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A prospective study of genetic factors, human laboratory phenotypes, and heavy drinking in late adolescence

Christian S. Hendershot1,2,3, Jeffrey D. Wardell1, Matthew D. McPhee3 & Vijay A. Ramchandani4

Campbell Family Mental Health Research Institute, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada1, Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada2, Department of Psychology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada3 and Section on Human Psychopharmacology, Laboratory of Clinical and Translational Studies, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA4

ABSTRACT

Subjective responses to alcohol are considered candidate endophenotypes for alcohol use disorder and appear to antic- ipate future consumption. However, prospective studies have been rare, and laboratory research has typically examined subjective responses absent measures of self-administration. This study examined the association of subjective re- sponses with subsequent laboratory self-administration, also evaluating laboratory phenotypes in relation to putative genetic risk factors [family history (FH) of alcohol dependence and OPRM1 genotype] and subsequent heavy drinking. Participants (N = 61, M = 19.89 years, SD = 0.86) completed laboratory sessions involving intravenous alcohol chal- lenge (Session 1) and free-access intravenous self-administration (Session 2), followed by prospective assessments. Multilevel modeling showed that higher reported stimulation and lower sedation during Session 1 independently pre- dicted greater alcohol self-administration during Session 2. Although self-administration did not differ by FH group, participants with the OPRM1 118G allele evidenced steeper breath alcohol concentration (BrAC) trajectories and greater peak BrAC relative to 118A homozygous participants. Prospective analyses supported significant indirect asso- ciations between Session 1 subjective responses and 6-month heavy drinking via peak BrAC in Session 2. Additionally, significant indirect associations of FH (via Session 1 stimulation and Session 2 peak BrAC) and OPRM1 (via peak BrAC) with follow-up heavy drinking were observed. These results further support the utility of human laboratory phenotypes in prospective studies of alcohol use disorder risk and highlight the potential role of self-administration phenotypes in longitudinal research.

Keywords Alcohol administration, alcohol clamp, Asn40Asp, development, opioid receptor, rs1799971.

Correspondence to: Christian S. Hendershot, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, 100 Stokes Street, Toronto, ON, Canada M6J 1H4. E-mail: christian. [email protected]

INTRODUCTION

Individual differences in acute responses to alcohol, com- monly indexed by subjective reports during laboratoryalco- hol challenge, have emerged as one of few promising candidate endophenotypes for alcohol use disorder (AUD) (Salvatore et al. 2015). Importantly, subjective responses to alcohol show heritability (Heath et al. 1999; Viken et al. 2003) and appear to satisfy additional endophenotype criteria (Ray & Heilig 2013). Evidence further supports the association of candidate genes and indicators of latent genetic risk (i.e. family history of AUD) with laboratory responses to alcohol (Enoch 2014; Hines et al. 2005; Ray & Heilig 2013; Schuckit 2009). Critical to the endophenotype concept is that the marker exists on a

causal pathway between genotype and clinical syndrome, implying its status as a developmental precursor (Lenzenweger 2013). Key findings from two research groups suggest that subjective responses to alcohol antici- pate AUD risk, such that greater stimulant and hedonic re- sponses (King et al. 2011, 2014) and lower subjective sedation (King et al. 2011, 2014; Schuckit 1994; Schuckit & Smith 2000) predict later heavy drinking and AUD symptoms. Notably, recent findings suggest that subjective responses relate to future AUD risk primarily among heavy drinkers, and when assessed at higher dosages (e.g. 0.8 g/ kg, King et al. 2011, 2014). Because prospective studies have been uncommon, additional work is needed to char- acterize subjective responses as neurodevelopmental traits pertinent to AUD etiology and clinical course.

ORIGINAL ARTICLE doi:10.1111/adb.12397

© 2016 Society for the Study of Addiction Addiction Biology, 22, 1343–1354

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Stimulant/hedonic and sedative effects of alcohol are presumed to reflect distinct neurobiological mechanisms (Hendler et al. 2013; Ray & Heilig 2013) and appear to independently relate to event-level consumption (Wardell et al. 2015). Some theories propose that the ability of stimulant or sedative effects to discriminate AUD risk dif- fers as a function of ascending versus descending blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limb (Newlin & Thomson 1990), underscoring the importance of controlling BAC parameters when characterizing laboratory responses (Newlin & Renton 2010; Quinn & Fromme 2011). Be- cause accurate control over BAC profiles is difficult in oral alcohol administration paradigms, owing largely to inter- individual differences in alcohol absorption and distribu- tion kinetics, behavioral and neuroimaging studies have increasingly utilized intravenous alcohol administration as a means of maximizing pharmacokinetic control (e.g. Wetherill et al. 2012; Zimmermann et al. 2013).

Although subjective responses reflect an important component of AUD liability (Ray & Heilig 2013), their as- sessment via self-report poses an inherent limitation for translational research, particularly given the lack of a direct analog in animal models. Refinement of human self-administration paradigms could improve consilience between human and animal models (Leeman et al. 2010; Zimmermann et al. 2013), currently a noted re- search priority (Litten et al. 2015). Human laboratory studies linking subjective responses to self-administration phenotypes (e.g. de Wit & McCracken 1990; Wardell et al. 2015) could further characterize mechanisms by which subjective responses relate to AUD risk. Ultimately, char- acterizing these associations within a developmental framework is important for positioning subjective re- sponses as candidate endophenotypes.

Genetic associations with laboratory responses to alco- hol have been evaluated largely using alcohol challenge paradigms (reviewed in Enoch 2014). Of the few studies examining self-administration, some reported no association of family history (FH) with oral alcohol self-administration (de Wit & McCracken 1990; Krishnan-Sarin et al. 2007). However, in an intravenous self-administration paradigm, young family history positive (FH+) participants achieved significantly higher breath alcohol concentration (BrAC) than family history nega- tive (FN�) participants (Zimmermann et al. 2009). While candidate gene studies of laboratory self-administration are few, three studies examined the OPRM1 Asn40Asp (A118G) variant (rs1799971), a marker of particular in- terest given cross-species evidence implying its functional relevance for alcohol-related reward (for review, see Heilig et al. 2011; Mague & Blendy 2010; Ray et al. 2012). Whereas two studies using oral self-administration paradigms reported no association of OPRM1 with self-administration (Anton et al. 2012; Setiawan et al.

2011), an intravenous self-administration study found that Asp (118G allele) carriers achieved significantly higher peak BrAC relative to Asn (118A allele) homozy- gotes (Hendershot et al. 2014). Collectively, these findings imply that OPRM1 could serve as a useful model for studying genetic influences on alcohol responses across development, and that controlled intravenous paradigms might prove sensitive for detecting genetic associations with laboratory responses (Zimmermann et al. 2013).

The current study applied a short-term prospective human laboratory design to examine associations among background genetic factors, subjective responses and self- administration, and subsequent heavy drinking during late adolescence—a developmental period that remains understudied in human laboratory research. A primary aim was to test prospective associations of subjective re- sponses with laboratory self-administration among young heavy drinkers. We further examined whether lab- oratory self-administration predicted future heavy drink- ing and tested indirect associations among background genetic factors, laboratory phenotypes and future heavy drinking. Evidence for significant indirect associations of genetic factors with follow-up consumption via labora- tory phenotypes would strengthen the argument for prioritizing laboratory paradigms in developmental and endophenotype studies of AUD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Participants and recruitment

Participants (N = 61, mean (M) age = 19.89 years, SD = 0.86) were recruited from university and community set- tings and completed telephone screening to verify initial eligibility. Given evidence that prospective associations of laboratory responses with future consumption may be limited to heavy drinkers (King et al. 2011), partici- pants were required to endorse heavy drinking (1+ epi- sodes of ≥4 drinks for women or ≥5 drinks for men) in the prior month. Additional eligibility criteria included age 19–21 (age was assessed in full years, irrespective of months since last birthday, and verified by photo iden- tification), no treatment history or current efforts to re- duce drinking, a brief Michigan Alcohol Screening Test (Pokorny et al. 1972) score <10 (Conrod et al. 1998), a Fagerstrom Test for Nicotine Dependence (Heatherton et al. 1991) score <6, no prior adverse reactions to veni- puncture and no medical conditions contraindicating al- cohol. A brief screener (Yokoyama et al. 2002) was used to exclude participants with likely aldehyde dehydroge- nase deficiency, which would alter alcohol responses. The sample consisted predominantly of Caucasian partic- ipants (n = 40); others reported Asian (n = 6), East Indian (n = 4), African (n = 2), Native (n = 1), mixed (n = 2) or

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‘other’ (n = 5) racial backgrounds. One participant en- dorsed Hispanic ethnicity without indicating race.

Recruitment efforts aimed to achieve a sample stratified on family history status (FH+ or FH�, see Measures). To ensure that FH groups were compara- ble on key variables, group means/frequencies for age, sex, age of onset for regular drinking and past-month heavy drinking were monitored during recruitment. In addition to ensuring that groups remained matched on age and sex, recruitment of FH� participants prioritized those whose drinking outcomes approximated mean values of the FH+ group (as assessed during the initial telephone screen), while excess FH� participants were excluded from laboratory sessions.

Eligible participants completed in-person visits, which included informed consent, height/weight measure- ments, verification of age and medical criteria, a toxicol- ogy screen and a structured interview to confirm FH status. Baseline questionnaires were administered via computer, and participants provided saliva samples for genotyping. The present analyses include 40 participants from an initial report of this study (Hendershot et al. 2014). In addition to the larger sample (reflecting addi- tional recruitment), the present study is distinct from the prior study in that it utilizes a second laboratory ses- sion (alcohol challenge) to test prospective associations between subjective responses and self-administration, uses multi-level modeling (MLM) to analyze self- administration, includes a prospective follow-up compo- nent and examines FH status in relation to these outcomes.

Laboratory sessions

Eligible participants were scheduled for alcohol challenge (Session 1) and self-administration (Session 2) visits, oc- curring on average 4 weeks apart (M = 26.70 days, SD = 30.61, range 2–156). Despite variability in the number of days between sessions, most participants (92%) completed Session 2 within 2 months of Session 1. Time between sessions was not significantly correlated with any variables in the analyses (all ps > 0.05), and controlling for time did not alter any findings.

Upon arrival at each session, participants consumed a standardized snack and provided a breath alcohol test, up- dated weight measurements and a pregnancy test (women). Both sessions involved intravenous administra- tion of ethanol in normal saline (6.0% v/v) using the Computer-assisted Alcohol Infusion System (Ramchandani et al. 1999; Zimmermann et al. 2013). The Computer- assisted Alcohol Infusion System incorporates a physiolog- ically based pharmacokinetic model (Plawecki et al. 2008) to establish the infusion rates necessary to maintain an intended BAC profile, based on participant characteristics

and in-session BrAC readings. Eighty-eight participants completed Session 1; of these, 61 completed Session 2 and had valid data for both sessions, representing the cur- rent sample. Of the remaining 27 participants, 14 were lost to follow-up or otherwise unavailable to complete Ses- sion 2, 6 were deemed ineligible to continue [because of difficulty with catheter insertion or intravenous proce- dures (4), failure to complete computerized tasks as instructed (1) or a change in medical eligibility status (1)]. Five participants could not complete Session 2 be- cause of pharmacy logistical barriers. Finally, two partici- pants who completed Session 2 were excluded from analyses for not following task instructions (i.e. failing to engage in appreciable self-administration, as defined by a general decline in BrAC following a mandatory priming phase, followed by a BrAC reading of 0 mg% during the self-administration phase).

Session 1

Session 1 (alcohol challenge) utilized an alcohol clamp paradigm (Ramchandani et al. 1999) to achieve a linear ascent from 0 to 80 mg% in 20 minutes, after which the target BAC was maintained for 80 minutes. Because this paradigm essentially eliminates between-person dif- ferences in BAC slope, peak and rate of change (Morzorati et al. 2002), Session 1 served to assess subjective re- sponses under relatively uniform conditions of brain eth- anol exposure. Participants completed serial assessments of subjective effects at baseline (pre-infusion) and five additional points (Hendershot et al. 2015). Participants’ maximum reported stimulation and sedation during the infusion (see Measures) served as primary outcomes.

Session 2

Session 2 involved a free-access intravenous self- administration paradigm (Zimmermann et al. 2008, 2009), in which participants submitted ‘drink’ requests by pressing an electronic button. Each request triggered a 2.5-minute infusion calculated to achieve a linear BAC increment of 7.5 mg%. Participants were instructed to self-administer at their discretion to achieve a pleasur- able state of intoxication while avoiding unpleasant ef- fects. The session began with a priming phase, during which participants were prompted to self-administer four successive ‘drinks’ over 10 minutes (target BrAC = 30 mg%). After a 5-minute wait, participants engaged in ad libitum self-administration from 15 to 120 minutes. If the model predicted that an ensuing button press would raise BAC beyond 100 mg%, a ‘bar closure’ oc- curred, lasting until a subsequent drink request would not violate the BAC ceiling. Further details on this session are described elsewhere (Hendershot et al. 2014). Peak

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BrAC and within-session BrAC trajectories (based on breathalyzer readings) served as Session 2 outcomes.

Follow-up assessments

Participants completed an online follow-up assessment of alcohol consumption, scheduled 6 months after Session 1. Online surveys included standard drink charts to aid in reporting. Seven participants who did not complete the survey were excluded from prospective analyses but did not differ on demographic variables, genotype, FH, subjective response variables, Session 2 peak BrAC or baseline heavy drinking (all P > 0.05). Of those complet- ing the follow-up, a mean of 29.56 (SD = 5.15) weeks had elapsed from baseline. We controlled for this interval in all models predicting follow-up heavy drinking (see Data Analysis). Prior to the follow-up, a subset of the 61 participants (n = 41) also completed a neuroimaging protocol (see Strang et al. 2015, for an initial report). Those completing the imaging component did not differ from other participants on the follow-up heavy drinking outcome (P = 0.53).

MEASURES

Alcohol consumption

Similar to recent prospective research (King et al. 2011), frequency of heavy drinking served as the criterion follow-up outcome. Heavy drinking was assessed (at both baseline and 6-month follow-up) with the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA) recommended alcohol questions (NIAAA, 2003). Participants reported the frequency of drinking 4+/5+ (women/men) drinks in a 2-hour period (0 = never to 9 = every day) in the past 90 days. To further characterize drinking outcomes, participants completed a 90-day Timeline Followback interview (Sobell & Sobell 1992) and the 10-item Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT) (Saunders et al. 1993) at the baseline assessment.

FH status

Family history status was assessed with the Family His- tory Assessment Module, developed for the Collaborative Study on the Genetics of Alcoholism (Rice et al. 1995). FH� participants reported no history of alcohol problems or dependence among first-degree or second-degree bio- logical relatives. FH+ participants reported at least two biological relatives with alcohol dependence, including a requirement of (a) ≥1 first-degree relatives or (b) a multi-generational (≥2 successive generations) history of dependence on the paternal side. Overall, 93% of FH+ participants met the former criterion (of which

all but one reported dependence on the part of the father). The latter criterion was included because a multi- generational paternal history is a robust marker of response to alcohol (Conrod et al. 1998; Finn & Pihl 1988). Consistent with many studies (Morean & Corbin 2010), we excluded participants reporting maternal alcohol dependence to limit confounds related to fetal alcohol exposure. Familial dependence was still common among maternal relatives (M = 0.74, SD = 1.10 rela- tives), although less so than in paternal relatives (M = 2.04, SD = 1.19), in part reflecting this exclusion criterion.

Subjective responses

Stimulant and sedative effects during Session 1 were assessed with the 14-item biphasic alcohol effects scale (Martin et al. 1993). Items were presented on a computer monitor facing participants. The stimulation (e.g. energized; stimulated) and sedation (e.g. sedated; sluggish) subscales showed good internal consistency across all assessment points (α ranges: 0.83–0.91 and 0.78–0.88, respectively).

Genotyping

The OPRM1 A118G variant (rs1799971) was genotyped using DNA extracted from saliva samples (Oragene OG-500 DNA kit; DNA Genotek, Ottawa, ON, Canada), as previously reported (Hendershot et al. 2014). Geno- type frequencies were (AA = 45, GA = 11, GG = 5). Those with the G allele (GA/GG) were compared with AA ho- mozygotes; for genotype differences in sample character- istics, see Table 1.

DATA ANALYSIS

First, descriptive analyses compared OPRM1 and FH groups on demographic and drinking variables. To exam- ine Session 2 self-administration as a function of OPRM1, FH and subjective responses (SR) from Session 1, we con- ducted MLM using SPSS version 21. MLM is well suited to examining individual-level predictors of BrAC trajectories (i.e. changes in BrAC over time), which, in this paradigm, closely reflect self-administration behavior over the ses- sion. Eight scheduled BrAC measurements were modeled as the outcome in the MLM. The overall proportion of missing data across the eight measurements was <2 per- cent; participants missing some BrAC data were retained through the use of MLM. Timepoint was coded with the post-priming BrAC measurement (15 minuntes) as T = 0 and an interval of 1 between each BrAC measurement. We first examined the shape of the average BrAC curve by entering successive polynomial functions (linear,

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quadratic, etc.) for the effect of time as predictors in the MLM in order to examine the temporal progression of self-administration during the session. A random inter- cept and random slopes for all time effects were estimated to account for the variability across participants in BrAC curves.

Next, we examined individual-level risk factors (SR, OPRM1 and FH) as moderators of the effect of time on BrAC in separate models. These variables were entered into the models along with their interactions with the time contrasts. SR variables were standardized across par- ticipants. Dummy coding was used for genotype (0 = AA, 1 = GA/GG) and FH (0 = negative; 1 = positive). A signifi- cant interaction between a predictor variable and a time contrast indicates that the effect of time on BrAC depends on levels of the predictor variable. Also, because the inter- actions are included in the model, the main effect of time represents a conditional effect (i.e. the effect of time when the moderator is held constant at zero). Significant inter- actions were probed using simple slopes analysis (Aiken & West 1991). This approach involves shifting the reference point of the moderator (i.e. the zero value) to obtain the conditional effect of time at different levels of the

moderator. We used the standard approach of examining the conditional effects of time at high (M + 1SD) and low (M-1SD) values of SR variables, as well conditioned on each of the genotype and FH groups (Aiken & West 1991; Preacher et al. 2006).

Next, we tested the hypothesis that self-administration (indexed by Session 2 peak BrAC) would mediate the rela- tionship between individual-level risk factors (FH and OPRM1) and heavy drinking at 6 months, using the SPSS PROCESS macro (Hayes 2013). This regression-based ap- proach tests indirect pathways through intervening vari- ables (i.e. mediation) by calculating the product of the coefficients for the paths comprising the indirect associa- tions. Bootstrapping is used to calculate confidence inter- vals for the estimates of the indirect associations. A statistically significant indirect association (i.e. 95 per- cent confidence interval does not contain zero) provides support for the mediational role of the intervening vari- able. This approach allows for examination of an indirect association without the pre-condition that the indepen- dent variable is significantly associated with the outcome variable. Particularly in longitudinal studies, it is often the case that the effect of a distal independent variable

Table 1 Participant characteristics and variable descriptives by family history and OPRM1 genotype.

Family history OPRM1

Negative (n = 34)

Positive (n = 27)

AA (n = 45)

GA/GG (n = 16)

Categorical variables n (%) n (%) χ2 P n (%) n (%) χ2 P OPRM1: GA/GG 10 (29) 6 (22) 0.40 0.53 — — Sex: Female 16 (47) 16 (59) 0.90 0.34 25 (56) 7 (44) 0.66 0.42 Race: White 19 (56) 21 (78) 3.20† 0.07 33 (73) 7 (44) 4.58* 0.03 Current cigarette smoker 9 (27) 7 (26) <0.01 0.96 12 (27) 4 (25) 0.02 0.90 Completed 6-month follow-up 29 (85) 25 (93) 0.79 0.37 39 (87) 15 (94) 0.58 0.45

Continuous variables M (SD) M (SD) t P M (SD) M (SD) t P Age 19.82 (0.80) 19.96 (0.94) �0.63 0.53 19.91 (0.85) 19.81 (0.91) 0.39 0.70 Age at first drink 15.09 (1.53) 14.67 (2.24) 0.87 0.39 15.04 (1.76) 14.50 (2.16) 1.00 0.32 Age became regular drinker 17.33 (1.08) 17.37 (1.50) �0.11 0.91 17.45 (1.30) 17.06 (1.18) 1.06 0.30 TLFB baseline heavy drinking Frequency (90 days) 13.44 (11.89) 14.33 (9.70) �0.32 0.75 13.31 (10.50) 15.31 (12.20) �0.063 0.53 NIAAA baseline heavy 3.65 (1.54) 3.93 (1.90) �0.63 0.53 3.60 (1.67) 4.25 (1.73) �1.32 0.19 drinking Frequency (90 days) ≈9 daysa ≈12 daysa ≈9 daysa ≈13 daysa NIAAA 6-month heavy 2.69 (1.47) 3.12 (2.15) �0.87 0.39 2.72 (1.73) 3.33 (1.99) �1.12 0.27 drinking Frequency (90 days) ≈5 daysa ≈10 daysa ≈6 daysa ≈10 daysa AUDIT score 9.41 (3.38) 12.11 (6.02) �2.22* 0.03 10.24 (4.22) 11.63 (6.45) �0.97 0.34 Peak stimulation – Session 1 57.76 (16.17) 65.13 (13.57) �1.90† 0.06 59.93 (16.78) 64.10 (10.43) �0.93 0.36 Peak sedation – Session 1 51.82 (16.34) 53.32 (17.79) �0.34 0.73 54.24 (16.37) 47.53 (17.79) 1.38 0.17 Session 1 mean BrAC (mg%) during clamp period 80.41 (1.41) 80.05 (1.82) 0.88 0.38 80.24 (1.45) 80.26 (2.03) �0.04 0.97 Session 2 peak BrAC (mg%) 80.94 (24.83) 84.52 (24.80) �0.56 0.58 78.51 (25.84) 93.81 (17.10) �2.20* 0.03

AUDIT, Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test; BrAC, breath alcohol concentration; NIAAA, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism; TLFB, Timeline Followback. aEstimate of mean number of heavy drinking days in the past 90 days derived by assigning a representative value to each of the categorical response options for the NIAAA heavy drinking items. For example, ‘one day per month’ = 1*3 months = 3 days; ‘one day per week’ = 1*12 weeks = 12 days. df = 1 for all chi-square tests; df = 59 for all t-tests, except for 6-month heavy drinking frequency (df = 52) and age be- came regular drinker (df = 58). †P < 0.10 *P < 0.05 **P < 0.01.

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on the outcome variable is small, but this does not neces- sarily preclude the presence of a mediation effect that can be detected using the product of coefficients method (e.g. Shrout & Bolger 2002).

We also examined sequential multiple-mediator path- ways to investigate four-variable pathways (FH/OPRM1 to Session 1 SR to Session 2 BrAC to 6-month heavy drinking). Baseline heavy drinking and time between baseline and follow-up assessments were included as co- variates in all models, and all variables were standardized prior to analyses.

RESULTS

Descriptive statistics

Table 1 shows the model variables, participant character- istics and BrAC outcomes by genotype and FH. Partici- pants completing only one (versus both) lab sessions did not differ significantly on sex, race, FH status, OPRM1 ge- notype, AUDIT scores or Session 1 subjective response outcomes (P > 0.05) but reported lower heavy drinking frequency (M = 2.92, SD = 1.55) compared with those completing both sessions (M = 3.75, SD = 1.76), t(86) = �2.05, P = 0.043. Mean BrAC values across Ses- sion 1 closely approximated the 80 mg% target. While FH+ participants reported marginally greater peak stimu- lation relative to FH� participants, genotype was not as- sociated with Session 1 subjective responses. Additionally, FH status was not associated with Session 2 peak BrAC. However, the OPRM1 GA/GG group achieved significantly higher peak BrAC relative to the AA group.

Roughly half (n = 32) of participants reached a projected BAC level high enough to initiate a ‘bar closure’. The likelihood of at least one closure did not differ based on FH, sex or genotype. However, the total number of bar closures was significantly higher in the OPRM1 GA/GG group (versus AA participants, P = 0.04) and in men (versus women; P = 0.02), suggest- ing that these two groups attempted to surpass the BAC ceiling more often than their counterparts.

Although the OPRM1 GA/GG group had a signifi- cantly higher proportion of non-white participants rela- tive to the AA group (Table 1), race was not significantly related to baseline or follow-up consumption measures, Session 1 stimulation/sedation or Session 2 peak BrAC (all ps > 0.05). In no instance did covarying for race alter any associations between OPRM1 and other variables. Still, race (Caucasian versus non-Caucasian) was included as a covariate in all analyses involving OPRM1.

Multilevel models of session 2 self-administration

Results of the multi-level model of the unconditional changes in BrAC during Session 2 are presented in

Table 2. The fixed effect for the fourth-order polynomial time trend was not significant (P = 0.76) and was re- moved from the model. Thus, the final MLM modeled the average BrAC curve as a cubic trend. Because time was coded with t = 0 referring to the beginning of the self-administration period, the linear effect of time sug- gests a statistically significant initial increase in BrAC, the quadratic trend suggests that increases in BrAC grad- ually slowed over time and then began to decline and the

Table 2 Multilevel models examining change in observed BrAC during intravenous self-administration (Session 2) as a function of time and between-person moderators (subjective stimulant and sedative response to alcohol during Session 1 and OPRM1 genotype).

Fixed effects B SE t P

Model 1: unconditional effect of time Time contrasts (Level 1)

Linear 27.37** 1.78 15.42 <0.001 Quadratic �5.19** 0.44 �11.90 <0.001 Cubic 0.30** 0.04 7.47 <0.001

Model 2: subjective response Between-person (Level 2)

Peak stimulation (Session 1)

0.21 0.94 0.23 0.821

Peak sedation (Session 1)

0.08 0.94 0.09 0.932

Interactions with time Peak stimulation*linear 3.64* 1.70 2.15 0.034 Peak stimulation*quadratic �0.92* 0.44 �2.11 0.036 Peak stimulation*cubic 0.08† 0.04 1.93 0.055 Peak sedation*linear �3.73* 1.69 �2.20 0.030 Peak sedation*quadratic 0.65 0.43 1.50 0.134 Peak sedation*cubic �0.04 0.04 �0.94 0.350

Model 3: OPRM1 genotype Between-person (Level 2)

Race (0 = white; 1 = non-white)

0.02 0.98 0.02 0.985

Genotype (0 = AA; 1 = GA/GG)

�1.66 2.21 �0.75 0.454

Interactions with time Race*linear 0.02 1.76 0.01 0.992 Race*quadratic 0.12 0.44 0.28 0.779 Race*cubic �0.01 0.04 �0.35 0.727 Genotype*linear 13.78** 3.96 3.48 0.001 Genotype*quadratic �3.66** 0.99 �3.70 <0.001 Genotype*cubic 0.30** 0.09 3.20 0.002

BrAC, breath alcohol concentration. Unstandardized parameter estimates shown. Estimates of fixed effects are shown; random intercepts and ran- dom slopes for all time contrasts were estimated in all models but are not shown in the table to conserve space. Time contrasts are estimated at the within-person level (Level 1) and subjective response and genotype are modeled at the between-person level (level 2). Time was coded with the post-priming BrAC measurement (15 minutes) as T = 0 and an inter- val of 1 between each successive BrAC measurement. Peak stimulation and peak sedation are grand-mean centered and standardized across participants (i.e. z-scored) †P < 0.10 *P < 0.05 **P < 0.01.

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cubic trend suggests that BrAC significantly leveled off toward the end of the session (i.e. the decline was signifi- cantly less steep than would be expected from a quadratic trend alone). Figure 1a shows the model-implied and observed mean BrAC curve during the session.

We next entered Session 1 stimulant and sedative re- sponses together as predictors of Session 2 BrAC, as well as their interactions with all time trends. Peak stimulation significantly interacted with the linear, quadratic and cubic time trends (Table 2), suggesting that Session 1 peak stim- ulation was a significant predictor of BrAC change during Session 2. Relative to individuals reporting lower peak stim- ulation, those reporting greater peak stimulation showed a steeper initial increase in BrAC (significant interaction with the linear time trend), less of a decline in BrAC during the second half of the session (significant interaction with the quadratic time trend) and a leveling off and slight increase in BrAC toward the end of the session (significant interac- tion with the cubic time trend) (Fig. 1b).

Sedative response to alcohol significantly interacted with the linear effect of time only (Table 2). This indicates that lower peak sedation during Session 1 was associated with a steeper initial rate of increase in BrAC during Ses- sion 2 (interaction with linear trend) but that the shape of the curve later in the session was not different, as indi- cated by the non-significant interactions with the qua- dratic and cubic trends (Fig. 1c). Controlling for Session 1 baseline ratings of stimulation and sedation did not affect the results of the MLM models, nor were baseline ratings significantly related to Session 2 BrAC.

OPRM1 genotype interacted significantly with all three time trends (Table 2). Relative to AA homozygotes,

the GA/GG group showed a steeper initial increase in BrAC (interaction with linear trend), less of a slowing in BrAC increases as time progressed (interaction with qua- dratic trend) and less of a decline (and indeed a slight in- crease) in BrAC toward the end of the session (interaction with cubic trend; Fig. 1d).

Indirect associations with follow-up heavy drinking

Results of indirect association analyses are shown in Fig. 2. Session 1 peak stimulation significantly predicted greater Session 2 peak BrAC, which in turn was a signif- icant predictor of greater heavy drinking at 6 months (Fig. 2a). Moreover, the indirect association from peak stimulation to heavy drinking at 6 months (mediated via Session 2 peak BrAC) was statistically significant. Peak sedation during Session 1 showed a negative rela- tionship with peak BrAC during Session 2, which in turn predicted heavy drinking at 6 months. This indirect asso- ciation was statistically significant. Results of the media- tion model for genotype (Fig. 2b) showed that OPRM1 GA/GG status related to greater peak BrAC, which in turn predicted more frequent heavy drinking at 6-month follow-up; this indirect association was statistically signif- icant. However, FH did not predict peak BrAC (P > 0.05), nor was the indirect association from FH to heavy drink- ing at 6 months statistically significant (95 percent confi- dence interval contains zero).

Given that FH was marginally associated with Session 1 peak stimulation, we tested a four-variable model in- cluding FH, stimulation, peak BrAC and follow-up heavy drinking (Fig. 2c). FH+ status was a marginally

Figure 1 Results of the multilevel models (MLM) of change in breath al- cohol concentration (BrAC) over the self-administration session (Session 2): (a) the unconditional effects of time derived from the MLM (i.e. the model-implied BrAC) with observed mean BrAC readings superimposed (standard errors in error bars); (b) the simple slopes for the effects of time at high (M + 1SD) and low (M- 1SD) levels of peak stimulation during session 1; (c) the simple slopes for the effects of time at high (M + 1SD) and low (M-1SD) levels of peak sedation during session 1; and (d) the simple slopes for the effects of time condi- tioned on each of the genotype groups. Race is included as a covariate in the genotype model

a. b.

c. d.

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significant predictor of greater peak stimulation, which in turn related to significantly higher peak BrAC, which in turn related to significantly greater heavy drinking at follow-up. This four-variable indirect pathway was statis- tically significant. Of note, none of the direct associations between background factors and 6-month heavy drink- ing frequency were statistically significant in these models (Fig. 2) or in separate regression models that ex- cluded the mediator (ps > 0.05).

DISCUSSION

Subjective responses to alcohol are proposed as an endophenotypic marker of AUD liability (Morean & Corbin 2010; Quinn & Fromme 2011; Ray & Heilig 2013), as well as a potential index of AUD progression (Bujarski et al. 2015; King et al. 2016). Although these perspectives call for longitudinal research, prospective human laboratory studies have been rare. Additionally, self-administration paradigms—which have the capacity to help characterize associations of subjective responses with consumption—are infrequently used in this

literature. This study applied a prospective human labo- ratory design to examine associations of subjective re- sponses with subsequent laboratory self-administration and self-reported heavy drinking. Peak stimulation and sedation during a highly controlled alcohol challenge independently predicted subsequent laboratory self- administration, as indexed by maximum BrAC and within-session BrAC trajectories. These results coincide with evidence that stimulation and sedation during alco- hol challenge predict self-reported consumption and AUD symptoms prospectively (King et al. 2011, 2014), provid- ing laboratory-based support for higher event-level alcohol exposure as a potential mediator of these associations. In particular, peak BrAC accounted for significant indirect as- sociations between laboratory subjective responses and follow-up heavy drinking. The present study is the first, to our knowledge, to link laboratory self-administration with prospective heavy drinking.

Results concerning FH status were only partly consis- tent with prior research. FH+ participants reported marginally greater Session 1 stimulation, a finding inconsistent with the low level of response theoretical

a.

b.

c.

Figure 2 Models of the indirect associations from individual-level risk factors to heavy episodic drinking at 6-month follow-up mediated via peak breath alcohol concentration (BrAC) during the self-administration (Session 2). Standardized coefficients are shown with standard errors in parentheses. Bolded arrows highlight the indirect associations that are tested. (a) The indirect associations from peak subjective responses dur- ing Session 1, with coefficients for the stimulation model above the arrows and coefficients for the sedation model below the arrows; (b) the indirect association from OPRM1 (rs1799971) genotype (0 = AA, 1 = GA/GG) while controlling for race; and (c) the four-variable indirect as- sociation from family history (0 = negative, 1 = positive) to heavy drinking at 6 months mediated through both Session 1 peak stimulation and Session 2 peak BrAC. All models covary for heavy episodic drinking at baseline and number of weeks between baseline and follow-up assess- ments. †P < 0.10; *P < 0.05; **P < 0.01

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model (Schuckit 1994) and partly consistent with the differentiator model (Newlin & Thomson 1990). This re- sult is less readily interpreted in light of the modified differentiator model (King et al. 2011), because research supporting this framework emphasizes heavy drinking status (rather than FH) as a risk marker, and has reported no association of FH with subjective responses (King et al. 2011). Despite some prior evidence that FH+ participants reported greater stimulant effects during intravenous al- cohol challenge (Morzorati et al. 2002), similar studies reported no FH group differences (Kerfoot et al. 2013; Wetherill et al. 2012). Notably, meta-analytic findings suggested that FH+ participants show reduced subjective responses, both across subjective response domains and across BAC limb (Quinn & Fromme 2011). However, sig- nificant FH group differences appeared specific to men, and most studies used assessment instruments that do not capture hedonic effects. In sum, evidence that FH relates to subjective responses remains somewhat mixed, although studies involving physiological measures of alcohol reward have provided more consistent evidence that FH+ participants show enhanced stimulant responses (e.g. Conrod et al. 1998; see Newlin & Renton 2010).

Despite some evidence for FH differences in reported stimulation, FH status did not significantly relate to self- administration. Similar results were reported in studies using oral self-administration paradigms (de Wit & McCracken 1990; Krishnan-Sarin et al. 2007). In con- trast, during free-access intravenous self-administration, FH+ young adults achieved higher peak BrAC relative to FH� participants (Zimmermann et al. 2009). However, this difference was evident only following a practice ses- sion, which was not a feature of the present study. Nota- bly, the present study utilized a lower BrAC ceiling (100 mg%) compared with the study by Zimmermann and colleagues (120 mg%). Nonetheless, compared with participants in the prior study, those in the current study achieved relatively higher mean peak BrAC. Therefore, the possibility that FH group differences were obscured by a ceiling effect cannot be ruled out, particularly given that half of the participants in the present study reached the BrAC limit.

The lack of OPRM1 genotype differences in Session 1 subjective responses is inconsistent with prior studies using intravenous alcohol challenge (Ray & Hutchison 2004, 2007; Ray et al. 2013). Nonetheless, GA/GG participants achieved significantly higher peak BrAC (Session 2), a finding that remained consistent after expanding the sample size following our prior report (Hendershot et al. 2014). Moreover, MLM revealed significant genotype differences in BrAC trajectories across the session, indicating greater initial escalation (and sustained elevations) in BrAC among GA/GG partic- ipants relative to AA homozygotes. Notably, these

differences in event-level self-administration appear con- sistent with reports of prior-day consumption during an ecological momentary assessment study (Ray et al. 2010) and with non-human primate studies examining the OPRM1 C77G variant, considered functionally analo- gous to OPRM1 A118G (reviewed in Heilig et al. 2011).

Explanations for OPRM1 group differences in self- administration, but not subjective responses, are not nec- essarily clear. Notably, one study reported enhanced striatal dopamine response during intravenous alcohol challenge in men with the 118G variant, despite no sub- stantial genotype differences in subjective responses (Ramchandani et al. 2011). One implication is that objec- tive measures of alcohol-related reward may be more sensitive for detecting genetic associations relative to self-report measures. A related possibility is that genotype differences in self-administration may reflect aspects of alcohol-related reward or motivation that were not ade- quately captured by the measures used in this study. An additional consideration is the younger age of this sample relative to prior studies of OPRM1 and subjective re- sponses. To the extent that genotype differences in sub- jective responses may arise from differences in drug sensitization or other neurodevelopmental processes, genotype differences in subjective responses may be ex- pected to manifest only following a certain degree of alco- hol exposure. Presently, the lack of developmental research in this area (Hendershot et al. 2015; Morean & Corbin 2010) makes it difficult to infer directional associ- ations between changes in subjective responses and consumption patterns over time, or evaluate genetic moderators thereof.

This study also examined indirect associations be- tween latent (FH) and measured (OPRM1) genetic factors and future drinking via laboratory phenotypes. Path models supported significant indirect associations of FH+ status (via Session 1 stimulation and Session 2 peak BrAC) and OPRM1 GA/GG status (via peak BrAC) with follow-up heavy drinking. Of note, neither genetic factors nor subjective responses showed significant direct associ- ations with follow-up heavy drinking. This finding suggests that self-administration phenotypes (in this in- stance, maximum BrAC during free-access conditions) may be useful for modeling associations between back- ground risk factors and prospective AUD risk. These find- ings also support the notion that self-administration phenotypes can anticipate risky drinking patterns in youth (Zimmermann et al. 2013). Overall, greater efforts to model self-administration could help to clarify mecha- nisms by which subjective responses relate to AUD risk (e.g. Wardell et al. 2015).

Limitations of this study should be considered, includ- ing the moderate sample size and the short prospective follow-up period. An important limitation of the current

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study was the lack of a placebo manipulation, as discussed in detail elsewhere (Hendershot et al. 2015; Wardell et al. 2015). The reduced external validity of intravenous administration can also be considered a limitation; however, the high experimental precision afforded by these paradigms is also a distinct advantage for human laboratory studies (Zimmermann et al. 2013). A potential limitation is that our follow-up assessment of heavy drinking frequency, while based on a valid measure (NIAAA, 2003), was assessed via remote methods, resulting in less nuanced assessment relative to interview-based methods. Additionally, our prospective analysis did not include an assessment of AUD symptoms, which have also been associated with prior laboratory responses (King et al. 2011, 2014). Although not a limitation, it should also be noted that participants, on average, reported declines in heavy drinking frequency from baseline to follow-up. There- fore, higher BrAC during self-administration predicted more minimal reductions (rather than escalations) in heavy drinking. Finally, because this study involved targeted recruitment of young heavy drinkers, conclu- sions cannot necessarily be extrapolated to other populations.

Evidence for prospective associations of laboratory re- sponses to alcohol with AUD liability (e.g. King et al. 2011, 2014, 2016; Schuckit & Smith 2000) is one impor- tant consideration in determining the viability of subjective responses as endophenotypes. However, further develop- mental research is necessary to inform this question and to better characterize responses to alcohol as neurodevelopmental phenomena. A key aim will be to study developmental changes in alcohol response phenotypes and their relation with drinking trajectories and emergence of clinical symptoms, using a neurodevelopmental framework (e.g. Casey et al. 2014). Given barriers to studies involving alcohol exposure in ado- lescence, alternative approaches (e.g. Miranda et al. 2014) will be necessary to complement laboratory-based methods for characterizing alcohol sensitivity across development.

Acknowledgements

This study was supported by a grant from ABMRF/the Foundation for Alcohol Research (C.H.). The authors also acknowledge support from Canadian Institutes of Health Research grants MOP-119444, MSH-130189 (C.H.) and MFE-140817 (J.W.); the Canada Foundation for Innova- tion and Ministry of Research and Innovation (C.H.), the Ontario Mental Health Foundation (C.H.); and the NIAAA Division of Intramural Clinical and Biological Research (V.R.). This research was supported, in part, by funding from the Canada Research Chairs program.

The authors thank Sean O’Connor, Martin Plawecki and Victor Vitvitskiy at the Indiana Alcohol Research Center (NIH P60 AA007611) for technical support, Ariel Graff for his assistance with medical oversight, and Mike Markovich for his assistance with data collection. The au- thors declare no conflicts of interest.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

CH planned and carried out the study and wrote the In- troduction, Materials and Methods, and Discussion sec- tions. JW conducted the data analysis and wrote the Analysis Plan and Results sections. MM assisted with data collection and manuscript preparation. VR assisted with the development of the protocol, provided support with data collection, and provided critical review of the manuscript. All authors contributed to and approved the final manuscript.

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