asian urbanism
Chapter Two
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability: Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century
Andre Sorensen
Tokyo is at the heart of the largest city-region in the world, with about 35 million
people, or 28 per cent of the Japanese population in 2010, living in the Greater
Tokyo Arca. This comprises the cities, towns and wards of the Tokyo Metropolitan
Government area, with a population of about 13 million, and the three adjoining
prefectures of Saitarna, Kanagawa and Chiba. The Greater Tokyo Area also forms the
core of the Tokaid6 Megalopolis, which extends west for about 600 kilometres through
to Osaka and Kobe in an almost continuous belt of urban development and is
home to 68 million people.
The f(xus of this chapter is on the Greater Tokyo Area (sec figures 2.1 and 2.2),
which presems a distinctive set of sustainability, urban form and planning issues, in
because of its great size and high population density. Tokyo has one of the best
rail commuter systems in the world and its dominant central employment
zone attracts over 3 million commuters each day from an area within a radius of
about 70 kilometres. Although there is a high rate of car ownership and congestion,
is not an automobile-dependent city. Excellent public transit, high density and
very rnixed land uses mean that the 'Smart Growth' strategics typically prescribed to
make cities more sustainable in Europe and North America seem oflimited relevance
here 2010). Tokyo also compares well with other developed cities in the
of its vehicles, buildings and industries (Fujita and Hill, 2007), and
in the progress that has been made to reduce vehicle emissions and improve air quality
and Murayama, 2010).
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerab1l1ty Tokyo 111 the Twenty-First Century 41
Figure 2.1. Japan.
Figure 2.2. The prdccturcs l)f(;reatcr 'T()kyo,
thus faces some different
1() understand these
and of the processes of modernization
Isuzu Islands
Ocean
42 Planning Asia11 Cities Risks and Resilience
first part of this chapter therefore describes historical urban and
were adapted
twentieth
from the
of
London and New Y<xk
the ways in which earlier settlement patterns and building
during the creation of the modem city in the late nineteenth
century. The second section examines the
rapid economic i:.,rrowth period of the 1950s and 1960s,
Tokyo's emergence as a global city matched in stature
(Sassen, 2001) to the loss of that exalted status two 'lost decades' of
financial crisis, and economic and population decline. The focus in this section is on
the ways in which successive planning approaches maintained and even exacerbated
the risks and vulnerabilities of certain parts of the city-region.
The third section centres on three m~jor challenges facing the Tokyo city-region
today. The first is the enduring division between the upland I ligh City, west of the
Imperial Palace, and the Low City in the floodplains of the Sumida, Edogawa and
Nakagawa rivers, most of which is now at or below the mean high-tide level. Second
is the continued existence and even growth of highly vulnerable areas of substandard
housing throughout the twentieth and into the twenty-first century, a situation that
contributes to the heightened disaster risks facing major segments of the Tbkyo
population. Third is the huge pressure to redevelop and intensify land use in the central
areas of the city. This is in large part a product of changes in planning rq,,'11lations,
which arc designed more to create profitable opportunities fix redevelopment than to
address existing urban challenges. Tokyo has been highly resilient to past disasters, such
as the massive destruction of the Great Kanto Earthquake of 1923 and the firebombing
ofWorld War II, both of which arc discussed below. A central argument of this chapter,
however, is that recent and current planning approaches may have reduced this
resilience and made Tbkyo more vulnerable to tl1ture disasters.
The Influence of the Past
Unlike virtually all the other mcgacitics in the world today. with the of
Beijing. Tokyo was a giant city of over a million inhabitants to industrialization.
Europe's two giants, London and Paris, were quite small cities at the
eighteenth century and other contemporary like Sao
and Delhi were still tiny at the beginning of the twentieth ccntrny So
is particnlarly important in this because had a urban
system the end of the Edo period ( 1W0-18(J7) and
probably one of the world's largest cities in the seventeenth and ccntnrics
(see figure 2.3). The urban culture and patterns of development of that
influential. After centuries of self-imposed isolation, Japan only
in 1867, casting off its feudal governance system and beginning to modernize and
industrialize. As a result, Tokyo's pre-modem urban patterns have had a
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo 1n the Twenty-First Century 43
period I HS'J.
011 the modern and much
such as the
area of the was reserved for the
the Edo
control over
from various
and fortifications, most of the
who were allocated space and
44 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
location based primarily on rank. Smaller areas were also allocated for commoners and
for temples, which were also necessary parts of the feudal political and space economy.
The main spatial division in Edo, which continues to be reflected in modern Tokyo,
was that between the I Iigh City of the samurai and the Low City of the commoners.
The Low City was mostly built on the marshy estuary of the Sumida River, and on
land reclaimed from Tokyo Bay by landfill. The commoner city was laid out in a grid
pattern of square blocks, following the ancient Chinese measurement system, and
was deeply penetrated by a dense network of canals Qinnai, 1990; Sorensen, 2002).
A system of canals was important because virtually all movement of goods was by
boat. The canals were lined by warehouses and markets, and extended throughout
the commercial areas. In the late eighteenth century the commoner area of Edo
measured about 13 square kilometres and had a total population of about 500,000, with
population densities reaching as much as 58,000 per square kilometre (Rozman, 1973).
This was a very high density for a low-rise city. The streets were generally lined with
2-storey merchant houses (machiya), while the interiors of the blocks were occupied by
rows of single-storey wooden shacks fronting on to narrow lanes (11ra-nagaya), built as
rental housing for poor artisans, labourers and servants.
The samurai High City was a much larger area, built on the ridges and plateaus to
the west of Tokyo Castle and structured by the hilly geography of the Yamanote area.
The dominant land use in the High City was housing for the various classes of samurai,
including the huge compounds of the major feudal lords who were required by the
Shogun to live in Edo every other year, and to leave their families there permanently as
hostages. It was this requirement of residence in Edo that caused the Shogun's capital to
grow so rapidly to the enormous size of a million people by the end of the seventeenth
century. Consumption by that large population stimulated the economic integration
of the whole of Japan during the Edo period. About two-thirds of the area ofEdo was
reserved for the samurai residences, even though samurai were only about half the
population (and about 15 per cent of the total population nationally), so population
densities in the samurai areas were less than a quarter of those of the commoner areas
(Rozman, 1973; Smith, 1978).
In contrast to the planned grid of the commoner Low City, most of the IIigh
City was relatively unplanned with main roads following the ridgelines and valleys
in a relatively organic pattern Qinnai, 1990). So, whereas most commoners lived on
the floodplain in planned mixed-use areas that were busy, noisy, dense, economically
vibrant and culturally dynamic, most samurai lived in the hilly uplands in unplanned,
lower density areas, which were green and quiet, but economically and culturally
sterile. Most houses were set in gardens and surrounded by perimeter walls and, in the
case of the estates of the hundreds of feudal lords (dai111yo ), the gardens were often very
large. This was the source of one enduring legacy of the Edo period, an indigenous
Japanese version of the suburban housing ideal of detached family homes set in walled
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability: Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 45
gardens which became highly influential with the growth of the middle class after the
First World War, when suburban growth towards the west of the city started in earnest
(Smith, 1979;Jinnai, 1994).
The vibrant culture of Edo that is remembered today, including the iconic
woodblock prints, geisha and the teahouses where they entertained, theatres, Sumo
wrestling and Rakugo storytelling, were all based in the commoner Low City, This
'floating world' of brothels, actors, wrestlers and beautiful tea-house girls, integrated
by the canals, rivers, restaurant barges and riverside palaces, was at the heart of Edo' s
urban culture during the feudal period (Nishiyama, 1997). The political, economic
and geographic shift in the early twentieth century away from the lowland areas to the
western uplands served by rail and road, the filling in of canals, industrialization, and
the pollution of the watenvays, were all lamented as emblematic of the slow death of
Edo culture (Seidensticker, 1991).
Three other major legacies of the feudal period were the enduring problem
of urban fires; the limited road system; and an excellent water supply and waste
management system. In the Edo period the problem of fireproofing cities was never
solved. Repeated orders to build with fireproof materials after major fires suggest that
the orders were not followed or effectively enforced (Kelly, 1994 ). To be fair, enforcing
fireproof building standards was difficult everywhere and was usually accomplished
only after a major fire, as was the case for London in 1666, and Chicago in 1871. Japan
also had the particular challenge of frequent large earthquakes, which made building
in stone or brick unwise. Preventing urban fires became one of the major planning
challenges in the modern period.
Second, roads were designed for pedestrians, not vehicles. In the Edo period
virtually all travel was by foot while, as noted above, most goods transport was by
boat. Streets tended to be very narrow, and were often laid out primarily with military
considerations in mind, with narrow bridges, and many sharp turns and T-intersections
to aid defence. Wheeled vehicles were almost non-existent and, apart from the main
highways and castle moats which had military significance, urban infrastructure
maintenance was not considered to be a government responsibility and was delegated
to local residents. Streets were unpaved, creating clouds of dust in the dry season and
turning into quagmires in the rainy season. In consequence, when street railways were
being built in the early twentieth century, road widening and straightening and modern
wider bridges were major priorities. Improving transportation infrastructure has been
a priority of the central government ever since, a task it has carried out with unflagging
zeal.
Third were the excellent water supply and waste management systems. The giant
city of Edo had simple and effective systems of water supply and waste removal. A
water supply system built in the seventeenth century drew water from the Tama river
in the west and brought it in canals above ground to the edge of the city, then in stone
46 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
main conduits underground, with wood and bamboo supplying shallow local
wells in the centre of each block (Hatano, 1994). Early European visitors to Edo tested
the water and frmnd it of very high quality; far better than in most contemporary
cities (I Ian Icy, 1997). But major cholera epidemics in the nineteenth century
meant that an early concern fiir planners was to ensure safo drinking water supplies,
and the drinking water system was an important investment, starting
in the 1890s (I Iayarni, 198(i). Sewerage was not such a priority; as the traditional system
of entrepreneurs collecting human waste and selling it to farmers outside the city
continued to be very effective. Sewers were gradually built, starting in central Tokyo,
bnt in suburban areas the 'honey bucket men' continued to collect most human waste
until well into the 1960s, when petrochemical-based fertilizers became more available
and cheaper, putting them out of business.
The relative success of traditional urban tcclmologies, and the order, cleanliness and
discipline ofJapanesc urban life, lessened the need for new technologies and approaches
to urbanization, delaying the adoption of many modern urban infrastructures. As
suburban growth began in earnest in the 1920s, traditional urban infrastructure and
social systems were employed to create very liveable and desirable (even though
unplanned) suburbs in the uplands west of the central city. Municipalities were able
to rely on neighbourhood-scale civic organizations for the delivery of essential social
services (Bcstor, 1989; Sorensen, 2007). The problematic aspects of unplanned and
unserviced suburban development only really manifested themselves much later, as
discussed below.
Beginning of Modern Planning
the revolution of 1867 the Japanese state focused on the project of
industrialization and the importation of Western tcclmologics and institutions,
constitutional government, milita1y technologies, a postal system,
universal public education and private property rights. The primary rnotivatio11 was
to grow strong enough to be able to prevent colonization the European
powers that were then dividing up the globe. Creating a modern state that could
convince the great powers that Japan was a civilized nation was a top
industrialization and military development.
as were
The initial attempts to modernize followed typical patterns of colonial
advisors to create direct copies of Western town forms
and planning ideas. The first major chance came after a fire destroyed a area of
the merchant district in the Low in 1872. The central government hired a British
named Thomas Waters to plan and supervise the building of a
commercial centre in the Ginza area, later called the Ginza Rcnga-Gai
Brick Tbwn) :md built to a design inspired by London's Regent Street (Fujimori,
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 47
1982; Not-,11Khi, 1988). The rebuilding stalled when it was about two-thirds complete
because the buildings were expensive, damp and ill-suited to the climate, but the
prr:jcct did have the long-term impact of shifting the arc:i of highest retail rents from
Nihonbashi southward towards Ginza 4-chomc, an area that, by the 1990s, could boast
the highest rents in the world (Okamoto, 2000). A second such attempt was a
commissioned by the Foreign Ministry from the German architects Bockmann and
Ende to restructure the government quarter in the grand neoclassical style. That plan,
however, was abandoned bcfrJrc construction began when the minister was disgraced
by his failure to renegotiate the 'unequal treaties' that had been sit,Y11cd under duress in
1858 when the US navy threatened Edo (Beasley, 1995).
In the end, the major early planning achievements were the results of a much more
practical urban improvement plan. In 1889 the central government passed the Tokyo
City Improvement Ordinance (TCIO, Tokyo Shiku Kaisei]orei), which created the legal
authority to carry out an ambitious project to improve roads and to build parks, markets
and schools. Instead of a plan based on the architectural fads of European advisors,
this was basically a large-scale co-ordinated municipal public works pn~ject. The major
priorities of this project, which lasted from 1888 to 1918, followed fairly directly from
the legacies of the giant city of Edo, including fireproofing, road-widening and water
supply. This prl~ect also helped to create a new electric streetcar system after 1890,
which developed into a comprehensive network by 1920. The financial contributions
from the private streetcar company fr)r the use of roads to lay their tracks paid f(x most
of the road-widening projects. Other major initiatives were the building of a new water
supply system and the beginning of a mains sewer system for central Tokyo.
Several of the enduring characteristics of Japanese city planning arc first evident
during this period. These include a strong centralization of power in the Horne
Ministry, with mayors and prcfcctural governors the This
concentration of experts and plan-making in the central government led to
relatively quick attainment of high levels of planning in the I lome
Planning Bureau, but limited the ability of municipalities to devise or
locally specific solutions to particular issues. A farther problem was the weak financial
base for planning, as the Finance retained tight control over the purse
and local governments had few of their own resources available fix
important projects Sorensen, p. 110).
The Meiji period had sccn a drastic halving of Tokyo's population, with the
departure of most samurai to their home and the collapse of the former
economic system, hut Tokyo started to grow once more in the 1890s. It had only
reached its 1800 population again by 1900 and was still contained within its foudal
boundaries in 1910, but thereafter Tbkyo a period of rapid population and
physical growth. By the time of the First World War, Tokyo began to sec major
as rapid industrialization resulted from a combination of the blockade of Germany and
48 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
sales of industrial goods to the allied powers. This presented a new set of problems
of how to manage growth and land development on the urban fringe, and of how to
alleviate the steadily worsening housing conditions of the working class in the inner
city. Rising rents led to increasing population densities, worsening housing conditions,
and serious epidemics of cholera and tuberculosis, while the growing middle class
sought new housing outside the existing urban areas.
Changes in transportation technolot,ry were also significant factors shaping
urbanization in this period. The building of the national railway system was a top
priority of the government during the second half of the Meiji period, and the famous
Yamanote loop line, linking Tokyo Station and Ueno Station, was completed in 1919.
The private railways, which proliferated after 1910, were prohibited from establishing
terminals within the Yamanote loop, so their terminals were located at Ikebukuro,
Shinjuku, Shibuya and Ueno. This later structured urban growth by creating important
sub-centres where commuters transferred from the private commuter railways to the
Yamanote Line or the Tokyo streetcars.
The streetcar system also had profound effects on patterns of urban development.
As in other major cities such as London, Berlin, Paris and New York, the vast majority
of the population travelled on foot before the development of public transport systems.
That meant a relatively compact form of growth, usually within a radius of about 5
kilometres. The development of public transit systems allowed an enormous spread of
population, with the better off who could afford daily fares able to travel the furthest.
The system also encouraged the development of the great department stores in Ginza,
and the central business area in Marunouchi, to serve the whole city. The Ginza
subway, begun in 1920, was originally part of a system with seven routes, of which it
was the only line completed before the World War II.
The 1919 City Planning Act provided the basis for Japan's first city planning
system. The main elements were: land-use zoning; an urban buildings law; the
building line system; excess condemnation; land readjustment; and the designation of
public facilities. Unfortunately, funding measures included in the proposed legislation
were opposed by the Ministry of Finance. Provisions for a betterment tax, a land
expropriation law, and public financing of city planning projects all had to be dropped
before the bill could become law.
Early by international standards, the new zoning system was simple, with only four
land-use zones: commercial, residential, industrial and quasi-iudustrial. The law also
allowed for undesignated zones and non-zoned areas within the city planning area.
Each zone allowed a wide variety of land uses, with the main restriction being that
large-scale factories could only be located in industrial areas, and noisy uses such as
theatres and cabarets were only allowed in commercial zones. Small factories and
retail and otlice uses were allowed in residential zones, however, and housing was still
allowed in heavy industrial areas. It was imagined that zoning would not act primarily
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability: Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 49
to restrict land uses, but rather as an indicator of the appropriate scale and design of
public facilities such as roads in the different zones, with narrow roads in residential
areas and super-blocks in industrial zones. This was quite different as a conceptual
and political basis of zoning from, for example, New York, where the early goal of
zoning was to prevent the encroachment of industrial lofts into upper-class residential
areas.
Figure 2.4. Tokyo's first zoning plan, 1923.
.... _ ~ G:tl.'J!llJI!
llIIIlD :t::•- 11111 :r:--.1'1'-"''*"u l!ttHll x--. (<'..-ll'!'*liO §*!llll!Je o------ lil!l!fftillllUll ... .,.,.
At first glance, the first Tokyo zoning plan (figure 2.4) can be taken at face value, as a
plan to shape the structure ofland use and built form of the city. It is better understood,
however, as a schematic representation of land uses existing in Tokyo when it was
approved in 1923. This was a new regulation for an existing fully built-up area, and it
was merely confirming the broad land-use pattern then existing. A few main aspects
arc worth noting: the entire Low City west of the Sumida River is designated as
a commercial area (solid black), and the transition to the residential zone (diagonal
stripes) on its western edge closely follows the change in elevation to the uplands of
the I Iigh City. Throughout the residential areas of the High City, commercial areas
arc designated as linear corridors along main highways and arterial roads. Many, but
not all, of these follow the lines of the streetcars. This pattern of commercial areas
in long strips along main roads is still common in Japan and, where the building of
a parallel highway or elevated expressway has allowed it, many of these have been
Risks and Resilience
Figure 2.5. A pedestrian shopping street in central Tokvo in 2007.
of
areas that
and crnss-
into two halves, a
commercial/industrial zone in the
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 51
two episodes arc crucial fix understanding the development of Tokyo, in part because
in each case the city was transformed in the process of rebuilding, and in part because
these disasters provide insights into major contemporary risks and challenges for the
city.
The Great Kanto Earthquake struck just before noon on 1 September 1923.
Between 100,000 and 140,000 people were crushed or incinerated, and some 44 per
cent of the urban area of Tokyo was completely destroyed. As Seidensticker (1991)
larnems, this marked the final disappearance of the built form of the feudal city of Edo,
with the destruction of most remaining pre-modern buildings and the transformation
of the cityscape during reconstruction. The areas worst affected were the Low City
commercial and industrial areas, primarily because they were built at much higher
densities than the residential areas of the High City and burned more readily. A vast
area of the capital was utterly devastated and the major investment in reconstruction
made over the next 8 years put a strain on the entire national budget and financial
system. As anyone who has studied urban disaster recovery knows, it is usually very
difficult to accomplish a significantly different urban plan during reconstruction, as
the priority is often to rebuild in the same pattern in order to provide new homes and
business spaces quickly. In Tokyo, however, a major redesign of the central area was
undertaken, creating a new hierarchy of broad avenues, substantial commercial streets,
and smaller streets and lanes. New bridges, parks and schools were also built, with a
number of innovative features including fireproof concrete schools with emergency
shelter areas in the playgrounds and pocket parks at each of the hundreds of new
bridges.
Two problematic outcomes of reconstruction arc important here. First, to allow
rapid rebuilding of housing and businesses during reconstruction, the requirements
for fireproof buildings were relaxed, initially temporarily but then with repeated
extensions. This resulted in huge areas of these flammable buildings being consumed
by fire dnring World War II bombing. Second, all the carcfi1lly prepared plans for
suburban land development pn~jccts and development regulation schemes proposed
under the 1919 Planning Act had been lost in the fires which destroyed Tokyo City
Hall and the Home Ministry in the aftermath of the earthquake. Worse, in the months
after the disaster, suburban development occurred too rapidly, resulting in many
people made homeless by the earthquake moving to new areas outside the city, creating
another vast belt of unplanned sprawl. This area of high-density wooden housing, with
very narrow streets, few parks and few firebreaks, has been a key concern again since
the 1980s, as Tokyo anticipates its next great earthquake (see figure 2.8). Historically
the cycle of m~jor quakes in the Tokyo region has been about every 70 years, so a major
disaster has been expected since the mid 1990s.
Tokyo suffered massive destruction again during the incendiary bombing raids
of 1945, with most of the built-up area burned and some 750,000 houses destroyed.
52 Planrnng Asian Cities: Risks and Resilience
Once more, the commercial and industrial areas of the Low City were the most
heavily damaged. The Tokyo Metropolitan Government prepared a very idealistic
reconstruction plan to transform central Tokyo, especially those areas that had not been
modernized after the Great Kanto earthquake. Redevelopment projects were planned
for 20,000 hectares, while the burned area was 'only' 16,000 hectares. The intcntion
was to create broad avenues, large parks and green corridors. These extensive open
spaces could also serve as firebreaks, a proposal that made great sense given that, within
the space of25 years, central Tokyo had been burned to the ground twice.
But compared with the reconstruction eff(xt after the earthquake, little urban
restructuring was accomplished. Of the 20,000 hectares planned, only 1,380, or 6.8
per cent of the reconstruction projects, were completed (Sorensen, 2002). Most of
these were at main stations along the Yamanote Linc such as Shinjuku, Shibuya and
lkcbukuro, and were designed to improve the railway station plazas and create better
connections between Japan Rail OR) lines, private railway lines, streetcars and buses.
Most of Tokyo, however, was rebuilt quickly along the old pattern, and many areas so
redeveloped are now considered at high risk from earthquake and fire.
By the 1950s the key characteristics of Japanese planning were firmly established,
uamely a high degree of centralization of policy and administrative power in central
government, and an enduring focus of government policy on economic growth, often
at the expense of urban liveability. The pervasive role of the state is a distinctive frature
of Japanese urbanization, especially in Tokyo, which may seem odd for a city that
appears to most first-time visitors to be profoundly unplanned and chaotic (see Shelton,
1999). As noted above, Tokyo was originally planned as a military city, with the priority
placed on defence. During the Edo period the Shogun's government had e:t,.'i:raordinary
powers over patterns of activity and development (Kato, 1994; Sorensen, 2002). In the
Meiji period the urban project was to modernize, industrialize, and create a prestigious
capital city. After the Great Kanto Earthquake in 1923, and again after World War II,
the central government took direct control of planning and reconstruction. In the
rapid growth period and since, the state has fixuscd on the planning and building of
the large-scale infrastructure that has shaped overall patterns of growth particularly
the Tokyo Bay landfills fr)[ the port and industrial complexes, and the railways,
expressways, bridges and airports that have facilitated economic and physical t,>rowth.
These vast projects and investments established Japan's reputation as the archetypal
'developmental state' or 'construction state' (dokm kokka), and also decisively shaped
the growth of the capital city. At the same time relatively frw constraints were placed
on private urban investment or land development, so even with vast state infrastructure
investments, Tokyo continues to display a rather haphazard and unplanned look. More
important, most residential areas were developed in an unplanned manner, with
little government investment or even regulation. These areas pose some of the main
challenges facing the Tokyo region today.
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 53
From Rapid Economic Growth to Post-industrial Tokyo
Contemporary Tokyo, although built on the foundations of the pre-war period, and
shaped by the institutions developed thcn, is mostly a product of two decades of rapid
post-war economic growth from 1954 to 1973, another two decades of moderate
growth from about 1973 to 1990, and the following t\vo decades of recession and
low grovvth. Throughout this period the construction of new urban areas, of public
and private infrastructure, and of buildings on redevelopment sites, has been a major
industry, especially during the low economic growtl1 period of recent decades. As
a result, virtually all buildings in Tokyo have been constructed during the last half-
century, with many being replaced on one or more occasions. There is no space to
trace in detail all the urban changes in the Tokyo region in this period, so the focus
here is limited to two major aspects of urbanization and growth. The first is the
continued dominance of the 'developmental state', with its politicized public works
and infrastructure spending, which has skewed urban priorities and planning solutions
towards large-scale engineering approaches and t,>randiose schemes, rather than
towards systematic planning and carcfl1l regulation of development. The second is the
distinctive pattern of suburban sprawl and substandard suburban development that is
characteristic of Tokyo.
The political economy of the Japanese 'developmental state' model has been
e:t,.'i:ensively studied, and it is unnecessary here to do more than summarize the main
features. The core of the model is: a highly centralized government structure and
weak local governments; weak influence of electoral politics on government policy
formation, which is instead entrusted to a relatively autonomous bureaucracy that is to
some degree insulated from political pressures; the prioritization of economic growth
to the detriment of other goals; and a reliance on economic success as the primary
basis of state legitimacy Oohnson, 1982; Cumings, 1987; Deyo, 1987; Gao, 1997; Woo-
Cumings, 1999). The cnduring links between the ruling Liberal Democratic Party,
central government bureaucracy and big business arc referred to as 'the iron triangle'
and continue to be influential (McCormack, 2002; Feldhoff, 2007). This configuration
was particularly powerful in the post-war 'rapid growth' decades a 'conservatives'
paradise', in which a powerful consensus prevailed that post-war rebuilding, economic
growth, and particularly industrial expansion, were necessary and desirable (Samuels,
1983,p. 168).
The state played a key role in facilitating industrial expansion by allocating foreign
exchange, arranging loans, promoting capital formation and plant investment, and
ensuring an adequate supply of industrial land, electricity and water Oohnson, 1982;
Deyo, 1987). In the Tokyo region, the major investments were in creating new
integrated industrial areas on landfills in Tokyo Bay, with associated road and rail links,
port facilities, highways, river engineering, storm-water management, and electricity
54 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
and water supply. Samuels (1983), in his case study of the dcvclopmcm plans f(x the
Tokyo region, details the multiple tics linking the ministries (Construction,
11-ansport, and International Trade and Industry) with business lobbyists, major
industrial groups, and prcfrctural and municipal governments. Ambitious plans
were formulated to fill in two-thirds of the 12,000 square kilometre Tokyo Bay fi:ir
a new airport, new 1bkyo Station, industrial, residential and commercial areas, and
with expressways to link everything together. Although many of the major projects
were uncontroversial, some, like Narita Airport, elevated ex-prcssways and the new
Shinkansen high-speed rail lines, attracted heated protests when they were being built
(McKean, 1981; Samuels, 1983; Apter and Sawa, 1984; llood, 2006). Such protests
seldom had much influence, however, as most mJjor decisions were made among elite
actors long before plans were made public.
It is during the rapid growth period that the dualistic aspects of urbanization in
Japan became strongly apparent. On the one hand, the central government poured
money into ambitious large-scale infrastructure projects, and on the other hand, as
mentioned above, there was a vast amount of uncontrolled, unplanned residential land
development with few public services such as local roads, community centres, libraries
or parks (T•mru, 1999; IfasegawJ, 2004). While 41 per cent of the public works budget
was allocated to roads, harbours and airports in 1960, and 49.9 per cent in 1970, the
percentage devoted to housing and sewer systems was 5.7 per cent in 1960 and 11.2 per
cent in 1970 (Yamamura, 1992, p. 48). Careful planning and huge investments in infra-
structure to aid economic grovvth occurred at the same time as extremely tight budgets
fix social infrastructure and a laissez attitude to living conditions in residential
areas, with frw regulations put in place to limit pollution of air, water and soil.
The results of this approach were mixed in their effects on urban structure. On the
one hand, the huge investment in infrastructure projects undoubtedly
contributed to economic development and mobility in the Tokyo region. On the other
hand, lack of investment in 'social overhead contributed to the 'rich Japan, poor
Japan' problem of low living standards, degraded urban environments and a severe
pollution crisis in the 1960s. There were m;~or investments in transportation systems,
including the construction of a large-scale elevated expressway system, new high-
speed railway links to Osaka and later Tbhoku and the Japan Sea, new and
railway lines, and the major new industrial areas on landfills in Bay. The water
supply and sewer systems were rapidly extended, although until the 1990s the sewers
were still cx-panding more slowly than the urban area. While overseas visitors ofren
admire the lavish investment in infi·astructure, and especially transportation systems,
to aid economic development 1998; Mosk, 2001 ), Japanese commentators
arc more likely to notice the associated accumulation of government the failure
to invest in social infrastructnrc, and the spread of low-quality living environments
(I layakawa and llirayama, 1991; T<iuru, 1999; Hasegawa, 2004).
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo 111 the Twenty-First Century 55
Thus, the fixus on growth-oriented infrastructure in the Tokyo region has
resulted in a neglect of the infrastructure that supports liveability. The problem was
not just a lack of spending, however, but also a failure to regulate private land and
housing development, allowing the continuing spread of unplanned residential areas. 1
Weak regulation of private development, high housing prices and a failure by the
glwernment to invest in residential areas has meant that huge areas were developed
in an entirely haphazard manner with tiny lots, without adequate basic infrastructure
of roads and sewers, and without minimum social facilities, such as parks, libraries
and community centres. As mentioned above, these unplanned residential areas have
long been seen as some of the most vulnerable, dangerous and problematic parts of
Tokyo. In the area shown in figure 2.6, the parts shaded in black have substandard
housing plots of80 square metres, which front primarily on to small dead-end streets
with few connections. Virtually all streets arc extremely narrow. Failure to plan or
Figure 2.6. Unplanned sprawl areas north of'fokyo.
56 Planning Asian Cities: Risks and Resilience
regulate suburban development has also meant that other major infrastructure, such as
sewers, has had to be built retroactively at great cost, while storm-water systems must
be oversized because hard surfaces arc ubiquitous.
This approach to urban planning and urban infrastructure investment was a major
cause of the environmental crisis in Japan that came to a head in the 1960s, with
hundreds of deaths and tens of thousands of people made seriously ill, as pollution
emissions expanded rapidly and housing was still being built in industrial zones (Ui,
1992). By the second half of the decade worsening pollution contributed to the t,rrowth
of environmental movements which blamed the central government for the pollution
crisis and lack of investment in community infrastructure (George, 2001 ). This in
turn contributed to major gains by the opposition socialist and communist parties,
particularly in local government elections, where progressive parties were able to elect
mayors and governors in most of the cities and prefectures in the metropolitan areas
(Krauss and Simcock, 1980; MacDougall, 1980; McKean, 1981 ). Of all environmental
complaints, those about vibrations, bad smells and noise consistently topped the list,
and all were a result of poor land-use planning. Although many of the new progressive
local administrations worked hard on environmental concerns, their land-use planning
powers were relatively weak, and they were largely unable to limit the continued
spread of new areas of unplanned sprawl.
Three developments since the time of the environmental crisis arc important here.
The first is the bnbble economy of the 1980s, the second has to do with the long period
of economic stagnation following its collapse, and the third has been the emergence
of large numbers of small-scale, citizen-initiated projects to improve local living
environments, referred to as 'machiz11kuri' (which literally translates as 'community
development' or 'town-making'). During the 1980s Japan experienced an extraordinary
asset inflation bubble, fuelled in part by the huge exporting success of Japanese
corporations, in part by easy credit designed to stimulate domestic demand in response
to US pressure over the trade imbalance between the two countries, and in part by
speculative investment in urban land and real estate. The results were equally diverse
and included a vast inflation of land values, an accelerated spread of development ever
further from central Tokyo in efforts to find affordable housing land, and a severe
economic crash in the early 1990s followed by stagnation which persists to the present.
The Japanese financial system was pushed near to collapse by large numbers ofbad real
estate loans made during the bubble economy period. Since then central government
has sought to encourage construction investment as a stimulus to counteract recession.
Such efforts have been two pronged, including both massive government investment
in infrastructure and construction projects, and a series of deregulations of the planning
system, designed to stimulate private sector investment in redevelopment.
The government's economic stimulus investments have been widely criticized
(Woodall, 1996; McGill, 1998; Fe ldhoff, 2007) as reinforcing the 'iron triangle' while
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 57
creating a deepening dependency on public works. As McCormack (2002, p. 11)
argues,
Japan's public works sector has grown to be three times the size of that of Britain. the US or
(;ermany. employing 7 million people. or 10 per cent of the workfiwcc. and spending betwern
-10 and 50 trillion yen a year around $350 billion, 8 per cent of GDP or two to three times that
of other industrial countries. Naturally there have been short-term benefits fiir many, not least in
terms of up unemployment during the long 1990s recession. Gradually, however, public-
works infrastructure has been replaced by 'extrastructure· developments undertaken for their
own sake, while the collusive alliance at the system's core has corrupted both politics and society.
Just as problematic have been the central government's moves to encourage private
development investment by selectively weakening the national building code, and by
removing normal municipal planning controls in specified areas of central Tokyo, in
order to speed up the process of approval of large-scale redevelopment projects. As
examined in detail in earlier studies (Fttjii, 2005; Fttjii et al., 2007; Sorensen et al.,
2009), during the 1990s the Ministry of Construction (now the Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure and Ti-ansport) weakened regulations controlling the permitted floor
area, height and permissible building envelope of buildings in cities in order to
permit much larger buildings on existing sites These changes were accomplished not
by introducing legislation, but by changing the way the Building Standards Law was
interpreted and administered. For example, a major change was the decision not to
count the area used for elevators, lobbies and corridors as a part of the total floor area
of large condominium buildings. Another major series of changes was to the way the
permitted building envelope was calculated, in order to allow much taller buildings
on sites that front on to narrow roads. These changes have had major impacts on
built form. In one famous case, a 10-storey building, built in the early 1990s to the
maximum size then permitted, was demolished in 2002 and replaced with a 30-storey
building that took advantage of the new regulations (Sorensen et al., 2009).
As can be imagined, the sudden appearance of 30-storey buildings in low-rise
residential areas has provoked bitter conflicts and vigorous opposition movements
(Fttjii ct al., 2007). Few of these have been successfril in preventing redevelopment,
however, and during the last 15 years Tbkyo has seen an extraordinary transfrirmation,
from a largely low-rise and mid-rise built frxm to a predominance of high-rise
buildings over large expanses of the central city: This has reversed the long decline of
the central city population, as intended, bnt increasing density in the central areas of
Tokyo may not be good policy. Unlike many other developed country cities, Tokyo
already has extremely high central area densities and increased burdens on an already
ove1worked infrastructure may be vc1y costly and may exacerbate problems in the
event of a major disaster (Onishi, 1994).
More widespread and much more important than the movements in opposition
58 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
to high-rise intensification arc the many groups, projects and activities that seek to
improve local environments and liveability in Japanese settlements. The 111achizuk11ri
(mentioned above) represent a sclf:-help approach to working on ncighbourhood-
scalc liveability issues. Drawing on the famous examples of the Maruyama and
Mano neighbourhoods in Kobe (Watanabe, 2007) and "faishido in Tokyo (Sorensen
ct al., 2009), where sophisticated community movements worked to improve their
neighbourhoods, 111achiz11k11ri activisim spread throughout the country in the 1990s.
l\1achiz11k11ri includes a very wide range of activities and organizational structures,
including both bottom-up citizens' organizations and more top-down projects initiated
by local governments, but the essential characteristic is the voluntary participation
of residents in managing and ameliorating neighbourhood scale environmental
quality. Typical activities engaged in by marhizukuri groups include the building
and management of local parks and community gardens, children's play areas and
small green spaces, historical preservation campaigns, community centre building,
environmental remediation efforts and local disaster response preparations (Watanabe,
1999; Hein, 2001; Murayama, 2007; Sorensen ct al., 2009).
Although the devolution of planning powers and responsibilities under the revised
City Planning Law of 1992 and the major transfer of legal authority for planning to
local governments in 2000 allowed increased scope fiJr local initiatives and greatly
raised expectations, machizukuri processes arc still important because the massive local
borrowing to help finance central government infrastructure projects during the 1990s
lefr local governments deeply in debt and little able to finance new initiatives and
projects (Schcbath, 2006).
In a recent paper John Friedmann (2010) argues for the central importance of place
and place-making in cities today, and advocates a more positive approach by planners in
supporting etforts to enhance neighbourhood-scale shared places, and to protect them
from the powerful forces of erasure and dislocation. Friedmann provides examples of
three cases of place-making in Japan, China, and Canada and notes the importance
of the institutional frameworks that make successfi1l citizen engagement in placc-
making possible. Although a wide variety of neighbourhood ort,ranizations exists in
cities around the world, their capacity to influence patterns of urban change is highly
uneven. In most cases, developers, governments and planners arc happy to disregard
the priorities of neighbourhood organizations in pursuit of other interests, and
institutional links between the local state and neighbourhood organizations have very
ofrcn been designed to ensure that municipal priorities and interests arc communicated
to the neighbourhood, not the reverse.
The crucial social innovation of machizukuri was the adaptation of existing
institutional structures for neighbourhood self-governance, the traditional neigh-
bourhood associations ofcl1011aikai and jicl1ikai (sec Dore, 1958; Bcstor, 1989), to create
more democratic, inclusive and autonomous groups. This was a complex process,
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 59
lasting several decades. The environmental crisis and the collapse of the economy were
key moments of de-legitimation of existing institutions and, over time, new institutional
frirms of place-based ort,YJnizing have become established and widely disseminated (see
Sorensen, 2007). Two key innovations were a move from the traditional system of
household membership in neighbourhood associations to individual membership in
machizukuri groups, allowing routine membership of women and young adults instead
of household representation by the eldest male, and a formalization of majority voting
instead of the traditional 'consensus' decision making that had allowed most decisions
to be made by small leadership groups. These changes have facilitated the emergence
of more independent groups which do not automatically follow the instructions of
local government, and have fought against place erasure, as well as for place values.
In many cities in Asia, it is precisely the lack of institutional models and frameworks
for autonomous local groups with both organizational and political capacity that is the
greatest hindrance to place-making (Sorensen and Sagaris, 2010). Machizukuri in Tokyo
are important in providing a setting and sense of legitimacy for citizen engagement
in place-making and community development, which would otherwise be almost
completely lacking.
Conclusions: Major Contemporary Challenges for Tokyo
The Tokyo region faces many major challenges today. Of these, probably the most
prominent arc earthquake risks, economic problems related to the lack of growth,
huge government debts, an ageing and declining population, and growing problems of
homelessness and poverty. This concluding section focuses on three issues that have a
distinctly spatial manifestation, and that arc deeply linked to historic patterns of planning
and development. The first is the enduring divide between the upland High City and
the Low City in the floodplains of the Sumida, Edogawa and Nakagawa rivers, most of
which is now at or below the mean high-tide level. Second is the continued existence
and even t,rrowth of highly vulnerable areas of substandard housing, a situation that
contributes to the serious risks facing large segments of the Tokyo population. Third
is the huge pressure to redevelop and intensify land use in the central areas of the city.
This is, in large part, a product of the recent changes in planning regulations noted
above, which arc designed more to create profitable opportunities for redevelopment
than to address existing urban challenges and risks.
The continuing spatial divide between the Low City in the cast and the lligh
City to the west of the Imperial Palace is a surprisingly enduring characteristic of
Tokyo. Dating back to the feudal era policy of class-based separation of the city into
different districts for samurai and commoners, and powerfully reinforced by the early
zoning of the city into a 'residential' zone in the salubrious former samurai areas, and
commercial and industrial zones in the areas frmncrly inhabited by commoners, these
60 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
t\vo halves continue to demonstrate very diffcTent urban fimn characteristics
and problems. Apart from the zoning, a major factor been that it was primarily
the low-lying commoner areas that were destroyed in the earthquake of 1923,
and that were rebuilt with a of wide roads. This has
densities in these areas than in the upland areas with their
much higher built
narrow roads.
The industrial areas continue to have an extraordinary mixture of factories, housing,
office, retail and warehouse uses. with almost every urban block all of those
uses. During the environmental crisis of the post-war period, these were the areas
that suffered the worst cffrcts of uncontrolled pollution emissions, but much stricter
pollution controls since 1970 have greatly reduced such problems. In many ways these
arc extremely sncccssfol examples of the sort oflow-risc, high-density, mixcd-nsc areas
promoted by advocates of urban sustainability.
They arc, however, still vulnerable to a major ongoing risk that is a by-product
of the unregulated industrialization of the rapid growth period: most of the lowland
area ofTok70, with a population of2.5 million, is built on land that is up to 2 metres
below the mean high tide level (sec figure 2.7). Excessive groundwater pumping by
factories from the aquifor below the delta from the 1940s to the mid 1960s resulted
in widespread subsidence of ground levels. Although strictly cnf<.irccd regulations
have prohibited the removal of groundwater since the mid 1960s, and subsidence has
stopped, huge areas arc still vulnerable to flooding. Dykes. water gates and locks protect
these areas, but 1hkyo's heavy rains must be pumped out over the dykes, so these areas
arc always at risk of floods from a failure of the emergency pumps, from a surge of
river or sea water levels during a storm, or from the failure of a dyke (as happened in
New Orleans). As sea levels arc cJqicctcd to rise considerably over the next century,
this presents a significant ongoing risk fiir a major part of the Tokyo population. The
unstable alluvial soils of the delta area arc also considered to present greater risks in the
event of a factor that may the risk of floods.
The second
the weak planning regulations in place
1s a consequence primarily of
the first half of the t\Vcntieth century,
and the hasty rebuilding after World War ll. As shown in fignre 2.8, just beyond the
Yamanotc line there 1s a of suburban residential areas with very high
population densities, and a of dwellings that arc constructed of wood.
These arc almost all areas that were initially suburbanized afrer the ]!)23 earthquake,
in a wholly unplanned and tend to have a substandard road infrastrnctnre,
with many houses on very narrow lanes and paths that even the tiniest car cannot
enter. Some of these areas arc charming living environments, with lots of small houses,
potted plants in the alleyways, and pedestrian and bicycle traffic in the streets.
The problem is that they arc also at high risk of fires in the
event of earthquakes, as few houses arc fircproofrd and they stand within inches of
each other in most cases. In the Kobe earthqnakc of 1995 virtually all fatalities were in
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 61
Figure 2.7. Tokyo below sea level.
areas just like these, as collapsed buildings blocked escape routes and residents were
trapped, unable to flee the advancing flames. While the risk of another great earthquake
is well known, the very uneven geography of vulnerability in the city is less frequently
mentioned.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government has, since the early 1980s, identified these
Low City areas as a major target for disaster prevention investment, but progress has
been slow. Initial plans to bulldoze the areas and replace them with wide boulevards
and high-rise towers in the modernist style were vigorously opposed by residents, so
an incremental approach has been pursued instead, with investment put into building
emergency escape routes, fireproofing buildings and installing water cisterns in case of
disaster.
The third major risk and vulnerability identified here is rather different, as it is
not associated with potential earthquakes or other natural disasters. Rather, it is one
62 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
Figure 2.8. High-density wooden buildings areas, 1997.
that is entirely linked to weaknesses of the planning system, and the tendency to use
urban regulation as a tool of economic policy. While the prevailing wisdom today is
that higher population densities arc associated with greater urban sustainability, it is not
at all clear that this makes sense for Tokyo, with its already very high densities. It is not
known precisely at what density the benefits of greater concentration give way to the
disbcncfits of overcrowding, and that density is likely to be very different in different
locations, different cultures and even for different individuals. But the current policy
of encouraging indiscriminate intensification through the redevelopment of low- and
mid-rise neighbourhoods into super high-rise condominium buildings of over thirty
storeys seems very likely to create more problems than it solves (sec figure 2.1()). The
problem is not associated with vulnerability to earthquakes most new high-rises are
probably safer in the event of earthquakes than the buildings they are replacing. But
these super high-rises tend to be much more energy intensive than low- and mid-
Figure 2.9. Shimokitazawa in Tokyo's wooden housing belt.
Uneven Geographies of Vulnerability Tokyo in the Twenty-First Century 63
rise buildings, so the wholesale replacement of Tbkyo's low- and mid-rise buildings
with super high-rises seems more likely to reduce local resilience in the face of disaster
rather than to increase it. Also, many of these new high-rises arc built within a metre or
two of2-storcy residences, so the immediate neighbours arc understandably concerned
about loss of sunlight, wind funnel effects, falling objects and increased traffic. Protests
have been widespread but, as noted earlier, largely ineffective (Fujii ct al., 2007).
The current incentives to rebuild in the form of high-rise buildings have sparked
a wave of redevelopment and intensification throughout the Tokyo region, but there
is no overall planning framework to guide intensification, and few areas arc protected
from such redevelopment. A major risk of this approach is that overbuilding will
create more vulnerable populations in central areas, requiring ever larger infrastructure
investments to keep them supplied with water, wastewater treatment and energy, while
the characteristic resilience and flexibility of the low- and mid-rise urban forms they
replace arc diminished.
Tokyo is such a vast and complex city-region that a brief survey cannot do justice to
its multiple strengths and weaknesses. What is clear, however, is that the institutional
structure of government has consistently worked to leverage Tokyo's centrality as a
vehicle for land development profits, with less priority given to dealing with the risks
that the city faces from earthquakes, floods and other catastrophic events. Until this
dynamic changes, it is rcasouablc to expect that Tokyo will remain highly vulnerable to
natural disasters.
Figure 2.10. Rcccnt high- risc tower development in Tokyo.
64 Planning Asian Cities Risks and Resilience
Postscript
As this book went to press, the tragic events of March 2011 - the huge earthquake,
the resulting tsunami which caused appalling destruction and loss of life, and the
explosions at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant north of Tokyo - focused
the attention of the world on the vulnerability of Japan's cities. It is premature for any
detailed assessment of this tragedy; but a few points already seem obvious. First, the
large investments of recent decades in careful earthquake engineering of buildings in
cities have paid off Despite the strongest earthquake in Japanese history; there were
very few building failures, and almost none of newer buildings. Second, the terrifying
images of the tsunami showed the vulnerability of low-lying coastal communities
to sudden huge rises in sea levels and gigantic waves. In areas prone to tsunamis,
settlements must be sited on higher ground. Third, the failure of multiple backup
systems at the nuclear power plants suggests that, if such plants arc to be located on the
coast, as virtually all in Japan arc, they must be much better protected. Finally; one can
only hope that the 2011 Sendai disaster will prompt early and significant measures to
better protect the extensive areas of Tokyo which are currently at or below mean high
tide levels, as discussed in this chapter. In Japan major earthquakes and tsunamis in
future arc inevitable.
Note 1. The term 'sprawl' (supuroru) is applied to these areas, but they are not the same as North America's
sprawling suburbs. Tokyo's unplanned suburbs have been the suhject of a number of studies (sec Hanayama, 1986; Hebbcrt, 1994; Mori, 1998; Sorensen, 2001).
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Chapter Three
The Dragon's Head: Spatial Development of Shanghai
Susan Walcott
Booming Shanghai, the giant 'dragon's head' at the mouth of the Yangtze River, 1 has
a population of over 20 million early in the twenty-first century and one that has
more than doubled over the past 20 years. The city's long history as a prosperous site
for business and agriculture (silk, tea and rice cultivation) has made it an enduring
destination for migration and a target for ex1Jloitation. Its name is often interpreted
as meaning 'on the ocean' and its importance as a port has been recognized since
the eleventh century. Shanghai has transcended occupation by Western colonizers
in the mid-ninetecnth century and Japanese military imperialists a century later, as
well as revolutiona1y turmoil and retarded grO\.vth during the early communist era.
Drawing on its outstanding location frJr internal and foreign trade, and a histo1y of
entrepreneurial innovation, Shanghai now serves as China's model city and face to the
world.
The Treaty of Nanjing in 1842 began Shanghai's period as the spearhead of
European colonial-led and t()reign concession-based industrialization (Lu, 2004 ).
Factories in the concessions were fed by refi.1gees from turmoil in the count1yside. The
founding of the Chinese Communist Party took place in Shanghai's French quarter
in 1921. Shanghai's prosperity in the 1930s (the 'Paris of the East') was followed by its
control by the central govermncut during the Maoist period as a 'cash cow' providing
taxes to replenish the national coffers. Until its economic liberation in 1984, Shanghai
sent up to 8(1 per cent of its revenue to the national treasury, representing one-si:x1:h
of national income (Ibid.). In 1992 Deng Xiaoping, following his famous tour of
southern China, expressed regret for the delay in letting Shanghai use its resources to
finance its own development. The same year, the Fourteenth National Party Congress