Financial Engineering 5
Student Information
| You must enter the information in the "yellow" fields below before starting the assignment. | Fall 2020 | expected semi-annual rate | 0.01313 | Futures | Original | Modified | |||||||||||||||||||
| Name | annual risk free rate | 0.02626 | Settlement | Date | Sorghum | Rice | Oats | Soybeans | Corn | Alfalfa | Wheat | Date | Sorghum | Rice | Oats | Soybeans | Corn | Alfalfa | Wheat | ||||||
| 10 digit student ID # | 1220885757 | notional amount | 14420000 | Price | 4/30/06 | 26.2 | 60.1 | 73.75 | 147.6519 | $ 65.00 | 74.1 | 83.9916 | 7/31/14 | 41.28 | 94.7 | 116.21 | 232.66 | 102.42 | 116.76 | 132.35 | |||||
| Date | 4.92 | 5/31/06 | 28.6 | 59.8 | 75 | 153.9846 | $ 68.21 | 76 | 83.6583 | 8/31/14 | 45.07 | 94.23 | 118.18 | 242.63 | 107.49 | 119.75 | 131.82 | ||||||||
| Class | 0.02626 | 5.02 | 1.02 | 6/30/06 | 30.6 | 58.2 | 79.375 | 159.6507 | $ 70.71 | 77 | 84.6582 | 9/30/14 | 48.22 | 91.71 | 125.07 | 251.56 | 111.42 | 121.33 | 133.4 | ||||||
| By downloading this assignment you agree to not share this exam with anyone. You also agree to completing this assignment without the assistance or of anyone unless you have received written approval from the instructor. You agree to not collaborate with anyone with this assignment You agree to not use another student's assignment or materials to aid you with this assignment You understand that not following these rules, or any other rules identified in the ASU Academic Integrity Policy will result in a zero grade for this assignment a violation report to the Dean's office, and likely suspension from ASU. Please teach each other the Excel functions and financial engineering functions. However, do not provide answers or assist others with their answers. Engineers must learn how to solve problems! This assignment is the property of Daniel R. McCarville and Arizona State University. It is copyright protected. | 0.027573 | 5.17 | 1.03 | 7/31/06 | 32.1 | 56.4 | 80 | 163.6503 | $ 72.50 | 77.7 | 86.3247 | 10/31/14 | 50.58 | 88.87 | 126.06 | 257.86 | 114.24 | 122.43 | 136.02 | ||||||
| 0.02895165 | 5.17 | 1 | 8/31/06 | 32.4 | 57.5 | 84.375 | 166.65 | $ 72.50 | 81.9 | 85.6581 | 11/30/14 | 51.05 | 90.6 | 132.95 | 262.59 | 114.24 | 129.05 | 134.97 | |||||||
| Instructions: | 0.0303992325 | 5.01 | 0.97 | 9/30/06 | 33.3 | 56.2 | 81.875 | 172.9827 | $ 75.36 | 87.9 | 86.3247 | 12/31/14 | 52.47 | 88.55 | 129.01 | 272.57 | 118.74 | 138.5 | 136.02 | ||||||
| 1. You must enter the information requested above. | 0.0319191941 | 4.91 | 0.98 | 10/31/06 | 33.2 | 56.9 | 77.5 | 164.3169 | $ 68.21 | 85.1 | 83.325 | 1/31/15 | 52.31 | 89.66 | 122.12 | 258.91 | 107.49 | 134.09 | 131.3 | ||||||
| 2. Include your entire 10 (ten) digit student ID number. | 0.0335151538 | 4.76 | 0.97 | 11/30/06 | 28.2 | 55.9 | 67.5 | 150.9849 | $ 58.57 | 83.3 | 77.3256 | 2/28/15 | 44.43 | 88.08 | 106.36 | 237.91 | 92.29 | 131.26 | 121.84 | ||||||
| 3. Do not change the questions as I have typed them. | 0.0351909115 | 4.81 | 1.01 | 12/31/06 | 27.3 | 57.2 | 58.125 | 148.3185 | $ 54.29 | 84.7 | 79.992 | 3/31/15 | 43.02 | 90.13 | 91.59 | 233.71 | 85.54 | 133.46 | 126.04 | ||||||
| 4. Fill in all yellow boxes with the requested information and/or answer. | 0.0369504571 | 4.71 | 0.98 | 1/31/07 | 27.7 | 55.3 | 59.375 | 152.9847 | $ 57.50 | 86 | 80.9919 | 4/30/15 | 43.65 | 87.14 | 93.56 | 241.06 | 90.6 | 135.51 | 127.62 | ||||||
| 5. To show your cash flow drawings, you must copy the drawings onto the Question Worksheet. | 0.03879798 | 4.71 | 1 | 2/28/07 | 30.1 | 55.7 | 67.5 | 148.3185 | $ 62.14 | 89.2 | 89.3244 | 5/31/15 | 47.43 | 87.77 | 106.36 | 233.71 | 97.92 | 140.55 | 140.75 | ||||||
| 6. Please show your Excel work in the same worksheet as the Question. | 0.040737879 | 3/31/07 | 32.7 | 57.2 | 76.25 | 151.6515 | $ 66.43 | 88 | 93.9906 | 6/30/15 | 51.53 | 90.13 | 120.15 | 238.96 | 104.67 | 138.66 | 148.1 | ||||||||
| 7. Data Analysis TookPak results such as Covariance Matrices or Regression Analysis can be inserted in a new worksheet. | Bushels | 20000 | 4/30/07 | 35.4 | 56.9 | 71.25 | 159.3174 | $ 70.36 | 89.7 | 95.6571 | 7/31/15 | 55.78 | 89.66 | 112.27 | 251.04 | 110.86 | 141.34 | 150.73 | |||||||
| 8. I do give some partial credit where enough detail is presented. | Initial Account % | 0.05 | 5/31/07 | 33.9 | 58.6 | 75.625 | 155.9844 | $ 70.71 | 91 | 94.6572 | 8/31/15 | 53.42 | 92.34 | 119.16 | 245.78 | 111.42 | 143.39 | 149.15 | |||||||
| Margin Maintenance | 0.75 | 6/30/07 | 34.7 | 57.2 | 80 | 148.6518 | $ 70.00 | 92.9 | 94.3239 | 9/30/15 | 54.68 | 90.13 | 126.06 | 234.23 | 110.3 | 146.38 | 148.63 | ||||||||
| Question | Points | Actual | 7/31/07 | 32.9 | 56.6 | 77.5 | 146.3187 | $ 70.00 | 95 | 95.6571 | 10/31/15 | 51.84 | 89.18 | 122.12 | 230.55 | 110.3 | 149.69 | 150.73 | |||||||
| 1a | 5 | 0 | MCCA | 8/31/07 | 30.4 | 56.8 | 80 | 140.6526 | $ 67.50 | 105 | 95.3238 | 11/30/15 | 47.9 | 89.5 | 126.06 | 221.63 | 106.36 | 165.45 | 150.2 | ||||||
| 1b | 5 | 0 | Option Type | Stock Price | IV | Strike Price | Exp | Vol | Open Int | 9/30/07 | 32.1 | 54 | 80 | 144.3189 | $ 65.00 | 109 | 99.3234 | 12/31/15 | 50.58 | 85.09 | 126.06 | 227.4 | 102.42 | 171.75 | 156.5 |
| 2a | 5 | 0 | Call | 29.59 | 0.3384 | 28 | May, 2015 | 3051 | 40421 | 10/31/07 | 36.2 | 51.4 | 86.25 | 148.6518 | $ 62.86 | 104 | 91.3242 | 1/31/16 | 57.04 | 80.99 | 135.9 | 234.23 | 99.04 | 163.87 | 143.9 |
| 2b | 5 | 0 | Annual interest rate = | 0.02626 | Trading days per year = | 252 | 11/30/07 | 37.2 | 53.2 | 82.5 | 159.6507 | $ 66.79 | 104 | 87.6579 | 2/29/16 | 58.62 | 83.83 | 130 | 251.56 | 105.23 | 163.87 | 138.12 | |||
| 3a | 2 | 0 | 12/31/07 | 34.9 | 50.1 | 78.125 | 161.6505 | $ 67.86 | 105 | 91.3242 | 3/31/16 | 54.99 | 78.94 | 123.1 | 254.71 | 106.92 | 165.45 | 143.9 | |||||||
| 3b | 2 | 0 | ABCD | 1/31/08 | 34.4 | 46.7 | 86.875 | 150.9849 | $ 68.21 | 108 | 94.9905 | 4/30/16 | 54.2 | 73.59 | 136.89 | 237.91 | 107.49 | 170.18 | 149.68 | ||||||
| 3c | 2 | 0 | Option Type | Stock Price | IV | Strike Price | Exp | Vol | Open Int | 2/29/08 | 33 | 43.9 | 102.5 | 136.3197 | $ 65.71 | 106 | 95.6571 | 5/31/16 | 52 | 69.17 | 161.51 | 214.8 | 103.55 | 167.02 | 150.73 |
| 3d | 2 | 0 | 38.5 | 0.39038 | 37 | May, 2015 | 4892 | 55057 | 3/31/08 | 33 | 42.5 | 111.875 | 138.6528 | $ 66.07 | 104 | 95.6571 | 6/30/16 | 52 | 66.97 | 176.28 | 218.48 | 104.11 | 163.87 | 150.73 | |
| 3e | 2 | 0 | Annual interest rate | 0.028886 | Trading days per year | 252 | 4/30/08 | 32.5 | 42.9 | 120 | 139.986 | $ 70.71 | 105 | 95.9904 | 7/31/16 | 51.21 | 67.6 | 189.08 | 220.58 | 111.42 | 165.45 | 151.25 | |||
| Total | 30 | 0 | 5/31/08 | 33.4 | 43 | 120.625 | 140.6526 | $ 70.36 | 101 | 95.6571 | 8/31/16 | 52.63 | 67.76 | 190.07 | 221.63 | 110.86 | 159.15 | 150.73 | |||||||
| 6/30/08 | 32.6 | 41.6 | 119.375 | 140.6526 | $ 68.93 | 100 | 94.3239 | 9/30/16 | 51.37 | 65.55 | 188.1 | 221.63 | 108.61 | 157.57 | 148.63 | ||||||||||
| Comments: | 7/31/08 | 32.3 | 39.9 | 124.375 | 145.9854 | $ 69.29 | 99.6 | 95.6571 | 10/31/16 | 50.9 | 62.87 | 195.98 | 230.03 | 109.17 | 156.94 | 150.73 | |||||||||
| 8/31/08 | 31.3 | 39.4 | 124.375 | 148.9851 | $ 68.21 | 103 | 94.3239 | 11/30/16 | 49.32 | 62.08 | 195.98 | 234.76 | 107.49 | 162.3 | 148.63 | ||||||||||
| 9/30/08 | 31.7 | 39.8 | 124.375 | 154.6512 | $ 68.93 | 108 | 93.6573 | 12/31/16 | 49.95 | 62.71 | 195.98 | 243.68 | 108.61 | 170.18 | 147.58 | ||||||||||
| 10/31/08 | 38.3 | 39.2 | 121.875 | 162.6504 | $ 70.36 | 101 | 97.3236 | 1/31/17 | 60.35 | 61.77 | 192.04 | 256.29 | 110.86 | 159.15 | 153.35 | ||||||||||
| 11/30/08 | 40.6 | 38.1 | 105.625 | 178.3155 | $ 76.07 | 100 | 106.9893 | 2/28/17 | 63.97 | 60.03 | 166.43 | 280.97 | 119.87 | 157.57 | 168.58 | ||||||||||
| 12/31/08 | 42.1 | 39.4 | 104.375 | 184.3149 | $ 85.00 | 101 | 120.9879 | 3/31/17 | 66.34 | 62.08 | 164.46 | 290.42 | 133.93 | 159.15 | 190.64 | ||||||||||
| 1/31/09 | 43 | 40.9 | 112.5 | 179.6487 | $ 88.21 | 101 | 140.3193 | 4/30/17 | 67.76 | 64.45 | 177.27 | 283.07 | 139 | 159.15 | 221.1 | ||||||||||
| 2/28/09 | 43.3 | 40.3 | 112.5 | 173.316 | $ 83.57 | 102 | 145.9854 | 5/31/17 | 68.23 | 63.5 | 177.27 | 273.09 | 131.68 | 160.72 | 230.03 | ||||||||||
| 3/31/09 | 44 | 42.4 | 119.375 | 181.9818 | $ 81.43 | 101 | 141.6525 | 6/30/17 | 69.33 | 66.81 | 188.1 | 286.75 | 128.31 | 159.15 | 223.2 | ||||||||||
| 4/30/09 | 43.3 | 44.6 | 121.875 | 181.9818 | $ 82.86 | 98 | 135.3198 | 7/31/17 | 68.23 | 70.28 | 192.04 | 286.75 | 130.56 | 154.42 | 213.22 | ||||||||||
| 5/31/09 | 41.2 | 46.6 | 127.5 | 183.6483 | $ 83.21 | 98.5 | 129.6537 | 8/31/17 | 64.92 | 73.43 | 200.9 | 289.37 | 131.12 | 155.21 | 204.3 | ||||||||||
| 6/30/09 | 41.4 | 42.4 | 131.875 | 184.9815 | $ 83.57 | 96.2 | 123.321 | 9/30/17 | 65.23 | 66.81 | 207.8 | 291.48 | 131.68 | 151.58 | 194.32 | ||||||||||
| 7/31/09 | 39.4 | 43.1 | 130 | 186.3147 | $ 83.21 | 96.7 | 118.3215 | 10/31/17 | 62.08 | 67.91 | 204.84 | 293.58 | 131.12 | 152.37 | 186.44 | ||||||||||
| 8/31/09 | 39.6 | 46.1 | 123.75 | 193.9806 | $ 83.57 | 96.2 | 112.3221 | 11/30/17 | 62.4 | 72.64 | 194.99 | 305.66 | 131.68 | 151.58 | 176.99 | ||||||||||
| 9/30/09 | 39.5 | 48.4 | 121.875 | 202.3131 | $ 85.00 | 101 | 110.9889 | 12/31/17 | 62.24 | 76.26 | 192.04 | 318.78 | 133.93 | 159.15 | 174.89 | ||||||||||
| 10/31/09 | 36.1 | 54.3 | 114.375 | 202.9797 | $ 83.57 | 101 | 102.6564 | 1/31/18 | 56.88 | 85.56 | 180.22 | 319.84 | 131.68 | 159.15 | 161.76 | ||||||||||
| 11/30/09 | 36.3 | 53.1 | 91.25 | 193.9806 | $ 77.50 | 93.8 | 98.3235 | 2/28/18 | 57.2 | 83.67 | 143.78 | 305.66 | 122.12 | 147.8 | 154.93 | ||||||||||
| 12/31/09 | 39.3 | 59.3 | 86.875 | 189.3144 | $ 76.79 | 91.9 | 111.6555 | 3/31/18 | 61.93 | 93.44 | 136.89 | 298.3 | 120.99 | 144.81 | 175.94 | ||||||||||
| 1/31/10 | 39.7 | 65.6 | 86.875 | 201.9798 | $ 78.57 | 90.1 | 112.9887 | 4/30/18 | 62.56 | 103.37 | 136.89 | 318.26 | 123.81 | 141.97 | 178.04 | ||||||||||
| 2/28/10 | 39.8 | 71.5 | 90 | 219.978 | $ 75.71 | 89.1 | 114.6552 | 5/31/18 | 62.71 | 112.66 | 141.81 | 346.62 | 119.3 | 140.39 | 180.66 | ||||||||||
| 3/31/10 | 41.3 | 78 | 80.625 | 234.9765 | $ 78.57 | 86.8 | 120.3213 | 6/30/18 | 65.08 | 122.9 | 127.04 | 370.25 | 123.81 | 136.77 | 189.59 | ||||||||||
| 4/30/10 | 42 | 85.5 | 98.75 | 238.9761 | $ 82.50 | 87 | 122.6544 | 7/31/18 | 66.18 | 134.72 | 155.6 | 376.55 | 130 | 137.09 | 193.27 | ||||||||||
| 5/31/10 | 43.6 | 85.7 | 92.5 | 244.9755 | $ 85.36 | 84.8 | 122.6544 | 8/31/18 | 68.7 | 135.04 | 145.75 | 386.01 | 134.5 | 133.62 | 193.27 | ||||||||||
| 6/30/10 | 47.6 | 82.3 | 98.75 | 275.9724 | $ 93.21 | 85.1 | 125.6541 | 9/30/18 | 75 | 129.68 | 155.6 | 434.85 | 146.88 | 134.09 | 197.99 | ||||||||||
| 7/31/10 | 48.4 | 84.5 | 100 | 309.3024 | $ 98.21 | 86.2 | 127.6539 | 10/31/18 | 76.26 | 133.15 | 157.57 | 487.37 | 154.76 | 135.83 | 201.14 | ||||||||||
| 8/31/10 | 50.9 | 86.5 | 101.875 | 320.6346 | $ 103.21 | 92.7 | 129.3204 | 11/30/18 | 80.2 | 136.3 | 160.52 | 505.22 | 162.63 | 146.07 | 203.77 | ||||||||||
| 9/30/10 | 48.2 | 88.2 | 106.25 | 318.6348 | $ 102.50 | 108 | 127.3206 | 12/31/18 | 75.95 | 138.98 | 167.42 | 502.07 | 161.51 | 170.18 | 200.62 | ||||||||||
| 10/31/10 | 45.8 | 93 | 100.625 | 302.6364 | $ 99.64 | 102 | 118.3215 | 1/31/19 | 72.17 | 146.54 | 158.55 | 476.86 | 157.01 | 160.72 | 186.44 | ||||||||||
| 11/30/10 | 42.7 | 93.7 | 85 | 281.9718 | $ 89.64 | 98.7 | 112.3221 | 2/28/19 | 67.28 | 147.64 | 133.93 | 444.3 | 141.25 | 155.52 | 176.99 | ||||||||||
| 12/31/10 | 40.1 | 89.3 | 82.5 | 227.6439 | $ 83.57 | 99.3 | 108.9891 | 3/31/19 | 63.19 | 140.71 | 130 | 358.7 | 131.68 | 156.47 | 171.73 | ||||||||||
| 1/31/11 | 35.7 | 84.6 | 88.75 | 194.3139 | $ 78.57 | 97.5 | 111.9888 | 4/30/19 | 56.25 | 133.3 | 139.84 | 306.18 | 123.81 | 153.63 | 176.46 | ||||||||||
| 2/28/11 | 31.7 | 75.9 | 90.625 | 185.3148 | $ 76.43 | 100 | 114.3219 | 5/31/19 | 49.95 | 119.6 | 142.8 | 292 | 120.43 | 157.57 | 180.14 | ||||||||||
| 3/31/11 | 30.6 | 73.8 | 94.375 | 178.6488 | $ 73.21 | 95.2 | 115.3218 | 6/30/19 | 48.22 | 116.29 | 148.71 | 281.5 | 115.36 | 150.01 | 181.71 | ||||||||||
| 4/30/11 | 29.9 | 73.7 | 100 | 181.6485 | $ 72.86 | 92.1 | 113.322 | 7/31/19 | 47.11 | 116.13 | 157.57 | 286.22 | 114.8 | 145.12 | 178.56 | ||||||||||
| 5/31/11 | 29.5 | 73.9 | 102.5 | 185.6481 | $ 75.71 | 94.5 | 114.3219 | 8/31/19 | 46.48 | 116.44 | 161.51 | 292.53 | 119.3 | 148.9 | 180.14 | ||||||||||
| 6/30/11 | 29.6 | 69 | 104.375 | 180.6486 | $ 69.64 | 94 | 111.9888 | 9/30/19 | 46.64 | 108.72 | 164.46 | 284.65 | 109.74 | 148.12 | 176.46 | ||||||||||
| 7/31/11 | 30.4 | 69.7 | 108.125 | 198.3135 | $ 72.14 | 98.6 | 113.9886 | 10/31/19 | 47.9 | 109.83 | 170.37 | 312.48 | 113.68 | 155.36 | 179.61 | ||||||||||
| 8/31/11 | 29.6 | 69.8 | 103.125 | 200.9799 | $ 71.43 | 105 | 111.6555 | 11/30/19 | 46.64 | 109.98 | 162.49 | 316.68 | 112.55 | 165.45 | 175.94 | ||||||||||
| 9/30/11 | 30.5 | 69.8 | 102.5 | 206.9793 | $ 70.71 | 114 | 110.3223 | 12/31/19 | 48.06 | 109.98 | 161.51 | 326.14 | 111.42 | 179.63 | 173.83 | ||||||||||
| 10/31/11 | 37.7 | 69.6 | 109.375 | 219.3114 | $ 72.50 | 106 | 107.6559 | 1/31/20 | 59.4 | 109.67 | 172.34 | 345.57 | 114.24 | 167.02 | 169.63 | ||||||||||
| 11/30/11 | 39.4 | 68.2 | 99.375 | 221.6445 | $ 75.36 | 105 | 106.656 | 2/29/20 | 62.08 | 107.46 | 156.59 | 349.25 | 118.74 | 165.45 | 168.06 | ||||||||||
| 12/31/11 | 36.9 | 65.9 | 93.125 | 204.9795 | $ 69.64 | 108 | 107.9892 | 3/31/20 | 58.14 | 103.84 | 146.74 | 322.99 | 109.74 | 170.18 | 170.16 | ||||||||||
| 1/31/12 | 34.1 | 67.7 | 96.25 | 192.3141 | $ 67.86 | 106 | 111.9888 | 4/30/20 | 53.73 | 106.67 | 151.66 | 303.03 | 106.92 | 167.02 | 176.46 | ||||||||||
| 2/29/12 | 29.9 | 70.2 | 99.375 | 188.9811 | $ 65.00 | 105 | 114.3219 | 5/31/20 | 47.11 | 110.61 | 156.59 | 297.78 | 102.42 | 165.45 | 180.14 | ||||||||||
| 3/31/12 | 28.2 | 75.6 | 102.5 | 187.3146 | $ 63.21 | 98.3 | 114.9885 | 6/30/20 | 44.43 | 119.12 | 161.51 | 295.15 | 99.61 | 154.89 | 181.19 | ||||||||||
| 4/30/12 | 29.1 | 75.4 | 108.125 | 192.6474 | $ 68.57 | 96.9 | 117.6549 | 7/31/20 | 45.85 | 118.81 | 170.37 | 303.55 | 108.05 | 152.69 | 185.39 | ||||||||||
Question 1
| You wish to hedge against interest rate changes so you enter into a swap | |||
| contract with another party for the next ten years based on the term | |||
| structure shown to the right, and the notional amount shown below. | Term Structure | ||
| Year | Rate | ||
| Notional amount | 14420000 | 1 | 2.6260% |
| 2 | 2.7573% | ||
| 3 | 2.8952% | ||
| a) What is the value of the floating rate portion of the swap? | Vfloat = | 4 | 3.0399% |
| Points | 5 | 5 | 3.1919% |
| Grade | 6 | 3.3515% | |
| 7 | 3.5191% | ||
| b) Determine the fixed rate for the contract such that the swap has a | r = | 8 | 3.6950% |
| value of zero at the signing of the contract. | 9 | 3.8798% | |
| Points | 5 | 10 | 4.0738% |
| Grade | |||
Question 2
| A buyer buys four futures contracts for soybeans per the quantity and | Buyer | Seller | ||||||
| initial price shown below. A seller sells the contracts for the same | Margin | Account | Settlement | Margin | Account | |||
| quantity and price. | Day | Deposits | Call | Balance | Price | Deposits | Call | Balance |
| Initial Price | $ 4.92 | 1 | 4.92 | |||||
| # Bushels | 20,000 | |||||||
| Initial Account % | 5.00% | |||||||
| Margin Maintenance % | 75% | 2 | 5.02 | |||||
| 3 | 5.17 | |||||||
| a) Based on the daily settlment prices shown in the table to the right, | ||||||||
| complete the yellow portions of the table identifying where | ||||||||
| appropriate the Deposits, Margin Calls, and Account Ballances for | 4 | 5.17 | ||||||
| both the Buyer and the Seller. | ||||||||
| Note, not all of the yellow cells will require a value. | ||||||||
| Points | 5 | 5 | 5.01 | |||||
| Grade | ||||||||
| b) If the contract is closed at the close of the 10th day, calculate the | 6 | 4.91 | ||||||
| Total Gain or Loss for both the Buyer and the Seller. Fill in the yellow | ||||||||
| cells provided at the bottom of the table to the right. | ||||||||
| Points | 5 | 7 | 4.76 | |||||
| Grade | ||||||||
| Note, you do not need to do all of this with Excel formulas. | 8 | 4.81 | ||||||
| Calculators are fine, or a combination of both. It is just a step by step | ||||||||
| process! | ||||||||
| 9 | 4.71 | |||||||
| Note: How many bushels are in a contract? | ||||||||
| 10 | 4.71 | |||||||
| Deposits | ||||||||
| Final Balance | ||||||||
| Total (Gain or Loss) |
Question 3
| A farmer has an uncertain price for her 20,000 tons of sorghum, but there | Feed Grain Commodities | |||||||||||||||
| is not a future or option available to perform a perfet hedge. So, she | Date | Sorghum | A | B | C | D | E | F | ||||||||
| chooses to base her hedge on one of six other future grain commodities, | Jul-14 | 41.28 | 94.70 | 232.66 | 116.21 | 132.35 | 116.76 | 102.42 | ||||||||
| A, B, C, D, E, and F whose historical data are shown to the far right. | Aug-14 | 45.07 | 94.23 | 242.63 | 118.18 | 131.82 | 119.75 | 107.49 | ||||||||
| All prices shown to the right are $ per ton. | Sep-14 | 48.22 | 91.71 | 251.56 | 125.07 | 133.40 | 121.33 | 111.42 | ||||||||
| Today's date is | Jul-20 | Oct-14 | 50.58 | 88.87 | 257.86 | 126.06 | 136.02 | 122.43 | 114.24 | |||||||
| The current prices are: | Current Price | Nov-14 | 51.05 | 90.60 | 262.59 | 132.95 | 134.97 | 129.05 | 114.24 | |||||||
| Sorghum | 45.85 | Dec-14 | 52.47 | 88.55 | 272.57 | 129.01 | 136.02 | 138.50 | 118.74 | |||||||
| A | 118.81 | Jan-15 | 52.31 | 89.66 | 258.91 | 122.12 | 131.30 | 134.09 | 107.49 | |||||||
| B | 303.55 | Feb-15 | 44.43 | 88.08 | 237.91 | 106.36 | 121.84 | 131.26 | 92.29 | |||||||
| C | 170.37 | Mar-15 | 43.02 | 90.13 | 233.71 | 91.59 | 126.04 | 133.46 | 85.54 | |||||||
| D | 185.39 | Apr-15 | 43.65 | 87.14 | 241.06 | 93.56 | 127.62 | 135.51 | 90.60 | |||||||
| E | 152.69 | May-15 | 47.43 | 87.77 | 233.71 | 106.36 | 140.75 | 140.55 | 97.92 | |||||||
| Complete parts a through e below: | F | 108.05 | Jun-15 | 51.53 | 90.13 | 238.96 | 120.15 | 148.10 | 138.66 | 104.67 | ||||||
| Jul-15 | 55.78 | 89.66 | 251.04 | 112.27 | 150.73 | 141.34 | 110.86 | |||||||||
| a) In the yellow box area provided, create summary table and correlation | Summary | Sorghum | A | B | C | D | E | F | Aug-15 | 53.42 | 92.34 | 245.78 | 119.16 | 149.15 | 143.39 | 111.42 |
| table feed grain commodities; fill in the yellow cells provided. | Average | Sep-15 | 54.68 | 90.13 | 234.23 | 126.06 | 148.63 | 146.38 | 110.30 | |||||||
| Points | 2 | Variance | Oct-15 | 51.84 | 89.18 | 230.55 | 122.12 | 150.73 | 149.69 | 110.30 | ||||||
| Grade | StDev | Nov-15 | 47.90 | 89.50 | 221.63 | 126.06 | 150.20 | 165.45 | 106.36 | |||||||
| Dec-15 | 50.58 | 85.09 | 227.40 | 126.06 | 156.50 | 171.75 | 102.42 | |||||||||
| Correlation | Sorghum | A | B | C | D | E | F | Jan-16 | 57.04 | 80.99 | 234.23 | 135.90 | 143.90 | 163.87 | 99.04 | |
| Sorghum | Feb-16 | 58.62 | 83.83 | 251.56 | 130.00 | 138.12 | 163.87 | 105.23 | ||||||||
| A | Mar-16 | 54.99 | 78.94 | 254.71 | 123.10 | 143.90 | 165.45 | 106.92 | ||||||||
| B | Apr-16 | 54.20 | 73.59 | 237.91 | 136.89 | 149.68 | 170.18 | 107.49 | ||||||||
| C | May-16 | 52.00 | 69.17 | 214.80 | 161.51 | 150.73 | 167.02 | 103.55 | ||||||||
| D | Jun-16 | 52.00 | 66.97 | 218.48 | 176.28 | 150.73 | 163.87 | 104.11 | ||||||||
| E | Jul-16 | 51.21 | 67.60 | 220.58 | 189.08 | 151.25 | 165.45 | 111.42 | ||||||||
| F | Aug-16 | 52.63 | 67.76 | 221.63 | 190.07 | 150.73 | 159.15 | 110.86 | ||||||||
| Sep-16 | 51.37 | 65.55 | 221.63 | 188.10 | 148.63 | 157.57 | 108.61 | |||||||||
| b) Which of the other commodities, A, B, C, D, E, or F would you choose | Recommended | Oct-16 | 50.90 | 62.87 | 230.03 | 195.98 | 150.73 | 156.94 | 109.17 | |||||||
| recommend to the farmer for hedging his Sorghum crop? | commodity is: | Nov-16 | 49.32 | 62.08 | 234.76 | 195.98 | 148.63 | 162.30 | 107.49 | |||||||
| Points | 2 | Dec-16 | 49.95 | 62.71 | 243.68 | 195.98 | 147.58 | 170.18 | 108.61 | |||||||
| Grade | Jan-17 | 60.35 | 61.77 | 256.29 | 192.04 | 153.35 | 159.15 | 110.86 | ||||||||
| Feb-17 | 63.97 | 60.03 | 280.97 | 166.43 | 168.58 | 157.57 | 119.87 | |||||||||
| c) Calculate the number of tons and dollars of the commodity future you chose | # of tons = | Mar-17 | 66.34 | 62.08 | 290.42 | 164.46 | 190.64 | 159.15 | 133.93 | |||||||
| in part b) above for the farmer to use as a hedge for her sorghum crop. | $ = | Apr-17 | 67.76 | 64.45 | 283.07 | 177.27 | 221.10 | 159.15 | 139.00 | |||||||
| Points | 2 | May-17 | 68.23 | 63.50 | 273.09 | 177.27 | 230.03 | 160.72 | 131.68 | |||||||
| Grade | Jun-17 | 69.33 | 66.81 | 286.75 | 188.10 | 223.20 | 159.15 | 128.31 | ||||||||
| Jul-17 | 68.23 | 70.28 | 286.75 | 192.04 | 213.22 | 154.42 | 130.56 | |||||||||
| d) Calculate the standard deviation of the farmer's newly hedged position. | New StDev = | Aug-17 | 64.92 | 73.43 | 289.37 | 200.90 | 204.30 | 155.21 | 131.12 | |||||||
| Points | 2 | Sep-17 | 65.23 | 66.81 | 291.48 | 207.80 | 194.32 | 151.58 | 131.68 | |||||||
| Grade | Oct-17 | 62.08 | 67.91 | 293.58 | 204.84 | 186.44 | 152.37 | 131.12 | ||||||||
| Nov-17 | 62.40 | 72.64 | 305.66 | 194.99 | 176.99 | 151.58 | 131.68 | |||||||||
| e) Is the farmer buying long or selling short these futures to hedge her | Buy or sell? | Dec-17 | 62.24 | 76.26 | 318.78 | 192.04 | 174.89 | 159.15 | 133.93 | |||||||
| sorghum crop? | Jan-18 | 56.88 | 85.56 | 319.84 | 180.22 | 161.76 | 159.15 | 131.68 | ||||||||
| Points | 2 | Feb-18 | 57.20 | 83.67 | 305.66 | 143.78 | 154.93 | 147.80 | 122.12 | |||||||
| Grade | Mar-18 | 61.93 | 93.44 | 298.30 | 136.89 | 175.94 | 144.81 | 120.99 | ||||||||
| Apr-18 | 62.56 | 103.37 | 318.26 | 136.89 | 178.04 | 141.97 | 123.81 | |||||||||
| May-18 | 62.71 | 112.66 | 346.62 | 141.81 | 180.66 | 140.39 | 119.30 | |||||||||
| Jun-18 | 65.08 | 122.90 | 370.25 | 127.04 | 189.59 | 136.77 | 123.81 | |||||||||
| Jul-18 | 66.18 | 134.72 | 376.55 | 155.60 | 193.27 | 137.09 | 130.00 | |||||||||
| Aug-18 | 68.70 | 135.04 | 386.01 | 145.75 | 193.27 | 133.62 | 134.50 | |||||||||
| Sep-18 | 75.00 | 129.68 | 434.85 | 155.60 | 197.99 | 134.09 | 146.88 | |||||||||
| Oct-18 | 76.26 | 133.15 | 487.37 | 157.57 | 201.14 | 135.83 | 154.76 | |||||||||
| Nov-18 | 80.20 | 136.30 | 505.22 | 160.52 | 203.77 | 146.07 | 162.63 | |||||||||
| Dec-18 | 75.95 | 138.98 | 502.07 | 167.42 | 200.62 | 170.18 | 161.51 | |||||||||
| Jan-19 | 72.17 | 146.54 | 476.86 | 158.55 | 186.44 | 160.72 | 157.01 | |||||||||
| Feb-19 | 67.28 | 147.64 | 444.30 | 133.93 | 176.99 | 155.52 | 141.25 | |||||||||
| Mar-19 | 63.19 | 140.71 | 358.70 | 130.00 | 171.73 | 156.47 | 131.68 | |||||||||
| Apr-19 | 56.25 | 133.30 | 306.18 | 139.84 | 176.46 | 153.63 | 123.81 | |||||||||
| May-19 | 49.95 | 119.60 | 292.00 | 142.80 | 180.14 | 157.57 | 120.43 | |||||||||
| Jun-19 | 48.22 | 116.29 | 281.50 | 148.71 | 181.71 | 150.01 | 115.36 | |||||||||
| Jul-19 | 47.11 | 116.13 | 286.22 | 157.57 | 178.56 | 145.12 | 114.80 | |||||||||
| Aug-19 | 46.48 | 116.44 | 292.53 | 161.51 | 180.14 | 148.90 | 119.30 | |||||||||
| Sep-19 | 46.64 | 108.72 | 284.65 | 164.46 | 176.46 | 148.12 | 109.74 | |||||||||
| Oct-19 | 47.90 | 109.83 | 312.48 | 170.37 | 179.61 | 155.36 | 113.68 | |||||||||
| Nov-19 | 46.64 | 109.98 | 316.68 | 162.49 | 175.94 | 165.45 | 112.55 | |||||||||
| Dec-19 | 48.06 | 109.98 | 326.14 | 161.51 | 173.83 | 179.63 | 111.42 | |||||||||
| Jan-20 | 59.40 | 109.67 | 345.57 | 172.34 | 169.63 | 167.02 | 114.24 | |||||||||
| Feb-20 | 62.08 | 107.46 | 349.25 | 156.59 | 168.06 | 165.45 | 118.74 | |||||||||
| Mar-20 | 58.14 | 103.84 | 322.99 | 146.74 | 170.16 | 170.18 | 109.74 | |||||||||
| Apr-20 | 53.73 | 106.67 | 303.03 | 151.66 | 176.46 | 167.02 | 106.92 | |||||||||
| May-20 | 47.11 | 110.61 | 297.78 | 156.59 | 180.14 | 165.45 | 102.42 | |||||||||
| Jun-20 | 44.43 | 119.12 | 295.15 | 161.51 | 181.19 | 154.89 | 99.61 | |||||||||
| Jul-20 | 45.85 | 118.81 | 303.55 | 170.37 | 185.39 | 152.69 | 108.05 |