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2024CaseStudy1A1B1.xlsx

Assumptions

GENERAL CASE STUDY ASSUMPTIONS:
1 Assume a moderate - sized community with four main hospital systems - 2 private (not-for-profit) one public (university) and one pediatric
2 837,200 total hospital visits per year are split between hospitals
3 Patients are 38% Commercial; 31% Medicare; 23% Medicaid: 9% Self-pay - split differently by hospital
4 We assume different hospitals have different average costs and charges and apply those averages to each of their visits.
5 In 2024, Hospitals earn 50% of charges for commercial; 30% for Medicare; 25% for Medicaid. Exception is pediatric, who earns 80% for commercial.
6 In 2025, Medicare payments reduce per ACA to 28% of charges
7 In 2025, Exchanges will eliminate all but 6300 self-pay visits. Remainder are now split Medicaid/Commercial (50/50)
8 See data tab for additional assumptions and information

Data Inputs

DATA:
2024 Patient visits Commercial Medicare Medicaid Uninsured/Self-pay
Mercy 82,000 104,000 22,000 20,500
St. Sebastian 100,500 100,200 12,500 8,500
Gen. Pediatric 71,000 3,500 112,500 15,000
Gen. University 65,000 46,000 47,500 26,500
Community Total 318,500 253,700 194,500 70,500
2024 Financials Charge/Svc Cost/Svc
Mercy $4,500 $1,500
St. Sebastian $4,650 $1,795
Gen. Pediatric $5,000 $2,100
Gen. University $5,750 $1,875
Payers Reimbursement Percentages
Commercial 50.00%
Commercial Pediatric 80.00%
Exchange 120% 33.60%
Medicare 30.00%
Medicare 2025 28.00%
Medicaid 25.00%
Self-Pay 2.00%
2025 Baseline Patient Visits* Commercial Medicare Medicaid Uninsured/Self-pay
Mercy 82,000 104,000 22,000
St. Sebastian 100,500 100,200 12,500
Gen. Pediatric 71,000 3,500 112,500
Gen. University 65,000 46,000 47,500
Community Total 350,600 253,700 226,600 6,300
*Uninsured/Self-Pay reduces to 6300 total. The reduction of 64,200 is split 50/50 (32,100) between Commercial & Medicaid.
2025 Exchange Patient Visits** %
Commercial 75.00%
Exchange 25.00%
**25% of 2025 Baseline Commercial lives are in Exchange.
2025 Exchange Narrow Network Patient Visits*** %
Narrow Network Partner 75.00%
Non-NN Partners 50.00%
***Health System that agrees to Narrow Network Arrangement gets 75% of total exchange patient visits. Pediatrics maintains same visits and other systems split the remainder 50/50.

Financial Summary

Financial Summary
2024 Projected (baseline)
Services Share Chg/visit Gr. Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%)
Mercy 228,500 27.3% $ 4,500 $ 1,028,250,000 $ 351,495,000 $ 342,750,000 $ 1,500 $ 8,745,000 2.49%
St. Sebastian 221,700 26.5% $ 4,650 $ 1,030,905,000 $ 388,763,250 $ 397,951,500 $ 1,795 $ (9,188,250) -2.36%
General Pediatric 202,000 24.1% $ 5,000 $ 1,010,000,000 $ 431,375,000 $ 424,200,000 $ 2,100 $ 7,175,000 1.66%
General University 185,000 22.1% $ 5,750 $ 1,063,750,000 $ 337,553,750 $ 346,875,000 $ 1,875 $ (9,321,250) -2.76%
Total Community 837,200 100.0% $ 4,937 $ 4,132,905,000 $ 1,509,187,000 $ 1,511,776,500 $ 1,806 $ (2,589,500) -0.17%
Assume all costs are variable Assume all costs are fixed
2025 with exchanges paying 100% of commercial rates
Services Share Chg/visit Gr. Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%) Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%)
Mercy 221,727 26.5% $ 4,500 997,772,073 363,134,396 332,590,691 $ 1,500 $ 30,543,705 8.41%
St. Sebastian 226,151 27.0% $ 4,650 1,051,604,205 404,672,666 405,941,838 $ 1,795 $ (1,269,173) -0.31%
General Pediatric 214,063 25.6% $ 5,000 1,070,314,968 481,490,510 449,532,286 $ 2,100 $ 31,958,224 6.64%
General University 175,258 20.9% $ 5,750 1,007,736,014 359,591,803 328,609,570 $ 1,875 $ 30,982,233 8.62%
Total Community 837,200 100.0% $ 4,930 4,127,427,259 1,608,889,374 1,516,674,385 $ 1,812 $ 92,214,989 5.73%
2025 with exchanges paying 120% of Medicare rates/ same network dist.
Services Share Chg/visit Gr. Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%) Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%)
Mercy 221,727 26.5% $ 4,500 997,772,073 346,480,621 332,590,691 $ 1,500 $ 13,889,930 4.01%
St. Sebastian 226,151 27.0% $ 4,650 1,051,604,205 383,581,269 405,941,838 $ 1,795 $ (22,360,570) -5.83%
General Pediatric 214,063 25.6% $ 5,000 1,070,314,968 436,160,187 449,532,286 $ 2,100 $ (13,372,100) -3.07%
General University 175,258 20.9% $ 5,750 1,007,736,014 342,723,650 328,609,570 $ 1,875 $ 14,114,080 4.12%
Total Community 837,200 100.0% $ 4,930 4,127,427,259 1,508,945,726 1,516,674,385 $ 1,812 $ (7,728,660) -0.51%
2025 with exchanges paying 120% of Medicare rates/ St. Sebastian takes 75% of adult exchange share
Services Share Chg/visit Gr. Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%) Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%)
Mercy
St. Sebastian
General Pediatric
General University
Total Community
2025 with exchanges paying 120% of Medicare rates/ Mercy takes 75% of adult exchange share
Services Share Chg/visit Gr. Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%) Costs Cost/visit Margin Margin (%)
Mercy
St. Sebastian
General Pediatric
General University
Total Community

Current

Current
Mercy
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market
Commercial 82,000 36% $ 4,500 $ 369,000,000 $ 184,500,000 $ 123,000,000 $ 1,500 $ 61,500,000 33.3% 25.7%
Medicare 104,000 46% $ 4,500 $ 468,000,000 $ 140,400,000 $ 156,000,000 $ 1,500 $ (15,600,000) -11.1% 41.0%
Medicaid 22,000 10% $ 4,500 $ 99,000,000 $ 24,750,000 $ 33,000,000 $ 1,500 $ (8,250,000) -33.3% 11.3%
Self-Pay 20,500 9% $ 4,500 $ 92,250,000 $ 1,845,000 $ 30,750,000 $ 1,500 $ (28,905,000) -1566.7% 29.1%
Total 228,500 100% $ 4,500 $ 1,028,250,000 $ 351,495,000 $ 342,750,000 $ 1,500 $ 8,745,000 2.5%
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 100,500 45% $ 4,650 $ 467,325,000 $ 233,662,500 $ 180,397,500 $ 1,795 $ 53,265,000 22.8% 31.6%
Medicare 100,200 45% $ 4,650 $ 465,930,000 $ 139,779,000 $ 179,859,000 $ 1,795 $ (40,080,000) -28.7% 39.5%
Medicaid 12,500 6% $ 4,650 $ 58,125,000 $ 14,531,250 $ 22,437,500 $ 1,795 $ (7,906,250) -54.4% 6.4%
Self-Pay 8,500 4% $ 4,650 $ 39,525,000 $ 790,500 $ 15,257,500 $ 1,795 $ (14,467,000) -1830.1% 12.1%
Total 221,700 100% $ 4,650 $ 1,030,905,000 $ 388,763,250 $ 397,951,500 $ 1,795 $ (9,188,250) -2.4%
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 71,000 35% $ 5,000 $ 355,000,000 $ 284,000,000 $ 149,100,000 $ 2,100 $ 134,900,000 47.5% 22.3%
Medicare 3,500 2% $ 5,000 $ 17,500,000 $ 5,250,000 $ 7,350,000 $ 2,100 $ (2,100,000) -40.0% 1.4%
Medicaid 112,500 56% $ 5,000 $ 562,500,000 $ 140,625,000 $ 236,250,000 $ 2,100 $ (95,625,000) -68.0% 57.8%
Self-Pay 15,000 7% $ 5,000 $ 75,000,000 $ 1,500,000 $ 31,500,000 $ 2,100 $ (30,000,000) -2000.0% 21.3%
Total 202,000 100% $ 5,000 $ 1,010,000,000 $ 431,375,000 $ 424,200,000 $ 2,100 $ 7,175,000 1.7%
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 65,000 35% $ 5,750 $ 373,750,000 $ 186,875,000 $ 121,875,000 $ 1,875 $ 65,000,000 34.8% 20.4%
Medicare 46,000 25% $ 5,750 $ 264,500,000 $ 79,350,000 $ 86,250,000 $ 1,875 $ (6,900,000) -8.7% 18.1%
Medicaid 47,500 26% $ 5,750 $ 273,125,000 $ 68,281,250 $ 89,062,500 $ 1,875 $ (20,781,250) -30.4% 24.4%
Self-Pay 26,500 14% $ 5,750 $ 152,375,000 $ 3,047,500 $ 49,687,500 $ 1,875 $ (46,640,000) -1530.4% 37.6%
Total 185,000 100% $ 5,750 $ 1,063,750,000 $ 337,553,750 $ 346,875,000 $ 1,875 $ (9,321,250) -2.8%
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 318500 38% $ 4,914 $ 1,565,075,000 $ 889,037,500 $ 574,372,500 $ 1,803 $ 314,665,000 35.4%
Medicare 253700 30% $ 4,793 $ 1,215,930,000 $ 364,779,000 $ 429,459,000 $ 1,693 $ (64,680,000) -17.7%
Medicaid 194500 23% $ 5,104 $ 992,750,000 $ 248,187,500 $ 380,750,000 $ 1,958 $ (132,562,500) -53.4%
Self-Pay 70500 8% $ 5,094 $ 359,150,000 $ 7,183,000 $ 127,195,000 $ 1,804 $ (120,012,000) -1670.8%
Total 837,200 100% $ 4,937 $ 4,132,905,000 $ 1,509,187,000 $ 1,511,776,500 $ 1,806 $ (2,589,500) -0.2%

2025Baseline

2025Baseline
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 90,264 41% $ 4,500 $ 406,189,639 $ 203,094,819 $ 135,396,546 $ 1,500 $ 67,698,273 33.3% 25.7% 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Medicare 104,000 47% $ 4,500 $ 468,000,000 $ 131,040,000 $ 156,000,000 $ 1,500 $ (24,960,000) -19.0% 41.0% 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicaid 25,631 12% $ 4,500 $ 115,338,817 $ 28,834,704 $ 38,446,272 $ 1,500 $ (9,611,568) -33.3% 11.3% 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Self-Pay 1,832 1% $ 4,500 $ 8,243,617 $ 164,872 $ 2,747,872 $ 1,500 $ (2,583,000) -1566.7% 29.1% 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Total 221,727 100% $ 4,500 $ 997,772,073 $ 363,134,396 $ 332,590,691 $ 1,500 $ 30,543,705 8.4% 6 Exchanges are paid commercial rates
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 110,629 49% $ 4,650 $ 514,424,317 $ 257,212,159 $ 198,578,849 $ 1,795 $ 58,633,309 22.8% 31.6%
Medicare 100,200 44% $ 4,650 $ 465,930,000 $ 130,460,400 $ 179,859,000 $ 1,795 $ (49,398,600) -37.9% 39.5%
Medicaid 14,563 6% $ 4,650 $ 67,717,866 $ 16,929,467 $ 26,140,553 $ 1,795 $ (9,211,086) -54.4% 6.4%
Self-Pay 760 0% $ 4,650 $ 3,532,021 $ 70,640 $ 1,363,436 $ 1,795 $ (1,292,796) -1830.1% 12.1%
Total 226,151 100% $ 4,650 $ 1,051,604,205 $ 404,672,666 $ 405,941,838 $ 1,795 $ (1,269,173) -0.3%
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 78,156 37% $ 5,000 $ 390,778,650 $ 312,622,920 $ 164,127,033 $ 2,100 $ 148,495,887 47.5% 22.3%
Medicare 3,500 2% $ 5,000 $ 17,500,000 $ 4,900,000 $ 7,350,000 $ 2,100 $ (2,450,000) -50.0% 1.4%
Medicaid 131,067 61% $ 5,000 $ 655,334,190 $ 163,833,548 $ 275,240,360 $ 2,100 $ (111,406,812) -68.0% 57.8%
Self-Pay 1,340 1% $ 5,000 $ 6,702,128 $ 134,043 $ 2,814,894 $ 2,100 $ (2,680,851) -2000.0% 21.3%
Total 214,063 100% $ 5,000 $ 1,070,314,968 $ 481,490,510 $ 449,532,286 $ 2,100 $ 31,958,224 6.6%
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 71,551 41% $ 5,750 $ 411,418,367 $ 205,709,184 $ 134,158,163 $ 1,875 $ 71,551,020 34.8% 20.4%
Medicare 46,000 26% $ 5,750 $ 264,500,000 $ 74,060,000 $ 86,250,000 $ 1,875 $ (12,190,000) -16.5% 18.1%
Medicaid 55,339 32% $ 5,750 $ 318,201,157 $ 79,550,289 $ 103,761,247 $ 1,875 $ (24,210,958) -30.4% 24.4%
Self-Pay 2,368 1% $ 5,750 $ 13,616,489 $ 272,330 $ 4,440,160 $ 1,875 $ (4,167,830) -1530.4% 37.6%
Total 175,258 100% $ 5,750 $ 1,007,736,014 $ 359,591,803 $ 328,609,570 $ 1,875 $ 30,982,233 8.6%
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 350600 42% $ 4,914 $ 1,722,810,973 $ 978,639,082 $ 632,260,592 $ 1,803 $ 346,378,490 35.4%
Medicare 253700 30% $ 4,793 $ 1,215,930,000 $ 340,460,400 $ 429,459,000 $ 1,693 $ (88,998,600) -26.1%
Medicaid 226600 27% $ 5,104 $ 1,156,592,031 $ 289,148,008 $ 443,588,432 $ 1,958 $ (154,440,424) -53.4%
Self-Pay 6300 1% $ 5,094 $ 32,094,255 $ 641,885 $ 11,366,362 $ 1,804 $ (10,724,477) -1670.8%
Total 837,200 100% $ 4,930 $ 4,127,427,259 $ 1,608,889,374 $ 1,516,674,385 $ 1,812 $ 92,214,989 5.7%

2025Exchange

2025Exchange
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 67,698 31% $ 4,500 $ 304,642,229 $ 152,321,115 $ 101,547,410 $ 1,500 $ 50,773,705 33.3% 25.7% 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 22,566 10% $ 4,500 $ 101,547,410 $ 34,119,930 $ 33,849,137 $ 1,500 $ 270,793 0.8% 25.7% 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 104,000 47% $ 4,500 $ 468,000,000 $ 131,040,000 $ 156,000,000 $ 1,500 $ (24,960,000) -19.0% 41.0% 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 25,631 12% $ 4,500 $ 115,338,817 $ 28,834,704 $ 38,446,272 $ 1,500 $ (9,611,568) -33.3% 11.3% 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 1,832 1% $ 4,500 $ 8,243,617 $ 164,872 $ 2,747,872 $ 1,500 $ (2,583,000) -1566.7% 29.1% 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 221,727 100% $ 4,500 $ 997,772,073 $ 346,480,621 $ 332,590,691 $ 1,500 $ 13,889,930 4.0% 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 82,972 37% $ 4,650 $ 385,818,238 $ 192,909,119 $ 148,934,137 $ 1,795 $ 43,974,982 22.8% 31.6%
Exchange 27,657 12% $ 4,650 $ 128,606,079 $ 43,211,643 $ 49,644,712 $ 1,795 $ (6,433,070) -14.9% 31.6%
Medicare 100,200 44% $ 4,650 $ 465,930,000 $ 130,460,400 $ 179,859,000 $ 1,795 $ (49,398,600) -37.9% 39.5%
Medicaid 14,563 6% $ 4,650 $ 67,717,866 $ 16,929,467 $ 26,140,553 $ 1,795 $ (9,211,086) -54.4% 6.4%
Self-Pay 760 0% $ 4,650 $ 3,532,021 $ 70,640 $ 1,363,436 $ 1,795 $ (1,292,796) -1830.1% 12.1%
Total 226,151 100% $ 4,650 $ 1,051,604,205 $ 383,581,269 $ 405,941,838 $ 1,795 $ (22,360,570) -5.8%
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 58,617 27% $ 5,000 $ 293,083,987 $ 234,467,190 $ 123,095,275 $ 2,100 $ 111,371,915 47.5% 22.3%
Exchange 19,539 9% $ 5,000 $ 97,694,662 $ 32,825,407 $ 41,031,758 $ 2,100 $ (8,206,352) -25.0% 22.3%
Medicare 3,500 2% $ 5,000 $ 17,500,000 $ 4,900,000 $ 7,350,000 $ 2,100 $ (2,450,000) -50.0% 1.4%
Medicaid 131,067 61% $ 5,000 $ 655,334,190 $ 163,833,548 $ 275,240,360 $ 2,100 $ (111,406,812) -68.0% 57.8%
Self-Pay 1,340 1% $ 5,000 $ 6,702,128 $ 134,043 $ 2,814,894 $ 2,100 $ (2,680,851) -2000.0% 21.3%
Total 214,063 100% $ 5,000 $ 1,070,314,968 $ 436,160,187 $ 449,532,286 $ 2,100 $ (13,372,100) -3.1%
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 53,663 31% $ 5,750 $ 308,563,776 $ 154,281,888 $ 100,618,622 $ 1,875 $ 53,663,265 34.8% 20.4%
Exchange 17,888 10% $ 5,750 $ 102,854,592 $ 34,559,143 $ 33,539,541 $ 1,875 $ 1,019,602 3.0% 20.4%
Medicare 46,000 26% $ 5,750 $ 264,500,000 $ 74,060,000 $ 86,250,000 $ 1,875 $ (12,190,000) -16.5% 18.1%
Medicaid 55,339 32% $ 5,750 $ 318,201,157 $ 79,550,289 $ 103,761,247 $ 1,875 $ (24,210,958) -30.4% 24.4%
Self-Pay 2,368 1% $ 5,750 $ 13,616,489 $ 272,330 $ 4,440,160 $ 1,875 $ (4,167,830) -1530.4% 37.6%
Total 175,258 100% $ 5,750 $ 1,007,736,014 $ 342,723,650 $ 328,609,570 $ 1,875 $ 14,114,080 4.1%
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial 262950 31% $ 4,914 $ 1,292,108,230 $ 733,979,311 $ 474,195,444 $ 1,803 $ 259,783,867 35.4%
Exchange 87650 10% $ 4,914 $ 430,702,743 $ 144,716,122 $ 158,065,148 $ 1,803 $ (13,349,026) -9.2%
Medicare 253700 30% $ 4,793 $ 1,215,930,000 $ 340,460,400 $ 429,459,000 $ 1,693 $ (88,998,600) -26.1%
Medicaid 226600 27% $ 5,104 $ 1,156,592,031 $ 289,148,008 $ 443,588,432 $ 1,958 $ (154,440,424) -53.4%
Self-Pay 6300 1% $ 5,094 $ 32,094,255 $ 641,885 $ 11,366,362 $ 1,804 $ (10,724,477) -1670.8%
Total 837,200 100% $ 4,930 $ 4,127,427,259 $ 1,508,945,726 $ 1,516,674,385 $ 1,812 $ (7,728,660) -0.5%

2025ExchangeSS75

2025Exchange - St. Sebastian 75%
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
8 St. Sebastian takes 75% of exchange visits; Ped takes same; others split the rest
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total

2025ExchangeMercy75

2025Exchange - Mercy 75%
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
8 Mercy takes 75% of exchange visits; Ped takes same; others split the rest
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total

2025BaselineFixed

2025BaselineFixed
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Medicare 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicaid 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Self-Pay 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Total 6 Exchanges are paid commercial rates
7 Costs for each hospital are fixed overall
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total

2025ExchangeFixed

2025ExchangeFixed
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
8 Costs for each hospital are fixed overall
St. Sebastian Healthcare
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total

2025ExchangeSS75Fixed

2025Exchange - St. Sebastian 75% Fixed
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
8 St. Sebastian takes 75% of exchange visits; Ped takes same; others split the rest
St. Sebastian Healthcare 9 Costs for each hospital are fixed overall
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total

2025ExchangeMercy75Fixed

2025Exchange - Mercy 75% Fixed
Mercy Assumptions:
Mercy Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%) % of market 1 Regional Self Pay goes from 70,500 to 6,300 visits
Commercial 2 Remaining Self-pay volume goes to Medicaid (32,100) and Commercial(32,100)
Exchange 3 That volume shifts to hospitals accordning to previous year's share of Mediacid/Comm'l
Medicare 4 Hospitals have same cost structure and % market share by payer class
Medicaid 5 Medicare reimbursement is lower as DSH and other initiatives take hold
Self-Pay 6 Exchanges are paid at 120% of Medicare rates
Total 7 25% of commercial lives in the exchanges
8 Mercy takes 75% of exchange visits; Ped takes same; others split the rest
St. Sebastian Healthcare 9 Costs for each hospital are fixed overall
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General Pediatric Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
General University Hospital
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total
Total Community
Pt. Visits % of visits Chg/Svc Gross Rev Net Rev Costs Cost/Svc Margin Margin (%)
Commercial
Exchange
Medicare
Medicaid
Self-Pay
Total