Calculations 2/3
ASSIGNMENT # 3: VARIABILITY IN AVTIVITY TIMES
BADM 366 PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT
STUDENT’S NAME-------------------------------------------
1. KENNY B. International Corporation builds radio frequency transponders for 40 foot containers. The most recent containers built requires 14 different activities. KENNY B. International would like to determine the total project completion time (in days) and those activities that lie along the critical path. Complete the table below and calculate showing appropriate graph and formulas:
|
Activity |
Optimistic time |
Most likely time |
Pessimistic time |
LF
|
ES |
EF |
|
|
|
|
|
A |
4 |
6 |
7 |
5.83 |
0.00 |
5.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
B |
1 |
2 |
3 |
11.83 |
0.00 |
2.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
C |
6 |
6 |
6 |
11.83 |
5.83 |
11.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
D |
5 |
8 |
11 |
17.67 |
5.83 |
13.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
E |
1 |
9 |
18 |
21.00 |
11.83 |
21.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
F |
2 |
3 |
6 |
21.00 |
13.83 |
17.16 |
|
|
|
|
|
G |
1 |
7 |
8 |
25.33 |
13.83 |
20.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
H |
4 |
4 |
6 |
25.33 |
21.00 |
25.33 |
|
|
|
|
|
I |
1 |
6 |
8 |
30.83 |
25.33 |
30.83 |
|
|
|
|
|
J |
2 |
5 |
7 |
38.00 |
30.83 |
35.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
K |
8 |
9 |
11 |
40.00 |
30.83 |
40.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
L |
2 |
4 |
6 |
42.00 |
35.66 |
39.66 |
|
|
|
|
|
M |
1 |
2 |
3 |
42.00 |
40.00 |
42.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
N |
6 |
8 |
10 |
50.00 |
42.00 |
50.00 |
|
|
|
|
a) What is the probability that the project will be completed in 53 days?
b) What is the probability that the project will be completed in less than 53 days?
1