Public Budgeting forcasting

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ArapahoeCtyBudgetProjection--revisedSpring_19.xls

Budget Analysis

ARAPAHOE COUNTY BUDGET PROJECTION 1ST WAY (Regression)-- Public Works
Adopted Budgets for 2014 through 2017 (by regression) 2018 Projection
Expenditure Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Salaries and Wages $ 7,491,467 $ 7,804,584 $ 8,086,791 $ 8,232,077 $ 8,529,739 <-- DO NOT COPY FROM HERE
Employee Benefits $ 2,365,082 $ 2,419,845 $ 2,501,179 $ 2,474,823 $ 2,542,872 <-- AND PASTE INTO HERE
Supplies $ 2,511,620 $ 2,350,798 $ 2,579,989 $ 3,008,160 $ 3,042,345 [Read instruction #14, after "IMPORTANT"]
Services & Other $ 10,081,347 $ 11,704,317 $ 12,943,006 $ 6,527,952 $ 7,958,782
Community Programs $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Capital Outlay $ 1,350,092 $ 2,014,569 $ 1,832,918 $ 7,842,175 $ 8,083,588
Central Services $ 2,045,442 $ 2,499,827 $ 2,683,073 $ 2,671,716 $ 2,990,532
Transfers $ 492,466 $ 548,106 $ 384,962 $ 511,563 $ 457,811
Total $26,337,516 $29,342,046 $31,011,918 $31,268,466 $33,605,667
BUDGET PROJECTION 2ND WAY (Compounded annual % change)-- Public Works
Expenditure Category % Change 2014-15 % Change 2015-16 % Change 2016-17 Compounded Annual % Chg. (using compounded annual % change) 2018 Projection
Salaries and Wages 4.2% 3.6% 1.8% 3.19% $ 8,494,874
Employee Benefits 2.3% 3.4% -1.1% 1.52% $ 2,512,523
BUDGET PROJECTION 2ND WAY (3-year moving average)-- Public Works
Expenditure Category 3-yr average for 2014-16 2018 Projection = 3-yr average for 2015-17
Supplies $ 2,480,802.33 $ 2,646,316
Services & Other $ 11,576,223.33 $ 10,391,758
Community Programs $ - 0 $ -
Capital Outlay $ 1,732,526.33 $ 3,896,554
Central Services $ 2,409,447.33 $ 2,618,205
Transfers $ 475,178.00 $ 481,544
ARAPAHOE COUNTY 2018 BUDGET COMPARISON COMBINING 2 WAYS-- Public Works
% difference btw 2018 budget and…
Expenditure Category 2018 Adop- ted Budget 2018 Low Projection 2018 High Projection Low Projection High Projection
Salaries and Wages $ 8,570,370 $ 8,494,874 $ 8,529,739 0.89% 0.48%
Employee Benefits $ 2,589,033 $ 2,512,523 $ 2,542,872 3.05% 1.82%
Supplies $ 3,382,160 $ 2,646,316 $ 3,042,345 27.81% 11.17%
Services & Other $ 6,766,833 $ 7,958,782 $ 10,391,758 -14.98% -34.88%
Community Programs $ - $ - $ -
Capital Outlay $ 7,823,512 $ 3,896,554 $ 8,083,588 100.78% -3.22%
Central Services $ 2,744,050 $ 2,618,205 $ 2,990,532 4.81% -8.24%
Transfers $ 157,895 $ 457,811 $ 481,544 -65.51% -67.21%
Total $ 32,033,853 $ 28,585,065 $ 36,062,377 12.06% -11.17%

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