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6.Gentrification-Housing.ppt.zip

6. Gentrification - Housing.ppt

  • Revised Syllabus due to President’s Day

Announcements

  • Revised Syllabus due to President’s Day
  • Meeting 7 – No Class
  • Meeting 8: Migrant City
  • Meeting 9: Riotous Cities and Rebellious Culture
  • Meeting 10: Subversive Politics

Announcements

2. Book Review

  • Handout on February 11
  • Due: February 24

Announcements

THINK PAIR SHARE

  • What is gentrification?
  • Is it a good or bad thing? Take a position and support your answer either way

Gentrification

Weighing the Evidence of Gentrification: Statistic Evidence

Average City and Suburb Population Change by US Region, 1990-2000

REGION NUMBER % CHANGE CITY % CHANGE SUBURB SUBURBAN ADVANTAGE
Northeast 10 -2.1 8.0 10.1
South Atlantic 16 9.4 22.9 13.5
Mountain 8 33.2 46.8 13.6
Pacific 22 13.5 17.0 3.6
All METROS 99 9.8 20.8 11.0

The Center of the Action: Survey of 24 Downtowns

Downtown Population Up, City Population Up – 12/24

AREA % CHANGE DOWNTOWN % CHANGE CITY
Houston 69 19.8
Seattle 67.4 9.1
Chicago 51.4 4.0
Denver 51.4 18.6
Portland 35.4 21.0
Atlanta 25.1 5.7
Memphis 18.2 6.5
San Diego 16.1 10.2
Colorado Springs 7.2 28.4
Los Angeles 5.7 6.0
Boston 4.5 2.6

The Center of the Action: Survey of 24 Downtowns

2) Downtown Population Up, City Population Down – 6/24

AREA % CHANGE DOWNTOWN % CHANGE CITY
Cleveland 32.2 - 5.4
Norfolk 20.5 - 10.3
Baltimore 5.1 -11.5
Philadelphia 4.9 -4.3
Detroit 2.9 -7.5
Milwaukee 2.5 -5.0

The Center of the Action: Survey of 24 Downtowns

Downtown Population Down, City Population Up – 4/24

AREA % CHANGE DOWNTOWN % CHANGE CITY
Charlotte -.7 36.6
San Antonio -5.9 22.3
Lexington -6.1 15.6
Phoenix -9.1 34.4

The Center of the Action: Downtowns

4) Downtown Population Down, City Population Down – 2/24

AREA % CHANGE DOWNTOWN % CHANGE CITY
Cincinnati -16.9 -9
St. Louis -17.5 -12.2

Racial Compositions of Downtowns:

AREA % CHANGE DOWNTOWN % CHANGE CITY
White 7.5 -10.5
Latino 4 43
African American 6 3

Summary of Trends:

Suburbs have maintained a strong advantage over cities

Nevertheless, strong positive growth for most cities

For many cities, the 1990s was the strongest period of growth in 50 years

Downtowns seem to be a contributing factor to city revitalization

All METROS 99 9.8 20.8 11.0
# CITIES CITY SUBURB SUB. ADV.

Source: Governing: States and Localities - http://www.governing.com/gov-data/gentrification-in-cities-governing-report.html

Gentrification Prevalent but different speeds

City

Share of Eligible Tracts Gentrifying

Gentrified Tracts

Not Gentified

Not Eligible to Gentfify

Total Tracts

Fast Gentrification

Portland, OR

58.10%

36

26

80

142

Washington, DC

51.90%

54

50

75

179

Minneapolis, MN

50.60%

39

38

39

116

Seattle, WA

50%

7

7

118

132

Atlanta, GA

46.20%

30

35

62

127

Virginia Beach, VA

46.20%

6

7

86

99

Denver, CO

42.10%

24

33

87

144

Austin, TX

39.70%

25

38

119

182

Sacramento, CA

30%

15

35

54

104

New York, NY

29.80%

128

301

1723

2152

Source: Governing: States and Localities - http://www.governing.com/gov-data/gentrification-in-cities-governing-report.html

Gentrification Prevalent but different speeds

City

Share of Eligible Tracts Gentrifying

Gentrified Tracts

Not Gentified

Not Eligible to Gentfify

Total Tracts

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oakland, CA

29.30%

24

58

31

113

Philadelphia, PA

28.70%

84

209

90

383

Albuquerque, NM

28.10%

9

23

95

127

San Diego, CA

27.50%

22

58

202

282

Baltimore, MD

23.20%

39

129

32

200

Long Beach, CA

22.40%

11

38

62

111

Fort Worth, TX

21.50%

17

62

71

150

Omaha, NE

21.40%

12

44

75

131

Nashville, TN

21.10%

12

45

96

153

Boston, MA

21.10%

12

45

122

179

Source: Governing: States and Localities - http://www.governing.com/gov-data/gentrification-in-cities-governing-report.html

Gentrification Prevalent but different speeds

City

Share of Eligible Tracts Gentrifying

Gentrified Tracts

Not Gentified

Not Eligible to Gentfify

Total Tracts

 

Moderate Gentrification

 

San Francisco, CA

18.80%

3

13

180

196

Houston, TX

18.40%

35

155

271

461

Colorado Springs, CO

17.60%

6

28

61

95

Chicago, IL

16.80%

54

268

473

795

Jacksonville, FL

16.20%

11

57

95

163

Charlotte, NC

15.80%

9

48

137

194

Los Angeles, CA

15.10%

51

287

661

999

Phoenix, AZ

14.20%

20

121

214

355

Oklahoma City, OK

13.20%

9

59

128

196

Raleigh, NC

13%

3

20

59

82

Who Cares?

People

Academics

Turning Over Traditional View: “The wealthy seldom reverse their steps and move backwards into the obsolete housing which they are giving up” (Hoyt 1939:114).

Policy Makers

Gentrification - the Debate

The Debate: Demand-Side versus Supply-Side

Gentrification - the Debate

Three Key Propositions: David Ley (U. of British Columbia)

Change in the Structure of the Economic Change:

Culture:

Demographics

Strengths and Weaknesses

“To explain gentrification according to the gentrifiers’ actions alone, while ignoring the role of builders, developers, landlords, mortgage lenders, government agencies, real estate agents and tenants is excessively narrow (Smith 1996: 23)”

DEMAND SIDE ARGUMENT

Profits Matter More than Consumer Preference

“It appears that the needs of production – in particular the need to earn profit – are a more decisive initiative behind gentrification than consumer preference” (Smith 1996: 24).

SUPPLY SIDE ARGUMENT

The Theory: RENT GAP (low value, high potential profit)

The Role of Mortgage Capital and Collective Actors (investors, realtors, developers)

“All the consumer preference in the world will come to naught unless this long absent source of funding reappears” (Smith 1989: 253).

SUPPLY SIDE ARGUMENT

$$$$$$$ (High Value)

$ (Low Actual Value,

High Potential)

The Theory: Factors In Order

Structural Change: A New Economy and Occupational Structure

Some Areas and Not Others: Rent Gap

Demand for Inner City Property: Cultural Dispositions of New Middle Class

COMING TOGETHER DEMAND & SUPPLY ARGUMENTS

  • What is the government’s role in supporting gentrification? And, Why?
  • What are the specific things that urban planners do to support gentrification?

Sam Stein, Capital City

California Association of Realtors, 2016

Southern California                
Los Angeles 22 28   26   $595,110 $3,000 $120,060
Orange  21 21   23   $790,000 $3,980 $159,370
Riverside  38 39   42   $387,000 $1,950 $78,070
San Bernardino 51 51   55   $270,000 $1,360 $54,470
San Diego 26 26   28 R $607,000 $3,060 $122,460
Ventura 27 27   34 R $634,000 $3,200 $127,900
STATE/REGION/COUNTY Q3-2017 Q2-2017   Q3-2016   Median Home  Price Monthly Payment Including Taxes & Insurance Minimum  Qualifying Income

Roy, R., Ong, P., and S. Jimenez “Impacts of the Widening Divide: Los Angeles at the Forefront fo the Rent Burden Crisis” Center for the Study of Inequality, UCLA, 2014

Roy, R., Ong, P., and S. Jimenez “Impacts of the Widening Divide: Los Angeles at the Forefront fo the Rent Burden Crisis” Center for the Study of Inequality, UCLA, 2014

Roy, R., Ong, P., and S. Jimenez “Impacts of the Widening Divide: Los Angeles at the Forefront fo the Rent Burden Crisis” Center for the Study of Inequality, UCLA, 2014

Evictions

https://evictionlab.org/national-estimates/

*

Desmond, Matthew. 2012. “Eviction and the Reproduction of Urban Poverty.” American Journal of Sociology 118 (1): 88–133.

Evictions

*

Desmond, Matthew. 2012. “Eviction and the Reproduction of Urban Poverty.” American Journal of Sociology 118 (1): 88–133.

Evictions

Homeless Trends

Homeless Trends

Policing the Poor in the Gentrifying City: Skid Row Los Angeles

Past Strategy (1960s – 2000): Containment

Internal Policing: Toleration

External Regulation: Cordoning off the Poor

Governing Homelessness

Homelessness as an Impediment of Gentrification

Governing Homelessness

Homelessness as an Impediment of Gentrification

Internal Regulation: ”Safe Cities” Initiative - Criminalizing the Homeless

"Some of these people do need help, but the majority of these people do not need help. They just need the push to get out. (LAPD Officer Mike Fernandez, LA Times, 9/9/2007).

Governing Homelessness

Regionalizing Homelessness

Regionalizing Homelessness

Regionalizing Homelessness

__MACOSX/._6. Gentrification - Housing.ppt