Essay - Analyzing the Sustainability Problem

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AnalyzingSustainabilityProblems11.pptx

Analyzing Sustainability Problems

SOS 320 Online

Problem-Solving Framework

Sustainable

Goal

Visioning

Complex

Problem

Assessment

Strategy

Design & Testing

I

II

III

What is the

problem?

What is the

goal?

How do we get

from here to there?

Identify

Analyze

Robustly Analyzing Sustainability Problems We Need a Tool!

What are we doing?

Dissecting and clarifying the causal structures of sustainability problems

Identifying critical intervention points and systems relations

Without overwhelming the relevant stakeholders

A Tool for Problem Analysis

Functional (focus on people and what they do)

Systemic (good intentions don’t always work out) – Systems Thinking

Pragmatic (no paralysis-by-analysis)

A Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

A Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Guiding Questions for Analyzing Effects

What is adversely affected (significantly)?

Who is negatively affected?

Key Features of Sustainability Problems

Significantly harmful over the long term

Urgent

Dispersed effects

Complex causes

Contested

A Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Guiding Questions

What activities lead to the adverse effects?

Who carries out these activities?

Key Features of Sustainability Problems

Significantly harmful over the long term

Urgent

Dispersed effects

Complex causes

Contested

Actions and Technologies

High technological throughput of modern societies

Hardly any everyday activities without sophisticated (high-end) technologies

Various adverse effects related to technologies (life cycle perspective) in exchange for convenience (e.g., mobile phone)

Link between technologies and large-scale infrastructures

A Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Guiding Questions

What are the beneficial effects of people’s activities?

Who benefits from these effects?

Key Features of Sustainability Problems

Significantly harmful over the long term

Urgent

Dispersed effects

Complex causes

Contested

A Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Guiding Questions

Why do people do what they do?

What motivates behavior?

Key Features of Sustainability Problems

Significantly harmful over the long term

Urgent

Dispersed effects

Complex causes

Contested

5 Standardized Types of Background Drivers

Motives

Assumptions

Rules

Capacities

Resources

External Factors

Assumptions

Drivers that guide us in what we do

Different assumptions are true for different people and display different levels of approval

Even if assumptions or beliefs are false, given certain true/false criteria, they might still guide us, or, more precisely, misguide us

Assumptions, beliefs, and knowledge vary across different individuals, age groups, social groups, nations, and cultures

It is more useful for analyzing sustainability problems to describe the existing assumptions, beliefs, and knowledge that drive actions, instead of pointing out a lack thereof

Rules

Regulate and incentivize us to do what we do

Rules are shared among collectives – Not as personal

Formal rules – Written in law or part of established codes

Informal rules – Norms shared in a collective

Etiquette, shared beliefs, common sense

Individual motives and collective rules can conflict

Social movements can result in change of rules

Capacities

Enables us to do what we do

Capacity in conjunction with assumptions and knowledge enables action

Types and levels of capacities vary significantly across different individuals, age groups, social groups, nations, and cultures

Levels of capacities can be differentiated from novice and intermediate to advanced levels

Through processes of collaboration, capacities can become collective

it is more useful for analyzing sustainability problems to describe the existing capabilities that drive activities, instead of pointing out a lack thereof

Resources

Allow us to do what we do

Can be allocated to individuals or collectives

Often shared

Prominent examples: money, property, natural resources, time, trust, social networks

External Factors/Forces

These encircle the entire tool

Force us to do what we do

Influence from the outside, with little options to respond

Examples: floods, droughts, heat

Human force: prostitution, child labor, military, working camps

Using the Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Natural Gas as an Energy Resource in Northern and Central California Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

EffectsImmediate CausesRoot Causes Motives

- California needs energy. - Consumption was at 2.34 trillion cubic feet in 2014

for California alone. - Financial gain to be made by PG&E, third party power

plants, natural gas suppliers, and employees of these companies.

- Lack of cost to build new renewable energy infrastructure.

Assumptions - Natural Gas is the cleanest fossil fuel, so it must be clean. - Natural Gas is cheap. - Renewable energy is more expensive. - We needs to supply energy in this fashion to meet

demands.

Rules - Pacific Gas and Electric is the Sole Energy Supplier in

Northern and Central California. - If residents want to purchase energy directly from

a third party provider, they must enroll in a Direct Access program through PG&E.

- Permits need to be obtained on a regional level to have solar power panels installed.

Capacities - Existing Natural Gas infrastructure.

- Employees in different areas have already attained skills required in the running of natural gas production, transportation, combustion, and maintenance of facilities.

- In conjunction with the rule that PG&E has the sole energy monopoly in the area and the assumption that Natural Gas is clean, it gives them the capacity to continue using Natural Gas as their main resource for energy.

Resources - Natural Gas is available now. However, it is a fixed limited

resource. - Individual persons have the right to install solar panels (pending

permit). However, many lack the financial resources to install them.

- Previously, California had programs to have them installed and rebated. There is now a lack of these programs.

- Financial resources of the companies producing and creating energy with Natural Gas.

- Financial resources of those who purchase the energy made with Natural Gas.

- The land owned or rented for purposes of production, transportation, or combustion.

- The trust that the government has put in PG&E in allowing them to be the sole provider of energy to Northern and Central California.

External Factors - Northern and Central California style of living requires the

use of energy. Society requires it for a wide variety of products, homes, to even traffic lights.

Actions, Activities, & Behavior - The use of technologies drives the demand for

even more to be produced. - The use of energy in California is

rising. - Incentives (rebates) to install solar panels have

been revoked. - The attitude that Natural Gas is clean is

abundant with stakeholders, so the move to renewable energy is a slow process.

Technologies & Infrastructures - Technology and Infrastructures already exist

for using Natural Gas as an energy. - Technology for renewable resources exist.

- However, Infrastructures are a bit lacking. There would need to be more built to sustain energy demands.

- Technologies that we use every day, such as lighting our homes, personal computers, phones, and even traffic lights all require the use of energy.

Benefits - Financial benefits to all companies involved.

- No cost on setting up new renewable energies.

- Northern and Central Californians are supplied with energy.

- Helps met the energy needs. - Job Creation. - Creates less emissions than energy created

from coal.

Adverse Effects - Emits Carbon Dioxide and Methane during:

- Procurement - Transportation (Ex. Pipelines) - Combustion

- These are the two most damaging Greenhouse Gases.

- Greenhouse effect – Global Warming

- Hazardous pollutants released into the air and water. - Compromises human wellbeing.

- Respiratory symptoms - Cardiovascular disease - Cancer

- Water use. - Land and wildlife disturbances. - Earthquakes caused by certain extraction techniques.

Benefiting Stakeholders Pacific, Gas and Electric Company (Sole Energy Supplier to Public in Northern and Central California).

Negatively Affected Stakeholders Communities near Power Plants

Examples: - Oakland - Moss Landing

Causing Stakeholders State Government

- For giving PG&E a Monopoly on energy in Northern and Central California.

Negatively Affected Stakeholders

Communities Near Extraction Sites

Negatively Affected Stakeholders Communities Near Transportation

Sites Example: - Near Pipelines

Negatively Affected Stakeholders

The Entire Human Population due to Global Warming

Benefiting Stakeholders Third party power plants that

create energy for PG&E Example: - Dynergy

Benefiting Stakeholders Energy consumers in Northern

and Central California Example: - Myself included as I type this.

Benefiting Stakeholders

Suppliers of Natural Gas

Benefiting Stakeholders

Employees of all companies involved.

Causing Stakeholders Pacific Gas and Electric

- For continued use of Natural Gas to provide energy.

Causing Stakeholders

Suppliers of Natural Gas

Causing Stakeholders

Third Party Energy Suppliers

Causing Stakeholders

Energy Consumers in Northern and

Central California

Natural Gas as an Energy Resource in Northern and Central California

Tool for Analyzing Complex Problems

Effects

Immediate Causes

Root Causes

Motives

-California needs energy.

-Consumption was at 2.34 trillion cubic feet in 2014

for California alone.

-Financial gain to be made by PG&E, third party power

plants, natural gas suppliers, and employees of these

companies.

-Lack of cost to build new renewable energy

infrastructure.

Assumptions

-Natural Gas is the cleanest fossil fuel, so it must be clean.

-Natural Gas is cheap.

-Renewable energy is more expensive.

-We needs to supply energy in this fashion to meet

demands.

Rules

-Pacific Gas and Electric is the Sole Energy Supplier in

Northern and Central California.

-If residents want to purchase energy directly from

a third party provider, they must enroll in a Direct

Access program through PG&E.

-Permits need to be obtained on a regional level to have

solar power panels installed.

Capacities

-Existing Natural Gas infrastructure.

-Employees in different areas have already

attained skills required in the running of natural

gas production, transportation, combustion, and

maintenance of facilities.

-In conjunction with the rule that PG&E has the sole energy

monopoly in the area and the assumption that Natural Gas

is clean, it gives them the capacity to continue using

Natural Gas as their main resource for energy.

Resources

-Natural Gas is available now. However, it is a fixed limited

resource.

-Individual persons have the right to install solar panels (pending

permit). However, many lack the financial resources to install

them.

-Previously, California had programs to have them

installed and rebated. There is now a lack of these

programs.

-Financial resources of the companies producing and creating

energy with Natural Gas.

-Financial resources of those who purchase the energy made with

Natural Gas.

-The land owned or rented for purposes of production,

transportation, or combustion.

-The trust that the government has put in PG&E in allowing them

to be the sole provider of energy to Northern and Central

California.

External Factors

-Northern and Central California style of living requires the

use of energy. Society requires it for a wide variety of

products, homes, to even traffic lights.

Actions, Activities, & Behavior

-The use of technologies drives the demand for

even more to be produced.

-The use of energy in California is

rising.

-Incentives (rebates) to install solar panels have

been revoked.

-The attitude that Natural Gas is clean is

abundant with stakeholders, so the move to

renewable energy is a slow process.

Technologies & Infrastructures

-Technology and Infrastructures already exist

for using Natural Gas as an energy.

-Technology for renewable resources exist.

-However, Infrastructures are a bit

lacking. There would need to be more

built to sustain energy demands.

-Technologies that we use every day, such as

lighting our homes, personal computers,

phones, and even traffic lights all require the

use of energy.

Benefits

-Financial benefits to all companies involved.

-No cost on setting up new renewable

energies.

-Northern and Central Californians are

supplied with energy.

-Helps met the energy needs.

-Job Creation.

-Creates less emissions than energy created

from coal.

Adverse Effects

-Emits Carbon Dioxide and Methane during:

-Procurement

-Transportation (Ex. Pipelines)

-Combustion

-These are the two most damaging

Greenhouse Gases.

-Greenhouse effect –Global

Warming

-Hazardous pollutants released into the air and water.

-Compromises human wellbeing.

-Respiratory symptoms

-Cardiovascular disease

-Cancer

-Water use.

-Land and wildlife disturbances.

-Earthquakes caused by certain extraction techniques.

Benefiting Stakeholders

Pacific, Gas and Electric Company

(Sole Energy Supplier to Public in

Northern and Central California).

Negatively Affected Stakeholders

Communities near Power Plants

Examples:

-Oakland

-Moss Landing

Causing Stakeholders

State Government

-For giving PG&E a

Monopoly on energy in

Northern and Central

California.

Negatively Affected

Stakeholders

Communities Near

Extraction Sites

Negatively Affected Stakeholders

Communities Near Transportation

Sites

Example:

-Near Pipelines

Negatively Affected

Stakeholders

The Entire Human

Population due to

Global Warming

Benefiting Stakeholders

Third party power plants that

create energy for PG&E

Example:

-Dynergy

Benefiting Stakeholders

Energy consumers in Northern

and Central California

Example:

-Myself included as I type this.

Benefiting

Stakeholders

Suppliers of Natural

Gas

Benefiting

Stakeholders

Employees of all

companies involved.

Causing Stakeholders

Pacific Gas and Electric

-For continued use of

Natural Gas to provide

energy.

Causing

Stakeholders

Suppliers of Natural

Gas

Causing

Stakeholders

Third Party Energy

Suppliers

Causing

Stakeholders

Energy Consumers

in Northern and

Central California