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INVITED EDITORIAL: Let's Do It Again: A Call for Replications in Psi Chi J o u rn a l o f Psychological Research J o h n E. E d lu n d R o c h e s te r In s titu te o fT e c h n o lo g y
S c ie n c e is said to b e su ffe rin g fro m a crisis o f r e p li c a b i li t y ( I o a n n i d is , 2 0 0 5 ). T h is crisis o c c u rs w h e n s c ie n tific s tu d ie s fail
to b e s u p p o r te d by s u b s e q u e n t re s e a r c h . T h e challenges posed by th e replication crisis address the fundam ental n atu re o f science an d the p ublic’s u n d e r s t a n d i n g o f it. N u m e r o u s c o n t r i b u t i n g reasons for th e rep licatio n crisis have b e e n n o ted in c lu d in g d a ta fa lsific a tio n (S te e n , 2 0 1 1 ), th e pressures o f ten u re an d p ro m o tio n (Varian, 1998), questionable research practices (Simmons, Nelson, & Sim onsohn, 2011), th e tendency o f jo u rn a ls to w ant to publish particularly novel papers (Steen, 2011), and the p reference for publishing significant results (de W inter & H appee, 2013). T hese factors all in c re a se th e o d d s o f in a c c u ra te in fo rm a tio n b e in g p u b lish e d , w hich in tu rn is in c o rp o r a te d in to tex ts, as h a p p e n e d w ith th e d e ta ils o f th e original investigation in th e Kitty G enovese case, which led to th e fam ous bystander apathy studies (Griggs, 2015). T he p rim ary goal o f this editorial is to briefly discuss th e factors th at have co n trib u ted to th e re p lic atio n crisis, tech n iq u e s em ployed by various jo u rn a ls in th e field to deal with the crisis, and how Psi Chi Journal o f Psychological Research (PCf) is responding.
Build U p to th e R eplication Crisis Perhaps th e biggest indication o f the psychological re p lic atio n crisis was a series o f p ap e rs th a t were com pletely fabricated by several differen t authors (L e v elt C o m m itte e , 2 0 1 2 ). In th e s e cases, th e au th o rs in question were discovered to have com pletely fabricated th e ir d ata based o n a n u m b e r o f factors ra n g in g from th e inability o f coauthors to get access to data to a statistical analysis o f raw data from the papers suggesting th at the d ata was faked (S im onsohn, 2013).
Some have looked at the data fabrication crisis as a serie s o f u n r e la te d a n d iso la te d in c id e n ts,
perhaps driven by personal flaws o r am bition. O th ers, however, have looked at systemic features in aca dem ia as a potential influence on this p h e n o m e n a (Nosek, Spies, & Motyl, 2012). For instance, it has long been noted that ten u re an d prom otion in aca dem ia is driven largely by the n u m b er an d quality of publications (Varian, 1998). Early career research ers in the field (graduate students, post-docs, an d assistant faculty) are pressured to publish early and often, an d this can lead to academ ics taking steps to drive u p th eir publication counts. It is im p o rtan t to n o te th at these steps rarely include data fabrica tion. Rather, these steps often include publishing single-study short reports, which increase the likeli hood o f a type one e rro r (Ledgerwood & Sherm an, 2012), using selective analyses and m anipulations of degrees o f freedom to reach statistical significance (know n as “p -h a c k in g ”; S im o n so h n , N elso n , & Simons, 2014), an d engaging in unw arran ted self citations to increase th e n u m b e r o f citations o n e has (Purvis, 2006).
O th e r issues are m ore nuanced. T h e problem s w ithjournals seeking to publish novel findings and journals having a publication bias toward publishing significant results are arguably quite intertw ined. It has long been known by scientists that studies with o u t significant effects often en d u p in a file drawer, never to be seen again. Occasionally, meta-analyses reveal these file-drawer effects, b u t often th e re is a significant lag tim e if these meta-analyses are ever run. Additionally, in my experience an d that o f my colleagues, jo u rn a l editors have been n o ted to say th at significant replications an d extensions b elong in specialty jo u rn als, ra th e r than m ore widely dis trib u ted jo u rn als. O f course, th e re are exceptions The Psi Chi Journal editorial team invited Dr. Edlund to write an editorial as a m em ber o f the Psi Chi Research Advisory Commitee (RAC). As p art o f discussions between the RAC and the PCJ editorial team, we have em barked on a Replication Initiative to stimulate engagem ent with replication of psychological research studies.
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to these g en e ral trends. F or exam ple, studies on th e sex d ifference in jealousy have many nonsig nificant (and arguably underpow ered: B erm an & Frazier, 2005) an d significant findings published in p ro m in en tjo u rn als (Sagarin etal., 2012). However, th e com parative ease o f publishing th e nonsignifi cant findings in this field are likely attributable to n u a n c e d reasons su rro u n d in g the effect an d the theoretical a p p ro ach e d taken.
C h a n g in g P rac tic e s t o A d d re s s t h e Crisis As a field, num ero u s suggestions have em erged on how to deal with th e u n d erly in g reasons fo r th e crisis o f confidence. O n e ap p ro ach em ployed by journals is en c o u rag in g p re reg istere d studies. In this ap p ro ach , a study’s background, hypotheses, a n d m ethods are in d ep e n d e n tly reviewed before any data are collected. T h e goal o f this approach is to am eliorate the focus on publishing significant results because these studies are g u aran teed publi cation based on the quality o f th e research ra th e r th a n o b ta in in g results th a t re a c h a significance level o f p < .05.
A n o th e r te c h n iq u e th a t has b e e n em ployed is th e use o f massive collaborative p ro jec ts th a t c o n d u c t m u ltip le re p lic a tio n s a t th e sam e tim e such as the ManyLabs studies (Alogna et al., 2014) o r the Collaborative Replications an d E ducational P ro je c t (G ra h e , B ra n d t, IJz e rm a n , & C o h o o n , 2014). This tech n iq u e has many advantages such as the inclusion o f m o re diverse participants, and a g re a te r c o n fid e n c e in th e veracity o f th e d ata collected, d u e to the large n um bers o f collabora tors an d sh arin g o f th e raw data. This a p p ro ach also provides advantages to researchers who have m ore lim ited resources at th eir hom e institutions to be involved in th e larg e r scientific e n te rp rise an d discourse.
T h e s e a p p r o a c h e s c e r t a i n l y h a v e t h e i r s tre n g th s a n d ad v an tag es. H ow ever, they w ork best w hen in co rp o rated into a long-term research ag e n d a looking at an already established research question. New research ers are less likely to have su cc essfu l p r e r e g is tr a tio n s o r to b e le a d in g a m ultiple-lab based project. As such, th ere rem ains a n e e d for outlets th at are willing to publish high- quality replications.
M o v in g F o rw a rd PCJ has always published high-quality psychologi cal papers, ra n g in g from p ap e rs fe a tu rin g novel hypotheses (P eters, H o lg re e n , & Oswald, 2015) to studies focused o n re p lic a tio n (Casad & Lee,
2014). In collaboration with th e Psi Chi Research Advisory C o m m itte e , th e PCJ e d ito ria l team is la u n c h in g a re p lic atio n initiative with this issue. As p a r t o f this initiative, PCJ will e n c o u ra g e th e submission o f replication studies, provide a special notation in PCJ for replication studies, an d add the keyword “rep licatio n ” to reviewers’ expertise. PCJ enthusiastically welcomes reviewers with expertise in reviewing replication studies. T h e PCJ editorial team hopes th a t these structural changes will com m u n ic a te th e im p o rta n c e o f re p lic a tio n studies a n d e n c o u ra g e r e s e a rc h e rs to e n g a g e in th e ir execution an d dissem ination o f findings, w hether significant o r not.
T h ere are two ends o f the spectrum on replica tion: direct replication an d conceptual replication (Schmidt, 2009). A d irec t replication attem pts to m ost direcdy recreate th e study th a t is b ein g repli cated (in materials, procedures, a n d particip an ts). In p ra ctice, th e re a re very few p u b lish e d d ire c t replications. M ore com m only a study will feature a d ire c t re p lic atio n a n d an ad d itio n al m an ip u la tion o r ex ten sio n . Alternatively, in a co n c ep tu al re p lic atio n , th e basic re searc h q u estio n is re p li cated , b u t with d iffe re n t m aterials, p ro c e d u re s, o r p articip an ts th a t are still conceptually linked. PCJ has always b e e n o p en to b o th conceptual an d direct replications.
Ultimately, the biggest factor th at will be evalu ated in the submission o f any PCJ m anuscript will be th e quality o f th e m an u scrip t. T h e adequacy o f th e sam ple size fo r th e c o n c lu sio n s re a c h e d (Anderson & Maxwell, 2015) will rem ain an im por tan t factor in decisions. Additionally, th e quality of th e m aterials a n d m eth o d s will be evaluated (see Uncles & Kwok, 2013, for a discussion o f m aterials in the co n tex t o f replication science). Finally, the adequacy o f th e analyses a n d the re p o rtin g o f the en tire m anuscript will be considered as well.
As an illustration o f w hat good replication sci ence can look like to Psi Chi, we p o in t to K eeran an d Burmeister (2015) featured in the current issue o f PCJ. H ere, K eeran an d B urm eister em ployed a prim arily d ire c t re p lic atio n a p p ro a c h , alth o u g h several changes a n d th e ir p o ten tial im pact were n o ted . Like all m anuscripts em ploying a replica tion ap proach, th e p a p e r was evaluated on its own m erits with the replicative approach b eing n eith er a b e n e fit n o r a h in d ra n c e to a c c e p ta n c e o f th e m anuscript.
Ultimately, it is o u r h o p e th a t o u r field co n tinues to em brace th e benefits o f replications in psychology. T he field is strengthened by increasing
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Edlund | A Call for Replications
the precision a n d co n fid en ce o f o u r conclusions th ro u g h u sin g b o th c o n c e p tu a l a n d d ire c t re p lications. It is with th ese goals in m in d th a t PCJ explicitly invites you to su b m it your replications fo r consideration in PCJ.
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Author Note. J o h n E. E d lu n d , R ochester In stitu te o f Technology. T h e a u th o r wishes to th an k th e m em b e rs o f th e Psi Chi
R esearch Advisory C om m ittee fo r th e ir h e lp with this initiative a n d especially C harlie Ebersole, J o n G rah e, a n d Rick M iller fo r th e ir insightful co m m en ts on an early draft.
C o rre sp o n d e n c e c o n c e rn in g this article sh o u ld be a d d ressed to J o h n E. E d lu n d a tjo h n .e d lu n d @ rit.e d u .
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