice-Premier 64 Chen Min’er CCP Secretary, Chongqing 54

Wang Yang Chairman of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) – Political Advisory Body

Political Dynamics: Politburo Political Dynamics: Politburo after Oct. 25, 2018

Name Position Age Name Position Age

Li Zhanshu Director, General Office of the CCP 68 Le Keqiang Premier 63

Xu Qiliang Vice-chairman, CMC 68 Wang Huning Director, CCP Central Policy Research Office 63

Zhang Youxia Commander of China’s Manned Space Program 68 Cai Qi CCP Secretary, Beijing 63

Wang Chen Secretary-General of the NPC 68 Chen Quanguo CCP Secretary of Xinjian (Uygur) Autonomous Region 63

Sun Chunlan Head, United Front Work Department 68 Li Hongzhong CCP Secretary, Tianjin 62