NPV Excel spreadsheet - The Jones Family Case

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Book1_Wk2.xlsx

Sheet1

Annual Production
75*365 27375 26006.25 24705.94 23470.64 22297.11 21182.25 20123.14 19116.98 18161.13 17253.08 16390.42 15570.9 14792.36 14052.74 13350.1
Barrel price 102.5 105.0625 107.6891 110.3813 113.1408 115.9693 118.8686 121.8403 124.8863 128.0085 131.2087 134.4889 137.8511 141.2974 144.8298
100 *1.025
Charges 20.5 21.0125 21.53781 22.07626 22.62816 23.19387 23.77372 24.36806 24.97726 25.60169 26.24173 26.89778 27.57022 28.25948 28.96596
20 *1.025
Net Price 82 84.05 86.15125 88.30503 90.51266 92.77547 95.09486 97.47223 99.90904 102.4068 104.9669 107.5911 110.2809 113.0379 115.8639
2244750 2185825.3 2128447 2072576 2018171 1965194 1913607 1863375 1814461 1766832 1720453 1675291 1631314 1588492 1546794
1 0.896057 0.8029188 0.719461 0.644679 0.577669 0.517625 0.463821 0.41561 0.372411 0.333701 0.299016 0.267935 0.240085 0.21513 0.192769
2011425 1755040.2 1531335 1336145 1165834 1017232 887571.7 774438.1 675725 589594.3 514442.2 448869.2 391654.5 341732.6 298173.9 13739214
Rate 6%+0.8(7%) = 11.60%
Probability of These Outflows. 70%
PV OF PROBABLE 13739214 * 70% 9617450
Initial Investment -5000000
NPV 4617450