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ANOVApre1.pptx

ANOVA

Abstract

Background

The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) ranks countries and territories based on how corrupt their public sector is perceived to be

A combination of polls to draw on corruption-related data collected by a variety of reputable institutions

The CPI reflects the views of observers from around the world, including experts living and working in the countries and territories evaluated

CPI is the most widely used indicator of corruption worldwide

Corruption and the CPI

Illegal activities that are deliberately hidden

Only come to light through scandals, investigations, or prosecutions

No meaningful way to assess absolute levels of corruption in countries or territories on the basis of data

Shows how effective law enforcement, prosecutors, the court system, and the media are at investigating and exposing corruption

Captures perceptions of corruption of individuals in a position of power to offer assessments of public sector corruption is the most reliable method of comparing relative corruption levels across countries

Study Significance

The CPI is an indicator of perceptions of public sector corruption such as administrative and political corruption

Not a verdict on the levels of corruption of entire nations or societies, or of their policies, or the activities of their private sector

Citizens of those countries/territories that score at the lower end of the CPI often show the same concern about and condemnation of corruption as the public in countries that perform strongly

The country/territory with the lowest score is the one where public sector corruption is perceived to be greatest among those included in the list

The CPI provides no information about countries/territories that are not included in the index

Data Collection

Data sourced from 12 independent institutions specializing in governance and business climate analysis

The sources of information used for the 2014 CPI are based on data gathered in the past 24 months

Data was collected through the use of surveys

Surveys capture the perceptions of the extent of corruption in the public sector, from the perspective of business people and country experts in various countries/regions around the world

The CPI includes only sources that provide a score for a set of countries/territories and that measure perceptions of corruption in the public sector

Transparency International reviews the methodology of each data source in detail to ensure that the sources used meet Transparency International’s quality standards

How was the data measured?

A country/territory’s score indicates the perceived level of public sector corruption on a scale of 0-100

0 means that a country is perceived as highly corrupt

100 means that a country is perceived as very clean

Scores were averaged

A country's rank indicates its position relative to the other countries/territories included in the index

Ranks can change if the number of countries included in the index changes

Data Set

Independent variable – Region

North America

Europe

South America

Asia

Africa

Independent variable – Time period

1: 1998 – 2003

2: 2004 – 2009

3: 2010 – 2015

Dependent variable – CPI score

Research Questions and Hypotheses

Research Question 1

What is the role of time in a Region’s CPI score?

Research Question 2

Do CPI scores vary more by region or by time period?

Hypothesis 1

If the average CPI for a region is related to time, then we should see an improvement in the CPI score over time.

Hypothesis 2

If the CPI score increases for a region, then we should see a similar increase in other regions throughout the world.

Univariate Statistics

Data
Mean 14.3
Standard deviation 19.9
Standard error 0.4
Median 4.7
Minimum 0.4
Maximum 92
N 2665

Region Statistics

Africa Asia Europe North America South America
Mean 11.1 13.5 19 15.8 11.7
Standard Deviation 14.4 18.9 24.9 21.2 16.9
Standard Error 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.2
Median 3.2 4.4 7.4 5 3.6
Minimum 1 0.4 1.5 1.4 1.5
Maximum 65 91 92 84 74
N 695 835 640 292 203

Time Period Statistics

Time Period 1 Time Period 2 Time Period 3
Mean 4.6 4.1 29.6
Standard Deviation 2.4 2.1 24.5
Standard Error 0.1 0.06 0.8
Median 3.9 3.3 28
Minimum 0.4 1 1
Maximum 10 9.7 92
N 600 1008 1057

One way Anova: Regions

DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Ratio Probability
Regions 4 23581.2 5895.3 15.2 <0.0001*
Error 2660 1029675.3 387.1
Total 2664 1053256.5

Post Hoc: Connecting Letters Report

Region Mean
Europe A 19
North America A B 15.8
Asia B C 13.5
South America B C 11.7
Africa C 11.1

Levels not connected by same letter are significantly different

Difference Std Error Lower CL Upper CL P-value
Europe Africa 7.9 1.1 4.9 10.8 <0.001*
Europe South America 7.3 1.6 2.9 11.6 <0.001*
Europe Asia 5.5 1.0 2.6 8.3 <0.001*
North America Africa 4.6 1.4 0.9 8.4 0.0065*
North America South America 4.1 1.8 -0.8 8.9 0.2
Europe North America 3.2 1.4 -0.6 7.0 0.1
Asia Africa 2.3 1.0 -0.3 5.1 0.1
North America Asia 2.3 1.3 -1.3 5.9 0.4
Asia South America 1.8 1.5 -2.4 6.0 0.7
South America Africa 0.6 1.6 -3.7 4.9 0.9

One way Anova: Time Period

DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Ratio Probability
Time Periods 2 410793.2 205397 851 <0.0001*
Error 2662 642463.3 241
Total 2664 1053256.5

Post Hoc: Connecting Letters Report

Time Period Mean
3 A 29.6
1 B 4.6
2 B 4.1

Levels not connected by same letter are significantly different

Post Hoc

Difference Std Error Lower CL Upper CL P-value
3 2 25.6 0.7 24.0 27.2 <0.001*
3 1 25 0.8 23.1 26.9 <0.001*
1 2 0.5 0.8 -1.3 2.4 0.8

Results

Time period one way Anova is statically significant

Post Hoc indicates Time Period 3’s mean is significantly different from the means of Time Period 1 and Time Period 2

Region one way Anova is statically significant

Post Hoc indicates Europe’s mean is significantly different from the means of Africa, South America, and Asia

Post Hoc also indicates that North America’s mean is significantly different from the mean of Africa

Literature

Conclusions

Results are based on perception

Full Story of Corruption

CPI application is limited

Captures perceptions of the extent of corruption in the public sector, from the perspective of business people and country experts

Transparency International produces a range of both qualitative and quantitative research on corruption, both at the global level from its Secretariat and at the national level through Transparency International’s network of National Chapters based in over 90 countries around the world.

Transparency International’s Other Research Products

Global Corruption Barometer (GCB)

Bribe Payers Index (BPI)

Global Corruption Report (GCR)

National Integrity System Assessments (NIS)

Transparency In Corporate Reporting

Recommendations

Future Research

References

Hartson, W. (2016, May 12). Top 10 facts about corruption. Retrieved October 16, 2018, from https://www.express.co.uk/life-style/top10facts/669514/top-ten-facts-corruption-Tackling-Corruption-Together-conference-London

Transparency International. (2018). How corrupt is your country? Retrieved October 16, 2018, from https://www.transparency.org/ cpi2014 /in_detail

Scandal (TV Series 2012–2018). (2018). Retrieved October 16, 2018, from https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1837576/