| | | Medium-Scale | | Large-Scale |
| | | Expansion Profits | | Expansion Profits |
| | | Annual Profit
($1000s) | P(x) | Annual Profit
($1000s) | P(x) | | | Write a 1,050-word report based on the Bell Computer Company Forecasts data set and Case Study Scenarios. |
| Demand | Low | 50 | 20% | 0 | 20% |
| | Medium | 150 | 50% | 100 | 50% | | | Include answers to the following: |
| | High | 200 | 30% | 300 | 30% |
| | | | | | | | | Case 1: Bell Computer Company |
| Expected Profit ($1000s) | | | | | | | | Compute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of maximizing the expected profit? |
| | | | | | | | | Compute the variation for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of minimizing the risk or uncertainty? |
| Risk Analysis for Medium-Scale Expansion |
| Demand | Annual Profit (x)
$1000s | Probability P(x) | (x - µ) | (x - µ)2 | (x - µ)2 * P(x) | | | Case 2: Kyle Bits and Bytes |
| Low | 50 | 20% | | | | | | What should be the re-order point? How many HP laser printers should he have in stock when he re-orders from the manufacturer? |
| Medium | 150 | 50% |
| High | 200 | 30% | | | | | | Format your assignment consistent with APA format. |
| | | | | σ2 = |
| | | | | σ = |
| Risk Analysis for Large-Scale Expansion |
| Demand | Annual Profit (x)
$1000s | Probability P(x) | (x - µ) | (x - µ)2 | (x - µ)2 * P(x) |
| Low | 0 | 20% |
| Medium | 100 | 50% |
| High | 300 | 30% |
| | | | | σ2 = |
| | | | | σ = |