CASE ASSIGNMENT

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Ch4-Financialstatementanalysis.pptx

Ch. 4: Financial Statement Analysis

1

Know how to standardize financial statements for comparison purposes

Know how to compute and interpret important financial ratios

Know the limitations of ratio analysis

Objectives

Financial Statement Analysis

Involves

Benchmark (peer)Analysis:

Comparing firm’s performance with others in the same industry

Trend Analysis:

Evaluating trends in the firm’s financial position over-time

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3

Financial Statement Analysis

Tools

1. Standardized statements

Common size balance sheet

Divide by total assets

Common size income statement

Divide by sales

2. Ratios

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4

- Differences in size create problems (time-series and cross-sectional)

- Currency

-We standardize by using percentages

- Ratios: problem--> people compute and use differently

– how computed, intended measure, unit, high/low values, improved?

- What can the company do to affect ratios and how might this affect other ratios?

Common Size Balance Sheet

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5

- Differences in size create problems (time-series and cross-sectional)

- Currency

-We standardize by using percentages

- Ratios: problem--> people compute and use differently

– how computed, intended measure, unit, high/low values, improved?

- What can the company do to affect ratios and how might this affect other ratios?

Common Size Income Statement

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Ratios also allow for better comparison through time or between companies

As we look at each ratio, ask yourself:

How is the ratio computed?

What is the ratio trying to measure and why?

What is the unit of measurement?

What does the value indicate?

How can we improve the company’s ratio?

Ratio Analysis

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Ratio Categories

Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios

Long-term solvency, or financial leverage ratios (capital structure ratios)

Asset management or turnover ratios

Profitability ratios

Market value ratios

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Liquidity ratios- firms ability to pay bills over the short run

Long-term solvency – financial leverage

Asset management (turnover) ratios – how efficient is firms use of assets to generate sales

Profit- how efficient does firm use assets to generate profits

Market value ratios – use market price of stock

Not just computing ratios… trying to make better decisions!

Liquidity Ratios

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First…liquidity (house selling for $1)

Current ratio: usually think higher the better (current assets and liabilities should be converted to cash within next year)

- could mean inefficient use of cash

- long term things have an effect (long term debt increases current cash)

- liquid assets generally less profitable

- think back to WSJ article

Quick ratio: inventory usually least liquid current asset and quality may not be known

Suppose CR stays the same and QR goes down

- Not increasing current assets…if liabilities come due could be an issue

– Large levels of inventory have accumulated (should look into inventory)

Inventory turnover ratio measures how many times the company turns over its inventory during the year.

Days’ Sales Outstanding

Asset Management Ratio

Fixed Asset Turnover Ratio measures how effectively the firm uses its plant and equipment.

Total Asset Turnover Ratio represents the amount of sales generated per dollar invested in the firm’s assets.

Asset Management Ratio

Debt ratio measures the proportion of the firm’s assets that were financed using current plus long-term liabilities.

Times Interest Earned Ratio measures the ability of the firm to service its debt or repay the interest on debt.

Capital Structure Ratios

Debt/Equity ratio is calculated by dividing Total Debt by Total Equity.

Equity Multiplier

Capital Structure Ratios

Profit Margin measures operating income, or EBIT, per dollar of sales

Basic Earning Power (BEP) Ratio indicates the ability of the firm’s assets to generate operating income.

Profitability Ratios

Return on Total Assets (ROA)

Return on Equity (ROE)

Profitability Ratios

Price/Earning Ratio(P/E) shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earning

Market to Book Ratio (M/B)

Market Value Ratios

DuPont Equation

ROE = NI / TE

Multiply by 1 and then rearrange:

ROE = (NI / TE) (TA / TA)

ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) = ROA * EM

Multiply by 1 again and then rearrange:

ROE = (NI / TA) (TA / TE) (Sales / Sales)

ROE = (NI / Sales) (Sales / TA) (TA / TE)

ROE = PM * TAT * EM

= Profit Margin * Total Asset Turnover * Equity Multiplier

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Popularized by Du Pont Corporation

ROE is affected by 3 things:

1) operating efficiency (profit margin)

2) asset use efficiency (total asset turnover)

3) financial leverage (equity multiplier)

DuPont Identity

ROE = PM * TAT * EM

Profit margin

Operating efficiency

How well it controls costs

Total asset turnover

Asset use efficiency

How well it manages its assets.

Equity multiplier

Financial leverage

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Benchmark

Trend Analysis

Peer Group Comparisons

Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Codes

North American Industry Classification System (NAICS)

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Sample ratios: Molson Coors

From Reuters

Management Effectiveness

Company Industry Sector S&P 500

Return on Assets (TTM) 3.89 1.13 1.19 6.89

Return on Assets - 5 Yr. Avg. 3.66 3.87 4.13 8.12

Return on Investment (TTM) 4.35 1.45 1.76 9.65

Return on Investment - 5 Yr. Avg. 4.40 5.74 6.06 11.00

Return on Equity (TTM) 6.61 2.16 3.65 20.90

Return on Equity - 5 Yr. Avg. 7.30 8.22 8.88 19.96

From Hoovers

Profitability Company Industry Market

Gross Profit Margin 40.50% 54.88% 28.77%

Pre-Tax Profit Margin 10.79% 18.51% 8.48%

Net Profit Margin 8.13% 12.51% 5.53%

Return on Equity 5.9% 16.7% 10.1%

Return on Assets 3.3% 6.5% 1.5%

Ret on Invested Capital 4.5% 9.1% 4.4%

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Potential Problems with Ratio Analysis

No underlying theory

No way to know which ratios are most relevant

Benchmarking is difficult

Especially for diversified firms

Globalization and international competition makes comparison more difficult

Differences in accounting regulations

Firms use varying accounting procedures

Firms have different fiscal years

Extraordinary, or one-time, events

Mixed signals

Relies on historical data

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Conglomerates

Trump case: Marvin Roffman sued when he questions Trump Taj Majal (1990)

New issues: Internet and information

s

liabilitie

Current

assets

Current

Ratio

Current

=

s

Liabilitie

Current

Inventory

-

Asset

Current

Ratio

(Quick)

Test

-

Acid

=

=

Cost of Goods Sold

Inventory Turnover

Inventories

Sales/365

Annual

s

Receivable

day

per

Sales

Average

s

Receivable

g

outstandin

sales

Days

=

=

Assets

Total

Sales

Ratio

Turnover

Assets

Total

=

Assets

Fixed

Net

Sales

Ratio

Turnover

Assets

Fixed

=

=

Total Liabilities

Debt Ratio

Total Assets

=

Times Interest

Net Operating Income or EBIT

EarnedInterest Expense

TE

TD

Ratio

Equity

Debt to

=

E

D

+

=

=

1

TE

TA

Multiplier

Equity

Sales

EBIT

Margin

Operating

=

Assets

Total

EBIT

BEP

=

Assets

Total

Income

Net

ROA

=

Equity

Total

Income

Net

ROE

=

share

per

Earning

share

per

Price

P/E

=

share

per

Book value

share

per

price

Market

M/B

=