Calculations 2/3

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Assignment2con..docx

ASSIGNMENT # 3: VARIABILITY IN AVTIVITY TIMES

BADM 366 PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT

STUDENT’S NAME-------------------------------------------

1. KENNY B. International Corporation builds radio frequency transponders for 40 foot containers. The most recent containers built requires 14 different activities. KENNY B. International would like to determine the total project completion time (in days) and those activities that lie along the critical path. Complete the table below and calculate showing appropriate graph and formulas:

Activity

Optimistic time

Most likely time

Pessimistic time

LF

ES

EF

A

4

6

7

5.83

0.00

5.83

B

1

2

3

11.83

0.00

2.00

C

6

6

6

11.83

5.83

11.83

D

5

8

11

17.67

5.83

13.83

E

1

9

18

21.00

11.83

21.00

F

2

3

6

21.00

13.83

17.16

G

1

7

8

25.33

13.83

20.00

H

4

4

6

25.33

21.00

25.33

I

1

6

8

30.83

25.33

30.83

J

2

5

7

38.00

30.83

35.66

K

8

9

11

40.00

30.83

40.00

L

2

4

6

42.00

35.66

39.66

M

1

2

3

42.00

40.00

42.00

N

6

8

10

50.00

42.00

50.00

a) What is the probability that the project will be completed in 53 days?

b) What is the probability that the project will be completed in less than 53 days?

c) How many days will the project be completed, if the company projects a 99% probability for completion?

1