RISK: FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION, PROBABILITIES, AND EXPECTED VALUE Risk: Probabilities and Expected Value Scenario: You work for a private investment company that currently has numerous business investments in real estate development, restaurant franchises,

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Sheet1

Real Estate Just Hats
NPV Probability NPV Probability
High $ 5,000,000 0.50 High $ 4,000,000 0.65
Medium $ 2,250,000 0.35 Medium $ 2,700,000 0.30
Low $ 250,000 0.15 Low $ 400,000 0.05
Cupcakes and so forth
NPV Probability
High $ 4,500,000 0.45
Medium $ 2,300,000 0.35
Low $ 310,000 0.20