Final exam of macroeconomics

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CHAPTER 18 SLIDE 1

Economic Growth

SLIDES CREATED BY ERIC CHIANG

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ATHENAR / DREAMSTIME.COM

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Describe how economic growth is measured using real GDP and real GDP per capita.

Use the Rule of 70 to approximate the number of years it takes for an economy’s output to double in size.

Explain the power of compounding in making small differences much larger over time.

Explain the difference between short-run growth and long-run growth.

CHAPTER OBJECTIVES

CHAPTER 18

SLIDE 2

2

Economic Growth

SLIDE 3

Economic growth can be represented in three ways.

By an upward slope in the trend GDP.

By an outward shift in the PPF.

By an increase (outward shift) in the LRAS.

CHAPTER 18

3

Economic Growth

SLIDE 4

Trend

Peak

Peak

Trough

Recession

Recovery

REAL GDP

TIME

CONTRACTION

EXPANSION

CHAPTER 16

4

Economic Growth

SLIDE 5

PPFB

LONG-RUN GROWTH

PPFA

CHAPTER 18

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SLIDE 6

AGGREGATE PRICE LEVEL (P)

AGGREGATE OUTPUT (Q)

LRAS0

0

Q0

LRAS1

Q1

CHAPTER 20

ECONOMIC GROWTH

SRAS0

SRAS1

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Economic Growth

SLIDE 7

Three questions:

Why is growth important?

How do we measure growth?

Where does growth come from and what choices can government make to generate growth?

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ECONOMIC GROWTH IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR IN EXPLAINING HOW WELL PEOPLE LIVE, THEIR STANDARD OF LIVING.

SLIDE 8

JAKE WYMAN/CORBIS

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SLIDE 9

LIVING

STANDARD OF

BETTER

ZRS MANAGEMENT

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SLIDE 10

CHANG’AN AVENUE, BEIJING, CHINA

1981

DEAN CONGER/CORBIS

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SLIDE 11

CHANG’AN AVENUE, BEIJING, CHINA

2011

TAO IMAGES LIMITED / ALAMY

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WHY IS ECONOMIC GROWTH IMPORTANT?

reduced poverty rates

improved health and longer life expectancies

greater investment in education and technology

SLIDE 12

Factors resulting from economic growth that contribute to the standard of living:

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SLIDE 13

ECONOMIC GROWTH IS MOST COMMONLY MEASURED BY REAL GDP AND REAL GDP PER CAPITA.

GROWTH

REAL GDP

WAYNE0216 | DREAMSTIME.COM

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REAL GDP AND REAL GDP PER CAPITA

SLIDE 14

REAL GDP

TOTAL OUTPUT IN A YEAR MEASURED IN CONSTANT-YEAR PRICES

REAL GDP PER CAPITA

REAL GDP DIVIDED BY POPULATION

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SLIDE 15

AGGREGATE PRICE LEVEL (P)

AGGREGATE OUTPUT (Q)

LRAS0

0

Q0

LRAS1

Q1

CHAPTER 20

MEASURING REAL GDP GROWTH

Economic growth means there has been an increase in real GDP.

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MEASURING REAL GDP GROWTH

SLIDE 16

Compares GDP at the current quarter with the previous year; provides trend in growth for the entire year.

ANNUALIZED RATE

YEAR-OVER-YEAR RATE

The quarterly change in GDP is multiplied by 4; highlights seasonal fluctuations in growth.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) provides quarterly reports on changes in U.S. GDP. The reports reflect the:

CHAPTER 18

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SLIDE 17

COMPOUNDING

COMPOUNDING

COMPOUNDING

COMPOUNDING

POWER OF

COMPOUNDING ALLOWS SMALL RATES OF GROWTH TO TURN INTO SUBSTANTIAL INCREASES IN INCOME OVER TIME.

ERIC CHIANG

CHAPTER 18

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SLIDE 18

DEPOSITING $1,000 AT A 5% ANNUAL RETURN COMPARED TO A 10% ANNUAL RETURN MAKES A BIG DIFFERENCE OVER 35 YEARS.

5%

10%

= $5,516

= $28,102

BRIAN SIKORA/SHUTTERSTOCK

CHAPTER 18

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SLIDE 19

70 / Annual Growth (%)

THE RULE OF 70 CAN BE USED TO ESTIMATE THE NUMBER OF YEARS FOR A VALUE TO DOUBLE.

CAMMERAYDAVE/DREAMSTIME.COM

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SLIDE 20

RULE OF 70

10% ANNUAL GAIN

70 / 10 =

7 years

TO DOUBLE VALUE

CAMMERAYDAVE/DREAMSTIME.COM

CHAPTER 18

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SLIDE 21

RULE OF 70

5% ANNUAL GAIN

70 / 5 =

14 years

TO DOUBLE VALUE

CAMMERAYDAVE/DREAMSTIME.COM

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OCCURS WHEN AN ECONOMY MAKES USE OF EXISTING BUT UNDERUTILIZED RESOURCES. IT IS COMMON DURING RECOVERY FROM A RECESSION.

OCCURS WHEN AN ECONOMY FINDS NEW RESOURCES OR FINDS WAYS TO USE EXISTING RESOURCES BETTER.

SHORT-RUN EXPANSION

LONG-RUN GROWTH

SLIDE 22

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LONG-RUN GROWTH

PPFA

Short-run expansion is shown as a movement toward a PPF, while long-run growth is shown as an expansion of the PPF.

SHORT-RUN EXPANSION

SLIDE 23

a

b

PPFB

LONG-RUN GROWTH

PPFA

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SLIDE 24

THE DISCOVERY OF HUGE NATURAL GAS DEPOSITS IN THE UNITED STATES CAN CONTRIBUTE TO LONG-RUN GROWTH.

ERIC CHIANG

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KEY CONCEPTS

Economic growth

Compounding

Real GDP

Real GDP per capita

Rule of 70

SLIDE 25

CHAPTER 18

IF A COUNTRY GROWS AT 3% PER YEAR, APPROXIMATELY HOW MANY YEARS WILL IT TAKE FOR ITS GDP TO DOUBLE?

B

C

A

3 YEARS

10 YEARS

23 YEARS

D

E

33 YEARS

70 YEARS

SLIDE 26

CHAPTER 18

Answer: C

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IF A COUNTRY GROWS AT 3% PER YEAR, APPROXIMATELY HOW MANY YEARS WILL IT TAKE FOR ITS GDP TO DOUBLE? (Answer)

B

C

A

3 YEARS

10 YEARS

23 YEARS (Correct Answer)

D

E

33 YEARS

70 YEARS

SLIDE 27

CHAPTER 18

Answer: C

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U.S. GDP IS DOUBLE CHINA’S, BUT THE GROWTH RATE IS 7% IN CHINA AND 3% IN THE UNITED STATES. AT THAT RATE, WHEN WILL CHINA’S GDP SURPASS THAT OF THE UNITED STATES?

PRACTICE QUESTION

SLIDE 28

ERIC CHIANG

CHAPTER 18

Answer: If the United States grows 3% per year, it doubles its GDP in about 23 years. If China grows 7% per year, it doubles its GDP in about 10 years. If China’s GDP is half of that of the United States, it will reach current U.S. GDP in 10 years. Although the United States is still growing throughout this period, China will likely surpass U.S. GDP soon after the 10 years, assuming all growth rates remain the same as today.

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END OF CHAPTER

SLIDES CREATED BY ERIC CHIANG

CHAPTER 18

SLIDE 45

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