Final exam of macroeconomics

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CHAPTER 19 SLIDE 1

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Aggregate Expenditures

SLIDES CREATED BY ERIC CHIANG

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1

Name the components of aggregate spending.

Analyze the relationship between consumption and income using a basic aggregate expenditures graph.

Analyze consumption and saving using marginal propensity to consume (MPC) and marginal propensity to save (MPS).

Describe the determinants of consumption, saving, and investment.

Determine macroeconomic equilibrium in the simple aggregate expenditures model of the private domestic economy.

CHAPTER OBJECTIVES

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THE GREAT DEPRESSION

SLIDE 3

The prolonged downturn challenged the classical perspective:

John Maynard Keynes argued that government has an important role in stabilizing a distressed economy.

Keynesians argued that prices and wages were sticky, or slow to adjust.

Keynes published The General Theory… in 1936.

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JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES (1883–1946)

Known as the father of macroeconomics.

Launched a critique of classical economics by focusing on spending as the key to growth.

His writings still influence economic policy (e.g., stimulus policies).

SLIDE 4

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EXPLAINING BUSINESS CYCLES

SLIDE 5

We want to explain the short-run fluctuations in the business cycle:

The Short-Run or Keynesian Model

The PPF and the LRAS remain constant in the short run

Wages and Prices are Sticky

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A TYPICAL BUSINESS CYCLE

SLIDE 6

Trend

Peak

Peak

Trough

Recession

Recovery

REAL GDP

TIME

CONTRACTION

EXPANSION

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EXPLAINING BUSINESS CYCLES

PPFA

Short-run expansion is shown as a movement toward a PPF. Recessions leave the economy inside the PPF.

SHORT-RUN EXPANSION

SLIDE 7

a

b

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EXPLAINING BUSINESS CYCLES

SLIDE 8

The Circular Flow Model:

Short-run expansions and contractions can be explained by changes in expenditures in the product market.

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Expanded Model

Resource Market

Product Market

Consumption

Gross Domestic Product

Wages, Rent, Interest, and Profit

Gross Domestic Income

Saving

Investment

Government

Sector

Government Purchases

Transfer Payments

Taxes

CIRCULAR FLOW DIAGRAM

Foreign Sector

Imports

Exports

Govt.

Deficit/Surplus

Financial Market

Business

Households

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EXPLAINING BUSINESS CYCLES

SLIDE 10

The Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Model:

Output, employment, and prices are determined by the interaction of total spending and production in the economy.

The Keynesian model explains short-run changes as a change in AD.

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EXPLAINING BUSINESS CYCLES

SLIDE 11

0

SRAS

AGGREGATE PRICE LEVEL (P)

AGGREGATE OUTPUT (Q)

Short-run macroeconomic equilibrium occurs where ad and sras intersect.

Pe

AD1

e

Qf

LRAS

When AD is too low there is a recession (a recessionary gap in output).

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AD2

a

P1

Q1

The Keynesian Model

SLIDE 12

Keynesians explain changes in AD by looking at the expenditures on goods and services:

Increases in expenditures will increase AD.

Decreases in expenditures will decrease AD.

What causes the changes in expenditures?

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SLIDE 13

MOLIMA/DREAMSTIME.COM

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AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES

SLIDE 14

Consist of the components of GDP that are measured by spending:

GDP = AE = C + I + G + (X − M)

Consumption (C) is the largest component, representing nearly 70% of GDP. Consumption is the key factor in the AE model.

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IN A CLOSED ECONOMY, CONSUMPTION IS THE PORTION OF INCOME NOT SAVED: INCOME = C + S.

SLIDE 15

YURI ARCURS/AGE FOTOSTOCK

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KEYNESIAN CONSUMPTION FUNCTION

SLIDE 16

Consists of autonomous consumption and induced consumption:

C = A + MPC(Yd)

Autonomous consumption does not depend on income, while induced consumption depends positively on income.

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KEYNESIAN CONSUMPTION FUNCTION

SLIDE 17

3

4

CONSUMPTION (thousands)

INCOME (thousands)

5

4

5

6

3

2

1

2

1

6

Y = C + S

C

a

Saving is negative to the left of point a and positive to the right of point a.

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SLIDE 18

KEYNESIAN CONSUMPTION FUNCTION

Consumption spending grows as income grows but not as fast.

As income rises, savings rise as a percentage of income.

Classical economists believe that interest rates determine saving, while Keynesians believe that income determines saving.

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SAVING

SLIDE 19

Consists of autonomous consumption and induced saving:

S = -A + MPS(Yd)

Autonomous consumption reduces saving, while induced saving depends positively on income.

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SLIDE 20

CONSUMPTION AND SAVING

We can show these relationships in a table. Suppose that A = $500 MPC = 3/4 and MPS = 1/4

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Yd C S
$0 $500 -$500
1,000 1,250 -250
2,000 2,000 0
3,000 2,750 250
4,000 3,500 500
5,000 4,250 750

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AVERAGE PROPENSITY TO CONSUME (APC) AND SAVE (APS)

APC

PERCENTAGE OF INCOME THAT IS USED FOR CONSUMPTION (C / Y)

APS

PERCENTAGE OF INCOME THAT IS SAVED (S / Y)

SLIDE 21

Because Y = C + S, APC + APS = 1.

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MARGINAL PROPENSITY TO CONSUME (MPC) AND SAVE (MPS)

MPC

THE CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION GIVEN A CHANGE IN INCOME (ΔC/ΔY)

MPS

SLIDE 22

Because Y = C + S, MPC + MPS = 1

THE CHANGE IN SAVING GIVEN A CHANGE IN INCOME (ΔS/ΔY)

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SLIDE 23

CONSUMPTION AND SAVING

We can show these relationships in a table. Suppose that A = $500 MPC = 3/4 and MPS = 1/4

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Yd C S APC APS MPC MPS
$0 $500 -$500 - - - -
1,000 1,250 -250 1.25 -0.25 0.75 0.25
2,000 2,000 0 1.00 0 0.75 0.25
3,000 2,750 250 0.92 0.08 0.75 0.25
4,000 3,500 500 0.88 0.12 0.75 0.25
5,000 4,250 750 0.85 0.15 0.75 0.25

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OTHER DETERMINANTS OF CONSUMPTION

SLIDE 24

Income is the principal determinant of consumption and saving, but other factors can shift the consumption and saving schedules:

Wealth

Expectations about future prices and income

Household debt

Taxes

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INVESTMENT IS SPENDING BY BUSINESSES THAT ADDS TO THE PRODUCTIVE CAPACITY OF THE ECONOMY.

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FRENC/DREAMSTIME.COM

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THE INSTABILITY OF INVESTMENT

SLIDE 26

Gross private domestic investment is much more volatile than consumption spending.

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INVESTMENT DEMAND

SLIDE 27

Spending by businesses is known as Planned Investment.

total I = planned I + unplanned I

For simplicity, we assume that planned investment does not depend on income.

Planned Investment is autonomous.

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INVESTMENT DEMAND

SLIDE 28

Investment levels depend primarily on the rate of return on capital.

Investments earning a high rate of return are those undertaken first.

Interest rates also affect investment because most business investment is financed.

As interest rates fall, investment rises.

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OTHER DETERMINANTS OF INVESTMENT

SLIDE 29

Investment demand also depends on:

expectations about future revenues and return on investment.

technological change.

operating costs.

capital goods on hand.

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AGGREGATE INVESTMENT SCHEDULE

SLIDE 30

3

4

INVESTMENT SPENDING (I)

INCOME (Y)

5

I0

2

1

6

I

Investment spending is autonomous (independent) of income.

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SIMPLE AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES MODEL

HOW MUCH WILL THE ECONOMY PRODUCE?

WHAT IS THE MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM?

WHAT CHANGES THE EQUILIBRIUM?

SLIDE 31

Leaving out the government and foreign sectors, we ask the following questions:

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SLIDE 32

THE TWO COMPONENTS IN THE SIMPLE AE MODEL (AE = C + I)

CONSUMPTION

ALMOST 70% OF AGGREGATE SPENDING: LARGE AND STABLE

INVESTMENT

ABOUT 15% OF AGGREGATE SPENDING: VOLATILE AND SENSITIVE TO ECONOMIC CONDITIONS

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MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

SLIDE 33

The economy is at equilibrium where income (Y)equals planned spending (AE):

Y = C + IP

There is no unplanned investment; business inventories are at their desired levels.

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MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

SLIDE 34

Or the economy is at equilibrium where injections of spending (investment) equal withdrawals (saving):

I = S

At this point, there is no reason for the economy to change its level of output or income.

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SLIDE 35

MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

We can show the macroeconomic equilibrium in a table of spending and saving.

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Y C S I AE
$0 $500 -$500 $250 $750
1,000 1,250 -250 250 1,500
2,000 2,000 0 250 2,250
3,000 2,750 250 250 3,000
4,000 3,500 500 250 3,750
5,000 4,250 750 250 4,500

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SLIDE 36

MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

If investment increases by $250, the macroeconomic equilibrium increases by $1,000.

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Y C S I AE
$0 $500 -$500 $500 $750
1,000 1,250 -250 500 1,500
2,000 2,000 0 500 2,250
3,000 2,750 250 500 3,000
4,000 3,500 500 500 3,750
5,000 4,250 750 500 4,500

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SLIDE 37

AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES

INCOME (Y)

3,500

4,000

4,500

3,000

250

100

4,000

Y = AE

AE = C + I0

a

Point a in both panels represents zero saving (income equals consumption). If AE rises by $100, equilibrium income rises by $400, where S = I.

SIMPLE AGGREGATE EXPENDITURES MODEL

C

0

SAVING & INVESTMENT

f

e

a

e

S

I0

500

5,000

5,500

4,500

5,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

3,500

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MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

SLIDE 38

Algebraically, macroeconomic equilibrium is given by the following equation:

Y = (1/(1-MPC))(A + IP)

When MPC = .75, A = $500, and IP = $250, the equilibrium level of output is $3,000.

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MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM

SLIDE 39

A change in autonomous consumption or planned investment causes a change in production:

ΔY = (1/(1-MPC))(ΔSpending)

When MPC = .75, a $250 increase in planned investment will increase production by $1,000.

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IF THE MPC = 0.8 AND INCOME RISES BY $5,000, WHAT IS THE INCREASE IN CONSUMPTION?

B

C

A

$625

$1,000

$4,000

D

E

$5,000

$6,250

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SLIDE 40

Answer: C

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IF THE MPC = 0.8 AND INCOME RISES BY $5,000, WHAT IS THE INCREASE IN CONSUMPTION? (Answer)

B

C

A

$625

$1,000

$4,000 (Correct Answer)

D

E

$5,000

$6,250

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SLIDE 41

Answer: C

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EXPLAIN HOW THE RECOVERY IN NEW HOUSING CONSTRUCTION WILL AFFECT THE ECONOMY AS A RESULT OF THE MULTIPLIER EFFECT.

PRACTICE QUESTION

SLIDE 42

SUE ASHE/SHUTTERSTOCK

CHAPTER 19

Answer: As the housing industry recovers, construction of new homes will boost investment, an important component of AE. This injection into the economy will generate even more spending, up to the amount of investment times the multiplier. As a result, spending on homes will spur other economic activity, raising incomes.

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WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS CONCERNING CONSUMPTION IS INCORRECT?

B

C

A

WEALTHY PEOPLE CONSUME MORE THAN OTHER PEOPLE.

EXPECTATIONS ABOUT FUTURE PRICES AFFECT CONSUMPTION.

TAX INCREASES REDUCE CONSUMPTION.

D

SAVINGS RATES DECREASE AS INCOME INCREASES.

SLIDE 43

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Answer: D

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WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS CONCERNING CONSUMPTION IS INCORRECT?

(Answer)

B

C

A

WEALTHY PEOPLE CONSUME MORE THAN OTHER PEOPLE.

EXPECTATIONS ABOUT FUTURE PRICES AFFECT CONSUMPTION.

TAX INCREASES REDUCE CONSUMPTION.

D

SAVINGS RATES DECREASE AS INCOME INCREASES. (Correct Answer)

SLIDE 44

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Answer: D

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END OF CHAPTER

SLIDES CREATED BY ERIC CHIANG

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