NPV Excel spreadsheet - The Jones Family Case
Sheet1
| Annual Production | |||||||||||||||||
| 75*365 | 27375 | 26006.25 | 24705.94 | 23470.64 | 22297.11 | 21182.25 | 20123.14 | 19116.98 | 18161.13 | 17253.08 | 16390.42 | 15570.9 | 14792.36 | 14052.74 | 13350.1 | ||
| Barrel price | 102.5 | 105.0625 | 107.6891 | 110.3813 | 113.1408 | 115.9693 | 118.8686 | 121.8403 | 124.8863 | 128.0085 | 131.2087 | 134.4889 | 137.8511 | 141.2974 | 144.8298 | ||
| 100 | *1.025 | ||||||||||||||||
| Charges | 20.5 | 21.0125 | 21.53781 | 22.07626 | 22.62816 | 23.19387 | 23.77372 | 24.36806 | 24.97726 | 25.60169 | 26.24173 | 26.89778 | 27.57022 | 28.25948 | 28.96596 | ||
| 20 | *1.025 | ||||||||||||||||
| Net Price | 82 | 84.05 | 86.15125 | 88.30503 | 90.51266 | 92.77547 | 95.09486 | 97.47223 | 99.90904 | 102.4068 | 104.9669 | 107.5911 | 110.2809 | 113.0379 | 115.8639 | ||
| 2244750 | 2185825.3 | 2128447 | 2072576 | 2018171 | 1965194 | 1913607 | 1863375 | 1814461 | 1766832 | 1720453 | 1675291 | 1631314 | 1588492 | 1546794 | |||
| 1 | 0.896057 | 0.8029188 | 0.719461 | 0.644679 | 0.577669 | 0.517625 | 0.463821 | 0.41561 | 0.372411 | 0.333701 | 0.299016 | 0.267935 | 0.240085 | 0.21513 | 0.192769 | ||
| 2011425 | 1755040.2 | 1531335 | 1336145 | 1165834 | 1017232 | 887571.7 | 774438.1 | 675725 | 589594.3 | 514442.2 | 448869.2 | 391654.5 | 341732.6 | 298173.9 | 13739214 | ||
| Rate | 6%+0.8(7%) | = | 11.60% | ||||||||||||||
| Probability of These Outflows. | 70% | ||||||||||||||||
| PV OF PROBABLE | 13739214 | * | 70% | 9617450 | |||||||||||||
| Initial Investment | -5000000 | ||||||||||||||||
| NPV | 4617450 | ||||||||||||||||