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20171117014621under_armour_project4.xlsx

Introduction

Financial Statement Analysis & Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman (2012)
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Introduction
This roadmap leads you through the steps to create a valuation tool. With this tool you will be able to reformulate financial statements in a spreadsheet program, analyze the financial statements using the techniques in the book, forecast pro forma financial statements, and value firms from those pro forma financial statements. In the end you will have a valuable tool to carry with you into your professional life and to use for your own personal investing.
Use the tool for:
Reformulating financial statements (as in Chapters 8-11)
Analyzing financial statements (as in Chapters 12-13)
Forecasting and valuation (as in Chapters 14-16)
Reverse Engineering (Chapter 7, 19)
You will find that building your own analysis product is very satisfying. It will help you grasp the concepts behind the analysis, for the concepts come to life as you make them work for you in practice. And you will discover the points where your understanding is weak. Off-the-shelf spreadsheet programs that you can use at the press of a button are available but pressing buttons is dangerous if you are not sure about what is going on inside the program. Better to develop your own model, following sound principles, and so be assured of the integrity of the product.
Once you have followed the roadmap here, think of adding your own bells and whistles. You can customize the tool for particular industries. You can add a quality of earnings analysis (as in Chapter 17). You can utilize spreadsheets features for scenario planning and risk analysis (as in Chapter 18). And you can add a credit analysis (as in Chapter 19).
Please note that the numbers presented in this spreadshhet might not be exactly same as those on the textbook mainly because of rounding difference.

The Roadmap

Financial Statement Analysis & Security Valuation Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
The roadmap: steps for building the product
Chapter 8 gives the form of the financial statements you should work with and the accounting relations that tie the various parts of the statements together. So read this chapter before beginning.
Start with reformulation of the financial statements within a spreadsheet, following the design in the book. Then carry out the financial statement analysis to identify the relevant drivers for forecasting. Next forecast future financial statements and develop a valuation from the forecasts.
Work with the textbook beside you. The most relevant part of the text is Chapter 7 to Chapter 16, where financial statement analysis and valuation are covered in detail. Nike Inc. serves as an example of the application techniques described in the chapters. This case utilizes Nike's financials for 2000-2010.
The steps:
1. Download financial statements
2. Reformulate financial statements
Statements of shareholders' equity
Income statements
Balance sheets
Statements of cash flows
3. Financial statement analysis
Ratios based on reformulated financial statements
Analysis of profitability
Analysis of growth
Common size and trend analysis

1. Downloading Statements

Financial Statement Analysis & Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 1: Download Financial Statements
The US Securities and Exchange Commission's Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis and Retrieval (SEC EDGAR) system provides electronic access to companies' financial reports. Access a company through EDGAR at http://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/companysearch.html Several more intelligent interfaces to the EDGAR database have been developed, which enable the downloading of the individual financial statements directly to a spreadsheet program like Microsoft Excel. Three of these are:
1. EDGARscan developed by PricewaterhouseCoopers at http://edgarscan.pwcglobal.com;
2. 10k Wizard at http://www.10kwizard.com;
3. Edgar Online at http://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/companysearch.html
These sites require subscriptions, however.
All these websites allow searches for companies using either company name or its ticker. You can then select the reports you need. Most of the time, you need the annual 10K reports that contain annual financial statements. You can find the financial statements within the annual 10K reports and will see instructions on how to extract them into Excel files. As each annual report contains financial statements for the year and one or two years before, you will need to go back to another annual reports of the company to get financial statements for a longer period. Individual spreadsheet files can then be merged into the format you like.

2. Reformulation

Financial Statement Analysis & Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
Analysis begins with the reformulation of financial statements. Reformulation readies the statements for analysis within a spreadsheet. The aim is to:
Separate operating and financing items in the statements
Bring additional information into the statements from footnotes and elsewhere. The financial statements aggregate a lot of information (particularly the income statements). Break down the aggregation to give more detail.
Allocate taxes in the income statement to operating and financing activities
Distinguish different components of income such as core operating income from sales, other core operating income, and unusual items
Before beginning, make sure you understand the reformulation template in Chapter 8 of the book. Chapters 8-11 cover the rules and principles for reformulation.
Spreadsheet programs like Excel allows you to use either the simple copy-and-paste method or the formula method to manipulate the financial statements when doing the reformulation.
In the next section, the reformulated statements of shareholders' equity, balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements for Nike Inc. for 2000-2010 are given next to the original statements. Note the following points on the reformulation:
(a) Unearned stock compensation that arose from issuing shares to employees in fiscal year 2004 is an operating asset, so is moved from the statement of shareholders' equity to the balance sheet. This is like prepaid wages and is amortized to the income statement over a service period.
(b) Cash and cash equivalents in the balance sheets are split between a portion for operating needs and investment of excess cash in financial assets
(c) Some additional expense items have been added to the income statements from the footnotes.
(d) Core and unusual operating items have been distinguished in the income statements.
(e) The tax allocation in the income statements involves not only allocating taxes between operating and financing activities but also between core operating income and the restructuring charges. Note that foreign currency translation gains and losses are already after tax.

3. Summary of steps

Financial Statement Analysis & Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Summary of reformulation steps
1. Statement of Shareholders' Equity
1) Restate beginning and ending balances for items incorrectly included in or excluded from common equity
-Preferred stock (take out from SE and include in "financial liabilities" in B/S).
+Dividends payable (take out from "accrued liabilities" in B/S and include in SE)
- Noncontrolling interest
2) Calculate net transactions with shareholders
= Cash dividends +share repurchases - share issues
(Cash dividends = dividends declared - change in dividends payable)
3) Calculate comprehensive income
= Net income +"other comprehensive income"
-Earnings from accounting changes
-Preferred dividends
-Hidden dirty-surplus losses
2. Balance Sheet
1) Classify GAAP assets and liabilities accounts into 4 categories: OA, FA, OL, FL
2) Regroup accounts under NOA (OA, OL) and NFA (FA, FL)
3) Refer to comments in the NIKE example to make adjustments for specific accounts

Statement of SE (Ch.9)

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
2.1. Reformulation of the Statement of Shareholders' Equity
Under Armour (UAA). STATEMENT OF SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
(in thousands)
COMMON STOCK CAPITAL IN EXCESS OF STATED VALUE UNEARNED STOCK COMPENSATION
Author: Contra-equity account, which should be instead accounted for as an asset, as a kind of prepaid compensation expense.
ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME RETAINED EARNINGS TOTAL
CLASS A CLASS B CLASS C Adjustments to equity: A check
Author: Three adjustments to beginning and ending balance of shareholders' equity. 1) Dividends payable - take out from other liabilities, and add to the shareholders' equity 2) Stock compensation (before 2006, "unearned compensation"; after 2006, "stock compensation expense", but adjust this only to the end of 2008 balance due to complications from accounting rule change) - take out (or make opposite adjustment) from shareholders' equity. In pre-2006, include it in "prepaid expense" (opposite sign from the original amount). For post-2006, include in other liabilities (same sign as the original amount) 3) Preferred stock - take out from shareholders' equity and add to financial liabilities
in millions SHARES AMOUNT SHARES AMOUNT SHARES AMOUNT Dividends payable
Author: Take out from Accrued Liabilities, because it is not truly a liability in the stockholders' perspective. Instead, add this amount to the balances of shareholders' equity. This amount should come from Accrued Liabilities notes. This information is not always available, in which case, safe to assume that the amount is immaterial
Stock compensation
Author: Deduct from shareholders' equity because this is an asset (prepaid expense) for shareholders.
Adjusted equity balance
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2009 156,487.0 52.0 47,500.0 15.0 -0 -0 197,291.0 (14.0) 464.0 202,188.0 399,996.0 Balance at December 31, 2009 399,996.0 0 14.0 400,010.0
Stock options exercised 1,598.0 1.0 6,104.0 6,105.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock -0 Stock issues for stock options 6,105.0
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 20,811.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (38.0) 19,653.0 14.0 (644.0) 19,023.0 Common dividends -0 26,916.0
Amortization of unearned compensation -0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 265.0 1,788.0 1,788.0 Net income reported 68,477.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) 1,577.0
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) -0
Net income 68,477.0 68,477.0 Loss on option exercise -0
Foreign currency translation 1,577.0 1,577.0 Tax benefit -0 -0 70,054.0
Adjustment for fair value of hedge derivatives -0
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 1,577.0 68,477.0 70,054.0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2010 158,312.0 53.0 47,500.0 15.0 -0 -0 224,836.0 -0 2,041.0 270,021.0 496,966.0 Balance at December 31, 2010 496,966.0 0 -0 496,966.0
Stock options exercised 1,126.0 12,853.0 12,853.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock 2,500.0 1.0 (2,500.0) (1.0) -0 Stock issues for stock options 12,853.0
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 29,707.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (23.0) 28,442.0 (776.0) 27,666.0 Common dividends -0 42,560.0
Amortization of unearned compensation -0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 69.0 2,041.0 2,041.0 Net income reported 96,919.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) (13.0)
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) -0
Net income 96,919.0 96,919.0 Loss on option exercise -0
Foreign currency translation (13.0) (13.0) Tax benefit -0 -0 96,906.0
Adjustment for fair value of hedge derivatives -0
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 (13.0) 96,919.0 96,906.0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2011 161,984.0 54.0 45,000.0 14.0 268,172.0 -0 2,028.0 366,164.0 636,432.0 Balance at December 31, 2011 636,432.0 0 -0 636,432.0
Stock options exercised 2,436.0 2.0 12,370.0 12,372.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock 2,400.0 (2,400.0) -0 Stock issues for stock options 12,372.0
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 39,000.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (76.0) (1,761.0) (1,761.0) Common dividends -0 51,372.0
Stock-based compensation 37,515.0 37,515.0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 178.0 3,246.0 3,246.0 Net income reported 128,778.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) 423.0
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) (83.0)
Net income 128,778.0 128,778.0 Loss on option exercise -0
Foreign currency translation 423.0 423.0 Tax benefit -0 -0 129,118.0
Adjustment for fair value of hedge derivatives -0
Reclassification to net income of previously deferred gains related to hedge derivatives (83.0) (83.0)
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 340.0 128,778.0 129,118.0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2012 166,922.0 56.0 42,600.0 14.0 321,303.0 -0 2,368.0 493,181.0 816,922.0 Balance at December 31, 2012 816,922.0 0 -0 816,922.0
Stock options exercised 1,822.0 12,159.0 12,159.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock 2,600.0 1.0 (2,600.0) (1.0) -0 Stock issues for stock options 40,886.4
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 1,770.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (47.0) (1,669.0) (1,669.0) Common dividends -0 42,656.4
Stock-based compensation 60,347.0 60,347.0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 332.0 3,439.0 3,439.0 Net income reported 162,330.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) (897.0)
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) 723.0
Net income 162,330.0 162,330.0 Adjustment for Accounting Changes -0
Foreign currency translation (897.0) (897.0) Loss on option exercise (45,890.4)
Adjustment for fair value of hedge derivatives -0 Tax benefit 17,163.0
Reclassification to net income of previously deferred gains related to hedge derivatives 723.0 723.0 Loss on option exercise (after-tax) (28,727.4)
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 (174.0) 162,330.0 162,156.0 stock-based compensation 60,347.0 31,619.6 193,775.6
Adoption of FAS 158 -0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2013 171,629.0 57.0 40,000.0 13.0 211,629.0 70.0 397,248.0 -0 2,194.0 653,842.0 1,053,354.0 Balance at December 31, 2013 1,053,354.0 0 -0 1,053,354.0
Stock options exercised 1,454.0 1.0 1,454.0 1.0 11,257.0 11,259.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock 3,400.0 1.0 (3,400.0) (1.0) -0 Stock issues for stock options 69,564.6
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 6,870.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (95.0) (95.0) (5,197.0) (5,197.0) Common dividends -0 76,434.6
Stock-based compensation 87,777.0 87,777.0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 908.0 908.0 12,067.0 12,067.0 Net income reported 208,042.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) (17,002.0)
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) -0
Net income 208,042.0 208,042.0 Adjustment for Accounting Changes -0
Foreign currency translation (16,743.0) (16,743.0) Loss on option exercise (95,270.6)
Realized foreign currency translation gain due to divestiture (259.0) (259.0) Tax benefit 36,965.0
Net loss on cash flow hedges -0 Loss on option exercise (after-tax) (58,305.6)
Net loss on net investment hedges -0 stock-based compensation 87,777.0 29,471.4 220,511.4
Reclassification to net income of previously deferred gains related to hedge derivatives -0
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 (17,002.0) 208,042.0 191,040.0
Adoption of FIN 48
Adoption of EITF 06-2 Sabbaticals
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2014 177,296.0 59.0 36,600.0 12.0 213,896.0 71.0 508,349.0 -0 (14,808.0) 856,687.0 1,350,300.0 Balance at December 31, 2014 1,350,300.0 0 -0 1,350,300.0
Stock options exercised 360.0 360.0 2,852.0 2,852.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B Common Stock 2,150.0 1.0 (2,150.0) (1.0) -0 Stock issues for stock options 77,136.6
Repurchase of Class B Common -0 Stock issued to employee 6,409.0
Dividends on Common Stock -0 Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (172.0) (172.0) (12,727.0) (12,727.0) Common dividends -0 83,545.6
Stock-based compensation 106,293.0 106,293.0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 1,996.0 1.0 1,996.0 1.0 19,134.0 19,136.0 Net income reported 232,573.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) (31,816.0)
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) 1,611.0
Net income 232,573.0 232,573.0 Loss on option exercise (120,201.6)
Foreign currency translation (31,816.0) (31,816.0) Tax benefit 45,917.0
Net loss on cash flow hedges 1,611.0 1,611.0 Loss on option exercise (after-tax) (74,284.6)
Net loss on net investment hedges -0 stock-based compensation 106,293.0 32,008.4 234,376.4
Reclassification to net income of previously deferred gains related to hedge derivatives -0
Comprehensive Income -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 (30,205.0) 232,573.0 202,368.0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2015 181,630.0 61.0 34,450.0 11.0 216,080.0 72.0 636,628.0 -0 (45,013.0) 1,076,533.0 1,668,222.0 Balance at December 31, 2015 1,668,222.0 0 -0 1,668,222.0
Stock options exercised 792.0 971.0 6,203.0 6,203.0 Transactions with Shareholders
Conversion to Class B & Common Stock -0 Stock issues for stock options 81,160.6
Repurchase of Class B & Common -0 Stock issued to employee 18,621.0
Dividends on Common Stock 1,547.0 56,073.0 (59,000.0) (2,927.0) Stock repurchases -0
Issuance of shares to employees (199.0) (276.0) (15,098.0) (15,098.0) Common dividends (2,927.0) 96,854.6
Stock-based compensation 90,932.0 90,932.0 Comprehensive income
Forfeiture of shares from employees 1,592.0 1,852.0 1.0 33,718.0 33,719.0 Net income reported 256,979.0
-0 Net translation gain (loss) (16,214.0)
Comprehensive Income: -0 Net hedging gain (loss) 9,084.0
Net income 256,979.0 256,979.0 Loss on option exercise (119,740.6)
Foreign currency translation (16,214.0) (16,214.0) Tax benefit 44,783.0
Net loss on cash flow hedges 9,084.0 9,084.0 Loss on option exercise (after-tax) (74,957.6)
Net loss on net investment hedges -0 stock-based compensation 90,932.0 15,974.4 265,823.4
Reclassification to net income of previously deferred gains related to hedge derivatives -0
Reclassification of ineffective hedge gains to net income -0
Comprehensive Income (7,130.0) 256,979.0 249,849.0
BALANCE AT DECEMBER 31, 2016 183,815.0 61.0 34,450.0 11.0 220,174.0 73.0 823,554.0 -0 (52,143.0) 1,259,414.0 2,030,900.0 Balance at December 31, 2016 2,030,900.0 0 -0 2,030,900.0
Note:
Marginal tax rates derived based on the income tax footnotes to the income statements are:
Fiscal year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Marginal tax rate (from 10k footnote) 37.40% 38.20% 38.8% 37.4% 37.1% 39.1% 36.2%

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Balance Sheet (Ch. 10)

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
2.2. Reformulation of Balance Sheets
Under Armour (UAA). BALANCE SHEET Under Armour (UAA). REFORMULATED BALANCE SHEETS
(in thousands) (in thousands)
CLASSIFICATION 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
ASSETS Net operating assets (NOA):
Current Assets: Operating assets
Cash and equivalents OA & FA $250,470 $129,852 $593,175 $347,489 $341,841 $175,384 $203,870 Cash and equivalents
Author: Operating cash is estimated at 0.5% of sales.
$24,127 $19,817 $15,422 $11,660 $9,175 $7,363 $5,320
Short-term investments FA -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts $622,685 $433,638 $332,333 $248,329 $198,575 $150,227 $117,299
Accounts receivable, net OA 622,685 433,638 332,333 248,329 198,575 150,227 117,299 Inventories $917,491 $783,031 $536,714 $469,006 $319,286 $324,409 $215,355
Inventories OA 917,491 783,031 536,714 469,006 319,286 324,409 215,355 Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Author: Unearned compensation was deducted from shareholders' equity, and was included in prepaid expenses, because this is actually an asset for shareholders
$174,507 $152,242 $87,177 $63,987 $43,896 $39,643 $19,326
Deferred income taxes OA -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 Property, plant and equipment, net $804,211 $538,531 $305,564 $223,952 $180,850 $159,135 $76,127
Income taxes receivable OA -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 Goodwill $563,591 $585,181 $123,256 $122,244 $0 $0 $0
Prepaid expenses and other current assets OA 174,507 152,242 87,177 63,987 43,896 39,643 19,326 Identifiable intangible assets $64,310 $75,686 $26,230 $24,097 $4,483 $5,535 $3,914
Total current assets 1,965,153 1,498,763 1,549,399 1,128,811 903,598 6,351 5,529 Deferred income taxes and other assets $247,066 $167,809 $90,634 $78,637 $68,152 $64,877 $39,487
Property, plant and equipment, net OA 804,211 538,531 305,564 223,952 180,850 159,135 76,127 Total operating assets $3,417,988 $2,755,935 $1,517,330 $1,241,912 $824,417 $751,189 $476,828
Goodwill OA 563,591 585,181 123,256 122,244 0 0 0 Operating liabilities
Identifiable intangible assets OA 64,310 75,686 26,230 24,097 4,483 5,535 3,914 Accounts payable - non-interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
$408,839 $199,712 $209,650 $164,640 $142,839 $100,020 $83,836
Deferred income taxes and other assets OA 247,066 167,809 90,634 78,637 68,152 64,877 39,487 Accrued liabilities
Author: Exclude dividends payable.
$249,137 $236,350 $182,244 $156,202 $99,407 $76,198 $57,603
Total assets 3,644,331 2,865,970 2,095,083 1,577,741 1,157,083 235,898 125,057 Income taxes payable $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY Deferred income taxes and other liabilities $137,227 $94,868 $67,906 $49,806 $35,176 $28,329 $20,188
Current Liabilities: Total operating liabilities $795,203 $530,930 $459,800 $370,648 $277,422 $204,547 $161,627
Current portion of long-term debt FL 27,000 42,000 28,951 104,972 9,132 6,882 6,865 Net operating assets (NOA): $2,622,785 $2,225,005 $1,057,530 $871,264 $546,995 $546,643 $315,200
Notes payable FL -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
Accounts payable OL 409,679 200,460 210,432 165,456 143,689 100,527 84,679 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO):
Accrued liabilities & Other Liabilities OL 249,137 236,350 182,244 156,202 99,407 76,198 57,603 Financial assets
Income taxes payable OL -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 Cash equivalent $226,343 $110,035 $577,753 $335,829 $332,666 $168,021 $198,550
Total current liabilities 685,816 478,810 421,627 426,630 252,228 183,607 149,147 Short-term investments $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Long-term debt FL 790,388 624,070 255,250 47,951 52,757 70,842 9,077 Total financial assets $226,343 $110,035 $577,753 $335,829 $332,666 $168,021 $198,550
Deferred income taxes and other liabilities OL 137,227 94,868 67,906 49,806 35,176 28,329 20,188 Financial liabilities
Redeemable Preferred Stock FL -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 Current portion of long-term debt $27,000 $42,000 $28,951 $104,972 $9,132 $6,882 $6,865
Shareholders' Equity: Notes payable $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Common Stock at stated value: Accounts payable - interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
$840 $748 $782 $816 $850 $508 $843
Class A convertible 61 61 59 57 28 27 13 Long-term debt $790,388 $624,070 $255,250 $47,951 $52,757 $70,842 $9,077
Class B 11 11 12 13 7 7 4 Redeemable Preferred Stock $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Class C common stock 73 72 0 0 0 0 0 Total financial liabilities $818,228 $666,818 $284,983 $153,739 $62,739 $78,232 $16,785
Capital in excess of stated value 823,484 636,558 508,350 397,248 321,338 268,206 224,887 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) ($591,885) ($556,783) $292,770 $182,090 $269,927 $89,789 $181,766
Unearned stock compensation OA
Accumulated other comprehensive income (52,143) (45,013) (14,808) 2,194 2,368 2,028 2,041 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) $2,030,900 $1,668,222 $1,350,300 $1,053,354 $816,922 $636,432 $496,966
Retained earnings 1,259,414 1,076,533 856,687 653,842 493,181 366,164 270,021
Total shareholders' equity CSE 2,030,900.0 1,668,222 1,350,300 1,053,354 816,922 636,432 496,966
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 3,644,331 2,865,970 2,095,083 1,577,741 1,157,083 919,210 675,378

Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation: Roadmap Stephen H. Penman 2001

Income Statement (Ch. 10)

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
2.3. Reformulation of Income Statements
Under Armour (UAA). INCOME STATEMENTS Under Armour (UAA). REFORMULATED INCOME STATEMENTS
(in thousands, except per share data) (in thousands)
for the year ended 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31 for the year ended 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
Revenues $4,825,335 $3,963,313 $3,084,370 $2,332,051 $1,834,921 $1,472,684 $1,063,927 Operating revenue 4,825,335 3,963,313 3,084,370 2,332,051 1,834,921 1,472,684 1,063,927
Costs and expenses: Cost of sales 2,584,724 2,057,766 1,572,164 1,195,381 955,624 759,848 533,420
Cost of sales $2,584,724 $2,057,766 $1,572,164 1,195,381 955,624 759,848 533,420 Gross margin 2,240,611 1,905,547 1,512,206 1,136,670 879,297 712,836 530,507
Selling and administrative 1,823,140 1,497,000 1,158,252 871,572 670,602 550,069 418,152 Operating expenses
Interest expense, net 26,434 14,628 5,334 2,933 5,183 3,841 2,258 Administrative expenses
Author: Derived through adjusting "selling and administrative expenses" and "other income/expense" in published income statements.
1,820,770 1,494,637 1,155,935 869,650 668,852 548,459 416,762
Other income/expense, net 2,755 7,234 6,410 1,172 73 2,064 1,178 Advertising
Author: Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements.
2,356 2,351 2,308 1,912 1,740 1,601 1,378
Amortization of identifiable intangibles
Author: 1. Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements. 2. For years before 2001, the amount represents amortization expense of all intangible assets and goodwill.
14 12 9 10 10 9 12
Intangable and other asset impairment Other expense, net 2,755 7,234 6,471 1,172 73 2,064 1,178
Goodwill Impairment Total operating expenses 1,825,895 1,504,234 1,164,723 872,744 670,675 552,133 419,330
Restructuring charge, net Core operating income (before tax) 414,716 401,313 347,483 263,926 208,622 160,703 111,177
Total costs and expenses 4,437,053.0 3,576,628 2,742,160 2,071,058 1,631,482 1,315,822 955,008 Tax on operating income
Income before income taxes and cumulative effect accounting change 388,282 386,685 342,210 260,993 203,439 156,862 108,919 Tax as reported 131,303.0 154,112.0 134,168.0 98,663.0 74,661.0 59,943.0 40,442.0
Income taxes 131,303 154,112 134,168 98,663 74,661 59,943 40,442 Tax on other operating income -0 -0 (23.8) -0 -0 -0 -0
Income before cumulative effect of accounting change 256,979 232,573 208,042 162,330 128,778 96,919 68,477 Tax benefit from net interest expenses 8,934.7 5,836.6 2,090.9 1,108.7 1,902.2 1,467.3 837.7
Cumulative effect of accounting change, net of income taxes Total tax on operating income 140,237.7 159,948.6 136,235.2 99,771.7 76,563.2 61,410.3 41,279.7
Net income 256,979 232,573 208,042 162,330 128,778 96,919 68,477 Core operating income (after tax) 274,478.3 241,364.4 211,248.2 164,154.3 132,058.8 99,292.7 69,897.3
Basic earnings per common share 1.17 1.08 1.0 1.54 1.23 1.88 1.35 Other operating income (expense) (before tax)
Diluted earnings per common share 1.16 1.06 0.9 1.50 1.21 1.85 1.34 Gains on divestitures 60.6
Impairment -0
Restructuring charge, net -0
-0 Tax on other operating income -0 (23.8)
-0 36.8
Other operating income (expense) (after tax)
Currency translation gains (loss) (16,214.0) (31,816.0) (17,002.0) (897.0) 423.0 (13.0) 1,577.0
Net hedging gain (loss) 9,084.0 1,611.0 -0 723.0 (83.0) -0 -0
Adjustment for Accounting Changes -0 -0
Effect of stock option exercise 15,974.4 32,008.4 29,471.4 31,619.6 -0 -0 -0
Total other operating income (expense) 8,844.4 1,803.4 12,506.2 31,445.6 340.0 (13.0) 1,577.0
Operating income after tax 283,322.7 243,167.9 223,754.5 195,600.0 132,398.8 99,279.7 71,474.3
Financial income (NFE)
Interest expense (26692) (14792) (5526) (2957) (5208) (3871) (2307)
Interest income
Author: Interest income is netted against interest expense in the GAAP statements.
258 164 192 24 25 30 49
Net interest Income (expense) before tax (26434) (14628) (5334) (2933) (5183) (3841) (2258)
Tax benefit of debt 8,935 5,837 2,091 1,109 1,902 1,467 838
Net financial income (expense) (17,499) (8,791) (3,243) (1,824) (3,281) (2,374) (1,420)
Comprehensive income (available to common) 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Note:
Marginal tax rates derived based on the income tax footnotes to the income statements are:
Fiscal year 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Marginal tax rate (from 10k footnote) 33.80% 39.90% 39.2% 37.8% 36.7% 38.2% 37.1%

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Cash Flows Statement (Ch. 11)

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
2.4. Reformulation of the Statement of Cash Flows
Under Armour (UAA). STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS Under Armour (UAA): Calculation of Free Cash Flow Using Reformulated Statements
in thousands
Year ended December 31, 2016
year ended 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
Cash provided (used) by operations: Method 1:
Net income $256,979 $232,573 $208,042 $162,330 $128,778 96,919 $68,477 C - I = OI - change in NOA
Income charges (credits) not affecting cash:
Cumulative effect of accounting change -0 -0 -0 $0 Operating income, 2010 283,322.7
Depreciation & amortization 144,770 100,940 72,093 50,549 43,082 36,301 $31,321 NOA, 2010 2,622,784.7
Stock-based compensation 46,149 60,376 50,812 43,184 19,845 18,063 $16,227
Unrealized foreign currency exchange rate losses 12,627 33,359 11,739 1,905 (2,464) 4,027 $1,280 NOA, 2009 2,225,004.6 397,780.1
Loss on disposal of property and equipmentt 1,580 549 261 332 524 36 $44
Deferred income taxes (43,004) (4,426) (17,584) (18,832) (12,973) 3,620 ($10,337)
Change in reserves and allowances 70,188 40,391 31,350 13,945 13,916 5,536 $2,322 Free cash flow (114,457.4)
Income tax benefit from exercise of stock options -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0 -0
Changes in certain working capital components:
Increase in inventories (148,055) (278,524) (84,658) (156,900) 4,699 (117,946) ($65,239)
Decrease (increase) in accounts receivable (249,853) (191,876) (101,057) (35,960) (53,433) (33,923) ($32,320) Method 2:
Decrease (increase) in other current assets and income taxes receivable (25,284) (76,476) (33,345) (19,049) (4,060) (42,633) ($4,099) C - I = NFE + Change in NFA + d
(Decrease) increase in accounts payable, accrued liabilities and income taxes payable 238,390 39,010 81,380 78,566 61,847 45,218 $42,438
Cash provided by operations 304,487 (44,104) 219,033 120,070.0 199,761.0 15,218 50,114 NFE, 2016 17,499.3
Cash provided (used) by investing activities: NFA, 2016 (591,884.7)
Purchases of short-term investments 6,482 (6,534) -0 (1,700.0) -0 -0 -0 NFA, 2015 (556,782.6) (35,102.1)
Maturities of short-term investments Net dividend, 2016 (96,854.6)
Additions to property, plant and equipment (386,746) (298,928) (140,528) (87,830) (50,650) (60,090) (41,307)
Disposals of property, plant and equipment Free cash flow (114,457.4)
Increase in other assets (875) (2,553) (860) (475) (1,310) (1,153) (478)
Increase (decrease) in other liabilities
Settlement of net investment hedges
Acquisition of subsidiary, net of cash acquired -0 (539,460) (10,924) (148,097) 5,029 (28,193) -0
Proceeds from divesture
Cash used by investing activities (381,139) (847,475) (152,312) (238,102) (46,931) (89,436) (41,785)
Cash provided (used) by financing activities:
Additions to long-term debt 1,327,601 650,000 250,000 100,000 -0 30,000
Reductions in long-term debt including current portion (1,170,750) (265,202) (118,722) (5,471) (19,330) (6,774) (4,184.0)
(Decrease) increase in notes payable (6,692) (947) (1,713) -0 (1,017) (2,324) (97.0)
Proceeds from exercise of options and other stock issuances 15,485 10,310 15,776 15,103 14,776 14,645 7,335.0
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements 44,783 45,917 36,965 17,163 17,868 10,260 4,189.0
Repurchase of stock (1,505) -0 -0 -0 -0
Dividends--common and preferred (2,927) -0 -0
Cash (used) provided by financing activities 205,995 440,078 182,306 126,795 12,297 45,807 7,243
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash (8,725) (11,822) (3,341) (3,115) 1,330 (75) 1,001
Net (decrease) increase in cash and equivalents 120,618 (463,323) 245,686 5,648 166,457 (28,486) 16,573
Cash and equivalents, beginning of year 129,852 593,175 347,489 341,841 175,384 203,870 187,297
Cash and equivalents, end of year 250,470 129,852 593,175 347,489 341,841 175,384 203,870
Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information:
Cash paid during the year for:
Interest (net of amount capitalized) $21,412 $11,176 $4,146 $1,505 $3,306 $2,305 $992.0
Income taxes $135,969 $99,708 $103,284 $85,570 $57,739 $56,940 38,773.0
Non-cash investing and financing activity:
Assumption of long-term debt to acquire property, plant, and equipment ($39,100) $23,389 $16,155 $3,786 $12,137 $38,713 $2,992.0

Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation: Roadmap Stephen H. Penman 2001

Reformulation Checks

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 2: Reformulation
2.5. Reformulation Check
FYE 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
Comprehensive income
Ref stmt of shareholders equity 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Income statement 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Difference 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Comprehensive income
GAAP net income 256,979.0 232,573.0 208,042.0 162,330.0 128,778.0 96,919.0 68,477.0
Dirty-surplus items 8,844.4 1,803.4 12,469.4 31,445.6 340.0 (13.0) 1,577.0
Adjusted GAAP Net Income 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Income Statement 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Difference 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ending CSE
Ref stmt of shareholders equity 2,030,900.0 1,668,222.0 1,350,300.0 1,053,354.0 816,922.0 636,432.0 496,966.0
Balance sheet 2,030,900.0 1,668,222.0 1,350,300.0 1,053,354.0 816,922.0 636,432.0 496,966.0
Difference 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Profitability and Growth

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 3: Financial Statement Analysis
3.1 Analysis of Profitability and Growth
Under Armour, year ended December 31, 2016
A systematic analysis of profitability
Summary measure ROCE RNOA
14.37% 11.69%
First level breakdown RNOA+[FLEV*(RNOA-NBC)]
14.37%
Second level breakdown RNOA = PM*ATO
11.69%
PM = OI / Sales ATO = Sales / NOA
5.87% 1.99
Third level breakdown
individual revenue and expense ratios - seen from common size analysis
A systematic analysis of growth
Under Armour. Summary information from balance sheets and income statements
2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Average NOA 2,423,894.6 1,641,267.2 964,397.1 709,129.4 546,818.8 430,921.6
Average NFA (574,333.6) (132,006.2) 237,429.9 226,008.6 179,858.2 135,777.4
Average CSE 1,849,561.0 1,509,261.0 1,201,827.0 935,138.0 726,677.0 566,699.0
Sales 4,825,335.0 3,963,313.0 3,084,370.0 2,332,051.0 1,834,921.0 1,472,684.0 1,063,927.0
Core operating income 274,478.3 241,364.4 211,248.2 164,154.3 132,058.8 99,292.7 69,897.3
Unusual items 8,844.4 1,803.4 12,506.2 31,445.6 340.0 (13.0) 1,577.0
Operating income 283,322.7 243,167.9 223,754.5 195,600.0 132,398.8 99,279.7 71,474.3
Comprehensive income 265,823.4 234,376.4 220,511.4 193,775.6 129,118.0 96,906.0 70,054.0
Net financial income (expense) (17,499.3) (8,791.4) (3,243.1) (1,824.3) (3,280.8) (2,373.7) (1,420.3)
ROCE 14.37% 15.53% 18.35% 20.72% 17.77% 17.10%
RNOA 11.69% 14.82% 23.20% 27.58% 24.21% 23.04%
NBC 3.05% 6.66% -1.37% -0.81% -1.82% -1.75%
PM 5.87% 6.14% 7.25% 8.39% 7.22% 6.74% 6.72%
Core sales PM 5.69% 6.09% 6.85% 7.04% 7.20% 6.74% 6.57%
ATO 1.99 2.41 3.20 3.29 3.36 3.42
FLEV 31.05% 8.75% -19.76% -24.17% -24.75% -23.96%
SPREAD 8.64% 8.16% 24.57% 28.39% 26.04% 24.79%
* Balance sheet numbers are averages for the year.
Under Armour(UAA) - Residual Earnings Growth: 2010-2016
Residual earnings [ROCEt - Cost of Equity Capitalt]*CSEt
2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Revenue growth rate 21.75% 28.50% 32.26% 27.09% 24.60% 38.42%
Growth in CSE 22.55% 25.58% 28.52% 28.69% 28.23%
Growth in comprehensive income 13.42% 6.29% 13.80% 50.08% 33.24% 38.33%
Residual earnings (at cost of equity of 8.50%) 108610.67 106089.24 118356.09 114288.90 67350.46 48736.59 70054.00
A systematic analysis of the change in ROCE
Analysis of change in RNOA
Level 1: Distinguish core and unusual components of RNOA
RNOA = Core OI / NOA + UI / NOA check
11.69% 11.32% 0.36% 11.69%
Level 2: Change in RNOA = Change in core sales PM at previous asset turnover level + Change due to change in asset turnover + Change due to change in other core income +
-3.13% -0.97% -2.41% 0
Analysis of changes in ROCE
Change in ROCE = Change in RNOA + Change due to change in spread at previous level of financial leverage + Change due to change in financial leverage
-1.16% -3.13% 0.04% 1.93%
A systematic analysis of the change in investment (CSE)
Change in CSE = Change in NOA + Change in NFA
362678.0 397780.1 -35102.1
NOA = Sales / ATO
2,423,894.6 2,423,894.6
Change in CSE = Change due to change in sales at previous level of asset turnover + Change due to change in asset turnover + Change in financial assets
340,300.0 356,976.2 425651.2 -442327.4

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Common Size and Trend Analysis

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 3: Financial Statement Analysis
3.2 Common size and trend analysis
Common size and trend analysis helps understand the business and how it changes over time. It is a useful step in financial statement analysis in preparation for full-information forecasting and valuation.
Under Armour (UAA) Under Armour (UAA)
Common size analysis of income statements Trend analysis of income statements
for the year ended 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31 for the year ended 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
Operating revenue 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Operating revenue 454% 373% 290% 219% 172% 138% 100%
Cost of sales 54% 52% 51% 51% 52% 52% 50% Cost of sales 485% 386% 295% 224% 179% 142% 100%
Gross margin 46% 48% 49% 49% 48% 48% 50% Gross margin 422% 359% 285% 214% 166% 134% 100%
Operating expenses Operating expenses
Administrative expenses
Author: Derived through adjusting "selling and administrative expenses" and "other income/expense" in published income statements.
38% 38% 37% 37% 36% 37% 39% Administrative expenses
Author: Derived through adjusting "selling and administrative expenses" and "other income/expense" in published income statements.
437% 359% 277% 209% 160% 132% 100%
Advertising
Author: Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements.
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Advertising
Author: Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements.
171% 171% 168% 139% 126% 116% 100%
Amortization of identifiable intangibles
Author: 1. Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements. 2. For years before 2001, the amount represents amortization expense of all intangible assets and goodwill.
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Amortization of identifiable intangibles
Author: 1. Broken out from selling and administrative expenses in published income statements. 2. For years before 2001, the amount represents amortization expense of all intangible assets and goodwill.
113% 99% 77% 83% 82% 78% 100%
Other expense, net 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% Other expense, net 234% 614% 549% 99% 6% 175% 100%
Total operating expenses 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 37% 39% Total operating expenses 435% 359% 278% 208% 160% 132% 100%
Core operating income (before tax) 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% Core operating income (before tax) 373% 361% 313% 237% 188% 145% 100%
Tax on operating income Tax on operating income
Tax as reported 2.7% 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% Tax as reported
Tax on other operating income 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Tax on other operating income
Tax benefit from net interest expenses 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Tax benefit from net interest expenses
Total tax on operating income 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% Total tax on operating income 340% 387% 330% 242% 185% 149% 100%
Core operating income (after tax) 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% Core operating income (after tax) 393% 345% 302% 235% 189% 142% 100%
Other operating income (expense) (before tax) Other operating income (expense) (before tax)
Gains on divestitures 0.0% Gains on divestitures
Impairment 0.0% Impairment
Restructuring charge, net 0.0% Restructuring charge, net
Tax on other operating income 0.0% -0.0% Tax on other operating income
0.0% 0.0%
Other operating income (expense) (after tax) Other operating income (expense) (after tax)
Currency translation gains (loss) -0.3% -0.8% -0.6% -0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.1% Currency translation gains (loss)
Net hedging gain (loss) 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Net hedging gain (loss)
Adjustment for Accounting Changes 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Adjustment for Accounting Changes
Effect of stock option exercise 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Effect of stock option exercise
Total other operating income (expense) 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 1.3% 0.0% -0.0% 0.1% Total other operating income (expense) 561% 114% 793% 1994% 22% -1% 100%
Operating income after tax 5.9% 6.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 6.7% 6.7% Operating income after tax 396% 340% 313% 274% 185% 139% 100%
Financial income (NFE) Financial income (NFE)
Interest expense -0.6% -0.3% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% Interest expense
Interest income
Author: Interest income is netted against interest expense in the GAAP statements.
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Interest income
Author: Interest income is netted against interest expense in the GAAP statements.
Net interest Income (expense) before tax -0.5% -0.3% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% Net interest Income (expense) before tax
Tax benefit of debt 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Tax benefit of debt
Net financial income (expense) -0.4% -0.2% -0.1% -0.0% -0.1% -0.0% -0.0% Net financial income (expense) 1232% 619% 228% 128% 231% 167% 100%
Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5% 4.9% 4.6% 4.0% 2.7% 2.0% 1.5% Comprehensive income (available to common) 379% 335% 315% 277% 184% 138% 100%
Under Armour (UAA) Under Armour (UAA)
Common size analysis of balance sheets Trend analysis of balance sheets
2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31 2016/12/31 2015/12/31 2014/12/31 2013/12/31 2012/12/31 2011/12/31 2010/12/31
Net operating assets (NOA): Net operating assets (NOA):
Operating assets Operating assets
Cash and equivalents
Author: Operating cash is estimated at 0.5% of sales.
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Cash and equivalents
Author: Operating cash is estimated at 0.5% of sales.
454% 373% 290% 219% 172% 138% 100%
Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts 18% 16% 22% 20% 24% 20% 25% Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts 531% 370% 283% 212% 169% 128% 100%
Inventories 27% 28% 35% 38% 39% 43% 45% Inventories 426% 364% 249% 218% 148% 151% 100%
Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Author: Unearned compensation was deducted from shareholders' equity, and was included in prepaid expenses, because this is actually an asset for shareholders
5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% Prepaid expenses and other current assets
Author: Unearned compensation was deducted from shareholders' equity, and was included in prepaid expenses, because this is actually an asset for shareholders
903% 788% 451% 331% 227% 205% 100%
Property, plant and equipment, net 24% 20% 20% 18% 22% 21% 16% Property, plant and equipment, net 1056% 707% 401% 294% 238% 209% 100%
Goodwill 16% 21% 8% 10% 0% 0% 0% Goodwill 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Identifiable intangible assets 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% Identifiable intangible assets 1643% 1934% 670% 616% 115% 141% 100%
Deferred income taxes and other assets 7% 6% 6% 6% 8% 9% 8% Deferred income taxes and other assets 626% 425% 230% 199% 173% 164% 100%
Total operating assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total operating assets 717% 578% 318% 260% 173% 158% 100%
Operating liabilities Operating liabilities
Accounts payable - non-interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
51% 38% 46% 44% 51% 49% 52% Accounts payable - non-interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
488% 238% 250% 196% 170% 119% 100%
Accrued liabilities
Author: Exclude dividends payable.
31% 45% 40% 42% 36% 37% 36% Accrued liabilities
Author: Exclude dividends payable.
433% 410% 316% 271% 173% 132% 100%
Income taxes payable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Income taxes payable
Deferred income taxes and other liabilities 17% 18% 15% 13% 13% 14% 12% Deferred income taxes and other liabilities 680% 470% 336% 247% 174% 140% 100%
Total operating liabilities 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total operating liabilities 492% 328% 284% 229% 172% 127% 100%
Net operating assets (NOA): 832% 706% 336% 276% 174% 173% 100%
Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO):
Financial assets Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO):
Cash equivalent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Financial assets
Short-term investments 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Cash equivalent 114% 55% 291% 169% 168% 85% 100%
Total financial assets 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Short-term investments
Financial liabilities Total financial assets 114% 55% 291% 169% 168% 85% 100%
Current portion of long-term debt 3% 6% 10% 68% 15% 9% 41% Financial liabilities
Notes payable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Current portion of long-term debt 393% 612% 422% 1529% 133% 100% 100%
Accounts payable - interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 5% Notes payable 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long-term debt 97% 94% 90% 31% 84% 91% 54% Accounts payable - interest bearing
Author: Interest-bearing accounts payable are classified as financing obligations.
100% 89% 93% 97% 101% 60% 100%
Redeemable Preferred Stock 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Long-term debt 8708% 6875% 2812% 528% 581% 780% 100%
Total financial liabilities 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Redeemable Preferred Stock 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total financial liabilities 4875% 3973% 1698% 916% 374% 466% 100%
As percentage of CSE: Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -326% -306% 161% 100% 149% 49% 100%
Net operating assets (NOA): 129.1% 133.4% 78.3% 82.7% 67.0% 85.9% 63.4%
Net financial assets (obligations) -29.1% -33.4% 21.7% 17.3% 33.0% 14.1% 36.6% Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 409% 336% 272% 212% 164% 128% 100%
Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Charts

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 3: Financial Statement Analysis
3.3 Charts
2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
RNOA 14.4% 15.5% 18.3% 20.7% 17.8% 17.1% 0.0%
PM 5.9% 6.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 6.7% 6.7%
ATO 2.0 2.4 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 - 0

Common-Size Income Statement

Cost of sales 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 0.53565690257774845 0.51920350474464172 0.50971965101463179 0.5125878464922079 0.52079844309373535 0.5159613331848516 0.50136898490215964 Core operating income (before tax) 8.5945535387698502E-2 0.10125695346292346 0.11265944098794889 0.11317333969111315 0.11369535800178865 0.10912252730388866 0.10449683107957597 Total operating expenses 0.37839756203455305 0.37953954179243482 0.37762090799741932 0.37423881381667895 0.365506198904476 0.37491613951125974 0.39413418401826439 Total other operating income (expense) 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Net financial income (expense) -3.6265477940909795E-3 -1.821931119808262E-3 -6.7209261118658084E-4 -3.7807240326319315E-4 -6.7991942528342595E-4 -4.9193226998747242E-4 -2.9433852779133473E-4 Operating income after tax 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5089099158663599E-2 4.8572053405488272E-2 4.569866785276025E-2 4.0157963264405315E-2 2.6758349420299317E-2 2.0082750731296378E-2 1.4517955748150128E-2

Percent of Revenue

Common-Size Balance Sheet

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 1.2914395957457285 1.3337580759635108 0.7831814041324151 0.82713338061088659 0.66957996601878755 0.85891803052014992 0.63424929472036318 Net financial assets (obligations) -0.29143959574572853 -0.33375807596351081 0.21681859586758501 0.17286661938911324 0.33042003398121245 0.14108196947985013 0.36575070527963677

Percent of Total CSE

Trend Analysis of Income Statement Items

Operating revenue 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 4.5354004551064122 3.7251738136169115 2.8990428854611268 2.1919276416521059 1.7246681398253827 1.3841964721263771 1 Gross margin 4.2235276820098511 3.5919356389265364 2.8504920764476247 2.1426107478317911 1.6574654057345144 1.3436882076956571 1 Core operating income (before tax) 3.7302319724403428 3.6096764618581183 3.1254971801721569 2.3739262617267962 1.8764852442501596 1.4454698363870224 1 Core operating income (after tax) 3.9268809908803024 3.4531303806634424 3.022266691285648 2.3485080006401393 1.8893272416515423 1.4205522040184622 1 Operating income after tax 3.9639805865943503 3.4021727887993576 3.1305589532651599 2.7366480109369857 1.8523983074079708 1.3890274266763531 1 Comprehensive income (available to common) 3.7945493232188028 3.3456537716528931 3.1477343398421058 2.7660893834534677 1.8431210209267137 1.3833043081051759 1

Percent of 2000 Value

Trend Analysis of Balance Sheet Items

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 8.321008526212383 7.0590171327070443 3.3551038262697279 2.7641603077610939 1.7353871308544133 1.7342713801366993 1 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -3.2563062721444127 -3.063188886635988 1.6107010639220563 1.0017829549931776 1.4850296121657522 0.49398262317583463 1 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 4.0865974734690091 3.356813142146545 2.71708728564932 2.1195695480173695 1.6438186918219757 1.280634892527859 1

Percent of 2000 Values

RNOA 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0.18348013602897828 0.20721607470603184 0.17768279441897844 0.17100083112904735 0 PM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 7.2544621249493055E-2 8.3874645823976066E-2 7.2155062261536063E-2 6.7414148588563469E-2 6.7179686200275021E-2 ATO 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 3.1982366515994718 3.2886112200984243 3.3556291880163864 3.417521669877198 0

Common-Size Income Statement

Cost of sales 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 0.53565690257774845 0.51920350474464172 0.50971965101463179 0.5125878464922079 0.52079844309373535 0.5159613331848516 0.50136898490215964 Core operating income (before tax) 8.5945535387698502E-2 0.10125695346292346 0.11265944098794889 0.11317333969111315 0.11369535800178865 0.10912252730388866 0.10449683107957597 Total operating expenses 0.37839756203455305 0.37953954179243482 0.37762090799741932 0.37423881381667895 0.365506198904476 0.37491613951125974 0.39413418401826439 Total other operating income (expense) 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Net financial income (expense) -3.6265477940909795E-3 -1.821931119808262E-3 -6.7209261118658084E-4 -3.7807240326319315E-4 -6.7991942528342595E-4 -4.9193226998747242E-4 -2.9433852779133473E-4 Operating income after tax 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5089099158663599E-2 4.8572053405488272E-2 4.569866785276025E-2 4.0157963264405315E-2 2.6758349420299317E-2 2.0082750731296378E-2 1.4517955748150128E-2

Percent of Revenue

Common-Size Balance Sheet

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 1.2914395957457285 1.3337580759635108 0.7831814041324151 0.82713338061088659 0.66957996601878755 0.85891803052014992 0.63424929472036318 Net financial assets (obligations) -0.29143959574572853 -0.33375807596351081 0.21681859586758501 0.17286661938911324 0.33042003398121245 0.14108196947985013 0.36575070527963677

Percent of Total CSE

Trend Analysis of Income Statement Items

Operating revenue 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 4.5354004551064122 3.7251738136169115 2.8990428854611268 2.1919276416521059 1.7246681398253827 1.3841964721263771 1 Gross margin 4.2235276820098511 3.5919356389265364 2.8504920764476247 2.1426107478317911 1.6574654057345144 1.3436882076956571 1 Core operating income (before tax) 3.7302319724403428 3.6096764618581183 3.1254971801721569 2.3739262617267962 1.8764852442501596 1.4454698363870224 1 Core operating income (after tax) 3.9268809908803024 3.4531303806634424 3.022266691285648 2.3485080006401393 1.8893272416515423 1.4205522040184622 1 Operating income after tax 3.9639805865943503 3.4021727887993576 3.1305589532651599 2.7366480109369857 1.8523983074079708 1.3890274266763531 1 Comprehensive income (available to common) 3.7945493232188028 3.3456537716528931 3.1477343398421058 2.7660893834534677 1.8431210209267137 1.3833043081051759 1

Percent of 2000 Value

Trend Analysis of Balance Sheet Items

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 8.321008526212383 7.0590171327070443 3.3551038262697279 2.7641603077610939 1.7353871308544133 1.7342713801366993 1 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -3.2563062721444127 -3.063188886635988 1.6107010639220563 1.0017829549931776 1.4850296121657522 0.49398262317583463 1 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 4.0865974734690091 3.356813142146545 2.71708728564932 2.1195695480173695 1.6438186918219757 1.280634892527859 1

Percent of 2000 Values

RNOA 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0.18348013602897828 0.20721607470603184 0.17768279441897844 0.17100083112904735 0 PM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 7.2544621249493055E-2 8.3874645823976066E-2 7.2155062261536063E-2 6.7414148588563469E-2 6.7179686200275021E-2 ATO 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 3.1982366515994718 3.2886112200984243 3.3556291880163864 3.417521669877198 0

Common-Size Income Statement

Cost of sales 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 0.53565690257774845 0.51920350474464172 0.50971965101463179 0.5125878464922079 0.52079844309373535 0.5159613331848516 0.50136898490215964 Core operating income (before tax) 8.5945535387698502E-2 0.10125695346292346 0.11265944098794889 0.11317333969111315 0.11369535800178865 0.10912252730388866 0.10449683107957597 Total operating expenses 0.37839756203455305 0.37953954179243482 0.37762090799741932 0.37423881381667895 0.365506198904476 0.37491613951125974 0.39413418401826439 Total other operating income (expense) 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Net financial income (expense) -3.6265477940909795E-3 -1.821931119808262E-3 -6.7209261118658084E-4 -3.7807240326319315E-4 -6.7991942528342595E-4 -4.9193226998747242E-4 -2.9433852779133473E-4 Operating income after tax 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5089099158663599E-2 4.8572053405488272E-2 4.569866785276025E-2 4.0157963264405315E-2 2.6758349420299317E-2 2.0082750731296378E-2 1.4517955748150128E-2

Percent of Revenue

Common-Size Balance Sheet

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 1.2914395957457285 1.3337580759635108 0.7831814041324151 0.82713338061088659 0.66957996601878755 0.85891803052014992 0.63424929472036318 Net financial assets (obligations) -0.29143959574572853 -0.33375807596351081 0.21681859586758501 0.17286661938911324 0.33042003398121245 0.14108196947985013 0.36575070527963677

Percent of Total CSE

Trend Analysis of Income Statement Items

Operating revenue 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 4.5354004551064122 3.7251738136169115 2.8990428854611268 2.1919276416521059 1.7246681398253827 1.3841964721263771 1 Gross margin 4.2235276820098511 3.5919356389265364 2.8504920764476247 2.1426107478317911 1.6574654057345144 1.3436882076956571 1 Core operating income (before tax) 3.7302319724403428 3.6096764618581183 3.1254971801721569 2.3739262617267962 1.8764852442501596 1.4454698363870224 1 Core operating income (after tax) 3.9268809908803024 3.4531303806634424 3.022266691285648 2.3485080006401393 1.8893272416515423 1.4205522040184622 1 Operating income after tax 3.9639805865943503 3.4021727887993576 3.1305589532651599 2.7366480109369857 1.8523983074079708 1.3890274266763531 1 Comprehensive income (available to common) 3.7945493232188028 3.3456537716528931 3.1477343398421058 2.7660893834534677 1.8431210209267137 1.3833043081051759 1

Percent of 2000 Value

Trend Analysis of Balance Sheet Items

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 8.321008526212383 7.0590171327070443 3.3551038262697279 2.7641603077610939 1.7353871308544133 1.7342713801366993 1 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -3.2563062721444127 -3.063188886635988 1.6107010639220563 1.0017829549931776 1.4850296121657522 0.49398262317583463 1 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 4.0865974734690091 3.356813142146545 2.71708728564932 2.1195695480173695 1.6438186918219757 1.280634892527859 1

Percent of 2000 Values

RNOA 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0.18348013602897828 0.20721607470603184 0.17768279441897844 0.17100083112904735 0 PM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 7.2544621249493055E-2 8.3874645823976066E-2 7.2155062261536063E-2 6.7414148588563469E-2 6.7179686200275021E-2 ATO 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 3.1982366515994718 3.2886112200984243 3.3556291880163864 3.417521669877198 0

Common-Size Income Statement

Cost of sales 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 0.53565690257774845 0.51920350474464172 0.50971965101463179 0.5125878464922079 0.52079844309373535 0.5159613331848516 0.50136898490215964 Core operating income (before tax) 8.5945535387698502E-2 0.10125695346292346 0.11265944098794889 0.11317333969111315 0.11369535800178865 0.10912252730388866 0.10449683107957597 Total operating expenses 0.37839756203455305 0.37953954179243482 0.37762090799741932 0.37423881381667895 0.365506198904476 0.37491613951125974 0.39413418401826439 Total other operating income (expense) 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Net financial income (expense) -3.6265477940909795E-3 -1.821931119808262E-3 -6.7209261118658084E-4 -3.7807240326319315E-4 -6.7991942528342595E-4 -4.9193226998747242E-4 -2.9433852779133473E-4 Operating income after tax 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5089099158663599E-2 4.8572053405488272E-2 4.569866785276025E-2 4.0157963264405315E-2 2.6758349420299317E-2 2.0082750731296378E-2 1.4517955748150128E-2

Percent of Revenue

Common-Size Balance Sheet

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 1.2914395957457285 1.3337580759635108 0.7831814041324151 0.82713338061088659 0.66957996601878755 0.85891803052014992 0.63424929472036318 Net financial assets (obligations) -0.29143959574572853 -0.33375807596351081 0.21681859586758501 0.17286661938911324 0.33042003398121245 0.14108196947985013 0.36575070527963677

Percent of Total CSE

Trend Analysis of Income Statement Items

Operating revenue 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 4.5354004551064122 3.7251738136169115 2.8990428854611268 2.1919276416521059 1.7246681398253827 1.3841964721263771 1 Gross margin 4.2235276820098511 3.5919356389265364 2.8504920764476247 2.1426107478317911 1.6574654057345144 1.3436882076956571 1 Core operating income (before tax) 3.7302319724403428 3.6096764618581183 3.1254971801721569 2.3739262617267962 1.8764852442501596 1.4454698363870224 1 Core operating income (after tax) 3.9268809908803024 3.4531303806634424 3.022266691285648 2.3485080006401393 1.8893272416515423 1.4205522040184622 1 Operating income after tax 3.9639805865943503 3.4021727887993576 3.1305589532651599 2.7366480109369857 1.8523983074079708 1.3890274266763531 1 Comprehensive income (available to common) 3.7945493232188028 3.3456537716528931 3.1477343398421058 2.7660893834534677 1.8431210209267137 1.3833043081051759 1

Percent of 2000 Value

Trend Analysis of Balance Sheet Items

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 8.321008526212383 7.0590171327070443 3.3551038262697279 2.7641603077610939 1.7353871308544133 1.7342713801366993 1 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -3.2563062721444127 -3.063188886635988 1.6107010639220563 1.0017829549931776 1.4850296121657522 0.49398262317583463 1 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 4.0865974734690091 3.356813142146545 2.71708728564932 2.1195695480173695 1.6438186918219757 1.280634892527859 1

Percent of 2000 Values

RNOA 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0.18348013602897828 0.20721607470603184 0.17768279441897844 0.17100083112904735 0 PM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 7.2544621249493055E-2 8.3874645823976066E-2 7.2155062261536063E-2 6.7414148588563469E-2 6.7179686200275021E-2 ATO 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 3.1982366515994718 3.2886112200984243 3.3556291880163864 3.417521669877198 0

Common-Size Income Statement

Cost of sales 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 0.53565690257774845 0.51920350474464172 0.50971965101463179 0.5125878464922079 0.52079844309373535 0.5159613331848516 0.50136898490215964 Core operating income (before tax) 8.5945535387698502E-2 0.10125695346292346 0.11265944098794889 0.11317333969111315 0.11369535800178865 0.10912252730388866 0.10449683107957597 Total operating expenses 0.37839756203455305 0.37953954179243482 0.37762090799741932 0.37423881381667895 0.365506198904476 0.37491613951125974 0.39413418401826439 Total other operating income (expense) 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Net financial income (expense) -3.6265477940909795E-3 -1.821931119808262E-3 -6.7209261118658084E-4 -3.7807240326319315E-4 -6.7991942528342595E-4 -4.9193226998747242E-4 -2.9433852779133473E-4 Operating income after tax 5.8715646952754622E-2 6.1354694246800921E-2 7.2532675600948948E-2 8.3874645823976107E-2 7.2155062261536076E-2 6.7414148588563441E-2 6.7179686200275035E-2 Comprehensive income (available to common) 5.5089099158663599E-2 4.8572053405488272E-2 4.569866785276025E-2 4.0157963264405315E-2 2.6758349420299317E-2 2.0082750731296378E-2 1.4517955748150128E-2

Percent of Revenue

Common-Size Balance Sheet

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 1.2914395957457285 1.3337580759635108 0.7831814041324151 0.82713338061088659 0.66957996601878755 0.85891803052014992 0.63424929472036318 Net financial assets (obligations) -0.29143959574572853 -0.33375807596351081 0.21681859586758501 0.17286661938911324 0.33042003398121245 0.14108196947985013 0.36575070527963677

Percent of Total CSE

Trend Analysis of Income Statement Items

Operating revenue 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 4.5354004551064122 3.7251738136169115 2.8990428854611268 2.1919276416521059 1.7246681398253827 1.3841964721263771 1 Gross margin 4.2235276820098511 3.5919356389265364 2.8504920764476247 2.1426107478317911 1.6574654057345144 1.3436882076956571 1 Core operating income (before tax) 3.7302319724403428 3.6096764618581183 3.1254971801721569 2.3739262617267962 1.8764852442501596 1.4454698363870224 1 Core operating income (after tax) 3.9268809908803024 3.4531303806634424 3.022266691285648 2.3485080006401393 1.8893272416515423 1.4205522040184622 1 Operating income after tax 3.9639805865943503 3.4021727887993576 3.1305589532651599 2.7366480109369857 1.8523983074079708 1.3890274266763531 1 Comprehensive income (available to common) 3.7945493232188028 3.3456537716528931 3.1477343398421058 2.7660893834534677 1.8431210209267137 1.3833043081051759 1

Percent of 2000 Value

Trend Analysis of Balance Sheet Items

Net operating assets (NOA): 42735 42369 42004 41639 41274 40908 40543 8.321008526212383 7.0590171327070443 3.3551038262697279 2.7641603077610939 1.7353871308544133 1.7342713801366993 1 Net financial assets (obligations) (NFA/NFO) -3.2563062721444127 -3.063188886635988 1.6107010639220563 1.0017829549931776 1.4850296121657522 0.49398262317583463 1 Common Shareholders' Equity (CSE) 4.0865974734690091 3.356813142146545 2.71708728564932 2.1195695480173695 1.6438186918219757 1.280634892527859 1

Percent of 2000 Values

RNOA 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 0.18348013602897828 0.20721607470603184 0.17768279441897844 0.17100083112904735 0 PM 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 7.2544621249493055E-2 8.3874645823976066E-2 7.2155062261536063E-2 6.7414148588563469E-2 6.7179686200275021E-2 ATO 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 3.1982366515994718 3.2886112200984243 3.3556291880163864 3.417521669877198 0

Valuation - Essentials

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 4: Projection and Valuation
4.1. Valuation essentials
Net income component Book value component Residual earnings components
Operating income (OI) Net operating assets (NOA) Residual operating income: OIt - (kF-1)*NOAt-1
Net financial expense (NFE) Net financial obligations (NFO) Residual net financial expense: NFEt - (kD-1)NFOt-1
Earnings Common stockholders' equity (CSE) Residual earnings: Earnt-(kE-1)*CSEt-1
Value of operations = Net operating assets + Present value of expected residual operating income
Value of common equity = Book value of common equity + Present value of expected residual operating income
Value of operations = Value of common equity + Value of net financial obligations
Discount rates
Denoted as Formula
Cost of capital for equity kE rf + beta*(rm-rf)
Cost of capital for debt kD NBC
Cost of operations kF kE*VE/VF + kD*VD/VF
For Nike in 2000
riskfree rate (T-bill rate) 5.50%
Beta 0.95
Market risk premium (rm-rf) 6.00%
kE 11.20%
kD 5.21%
Market value of equity* ERROR:#REF!
Market value of debt 1,295.48
Market value of the firm ERROR:#REF!
kF ERROR:#REF!
* using Nike market close on Sept. 1, 2000 of $40.875 per share.
For Under Armour (UAA) in 2016
rish-free rate (10-year Treasury rate) 1.4%
Beta 0.03
Market risk premium (rm-rf) 5.0%
kE 1.6%
kD 0.0% (Get borrowing rate from debt footnote (0%) and convert to after-tax basis (0%))
Number of shares 434.5
Under Armour's close price on December 31, 2016 $ 25.17
Market value of equity 10,936
Net Financial Obligation 591,885
Market value of the firm 602,821
kF 0.0%

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

No-Growth and Growth Valuation

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 4: Projection and Valuation
4.2. Simple forecasts and simple valuations
No-Growth Valuation: Forecasts from earnings and book values Page 485
Forecasting earnings and its components by forecasting that earnings will be the same as in the current year, adjusted for changes in the balance sheet earning at the required return.
No-Growth Forecast is assuming all future residual earnings are the same as in the current year.
No-Growth Forecast Valuations of Under Armour
Under Armour (UAA)
in thousands except for per share data
Required return for operations 0.0%
Common shareholders' equity, 2016 2,030,900.0
Core operating income, 2016 274,478.3
Net operating assets, 2016 2,622,784.7
Net operating assets, 2015 2,225,004.6
Core residual operating income, 2016 273,852.6
No-Growth Forecast of ReOI, 2017 273,852.6
No-Growth Forecast of operating income, 2017 274,590.2
Value of common equity
vE = CSE2016 + ReOI2016/kF 975,900,102.4
# of shares 434.5
Value per share 2,246,030.16
Value of operations
vNOA = vE + NFO 976,491,987.1
vNOA = NOA + ReOI/kF 976,491,987.1
vNOA = OI2017/kF 976,491,987.1
Growth Valution: Forecasting from accounting rates of return Page 487
Forecast of earnings component: Forecast earnings and its components by forecasting that the relevant balance sheet component will earn at the current profitability
Operating OI1 = RNOA0*NOA0
Financing NFE1 = NBC0*NFO0
Earnings Earn1 = ROCE0*CSE0
Growth Valuations of Under Armour (UAA)
Cost of capital for operations 0.03%
RNOA, 2016 (on average NOA) 11.69%
Growth rate for net operating assets (2010-2016) 7.3% 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010
Net operating assets, 2016 2,622,784.7 NOA = $2,622,033 $2,224,335 $1,056,814 $870,493 $546,214 $546,189 $314,402
Growth Rate for NOA= 0.18 1.10 0.21 0.59 0.000047 0.74
Growth forecast of operating income, 2017 306,570.4
Growth forecast of ReOI, 2017 305,832.9 Growth Rate for NOA= NOA Present - NOA Past
NOA Past
Value of common equity
vE = CSE+ ReOI1/(kF-g) (2,151,922.7) Growth Rate for NOA 2010-2016= 7.34%
Value per share (4,952.64)
Value of operations
vNOA = vE + NFO (1,560,038.0)
vNOA = NOA + ReOI1/(kF-g) (1,560,038.0)
vNOA = NOA*(RNOA-g)/(kF-g) (1,560,038.0)

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Full Forecasting and Valuation

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 4: Projection and Valuation
4.3. Full-information forecasting: Under Armour (UAA)
Forecasts of key income statement ratios Page 441
2016A 2015E 2014E 2013E 2012E 2011E 2010E and after
Gross margin 46.4% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0%
SG&A expense ratio 37.8% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Tax rate 33.8% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
Sales growth 21.8% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Forecasts of turnover
2016A 2015E 2014E 2013E 2012E 2011E 2010E and after
Accounts receivable turnover 9.14 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.8
Inventory turnover 5.68 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6
PPE turnover 7.19 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7
Other NOA/Sales 5.8% -6% -6% -6% -6% -6% -6%
Pro forma financial statements
2016A 2015E 2014E 2013E 2012E 2011E 2010E and after
Income statement
Sales 4,825,335.0 5,018,348.4 5,219,082.3 5,427,845.6 5,644,959.5 5,870,757.8
Cost of sales 2,584,724.0 2,760,091.6 2,870,495.3 2,985,315.1 3,104,727.7 3,228,916.8
Gross margin 2,240,611.0 2,258,256.8 2,348,587.1 2,442,530.5 2,540,231.8 2,641,841.0
Total operating expenses 1,825,895.0 1,505,504.5 1,565,724.7 1,628,353.7 1,693,487.8 1,761,227.3
Core operating income before tax 414,716.0 752,752.3 782,862.4 814,176.8 846,743.9 880,613.7
Taxes 140,237.7 263,463.3 274,001.8 284,961.9 296,360.4 308,214.8
Core operating income after tax 274,478.3 489,289.0 508,860.5 529,214.9 550,383.5 572,398.9
Other income (expense) 8,844.4
Operating income 283,322.7 489,289.0 508,860.5 529,214.9 550,383.5 572,398.9
Balance sheet
Account receivable 622,685.0 737,992.4 767,512.1 798,212.6 830,141.1 863,346.7
Inventory 917,491.0 583,528.9 606,870.0 631,144.8 656,390.6 682,646.3
Property, plant and equipment 804,211.0 517,355.5 538,049.7 559,571.7 581,954.6 605,232.8
Other NOA 278,397.7 (301,100.9) (313,144.9) (325,670.7) (338,697.6) (352,245.5)
Net operating assets (NOA) 2,622,784.7 1,537,775.9 1,599,286.9 1,663,258.4 1,729,788.7 1,798,980.3
Operating income 283,322.7 489,289.0 508,860.5 529,214.9 550,383.5 572,398.9
Change in NOA 397,780.1 (1,085,008.8) 61,511.0 63,971.5 66,530.3 69,191.5
Free cash flow (114,457.4) 1,574,297.7 447,349.5 465,243.5 483,853.2 503,207.3
RNOA 11.7% 23.5% 32.4% 32.4% 32.4% 32.4% 32.4%
ReOI 282,641.1 616,150.3 498,450.4 518,388.5 539,124.0 560,689.0 583,116.5
Growth in ReOI 118.0% -19.1% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
Cost of operations 0.03%
Total PV of ReOI to 2010 2,730,518.0
Continuing value
Author: Assume growth in ReOI remains constant at 4% into the future.
(14,681,121.6)
PV of CV (14,660,497.3)
NOA as of 2010 2,622,784.7
Value of operations (9,307,194.5)
NFA (NFO) (591,884.7)
Value of common equity (9,899,079.2)
Number of shares outstanding 434.5
Value per share $ (22,782.69)

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Reverse engineering

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 4: Projection and Valuation
4.4. Reverse engineering: Implied Expected Return and Implied Growth Rate
Reverse engineering to get implied expected return (Page 665)
ER = [NOA0/PNOA0 x RNOA1] + [(1- NOA0/PNOA0) x (g-1)]
NOA0 2622784.675
P0 602821.0
RNOA1 11.69%
g-1 ER
-3% 60.9%
-2% 57.6%
-1% 54.2%
0 50.9%
1% 47.5%
2% 44.2%
3% 40.8%
4% 37.5%
5% 34.1%
6% 30.8%
7% 27.4%
4.48% 35.85%
Reverse engineering to get implied growth rate (Page 492)
Cost of capital for operations 0.03%
RNOA, 2016 (on average NOA) 11.69%
Growth rate for net operating assets (2010-2016) 7.34%
Net operating assets, 2016 2,622,784.68
Forwared Operating Income Forecast 306,570.4
ReOI2017 305,832.9
Market Value of the Firm 602,821.0
VNOA = NOA + ReOI1/(kF-g) (4,247,531.7)
Market price implied growth rate 4.48% <- This number was calculated by goal seek to make E54=E55

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003

Bells and Whistles

Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation (Fifth Edition)
Stephen Penman 2012
Roadmap to Developing Your Own Financial Statement Analysis and Valuation Product
Step 5: Bells and Whistles
Steps 1-4 set up a basic valuation tool. You can add additional features:
Sensitivity analysis (Chapters 15)
Business Strategy Analysis (Chapter 16)
Economics Value Analysis (Chapter 17) (Please see web page for this chapter with additional tools)
Quality of earnings analysis (Chapters 18)
Risk analysis (Chapters 19 and 20)

&8Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation: Roadmap &8Stephen H. Penman 2003