new product forecasting

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ATARExample_April20211.xlsx

ATAR Example

ATAR MODEL ILLUSTRATION
Market Size Awareness Trial Availability Repeat Quantity Purchased
20000 20% 10% 50% 200 Trial Model
20000 20% 10% 50% 50% 10 1000 Repeat Model
1200 Total Unit Sales
Financials
ASSUMPTIONS $4,428 Retail Price $3.69
Cleveland MSA Market Size 2,000,000 $2,214 Trade Price $1.85
% of Population Shops At Target Stores 20% $1,107 Mfg Cost $0.92
% of Target Shoppers Buying Reese's Mallow Cups 5%