Elon Musk’s Twitter Deal Case Study

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Assignment1-excel.xlsx

Input sheet and cash flows (DCF

Date of valuation Mar-18
Company name Twitter
Numbers from your base year below ( in consistent units)
Updated on January 2022 with 2022 Industry averages
Country of incorporation United States
Industry (US) Advertising Industry averages.
Industry (Global) Advertising
Most recent 10-k annual report (in million dollars) Note Report page number Industry (US data) Industry (Global data)
Revenues Read from 10-k Revenue growth in the most recent year = 7.13% 4.93%
Operating income or EBIT $ 273.00 Cost of capital = 5.64% 7.00%
Interest expense $ 152.90
Book value of equity Read from 10-k
Book value of debt $ 5,546.60
Number of shares outstanding = 797.60
Current stock price = $ 42.00
Effective tax rate = 25.00%
Marginal tax rate = 25.00%
The value drivers below (Assumptions):
Revenue growth rate for the following 5 years Insert your estimate here and write your reasons in report
Operating Margin for the following 5 years 20.00%
Market and company numbers
Riskfree rate 2.50%
Cost of capital (WACC) Insert your estimate here and write your reasons in report
Standard deviation on stock price = 30.00%
Sales-to-Capital Ratio 2.80% Annually
perpetual growth rate of FCF (g) 4.00%
Note: To simplify,
EBIT=Revenues* Operating Margin
FCFF=EBIT*(1-t)-Reinvestment
Reinvestment = (Current Year Revenues − Previous Year Revenues) × Sales-to-Capital Ratio
Value of firm = PV(next five years' FCFFs)+PV(terminal value)
where terminal value=FCFF_{year5}*(1+g)/(r-g) and PV(terminal value)=terminal value/(1+r)^5
Value of equity= Value of the firm - Debt - Minority interest + Cash + Non-operating assets
Forecast for the next 5 years using your estimated revenue growth rate and cost of capital for this five years. After that, Free Cash Flow each will grow at 4% growth rate, the cost of capital will be the same as the previous years
Hint: you can first calculate the sum of PV(FCFF) of the first five years. Then use growing perpetuity formula given above to get the PV(terminal value)
Base year 1 2 3 4 5 Terminal Value
Revenue growth rate 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Revenues $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0
Operating margin 19.02% 20.00% 20.00% 20.00% 20.00% 20.00%
EBIT
Tax rate (t) 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00% 25.00%
EBIT*(1-t)
- Reinvestment
FCFF
Cost of capital 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cumulated discounted factor 1 1 1 1 1
PV(FCFF)
Value of the company $ - 0
- Debt $ 5,546.60 Value of debt is 5546.6 million dollars
- Minority interests $ - 0
+ Cash $ 6,393.70 Value of cash is 6393.7 million dollars
+ Non-operating assets $ - 0
Value of equity Value of equity= Value of the firm - Debt - Minority interest + Cash + Non-operating assets
- Value of options $17.91 Value of options is 17.91 million dollars
Value of equity in common stock
Number of shares - 0
Estimated value /share