FINANCIAL Ratio ANALYSIS

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AssessingBankPerformanceandDeterminingStrategy1.docx

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206 E.N. Roussakis

Assessing bank performance and determining strategy 205

Assessing bank performance and determining strategy

Introduction

Amal Galla is a graduate student in finance at Morocco’s HEM School of Business, Marrakesh campus. She has successfully completed all degree requirements except for the need to secure an internship (stage de fin d’études) in the area of her specialisation.

This concern had preoccupied her for quite a while and had prompted her to pursue all available leads. As she was evaluating her next move, she received a call from the Head of Student Affairs office (Responsable Pédagogique) who informed her of an internship opportunity brought to his attention by his liaison at Florida International University, HEM’s academic partner in Miami. Essentially, a bank based in Coral Gables was offering a three-month paid internship that could develop into a permanent position if the senior management was satisfied with her performance.

Amal followed through with this prospect and consented to an interview, via skype, with an officer of the bank’s human resources. A week later she received formal notification of the internship offer and in no time she arranged all trip details and arrived in Miami. Her first day at the bank she met various members of the management team starting with Mr. Felipe Battik, Vice President in charge of Human Resources, who defined the parameters of her internship assignment. Initially, Amal was to be rotated through the various units of the bank to gain additional insights into the scope of its activities. She was then to be placed at the office of the controller and treasurer to enable her access of the pertinent financial information for assessment of the bank’s performance. Based on her findings she was to identify a strategy to maximise the bank’s overall potential. Amal agreed to submit a written report of her review and recommendations and consented to make an oral presentation of the key issues before completion of her assignment.

Her first day work impressions, combined with the prospect for a full-time employment, convinced Amal of the need to come up with a high quality written report on completion of her assignment. To better prepare for this challenge she thought appropriate to pursue a three step approach in the following order

· revisit the pertinent chapters of her commercial banking textbook on the goal of management and the relevance of bank policies and strategies

· research current literature on assessing bank performance and implementing strategy

· review the bank’s background information (e.g., ownership, scope of operations, and financial condition)

Hence, the sequence of the sections that follows.

Literature review

Assessing bank performance

For a commercial bank, and other financial firms, performance refers to how effectively does an institution meets the needs of its stakeholders – shareholders (owners), employees, depositors and other creditors, and borrowing customers – in the framework of regulatory pronouncements.

Key ratios and their interpretation

As with all profit-seeking organizations, the single most important indicator of bank performance has been profitability. After all, banks and other financial institutions are simply businesses organised to maximise the value of the shareholders’ wealth invested in the firm. With profitability, the most important dimension of performance,

1- Two financial ratios that apply equally well for measuring the performance of both banks

Rate of return on equity (ROE) is, in the accounting sense, The ratio tells a bank’s shareholders how much the institution is earning on their investment. The ratio is especially important because the key objective of a bank is to maximise the return to shareholders.

The second profitability measure, ROA, This measure gauges how well management is using a bank’s assets to generate net earnings. A low rate may reflect excessive operating expenses or conservative lending and investment policies, while a high rate may denote operational efficiency or aggressive lending and investment policies. If the latter is the case, the bank may be assuming increased risk in order to attain higher returns on assets.

2 - other key indicators of bank profitability as well as efficiency are the net interest margin and the net non-interest margin.

The net interest margin expresses management’s effectiveness to boost interest income and control interest expense (funding costs).

Although increasingly in recent years banks have been emphasising non-interest income, for many institutions this ratio may be negative as a result of high non-interest costs.

An alternative expression of both of these ratios is in terms of earning assets (investments securities and loans and leases). Many authorities prefer to measure the net interest and non-interest margins by comparing them to earning assets as these constitute the principal contributors to a bank’s income and rate of return.

3- The spread is another traditional indicator of return on a bank’s assets by measuring the difference between the average yield on earning assets and the average cost of interest-bearing liabilities. It is defined as:

Figure 1 Decomposition process

4- This decomposition process helps narrow down the causes of bank earnings problems and suggests where the management needs to look for possible cures.

As shown in Figure 1, the decomposition process focuses on the ROE and its key components, ROA and the equity multiplier (also known as leverage multiplier for signifying extent of bank reliance on leverage or debt in the financing of its assets). Together the two component ratios indicate that a higher ROE can be attained by increasing either ROA or financial leverage. The ROA, in turn, may be broken down into its key components, profit margin and asset utilisation. The profit margin and asset utilisation may each be decomposed further. The former would reflect the relative importance of four ratios each of which measures the individual weight of specific types of expenses and taxes (interest expense, non-interest expense, provision for loan losses, and income taxes) in relation to total operating income; asset utilisation would itself be broken down into interest income relative to total assets, and non-interest income to total assets.

Additional ratios may be used to measure performance in other aspects of banking activity, such as operating efficiency (total operating expenses in relation to total operating income), employee productivity (net operating income relative to full-time equivalent employees), off-balance sheet items (relative to total assets), and capital adequacy based on the internationally imposed standards of the Basel agreement – e.g., ratio of core capital (Tier 1) to total risk-weighted assets, and ratio of total capital (Tier 1 plus Tier 2) to total risk-weighted assets.

5-With lending the dominant activity of commercial banks and the key source of revenue income, the relevance and quality of the loan portfolio is measured by such indicators as:

The first ratio has been a traditional gauge of a bank’s exposure to credit risk (debtors’ failure to perform as agreed). With loans among the riskiest of all assets, growth of this ratio increases a bank’s loss potential and undermines the safety of its deposits.

The next four ratios evaluate critical aspects of loan portfolio soundness.

Inability to meet normal operating requirements on a day-to-day basis exposes a bank to liquidity risk (lack of sufficient cash and borrowing capacity to meet customer demands). Key measures of this risk, expressed as a percent of total assets, are the following ratios:

Management challenges

Ponce de Leon Bank was not immune to the effects of the financial crisis owing to its loan portfolio concentration in real estate loans and the somewhat aggressive lending practices it used to expand it – granting loans at higher than normal loan-to-value (LTV) ratios, and using lax structuring of loan repayment terms and conditions (many loans were granted with interest only payment provisions and no significant principal amortisations). As the financial crisis began to unfold, the bank started to experience an increase in its non-current loans and repossessed properties to a level beyond what could be supported by its total capital and loan loss reserves. Regulatory concerns prompted the bank to seek out private investors who contributed $2.0 million of additional capital in early 2009. This move, however, turned out to offer only temporary relief; continued deterioration in asset quality caused additional losses, poor earnings, and return to capital deficiency. The extent of the bank’s exposure may be sensed by the fact that at the end of the first quarter of 2010, commercial real estate loans were valued at $34.7 million and represented 604% of its capital base, while its gas station loans amounted to $12.2 million and represented 211% of its capital. In addition, the bank’s OREO (other real estate owned portfolio-foreclosed loans) surged by more than double – from $3.185 million in 2009 to $7.38 million in 2010 – representing a 120% of its capital.

Addressing the additional loan portfolio exposure (e.g., increasing loan loss reserves for $6.1 million in non-current loans) and meeting regulatory capital requirements was a challenging task for the bank. Yet its management felt confident that as the two-year old government financial rescue plan worked its way through the economy, recovery and growth would soon take hold. Continuing highly stimulative US monetary and fiscal policies had already caused the gradual improvement in the 2010 quarterly GDP data and the drop in the unemployment rate (9.4%). Management reasoned that these policies would prompt real estate to rebound and help restore the bank to a safe and financially sound condition.

The immediate attention of management was directed on boosting the bank’s non-interest income. Its rational was that this source of income diversified earnings from traditional lines of business and contributed significantly to the bank’s long-term potential. A prime favourite was entry into the fiduciary business (trust services). Trust services (e.g., managing customer assets such as securities, land, and buildings) offered the advantage of generating income without utilising bank funds. Bank fees, monthly service charges on deposits, and special charges for special services were viewed as additional favourites for boosting non-interest income.

The size and relative importance of bank operations may be sensed from Tables 4 through 6 which depict the financial condition of the institution in 2009 and 2010. Financial statements were audited by a major US accounting firm.

Table 4 Balance sheets, Ponce de Leon Bank, Coral Gables, Florida (thousands of dollars)

2010

2009

Total assets

$106,908

$98,054

Cash and due from depository institutions

10,569

7,219

Interest-bearing balances

4,431

5,537

Securities

12,844

16,190

Federal funds sold and reverse repurchase agreements

279

0

Net loans and leases

72,936

68,024

Loan loss allowance

1,562

1,223

Trading account assets

0

0

Bank premises and fixed assets

1,265

1,380

Other real estate owned

7,380

3,185

Goodwill and other intangibles

0

0

All other assets

1,635

2,056

Life insurance assets

0

0

Total liabilities and capital

$106,908

$98,054

Total liabilities

100,787

86,726

Total deposits

94,656

82,187

Interest-bearing deposits

90,308

75,556

Deposits held in domestic offices

94,656

82,187

Percentage of insured

84.56%

84.28%

Federal funds purchased and repurchase agreements

0

0

Trading liabilities

0

0

Other borrowed funds

1,292

1,318

Subordinated debt

3,000

3,000

All other liabilities

1,839

221

Total equity capital

6,121

11,328

Total bank equity capital

6,121

11,328

Common stock

3,720

3,720

Surplus

9,902

8,607

Undivided profits

–7,501

–999

Source: Supplied by the management of the bank

Table 4 Balance sheets, Ponce de Leon Bank, Coral Gables, Florida (thousands of dollars) (continued)

2010

2009

Memoranda:

Non-current loans and leases

4,242

5,298

Income earned, not collected on loans

540

555

Earning assets

90,490

89,751

Long-term assets (5+ years)

13,390

10,244

Average assets, year-to-date

102,906

99,319

Average assets, quarterly

106,679

98,021

Volatile liabilities

49,800

39,223

Insider loans

645

848

FHLB advances

1,292

1,318

Loans and leases held for sale

0

0

Unused loan commitments

3,263

3,849

Tier 1 (core) risk-based capital

5,935

10,988

Tier 2 risk-based capital

3,902

3,926

Total risk weighted assets

71,709

73,837

Total unused commitments

3,263

3,849

Restructured Loans and leases

220

6,066

Source: Supplied by the management of the bank

Table 5 Income statements, Ponce de Leon Bank, Coral Gables, Florida (thousands of dollars)

2010

2009

Total interest income

3,152

3,761

Total interest expense

1,223

1,717

Net interest income

1,929

2,044

Provision for loan and lease losses

987

1,162

Total non-interest income

–124

138

Fiduciary activities

0

0

Service charges on deposit accounts

77

96

Trading account gains and fees

0

0

Additional non-interest income

–201

42

Total non-interest expense

4,288

2,852

Salaries and employee benefits

1,345

1,394

Premises and equipment expense

419

509

Additional non-interest expense

2,524

949

Pre-tax net operating income

–3,470

–1,832

Securities gains (losses)

135

138

Applicable income taxes

0

–668

Income before extraordinary items

–3,335

–1,026

Extraordinary gains – net

0

0

Net charge-offs

1,039

553

Cash dividends

0

0

Sale, conversion, retirement of capital stock, net

1,295

2,060

Net operating income

–3,470

–1,114

Source: Supplied by the management of the bank

Table 6 Performance ratios, Ponce de Leon Bank, Coral Gables, Florida

2010

2009

Yield on earning assets

4.68%

5.35%

Cost of funding earning assets

1.81%

2.44%

Net interest margin

2.86%

2.91%

Non-interest income to earning assets

–0.18%

0.20%

Non-interest expense to earning assets

6.36%

4.06%

Net charge-offs to loans

2.01%

1.02%

Credit loss provision to net charge-offs

95.00%

210.13%

Earnings coverage of net loan charge-offs (x)

–2.39

–1.21

Efficiency ratio

237.56%

130.71%

Assets per employee ($ millions)

4.11

4.26

Cash dividends to net income (YTD only)

0.00%

0.00%

Condition ratios

Loss allowance to loans

2.10%

1.77%

Loss allowance to non-current loans

36.82%

23.08%

Non-current assets plus other real estate owned to assets

10.87%

8.65%

Non-current loans to loans

5.69%

7.65%

Net loans and leases to deposits

77.05%

82.77%

Net loans and leases to core deposits

162.60%

158.33%

Equity capital to assets

5.73%

11.55%

Core capital (leverage) ratio

5.49%

11.20%

Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio

8.28%

14.88%

Total risk-based capital ratio

13.72%

20.20%

Memoranda:

Average assets

$102,906

$99,319

Average earning assets

$89,851

$93,757

Average equity

$7,010

$10,325

Average loans

$68,930

$72,570

20092010

Net income/ total operating income60.81%100.00%

Interest expense / total operating income-93.72%-35.24%

Noninterest expenses / TOI-155.68%-123.57%

provision for loan losses / TOI-63.43%-28.44%

Income tax paid / TOI

Total operating income / total asset-1.87%-3.25%

Interest income / total asset3.84%2.95%

Noninterest income / total asset0.14%-0.12%

Profit margin

Asset Utilization

20092010

Dept ratio88.45%94.27%

Leverage Ratio11.20%5.49%

Loss allowance to loans1.77%2.10%

Leverage Ratio

Cashandbalancesduefromotherdepository

institutions/Total assets7.36%9.88%improving

Cashassetsandshorttermgovernment

securities (one year or less) / Total assets5.65%4.14%falling

Purchased funds / Total assets00

Liquidty Ratio

20092010

ROA-1.14%-3.25%

ROE-10%-57%

20092010

Net interest margin 2.91%2.86%

Net non-interest margin -2.77%-4.13%

20092010

spread-27%-24.00%