Finance project
IS
| Income Statement | |||
| All numbers in thousands | |||
| Revenue | 1/31/15 | 1/30/16 | 1/28/17 |
| Total Revenue | 40,339,000 | 39,528,000 | 39,403,000 |
| Cost of Revenue | 31,292,000 | 30,337,000 | 29,963,000 |
| Gross Profit | 9,047,000 | 9,191,000 | 9,440,000 |
| Operating Expenses | |||
| Research Development | - | - | - |
| Selling General and Administrative | 7,592,000 | 7,618,000 | 7,547,000 |
| Non Recurring | 5,000 | 198,000 | 39,000 |
| Others | - | - | - |
| Total Operating Expenses | - | - | - |
| Operating Income or Loss | 1,450,000 | 1,375,000 | 1,854,000 |
| Income from Continuing Operations | |||
| Total Other Income/Expenses Net | 27,000 | 15,000 | 34,000 |
| Earnings Before Interest and Taxes | 1,477,000 | 1,390,000 | 1,888,000 |
| Interest Expense | 90,000 | 80,000 | 72,000 |
| Income Before Tax | 1,387,000 | 1,310,000 | 1,816,000 |
| Income Tax Expense | 141,000 | 503,000 | 609,000 |
| Minority Interest | 5,000 | - | - |
| Net Income From Continuing Ops | 1,246,000 | 807,000 | 1,207,000 |
| Non-recurring Events | |||
| Discontinued Operations | -11,000 | 90,000 | 21,000 |
| Extraordinary Items | - | - | - |
| Effect Of Accounting Changes | - | - | - |
| Other Items | - | - | - |
| Net Income | |||
| Net Income | 1,233,000 | 897,000 | 1,228,000 |
| Preferred Stock And Other Adjustments | - | - | - |
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | 1,233,000 | 897,000 | 1,228,000 |
| Source:https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BBY/financials?p=BBY |
BS
| Balance Sheet | |||
| All numbers in thousands | |||
| Period Ending | 1/31/15 | 1/30/16 | 1/28/17 |
| Current Assets | |||
| Cash And Cash Equivalents | 2,432,000 | 1,976,000 | 2,240,000 |
| Short Term Investments | 1,456,000 | 1,305,000 | 1,681,000 |
| Net Receivables | 1,280,000 | 1,162,000 | 1,347,000 |
| Inventory | 5,174,000 | 5,051,000 | 4,864,000 |
| Other Current Assets | 1,130,000 | 392,000 | 384,000 |
| Total Current Assets | 11,472,000 | 9,886,000 | 10,516,000 |
| Long Term Investments | - | - | - |
| Property Plant and Equipment | 2,462,000 | 2,377,000 | 2,293,000 |
| Goodwill | 425,000 | 425,000 | 425,000 |
| Intangible Assets | 57,000 | - | - |
| Accumulated Amortization | - | - | - |
| Other Assets | 829,000 | 831,000 | 622,000 |
| Deferred Long Term Asset Charges | - | - | - |
| Total Assets | 15,245,000 | 13,519,000 | 13,856,000 |
| Current Liabilities | |||
| Accounts Payable | 6,414,000 | 5,764,000 | 6,233,000 |
| Short/Current Long Term Debt | 41,000 | 395,000 | 44,000 |
| Other Current Liabilities | 1,322,000 | 766,000 | 845,000 |
| Total Current Liabilities | 7,777,000 | 6,925,000 | 7,122,000 |
| Long Term Debt | 1,572,000 | 1,339,000 | 1,321,000 |
| Other Liabilities | 896,000 | 877,000 | 704,000 |
| Deferred Long Term Liability Charges | - | - | - |
| Minority Interest | 5,000 | - | - |
| Negative Goodwill | - | - | - |
| Total Liabilities | 10,250,000 | 9,141,000 | 9,147,000 |
| Stockholders' Equity | |||
| Misc. Stocks Options Warrants | - | - | - |
| Redeemable Preferred Stock | - | - | - |
| Preferred Stock | - | - | - |
| Common Stock | 35,000 | 32,000 | 31,000 |
| Retained Earnings | 4,141,000 | 4,130,000 | 4,399,000 |
| Treasury Stock | - | - | - |
| Capital Surplus | 437,000 | - | - |
| Other Stockholder Equity | 382,000 | 216,000 | 279,000 |
| Total Stockholder Equity | 4,995,000 | 4,378,000 | 4,709,000 |
| Net Tangible Assets | 4,513,000 | 3,953,000 | 4,284,000 |
| Source:https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BBY/financials?p=BBY |
CF
| Cash Flow | |||
| All numbers in thousands | |||
| Period Ending | 1/31/15 | 1/30/16 | 1/28/17 |
| Net Income | 1,233,000 | 897,000 | 1,228,000 |
| Operating Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In | |||
| Depreciation | 656,000 | 657,000 | 654,000 |
| Adjustments To Net Income | -180,000 | 293,000 | 317,000 |
| Changes In Accounts Receivables | -19,000 | 123,000 | -185,000 |
| Changes In Liabilities | 355,000 | -770,000 | 328,000 |
| Changes In Inventories | -141,000 | 86,000 | 193,000 |
| Changes In Other Operating Activities | 29,000 | 36,000 | 10,000 |
| Total Cash Flow From Operating Activities | 1,935,000 | 1,322,000 | 2,545,000 |
| Investing Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In | |||
| Capital Expenditures | -561,000 | -649,000 | -582,000 |
| Investments | -1,224,000 | 146,000 | -356,000 |
| Other Cash flows from Investing Activities | 73,000 | 84,000 | 51,000 |
| Total Cash Flows From Investing Activities | -1,712,000 | -419,000 | -887,000 |
| Financing Activities, Cash Flows Provided By or Used In | |||
| Dividends Paid | -251,000 | -499,000 | -505,000 |
| Sale Purchase of Stock | 50,000 | -1,008,000 | -527,000 |
| Net Borrowings | -24,000 | -28,000 | -394,000 |
| Other Cash Flows from Financing Activities | 2,000 | 20,000 | 22,000 |
| Total Cash Flows From Financing Activities | -223,000 | -1,515,000 | -1,404,000 |
| Effect Of Exchange Rate Changes | -52,000 | -38,000 | 10,000 |
| Change In Cash and Cash Equivalents | -52,000 | -650,000 | 264,000 |
| Source:https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BBY/financials?p=BBY |
Project 1
| Financial ratios: | |||||||
| A. Profitability Ratios: | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | ||||
| 1. Return on Assets (net income/total assets) | 8.09% | 6.64% | 8.86% | ||||
| 2. Return on Sales, (aka profit margin percent) (net income/sales) | 3.06% | 2.27% | 3.12% | ||||
| 3. Assets-to-Equity (total assets/stockholder’s equity) | 3.05 | 3.09 | 2.94 | ||||
| 4. Return on Equity (net income/stockholder’s equity) | 24.68% | 20.49% | 26.08% | ||||
| B. Efficiency Ratios: | |||||||
| 1. Asset Turnover (sales/total assets) | 2.65 | 2.92 | 2.84 | ||||
| 2. A/R Turnover Rate (sales/accounts receivable) | 31.51 | 34.02 | 29.25 | ||||
| 3. Inventory Turnover Rate (COGS/average inventory) | 6.05 | 5.93 | 6.04 | ||||
| 4. Fixed Asset Turnover (sales/average fixed assets) | 10.69 | 10.67 | 11.30 | ||||
| C. Leverage Ratios: | |||||||
| 1. Debt Ratio (total liabilities/total assets) | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.66 | ||||
| 2. Debt-to-Equity Ratio (total liabilities/stockholder’s equity) | 2.05 | 2.09 | 1.94 | ||||
| 3. Times Interest Earned (earnings before interest and taxes/interest expense) | 16.41 | 17.38 | 26.22 | ||||
| D. Liquidity Ratios: | |||||||
| 1. Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) | 1.475 | 1.428 | 1.477 | ||||
| 2. Working Capital (current assets – current liabilities) in thousands | $ 3,695,000 | $ 2,961,000 | $ 3,394,000 | ||||
| Du Pont | ROE = NI/Equity = NI/Sales *Sales/Assets * Assets/Equity | ||||||
| Year | ROE | Operation Management | Asset Management | Leverage Management | |||
| NI/Equity | NI/Sales | Sales/Assets | Assets/Equity | ||||
| 2014 | 24.68% | 3.06% | 2.6460 | 3.052 | |||
| 2015 | 20.49% | 2.27% | 2.9239 | 3.088 | |||
| 2016 | 26.08% | 3.12% | 2.8438 | 2.942 |
Project 2
| Date | BBY | S&P500 | SUMMARY OUTPUT | |||||||||||
| Adj Close | M. Return % | Adj Close | M. Return % | |||||||||||
| 1/1/12 | 19.86105 | 1312.410034 | Regression Statistics | |||||||||||
| 2/1/12 | 20.483006 | 3.13% | 1365.680054 | 4.06% | Multiple R | 0.3856062987 | ||||||||
| 3/1/12 | 19.637148 | -4.13% | 1408.469971 | 3.13% | R Square | 0.1486922176 | ||||||||
| 4/1/12 | 18.302023 | -6.80% | 1397.910034 | -0.75% | Adjusted R Square | 0.1337569933 | ||||||||
| 5/1/12 | 15.638481 | -14.55% | 1310.329956 | -6.27% | Standard Error | 0.1133415552 | ||||||||
| 6/1/12 | 17.509747 | 11.97% | 1362.160034 | 3.96% | Observations | 59 | ||||||||
| 7/1/12 | 15.235924 | -12.99% | 1379.319946 | 1.26% | ||||||||||
| 8/1/12 | 14.941144 | -1.93% | 1406.579956 | 1.98% | ANOVA | |||||||||
| 9/1/12 | 14.486343 | -3.04% | 1440.670044 | 2.42% | df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | |||||
| 10/1/12 | 12.930824 | -10.74% | 1412.160034 | -1.98% | Regression | 1 | 0.12790 | 0.12790 | 9.95581 | 0.00256 | ||||
| 11/1/12 | 11.145505 | -13.81% | 1416.180054 | 0.28% | Residual | 57 | 0.73224 | 0.01285 | ||||||
| 12/1/12 | 10.074313 | -9.61% | 1426.189941 | 0.71% | Total | 58 | 0.86013 | |||||||
| 1/1/13 | 14.016268 | 39.13% | 1498.109985 | 5.04% | ||||||||||
| 2/1/13 | 14.145567 | 0.92% | 1514.680054 | 1.11% | Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | ||
| 3/1/13 | 19.093496 | 34.98% | 1569.189941 | 3.60% | Intercept | 0.00496 | 0.01550 | 0.32005 | 0.75010 | -0.02608 | 0.03601 | -0.02608 | 0.03601 | |
| 4/1/13 | 22.577049 | 18.24% | 1597.569946 | 1.81% | X Variable 1 | 1.57603 | 0.49949 | 3.15528 | 0.00256 | 0.57582 | 2.57623 | 0.57582 | 2.57623 | |
| 5/1/13 | 23.932188 | 6.00% | 1630.73999 | 2.08% | ||||||||||
| 6/1/13 | 23.741083 | -0.80% | 1606.280029 | -1.50% | Beta | 1.57603 | ||||||||
| 7/1/13 | 26.300169 | 10.78% | 1685.72998 | 4.95% | ||||||||||
| 8/1/13 | 31.465807 | 19.64% | 1632.969971 | -3.13% | ||||||||||
| 9/1/13 | 32.776882 | 4.17% | 1681.550049 | 2.97% | ||||||||||
| 10/1/13 | 37.579758 | 14.65% | 1756.540039 | 4.46% | ||||||||||
| 11/1/13 | 35.604183 | -5.26% | 1805.810059 | 2.80% | ||||||||||
| 12/1/13 | 35.0159 | -1.65% | 1848.359985 | 2.36% | ||||||||||
| 1/1/14 | 20.753675 | -40.73% | 1782.589966 | -3.56% | ||||||||||
| 2/1/14 | 23.477924 | 13.13% | 1859.449951 | 4.31% | ||||||||||
| 3/1/14 | 23.283962 | -0.83% | 1872.339966 | 0.69% | ||||||||||
| 4/1/14 | 23.011185 | -1.17% | 1883.949951 | 0.62% | ||||||||||
| 5/1/14 | 24.54644 | 6.67% | 1923.569946 | 2.10% | ||||||||||
| 6/1/14 | 27.51935 | 12.11% | 1960.22998 | 1.91% | ||||||||||
| 7/1/14 | 26.539169 | -3.56% | 1930.670044 | -1.51% | ||||||||||
| 8/1/14 | 28.46734 | 7.27% | 2003.369995 | 3.77% | ||||||||||
| 9/1/14 | 29.984884 | 5.33% | 1972.290039 | -1.55% | ||||||||||
| 10/1/14 | 30.657087 | 2.24% | 2018.050049 | 2.32% | ||||||||||
| 11/1/14 | 35.389458 | 15.44% | 2067.560059 | 2.45% | ||||||||||
| 12/1/14 | 35.003323 | -1.09% | 2058.899902 | -0.42% | ||||||||||
| 1/1/15 | 31.773949 | -9.23% | 1994.98999 | -3.10% | ||||||||||
| 2/1/15 | 34.391682 | 8.24% | 2104.5 | 5.49% | ||||||||||
| 3/1/15 | 34.111866 | -0.81% | 2067.889893 | -1.74% | ||||||||||
| 4/1/15 | 31.843933 | -6.65% | 2085.51001 | 0.85% | ||||||||||
| 5/1/15 | 31.889879 | 0.14% | 2107.389893 | 1.05% | ||||||||||
| 6/1/15 | 29.969135 | -6.02% | 2063.110107 | -2.10% | ||||||||||
| 7/1/15 | 29.875443 | -0.31% | 2103.840088 | 1.97% | ||||||||||
| 8/1/15 | 33.99268 | 13.78% | 1972.180054 | -6.26% | ||||||||||
| 9/1/15 | 34.344265 | 1.03% | 1920.030029 | -2.64% | ||||||||||
| 10/1/15 | 32.611534 | -5.05% | 2079.360107 | 8.30% | ||||||||||
| 11/1/15 | 29.585913 | -9.28% | 2080.409912 | 0.05% | ||||||||||
| 12/1/15 | 28.347736 | -4.19% | 2043.939941 | -1.75% | ||||||||||
| 1/1/16 | 26.196648 | -7.59% | 1940.23999 | -5.07% | ||||||||||
| 2/1/16 | 30.379854 | 15.97% | 1932.22998 | -0.41% | ||||||||||
| 3/1/16 | 30.426754 | 0.15% | 2059.73999 | 6.60% | ||||||||||
| 4/1/16 | 30.760401 | 1.10% | 2065.300049 | 0.27% | ||||||||||
| 5/1/16 | 30.846693 | 0.28% | 2096.949951 | 1.53% | ||||||||||
| 6/1/16 | 29.341278 | -4.88% | 2098.860107 | 0.09% | ||||||||||
| 7/1/16 | 32.520386 | 10.83% | 2173.600098 | 3.56% | ||||||||||
| 8/1/16 | 37.243591 | 14.52% | 2170.949951 | -0.12% | ||||||||||
| 9/1/16 | 36.953228 | -0.78% | 2168.27002 | -0.12% | ||||||||||
| 10/1/16 | 37.939919 | 2.67% | 2126.149902 | -1.94% | ||||||||||
| 11/1/16 | 44.560631 | 17.45% | 2198.810059 | 3.42% | ||||||||||
| 12/1/16 | 41.606174 | -6.63% | 2238.830078 | 1.82% |
BBY and S&P500
BBY
y = 1.576x + 0.005
4.0589464130841746E-2 3.1332314530530647E-2 -7.4974527092703802E-3 -6.265072563317764E-2 3.9554982134591521E-2 1.2597574126154365E-2 1.9763369680148246E-2 2.4236153696477025E-2 -1.9789409878227415E-2 2.8467170173434031E-3 7.068230463864511E-3 5.0428096519578469E-2 1.1060649195259176E-2 3.5987723516956116E-2 1.8085767859252311E-2 2.0762811721046104E-2 -1.4999301636062778E-2 4.9462079815224991E-2 -3.1298019033866864E-2 2.9749523177239112E-2 4.4595752618006079E-2 2.8049471635186451E-2 2.356279155049279E-2 -3.5582905675162646E-2 4.3117029976595278E-2 6.9321656079357474E-3 6.2007889650528281E-3 2.1030280012996005E-2 1.9058331658920569E-2 -1.5079830581919862E-2 3.7655295489735119E-2 -1.5513837223063764E-2 2.3201460786772321E-2 2.4533588760364822E-2 -4.1885878779204244E-3 -3.1040805790470194E-2 5.4892511014553946E-2 -1.739610691375626E-2 8.5208197301247512E-3 1.0491382393316817E-2 -2.1011672375900514E-2 1.9742029696721453E-2 -6.2580818167202845E-2 -2.6442831573227132E-2 8.2983117760394132E-2 5.0486926072412786E-4 -1.7530185176314439E-2 -5.073532197294639E-2 -4.1283604302990717E-3 6.5991114577365062E-2 2.6993984808731941E-3 1.5324602357572603E-2 9.1092112097812539E-4 3.5609801125254359E-2 -1.2192431360480427E-3 -1.2344508443253854E-3 -1.9425679279557517E-2 3.4174522187570444E-2 1.8200762196895148E-2 3.1315363487831815E-2 -4.1295598897935215E-2 -6.7989761038619312E-2 -0.1455326550513022 0.11965778517747339 -0.12986041431666606 -1.9347694304592267E-2 -3.04395031598651E-2 -0.10737830796909897 -0.13806691669455862 -9.61097769908138E-2 0.3912877235400567 9.2249234960404269E-3 0.34978654443473345 0.18244710135849407 6.0022857726003132E-2 -7.9852707157406222E-3 0.10779146006102591 0.19641082914714358 4.1666657397345652E-2 0.14653242489630336 -5.2570189515323662E-2 -1.6522861934509137E-2 -0.40730710905617162 0.13126586014284225 -8.2614629811392781E-3 -1.1715231282373617E-2 6.6717772248582552E-2 0.12111369306506359 -3.5617883416577678E-2 7.2653782038164083E-2 5.3308247275649867E-2 2.2418062381031723E-2 0.15436466615370192 -1.091101762564417E-2 -9.2259069231798385E-2 8.2386139664289093E-2 -8.1361533873220981E-3 -6.6485163842986417E-2 1.4428494118488011E-3 -6.0230520159703316E-2 -3.1262830909201123E-3 0.13781342087546622 1.0342962073011108E-2 -5.0451829439354778E-2 -9.2777635053904461E-2 -4.1850221083256756E-2 -7.5882179797356675E-2 0.15968478104526973 1.5437862209606301E-3 1.0965579831486494E-2 2.8052950285009093E-3 -4.8803124535910514E-2 0.108349336385416 0.14523828222703128 -7.7963212516215519E-3 2.6701077372726312E-2 0.17450516960776841 -6.6301956092138736E-2
Project 3
| US Treasury Bonds Rates | |||||
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month | |
| 3 Month | 1.22 | 1.21 | 0.97 | 1.01 | |
| 6 Month | 1.36 | 1.36 | N/A | 1.18 | |
| 2 Year | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.61 | 1.55 | |
| 3 Year | 1.81 | 1.81 | 1.74 | 1.68 | |
| 5 Year | 2.04 | 2.05 | 2.02 | 1.98 | |
| 10 Year | 2.32 | 2.36 | 2.38 | 2.32 | |
| 30 Year | 2.76 | 2.81 | 2.8 | 2.83 | |
| Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/bonds | |||||
| Credit rating | BBB- | Cost of Debt | 7.75% | ||
| Source: https://www.streetinsider.com/Credit+Ratings/S%26P+Upgraded+Best+Buy+%28BBY%29+To+BBB-+From+BB%2B%3B+Outlook+Stable/11864044.html | |||||
| http://quicktake.morningstar.com/stocknet/bonds.aspx?symbol=bby | |||||
| Cost of Equity CAPM: | |||||
| Beta | 1.5760254323 | ||||
| Risk free | 2.32% | ||||
| Market return Km | 11.43% | ||||
| Cost of equity Ke | 16.68% | ||||
| Capital structure | |||||
| outstanding shares as of 12/31/2016 | 311,110,000 | source : https://ycharts.com/companies/BBY/shares_outstanding | |||
| Stock price as of 12/31/2016 | 41.86 | ||||
| market value of common stock | 13,023,064,600 | ||||
| value of debt | 1,365,000,000 | ||||
| total capital | 14,388,064,600 | ||||
| WACC: | |||||
| We | 90.51% | ||||
| Wd | 9.49% | ||||
| Cost of equity Ke | 16.68% | ||||
| Cost of Debt | 7.75% | ||||
| tax rate | 38.40% | ||||
| WACC | 15.14% | ||||
| calculating tax rates | |||||
| year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | ||
| Income Before Tax | 1387000 | 1310000 | 1816000 | ||
| Income Tax Expense | 141000 | 503000 | 609000 | ||
| tax rate | 10.17% | 38.40% | 33.54% |
Project 4
| Corporate Valuation and Financial Planning | |||||||||
| Financial Planning at BestBuy, Inc. | |||||||||
| We begin with Ecolab's most recent financial statements and selected additional data. | |||||||||
| Figure 12-1 | |||||||||
| BestBuy’s Most Recent Financial Statements (Millions, Except for Per Share Data) | |||||||||
| INCOME STATEMENTS | BALANCE SHEETS | ||||||||
| 2015 | 2016 | Assets | 2015 | 2016 | |||||
| Net sales | $ 39,528 | $ 39,403 | Cash | $ 1,976 | $ 2,240 | ||||
| COGS (excl. depr.) | 30,337 | 29,963 | ST Investments | 1,305 | 1,681 | ||||
| Depreciation | 657 | 654 | Accounts receivable | 1,162 | 1,347 | ||||
| Other operating expenses | 7,159 | 6,932 | Inventories | 5,051 | 4,864 | ||||
| EBIT | $ 1,375 | $ 1,854 | Other Current assets | 392 | 384 | ||||
| other Income/Expense | 15 | 34 | Total CA | $ 9,886 | $ 10,516 | ||||
| Interest expense | 80 | 72 | Long term investments | - | - | ||||
| Pre-tax earnings | $ 1,310 | $ 1,816 | Net fixed Assets | 3,633 | 3,340 | ||||
| Taxes () | 503 | 609 | Total assets | $ 13,519 | $ 13,856 | ||||
| NI before pref. div. & dis. Oper | $ 807 | $ 1,207 | |||||||
| Discontinued operation | 90.00 | 21.00 | Liabilities and equity | ||||||
| Preferred div. | - | - | Accounts payable | $ 5,764 | $ 6,233 | ||||
| Net income | $ 897 | $ 1,228 | Accruals | 766 | 845 | ||||
| Notes payable | 395 | 44 | |||||||
| Other Data | Total CL | $ 6,925 | $ 7,122 | ||||||
| Common dividends | $499 | $505 | Long-term bonds | 2,216 | 2,025 | ||||
| Addition to RE | $398 | $723 | Total liabilities | $ 9,141 | $ 9,147 | ||||
| Tax rate | 38% | 34% | Preferred stock | - | - | ||||
| Shares of common stock | 343 | 311 | Common stock | 32 | 31 | ||||
| Earnings per share | $2.62 | $3.95 | Other Equity | 216 | 279 | ||||
| Dividends per share | $1.46 | $1.62 | Retained earnings | 4,130 | 4,399 | ||||
| Price per share | $26.20 | $41.86 | Total common equity | $ 4,378 | $ 4,709 | ||||
| Total liabs. & equity | $ 13,519 | $ 13,856 | |||||||
| BestBuy's Forecast: Inputs for the Selected Scenario | |||||||||
| Status Quo | Industry | Ecolab | Ecolab | ||||||
| Inputs | Actual | Actual | Forecast | ||||||
| 1. Operating Ratios | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Sales growth rate | 10% | 15% | -0% | -0.32% | 3% | 6.68% | 10% | 10% | |
| COGS (excl. depr.) / Sales | 59% | 77% | 76% | 76.40% | 76% | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| Depreciation / Net PP&E | 7% | 18% | 20% | 18.83% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% | |
| Other op. exp. / Sales | 25% | 18% | 18% | 17.85% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | |
| Other income/ Expenses | 0.04% | 0.09% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.06% | ||
| Cash / Sales | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5.34% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |
| Acc. rec. / Sales | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3.18% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Inventory / Sales | 8% | 13% | 12% | 12.56% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | |
| Other current assets | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0.98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| Net PP&E / Sales | 65% | 9% | 8% | 8.83% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | |
| Acc. pay. / Sales | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15.20% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | |
| Accruals / Sales | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2.04% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Tax rate | 35% | 38% | 34% | 35.97% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% | |
| 2. Capital Structure | Actual Market Weights | Target Market Weights | |||||||
| % Long-term debt | 15% | 19% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | |
| % Short-term debt | 8% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| % Preferred stock | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| % Common stock | 77% | 77% | 86% | 82% | 82% | 82% | 82% | 82% | |
| 3. Costs of Capital | Forecast | ||||||||
| Rate on LT debt | 7.8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | ||||
| Rate on ST debt | 9.2500% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||||
| Rate on preferred stock (ignoring flotation costs) | 0.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ||||
| Cost of equity | 16.68% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | ||||
| 4. Target Dividend Policy | Actual | ||||||||
| Growth rate of dividends | 4% | 11.5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Actual Historical Financing | |||||||||
| 2015 | 2016 | ||||||||
| Long-term debt | $2,216 | $2,025 | |||||||
| Short-term debt | $395 | $44 | |||||||
| Preferred stock | $0 | $0 | |||||||
| Market value of equity = (Price x # shares) | $8,978 | $13,023 | |||||||
| Total | $11,589 | $15,092 | |||||||
| See the box to the right for calculations of the actual capital structures, based on market values, for the past two years. | Percent long-term debt | 19% | 13% | ||||||
| Percent short-term debt | 3% | 0% | |||||||
| Percent preferred stock | 0% | 0% | |||||||
| Percent market value of equity | 77% | 86% | |||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | |||||||
| BestBuy's Forecast of Operations for the Selected Scenario (Millions of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data) | |||||||||
| Status Quo | Industry | Ecolab | Ecolab | ||||||
| Panel A: Inputs | Actual | Actual | Forecast | ||||||
| A1. Operating Ratios | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Sales growth rate | 10% | 15% | -0% | -0% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | |
| COGS (excl. depr.) / Sales | 59% | 77% | 76% | 76% | 76% | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| Depreciation / Net PP&E | 7% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 19% | |
| Other op. exp. / Sales | 25% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | |
| Cash / Sales | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |
| Acc. rec. / Sales | 9% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Inventory / Sales | 8% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | |
| Other current assets | 1% | 1% | 0.98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Net PP&E / Sales | 65% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | |
| Acc. pay. / Sales | 17% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | |
| Accruals / Sales | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| Tax rate | 35% | 38% | 34% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% | |
| Panel B: Results | Actual | Forecast | |||||||
| B1. Sales Revenues | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
| Net sales | $39,403 | $39,278 | $40,529 | $43,238 | $47,641 | $52,493 | |||
| B2. Operating Assets and Operating Liabilities | |||||||||
| Cash | $2,240 | $2,098 | $2,165 | $2,310 | $2,545 | $2,804 | |||
| Accounts receivable | $1,347 | $1,249 | $1,288 | $1,375 | $1,515 | $1,669 | |||
| Inventories | $4,864 | $4,934 | $5,091 | $5,431 | $5,984 | $6,594 | |||
| Other current assets | $384 | $386 | $398 | $425 | $468 | $516 | |||
| Net PP&E | $3,340 | $3,470 | $3,580 | $3,820 | $4,208 | $4,637 | |||
| Accounts payable | $6,233 | $5,970 | $6,161 | $6,572 | $7,242 | $7,979 | |||
| Accruals | $845 | $802 | $827 | $883 | $972 | $1,071 | |||
| B3. Operating Income | |||||||||
| COGS (excl. depr.) | $29,963 | $30,006.84 | $30,962 | $33,032 | $36,395 | $40,102 | |||
| Depreciation | $654 | $653 | $674 | $719 | $793 | $873 | |||
| Other operating expenses | $6,932 | $7,011.94 | $7,235 | $7,719 | $8,505 | $9,371 | |||
| EBIT | $1,854 | $1,606 | $1,657 | $1,768 | $1,948 | $2,147 | |||
| Net operating profit after taxes | $1,232 | $1,028 | $1,061 | $1,132 | $1,247 | $1,375 | |||
| B4. Free Cash Flows | |||||||||
| Net operating working capital | $1,373 | $1,895 | $1,955 | $2,086 | $2,298 | $2,532 | |||
| Total operating capital | $4,713 | $5,364 | $5,535 | $5,905 | $6,507 | $7,169 | |||
| FCF = NOPAT – Δ op capital | $1,811 | $377 | $890 | $762 | $646 | $712 | |||
| B5. Estimated Intrinsic Value | |||||||||
| Target WACC | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | ||||
| Return on invested capital | 26.1% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% | |||
| Growth in FCF | 136% | -14.4% | -15.2% | 10.2% | |||||
| Horizon Value: | Value of operations | $11,290 | |||||||
| + ST &long investments | $1,681 | ||||||||
| = | $17,852 | Estimated total intrinsic value | $12,971 | ||||||
| − All debt | $2,069 | ||||||||
| Value of Operations: | − Preferred stock | $0 | |||||||
| Present value of HV | $9,040 | Estimated intrinsic value of equity | $10,902 | ||||||
| + Present value of FCF | $2,249 | ÷ Number of shares | $311 | ||||||
| Value of operations = | $11,290 | Estimated intrinsic stock price = | $35.04 | ||||||
Sales growth
| Year | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
| Sales in thousands | 50,705,000 | 49,747,000 | 45,090,000 | 42,410,000 | 40,339,000 | 39,528,000 | 39,403,000 |
| Growth | -1.89% | -9.36% | -5.94% | -4.88% | -2.01% | -0.32% | |
| Average growth= | -4.07% | ||||||
| Date | Dividends | Year | Annual Div | growth | |||
| 4/17/12 | 0.16 | 2012 | 0.66 | ||||
| 6/8/12 | 0.16 | 2013 | 0.68 | 0.0303030303 | |||
| 9/7/12 | 0.17 | 2014 | 0.72 | 0.0588235294 | |||
| 12/7/12 | 0.17 | 2015 | 1.43 | 0.9861111111 | |||
| 3/19/13 | 0.17 | 2016 | 1.57 | 0.0979020979 | |||
| 6/7/13 | 0.17 | ||||||
| 9/6/13 | 0.17 | ||||||
| 12/6/13 | 0.17 | ||||||
| 3/18/14 | 0.17 | Dividend growth model | |||||
| 6/10/14 | 0.17 | D0 | 1.57 | ||||
| 9/9/14 | 0.19 | g | 9.79% | ||||
| 12/9/14 | 0.19 | r | 16.68% | ||||
| 3/20/15 | 0.74 | p0 | 25.005171389 | ||||
| 6/9/15 | 0.23 | ||||||
| 9/11/15 | 0.23 | ||||||
| 12/8/15 | 0.23 | ||||||
| 3/15/16 | 0.73 | ||||||
| 6/10/16 | 0.28 | ||||||
| 9/9/16 | 0.28 | ||||||
| 12/6/16 | 0.28 |