MS project
Brettex Performance Improvement Project
Student Name Student ID
Improving Business Performance – 6LO500
14th December 2017
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary 4
2. Introduction 4
3. Proposed Changes 5
3.1 Training Plan / PDP 5
3.2 Upgrade Balancing Capabilities 5
3.3 Implement Contract Manager KPI’s 5
4. Project Selection Process 6
5. Business Process Re-Engineering and Continous Improvement 8
6. Project Implementation 9
6.1 Draft Project Plan 10
6.2 Project Scope 10
6.3 Draft Project Plan Costing 12
7. Risk Analysis 13
7.1 Draft Project Plan Costing 13
8. Identify Risk Factors to Consider 14
9. Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) 17
10. Revised, Final Project Plan 22
11. Final and Updated Costs 43
12. Project Payback Period 43
13. Conclusion 44
14. References 45
15. Appendices 46
Word Count – 3,048
Table of Figures
Fig.1 – Factor Analysis for Project Selection 6
Fig.2 – Project Selection Justification 7
Fig.3 – BPR and Continuous Improvement Comparison against Chosen Project 8
Fig.4 – Microsoft Project Draft Plan for New Balancing Machine 10
Fig.5 – Project Scope 10
Fig.6 – New Balancing Machine Draft Project Cost Estimation 13
Fig.7 – Risk Analysis Method Evaluation 13
Fig.8 – Highest Risk Factors Analysis 14
Fig.9 – Quantitative Risk Assessment for Brettex’s New Balancing Machine Project 17
Fig.10 – RPN Reduction Overview 22
Fig.11 – Updated and Final Project Plan for New Balancing Machine 23
Fig.12 – Updated and Final Costs for New Balancing Machine 43
Fig.13 – Project Payback Period Calculations 44
Executive Summary
This report is aimed to provide Brettex with an effective and realistic project idea and subsequent plan to improve their business performance. Brettex offer the UK’s leading engineering services to 11 of the 13 major utility companies in the UK and have grown aggressively over the last 6 years.
In order to select one of the three projects that were thought to be beneficial to Brettex, a project selection was carried out using research quantified into literature reviews. The project selection was determined by the following five factors; ROI, Cost, Time, Risk, Benefit and numerical results proved the ‘New Balancing Machine’ project would prove the most effective to Brettex.
In order to decide which method was the most appropriate for this project between the two most common during the research; Business Performance Re-Engineering (BPR) & Continuous Improvement (Commonly known as Kaizen), another literature review was carried out using multiple theorists which again provide conclusive results. It was determined the BPR approach is the most suitable method for Brettex’s ‘New Balancing Machine’ project.
In order to progress the project into a realistic option for Brettex, Microsoft office was utilised to devise a project plan based on the scope that was also devised in this section. The tasks and resource were considered in order to produce a draft plan of the project which produced a predicted cost and duration.
It was proven in the research that risk analysis is extremely important in order to deliver successful projects, the identified risks were analysed, evaluated and controlled using a Quantitative Risk Assessment. The main risks that were identified using the QRA are Technology, Budget, Costs, Time, legal and Personnel or Resource Allocation.
Once the risks were proven to have been reduced, the required tasks and control measures were inputted to produce the final project plan; this plan outlines the step by step process for carrying out the project. Comparison from the draft to the final costs and duration were evaluated which showed the total cost of the project at £45,858.06 and duration of 45 days.
Researched suggested the final section was extremely important before any project is initiated at a company, the project payback period calculations were carried out which demonstrate a payback period of 9.5 months or 114 jobs using the new balancing machine.
Introduction
This report will be based on a medium sized, Chesterfield based engineering services company called Brettex currently employing roughly 120 people varying from office staff, undergraduates, apprentices and engineers/fabricators (2016 Company Handbook, 2017).
Brettex originally started as a sister company to a larger manufacturing firm before, as part of an acquisition deal separated in 2008 to form as an independent business. In 9 years of independent business the organisation has become to focus on being the UK’s leading providers of service, repairs, maintenance and more recently manufacture of sludge process machinery and equipment for all major utility companies in the UK and Ireland (Brettexsiteservices.com, 2017).
Before making the strategic decision in 2013 to primarily focus their resources on the utility industry, Brettex also offered their expertise to various other industries such as Pharmaceutical, Food and Industrial Process Control Companies, Hospitals and Care Facilities, Schools and Educational Establishments, this legacy work still contributes to the company’s revenue today but does not receive the attention and focus as the main purpose of the business.
Slack et al (2010) suggests each company requires a strategic direction in order to succeed, Brettex’s mission statement reflects this theory, ‘Brettex aims to offer instant, reliable and cost effective service and repairs to maintain optimum performance of sludge processing equipment‘. The family ran company’s approach resonates throughout the friendly but focussed workforce all aiming to achieve the same goal.
The following section provides a brief introduction and detail into the possible changes that are available to Brettex that would improve their overall business performance.
3.1 Training Plan / PDP
Kindersley (2015) suggests the role clarity amongst a team is essential in ensuring a successful outcome. Knowing, motivating and focusing on the team will result in good individual performance contributing to the businesses’ overall output. Whittington, Scholes and Johnson (2012) also suggest resources and competences are the two main components of strategic capability. A copy of Brettex’s structural diagram (Brettex, 2017) can be found in appendix B, this shows the roles throughout the business. Although Brettex currently invest to provide generic training to their employees, there is yet to be a personal development scheme at the company to focus and tailor training and development dependent upon the individual. In order to devise the most effective training package for Brettex’s staff, there is the possibility of a ‘Personal Development Plan’ project to be undertaken so that each employee has their own regime of training.
3.2 Upgrade Balancing Capabilities
A ‘Centrifuge’ is an asset amongst the fleet of equipment that Brettex claim they are the UK’s leader in maintaining. The Centrifuge is a high-tech piece of equipment which to avoid high vibrations requires balancing. To ensure of its condition, Brettex (amongst other OEMs) deem 12 months is the maximum period between a balance, however this is often done sooner if any mechanical repairs are required within that period. In order to balance this type of asset, a specific balancing tool is required which is available in a number of difference sizes, the size of the tool will determine the size of Centrifuge you are capable of balancing.
In order to grow this section of the business and improve Brettex’s ‘Centrifuge capabilities’, a bigger balancing machine is required. To Brettex, this type of equipment is expensive so if the requirement or benefit isn’t apparent this is not a feasible change.
3.3 Implement Contract Manager KPI’s
Marr (2013) suggests the decisions made by effective managers are orientated around the company’s ‘successful voyage’ to prevent targets veering off the businesses’ overall path. In order for the Operations Manager to direct focus through his Contract Managers and to their respective teams, there is an opportunity to devise and implement a set of Key Performance Indicators (KPI’s), specifically for the Contract Managers to populate. A set of KPI’s could be used to monitor the strategic capabilities of each area and offer support where the KPI’s show each Contract Manager is slacking, ultimately improving the performance of the company resulting in more income.
Project Selection Process
Three possible changes that would improve Brettex’s business performance have been identified above, and Shtub et al (2014) refers to the next stage as the ‘screening’ process where one option must be chosen to progress with. Shtub et al (2014) goes on to state billions of dollars are wasted by companies every year due to projects that have been implemented and then not used or discarded because of the lack of value added to the business. As Pinto (2016) suggests, due to the wide range of project types it is difficult to clarify one or two factors which require evaluating before a company starts a project. However for the purpose of this report, (Kerzner, 2001) advisers projects should provide a business with tangible benefits or improve organisational performance and competitiveness once implemented.
With this in mind, the following literature review will evaluate the important factors of a project that multiple authors have considered in order ascertain which criteria will be for Brettex’s final project selection:-
Fig.1 – Factor Analysis for Project Selection
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Totals (/5) |
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Align to goals |
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ROI |
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Benefit |
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Realism |
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Capability |
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Flexibility |
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Ease of use |
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The evaluation and subsequent results from the literature review in Figure 1 show the following five factors are the most common influences that should be considered when selecting a project are:-
· Return on Investment (ROI)
· Cost
· Time
· Risk
· Benefit
Using the literature review, it was shown ROI was the most important factor as this topic appeared in five of the seven academic sources that were evaluated. The remaining influences identified in the analysis all appeared equally, four times.
In order to select which project shall be action planned for implementation, the impact the five key influences will have on the potential projects will be evaluated. The impact will be given a value of 1 – 3 (key/explanation below) dependent of the extent of the impact, whichever project has the highest score will be the one most viable to Brettex and the one selected to initiate. As Morris (1997) suggests, a weighting of two (x2) has been applied to the influences that have the highest impact and are most crucial in improving business performance. The results of the justification can be seen below in Figure 2:-
Key
3 – Represents the highest benefit, the quickest ROI, the most efficient use of time / timescale, the lowest risk, the lowest cost.
1 – Represents the lowest benefit, the slowest ROI, ineffective time management, the highest risk, the highest cost.
Fig.2 – Project Selection Justification
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Project |
Balancing machine upgrade |
Contract Manager KPI’s |
PDP for Each Employee |
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ROI (x2) |
6 |
2 |
4 |
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Cost |
1 |
3 |
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Time |
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Risk |
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Benefit (x2) |
4 |
4 |
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Totals (/15) |
15 |
14 |
11 |
Results from the figure above show the purchase of a upgraded balancing machine will be the most effective project for Brettex. The weighting on ROI and Benefit is the main reason this project accumulated the most points during the justification process, however in contrast the balancing machine project posed as the highest cost to Brettex which is something that will require particular care if the ROI is going to succeed. Interestingly none of the projects posed as a high risk to Brettex.
Business Process Re-Engineering and Continous Improvement
Barnes (2008) suggests there are two main approaches for improving business performance, Business Performance Re-engineering (also known as Radical Change) and Continuous Improvement.
Bounds et al (1994) suggests the distinction between the two approaches can be identified culturally and goes onto suggest the American’s predominantly adopt one approach whereas Japan commonly use the alternative. Imai (1986) suggests the ‘Kaizen’ approach, favoured by the Japanese, adopts the continuous improvement method which includes ‘undramatic’, ‘subtle’ and ‘systematic’ change in an incremental effort to achieve gradual change. Wild (2003) argues this progressive approach leads to higher standard in business performance whilst improving on a ‘on-going basis’ (Hill, 2003).
In contrast, Imai (1986) describes the Business Performance Re-engineering (BPR) approach historically associated with American managers as dramatically levels in performance improvement. Imai goes onto suggest BPR depends more on innovative one shot deals that provide ‘breakthrough’ results immediately. Short term, innovative methods provide a radical approach to change. Hill (2009) argues large scale changes to processes transform company performance leads to improved efficiency.
Using the results obtained from the previous section, the figure below will analyse the literature to establish the BPR / Kaizen change characteristics, the chosen project to gather which approach, from the two discussed above, is most appropriate for the implementation of the chosen project for Brettex.
Fig.3 – BPR and Continuous Improvement Comparison against Chosen Project
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Change Factor |
Business Process Re-engineering (BPR) |
Continuous Improvement (Kaizen) |
Authors |
Most Appropriate for Brettex Project |
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Effect |
Dramatic, radical change |
Undramatic, subtle differences |
Citations Removed |
BPR |
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Pace |
Fast, aggressive |
Gradual, small steps, regular |
Citations Removed |
BPR |
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Timeframe |
Immediate, non-incremental |
Incremental, continuous |
Citations Removed |
BPR |
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Change |
Radical, innovative, transformation |
Subtle, constant |
Citations Removed |
BPR |
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Involvement |
Select few ‘champions’, lead specifically |
Everybody, current team |
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Risk |
Focussed, dramatic, severe impact, one change |
Spread/shared amongst many smaller projects |
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Effort Orientation |
Technology / innovation |
People resource, team’s processes |
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Technology dependent / Stimulus |
Primary importance / Innovation and new tech |
Secondary importance |
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BPR
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Practical Requirements |
Large Investment & short term effort |
Small financial requirement, labour intensive to maintain |
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Total / Result (/9) |
9 |
0 |
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BPR |
The table and analysis above demonstrates that the Business Process Re-engineering is the right approach of the two to use when implementing the chosen project at Brettex. Due to the nature of the balancing machine project, BPR fitted the requirements unanimously. Although once installed the balancing machine will require ongoing general maintenance, updates and regular training to ensure it is used effectively, the specific project suits the BPR method.
Project Implementation
Using various research and analysis in the previous sections, it has been decided which from the three possible projects shall be implemented and which method out of the two evaluated demonstrates to be most suitable for the chosen project. The following section will be used to devise a step by step draft plan for the implementation.
6.1 Draft Project Plan
Microsoft Project (MP) software was used to prepare the draft project plan and will be used for the final plan, the powerful tool that 67% of small businesses use can easily be used and allows project managers to devise a step by step project plan that can be easily updated as necessary (Maffeo, 2017). The following image shown in figure 4 below is a condensed version of the draft plan, the full version can be found in appendix one.
Fig.4 – Microsoft Project Draft Plan for New Balancing Machine
6.2 Project Scope
Pinto (2016) argues the project scope is ‘everything about a project’ and should include the expected outcomes but be detailed with what is included in order to achieve the outcomes. The importance of the scope is supported by the content will include all activities to be carried out, the resources which will be required, the end goal and should be supported with considerations regarding the constraints and limitations (Pinto, 2016). Shtub et al (2014) supports the importance of a project scope by suggesting the scope should only include the tasks that are required to complete the project and identification of the scope is the project manager’s responsibility and suggests the execution of the project relies of the scope.
Pinto (2016) suggests milestones are an important addition to any project plan. Pinto (2016) goes on to suggest milestones are beneficial to enable the project manager to monitor timescales, quality, the level of input from others, manage supplier performance and other various measures, ‘Milestones are road markers that we observe on our travels along the life cycle path’ (Pinto 2016). Shtub et al (2014) also relates milestones to cost monitoring, checkpoints should be set to review the status of the project in comparison with the original plan, this will then allow any corrective action to be taken at that time.
The milestones and ‘scope’ can be reflected in a way of ‘Summary Tasks’ in Microsoft project plan, the scope outlined in the figure below have been used in the final project plan to title the step by step action within the main tasks.
New Balancing Machine Project
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1 - Initial Project Investigation There is a level of investment and element of risk when applying employee time (£) to investigating the likeliness or value of projects, however to realise through investigation that the idea does not warrant a project rather than once the project has commenced is much better. Before any plans are put in place, the project manager will investigate and forecast if the project is worth the time required to produce a PID or business case for. The main purpose of this stage is to ascertain the added value this project would bring to the company, the project manager will gather knowledge throughout this investigation and do so through discussions with employees inside the company. |
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2 - Researching Possible Suppliers As the business case / PID will require some sort of costing or budget information, supplier research is required before this can be produced in order to gain the price of a new machine. Discussions can also start with possible suppliers to spark the relationship if the business case is approved. This stage will also require research that will again solidify whether or not the project will add value, for example if it turns out there are no suppliers in the UK, shipping/delivery costs may come into equation that will eliminate the value/payback for Brettex if this project was started. |
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3 - Create Business Case / PID Now the project manager has realised the potential of this possible project, a business case / PID can be produced which will be include the results for the research required in the prior section. Because of the two previous tasks the business case / PID will include more accurate and in depth information meaning the operations manager will be able to make a more informed decision resulting in less risk. The project manager will seek the approval of the operations manager before proceeding any further. |
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4 - Machine and Supplier Selection The project has been accepted and signed off therefore the first step is decide on and source the new machine. In order for Brettex to receive the highest benefit, the machine should be technologically advanced, suitable and appropriate for Brettex’s centrifuge goals, realistically operational for Brettex’s current employees, suitably sized for Brettex’s premises, well known within the industry for marketing and reputation purposes, easily accessible to spares and OEM support, reliable and most importantly cost effective. In order for the project manager to match this criteira, support from internal employees with relatable knowledge will be required. Different options must be gathered so that the final decision has been made using comparable consideration. |
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5 - Raise Purchase Order Once the supplier and machine has been selected and the price has been agreed, the accounts department may be required to arrange account details and payment for the new machine, approval of the value will already have been granted. Lead time, delivery details etc will be in contract form and signed off before any invoice / PO’s are finalised. |
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6 - Design Installation ‘Measure once, cut twice. Measure twice, cut once’. The Brettex workshop has been designed and laid out to be effectively controlled and practically used for the engineers and workshop manager. In order to maximise the value from the machine, the location of the installation will be considered with the employees who will be using it the most. Ultimately the workshop managers decision, the positioning will be discussed with engineers and finally professionally drawn by Brettex’s CAD designer so that it can be visually evaluated before install. Sizes, access, H&S factors and practical use will all be considered before confirming the new machine’s position. |
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7 - Plan Installation and Test The install stage will be the longest and most labour intensive section of this project, physically installing the machine will have health and safety impacts as well as resource requirements that will affect the rest of Brettex’s premises and day to day operation. Due to the size of the new machine, Brettex employees parking at the Chesterfield site will be affected due to parking restraints, the operation team will be required to book labour to the project and hands on tasks will be involved in the installation stage. However the core of the plan will just be the same as the other sections, i.e. who and for how long is required with their assigned tasks clearly outlined. |
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8 - Training and Go Live Due to the technology being new to Brettex, the engineers and possibly managers overseeing or using the piece of equipment will require training to again ensure Brettex maximises the value from the purchase once installed. Once the training has been carried out the machine will be ready to use for every day / real business use. |
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9 - Marketing New Machine Following the large investment, the payback will come in the form of customer orders to generate revenue for Brettex. In order to do so, marketing and advertising the new machine will be important to ensure customers are aware of Brettex’s new capabilities. Brettex contract managers and sales team will be required for this. |
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10 - Installation Review To ensure the install is correct, to plan and to the quality Brettex expect, the operations manager will be required to review the new machine’s install quality, training package content and proof and marketing material before marking the project off as complete. Following this review, certain parts of the project may need to be revisited to complete any items identified by the Operations Manager as unacceptable or incorrect. |
It may be evident, however the scope that can be seen above has been devised in an attempt to eliminate any surprises, in a contingent way the scope has been developed to foresee every task that will be required so that deviation from the original plan is kept to a minimum. Although the plan has been developed with this consideration, as is was found earlier the project will be open to change (Shtub et al 2014) for the purpose of improvement, but not in an inefficient or uncontrolled manner.
6.3 Draft Project Plan Costing
Researching whether or not a project is viable which is included in the scope in the previous section, heavily depends upon the cost of the project, cost estimation should be carried out in order to identify the required budget for a project, Pinto (2013) suggests cost management is extremely important for successful projects. Different levels of detail may be required depending on the value of a project or the customer or business preferences, but the project manager should always try to identify all possible costs associated with the project and build them into their initial proposal (Pinto, 2013).
The following figure provides the cost overview for the draft project plan of installing a new balancing machine at Brettex:-
Fig.6 – New Balancing Machine Draft Project Cost Estimation
From the draft project, it can be seen above that the proposed project will take approximately 43 days to complete in full, will cost an approximate total of £41,000 and require 626 hours of labour. With the initial financial figure appearing to be high, the new machine consumes the majority of the project’s cost and equates to over half of the total spend. With the amount Brettex will be able to charge the new machine out to customers at, the project’s required investment will not take long to recoup. Payback calculation has been provided in the final section of this report.
Risk Analysis
In projects it is widely considered that risks are inherent and that no amount of planning can fully eliminate the element of risk, however precautions and plans can be put in place that will reduce the likelihood of certain risks depending on the project and to minimize their impact (Laron & Gray 2014). Larson & Gray (2014) goes onto suggest that Risk Management is what is required to recognise the evident factor of risk in the form of contingency plans or identifying as many risks as possible before the project starts.
7.1 Draft Project Plan Costing
Lock (2013) suggests methods to rank risks according to their probability of occurring and the severity of impact if they were to occur, this will allow the project managers to identify the risks that pose the highest threat to their project and therefore require attention and distinguish those threats less likely.
Lock (2013) suggests quantitative goes one further than qualitative risk analysis due to the fact it quantifies the outcome of the risk and assigns numerical score to the possible effects, most commonly on the projects time and cost. Meredith and Mantel (2011) support this quantitative approach also by ranking possible risks in numerical order and which risks should be focussed on considering their numerical risk value. Lock (2013) continues to list the other methods for risk analysis such as Fault – Trees, fishbones and Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA). The following figure provides results from research into the most commonly advocated risk analysis methods:-
Fig.7 – Risk Analysis Method Evaluation
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Ishikawa Fishbone |
Fault Trees |
Risk Log |
Risk Severity Matrix |
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It can be seen from the figure above that failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) has shown to be the preferred method of analysing risk in the chosen literature. All four sources that were researched supported the use of FMEA as a risk management tool hence this being the chosen method for this project, Maylor (2010) expands on this by describing FMEA as a useful tool for project managers. FMEA will be the chosen method to carry out a risk assessment in the following section for the chosen project of a new balancing machine at Brettex.
Identify Risk Factors to Consider
In order to comprehensively research which risks should be and are most regarded as important to consider in a project, academic resources shall be evaluated to decide which influencing factors will pose the highest threat to Brettex’s project. Norris et al (2000) suggests risks can cause serious harm to projects if they are not highlighted and controlled.
The results from figure 8 below will provide the highest risks to the balancing project and therefore be included in the risk assessment:-
Fig.8 – Highest Risk Factors Analysis
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Scope |
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Staffing |
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Technology |
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User Acceptance |
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According to the academic references that were researched to carry out the evaluation above, the four key risks to consider for a project are Budget (5), Cost (4), Legal (4) and Technology (7). Technology was consistently considered amongst the theories appearing in 7 of the 8 literature that was reviewed, proving to be a serious risk to projects. The other three that was identified from the review were not so unanimous but still certainly pertinent for Brettex’s project.
With relevance to Brettex’s project, the common Technology risk is extremely prominent from two perspectives. Firstly, the whole project is intended to advance Brettex’s technological abilities and reliability to broaden their scope for customers, if the new machine is installed and doesn’t achieve significant improvements the project will have failed. The second technology risk aspect is in relation to the complicated process involved in the installation and commissioning of the machine, technology will be required (i.e. cranes, power tools, PLC programming, etc) that is required. Due to the high value item the cost of the whole project is immediately high (see fig.6) which can pose as a severe risk to Brettex, however if the Budget which is now also considered as a main risk to this project is calculated in detail and correctly the cost risk can be accounted for avoiding any surprises. The installation will require legal certificates (electrical testing), and health and safety documentation adhering to. As well as insurance and the transfer of large sums of money, legal risks could certainly play a part in the project if not identified and controlled properly.
As Lock (2013) suggests it is cost beneficial to identify risks at the start of the project as the financial impact of a risk can increase the further a project proceeds. Now that the preferred method of analysing risk has been identified and following the results of the most commonly considered types of risks, in order to acknowledge and attempt to control the potential risks to Brettex’s new balancing machine project a Failure modes and Effect Analysis (FMEA) will be carried out to devise a risk assessment and action plan for the project.
1
Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA)
Key for QRA:
S = Severity of risk, L = Likelihood of risk occurring, D = Detection of risk
Scale of risk = 1 - 5 scale will be used, 5 = high severity, high likelihood of risk occurring, most likely of the risk being detected, 1 = Low.
Risk Priority Number (RPN) = Severity of risk x the likelihood of risk x probability of detection. In order t proceed with the project, for Brettex the RPN must be below 30 before proceeding with the project.
Fig.9 – Quantitative Risk Assessment for Brettex’s New Balancing Machine Project
Adapted from Meredith and Mantel (2011)
|
Identified Risk |
Risk Event |
Effect |
Cause |
S |
L |
D |
RPN |
Control Measure / Mitigation |
After Control Measure |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S |
L |
D |
RPN |
|
Technology |
Undersized / incorrect machine ordered.
|
The new balancing machine cannot and will not be used for servicing the UK’s fleet of Centrifuges and therefore no additional revenue will be created. Effectively meaning the project was a waste of money.
|
The machine that has been selected does not improve Brettex’s capabilities to attract more custom and cannot balance larger Centrifuges as planned. |
5 |
3 |
4 |
60 |
The necessary technical people at Brettex will be required to use their knowledge to investigate and determine what size machine is required. This shall be confirmed before a machine brief is developed. A in depth time will be allowed for to research the available machines and discuss with the suppliers. (See task 10 and 11). |
5 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
|
Technology |
The machine does not work after installation. |
The technical errors during installation mean the project will be delayed and Brettex cannot start charging for the machine until the issues are resolved. |
The machine cannot run until the issues have been resolved with the installation following investigation time. |
3 |
4 |
3 |
36 |
Obtain full installation instructions and requirements (inc power, location/area, protection, etc) from supplier and thoroughly read through them to understand them fully (see technical advice if required). (See task 73). |
3 |
2 |
3 |
18 |
|
Technology |
Undersized crane for delivery of new machine. |
The crane that is there will be charged for, an additional crane will have to be sourced at extra cost, the labour reserved for the installation will not be required until the new crane is sourced and therefore the project will be delayed. |
The machine cannot be off hired/unloaded on the planned date. |
4 |
3 |
3 |
36 |
Ensure the full specification of the machine (weight, size, etc) is given to the crane contractor and confirm their machinery can do the job before providing a purchase order. (See task 83). |
4 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
|
Budget |
Project exceeds the agreed budget allowance. |
The project could be cancelled or delayed until the revised budget can be determined and agreed. The project is complete exceeding the allowance. |
The budget was not correctly devised and did not consider the full costs. The project has not been effectively monitored or controlled allowing costs and time to overrun. |
4 |
4 |
4 |
64 |
All the necessary (Large) costs are obtained and specifically detailed in the budget. The time allowance for install is authorised by the workshop manager. The budget is presented to the operations manager who is allowed time to peruse it. (See task 21, 80 and amendment to 29). |
4 |
2 |
4 |
32 |
|
Budget |
The balancing machine (specifically) causes overspend. |
The project is not delivered on budget and risks being cancelled or delayed. The project is complete exceeding the allowance. |
Did not know the cost of the highest value item in the project before receiving the invoice. |
4 |
2 |
5 |
40 |
Obtain multiple quotations from various suppliers before processing the purchase of the balancing machine. The purchase order (over £25k) will require signing off by a director. (See task 21, 61 and 80). |
4 |
1 |
5 |
20 |
|
Cost |
Undersized / incorrect machine ordered.
|
The project is complete but will not return the company any additional revenue to their current machine, a major cost is occurred to the company caused by the project. |
The machine that has been selected does not improve Brettex’s capabilities to attract more custom and cannot balance larger Centrifuges as planned. |
5 |
3 |
4 |
60 |
The necessary technical people at Brettex will be required to use their knowledge to investigate and determine what size machine is required. This shall be confirmed before a machine brief is developed. A in depth time will be allowed for to research the available machines and discuss with the suppliers. (See task 10 and 11). |
5 |
1 |
4 |
20 |
|
Cost |
The machine is damaged during delivery / unloading. |
The machine requires repairing or replacing for another one causing additional cost. Argument to decide who’s fault the damage was and who will fund the additional costs. This will also delay the project and cause disruption for those planned to assist with the project in the upcoming days/weeks. |
The lift plan was either not correct, adhered to or detailed enough for the delivery / unloading. The discussion amongst the team assisting with offloading the machine were not briefed properly. |
5 |
3 |
3 |
45 |
The specification of the machine needs to be available to the crane company. A lift plan is to be devised by the crane company and discussed, interrogated an confirmed with the project manager. The workshop manager is also to approve the lift plan. Before unloading starts, the project manager is to hold a toolbox talk to advise all involved of the plan and their individual role. (See task 91). |
5 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
|
Budget |
Overspend due to missed training costs |
Causes the costs to be higher than what the project initial was allowed for, potentially no training given due to the additional funds not be granted. Leaves Brettex with a machine they cannot operate. |
Oversite when preparing the budget did not allow for cost of training to be included for required personnel. |
5 |
2 |
3 |
30 |
All the necessary (Large) costs are obtained and specifically detailed in the budget. The time allowance for install is authorised by the workshop manager. The budget is presented to the operations manager who is allowed time to peruse it. (See task 21 and 124 onwards). |
5 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
|
Time |
Project overruns it’s given timescale/completion date. |
Delays the use of the new balancing machine and additional revenue / broader scope to the company. |
Tasks taking longer that had been estimated and allowed for down to: - Poor management and control, more complicated tasks then forecasted. |
4 |
4 |
4 |
64 |
The project plan is to be checked and presented to the operations manager for any unachievable timescales. The technical element (install) shall be checked by the workshop manager. (See task 80). |
4 |
2 |
4 |
32 |
|
Legal |
Supplier not delivering new machine after receiving full PO. (due to closure) |
Brettex have paid for the machine which will not be delivered on time if at all. |
The full invoice has been paid before the machine has been taken delivery of. |
5 |
2 |
2 |
20 |
A contract of purchase is to be agreed between the two parties (supplier and purchaser) including payment terms (30% on drawing approval, 30% on delivery or readiness for delivery, 30% on installation, 10% on commissioning). Also, in the unlikely case of either party closing / declaring bankruptcy. (See task 59). |
5 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
|
Personnel or Resource Allocation |
Over allocated resource. |
Employees could feel demotivated and lose interest with the project causing a failure with the project. |
The team being overworked due to unrealistic time frames and capabilities or poor time management from the project manager. |
3 |
3 |
3 |
27 |
Poor scheduling and unrealistic timescales have been removed from the project plan to allow correct time for all personnel to complete their tasks. (See task 80 and project plan without any resource errors). |
3 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
The severity of a risk remains the same even after the control measure as the risk will impact the project consistently, however the detectability can be reduced once a control measure is in place due to the increased consideration and plan for controlling the risk.
Revised, Final Project Plan
The FMEA analysis above has presented multiple risks relating to the risks that were evaluated during section eight and incorporating others that were not seriously considered originally. The following figure demonstrates the risk priority number (RPN) reduction following the risk assessment.
Fig.10 – RPN Reduction Overview
|
Identified Risk Event |
RPN Pre - Control Measure |
RPN Post – Control Measure |
Reduction Percentage |
|
Undersized / incorrect machine ordered.
|
60 |
25 |
58% |
|
The machine does not work after installation. |
36 |
9 |
75% |
|
Undersized crane for delivery of new machine. |
36 |
12 |
66% |
|
Project exceeds the agreed budget allowance |
64 |
24 |
62% |
|
The balancing machine (specifically) causes overspend |
40 |
20 |
50% |
|
Undersized / incorrect machine ordered.
|
60 |
25 |
58% |
|
The machine is damaged during delivery / unloading. |
45 |
15 |
66% |
|
Project overruns it’s given timescale/completion date. |
64 |
32 |
50% |
|
Supplier not delivering new machine after receiving full PO. (due to closure) |
20 |
10 |
50% |
|
Personnel or Resource Allocation |
27 |
9 |
66% |
|
Overspend due to missed training costs |
30 |
15 |
50% |
In can be seen above that the risk assessment delivered significant risk reduction (percentage), in fact all risks were reduced by at least 50%. In order to achieve the risk reduction that is demonstrated above, the project plan has been adjusted to include the control measures, this can be seen below in figure 11.
Fig.11 – Updated and Final Project Plan for New Balancing Machine
Final and Updated Costs
Following the risk assessment and subsequent amendments to the final plan, the costs of the project have also changed to include tasks and control measures that were missing from the original draft and also purchases that have always been required but missed. Figure 11 below shows the final costs of the project:-
Fig.12 – Updated and Final Costs for New Balancing Machine
It can be seen from the figure above that although the cost of the project has risen from £41K to £45K, all of the costs are now visible and the management team can be comfortable the project will not present any surprises after the revisions. Also, the duration of the project has increased by 2 days, this now includes all of the necessary time for the training, administration and closing meetings that the project requires.
Both of the increases in time and cost may be perceived as a negative, however it is important for the plan to realistically reflect what is required instead of the draft statistics where costs and time would have been missed if revisions were not made. The project would have experienced unforeseen occurrence that could have affected the time and cost more severely than in the final statistics above.
Project Payback Period
According to Pinto (2016), the project payback period is the amount of time it takes for the company’s required investment for the project to be paid back and for it to generate ‘positive cash flow’ for the company. Pinto (2016) goes onto suggest that the payback period must be determined before the decision to initiate the project is made.
In order to calculate the payback period of the new balancing machine at Brettex, the following information has been forecasted using historical statistics from Brettex’s performance of their current balancing machine:-
Fig.13 – Project Payback Period Calculations
|
Project Payback Period Calculation |
||||
|
COST |
Average number of balancing jobs per month |
= 12 |
Average cost per month 12 x £600 £7,200 |
|
|
|
Average cost per balance |
= £600 |
|
|
|
PROFIT
|
Average quotation value for balancing jobs |
= £1,000
|
£1,000 – £600 = £400 profit |
Average profit per month 12 x £400 £4,800 |
|
ANNUAL |
Estimated revenue per month from the new balancing machine = £12,000 = £144,000 revenue per year Estimated profit per month from the new balancing machine = £4,800 = £57,600 profit per year
|
|||
|
PAYBACK |
Total cost of new balancing project = £45,858.06
Project payback period (Time) = £45,858.06 = 9.5 months / 38 weeks / 114 jobs £4,800
|
The project payback period has been presented in three layouts; months, weeks and also number of jobs. The table can easily show the payback period for the investment required from Brettex to achieve the project.
Conclusion
In conclusion, with support from theoretical research and proven theories this document has explored the risks, requirements and benefits of the proposed ‘New Balancing Machine’ Project to provide sufficient information for a decision to be made to proceed with the project or not.
Sections demonstrating the considerations of risk provide an assessment of the possible negative impacts this project could cause, but clear control measures are evident to ensure these risks are reduced. The final section of the report provides clear and specific financial data that simply show the payback implications.
The project’s financial benefit proves the clear choice of project and its suitability for implicating at Brettex.
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Appendices
Appendix A - Brettex Structure Diagram (Brettex, 2017)
Appendix B - Examples of expanding the revised project plan following risk assessment
|
Incorrect Machinery The new machine is not intended to replace or supersede Brettex’s current balancing machine. The purpose of the machine is to upgrade Brettex’s Centrifuge balancing capabilities in relation to the size of asset. The current machine will balance smaller assets and will do so once the new one is installed, however the new machine will allow Brettex to offer customers balancing on their bigger machinery, something they haven’t been able to do before. If the new one is not able to balance larger machinery, essentially the machine is a waste of money. The revision to the plan will include time and resource to detail a ‘machine brief’ which will clearly achieve the intended goal, from that the project manager will not be able to purchase the wrong sized machine.
|
|
Overspend on Budget As it can be seen from the draft project cost to the final project cost, a total of £1,800 was left out which would account for the required training on the new machinery. Without this budget extension, the training may have been denied due to it not appearing in the original budget. |
Appendix C – Draft Plan